1.6.2 Population Age Distribution The existing and projected population of different age groups within the City from 2012 to 2050 is illustrated in Figure 1-3. Key age-based demographics include: The city’s 2012 population was estimated to be relatively young. Nearly 56 percent of residents were 39 years old or younger, and 31 percent were 60 years old or over, with the remaining 13% between 40 and 59. Between 2012 and 2050, the most significant changes to age cohorts are anticipated to be significant increases in the populations of the youngest and oldest residents. During this time, SANDAG projects the following:
However, this population is expected to decline to 29.5 percent by 2050. While the majority of the population will remain Caucasian through 2020, Oceanside is expected to become more racially and ethnically diverse. Hispanics will become the majority by 2030, and by 2050 about 52.7 percent of the population will be of Hispanic origin. While the population of some racial and ethnic groups will rise between 2012 and 2050, other groups including Caucasians, African Americans, American Indians are expected to decrease. During this time period, SANDAG projects the following changes to the populations of the different racial and ethnic groups in Oceanside between 2012 and 2050 (see Figure 1-4): American Indian: 23.6 percent decrease in population
»» Population ages 60 to 69 to experience a 31 percent increase.
Asian: 68.9 percent population increase
»» Population ages 70 to 79 to experience a 77 percent increase.
African American: 28.3 percent decrease in population
»» Population ages 80 and over to experience a 104 percent increase.
Caucasian: 29.5 percent decrease in population Pacific Islander: 0.5 percent decrease in population Other: 22.1 percent population increase
1.6.3 Estimated Racial and Ethnic Character
Two or More: 53.2 percent population increase
The majority of Oceanside’s population identifies as Caucasian (47. 2 percent), as seen in Figure 1-4.
Hispanic Origin (irrespective of race): 60.0 percent increase
Figure 1-3: Population Age Distribution: 2010 to 2050
30,000
Population
25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0
10 to 19 20 to 29 30 to 39 40 to 49 50 to 59 60 to 69 70 to 79 22,620 26,464 21,706 21,761 21,888 14,491 8,646
80+ 7,614
2020 27,113 2030 26,844
20,125 21,086
27,087 24,435
23,485 25,058
20,139 22,404
21,314 19,467
18,608 18,564
12,385 17,260
7,584 10,741
2040 26,027 2050 26,615
21,136
25,228
22,928
23,836
21,543
16,873
16,749
15,002
21,287
24,098
23,328
21,678
22,633
18,920
15,317
15,501
2012
0 to 10 24,129
Source: SANDAG Series 13 Regional Growth Forecast 10
CITY OF OCEANSIDE PARKS & RECREATION MASTER PLAN
