Silver Digest September/October 2019

Page 36

Money …

THE REAL COSTS OF DERISKING WHEN YOU RETIRE

T

he sad truth in South

assets (cash and bonds); but these

have generally produced a real

Africa is that many people

assets will not provide them with

return of around 5% per year.

face a high risk of running

sufficient inflation-beating returns

For investors who haven’t saved

throughout their retirement.

enough for retirement, these

out of money in retirement. However, what most people don’t realise is that, ironically, what is increasing their risk of running

Over the past 40 years,

potentially higher returns, plus

bonds and cash have

the extra years spent in growth

historically delivered real returns of 2.9% and 2.0%

assets, can both play a crucial role in extending the longevity of their retirement income. This is

out of money

respectively per

particularly important these days

in retirement

year. Meanwhile,

given people’s longer life spans,

is their fear of

equities have

where you can easily spend 30-

losing money,

outperformed

plus years in retirement.

which is driving

inflation by

them to invest more conservatively when they reach retirement. Here we examine the true costs of

7.2% per year over the same period. Combining these assets in a typical ‘balanced’ portfolio of

To illustrate this point, Graph 1 shows the length of time your money would last if you de-risked your investment from a typical balanced portfolio earning a real 5% p.a. to a cash portfolio earning

investing conservatively after you

around 25% in fixed income and

a real 2% p.a. when you retire at

retire.

75% in equities and property

age 60, compared to remaining

The premise of this strategy is to de-risk your portfolio at (or even before) retirement, in order to avoid any big losses. Investors choose less volatile fixed-income assets (such as cash and bonds) as they move into retirement in order to minimise volatility or their risk of capital loss over the short term. One of the major drawbacks of this approach is that it limits your investment’s growth potential exactly at the time when your retirement capital is typically at its highest-ever value. By design, at retirement clients are choosing what they believe are low-risk 36

SILVER DIGEST //SPRING 2019


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