Q3 2023 Market Report

Page 1

Market Report Q3 | 2023


Market Report Q3 | 2023

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY As we race into the final months of 2023, I’m pleased to present our third-quarter market summary. As you dig into the report, I want to highlight some of the big-picture trends driving the local market. First, let’s talk about days on market. You will notice it is taking longer to sell a property compared to a year ago. This trend is consistent across all three counties for both single-family homes and condominiums. The second major trend is a wider gap between the original list price and the ultimate sales price of a home. The percentages vary depending on the area and property category, but as a whole, we are seeing a return to more historical averages. The third noteworthy trend is the year-over-year comparison of the average sold price. The average price of all properties sold remained remarkably consistent. However, when shifting our focus to active properties on the market, it is important for buyers and sellers to note a bigger dip in the median price of all active properties for sale this year compared to last year. One of the strongest data trends in the third-quarter activity is the number of properties that sold in Q3 2023 versus Q3 2022. Arguably, the third quarter of 2022 marked the beginning of a process we now can describe as a return to a more normalized market. The year-over-year comparison indicates a recovering market, where the lag in summer/fall activity last year is being replaced by a more confident buyer, even in the face of higher interest rates. Considering these data trends together, it is clear the market dynamics have shifted for buyers and sellers. Buyers now have a greater selection of inventory to explore and more room for negotiation. At the same time, sellers are still benefiting from strong overall demand and a backlog of eager buyers who finally have more options to choose from. As you look at these trends, it’s essential not to lose sight of the most important point. Every part of our local market is unique. Inventory and demand evolve dynamically in real time. If you want a deeper dive into how these trends impact your buying or selling decision, please take advantage of our experts to dig deeper into what they are seeing at a neighborhood level.


Contents Q3 | 2023 S I N G L E FA M I LY H O M E O V E R V I E W • Sarasota County • Manatee County • Charlotte County • Tri-County

CONDOMINIUM OVERVIEW • Sarasota County • Manatee County • Charlotte County • Tri-County

Manatee County

Sarasota County Charlotte County

MICHAELSAUNDERS.COM


Overview

Q3 | 2023 single family homes | sarasota county YTD 2022

YTD 2023

Percentage Change

Sold

6,350

6,023

-5.15

Avg. Sold Price

$690,111

$698,222

1.18

Sold/Orig LP Diff. %

97%

92%

-5.36

Avg. Days on Market

22.56

51.11

126.60

Median Active Price

$650,000

$610,000

-6.15

Quarterly

Q3 2022

Q3 2023

Percentage Change

Sold

1,826

1,906

4.4

Avg. Sold Price

$690,000

$709,000

2.75

Sold/Orig LP Diff. %

94%

92%

-2.13

Avg. Days on Market

26

56.33

116.67

Median Active Price

$598,000

$560,000

-6.35

YTD

Sarasota County

Ten-Year Market History $700,000

12,000

$600,000

10,222

10,000 9,348 8,000

4,000

Number of units sold

Number of Units Sold

6,000

7,927

8,428

6,622 6,043

7,846

7,926

7,943

6,068

6,128

6,266

$500,000

8,503 7,915 6,510

6,521

7,778 6,350

$400,000 6,023 $300,000

$330,000

$390,000

$395,000

$395,000

$399,000

$407,000

$440,000

$560,000

$600,000

$599,000

2,000

0

$200,000

$100,000

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

Median Active Price

2019 Sold | Full Year

2020

2021

Sold | Year-to-Date

* Source Trendgraphix

MICHAELSAUNDERS.COM

2022

2023*

$-


Overview

Q3 | 2023 single family homes | sarasota county Supply Demand Analysis Sold Listings Price Range

<2 Beds

3 Beds

4+Beds

Total

Active

Pending

Expired

Off Market

$100,000-$199,999

12

10

0

22

9

3

1

2

$200,000-$249,999

23

24

3

50

22

16

0

2

$250,000-$299,999

35

37

4

76

52

49

1

4

$300,000-$399,999

50

195

28

273

428

189

22

16

$400,000-$499,999

128

251

38

417

498

135

36

21

$500,000-$599,999

30

196

49

275

295

119

21

7

$600,000-$699,999

17

117

56

190

214

66

19

15

$700,000-$799,999

3

74

41

118

151

56

19

8

$800,000-$899,999

4

39

35

78

106

46

7

4

$900,000-$999,999

1

21

14

36

73

19

5

4

$1,000,000 & over

10

82

120

212

459

109

47

22

Total Units

313

1046

388

1747

2307

807

178

105

Days on Market | 07.01.2023 - 09.30.2023 1000

942

900

Number of Sold Listings

800 700 600 500 400

309

300

177

200

123

100

65

38

25

120-150

151-180

181-210

68

0 0-30

31-60

61-90

91-120

Number of Days on Market

* Source Stellar MLS

MICHAELSAUNDERS.COM

211 & Over


Overview

Q3 | 2023 condominiums | sarasota county YTD 2022

YTD 2023

Percentage Change

Sold

2,326

6,295

170.64

Avg. Sold Price

$642,889

$685,556

6.64

Sold/Orig LP Diff. %

98%

94%

-4.43

Avg Days on Market

26.44

49.89

88.66

Median Active Price

$750,000

$574,000

-23.47

Quarterly

Q3 2022

Q3 2023

Percentage Change

544

4,953

810.48

$616,667

$630,000

2.16

Sold/Orig LP Diff. %

95%

93%

-2.45

Avg. Days on Market

28.33

59.00

108.24

Median Active Price

$603,000

$515,000

-14.59

YTD

Sarasota County Sold Avg. Sold Price

Ten-Year Market History $800,000

4,500 4,000

$700,000

3,934

3,500

$600,000 3,014

Number of units sold

Number of Units Sold

3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000

2,461

2,619

2,451

2,725

2,604

2,751

2,653

1,572

$325,000

$365,000

1,548 $375,000

$500,000 $400,000

1,976

1,864 1,655

2,820

1,661

$379,000

1,584

$360,000

$375,000

1,838

1,576 $400,000

$599,000

$675,000

$585,000

$200,000 $100,000

500 0

$300,000

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

Median Active Price

2019 Sold | Full Year

2020

2021

Sold | Year-to-Date

* Source Trendgraphix

MICHAELSAUNDERS.COM

2022

2023*

$-


Overview

Q3 | 2023 condominiums | sarasota county Supply Demand Analysis Sold Listings Price Range

<2 Beds

3 Beds

4+Beds

Total

Active

Pending

Expired

Off Market

$100,000-$199,999

33

2

0

35

29

19

2

2

$200,000-$249,999

50

2

0

52

72

18

2

0

$250,000-$299,999

58

7

0

65

117

17

4

1

$300,000-$399,999

77

23

0

100

170

29

12

6

$400,000-$499,999

26

15

0

41

73

34

15

3

$500,000-$599,999

25

8

0

33

65

27

4

1

$600,000-$699,999

21

5

0

26

56

26

2

6

$700,000-$799,999

18

3

0

21

58

28

3

0

$800,000-$899,999

13

7

0

20

41

30

2

0

$900,000-$999,999

7

7

1

15

21

17

0

1

$1,000,000 & over

38

31

1

70

254

163

10

21

Total Units

366

110

2

478

956

408

56

41

Days on Market | 07.01.2023 - 09.30.2023 250 211

Number of Sold Listings

200

150 99

100

81

50

41 21

16

5

6

181-210

211 & Over

0 0-30

31-60

61-90

91-120

120-150

Number of Days on Market * Source Stellar MLS

MICHAELSAUNDERS.COM

151-180


Overview

Q3 | 2023 single family homes | manatee county YTD 2022

YTD 2023

Percentage Change

Sold

4,894

5,702

16.51

Avg. Sold Price

$685,889

$672,889

-1.90

Sold/Orig LP Diff. %

97%

93%

-4.34

Avg. Days on Market

21.22

62.11

192.67

Median Active Price

$663,000

$593,000

-10.56

Quarterly

Q3 2022

Q3 2023

Percentage Change

Sold

1,583

1,851

16.93

Avg. Sold Price

$656,333

$673,667

2.64

Sold/Orig LP Diff. %

94%

94%

-0.71

Avg. Days on Market

23.67

61.67

160.56

Median Active Price

$571,000

$585,000

2.45

YTD

Manatee County

Ten-Year Market History $700,000

9,000

7,516

6,163

$300,000

Number of Units Sold

5,803

6,464 6,083

7,000

6,783

6,625

6,096 5,726

5,000

4,764

3,743 3,323

3,618

3,660

3,932

4,178

3,934

6,000

4,000

3,771

3,000

$200,000 2,000 $100,000

$-

$349,000

$390,000

$409,000

$405,000

$415,000

$425,000

$430,000

$530,000

$591,000

$586,000 1,000

2014

2015

2016

2017 Median Active Price

2018

2019

Sold | Full Year

2020

2021

Sold | Year-to-Date

* Source Trendgraphix

MICHAELSAUNDERS.COM

2022

2023*

0

Number of units sold

$500,000

$400,000

8,000

7,893

$600,000


Overview

Q3 | 2023 single family homes | manatee county Supply Demand Analysis Sold Listings Price Range

<2 Beds

3 Beds

4+Beds

Total

Active

Pending

Expired

Off Market

$100,000-$199,999

11

2

0

14

4

5

1

0

$200,000-$249,999

11

4

2

17

4

6

0

1

$250,000-$299,999

7

21

3

31

22

16

0

1

$300,000-$399,999

35

215

85

335

230

165

4

9

$400,000-$499,999

34

204

213

451

507

243

15

15

$500,000-$599,999

30

103

112

245

263

118

9

16

$600,000-$699,999

18

96

117

231

154

70

9

11

$700,000-$799,999

7

41

66

113

135

42

9

10

$800,000-$899,999

2

23

37

62

90

32

5

6

$900,000-$999,999

2

20

16

38

72

19

2

4

$1,000,000 & over

6

73

88

167

450

86

33

11

Total Units

163

802

739

1,704

1931

802

87

84

Days on Market | 07.01.2023 - 09.30.2023 900

856

800

Number of Sold Listings

700 600 500 400 296

300

183

200

107

109

100

66

49

38

151-180

181-210

0

0-30

31-60

61-90

91-120

120-150

Number of Days on Market * Source Stellar MLS

MICHAELSAUNDERS.COM

211 & Over


Overview

Q3 | 2023 condominiums | manatee county YTD 2022

YTD 2023

Percentage Change

Sold

1,553

1,337

-13.91

Avg. Sold Price

YTD

Manatee County

$396,444

$461,111

16.31

Sold/Orig LP Diff. %

99%

94%

-5.05

Avg. Days on Market

18.67

51.00

173.21

Median Active Price

$435,000

$379,000

-12.87

Quarterly

Q3 2022

Q3 2023

Percentage Change

366

394

7.65

$412,000

$404,000

-1.94

Sold/Orig LP Diff. %

97%

92%

-5.15

Avg. Days on Market

24.00

60.67

152.78

Median Active Price

$392,000

$355,000

-9.44

Sold Avg. Sold Price

Ten-Year Market History

3000

$450,000 $400,000

2,587

2500

$350,000

2000

1500

1000

NumberofofUnits units sold Number Sold

2,217

1,611

995 $200,000

1,722

1,095

$240,000

1,820

1,146

$255,000

1,940 1,729

1,693

1,195

1,064 $250,000

$300,000

1,899

1,865

$249,000

$250,000 1,313

1,151

$250,000

1,339

1,110 $249,000

$200,000 $150,000

$300,000

$420,000

$379,000

$100,000

500 $50,000 0

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

Median Active Price

2019 Sold | Full Year

2020

2021

Sold | Year-to-Date

* Source Trendgraphix

MICHAELSAUNDERS.COM

2022

2023*

$-


Overview

Q3 | 2023 condominiums | manatee county Supply Demand Analysis Sold Listings Price Range

<2 Beds

3 Beds

4+Beds

Total

Active

Pending

Expired

Off Market

$100,000-$199,999

78

2

0

80

78

27

4

2

$200,000-$249,999

42

4

0

46

59

9

5

4

$250,000-$299,999

47

8

0

55

71

20

7

1

$300,000-$399,999

65

15

1

81

116

35

9

3

$400,000-$499,999

24

12

0

36

50

17

4

6

$500,000-$599,999

11

12

0

23

49

19

0

2

$600,000-$699,999

7

18

0

25

28

15

5

1

$700,000-$799,999

6

3

0

9

16

3

2

0

$800,000-$899,999

7

3

0

10

13

4

1

1

$900,000-$999,999

6

4

0

10

18

0

1

0

$1,000,000 & over

6

5

3

14

33

4

2

1

Total Units

258

74

4

336

531

153

40

21

Days on Market | 07.01.2023 - 09.30.2023 180 160

163

Number of Sold Listings

140 120 100

89

80 60

60 40

33

24

20

10

0 0-30

31-60

61-90

91-120

120-150

Number of Days on Market

* Source Stellar MLS

MICHAELSAUNDERS.COM

151-180

3

181-210

7

211 & Over


Overview

Q3 | 2023 single family homes | charlotte county YTD 2022

YTD 2023

Percentage Change

Sold

4,097

3,487

-14.89

Avg. Sold Price

$469,000

$446,778

-4.74

Sold/Orig LP Diff. %

97%

93%

-4.33

Avg. Days on Market

26.00

55.56

113.68

Median Active Price

$490,000

$450,000

-8.16

Quarterly

Q3 2022

Q3 2023

Percentage Change

Sold

1,176

1,196

1.70

Avg. Sold Price

$441,333

$439,000

-0.53

Sold/Orig LP Diff. %

95%

93%

-2.46

Avg. Days on Market

28

59.33

111.90

Median Active Price

$460,000

$440,000

-4.35

YTD

Charlotte County

Ten-Year Market History

$500,000

7,000

$450,000 6,000

6,005 $400,000 5,250 4,641 $300,000

$200,000

Number of Units Sold

$250,000

4,210

4,483

4,441

4,000 3,682 3,345 2,854

2,486

$150,000 $100,000

4,402

$230,000

5,000

4,782

4,673

$262,000

2,632 $285,000

2,757 $283,000

2,785

$285,000

2,820

$290,000

3,499 3,000

2,751 $299,000

$383,000

$464,000

449,000

2,000

1,000 $50,000 $-

2014

2015

2016

2017

Median Active Price

2018

2019

Sold | Full Year

2020

2021

Sold | Year-to-Date

* Source Trendgraphix

MICHAELSAUNDERS.COM

2022

2023*

0

Number of units sold

$350,000


Overview

Q3 | 2023 single family homes | charlotte county Supply Demand Analysis Sold Listings Price Range

<2 Beds

3 Beds

4+Beds

Total

Active

Pending

Expired

Off Market

$100,000-$199,999

36

18

2

56

21

13

2

2

$200,000-$249,999

45

36

1

82

57

28

2

4

$250,000-$299,999

60

72

10

142

149

60

11

5

$300,000-$399,999

46

267

84

397

576

243

43

34

$400,000-$499,999

11

153

44

208

516

127

31

15

$500,000-$599,999

2

93

16

111

229

35

17

15

$600,000-$699,999

2

40

8

49

151

23

11

3

$700,000-$799,999

7

20

6

32

107

19

7

8

$800,000-$899,999

0

19

4

23

76

9

6

6

$900,000-$999,999

0

9

3

12

49

3

1

2

$1,000,000 & over

2

27

12

41

149

19

13

6

Total Units

211

754

190

1,153

2,080

579

144

100

43

28

17

33

120-150

151-180

181-210

211 & Over

Days on Market | 07.01.2023 - 09.30.2023 600

561

Number of Sold Listings

500 400 300

246

200

138 87

100 0 0-30

31-60

61-90

91-120

Number of Days on Market

* Source Stellar MLS

MICHAELSAUNDERS.COM


Overview

Q3 | 2023 condominiums | charlotte county YTD 2022

YTD 2023

Percentage Change

796

546

-31.41

$350,444

$354,000

1.01

Sold/Orig LP Diff. %

99%

94%

-4.28

Avg. Days on Market

26.22

51.22

95.34

Median Active Price

$350,000

$325,000

-7.14

Quarterly

Q3 2022

Q3 2023

Percentage Change

188

176

-6.38

$368,667

$328,667

-10.85

Sold/Orig LP Diff. %

96%

94%

-2.43

Avg. Days on Market

32.00

61.33

91.67

Median Active Price

$335,000

$315,000

-5.97

YTD Sold Avg. Sold Price

Charlotte County

Sold Avg. Sold Price

Ten-Year Market History 1400

$400,000 1,246

1200

$300,000

600

Numberof of units sold Number Units Sold

1000

800

$350,000

901

935

940

973

930

920

873

857

598

588

554

539

$150,000

482 422

400

200

0

$200,000

674

657 575

$250,000

858

$100,000 $205,000

$223,000

$215,000

2014

2015

2016

$215,000

2017

$235,000

$240,000

$240,000

$295,000

2018

2019

2020

2021

Median Active Price

Sold | Full Year

MICHAELSAUNDERS.COM

$325,000

$50,000

Sold | Year-to-Date

* Source Trendgraphix

$349,000

2022

2023*

$0


Overview

Q3 | 2023 condominiums | charlotte county Supply Demand Analysis Sold Listings Price Range

<2 Beds

3 Beds

4+Beds

Total

Active

Pending

Expired

Off Market

$100,000-$199,999

56

0

0

56

66

24

7

3

$200,000-$249,999

24

0

0

24

60

7

6

1

$250,000-$299,999

17

3

0

20

36

5

3

1

$300,000-$399,999

26

6

0

34

83

10

5

3

$400,000-$499,999

7

9

0

16

55

3

4

3

$500,000-$599,999

2

4

0

6

26

4

2

1

$600,000-$699,999

4

1

0

5

16

0

2

3

$700,000-$799,999

2

2

0

4

14

1

1

0

$800,000-$899,999

0

0

0

0

4

0

0

0

$900,000-$999,999

0

1

0

1

2

0

0

0

$1,000,000 & over

3

3

0

6

15

3

2

1

Total Units

141

29

0

172

377

57

32

16

Days on Market | 07.01.2023 - 09.30.2023 90 81

80

Number of Sold Listings

70 60 50 40 30

25 20

20

17

15

10

5

3

3

181-210

211 & Over

0

0-30

31-60

61-90

91-120

120-150

Number of Days on Market * Source Stellar MLS

MICHAELSAUNDERS.COM

151-180


Overview

Q3 | 2023 single family homes | tri-county YTD 2022

YTD 2023

Percentage Change

Sold

15,641

15,197

-2.84

Avg. Sold Price

$630,889

$630,333

-0.09

Sold/Orig LP Diff. %

97%

93%

-4.56

Avg. Days on Market

23.00

56.22

144.44

Median Active Price

$600,000

$545,000

-9.17

Quarterly

Q3 2022

Q3 2023

Percentage Change

Sold

4,585

4,953

8.03

Avg. Sold Price

$614,667

$630,000

2.49

Sold/Orig LP Diff. %

95%

93%

-1.76

Avg. Days on Market

25.67

59.00

129.87

Median Active Price

$550,000

$515,000

-6.36

YTD

Manatee County

Sarasota County Charlotte County

Ten-Year Market History

$600,000

30,000

$500,000

25,000

24,120

$300,000

$200,000

19,232 17,940

18,331

18,505

18,848

19,801

15,000

14,840

11,792 10,454

$300,000

$350,000

11,011

$370,000

11,280

11,720

11,876

12,727 11,304

2014

2015

2016

11,904

10,000 $370,000

$375,000

$380,000

$390,000

$485,000

$100,000

$-

20,000

19,343

2017 Median Active Price

2018

2019 Sold | Full Year

2020 Sold | Year-to-Date

* Source Trendgraphix

MICHAELSAUNDERS.COM

2021

$552,000

$549,000

2022

2023*

5,000

0

Number of Units Sold

$400,000

Number of Units Sold

22,114


Overview

Q3 | 2023 condominiums | tri-county YTD 2022

YTD 2023

Percentage Change

Sold

4,675

3,718

-20.47

Avg. Sold Price

$511,222

$556,111

8.78

Sold/Orig LP Diff. %

98%

94%

-4.86

Avg. Days on Market

23.89

50.00

109.30

Median Active Price

$500,000

$428,000

-14.40

Quarterly

Q3 2022

Q3 2023

Percentage Change

Sold

1,098

1,063

-3.19

Avg. Sold Price

$507,333

$497,000

-2.04

Sold/Orig LP Diff. %

96%

92%

-4.17

Avg. Days on Market

27.67

58.67

112.05

Median Active Price

$454,000

$414,000

-8.81

YTD

Manatee County

Sarasota County Charlotte County

Ten-Year Market History $500,000

9,000

$450,000

8,000

7,767

$400,000

7,000

$250,000 $200,000 $150,000 $100,000

Number of Units Sold

$300,000

6,204 4,973

3,142

$250,000

5,276

5,211

3,348

$279,000

3,282

$290,000

5,190

3,279

$290,000

5,595

3,716

$290,000

5,391

6,000

5,639

5,302

5,000 4,000

3,963 3,274

$300,000

3,168

$310,000

2,998 3,000

$430,000

$465,000

$430,000

1,000

$50,000 $-

2,000

2014

2015 Median Active Price

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Sold | Full Year

* Source Trendgraphix

MICHAELSAUNDERS.COM

2021 Sold | Year-to-Date

2022

2023*

0

Number of units sold

$350,000


Nowhere but here.

888.552.5228

|

MICHAELSAUNDERS.COM


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