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DAY 1 FINALS
Sunday, July 25
(10:30 a.m. - 12:20 p.m. Japan Standard Time)
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MEN’S 400 INDIVIDUAL MEDLEY | MEN’S 400 FREESTYLE | WOMEN’S 400 INDIVIDUAL MEDLEY | WOMEN’S 4x100 FREESTYLE RELAY
MEN’S 400 INDIVIDUAL MEDLEY
World Record: 4:03.84 Michael Phelps, USA—Beijing 8-10-08 2016 Olympic Champion: 4:06.05 Kosuke Hagino, Japan
Although reigning Olympic champion Kosuke Hagino opted to not defend his title, Japan is well-positioned to thrill the home crowd in the opening event of the Games. Daiya Seto has won three of the past four world titles and has been a consistent power in the event for nearly a decade. Seto was automatically named to the Japanese squad in the event.
En route to victory at the United States Trials, Chase Kalisz inched closer to the level that made him the 2017 world champion. The silver medalist at the 2016 Olympics, Kalisz cracked the 4:10 barrier at Trials and figures to drop time in Tokyo. He should be pushed by European champion and world junior record holder Ilya Borodin of Russia.
France’s Leon Marchand recently went sub-4:10 and is a rising force, while American Jay Litherland can contend for the podium if he is within striking distance heading into the freestyle leg. New Zealand’s Lewis Clareburt is also a threat. —John Lohn
Gold: Daiya Seto, Japan Silver: Chase Kalisz, United States Bronze: Ilya Borodin, Russia free, has been at 3:44.51.
Meanwhile, Italy’s Gabriel Detti won the bronze in 2016 and could definitely be a factor. —Dan D’Addona
Gold: Elijah Winnington, Australia Silver: Martin Malyutin, Russia Bronze: Jack McLoughlin, Australia
WOMEN’S 400 INDIVIDUAL MEDLEY
World Record and 2016 Olympic Champion: 4:26.36 Katinka Hosszu, Hungary—Rio de Janeiro 8-6-16
It doesn’t seem that long ago that Hungary’s Katinka Hosszu was viewed as unbeatable in the 400 IM. In Rio at age 27, she dominated the race by nearly five seconds, winning her first-ever Olympic gold medal and destroying all the records in the process.
She went on to win the event at the next two World Championships in 2017 and 2019, but currently, she has only the fifth fastest time in the world behind four Americans. Nineteen-year-old Emma Weyant and 26-year-old Hali Flickinger will represent the United States come Tokyo in an event the country has not won since Janet Evans
MEN’S 400 FREESTYLE
World Record: 3:40.07 Paul Biedermann, Germany—Rome 7-26-09 2016 Olympic Champion: 3:41.55 Mack Horton, Australia
The field in the men’s 400 freestyle will look quite a bit different at this Olympiad. Defending champion Mack Horton of Australia missed out on qualifying after not finishing in the top two at Australian Trials. Meanwhile, silver medalist Sun Yang of China has been suspended for doping violations and is ineligible to compete in Tokyo.
So, we can expect a new champion and a whole slew of contenders.
Australia’s two qualifiers, Elijah Winnington (3:42.65) and Jack McLoughlin (3:43.27), will arrive in Tokyo with the world’s top two times of 2021.
Russia’s Martin Malyutin has put together some solid swims, including a 3:44.18, while Germany’s distance specialist Florian Wellbrock has been as fast as 3:44.35. Austria’s Felix Aubock, an NCAA champion in the 1650
in 1988.
Japan’s Yui Ohashi, who had the fastest global time in 2018, will have the eyes of the nation on her (even though spectators will not be permitted) to win Japan’s second medal in the 400 IM since Yasuko Tajima’s silver in 2000. —Andy Ross
Gold: Katinka Hosszu, Hungary Silver: Yui Ohashi, Japan Bronze: Hali Flickinger, United States
WOMEN’S 4x100 FREESTYLE RELAY
World Record: 3:30.05 Australia (Shayna Jack, Bronte Campbell, Emma McKeon, Cate Campbell)—Gold Coast 4-5-18 2016 Olympic Champion: 3:30.65WR Australia (Brittany Elmslie, Bronte Campbell, Cate Campbell, Emma McKeon)
Four Australian women swam under 53 seconds in the 100 free at the country’s Olympic Trials in June, making Australia the overwhelming favorite to win a third straight Olympic gold medal in the sprint relay. Emma McKeon has been as fast as 52.19 this year, making her the fourth-fastest performer in history, while Cate Campbell is one of just two women ever to crack 52. Madison Wilson and Meg Harris are the other two likely participants, and 2015 world champion Bronte Campbell (Cate’s sister) could also be a factor.
The Americans had no one break 53.5 at their Trials, but the group of 2016 Olympian Abbey Weitzeil, Erika Brown, Olivia Smoliga and Natalie Hinds should be able to uncork several 52-second relay splits with the advantage of relay exchanges, and swimmers such as Simone Manuel and Torri Huske might be added to the mix despite not qualifying for this relay.
Canada, which should battle for bronze with the Netherlands and Great Britain, will rely on defending 100 free co-gold medalist Penny Oleksiak, but Taylor Ruck will need to be closer to her best after a disappointing performance at Canada’s Trials. —David Rieder
Gold: Australia Silver: United States Bronze: Canada
>> KATINKA HOSSZU, HUNGARY
PETER H. BICK ] [PHOTO BY >>HALI FLICKINGER, UNITED STATES