AC Mole Budget Newsletter October 2018

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A .C . M O L E & S O N S C H A R T E R E D A C C O U N TA N T S

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AUTUMN 2018

A president’s life

Love Musgrove

On 6 June 2018 tax partner Paul Aplin was elected president of the Institute of Chartered Accountants in England & Wales (ICAEW). His term ends on 5 June 2019. Here he shares some of his experiences from his first four months in office. Paul writes: “It has been a busy four months, dividing my time between Stafford House in Taunton and ICAEW’s headquarters at One Moorgate Place in the City of London. Although I have been dealing with politicians and senior civil servants for over ten years in my roles with the ICAEW Tax Faculty, being president has taken this to a different level. ICAEW has over 150,000 members in 153 countries around the world. The president’s role is therefore an international one. The day after I was elected, I welcomed tax directors from seven overseas professional bodies to Chartered Accountants Hall and I have since welcomed the presidents of the Institute of Chartered Accountants of Zimbabwe, the Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nepal and the Institute of Chartered Accountants of India. At the end of June, I visited ICAEW members in Malaysia and officiated at a prize giving ceremony for students at Sunway College in Kuala Lumpur.

In October I flew to Southern Africa to visit members of ICAEW and of the Botswana Institute of Chartered Accountants in Gaborone. In addition to reaching out to our overseas members and building strong links with other institutes, we also undertake capacity building work around the world, helping to build stronger audit and financial capacity as part of our ambition to build a world of strong economies: there can be no strong economy without a strong accountancy profession. In the UK I have attended round table sessions and meetings with Nicky Morgan (chair of the Treasury Committee of the House of Commons), Liam Fox (Secretary of State at the Department for International Trade), Mel Stride (Financial Secretary to the Treasury) and Esther McVey (Secretary of State at the Department of Work and Pensions) – where I was happy to find her new Parliamentary Private Secretary, Taunton’s MP Rebecca Pow. I attended the Labour and Conservative Party conferences and spoke at the Diplomatic Heads of Mission receptions alongside Shadow Foreign Secretary Emily Thornberry, Shadow Brexit Secretary Keir Starmer, Foreign Secretary Jeremy Hunt and International Development Secretary Penny Mordaunt. Back at Chartered Accountants Hall I shared a platform with Bank of England Chief Economist Andy Haldane and delivered a speech at Mansion House in the company of the Lord Mayor. I’ve spoken at conferences and dinners around the UK on issues ranging from tax, to the impact of digital technology on business; from social mobility to economics education. What lies ahead? Visits to Australia, Singapore, Malaysia, Hong Kong, Dubai, Mauritius and Cyprus. It is an amazing job and one I never dreamed I would get to do. As far as I am aware, I am the first president from the South West in the ICAEW’s 138-year history. And my work? Thanks to technology I can keep in touch by email, see my post and access the office systems wherever I am in the world.

A .C.MOLE & SONS

CHARTERED ACCOUNTANTS CHARTERED TAX ADVISERS

E. info@acmole.co.uk www.acmole.co.uk

A. C. Mole & Sons Stafford House, Blackbrook Park Ave, Taunton, Somerset TA1 2PX T. 01823 624450 F. 01823 444533

We have always been active in the community supporting and organising events and being involved in various fund-raising activities.

The Budget

Throughout each year, with the help of family, friends and clients, we organise events to raise money for our chosen Charity of the Year. To date events have included our more (and even less) athletic staff running Taunton 10k, our annual outdoor theatre show, quiz evenings, race nights, Christmas jumpers and baking and consuming a significant amount of cake. Our charity of the year this year is Love Musgrove, the official charity of Musgrove Park Hospital. The charity helps provide resources that would not normally be funded by the NHS. The money we raise will help to provide a much-needed, high specification MRI scanner. Currently the two MRI scanners operate to full capacity and a third scanner would be a great asset to the community.

BUDGET 2018

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Our first fund raising event this year was an open-air performance by touring theatre company The Pantaloons of The Importance of Being Ernest. Other events include a quiz, prize bingo and a further theatre production of A Christmas Carol on 23 December, to be held at The Quantock Brewery in Bishops Lydeard – the evening performance is sold out, but there are still a few tickets available for the afternoon performance.

Cyber security With more and more business activity going on line, the importance of taking cyber security seriously has never been greater. The National Cyber Security Centre’s 2017/18 report highlighted a number of significant threats. These include ransomware attacks (where files are “locked” by the attacker, who then demands a ransom to unlock them), fake emails purporting to come from within the victim’s business giving instructions to make payments and data beaches in which confidential customer information is obtained. Victims have included not only high-profile businesses such as Equifax, Uber and British Airways but also many much smaller businesses. There is a wealth of advice on the NCSC’s website on identifying and mitigating threats. It is well worth reading.

Chancellor Philip Hammond (or Fiscal Phil as he referred to himself in his speech) delivered his third Budget on Monday 29 October 2018.

forecast in March 2018), £31.8 billion in 2019/20, £26.7 billion in 2020/21 and £23.8 billion in 2021/22. No date has been set for achieving a surplus.

The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) revised its growth predictions to 1.3% for 2018, 1.6% for 2019 and 1.4% for 2020 and 2021. The uncertainty over the impact of Brexit makes it likely that the figures will be revised again in 2019. Mr Hammond had already allocated £3.7bn to Government departments for Brexit preparations and in the Budget he added a further £0.5 billion to that war chest. He also said that he would upgrade the Spring Statement in March 2019 to a full Budget if necessary.

Debt as a percentage of GDP peaked in 2016/17 and is set to continue falling. As the Government is still borrowing however, the national debt will continue to increase in absolute terms. It is now forecast to reach £1.810 trillion this year and to hit £1.896 trillion in 2023/24.

The deficit – the amount by which the Government’s annual expenditure exceeds its income – is now expected to be £25.5 billion for 2018/19 (£11.6 billion lower than

The Budget Red Book once again highlights the UK’s poor productivity, which remains well below the average for the UK’s main competitors. This has been a persistent problem since the financial crisis in 2008. For more detail about the Budget, turn to page two.

Image: James Gourley

A N D C H A R T E R E D TA X   A D V I S E R S


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