Figure 1-3: Population Age Distribution: 2010 to 2050

1.6.2 Population Age Distribution

The existing and projected population of different age groups within the City from 2012 to 2050 is illustrated in Figure 1-3. Key age-based demographics include:

The city’s 2012 population was estimated to be relatively young. Nearly 56 percent of residents were 39 years old or younger, and 31 percent were 60 years old or over, with the remaining 13% between 40 and 59. Between 2012 and 2050, the most significant changes to age cohorts are anticipated to be significant increases in the populations of the youngest and oldest residents. During this time,

SANDAG projects the following:

» Population ages 60 to 69 to experience a 31 percent increase. » Population ages 70 to 79 to experience a 77 percent increase. » Population ages 80 and over to experience a 104 percent increase.

1.6.3 Estimated Racial and Ethnic Character

The majority of Oceanside’s population identifies as Caucasian (47. 2 percent), as seen in Figure 1-4. However, this population is expected to decline to 29.5 percent by 2050. While the majority of the population will remain Caucasian through 2020, Oceanside is expected to become more racially and ethnically diverse. Hispanics will become the majority by 2030, and by 2050 about 52.7 percent of the population will be of Hispanic origin.

While the population of some racial and ethnic groups will rise between 2012 and 2050, other groups including Caucasians, African Americans, American Indians are expected to decrease. During this time period, SANDAG projects the following changes to the populations of the different racial and ethnic groups in Oceanside between 2012 and 2050 (see Figure 1-4):

American Indian: 23.6 percent decrease in population Asian: 68.9 percent population increase African American: 28.3 percent decrease in population Caucasian: 29.5 percent decrease in population Pacific Islander: 0.5 percent decrease in population Other: 22.1 percent population increase Two or More: 53.2 percent population increase Hispanic Origin (irrespective of race): 60.0 percent increase

FIGURE 1-3: Population Age Distribution: 2010 to 2050

30,000

Population

25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 0 to 10 10 to 19 20 to 29 30 to 39 40 to 49 50 to 59 60 to 69 70 to 79 80+ 2012 24,129 22,620 26,464 21,706 21,761 21,888 14,491 8,646 7,614 2020 27,113 20,125 27,087 23,485 20,139 21,314 18,608 12,385 7,584 2030 26,844 21,086 24,435 25,058 22,404 19,467 18,564 17,260 10,741 2040 26,027 21,136 25,228 22,928 23,836 21,543 16,873 16,749 15,002 2050 26,615 21,287 24,098 23,328 21,678 22,633 18,920 15,317 15,501