Kingdom of Thailand Bond Market Development
50 30
$ 6 Bil
20
15
P/N
P/N
P/N
ILB
10
50% ILB
20%
30%
Sustainability
7
5
$ 3 Bil
SB
3 SB
GOVT Debt Folio
9 yr ATM
O u t s t a n d i n g
S i z e
OCTOBER 2012
EBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PD DF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT B OND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OF FICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BE NCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKETDEVELOPM ENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATIO N-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DI SCIPLINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBI LC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OF FICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BE NCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOP MENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLAT ION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PU BILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONE ER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINET COMMMITM ENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMEN T OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATIO N BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVE LOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION IN FLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FI SCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMEN TS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND P IONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMM ITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGE MENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDI CATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATIO N INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BON D FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVE MENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BO ND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND ACHIEVEMENTS PUBIL C DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OF FICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BE
This booklet is produced and printed in-house by Bond Market Development Bureau Public Debt Management Office Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand This booklet can be downloaded at www.pdmo.go.th
e-book
Domestic Bond Market Development A. Evolution of Bond Market Development (1995 – Present) • 1997 Asian Financial Crisis The Rude Awakening • Thai Bond Market Has Grown Strongly and Rapidly for More than a Decade • Innovation of Government’s Debt Securities • Equilibrium of Thai Bond Market
2
B. Building up of Benchmark Bond (FY2007 - FY2012) • PDMO Revised the Strategies of Benchmark Bond Issuance in 3 Ways • Keep Our Word to Get Investors Confidence for the Plan Firm Committed Supply of Benchmark Bond Regardless of Budget Uncertainty • Key Success Indicators of Benchmark Bond Liquidity • Market’s Favorite Benchmark Bond
6
C. Bond Supply FY2013 + Funding Needs FY2013 - FY2015 • FY 2013 Total Funding Needs (by Bills) 1,028,219 THB mil. • FY 2013 Total Fund Raising (by Instruments) 1,095,219 THB mil. • FY 2013 Benchmark Bond (3-5-7-10-15-20-30-50 tenors) 525,000 THB mil. • FY 2013’Q1 Government Bond Auction Schedule 150,500 THB mil. • Fund Raising Strategies Building Benchmark Bond to Stabilize Yield Curve Segmenting Investors Base to Diversify Dependency Risk •Next Phase of Inflation Linked Bond Creating Liquidity & Extending Yield Curve
12
D. Well-Developed Bond Market Improved Government Debt Profile Dramatically • Full Capacity of Government Funding Instruments (FY 2013) 1,150,000 THB Mil (equiv. 40,000 USD Bil) • Systematic Benchmark Bond Issuance Lengthened ATM by 3 ½ years Lowered cost by 30 basis points Enhanced fixed-float Ratio Reduced bunching risk
19
FY 2012 HIGHLIGHTS FIDF Decree passed : reduced fiscal burden by 70,000 MB a year (though Public Debt remains unchanged) PDDF activated : restructuring of FIDF’s 340,122 MB saved over 7,000 MB a year & enhanced overall FIDF portfolio profile CGIF activated : to enable investment-grade ASEAN+3 issuers to access foreign currency bond markets
Founding 13 MOF-outright PD : upgrading PD duties & privileges to actively play role as market makers Electronic Retail Savings Bond : to promote savings society & to diversify Government funding instruments
23
ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LI NKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIP LINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC D EBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PD DF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT B OND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OF FICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BE NCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKETDEVELOPM ENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATIO N-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DI SCIPLINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBI LC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OF FICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BE NCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOP MENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLAT ION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PU BILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONE ER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINET COMMMITM ENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMEN T OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATIO N BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVE LOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION IN FLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FI SCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMEN TS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND P IONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMM ITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGE MENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDI CATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATIO N INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BON D FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVE MENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BO ND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND ACHIEVEMENTS PUBIL C DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OF 01 FICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BE
A. Evolution of Bond Market Development (1995 – Present) Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
• 1997 Asian Financial Crisis The Rude Awakening • Thai Bond Market Has Grown Strongly and Rapidly for More than a Decade • Innovation of Government’s Debt Securities • Equilibrium of Thai Bond Market
FY 2013 Domestic Bond Market Development
• To Enhance Liquidity • To Broaden Investor Base • To Strengthen Fiscal Sustainability
Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
50-year Benchmark Bond March 2th 2011
12-year and 18-year Fixed-rate Promissory Note December 22nd 2010
30-year
Q1
Benchmark Bond April 23nd 2008
10-year Inflation Linked Bond
Q2
July 11th 2011
5-year Step-up Savings Bond
6-year Step-up Savings Bond
H2
June 7th 2010
th
July 15 2009
4-year Floating Rate Bond 3-year Electronic Retail Savings Bond
July 27th 2009
September 12th 2011
FY 2008
2009
2010
2011-12
FY 2013
02
1997 Asian Financial Crisis
The Rude Awakening Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
% Share of GDP
140% 128%
120%
Balanced
100%
90% 80%
84% 71%
60%
8.2 THB Trillion 31 August 2012
40% 24% Asian Fin. Crisis
20%
12%
Bank Loan /GDP
Equity/GDP
Bond Market Cap. = 8.2 THB Trillion ($280 Bil.)
2012 (Jun)
0% Bond Market / GDP
GOVT Bond = 3.1 THB Trillion ($100 Bil.)
Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
% Share of GDP
Domestic Bond Market Classified by Issuer
140%
128% 120% 100%
Baht Bond
1%
Corp. Bond
19%
SOE Bond
7%
90%
80%
84%
71%
60%
$280 Bil.
40%
(Aug 2012)
24%
Asian Fin. Crisis
20%
Bank Loan /GDP
Equity/GDP
2012 (Jun)
12%
0%
Bond Market / GDP
Maturity Profile
BOT Bond 2.9 THB Trillion
35%
BOT vs GOVT Bond BOT ATM = 1yr GOVT ATM = 7yrs 6mths
GOVT Bond
14% 22%
62% BOT < 1y
3
33% 2-3y
17% 5% 3-5y
($100 bil)
MOF 26%
21%
6-10y
11-50y
3.1 THB Trillion
38%
Bond Market Developed Rapidlyand andEfficiently Efficiently The The ThaiThai Bond Market hasHas Developed Rapidly Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
Post Crisis – 2000 :
10
2007 – 2010 :
Volume Oriented
Bond Market Capitalisation tripled Government Bonds Outstanding grew by 50 times Government Bond Market Share jumped from 3% in 1997 to 44% in 2000
8
Next Step 2011-13:
Development Oriented
100%
(Market Deepening Oriented)
Regular Benchmark Issuance New Product Development Regular Market Dialogue with BoT and PDs
50-yr Bond, ILB, Electronic Retail Bond Upgrade PD Privileges Regional Linkage (CGIF) Amortised Bond Bond Switching & Bond Consolidation
80%
71% % of GDP
60%
THB Trillion
6
Pre-Crisis - Illiquid Bond Market - Absence of Benchmark Bond - Dominated by SoE’s Bonds
4
40%
20%
0
0%
2012 (Aug)
2
FY2007 – FY2013
Innovation of GOV’T Debt Securities
FY 2007-10
Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
30-yr Benchmark Bond
• Lengthen average-time-to-maturity of Total Government Debt Portfolio 5yrs 7mths to 7yrs 6mths • Meet Long-term investors’ demand
Floating Rate Bond
• Increase floating debt ratio of Total Government Debt Portfolio 10% to 18%* • Promote BIBOR (Bangkok Interbank Offered Rate)
Step-up Savings Bond
• Broaden investor base – Retail investors • Low interest burden at the initial periods of bond
FY 2012-2013
FY 2011
From 2007 - 2012
Fixed Rate Promissory Note
• Broaden investor base – Insurance / Long-term investors • Non-Benchmark tenors
50-yr Benchmark Bond
• Combat low interest rate + Lengthen average time-to-maturity • 4th country in the world (1st : UK 2nd : France 3rd : China)
10-yr Inflation-Linked Bond (ILB)
• Strong anti-inflationary signal • Deepen the Development of the Bond market • 1st country in Emerging Asian Economies
Electronic Retail Savings Bond
• Lower Minimum Amount to Purchase / Offer throughout the year • Develop the retail bond into an electronic form Scripless System • Can be purchased via ATM, in addition of Bank Retail Branches
Amortised Bond
• Suitable financing instrument for the government’s investment mega-project in the form of PPP • Pay back the bond principal by installments Promote the government’s fiscal discipline
Bond Switching & Consolidation
Upgrade PD Privileges
• Allow both issuer and investors to improve their portfolio • Larger outstanding size + Less bond series more liquidity in the secondary market
PDDF Activated
(Public Debt Restructuring and Domestic Bond Market Development Fund)
15-yr ILB
Baht Bond
CGIF Activated
(Credit Guarantee and Investment Facility)
4
Equilibrium of Thai Bond Market Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
Issuers
• 81 percent of Thailand’s debt securities were issued by Government, Central bank and State-owned Enterprises
Credit Rating
• 98 percent of Thailand’s debt securities are classified as Investment Grade
Investors
• Thailand’s government debt securities are held by a wide group of investor types
Thailand Bond Market (Classified by Issuers)
Thailand Bond Market (Classified by Credit Rating) BBBNon-rated
Baht Bond 1%
CB 10%
7%
4%
Private Sector
NR 10%
AAA
SOEs
Government
7%
38% Central Bank
35% Source : ThaiBMA (31 August 2012)
5
1% 2%
A AA
19%
State Agencies Debt Securities (Classified by Types of Investors)
4%
Government
SOEs
38%
7
%
Central Bank
35% Source : ThaiBMA (31 August 2012)
Household and Non-profit
Insurance and Other Corporation
32%
9% Depository Corporation
39% Source : CB (30 June 2012)
B. Building up of Benchmark Bond (FY2007 - FY2012) Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
• PDMO Revised the Strategies of Benchmark Bond Issuance in 3 Ways • Keep Our Word to Get Investors Confidence for the Plan
Firm Committed
Supply of Benchmark Bond Regardless of Budget Uncertainty • Key Success Indicators of Benchmark Bond Liquidity • Market’s Favorite Benchmark Bond
6
2550 ต inต3 ways ด (FY2007-FY2013) PDMO Revised the Strategy of Benchmark Bond Issuance ,
Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
I. Reduce Auction Frequency
II. Increase Auction Size
from
Once a Week to Every Other Month
(to Create Even Distribution of the Benchmark Bond Supply over the Year)
Tenors: 3-5-7-10 yrs
Unit : THB Mil
4,000 FY 07
6,0008,000
8,00010,000
10,00012,000
12,00015,000
15,00020,000
500 -700 Mil.USD
FY 08
III. Increase Outstanding Size
FY 09
FY 10
FY 11
FY 12
150,000200,000
Unit : THB Mil
FY 07
7
50,00080,000 FY 08
FY 13
Tenors: 3-5-7-10 yrs
(by Re-opening)
40,000
15,00020,000
80,000100,000
100,000120,000
100,000120,000
120,000150,000
5-7 Bil.USD
FY 09
FY 10
FY 11
FY 12
FY 13
Keep Our Word to get Investor Confidence for the Plan
Firm Committed Supply of Benchmark Bond Regardless of Budget uncertainty Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
THB Mil.
+40% Plan
FY2009
Actual
+2%
Higher government funding needs due to Stimulus Package
+170%
approx.+250,000 THB Mil.
Total Funding needs increased from:
+86%
+33%
420,000 THB Mil. to 670,000 THB Mil. Benchmark Bond
Savings Bond
T-Bill (Outstanding)
THB Mil.
FY2010
Plan
0
Treasury Balance = 417,166 THB Mil.
Benchmark Bond
Non Benchmark Bond
Keep Our Word to get Investor Confidence for the Plan
-45% 154,000
170,000
100,000
+8%
-51% 82,233
(-20%)
+118% 131,000
800,000 THB Mil to 640,000 THB Mil
200,000
60,000
Total Funding needs decreased from:
Actual
281,000
310,000
300,000
Lower Borrowing needs due to Economic Recovery
309,826
0%
approx. -160,000 THB Mil.
Others
321,171
400,000
Non Benchmark Bond
261,171
59%)
(+
Treasury Balance = 278,694 THB Mil.
Savings Bond
T-Bill (Outstanding)
Others
Firm Committed Supply of Benchmark Bond Regardless of Budget uncertainty Bond Market Development Bureau, Public Debt Management Office
Treasury Balance = 510,180 THB Mil.
400,000
Treasury Balance = N/A
Actual
149,110
177,770
34,600
45,000
190,514 40,000
9,000
1,075
54,014
Fixed P/N
-16%
Bank Loan (Outstanding)
200,000
Benchmark Bond
Non Benchmark Bond
Savings Bond
T-Bill (Outstanding)
ILB
Float P/N
Fixed P/N
-92% 30,030
88,249
+96% 45,000
125,122
-13% 52,180
+116%
120,231
-4%
-63% 60,000
0
-44%
30,000
100,000
1,140,000 THB Mil to 750,000 THB Mil
(-34%)
Float P/N
-23%
345,751
330,000
300,000
64,659
Total Funding needs decreased from:
ILB
Plan
199,110
THB Mil.
T-Bill (Outstanding)
THB Mil.
110,850
approx. -390,000
Savings Bond
-72%
+344%
+5%
FY2012 Lower-than-expected Disbursement
Non Benchmark Bond
-38% 125,691
204,000 Benchmark Bond
Actual
400,000
0
-26%
37,359
(- 36%)
100,000
-
Total Funding needs decreased from: 700,000 THB Mil to 450,000 THB Mil
200,000
100,000
THB Mil.
95,000
approx. -250,000
300,000
Plan
-3%
70,000
Higher than expected Revenue collection
349,500
FY2011
THB Mil.
339,900
400,000
Bank Loan (Outstanding)
8
FY2008-FY2012 FY2008-FY2012 Key Success Indicators Key Success Indicators
1. Trading Volume 2. Turnover Ratio 1. Ratio 3. Trading DemandVolume Concentration 2. 4. Turnover Auction Price Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand 3. DemandPublic Concentration 4. Auction Price
5-yr Benchmark Tenor : Highest Secondary Trading Volume in everyBenchmark year (accounted 25% ofSecondary total trading volume) 5-yr Tenor for : Highest Trading Volume in
every%year (accounted Unit: share of Marketfor 25% of total trading volume) Trading Volume Unit: % share of Market Trading Volume
9 9
7% 7FY07 %
27% 27% 20% 20%
28% 28%
20% 20% 18% 18%
5-yr
5-yr
5-yr
5-yr
5-yr FY08
5-yr FY09
5-yr FY10
5-yr FY11
5-yr
5-yr FY12 (Aug) FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 Top 10 Gov’t Bond Series – Accounted for 90% of all Gov’t (Aug)
Bond trading in Secondary Trading Volume Top 10 Gov’t Bond Series – Accounted for 90% of all Gov’t Bond%trading in Secondary Unit: share of Market Trading Volume Trading Volume Unit: % share of Market 90% Trading Volume
75% 75%
77% 76% 77% 76%
80% 80%
84% 84%
5 yr Benchmark Bond : Higher Turnover Ratio
LB133A LB133A
1.5 1.5
LB133A LB133ALB145B LB145B
3.1 3.1 2.4 2.4
LB155A LB155A
4.2 4.2
LB176A LB176A
LB15DA LB15DA
2.8 2.8
4.0 4.0
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 (Aug) FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 Well developed Benchmark Bond pays off : Even with greater size (Aug) of issuance, the cost of funding is still at market rate Well developed Benchmark Bond pays off : Even with greater size of issuance, Unit: Billion the USDcost of funding is still at market rate +0.9 bps Unit: Billion USD
90%
+1.4 bps
+1.4 bps
+1.2 bps
12.8 12.8
14.7 14.7
+3.2 bps
+3.2 bps
+0.9 bps 16.5
16.5
13.7 13.7
+1.2 bps
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12 (Aug) FY12
(Aug)
9
Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
5 yr Benchmark Bond : Higher Turnover Ratio
7.5 7.5
-0.4 bps
FY08
FY09
-0.4 bps FY10
FY11
FY12 F
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12 F
FY2012 Total GOVT Bond = 46 Series
TOP 5
(2,2511,XXX THB Mil)
> 100,000 THB Mil in Size (70% of Trading Volume)
Next 10 > 50,000 THB Mil in Size
(20% of Trading Volume)
Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
Top 5 (>100,000)
FY-to-date Market Share of Trading Volume in Secondary Market (Oct 11-Sept 12)
3 150000
TOP 5
Next 10
3
70% 0
ILB
10%
20% 50
100
5 100000
FY 2012 on-the-run Benchmark Bond
10
7 %
30
%
50
FY2012 Market’s Favorites Classified by Turnover Ratio
LB383A
LB396A
LB145A
LB406A
LB183A
LB13OA
LB244A
LB12NA
LB157A
LB27DA LB27DA
LB143A
LB19DA
LB171A
LB214A
LB316A
LB616A LB616A
LB175A
LB25DA
LB236A
LB191A
LB14DA
LB267A
LB24DA
LB296A
7
LB233A
4
LB137A
16
LB167A
9
LB416A LB416A
7
LB198A
5
LB283A
LB213A
6
LB16NA
LB193A LB193A
10
LB183B
1
LB17OA
7
LB133A
10 5
ILB217A ILB217A
2
LB196A
3
LB176A LB176A
LB145B
3
LB21DA LB21DA
LB155A LB155A
TTM (Year)
LB15DA LB15DA
0
LB165A LB165A
20 FRB 4
15
LB326A LB326A
50000
LB22NA
Outstanding size (THB Mil.)
(50,000-100,000)
10
Next 10 Bottom 30
All 3-5-7-10 on-the-run Benchmark Bond Has Turnover Ratio between 2.5 – 4.0 (while market turnover ratio = 1) Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
Turnover Ratio
FY-to-date Market Share of Trading Volume in Secondary Market (Oct 11-Sept 12)
4 4.0
4.00
4.00
150000
150,000
Outstanding ≥ 100,000 MB Current Outstanding 50,000-100,000 MB Current Outstanding ≤ 50,000 MB FY 2012 on-the-run Benchmark Bond
3.1
3
100000 2.6 2.6
100,000
3.00
3.00
2.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
2.5
2
LB21DA
LB155A
LB15DA
LB176A
5
10
3
3
7
LB133A LB27DA LB145B LB17OA ILB217A LB165A LB137A LB326A LB145A LB196A LB12NA LB616A LB236A LB416A LB25DA LB183B
0
0
LB176A LB21DA LB155A LB193A LB15DA LB193A
1
15
10 4
20
LB16NA LB143A LB213A LB296A LB24DA LB233A LB14DA LB316A LB283A LB157A LB167A LB191A LB175A LB244A LB171A LB13OA LB267A LB198A LB183A LB19DA LB406A LB214A LB22NA LB383A LB396A
50000
50,000
50 10 30
Turnover Ratio 0.2 – 1.0
Nearly No Trading
10
ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LI NKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIP LINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC D EBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PD DF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT B OND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OF FICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BE NCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKETDEVELOPM ENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATIO N-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DI SCIPLINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBI LC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OF FICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BE NCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOP MENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLAT ION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PU BILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONE ER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINET COMMMITM ENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMEN T OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATIO N BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVE LOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION IN FLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FI SCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMEN TS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND P IONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMM ITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGE MENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDI CATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATIO N INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BON D FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVE MENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BO ND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND ACHIEVEMENTS PUBIL C DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OF 11 FICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BE
C. Bond Supply FY2013 + Funding Needs FY2013 - FY2015 Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
• FY 2013 Total Funding Needs (by Bills)
1,013,546 THB mil.
• FY 2013 Total Fund Raising (by Instruments)
1,090,076 THB mil.
• FY 2013 Benchmark Bond (3-5-7-10-15-20-30-50 tenors)
525,000 THB mil.
• FY 2013’Q1 Government Bond Auction Schedule
150,500 THB mil.
• Fund Raising Strategies Building Benchmark Bond to Stabilize Yield Curve Segmenting Investors Base to Diversify Dependency Risk
•Next Phase of Inflation Linked Bond
Creating Liquidity & Extending Yield Curve
12
FY2013 Total Funding Needs (By Bills)
1,013,546 THB Mil.
• • • • •
Deficit Deficit Restructuring FIDF Restructuring Water Insurance
300,000 157,503 166,543 340,000 49,500
Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand THB Mil.
1,000,000
Deficit Deficit Restructuring FIDF Restructuring TKK TKK Restructuring Water Management Decree Insurance Decree
49,500
TENTATIVE
340,000
750,000 500 10,000
500,000
260,000
340,122
166,543 129,124
58,940 139,171 250,000
25,000
113,014
199,239
52,000
219,222 344,084
232,575
20,838 75,171
157,503
300,000
200,666
200,000 100,000
-
(250,000) Annual Funding Needs (THB Mil.)
FY2010
FY2011
FY2012
FY2013F
FY2014F
FY2015F
656,746
424,620
694,706
1,013,546
528,363
415,234
FY2013 Total Fund Raising Plan
(By Bills)
1,090,076 THB Mil.
• • • • • • •
Deficit Deficit Restructuring FIDF Restructuring Water Insurance Pre-Mature FIDF Pre-Mature TKK
300,000 157,503 166,543 340,000 49,500 57,000 19,530
Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand THB Mil.
1,000,000
750,000
500,000
Deficit Deficit Restructuring FIDF Restructuring TKK TKK Restructuring Water Management Decree Insurance Decree Pre-Mature TKK Restructuring Pre-Mature FIDF Conversion T-Bill Conversion (Bill to Bond)
260,000
49,500
TENTATIVE
340,000 500 10,000
340,122
166,543 129,124
58,940 139,171 250,000
25,000
113,014
199,239
52,000
219,222 344,084
232,575
20,838 75,171
157,503
300,000
200,666
200,000 100,000
-
28,309
18,000 5,782
117,600
128,272
FY2010 656,746
FY2011 424,620
FY2012 694,706
863,230
570,529
846,760
124,254
57,000 19,530
82,230 (250,000) Annual Funding Needs (THB Mil.) Annual Fund Raising (THB Mil.)
13
FY2013F
1,013,546 1,090,076
FY2014F
528,363
FY2015F 415,234
528,363
415,234
FY 2013 Total Fund Raising Plan
1,090,076 THB Mil.
(by Instruments and Bills)
Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
Insurance Decree
49,500 Savings Bond ILB
Water Decree 340,000
Bank Loan 6 mth – 4 yr (Now – June 2013)
Non-Benchmark
(Mini-Tender) P/N Global Bond NEW
457,503
ILB 15 yr SB Float P/N Fixed P/N
Deficit
40,000 6,000 31,503 40,000
300,000 Benchmark Bond (5 - 7 - 15 - 20 - 30 - 50 yr)
340,000
Restructuring 157,503
223,543
Float P/N
FIDF
166,543
Benchmark Bond (3 & 10 yr) 185,000
57,000
Pre-Mature FIDF Pre-Mature TKK
19,530
By Bills
3,543
Other
44,530
ILB 10 yr
10,000
By Instruments To Reach 100,000 THB Mil. in Outstanding Amount by the End of FY2013
ALL FY2013 Benchmark Bond Series (3 – 5 – 7 – 10 – 15 - 20 – 30 - 50 yr + 10 yr ILB)
Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
200,000
3
5
7 FY 2013 Indicative Benchmark Bond
TENTATIVE
Plan-to-issue Amount in FY2013 80,000 ILB 10
40000 41,205 LB616A
40,000
50
53,436
50,000 35,000 LB326A
50,000
20
35,000
LB236A
LB21DA
44,000
111,110 90,872 ILB217A
-
15
LB27DA
10,000 99,994 LB196A
50,000
100,000
(3.3 bil.USD)
30 85,000
100,000
100,000
LB416A
90,000
10
LB176A
Outstanding size (THB Mil.)
150,000
90,000
Outstanding Amount as of the beginning of FY2013
14
15
25,000 3.65% 17-Dec-21
13,500 3.625% 16-Jun-23
13,500
LB236A
18,000 3.58% 17-Dec-27
9,000
9,000
LB27DA
10,000 3.775% 25-Jun-32
10,000
LB326A
7,500
LB416A
15,500 3.80% 14-Jun-41
10,000 1.20% 14-Jul-21
13,000
12,000
LB21DA
30,500 3.25% 16-Jun-17
13,000 3.875% 13-Jun-19
10,000
ILB217A
8,000
13,000
LB196A
19,000
11,500
LB176A
Government Bond Auction Schedule for Q1/FY2013
Website http://www.pdmo.go.th/
8. LB416A = พันธบั ตรรัฐบาลเพื่อการบริห ารหนี้ ในปี งบประมาณ พ.ศ. 2556 ครัง้ ที่ 1 / พันธบั ตรรัฐบาล ในปี งบประมาณ พ.ศ. 2556 ครัง้ ที่ 5 (Re-open พันธบั ตรรัฐบาล ในปี งบประมาณ พ.ศ. 2554 ครัง้ ที่ 2)
7. LB326A = พันธบั ตรรัฐบาล ในปี งบประมาณ พ.ศ. 2556 ครัง้ ที่ 4 (Re-open พันธบั ตรรัฐบาลเพื่อการปรับ โครงสร้างหนี้ (พ.ร.ก. ให้ อานาจกระทรวงการคลังกูเ้ งินฯ พ.ศ. 2552) ในปี งบประมาณ พ.ศ. 2555 ครัง้ ที่ 1)
6. LB27DA = พันธบั ตรรัฐบาล ในปี งบประมาณ พ.ศ. 2556 ครัง้ ที่ 1 (Re-open พันธบั ตรรัฐบาล ในปี งบประมาณ พ.ศ. 2555 ครัง้ ที่ 3)
ในปี งบประมาณ พ.ศ. 2553 ครัง้ ที่ 1)
5. LB236A = พันธบั ตรรัฐบาลเพื่อการปรับ โครงสร้างหนี้ (พ.ร.ก. ช่วยเหลือกองทุ นเพื่อการฟื้นฟูฯ ระยะที่สอง ) ในปี งบประมาณ พ.ศ. 2556 ครัง้ ที่ 2 (Re-open พันธบั ตรรัฐบาลเพื่อการปรับ โครงสร้างหนี้ (พ.ร.ก. ช่วยเหลือกองทุ นเพื่อการฟื้นฟูฯ ระยะที่สอง )
4. LB21DA = พันธบั ตรรัฐบาล ในปี งบประมาณ พ.ศ. 2556 ครัง้ ที่ 3 (Re-open พันธบั ตรรัฐบาล ในปี งบประมาณ พ.ศ. 2554 ครัง้ ที่ 4)
3. ILB217A = พันธบั ตรรัฐบาลประเภทอัตราดอกเบี้ยแปรผันตามการเปลี่ยนแปลงของเงินเฟ้อ ในปี งบประมาณ พ .ศ. 2556 ครัง้ ที่ 1 (Re-open พันธบั ตรรัฐบาลประเภทอัตราดอกเบี้ยแปรผันตามการเปลี่ยนแปลงของเงินเฟ้อ ในปี งบประมาณ พ .ศ. 2554)
2. LB196A = พันธบั ตรรัฐบาลเพื่อการบริห ารหนี้ ในปี งบประมาณ พ.ศ. 2556 ครัง้ ที่ 2 (Re-open พันธบั ตรรัฐบาล ในปี งบประมาณ พ.ศ. 2552 ครัง้ ที่ 13)
ในปี งบประมาณ พ.ศ. 2555 ครัง้ ที่ 2)
หมายเหตุ : 1. LB176A = พันธบั ตรรัฐบาลเพื่อการปรับ โครงสร้างหนี้ (พ.ร.ก. ช่วยเหลือกองทุ นเพื่อการฟื้นฟูฯ ระยะที่สอง ) ในปี งบประมาณ พ.ศ. 2556 ครัง้ ที่ 1 (Re-open พันธบั ตรรัฐบาลเพื่อการปรับ โครงสร้างหนี้ (พ.ร.ก. ช่วยเหลือกองทุ นเพื่อการฟื้นฟูฯ ระยะที่สอง )
03-Oct-12 10-Oct-12 17-Oct-12 24-Oct-12 31-Oct-12 07-Nov-12 14-Nov-12 21-Nov-12 28-Nov-12 05-Dec-12 12-Dec-12 19-Dec-12 26-Dec-12 Total Coupon Maturity Date
Auction date
Exclusivity MoF Outright PD Only
15,000 4.85% 17-Jun-61
7,000
8,000
LB616A
11,500 17,000 22,000 21,000 23,000 7,000 22,000 27,000 150,500
Total
Unit: THB Mil.
TTM (Yrs.)
Symbol T-BILL1M T-BILL3M T-BILL6M T-BILL1Y LB13OA LB143A LB145B LB145A LB14DA LB155A LB157A LB15DA LB167A LB16NA LB171A LB175A LB176A LB17OA LB183A LB183B LB191A LB193A LB196A LB198A LB19DA LB213A LB214A LB21DA LB22NA LB233A LB236A LB244A LB24DA LB25DA LB267A LB27DA LB283A LB296A LB316A LB326A LB383A LB396A LB406A LB416A LB616A
Avg. Bidding Yield (%) 2.923841 3.024104 3.046427 3.037068 3.113636 3.147273 3.153636 3.158182 3.173636 3.171364 3.194545 3.182727 3.250909 3.270000 3.304545 3.311818 3.288182 3.332727 3.404545 3.408182 3.467273 3.453636 3.481818 3.511818 3.523636 3.544545 3.555455 3.509091 3.592727 3.631818 3.612727 3.698182 3.719091 3.777273 3.797273 3.812727 3.882727 3.926364 3.982727 4.020909 4.077273 4.110909 4.144545 4.196364 4.302727
Avg. Bid-Offer Spread (bp)
Change Yield (bp) 2 1 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -2 -1 -1 -1 -1 -2 -3 -3 -2 -2 -2 -3 -1 -1 -2 0 -1 -2 -2 -2 -1 -1 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1
4 3 3 3 5 6 3 4 5 2 5 3 5 6 5 5 2 4 6 6 6 3 5 6 6 6 6 3 7 6 4 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 10 10
Maturity
17/10/2013 05/03/2014 12/05/2014 14/05/2014 03/12/2014 22/05/2015 07/07/2015 11/12/2015 27/07/2016 18/11/2016 18/01/2017 26/05/2017 16/06/2017 10/10/2017 07/03/2018 13/03/2018 12/01/2019 08/03/2019 13/06/2019 13/08/2019 03/12/2019 31/03/2021 09/04/2021 17/12/2021 08/11/2022 13/03/2023 16/06/2023 09/04/2024 20/12/2024 12/12/2025 07/07/2026 17/12/2027 13/03/2028 22/06/2029 20/06/2031 25/06/2032 13/03/2038 13/06/2039 22/06/2040 14/06/2041 17/06/2061
TTM (yrs.) 0.076712 0.249315 0.498630 1.000000 1.043836 1.424658 1.610959 1.616438 2.172603 2.638356 2.764384 3.194520 3.821918 4.134246 4.301370 4.652055 4.709589 5.027397 5.432877 5.449315 6.284932 6.435616 6.701370 6.868493 7.175343 8.501369 8.526028 9.216438 10.109590 10.452050 10.712330 11.528770 12.227400 13.205480 13.772600 15.219180 15.457530 16.734250 18.728770 19.745200 25.463010 26.715070 27.742470 28.720550 48.742470
0.08 0.25 0.50 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48
Yield (%) 2.92 3.02 3.05 3.04 3.17 3.19 3.26 3.33 3.45 3.52 3.54 3.52 3.58 3.64 3.71 3.77 3.80 3.81 3.90 3.93 3.96 3.99 4.02 4.03 4.04 4.05 4.06 4.07 4.09 4.12 4.16 4.20 4.20 4.21 4.21 4.22 4.22 4.23 4.24 4.24 4.25 4.25 4.26 4.26 4.27 4.27 4.28 4.28 4.29 4.29 4.30
FY2013 Indicative Benchmark Bond
Remark 1) The above yields are based upon average bids quoted by primary dealers . 2) Average bidding yields of 1-month, 3-month, 6-month and 1-year T-bills are bond equivalent yield converted from average simple yields. 3) Spreads (bp) are differences bid and offer yields. 4) The cut-off time for daily quotation of T-bills and Government bonds is 16:00. 5) The highlighted rows are on-the-run benchmark bond.
16
• Building Benchmark Bond to Stabilized Yield Curve • Diversifying Investor Base to Reduce Dependency Risk
Fund Raising Plan Strategies
Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
Well Diversified Investors Ensures Funding Needs
FY 2013 Full Capacity* : 1,150,000 THB Mil Full Capacity* of All Government Funding Instruments
1,150,000 THB Mil.
Potential Demand for Gov’t Bond 2013
* Under favorable market liquidity + using All funding instruments
THB Bil.
Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
LB 3 yr
150,000 THB Mil.
LB 5 yr
120,000 THB Mil.
LB 7 yr
80,000 THB Mil.
LB 10 yr
80,000 THB Mil.
LB 15 yr
60,000 THB Mil.
LB 20 yr
60,000 THB Mil.
LB 30 yr
30,000 THB Mil.
LB 50 yr
20,000 THB Mil.
Benchmark Bond 7
LB 5/10 ILB
NR 10%
30
SB
15
10
Benchmark Bond
~600,000 THB Mil. (52%)
Savings Bond
~100,000 THB Mil. (9%)
Promissory Note
~100,000 THB Mil. (9%)
Household and Non-profit
Fixed Rate Promissory Note ~50,000 THB Mil. (4%)
5 3
Inflation-Linked Bond
~50,000 THB Mil. (4%)
Floating Rate Bond
~50,000 THB Mil. (4%)
Bank Loan
Total
~200,000 THB Mi (18%)
Equiv. 34,000 THB Mil Soft Loans JBIC ADB IBRD Other
Bank loan FRB / LB
- Life Insurance - Pension Funds
450
Depository Corporations
450
- Retail - Non-profit org.
200
Non-Residence
?
Source : CB (30 June 2012)
Equiv. 47,000 THB Mil (1.4% of Gov’t Debt) Equiv. 13,000 THB Mil
9% 39%
1,150,000 THB Mil. (100%)
Outstanding of Foreign Debt
Commercial Papers Samurai bond 5 yr 20,000 Yen Mil Samurai bond 7 yr 10,000 Yen Mil MTN 40 USD Mil
32% Depository Corporation
* Under favorable market liquidity + using All funding instruments
62,500 Yen Mil 200 USD Mil 63 USD Mil 19 USD Mil (as of Jun 2012)
17
Insurance and Other Corporation
50
20
P/N LB
CB 10%
• To diversify portfolio of government debt • To keep the presence of KOT Bond (Kingdom of Thailand) in the foreign market • To maintain KOT Bond as a reference benchmark yield for Thai private sector issuers
• To avoid crowding out effect on domestic bond market Concerns : exchange rate risk / swap cost / natural hedging
Structure of Thai Inflation Linked Bond (Inaugural ILB, July 2011) Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
Format Currency Tenor
Capital Indexed Bond (with Principle Protection) Thai Baht 10 years
Programme Size Interest Payment
40,000 THB Mil. (1.3 bil USD equiv.) Every 6 months
Index Indexation Lag Index Ratio
Headline CPI 3 months CPIt /CPI0 (TBMA’s calculation)
Real Yield Repayment Method
1.2 Bullet
PD’s responsibility
Local Institutions
15,000 MB
20,000 MB
5,000 MB
Subscription : approx. 1.6 times
Next Step Continuing Issuance
Allocations Foreign Institutions
Local Retail
Enhance ILB liquidity
FY 2012 : Develop regular annual auction plan (every quarter) FY 2012 : Top-up the existing tenor to enhance liquidity : 60,000 THB Mil. (2 USD Bil equiv.) (15,000 THB Mil. each in Feb Apr Jun and Aug) FY 2013 : Issue other Benchmark tenors (5-15years ILBs)
FY 2012 : Maintain portion of successful bid in ILB primary market FY 2013 : Maintain portion of ILB trading in secondary market FY 2013 : Provide firm bid / ask spreads in secondary market
8 International AWARDS
+
2 Domestic AWARDS
Best Sovereign Bond 2011 Best Thailand Deal 2011 Best Local Currency Bond 2011 Best Thailand Deal 2011 Thailand Capital Markets Deal of the Year 2011 Deal of the Year from Asia Outstanding Issuer of the Year The Most Impressive Local Currency 2011 Deal of the Year 2011 Most Creative Issue 2011
Enhance Liquidity
: Asiamoney Awards : Asiamoney Awards : FinanceAsia Achievement Awards : FinanceAsia Achievement Awards : IFRAsia Asia Awards : Euro Money : Asset Asian Awards 2011 : Euroweek Asia : ThaiBMA : ThaiBMA
Next Phase of Inflation Linked Bond in FY2013
• Enhance Liquidity of 10-yr • Extending Yield Curve to 15-yr • PDS’ Responsibilities As Market Marker
Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
Keep Our Promise
10-yr ILB (ILB217A)
• Continue to re-open ILB217A in Q1/FY’13 to build up outstanding size of 100,000 THB Mil.
Extending Yield Curve
New 15-yr ILB
• Build Up ILB new tenor to around 40,000 THB Mil. (Syndication & Auctions)
Fund Raising Instrument for Water Decree • Option A : Issue new tenor of ILB • Option B : Re-open the existing tenor
PDS’ RESPONSIBILITIES
By June 2013 • New 5-yr ILB (Q3/FY’13) • Top-up Existing Tenor
Up To 60,000 THB Mil.
• Participate in the Primary Market • Provide Bid – Offer Price 18
D. Well-Developed Bond Market Improved Government Debt Profile Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
• Public Debt Outstanding (as of Dec 2011) = 4.8 THB Trillion (42% of GDP) • Total GOV’T Debt (Direct + FIDF) • Average-Time-to-Maturity (ATM) • Average Cost • Fixed : Float
= 3.46 THB Trillion (71% of Public Debt) = 7yrs 6mths = 4.4% = 86 : 14
• Well-Developed Bond Market Improved GOV’T Direct Debt Profile Dramatically • Average-Time-to-Maturity (ATM) = 8yrs 9mths • Average Cost = 4.2% • Fixed : Float Ratio = 87 : 13 • Maturity Distribution Profile = 50-20-30
• Full Capacity of All Government Funding Instruments (FY2013) 1,150,000 THB Mil
• Maturity Profile of GOV’T Funding Instruments (Strategic Framework) • Average-Time-to-Maturity (ATM) • Fixed : Float • Maturity Distribution Profile
19
= 9yrs = 70 : 30 = 50-30-20
Public Debt Outstanding (as of Jun 2012) = 4.8 THB Trillion (42% of GDP) Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
Components of Public Debt
Units : THB Mil.
1. Government Debt (excluded FIDF)
2,259,073**
2. Government Debt (for FIDF)
1,247,276**
3. Non-Financial State Enterprise Debt
1,028,750
4. Special Financial Institutions Guaranteed Debt 5. Autonomous Agency Debt (VP and EFPO)
Public Debt Outstanding (as of Jun 2012) *Including 47,275 THB Mil. of External Debt **Including 113,800 THB Mil. of Prefunding
Special Financial Institution Guaranteed Debt
5
% 0.25 THB Trillion
Autonomous Agency Debt (VP and EFPO)
1
% 0.01 THB Trillion
246,437 10,000
4,791,536 Non-Financial State Enterprise Debt
21%
GOV’T Debt
1.03 THB Trillion
GOV’T Debt
47% 2.26 THB Trillion
(for FIDF)
26% 1.25** THB Trillion
020
As of June 2012 Average-Time-to-Maturity (ATM) = 7yrs 6mths Average Cost = 4.4% Fixed : Float = 86 : 14 As of Jun 2012
Total GOV’T Debt = 3.46* THB Trillion (71% of Public Debt) * Excluded 47,275 THB Mil. of Foreign Debt
Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand Assumptions : 6 months BIBOR = 3.23%, 6 months Fixed Deposit Rate = 2.55%
FIDF 1
ATM = 5yrs 4mths Avg. Cost = 4.8% Fixed : Float = 81 : 19
FIDF 3
300,000
46,000
GOV’T Debt (for FIDF) = 1.25* THB Trillion
45%
14,000
69,000
next 5 yrs
year 6 - 10
10yrs +
35,000
32,000
40,000
86,800 37,900
75,000
71,003
5% 25,000
-
39,836
64,124 65,000
58,440
98,320
100,000
16,731
162,099
211,023
200,000
Maturity Profile
50%
TTM Fiscal Year
**Including 113,800 THB Mil. of Prefunding
Budget Deficit
On-lending Loan
Insurance Decree
4,747
20%
15,700
year 6 - 10
10yrs + 28,205
27,800
20,000
47,436
5,500
5,000
6,500
23,000
next 5 yrs
41,900
88,950
50,000
47,000
43,000
-
Maturity Profile
0000 30%
18,900 32,500
96,110
77,180
86,632
145,994
GOV’T Debt (exclude FIDF) = 2.21*** THB Trillion 76,700
10,000
86,630 93,830
157,000
ATM = 8yrs 9mths Avg. Cost = 4.2% Fixed : Float = 87 : 13
50% 16,000
219,222
78,170 90,000
100,000
201,770
232,003 30,360
200,000
8,000
58
300,000
TKK
TTM Fiscal Year
***Excluded 47,275 THB Mil. of Foreign Debt
(1) (2) (3) (4)
Well-Developed Bond Market Improved GOV’T Direct Debt (1.87 THB Mil.) Profile Dramatically
ATM Lengthened Cost Lowered Well-Balanced Fixed-Float Ratio Well-Distributed Maturity Profile
Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
As of Dec 2007
As of Jun 2012 ATM
Average-Time-to-Maturity LENGTHENED by 3 ½ yrs
8yrs 9mths ATM
5yrs 3mths
Avg. cost
Avg. Cost LOWERED by 30 bps
4.5%
.
Avg. cost
(While ATM Lengthened by 3 ½ yrs)
4.2% Float
Well-Balanced Fixed/Float Ratio (Target : Fixed/Float ratio = 80 : 20)
10%
Float
Fixed
Fixed
90%
87%
Maturity Profile as of Dec 2009
Well-Distributed Maturity Profile
61%
Target Reached : Maturing Debt in the next 5 yrs is less than 50% of Total Debt
Maturity Profile as of Jun 2012
50% 24%
next 5 yrs
21
13%
year 6 - 10
20%
15% 10yrs +
next 5 yrs
year 6 - 10
30% 10yrs +
Full Capacity* of All Government Funding Instruments
1,150,000 THB Mil. ($40 Bil.)
* Under favorable market liquidity + using All funding instruments
Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
LB 3 yr
150,000 THB Mil. ($5 bil.)
LB 5 yr
120,000 THB Mil. ($4 bil.)
LB 7 yr
80,000 THB Mil.
($3 bil.)
LB 10 yr
80,000 THB Mil.
($3 bil.)
LB 15 yr
60,000 THB Mil.
($2 bil.)
LB 20 yr
60,000 THB Mil.
($2 bil.)
LB 30 yr
30,000 THB Mil.
($1 bil.)
LB 50 yr
20,000 THB Mil.
($0.8 bil.)
Benchmark Bond 7
50
30 20
Funding Instruments
15
10
5 3
($20 bil.)
Benchmark Bond
~600,000 THB Mil. (52%)
($3 bil.)
Savings Bond
~100,000 THB Mil. (9%)
($3 bil.)
Promissory Note
~100,000 THB Mil. (9%)
($1.5 bil.)
Fixed Rate Promissory Note ~50,000 THB Mil. (4%)
($1.5 bil.)
Inflation-Linked Bond
~50,000 THB Mil. (4%)
($1.2 bil.)
Floating Rate Bond
~50,000 THB Mil. (4%)
($7 bil.)
Bank Loan
($40 bil.)
Total
FY2012 Maturity Profile of GOV’T Funding Instruments (Strategic Framework)
~200,000 THB Mi (18%)
1,150,000 THB Mil. (100%)
(A) ATM = 9 yrs (B) Fixed : Float = 70 : 30 (C) Maturity Distribution Profile 50 - 30 - 20 Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
50% (≤ 5 yrs)
Benchmark Bond
580,000 THB Mil 150,000
ATM Cost (Avg. past 3 yrs) Fixed : Float
350,000 THB Mil
10yrs 8mths +5 bps 100 : 0
20% (≥ 11 yrs) 220,000 THB Mil
15 15
20 20
20,000
30,000
50,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
60,000
120,000
30% (6-10 yrs)
80,000
150,000
-
55
6
7
10 11 10
30 30
25
150,000
Fixed P/N 50,000
90,000
Bank Loan
10 11
ATM Cost (Avg. past 3 yrs) Fixed : Float 5,000
50,000
6
25,000
25,000
25,000
5
5,000
Savings Bond
25,000
100,000
FRB
15
20
25
7yrs 2mths + 80 bps 65 : 35
30
40
10 11
15
20
25
Not-to-Collide with Benchmark Tenors
30
30,000
10,000
6
10,000
50,000
5
25,000
25,000
1
25,000
-
ILB
50,000 25,000
50,000
1
50,000 10,000
100,000
100,000
90,000
50,000
50,000
Alternative Instruments
P/N
50,000
150,000
50,000 10,000
100,000
50 50
40
30,000
3
1
40
50
22
ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LI NKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIP LINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC D EBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PD DF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT B OND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OF FICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BE NCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKETDEVELOPM ENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATIO N-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DI SCIPLINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBI LC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OF FICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BE NCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOP Y 2012 HIGHLIGHTS MENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLAT ION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIFfiscal DEDICATION BOND FISCAL FIDF Decree passed : reduced burden byBENCHMARK 70,000 MB a year (though DISCIPLINEPublic COMMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PU Debt remains unchanged) BILC DEBT MANAGEMENT INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PDDF activated OFFICE : restructuring of FIDF’s 340,122 MB saved over 7,000 PIONE MB ER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINET COMMMITM a year & enhanced overall FIDF portfolio profile ENT BONDMARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTSASEAN+3 PUBILC issuers DEBT MANAGEMEN CGIF activated : to enable investment-grade to access T OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATIO foreign currency bond markets N BENCHMARK BOND13FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT MARKET Founding MOF-outright PD : upgrading PD dutiesBOND & privileges to DEVE LOPMENT actively ACHIEVEMENTS DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION IN play role asPUBILC market makers FLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF DEDICATION BOND FI Electronic Retail Savings BondCGIF : to promote savingsBENCHMARK society & to diversify SCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT Gov’t funding instruments BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMEN TS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND P IONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMM ITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGE MENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDI CATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATIO N INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BON D FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVE MENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BO ND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND ACHIEVEMENTS PUBIL C DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BENCHMARK BOND FISCAL DISCIPLINE COMMMITMENT BOND MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS PUBILC DEBT MANAGEMENT OF 23 FICE INNOVATION INFLATION-LINKED-BOND PIONEER PDDF CGIF DEDICATION BE
F
FIDF Decree Passed PDDF Activated
Special Financial Institutions Guaranteed Debt 195,230 MB
Non-Financial State Enterprise Debt 1,033,898MB
Other State Agencies , 8,820MB
GOV'T Debt 2,215,727MB
GOVT Debt (for FIDF) 1,133,973MB
1,500,000
1,000,000
FIDF1 = 500,000MB
FIDF1 = 463,275MB FIDF2 = 112,000MB
-
500,000
393,535 MB FIDF3 = 693,327MB
FIDF3 = 669,857MB
13,789 MB 263,178MB
-
FIDF principle debt at initial period (FY'1997,2002)
FIDF principle debt outstanding at end of FY'2012
cummulative interest payment at end of FY'2012
24
Interest Payment Reduced ~70,000 THB Mil. a Year
FIDF Decree Passed
(Although Public Debt Unchanged, Fiscal Room Freed up by 5%) Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
300,000
THB Mil.
% Share of Total Budget Expenditures
15%
Interest Payment for FIDF Debt
Interest Payment for GOV’T Debt Principle Repayment for GOV’T Debt
12%
% Share of Allocated Principle & Interest to Budget Expenditures
11% 200,000
10%
9% 8% 7% 5% 4%
-
68,424
66,540
68,907
66,485
69,679
69,217
66,917
57,719
58,233
42,955
46,537
35,870
39,125
5%
50,000
100,000
FIDF Interest Payment
0%
2013F
What Can We Do with 70,000 THB Mil. A Year?
Option 1 : To Strengthen Economic Growth Option 2 : To Strengthen Fiscal Discipline Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
% Share of Total Budget Expenditures
41%
Option 1 : Increase Investment Budget
25% 19% 13% % Shares of Investment Budget to Budget Expenditures
% Share of Total Budget Expenditures
Increase Principle Repayment Budget 25
3%
3%
3%
2.3%
2.6%
0.06%
1%
UNPAID
Option 2 :
PAID
5%
5% % Share of Allocated Principle Repayment to Budget Expenditures (Paid Debt) 10%
% Share of Unallocated Principle Repayment to Budget Expenditures (Rollovered Debt)
8%
7%
PDDF Activated
Restructuring FIDF 340,122 THB Mil. * Saved Over 7000 MIL THB a Year ( 340,122THB Mil. = 30% of 1,142,101 THB Mil. Total FIDF Debt Outstanding) Bond Market Development Bureau, Public Debt management Office
PDDF : Public Debt Restructuring and Domestic Bond Market Development Fund
~3.4
~5.7
%
%(avg. cost)
400,000
5.4%
5,000
SB128A
4.5% LB133A
40,000
R-bill 6M
5,000
P/N 6 yrs FRB 4 yrs LB 7 yrs
18,000 10,000 12,000
P/N 6 yrs
39,000
P/N 6 yrs
50,099
R-bill 3M
23,245
R-bill 6M
48,105
~3.09% ~3.63% ~3.08% ~3.45%
5.375%
300,000
P/N 6 yrs
LB11NA
39,000
Saved ~2.3%
89,099 6.1%
200,000
~3.01%
R-bill 3M
19,000
R-bill 6M
52,350
FRB 4 yrs
14,450
FRB 4 yrs
14,450
LB 5 yrs
46,000
LB 5 yrs
46,000
LB 7 yrs
20,000
LB 7 yrs R-bill 6M
20,000 7,223
Total Pre-Funding : 190,800MB
LB 5 yrs
20,000
Positive Carry = 57 MB
LB 7 yrs LB 10 yrs
15,000 12,000
100,000
(7 THB Bil. a Year)
~3.25%
SB129A
206,023 -
~3.625%
*Excluded 18,000 Pre-Mature FIDF Debt Restructuring in 2012
Total Pre-Funding : 190,800MB Strategies in managing FIDF’s Result : 64 MB (3bps) 340,122MB* in 2012 *Excluded 18,000MB of Pre-Mature FIDF Debt Restructuring in 2012
Relatively Shorter.. Partially Float.. Partially Callable..
LB 3-10yr
to Allow Flexibility to Reflect Market Rate to Prepare for Early-Repayment
FRB / R-bill P/N
Bond Market Development Bureau, Public Debt management Office
(4,200 – 4,136)
400,000
Post 2012 Checklist
200,000
340,122
300,000
7mths 67 bps 3% 9%
THB Mil
Beginning FY2012 Ending FY2012 Result ATM 4yrs 8mths 5yrs 3mths Lengthen by Cost 5.1% 4.5% Lowered by Fixed : Float 82 : 18 79 : 21 Float Increased Callable Proportion 10% 19% Callable Rose NO Refinancing Risk : Yearly Maturing Debt < 250,000 THB Mil
107,099
60,328 24,450
100,000
66,000 47,000
23,245 129,124
64,970
109,000
100,000
95,014
12,000
75,171 55,000
54,800 37,900
49,000 32,000
-
26
CGIF Activated
CGIF is guaranteed by ASEAN + 3 ď&#x192;¨ Rising Giant
24
31
%
($6,865 mln)
($69.6 trln)
%
($2,133 mln)
Population
GDP
46
%
($16.4 trln)
($8.6 trln)
Trade ($18.9 trln)
Source: IMF and World Trade Organization
Objectives
Functions
1) 2) 3)
To develop deep and liquid local currency and regional bond markets To enable investment-grade ASEAN+3 issuers to access local currency bond markets to promote the issuance of debt securities with longer term maturities to match the gestation of investment projects
1)
Guaranteeing bonds that are denominated in local currencies and issued by ASEAN+3 entities rated investment-grade Guaranteeing bonds that are not denominated in local currencies and issued by ASEAN+3 entities rated investment-grade, provided the entities concerned are naturally hedged in such currency Making investments for the development of the bond markets (no such investments shall be made until after the Meeting of Contributors has determined that CGIF is in a position to commence such operations); and Undertaking such other activities and providing such other services consistent with CGIF objectives
2)
3)
4)
Benefits
1) 2) 3)
27
A reduction of cost of financing of issuers An efficient fund raising and a conformity with financial requirement of the business A reduction of currency & Maturity Mismatch
Linking CGIF & BAHT BOND to the Development of Bond Market Bond Market Development Bureau, Public Debt Management Office
BAHT BOND
Total Outstanding THB 8.2 TRN.
CGIF
(71% of GDP )
94 BB
as of 31 Aug 2012
4 BB
CGIF 1%
Baht Bond 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Corp Bond
19%
IBRD
7%
SOE Bond
Natural hedging
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
KEXIM
Invâ&#x20AC;&#x2122;t Grade
?
(20,700 m)
35%
BOT Bond
SEK
Hana (18,000 m)
Woori CABEI
Targeted industry
IBK (12,300 m)
AFD
Citi
KDB ING
(11,553 m)
ADB
(10,000 m)
(10,500 m)
38%
GOVERNMENT Bond
ASEAN
Thai Corporate
Global issuers
Domestic Bond Mkt
Who is Eligible for CGIF Guaranteed?
ALL current issuers of corporate bonds Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance
Corporate Bonds (less commercial paper) = THB1.3 trillion (16% of Bond Market at THB 8.3 trillion As of 31 Aug 2012) Source: ThaiBMA By Business Sector
By Rating
Agri Other
Unrated
ICT 2% 5% Trans 3% 5%
Petro
Cost Saving
24%
5%
Food 6% Fin 8%
BBB 10%
Energy
Bank 21%
Conmat Prop 9% 10%
AAA 19%
A
AA
44%
27%
500
350
300
bps
125
200
BBB
bps
100
170
A
GOVT
bps
50 31/5/2012
30/4/2012
30/3/2012
Aug 2012 29/2/2012
31/1/2012
30/12/2011
30/11/2011
30/9/2011
31/10/2011
31/8/2011
29/7/2011
30/6/2011
2011
31/5/2011
29/4/2011
31/3/2011
28/2/2011
31/1/2011
30/12/2010
30/11/2010
30/9/2010
29/10/2010
31/8/2010
30/7/2010
30/6/2010
2010 31/5/2010
30/4/2010
31/3/2010
26/2/2010
29/1/2010
30/12/2009
30/11/2009
30/9/2009
31/10/2009
31/8/2009
31/7/2009
30/6/2009
2009
29/5/2009
30/4/2009
31/3/2009
27/2/2009
30/1/2009
30/12/2008
30/9/2008
2008
28/11/2008
bps 31/10/2008
0
29/8/2008
Bps (above 5-yr Government Bond)
400
28
Founding 13 MOF-outright PD
Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister Kittiratt Na-Ranong presented the Ministry of Finance Outright Primary Dealer (MOF OUTRIGHT PD) certificates to 13 financial institutions on 29
August 28, 2012, at Vayupaksa 4, Ministry of Finance.
Upgrading Primary Dealer System
MOF Outright PD Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
1. Bangkok Bank PCL.
2. BNP Paribas, Bangkok Branch 3. Citibank N.A., Bangkok Branch 4. Deutsche Bank AG., Bangkok Branch 5. The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited 6. JPMorgan Chase Bank, Bangkok Branch 7. Kasikornbank PCL. 8. KGI Securities (Thailand) PCL. 9. Krung Thai Bank PCL.
10. The Royal Bank of Scotland N.V., Bangkok Branch 11. Siam Commercial Bank PCL. 12. Standard Chartered Bank (Thai) PCL. 13. TMB Bank PCL.
To ensure efficient market Duties, Privileges and Monitoring making activities Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
Duties 1. Primary Market
Maintain at least 5% share of total issue size of selected tenor Participate in every auction Submit bid at least 10% for exclusivity tenor
2. Secondary Market
3. Bond Market Development
Maintain at least 5% share of Being MOF, Stock exchange of Thailand, BOT and ThaiBMA market trading value Partner in developing bond market Submit daily end-of-day price to ThaiBMA
Selected LB: 3 yr (LB176A) 5 yr (LB196A) 7 yr (LB21DA) 10 yr (LB236A) and ILB
Privileges Exclusivity in 5-yr tenor BOT outright counterparty MOF Preferred Counterparty
Partnership with MOF Benefit from Incentive program of Thailand stock Exchange
Monitoring Yearly Evaluation (fiscal year) with half-year review Regular one-on-one or one-on-group meeting 30
Electronic Retail Savings Bond
Accessible Savings for All and Promoting Thailand Towards Saving Society
Retail Bond Distribution Classified by Region
Well-Diversified Investor Base
NE 7%
N 8% 7% S
Bangkok and Central
78%
Depository Corporation
Household and Non-profit
9%
39%
NR 10% CB 10%
Insurance and Other Corporation
Government Debt Securities Classified by Types of Investors
Improve Infrastructure to Develop Country Tram System Transportation System Infrastructure System Energy System Telecommunication System
32% Electronic Retail Savings Bond
Bond Market Deepening
Enhance Liquidity in Secondary Market Promote Scripless Trading system Alternative Instrument for Micro-Savers
31
•
5 Innovations towards Sustainable Development
5Ds
Past (1997 – 07)
Dynamic
Present (2008 – 2012)
200
2007 %
%
%
Fixed
Features
Interest Rate
Broadened
Drive D
Social imension
%
%
2010
%
%
%
%
%
yr
3 4 5
% %
%
1 2 3 4 5 6
Minimum Amount Limit Amount
10,000 Baht
1
%
1 2 2542 2543 25442542 25452543 25472544 25482545 25492547 25502548 25512549 2550 2551
Minimum Amount
Distribution
Step-up Interest Rate yr
yr 1 2 3
Synergy
DYNAMIC FEATURES
• BROADENED DISTRIBUTION • SYNERGY DRIVE • SOCIAL DIMENSION • FINANCIAL SERVICE DEVELOPMENT Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
Limit Only One Designated Financial Institutions
10,000 Baht
Add
12 Banks
Designated Financial Institutions
Across the Country
(2010) 2 Periods of Distribution
1st Priority
Senior Citizen Accessible Savings for All
Financial Service evelopment
1st Period : Senior Citizen
2nd Period: People
Future
Add Via The Branch of Designated Financial Institutions
D
Distribution channel
(
2011
Thailand… Towards Saving Society
25
Retail Bond @ ATM for Micro Savers Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
Savings Bond
Retail Bond @ ATM for Micro Savers (1
st
launch Sept 2011)
1
Minimum Amount
10,000 Baht
1,000 Baht
To Allow Retail Investor Access to Quality Source of Savings
2
Selling Period
5 Days
All year round selling
To Promote Regular Saving Among Low Income Investor
3
Distribution Channel
The Branch of Designated Financial Institutions
ATM The Branch of Designated Financial Institutions
To Promote Scripless System
Phase 1 Distribute Via ATM
Phase 2 Distribute Via Electronic Platform
Secondary Bond +Mart + tradingMarket Platform LiquidityMarket + Bond+ Mart Secondary 32
Bond Market Development Bureau, Public Debt Management Office Ministry of Finance, Kingdom of Thailand
For Further Information : Chularat Suteethorn
+662 265 8050 ext. 5100
chularat@mof.go.th
Director-General, Public Debt Management Office
Pimpen Ladpli
+66 2271 7999 ext. 5802
pimpen@pdmo.go.th
Director of Government Bond Market Development Division Acting Director Bond Market Development Bureau
Nattakarn Boonsri
+66 2271 7999 ext. 5803
nattakarn@pdmo.go.th
Director of Fund Management and Bond Market Infrastructure Development Division
Chatmanee Sinsiri
+66 2271 7999 ext. 5804
chatmanee@pdmo.go.th
Director of International Bond Market Policy Division
Wilawan Prachasin
+66 2271 7999 ext. 5816
wilawan@pdmo.go.th
+66 2271 7999 ext. 5812
pothirat@pdmo.go.th
+66 2271 7999 ext. 5806
ittipong@pdmo.go.th
Economist
Pothirat Kijsriopak Economist
Ittipong Kanluan Economist
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