5 july

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Nagaland Post www.nagalandpost.com

Vol XXXI No. 209

DIMAPUR, MONDAY, JULY 5, 2021 Pages 8 ` 4.00

Face masks to become personal choice in UK

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international, Page 7

Euro 2020: England thrash Ukraine to enter SFs sports, Page 8

Cong, BJP spar over probe 3rd wave may hit its peak between Oct-Nov : Govt panel into `59,000-cr Rafale deal Thousands

India: Daily New Infections

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Infections

NEW DELHI, JUL 4 (AGENCIES/PTI): A possible third wave of Covid-19 may hit its peak in OctoberNovember this year if Covidappropriate behaviour is not followed, but it is likely to see half the number of daily cases that were recorded during the second surge, said a scientist of the government panel in charge of modelling Covid-19 cases. However, if a new virulent variant of SARS-CoV-2 emerges, the infection will spread faster during the third wave, said scientist Manindra Agrawal. He is part of the expert panel formed by the Department of Science and Technology last year to forecast the surge of coronavirus cases using mathematical models. Besides Agrawal, who is a professor at IITKanpur, the panel also has M Vidyasagar, another scientist with IIT-Hyderabad, and Lt. Gen M. Kanitkar, Dy. Chief (Medical) of Integrated Defence Staff, as members. The panel came up with the Sutra Model last year to mathematically project the trajectory of Covid-19 in India. They were criticised

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01-02-2021

23-03-2021

12-05-2021

01-07-2021

20-08-2021

09-10-2021

28-11-2021

Date Model Computed upto May

Actual

Optimistic Scenario

Intermediate Scenario

Pessimistic Scenario

Here plotsforfor scenarios. Blue curvedata. is actual data. Orange one isuntil model May. Here are are plots thethe threethree scenarios. Blue curve is actual Orange one is model prediction May. prediction Dotted curvesuntil are three Dotted curves are three scenarios plotted from June (Manindra Agrawal via twitter)

scenarios plotted from June. (@agrawalmanindra)

earlier this year for not having predicted the ferocity of the second wave of the pandemic. Third wave predictions: On their predictions for the third wave, Agrawal said that loss of immunity, effects of vaccination and the possibility of a more virulent variant have been factored in this time, which was not done while modelling the second surge. A detailed report will be published soon. In a series of tweets, Agrawal explained, “We have created three scenarios. One is optimistic, where we assume that life goes back to normal by August and there is no new mutant. Another

is intermediate wherein we assume that vaccination is 20 per cent less effective in addition to optimistic scenario assumptions. “The final one is pessimistic with assumptions different from the intermediate one: a new 25 per cent more infectious mutant spreads in August (it is not Delta plus, which is not more infectious than Delta variant).” He also shared a graph that showed that the second wave is likely to plateau by mid-August and a possible third wave could reach its peak between October and November. In the pessimistic scenario, the third wave could witness daily Covid

cases somewhere between 1,50,000 and 2,00,000 in India, Agrawal noted. Comparing with second wave figures: This figure is less than half of what was recorded during the second wave which hit its peak in the first half of May. Hospitals were overburdened and the fatality rate reached a devastating peak at the time. On May 7, India had recorded 4,14,188 Covid-19 cases; this is the highest figure registered during the second wave. In the case of a new mutant emerging, the third wave can spread rapidly but it will still be half of what the second wave was, Agrawal

State logs 68 fresh Covid cases; over 5L inoculated DIMAPUR, JUL 4 (NPN): Nagaland on Sunday reported 68 fresh Covid-19 positive cases, pushing the total caseload to 25,519. The death toll remained unchanged at 499, with nil Covid19 deaths in the past 24 hours. Of the fresh cases, 22 were reported from Mokokchung, Kohima-20, Dimapur-18, four in Kiphire, two in Mon and one each in Longleng and Phek. As on Sunday, the active cases in the state stood at 1234 while a total of 23077 patients have recovered from the infection till date. Meanwhile, a total of 5,36,257 persons have been inoculated against Covid-19 till date.

According to the Health department 4,68,202 have been administered the first dose which include-- 15,823 health care workers (HCWs); 60,202 frontline workers (FLWs); 1,56,086 under 45 years and above category and 2,36,091 of the 18-44 years age group. The second dose have been administered to 68,055 persons-10,641 HCWs; 29,376 FLWs; 28,014 under 45 years and above category and 24 under 18-44 years age group. PTI adds: India saw a single-day rise of 43,071 COVID-19 infections, which took the tally of cases to 3,05,45,433, while active cases have declined to 4,85,350, according to Union health minis-

try data updated on Sunday. The death toll has climbed to 4,02,005 with 955 more fatalities, while the case fatality rate has risen to 1.32 per cent from 1.31 per cent, the data updated at 8 am showed. The active cases have further declined to 4,85,350 and comprise 1.59 per cent of the total infections, while the national COVID-19 recovery rate has improved to 97.09 per cent, the ministry said. It said active cases have declined by 10,183 in a span of 24 hours. Meanwhile, cumulative vaccine doses administered so far has reached 35.12 crore under nationwide Covid vaccination drive.

said. “Delta variant is infecting people who contracted a different variant earlier. So this has been taken into consideration,” he pointed out. As vaccination progresses, the possibility of a third or fourth wave reduce, he said. In the optimistic scenario described by Agrawal, daily cases could be in the range of 50,000 to 1,00,000. In the intermediate scenario, the cases will be more than what is predicted for the optimistic scenario, the scientist said. UK example: Another panel member, M Vidyasagar, predicted that hospitalisation could be less during the third wave. He gave the example of UK where in January over 60,000 cases were reported with daily deaths reaching 1,200. However, during the fourth wave, daily cases dropped to 21,000 and just 14 deaths per day. “Vaccination played a major role in bringing down the cases that needed hospitalisation in the UK. This has been factored in while coming out with the three scenarios,” Vidyasagar was quoted by PTI. Delayed analysis: Finally, Agrawal also ex-

Moderna vaccine arriving in India in 2-3 days: Report NEW DELHI, JUL 4 (AGENCIES): Moderna’s COVID-19 vaccine is reportedly expected to reach India in the next two to three days. Earlier this week, DCGI had granted permission to Mumbai-based pharmaceutical company Cipla to import Moderna’s COVID-19 vaccine for restricted emergency use in the country. This makes the vaccine the fourth shot available in India. The vaccine uses mRNA technology like Pfizer’s shot and has been found to be over 90% effective in offering protection against COVID-19. The vaccine involves mRNA carrying the genetic information for SARS-CoV-2’s spike protein, which the virus uses to invade host cells. After vaccination, this protein is translated into the viral spike protein, which triggers an immune response.

plained the reasons why the panel’s analysis for the third wave had been delayed. “It took us a while to do the analysis for three reasons. First, loss of immunity in the recovered population. Second, vaccination induced immunity. Each of these two need to be estimated for the future. “And third, how to incorporate these two factors in the Sutra model. Fortunately, it turned out that both can be incorporated by suitably changing contact rate and reach parameters... The first two factors required detailed analysis,” he tweeted. Contact rate is how fast the infection spreads and reach parameter is described as the percentage of the population the pandemic is active in. Agrawal said that his team went through studies done in the past on loss of immunity while making these projections. “Similarly, we also looked at the projected vaccination rate over the next few months, including the effects of vaccine-hesitancy, and arrived at month-wise estimates for vaccination,” he said.

NEW DELHI, JUL 4 (AGENCIES): After the French gover nment appointed a judge to probe the alleged kickback on the Rafale jet deal with India, the Congress Sunday lashed out at the BJP-led NDA government’s silence over the French investigation into the Rs. 59,000-crore Rafale jet deal. According to a report in the NDTV, Congress said that according to documents available, huge amounts of money were paid to middlemen in the deal, indicating that it was a vindication of its corruption allegations against Prime Minister Narendra Modi and his government. The Congress on Saturday demanded a joint parliamentary committee (JPC) probe into the Rafale deal after France initiated a judicial probe into the same on June 14. Congress spokesperson Pawan Khera said at a press conference in the national capital that the Rafale deal was an intergovernmental one between India and France and one of the two countries had initi-

ated a probe while the other was yet to even comment. “Now it is getting clearer that in the Rafale deal we have bought an item that costs Rs. 570 crore at Rs.1,670 crore,” he said. Suggesting that the deal was now rapidly heading towards being an “open and shut” case, Khera alleged that anti-corruption clauses from the deal were removed. The BJP hit back and termed the Congress’s attacks “lies”. “The way Rahul Gandhi is behaving, it will not be an exaggeration to say that he is being used as a pawn by competing companies. He has been lying right from the beginning on the issue. Probably, he is acting as an agent or some member of Gandhi family has been for a competing company,” BJP spokesperson Sambit Patra had said. He cited a report by the Comptroller and Auditor General and a Supreme Court verdict, both of which had found nothing wrong in the defence deal between India and France, to reject allegations of the Congress.

Petrol price crosses Rs.100 in 8 districts DIMAPUR, JUL 4 (NPN): Petrol price on Sunday crossed Rs. 100 a litre mark in two more districts-- Longleng and Mokokchung— after state-owned oil marketing companies (OMCs) increased prices of petrol and diesel by 35 paise per litre and 18 paise a litre respectively. With the latest hike, p e t r o l p r i c e h a s n ow breached Rs.100 mark in eight districts of Nagaland—Tuensang, Kiphire, Noklak, Mon, Zunheboto, Phek, Longleng and Mokokchung—in Nagaland. The hike on Sunday is

District

Petrol price per litre

Diesel price per litre

Tsg

Rs.101.23

Rs.94.24

Kiphire

Rs.101.14

Rs.94.21

Noklak

Rs.100.99

Rs.94.15

Mon

Rs.100.79

Rs.93.88

Phek

Rs.100.54

Rs.93.60

Zbto

Rs.100.53

Rs.93.56

Llng

Rs.100.30

Rs.93.50

Mkg

Rs.100.26

Rs.93.36

Wokha

Rs.99.70

Rs.92.84

Kohima

Rs.99.06

Rs.92.24

Peren

Rs.98.44

Rs.91.78

Dimapur

Rs.98.11

Rs.91.48

the 34th increase in price of petrol and 33rd in case of diesel since May 4 this year. In 34 hikes, the price of petrol has risen by Rs 9.11 per litre while diesel rates have soared by Rs 8.63 a litre in 33 hikes. Fuel prices differ from state to state depending on the incidence of local taxes such as value-added tax (VAT) and freight charges. Oil companies revise rates of petrol and diesel daily based on the average price of benchmark fuel in the international market in the preceding 15 days, and foreign exchange rates.

Unvaxed people are ‘variant factories’: expert Around 200 farmers to protest outside 45 dead after Philippines Parliament daily during monsoon session military plane crashes

WASHINGTON, JUL 4 (AGENCIES): People who have not been vaccinated against COVID-19 not only risk their own health but are “variant factories,” an infectious disease expert told CNN. “Unvaccinated people are potential variant factories,” Dr. William Schaffner, a professor in the Division of Infectious Diseases at Vanderbilt University Medical Center, told CNN. “The more unvaccinated people there are, the more opportunities for the virus to multiply,” he added. Variants evolve in the body

This is it!

“I think this whole business of SIT is spoiling us. Just look at our bellies.” K Y M C

of a person who is infected with the coronavirus. “When it does, it mutates, and it could throw off a variant mutation that is even more serious down the road,” Schaffner said. There are already several variants of the coronavirus, including four called “variants of concern” by the World Health Organization. The Delta variant which further mutated to form the Delta plus, characterised by B.1.617.2 variant acquiring another mutation, K417N has been classified as a “variant of concern” in India. “As mutations come up

in viruses, the ones that persist are the ones that make it easier for the virus to spread in the population,” Andrew Pekosz, a microbiologist and immunologist at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, told CNN.”Every time the viruses changes, that gives the virus a different platform to add more mutations. Now we have viruses that spread more efficiently.” M e a n w h i l e, W H O warned that in the coming months the Delta variant of COVID-19 will become the dominant variant of the coronavirus globally

NEW DELHI, JUL 4 (PTI): A group of around 200 farmers will protest against the Centre’s three farm laws in front of Parliament every day during the monsoon session, the Samyukt Kisan Morcha (SKM) announced on Sunday. The umbrella body of over 40 farmer unions said that two days before the session begins, a “chetavani patra” (warning letter) will be given to all the opposition MPs to protest the laws inside the House. “We will also ask the

opposition MPs on July 17 to raise the issue every day inside the House while we will sit outside in protest. We will tell them to not to benefit the Centre by walking out of a session. Don’t let the session run till the government addresses the issue,” farmer leader Balbir Singh Rajewal said. Parliament’s monsoon session is set to begin on July 19. “We will continuously protesting outside Parliament till they hear our demands,” Rajewal said. He added that five people from

each farmer union would be taken to join the protest. The SKM also called for a nationwide protest on July 8 against the rising prices of petrol, diesel and LPG cylinders. It asked people to come out and park their vehicles along state and national highways from 10 am till 12 pm. “Whatever vehicle you have, tractor, trolley, car, scooter, just bring it to the nearest state or national The burning wreck of the aircraft that crashed on Sunday. (CNN) highway and park it there. “Per eyewitnesses, a But don’t create a traffic MANILA, JUL 4 (AGENCIES): A Philippine military number of soldiers were seen jam,” Rajewal said. transport crashed as it was at- jumping out of the aircraft tempting to land in the south before it hit the ground sparof the country on Sunday, ing them from the explosion killing at least 42 military caused by the crash,” accordpersonnel and three civilians ing to a press release by Joint were witnessing a U-turn in on the ground, the Defense Task Force Sulu. “We remain to be hopetheir initial claim of wanting Ministry announced. The C-130 aircraft was ful that we could find more peace and political solution by resorting to anti-people ferrying soldiers when it survivors,” said JTFS comactivities, the committee crashed during the landing mander William Gonzales as warned that it would be at around 11:30 a.m. local another five soldiers remain forced to respond if its in- time, on the island of Jolo. unaccounted for. It was not immediatetegrity and commitment to Another 49 servicemen were peace and solution was tak- injured, along with four oth- ly clear what caused the er civilians on the ground. crash. Regional military en as a sign of weakness. Most of the passen- commander Lt Gen Corleto Since Niki had time and again declared to Naga gers had recently graduated Vinluan said it was unlikely tribal leaders that he had no from basic military training that the aircraft took hostile political agenda or demand and were being deployed to fire, and cited witnesses as but would support an hon- the restive island as part of saying that it appeared to ourable and acceptable po- a joint task force fighting have overshot the runway litical solution, WC wanted terrorism in the Muslim- then crashed on the periphery of the airport. t o k n ow (Cont’d on p-6) majority region.

WC, NNPGs ask Niki Sumi to stop ‘anti-Naga activity’ DIMAPUR, JUL 4 (NPN): Cautioning Niki Sumi-led group to stop “anti-Naga activity”, Working Committee (WC) of NNPGs further warned that its patience was being tested to the hilt by the disturbing “unrestrained aggressive behaviour of Niki Sumi’s gang in and around Dimapur town.” In a statement, WC said that the reconciliation among Naga groups, the ceasefire and three years of political negotiations with the government of India (GoI) was being threatened

by a group of men who surrendered to Indian Army in two batches– Niki Sumi and two unarmed men on December 20, 2020 and Starson Lamkang and 52 others on December 25, 2020. It recalled that this was announced by none other than Gen MM Naravane, the Indian Army Chief, on December 26, 2020. According to the WC, the Indian Army Chief and his commanders in the Northeast have stood by their word to date. Although Niki’s group

had denied their “sell-out”, WC pointed out that their activities spoke volumes of its desire “to repay new masters as per the undisclosed terms of surrender, for which a safe passage from Myanmar to Nagaland was the first step”. It added that Gen. Naravane had triumphantly declared that the surrender was a successful episode of “military diplomacy”. Mentioning that what transpired before and after the Indian Army’s helicopter ride from Ponkhuri, Pochury

region to Guwahati, and later to Indian Army’s Delhi cantonment was slowly emerging, WC alleged that Niki and his band were being sheltered and funded almost like a regular army with cash and rations. WC mentioned that their added assignment included “luring and recruiting habitual defectors, desperados, street criminals and traitors to instil hatred, indignation and frustration in the mind of the Naga tribes against WC.” Noting that Naga tribes

K Y M C


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