Outlook
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اوﺗﻠﻮك اوﺗﻠﻮك Cyber War waged on the Lebanese Government Mohamad Al Medawar Special-to-Outlook
اوﺗﻠﻮك
In the age of nanotechnology and internet, with uprisings and revolutions causing turmoil throughout the Arab region, the long-lasting struggle for democracy and rights has relocated to the World Wide Web. On Monday April 16 and Tuesday April 17, a group of anonymous activists, who call themselves Raise Your Voice or RYV, seem to have taken lead in Lebanon, waging a vicious cyber war on the careworn government websites, hacking over 16 of them. The hacked websites displayed a message demanding government reformation and guarantee of much needed rights, and promised further escalation if no action was taken by the government to solve the country’s countless deficiencies. The message read: “To our dear beloved Lebanese Government, We are RYV, short for Raise Your Voice, and we are simply a Continued on page 5
Risk Intelligence presentation at OSB Camelia Harb Member-at-Large Overconfidence, over-optimism, and overreactions; only a few of the many signs of what Dr. Dylan Evans ranks under symptoms of risk stupidity. Unfortunately, too many individuals fall into such traps that they very well could have avoided while making decisions. However, with the release of his new book, Risk Intelligence: How to live with uncertainty, Evans hopes to reveal the steps to attaining the rewarding skills of risk intelligence. Coming from a psychology background and with an interest in the topic of risk taking, Evans combined the science of probability and psychology to create a simple doctrine of uncertainty. Presenting the main logic behind his book on April 20 in OSB’s Maamari Auditorium, Evans got the chance to reach out to a diverse audience of business and psychology students, professors,
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AUB Professor Presents Theory of Risk Intelligence
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Metel Ma Chelta: Earth Day Clean-up
and professionals. Risk intelligence is the basic ability to estimate probabilities accurately, or, in other words, to put a number on uncertainty. What was stressed however, was that this uncertainty value was to be placed on every sort of event possible. True that some decisions and plans are more important than others, but, as Evans pointed out jokingly to an audience members, even the probability of having dinner at night deserved a value of uncertainty. To Evans, it is vital to understand the opportunity costs and extra risks that go into fulfilling various goals and to “make predictions about everyday life” in order to learn from the outcomes of those predictions. Evans described several instances where risk Continued on page 5
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