Inequality and Demography

Page 24

Info Box 2: Measuring inequalities in intergenerational transfers between racial groups Morné Oosthuizen (2019) uses National Transfer Accounts (NTA) methodology to unpack how intergenerational transfers differ between racial groups in South Africa.49 The NTA methodology is explained by the identity below:

C refers to consumption, Y l is labour income (income earned through employment), τ+ is transfer inflows, τ- is transfer outflows, Y A is income from assets, and S is saving, while the subscript x denotes the age cohort.49 What this identity means is that for each person, inflows (which are made up of labour income, asset income, and transfer inflows) must be equal to outflows (made up of consumption, transfer outflows, and saving).49 Using this methodology, Oosthuizen estimates transfers for South Africans across generations. See Figure 19 in the appendix for a graphical representation. Consumption, transfers, and asset-based reallocations can either come from private or public flows.49 Private flows come from the private sector, which may include corporations, households, household enterprises, and non-profit institutions which serve households.49 Public flows come from the public sector which refers to government. Public versus private consumption and transfers are of particular importance for this discussion. Figure 19 shows that on average, labour income peaks at R107,000 in one’s late forties, however these peaks vary significantly by race. Labour income peaks in the mid-forties for Black South Africans at R70,000, peaks at R111,000 for Coloured people in their mid-forties, at R169,000 for Asian people in their late thirties, and peaks at R309,000 for White South Africans in their late forties. These discrepancies explain much of the variations between racial groups described below. Figure 10 illustrates education consumption over the lifecycle by race; on the x axis of the graph is age, on the left y axis is the percentage of total consumption, and on the right y axis is the Rand value of consumption. In his analysis of differences in private versus public consumption of education over the lifecycle, Oosthuizen finds that although per capita public consumption of education follows a very similar pattern across racial groups (shown by the dashed line in Figure 10), Asian and White people spend significantly more of private expenditure8 on education than African (Black) and Coloured people. What is also unique about the distribution of private per capita spending on education among White people is their relatively high per capita spending on early childhood education (the under five year old cohort), compared to very little or no spend among African, Asian, and Coloured people.49 Among Asian and White people, there is also a notable spike in private education consumption in the late teens and early 20s age group, which may correspond with higher education spending. The solid green area of the graphs in Figure 10 represents the per capita consumption of education as a share of total education consumption (CGE/CE). According to Oosthuizen’s estimations, as a share of total education consumption, the public sector accounts for 90% of education consumption for Africans, 75% for Coloured people, 55% for Asians, and 38% for White people for the age cohorts of 6 to 20 years.49

8

rivate expenditure on education is not necessarily spending on private education, but rather private expenditure related to education regardless of whether the P education is provided by the state or not.

17

INEQUALITY AND DEMOGRAPHY


Turn static files into dynamic content formats.

Create a flipbook

Articles inside

Figure 18: Trends in the under-five mortality rate in South Africa

17min
pages 40-48

Figure 14: Policies which support women and leverage the demographic dividend

13min
pages 33-37

Figure 15: Life expectancy of South Africans from 1985 to 2020

1min
page 38

Table 2: Estimated shifts in South African inequality measures with improved GII score

1min
page 32

Figure 12: Private net transfers by race, 2015

5min
pages 27-29

Figure 13: Gender Inequality and Income Distribution as estimated by Gonzales et al. (2015

0
page 31

Figure 11: Health consumption by race, 2015

0
page 26

Info Box 3: Quantifying the impact of empowering women

2min
page 30

Figure 10: Education consumption by race, 2015

0
page 25

Info Box 2: Measuring inequalities in intergenerational transfers between racial groups

2min
page 24

Figure 7: Changes in working-age population compared to total employment in South Africa

5min
pages 19-20

Figure 5: Young, working-age, and elderly population share for South Africa, 1960-2050

2min
page 17

Figure 3: South Africa’s age dependency ratios, 1960-2020

2min
page 14

Figure 4: South Africa’s demographic transition, 1960-2050

1min
page 16

Figure 8: Average earnings by age and level of education completed (five -year moving average

4min
pages 21-22

Figure 9: The Great Gatsby Curve for a set of developed and developing countries

2min
page 23

Figure 1: Population pyramids for South Africa showing demographic transition

1min
page 11

Figure 6: South African unemployment rates, 1991-2021

1min
page 18
Issuu converts static files into: digital portfolios, online yearbooks, online catalogs, digital photo albums and more. Sign up and create your flipbook.