Trend Forcasting Analysis

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WA LKING T H E L I NE

T REN D F OR C A S TI N G A N A LY SIS S PR ING/ S UM M ER 2013 I SA B E L G ON Z A L EZ DEL R E Y


BACKGR O U ND

T he U . S. E n e r gy In f o r m ati o n Adm i nist rat ion (EI A) forecast s t hat g as and oi l pri ce s w i ll o n ly co n ti n u e to r i s e b y t h e year 2 013. EIA predict s t hat t he price of West Tex as I nt er me di ate w i ll ave rag e aro u n d $ 1 0 0 / b b l i n 2 012 an d by th e year 2013 it wil l onl y cont inue t o rise reach i n g $106/ bbl. I n 2011, r e gu la r g a s oli ne retai l pri c es av erag ed $3.53 per g al l on in 2011, which w as $0.74 pe r g allo n (2 7 p e r c en t ) h i gh er th an i n 2010. I t is ex pect ed t hat for reg ul ar grade g as o li n e pri ce s w i ll co nti n u e t o in crease to an av erage of $3.59 per g al l on in 2013 (EI A S h o r t- Te r m E n e rg y Ou tlo o k) . B e ca u s e t h e co st to r e e v a lu a t e t h e way w a l k i n g t o a b us sto p b e ne f i t s , w a lk i n g

f u el o u r c ars is onl y g oing t o cont inue t o increase, man y o f u s w i ll h ave to we tran spo r t oursel ves. We wil l have t o beg in t o co n s i de r ri di n g a bi cy cle , o r c arpo o l, o r even our dest inat ion. Once t he cost s of d ri vi n g be g i n to o u tw e i g h th e th e li n e wil l become a major priorit y in man y pe o ple ’s li ve s .


L I G HT A N D A I RY


BACKCAS T

T h is backcast is a re pr es en t at io n o f ligh t an d f lo w in g f abr ics t h at we r e a p p a r e n t in 2009, wh en th e ec o n o my w as o n s h ak ey gr o un ds . Wo men w en t f or a f l owi n g godde ss look be caus e alt h o ugh t h ey may h av e been go in g t h r o ugh r ou g h ec on omic time s, th e y co uld s t ill f eel f emin in e an d et h er ial.

An n e Va lĂŠri e Ha sh S p r i ng 2 00 9

C h ristian Dio r Sprin g 20 0 9

Max A z r ia S pr in g 2 0 0 9

J oh n G a l l i a n o Sp r i n g 2009


L IG HT AND AI RY DES C R I P TI O N

DR I VE RS F O R T R END I t i s pr e di c t e d t h a t g a s p r i ce s will rise in sp ring / sum m e r 2 0 1 3 , therefore more peop l e wi l l b e w a l king r a t h e r t ha n using m e a ns of t ra nsp or tati on requ i ri ng gas. Ligh tw ei g h t a n d a ir y fa b r ic s a r e g oing t o cont inue t o b e se e n in ord er to prevent overheati ng du r i n g th e s e w a r m m o nt h s . Wom e n ca n st ill fe e l se nsua l whi l e weari ng these ai r y fa bri c s , al th o u g h t he y a r e s a vi ng t he ir p e nnie s b y re st ra ining t he msel ves from u si ng gas. CUR RE N T MANI F ES TAT I ON S W i th g as pr i c e s s t e a d il y inc r e asing , we wa nt t o b e a b le t o g e t p laces wi thou t havi ng to p ay a h i gh c o s t . B l o g s a r e fe a t uring wom e n we a ring lig ht we ig ht and fl owi ng fabri cs, there f o r e wo m e n c a n s t a y in s t yle while st ill m a int a ining t he ir “ cool �.


L IG HT AND AI RY STY L E S TO RY

In th e midst of th e h e at in t h e s pr in g an d s ummer, w ear in g ligh t w e i g h t an d sh ee r f abric s, will allo w t h e w in d t o v en t ilat e t h r o ugh , w h ile s t i l l e vokin g a sen se of s ex y s o ph is t icat io n .


L IG HT AND AI RY C O L O R STO RY

A lth ough th e se colors t en d t o s eem n eut r al, t h er e is a s en s ualit y ab ou t th e m, th at make s us feel as t h o ugh w e ar e f lo at in g. T h ey ar e w h im s i c a l an d be cause th ey ar e ligh t co lo r s , t h ey w ill r epel t h e impo s in g h e a t .

Pleasantly Plum

Air y Almond

Pretty- in- Peach

Growing Green

Tan- Talizing


L IG HT AND AI RY FA B R I C STO RY

T h ese f abric s are ligh t w eigh t an d pr act ical dur in g a w ar m day. T h e s e f abrics are blen ds, th er f o r e t h ey ar e les s ex pen s iv e w h ich is ideal f or th e saver w h o is n ot t r y in g t o s pen d t h eir mo n ey.

C otton Guaze

Po ly es t er Ch if f o n

Rayon

L igh w eigh t L in en


ONE B Y O N E


BACKCAS T

T h ese looks all sh ow lay er in g t ech n iques t h at mix an d mat ch dif f er e n t s we a t e r s , jac ke ts, skir ts, an d tigh t s . L ay er in g is a pr act ical w ay t o s t ay w ar m a n d r e m ov e th e ar ticle s of cloth ing as t h e day go es o n . T h is t r en d emer ged w h e n p e op l e w ere tr yin g to sh ie ld t h ems elv es f r o m w h at w as o ccur in g in t h e econ om y.

L i mi Feu S p r i ng 2 00 9

Vera Wang Sprin g 20 0 9

Jean Paul Gault ier S pr in g 2 0 0 9

N i c h ol a s K Sp r i n g 2011


ON E B Y ONE DES C R I P TI O N

DR I VE RS F O R TR EN D Du e to th e r i s e in g a s p r ic e s , m a ny p e op le will b e g in t o wa lk t o t h ei r desti nati on and there f o r e l ay e r ing w il l b e c o m e a m a jor t re nd in 2013. Whe t he r it be ri di ng a bi cycl e or walk i n g to th e b u s s t a t io n, w e aring la ye rs would b e t he m ost p ra cti cal becau se as the day goes on an d it g e t s w a r m e r o u t, t he la ye rs ca n b e t a ke n of f. CUR RE N T MAN I F ES TAT I ON S T hro ug h th e la y e r in g o f d if f e r e nt a r t icle s of clot hing , we ca n b e p repared for any weather we may e n c o u nt e r a l o ng t he w ay. We a lwa ys wa nt t o b e re a d y for what the day may hol d, ev en i f th e l a y e r s c o m e o f f o ne b y one . Blog s a re showing wom a n l ayeri ng thei r cl othi ng i n dif fe r en t w ea t h e r s it u a t io n s , t h ere fore a wom a n ca n b e hip while sti l l prote c ti n g th e m s e l ve s fr o m t he clim a t e .


ON E B Y ONE STY L E S TO RY

By laye rin g dif f eren t ar t icles o f clo t h in g s uch as a s h ir t ben eat h a d r e s s , or a sw eate r or jacket o v er an d o ut f it , w e can be pr epar ed f o r w h a t e v e r weath e r we may en c o un t er t h r o ugh o ut o ur jo ur n ey.


ON E B Y ONE C O L O R STO RY

T h ese c olors are all n eut r al an d n at ur al becaus e w h en lay er in g dif fe r e n t ar tic les of c loth in g, w e do n t w an t t h e co lo r s t o clas h . A ddit io n ally, t h e r e i s a n un de rlyin g e motion f oun d w it h in t h ies e co lo r s , y et o n e by o n e t h ey c om e toge th er beautif ully.

S eaf o am G r e e n

Off- tracks White

Calmin g Kh a k i

B a s i c a l l y B r own

Si m p l y Sa g e


ON E B Y ONE FA B R I C STO RY

T h e cotton duck an d ligh t w eigh t den im ar e t h ick er f abr ics , but if us e d a s l i g h t e r j a c k e t s , or a sh ir t be n eath a s w eat er t h ey can be r emo v ed as t h e t emper at u r e t h r ou g h ou t t h e day rise s. A ddition ally, clas s ic jer s ey an d co t t o n po plin can be us e d a s l a y e r s h i r t s a n d suc h , th at can be tak en o f f t h r o ugh o ut t h e day as w ell.

C otton Duc k

L igh t w eigh t Co t t o n Po plin

C lassic In te rlock Jerse y

L igh t w eigh t Den im


PL AYI NG S I M P LY


BACKCAS T

In 2009 th e se sprin g lo o k s w er e r elev an t alt h o ugh t h e gas pr ices w e r e a t i t s lowest, bec ause f ore cas t er s n ew t h at it w o uld n o t las t f o r lo n g an d g a s p r i c e s wou l d rise on c e again . Gas pr ices w ill be o n a r is e in 2 0 1 3 , t h er ef o r e m or e p e op l e wi l l h ave to f in d oth er mean s o f t r an s po r t at io n . Walk in g, r un n in g o r r id i n g b i k e s wi l l b e activities se en more o f t en , t h er ef o r e s po r t ier lo o k s w ill co n t in ue t o e m e r g e .

BC BG S p r i ng 2 00 9

A bae te Sprin g 20 0 9

Mar c by Mar c Jaco bs S pr in g 2 0 0 9

Al e xa n d e r Wa n g Sp r i n g 2009


P L AYING S I MPLY DES C R I P TI O N

DR I VE RS F O R TR EN D T he i n c r e as e in g a s p r ic e s w il l ca use p e op le t o b e com e m ore a ct ive, rather than dri vi ng to their des ti n at io n . Th is s h if t w il l ca suse m ore chic sp or t swe a r t o con ti nu e to emerge. Altho ug h a c o m m o n m is c o n c e p tion a b out sp or t swe a r is t ha t it m ust be for work i ng ou t, while m ak i n g it fo r e ve r y d a y use , m ore p e op le will b e p rone t o weari ng i t. T he benefi ts to tak i n g a m o r e a c t ive a p p r o a ch t o g e t t o our fina l d e st ina t ion, wi l l soon ou twei gh the c osts o f dr i v i n g . CUR RE N T MAN I F ES TAT I ON S Wi th g a s p r i c e s o n a ri se, getti n g to t he final dest inat ion wil l become a major co n ce r n . T h e e co n o my h as a l wa y s h a d a maj o r ro le i n tren ds, and it wil l have t he same ef fect in 2013. B y w e ari n g co mf o r table an d s tr e tc h y f a b r i c s , f o u n d i n ath leti c wear, we can t ranspor t oursel ves comfor t ably, w h e re ve r i t i s .


P L AYING S I MPLY STY L E S TO RY

Th ese essen ti als su ch as sneakers, windbreaker, and a comfor table o u tf i t are w h at c reate th e style f o r t his t rend. Whil e st il l l ooking fashion for w ard, w e can s ave m o n ey rath er th an t hrowing our g as al l owance down t he drain .


P L AYING S I MPLY C O L O R STO RY

I drew i n spi rati o n f rom t his phot og raph because it is a man walki n g to a desti n ati o n , we do not know where but it is int rig uing . Th e s e c o lo rs are en ergi z i ng and power ful , y et simpl e at t he same t ime .

Racing Red

Proactive Peach

Training Teal

Gripping Grey

Gold- Medal Yellow


P L AYING S I MPLY FA B R I C STO RY

Th ese f abri c s are li ght weig ht in addit ion t o being abl e t o rec o ve r af te r stretc h i n g, m ai n tai n it s body, and are quick dr y ing . T hese fab ri cs are i de al f o r so m eo n e wh o i s on- t he- g o and are durabl e t herefore wil l h ave a lo n g li f eti m e.

C o tto n Elastan e ( Lycra)

Viscose Jersey

Nylo n wi th elastan e

Wat erproof Ny l on


SOU R C ES

C o nde N a s t . Style.c o m . C o n de N ast , n.d. Web. 26 F eb. 2012. <ht t p://st y l e .co m>. Ea d i e, B e e. A t lan ti c - P ac i f i c . N .p., 25 F eb. 2012. Web. 26 F eb. 2012. < h t t p : / / a t lan ti c -pac i f i c .blo gspot .com>. Fa b r i c . c om , I n c. Fabri c .c o m . Bri deline Dig it al , 2012. Web. 27 F eb. 2012. < h t t p : / / w ww.f abri c .c o m >. Fe r r a g n i , C h ia ra. Th e Blo n de S alad. N.p., 26 F eb. 2012. Web. 26 F eb. 201 2. < h t t p : / / www.th eblo n desalad.com>. “ Fl i ck r. ” F li c k r fro m Yah o o . Yah o o , n.d. Web. 26 F eb. 2012. <ht t p://www.fli ckr.co m>. N e e ly, R u mi . F ash i o n To ast. N.p., 26 F eb. 2012. Web. 26 F eb. 2012. < h t t p : / / w ww.f ash i o n to ast.c o m >. N e w Yo r k M a g az i n e. “N ew Yo rk Fashion.” New York. New York Media, L L C., n .d. We b. 2 6 F e b . 2 0 12. <h ttp://n ym ag. com>. Tumblr. Tu mb lr, n .d. Web. 26 Feb. 2012. <ht t p://www.t umbl r.com>. U . S . E n er g y I n f o r m ati o n Adm i n i stration. “Shor t - Ter m Energ y Out l ook.” I ndepende n t Stati s ti cs an d A n a ly s is U .S . En ergy In f o r m ation Administ rat ion. U.S. Depar t ment of Ene rg y, 7 F e b. 2012. Web . 2 6 Feb. 2 012. <h ttp:// 205.254.135.7/forecast s/st eo/index .c f m>.


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