Vail Valley Feb 2015 Real Estate Statistics

Page 1

Vail Valley / Eagle County

Market Report February 2015


Monthly Indicators February 2015 There has been talk of abundant cold and snow this winter (unless you happen to live in California!). When weather patterns turn bad, like wicked bad, real estate industry pundits tend to go gloom, assuming that Americans hungry for homeownership are bothered by a little frozen precipitation. The nation will unfreeze, inventory is expected to rise and home sales are widely expected to increase. These are good times, indeed, and many of us now have an enchanting shared experience that we can walk uphill to school both ways. New Listings were up 20.0 percent for single family/duplex homes but decreased 14.8 percent for townhouse-condo properties. Pending Sales decreased 2.6 percent for single family/duplex homes and 4.3 percent for townhouse-condo properties. The Median Sales Price was up 28.3 percent to $1,121,250 for single family/duplex homes but decreased 23.7 percent to $808,750 for townhousecondo properties. Months Supply of Inventory increased 2.0 percent for single family/duplex units but decreased 21.7 percent for townhouse-condo units. In national financial news, rumors that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could one day be a thing of the past have people wondering about the future of the 30year fixed-rate mortgage. But let's not sound the alarm just yet. A drastic change to lending's gold standard is certainly not on the immediate horizon. Meanwhile, Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen seems to have no immediate interest in raising interest rates for the first time since 2006. The economy remains stable, which should keep housing rolling through the short-named months.

Monthly Snapshot - 3.3%

- 6.4%

- 13.3%

One-Year Change in Closed Sales All Properties

One-Year Change in Active Listings All Properties

One-Year Change in Median Sales Price All Properties

Residential real estate activity in Vail Board of REALTORS速 MLS, comprised of single-family properties, townhomes and condominiums.. Percent changes are calculated using rounded figures.

Single Family/Duplex Activity Overview Townhouse-Condo Activity Overview New Listings Pending Sales Closed Sales Median Sales Price Average Sales Price Percent of List Price Received Days on Market Until Sale Housing Affordability Index Inventory of Active Listings Months Supply of Inventory All Properties Activity Overview Closed Sales and Inventory by Price Range Glossary of Terms

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Current as of March 6, 2015. All data from the Vail Board of REALTORS速 MLS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing.


Single Family/Duplex Activity Overview Key metrics for Single Family properties by report month and for year-to-date (YTD) starting from the first of the year.

Key Metrics

Historical Sparkbars

New Listings 2-2012

2-2013

2-2014

2-2013

2-2014

2-2013

2-2014

2-2013

2-2014

2-2013

2-2014

Days on Market

2-2013

2-2014

2-2013

2-2014

2-2013

2-2014

2-2013

2-2014

2-2013

2-2014

+ 23.9%

38

37

- 2.6%

76

80

+ 5.3%

30

27

- 10.0%

55

50

- 9.1%

$873,750 $1,121,250

+ 28.3%

$750,000

$948,125

+ 26.4%

$1,098,540 $1,558,564

+ 41.9%

$1,147,144 $1,703,410

+ 48.5%

94.2%

95.8%

+ 1.7%

95.0%

94.4%

- 0.6%

239

261

+ 9.2%

200

225

+ 12.5%

38

32

- 15.8%

45

38

- 15.6%

442

426

- 3.6%

--

--

--

9.8

10.0

+ 2.0%

--

--

--

2-2015

Months Supply 2-2012

114

2-2015

Active Listings 2-2012

92

2-2015

Affordability Index 2-2012

+ 20.0%

2-2015

` 2-2012

42

2-2015

Pct. of List Price Received 2-2012

35

Percent Change

2-2015

Avg. Sales Price 2-2012

YTD 2014 YTD 2015

2-2015

Median Sales Price 2-2012

Percent Change

2-2015

Closed Sales 2-2012

2-2015

2-2015

Pending Sales 2-2012

2-2014

2-2015

Current as of March 6, 2015. All data from the Vail Board of REALTORS速 MLS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | 2


Townhouse-Condo Activity Overview Key metrics for Townhouse-Condo properties by report month and for year-to-date (YTD) starting from the first of the year.

Key Metrics

Historical Sparkbars

New Listings 2-2012

2-2013

2-2014

2-2013

2-2014

2-2013

2-2014

2-2013

2-2014

2-2013

2-2014

2-2013

2-2014

2-2013

2-2014

2-2013

2-2014

2-2013

2-2014

2-2013

2-2014

+ 10.3%

46

44

- 4.3%

94

86

- 8.5%

31

32

+ 3.2%

60

70

+ 16.7%

$1,060,000 $808,750

- 23.7%

$857,500

$862,500

+ 0.6%

$1,246,674 $1,159,522

- 7.0%

$1,325,980 $1,219,209

- 8.1%

93.9%

95.3%

+ 1.5%

94.1%

95.3%

+ 1.3%

192

210

+ 9.4%

197

186

- 5.6%

32

44

+ 37.5%

39

41

+ 5.1%

481

439

- 8.7%

--

--

--

10.6

8.3

- 21.7%

--

--

--

2-2015

Months Supply 2-2012

118

2-2015

Active Listings 2-2012

107

2-2015

Affordability Index 2-2012

- 14.8%

2-2015

Days on Market 2-2012

46

2-2015

Pct. of List Price Received 2-2012

54

Percent Change

2-2015

Avg. Sales Price 2-2012

YTD 2014 YTD 2015

2-2015

Median Sales Price 2-2012

Percent Change

2-2015

Closed Sales 2-2012

2-2015

2-2015

Pending Sales 2-2012

2-2014

2-2015

Current as of March 6, 2015. All data from the Vail Board of REALTORS速 MLS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | 3


New Listings A count of the properties that have been newly listed on the market in a given month.

Year to Date

February

119

68 55

54

114

118 109

107

92 46

42 35

2013

2014

+ 33.3% - 48.5%

2015

2013

2014

2015

2013

2014

2015

2013

2014

2015

+ 20.0%

- 32.9%

- 1.8%

- 14.8%

- 3.3%

- 22.7%

+ 23.9%

- 31.9%

- 1.8%

+ 10.3%

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

Single Family/Duplex

New Listings

Single Family/Duplex

Year-Over-Year Change

TownhouseCondo

Year-Over-Year Change

Mar-2014

67

+19.6%

72

+16.1%

Apr-2014

77

+18.5%

72

+56.5%

May-2014

99

+13.8%

87

+20.8%

Jun-2014

141

-2.8%

110

-5.2%

Jul-2014

89

-28.8%

89

-5.3%

Aug-2014

79

+11.3%

52

-33.3%

Sep-2014

52

-5.5%

55

+17.0%

Oct-2014

61

-1.6%

64

+25.5%

Nov-2014

48

+20.0%

57

+18.8%

Dec-2014

40

+25.0%

103

+56.1%

Jan-2015

72

+26.3%

72

+35.8%

Feb-2015

42

+20.0%

46

-14.8%

12-Month Avg

72

+4.5%

73

+11.7%

Townhouse-Condo

Historical New Listings by Month

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

200

175

150

125

100

75

50

25 1-2010

1-2011

1-2012

1-2013

1-2014

1-2015

Current as of March 6, 2015. All data from the Vail Board of REALTORS速 MLS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | 4


Pending Sales A count of the properties on which offers have been accepted in a given month.

Year to Date

February 46

94 44

86 81

41 38

37

76

80

76

35

2013

2014

2015

2013

2014

2015

2013

2014

2015

2013

2014

2015

+ 24.2%

- 7.3%

- 2.6%

- 20.5%

+ 31.4%

- 4.3%

+ 9.5%

- 6.2%

+ 5.3%

- 18.3%

+ 23.7%

- 8.5%

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

Single Family/Duplex

Single Family/Duplex

Year-Over-Year Change

TownhouseCondo

Mar-2014

49

-19.7%

48

+2.1%

Apr-2014

42

-14.3%

70

+79.5%

May-2014

36

+24.1%

34

-33.3%

Jun-2014

43

-8.5%

39

+11.4%

Jul-2014

59

+22.9%

70

+7.7%

Aug-2014

54

-20.6%

84

+33.3%

Sep-2014

51

0.0%

69

+4.5%

Oct-2014

49

+32.4%

52

+15.6%

Nov-2014

34

-5.6%

36

+24.1%

Dec-2014

21

-4.5%

46

+53.3%

Jan-2015

43

+13.2%

42

-12.5%

Feb-2015

37

-2.6%

44

-4.3%

12-Month Avg

43

-1.1%

53

+12.4%

Pending Sales

Year-Over-Year Change

Townhouse-Condo

Historical Pending Sales by Month

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

90

80

70

60

50

40

30

20 1-2010

1-2011

1-2012

1-2013

1-2014

1-2015

Current as of March 6, 2015. All data from the Vail Board of REALTORS速 MLS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | 5


Closed Sales A count of the actual sales that closed in a given month.

Year to Date

February 36

70 32

31

30

32

63 59

27

2013

2014

+ 24.1% - 16.7%

60

55 50

2015

2013

2014

2015

2013

2014

2015

2013

2014

2015

- 10.0%

- 11.1%

- 3.1%

+ 3.2%

+ 5.4%

- 6.8%

- 9.1%

- 7.4%

- 4.8%

+ 16.7%

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

Single Family/Duplex

Closed Sales

Single Family/Duplex

Year-Over-Year Change

TownhouseCondo

Year-Over-Year Change

Mar-2014

28

-20.0%

51

+45.7%

Apr-2014

47

-7.8%

50

+22.0%

May-2014

45

-21.1%

57

+11.8%

Jun-2014

46

+12.2%

43

+10.3%

Jul-2014

44

-6.4%

49

+19.5%

Aug-2014

51

-13.6%

60

-7.7%

Sep-2014

54

0.0%

78

+30.0%

Oct-2014

55

-3.5%

78

+9.9%

Nov-2014

42

+5.0%

45

+7.1%

Dec-2014

49

+11.4%

55

+41.0%

Jan-2015

23

-8.0%

38

+31.0%

Feb-2015

27

-10.0%

32

+3.2%

12-Month Avg

43

-5.4%

53

+16.9%

Townhouse-Condo

Historical Closed Sales by Month

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

80

70

60

50

40

30

20

10 1-2010

1-2011

1-2012

1-2013

1-2014

1-2015

Current as of March 6, 2015. All data from the Vail Board of REALTORS速 MLS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | 6


Median Sales Price Point at which half of the sales sold for more and half sold for less, not accounting for seller concessions, in a given month.

Year to Date

February

Median Sales Price

$948,125

$1,121,250 $1,060,000

$857,500 $862,500 $750,000

$873,750 $808,750 $736,500

$625,000

$390,000 $384,000

2013

2014

2015

+ 36.4% + 18.6% + 28.3%

Single Family/Duplex

2013

- 0.9%

2014

2015

+ 176.0% - 23.7%

Townhouse-Condo

2013

+ 9.9%

2014

2015

+ 20.0% + 26.4%

Single Family/Duplex

2013

2014

2015

- 4.9% + 119.9% + 0.6%

Townhouse-Condo

Historical Median Sales Price by Month

Single Family/Duplex

Year-Over-Year Change

TownhouseCondo

Year-Over-Year Change

Mar-2014

$761,000

+5.0%

$585,000

+14.3%

Apr-2014

$744,000

+31.7%

$757,500

+14.8%

May-2014

$585,000

+3.7%

$500,000

+51.5%

Jun-2014

$535,500

+19.5%

$362,500

+17.9%

Jul-2014

$557,500

+4.2%

$427,000

+1.1%

Aug-2014

$455,000

0.0%

$447,000

-0.7%

Sep-2014

$772,000

-1.0%

$375,000

-9.3%

Oct-2014

$713,890

+0.5%

$452,500

+0.6%

Nov-2014

$722,500

-4.4%

$415,000

-4.6%

Dec-2014

$775,000

+27.6%

$635,000

+49.3%

Jan-2015

$926,250

+70.0%

$975,250

+17.5%

Feb-2015

$1,121,250

+28.3%

$808,750

-23.7%

$679,000

+11.5%

$496,000

+11.1%

12-Month Avg*

* Median Sales Price for all properties from March 2014 through February 2015. This is not the average of the individual figures above.

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

$2,000,000

$1,750,000

$1,500,000

$1,250,000

$1,000,000

$750,000

$500,000

$250,000 1-2010

1-2011

1-2012

1-2013

1-2014

1-2015

Current as of March 6, 2015. All data from the Vail Board of REALTORS速 MLS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | 7


Average Sales Price Average sales price for all closed sales, not accounting for seller concessions, in a given month.

Year to Date

February

$1,703,410 $1,558,564

$1,513,347

$1,325,980 $1,246,674 $1,159,522

$1,219,209

$1,177,475 $1,147,144

$1,098,540 $935,489

Avg. Sales Price

Single Family/Duplex

Mar-2014

$1,482,573

+70.7%

$849,114

-8.4%

Apr-2014

$2,160,310

+151.9%

$1,516,715

+58.5%

May-2014

$1,239,178

+8.4%

$1,115,528

+78.2%

Jun-2014

$1,048,943

+32.0%

$727,651

+38.9%

Jul-2014

$848,849

-2.5%

$906,673

+56.1%

Aug-2014

$745,265

+26.8%

$540,089

-40.7%

Sep-2014

$1,640,748

+17.5%

$755,788

-12.8%

Oct-2014

$1,173,243

-12.8%

$944,467

+30.8%

Nov-2014

$1,057,551

-27.5%

$785,523

-22.8%

Dec-2014

$2,071,922

+62.7%

$1,087,566

+23.7%

Jan-2015

$1,873,446

+55.4%

$1,269,471

-10.0%

Feb-2015

$1,558,564

+41.9%

$1,159,522

-7.0%

12-Month Avg* $1,382,895

+29.4%

$949,648

+10.7%

$796,095

2013

2014

+ 40.3% - 27.4%

2015

2013

2014

2015

2013

2014

2015

2013

2014

2015

+ 41.9%

- 4.8%

+ 33.3%

- 7.0%

+ 1.4%

- 2.6%

+ 48.5%

- 32.0%

+ 66.6%

- 8.1%

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

Historical Average Sales Price by Month

Year-Over-Year Change

TownhouseCondo

Year-Over-Year Change

* Avg. Sales Price for all properties from March 2014 through February 2015. This is not the average of the individual figures above.

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

$3,000,000

$2,500,000

$2,000,000

$1,500,000

$1,000,000

$500,000 1-2010

1-2011

1-2012

1-2013

1-2014

1-2015

Current as of March 6, 2015. All data from the Vail Board of REALTORS速 MLS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | 8


Percent of List Price Received Percentage found when dividing a property’s sales price by its most recent list price, then taking the average for all properties sold in a given month, not accounting for seller concessions.

Year to Date

February 93.5% 94.2% 95.8%

95.4% 93.9% 95.3%

Pct. of List Price Received

94.7% 95.0% 94.4%

95.5% 94.1% 95.3%

2013

2014

2015

2013

2014

2015

2013

2014

2015

2013

2014

2015

- 0.8%

+ 0.7%

+ 1.7%

+ 1.7%

- 1.6%

+ 1.5%

+ 0.2%

+ 0.3%

- 0.6%

+ 2.4%

- 1.5%

+ 1.3%

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

Historical Percent of List Price Received by Month

Single Family/Duplex

Year-Over-Year Change

TownhouseCondo

Year-Over-Year Change

Mar-2014

96.2%

-0.3%

94.9%

-0.1%

Apr-2014

95.0%

+0.8%

93.4%

-1.0%

May-2014

96.4%

-0.6%

95.5%

+0.2%

Jun-2014

95.9%

+0.3%

95.8%

+0.6%

Jul-2014

95.4%

+0.3%

96.3%

+1.6%

Aug-2014

96.2%

-0.8%

96.4%

+2.6%

Sep-2014

94.0%

-1.2%

96.2%

+2.0%

Oct-2014

95.7%

+0.2%

95.6%

+1.6%

Nov-2014

95.7%

+0.2%

94.9%

-0.4%

Dec-2014

94.5%

-0.4%

95.1%

-0.8%

Jan-2015

92.9%

-3.1%

95.3%

+1.2%

Feb-2015

95.8%

+1.7%

95.3%

+1.5%

12-Month Avg*

95.3%

-0.3%

95.5%

+0.9%

* Pct. of List Price Received for all properties from March 2014 through February 2015. This is not the average of the individual figures above.

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

100.0%

95.0%

90.0%

85.0%

80.0%

75.0%

70.0% 1-2010

1-2011

1-2012

1-2013

1-2014

1-2015

Current as of March 6, 2015. All data from the Vail Board of REALTORSÂŽ MLS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | 9


Days on Market Until Sale Average number of days between when a property is listed and when an offer is accepted in a given month.

Year to Date

February

Single Family/Duplex

Year-Over-Year Change

TownhouseCondo

Year-Over-Year Change

Mar-2014

180

+119.5%

341

+11.8%

Apr-2014

206

-7.2%

248

+6.0%

May-2014

200

+20.5%

162

-4.7%

Jun-2014

116

+9.4%

173

-16.8%

Jul-2014

110

-19.1%

141

-32.5%

Aug-2014

110

-2.7%

129

-45.1%

Sep-2014

190

-26.1%

174

-5.9%

Oct-2014

152

+8.6%

163

-19.7%

Nov-2014

125

-30.9%

156

-26.8%

Dec-2014

198

+44.5%

207

-25.3%

Jan-2015

182

+19.7%

166

-18.2%

Feb-2015

261

+9.2%

210

+9.4%

12-Month Avg*

161

+2.2%

217

-13.9%

Days on Market

225

261 239

192

200

197

186

210 195

192

154

156

2013

2014

- 27.2% + 22.6%

2015

2013

2014

2015

2013

2014

2015

2013

2014

2015

+ 9.2%

- 11.4%

+ 23.1%

+ 9.4%

- 17.6%

+ 4.2%

+ 12.5%

- 21.4%

+ 27.9%

- 5.6%

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

Historical Days on Market Until Sale by Month

* Days on Market for all properties from March 2014 through February 2015. This is not the average of the individual figures above.

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

500

400

300

200

100

0 1-2010

1-2011

1-2012

1-2013

1-2014

1-2015

Current as of March 6, 2015. All data from the Vail Board of REALTORS速 MLS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | 10


Housing Affordability Index This index measures housing affordability for the region. An index of 120 means the median household income is 120% of what is necessary to qualify for the median-priced home under prevailing interest rates. A higher number means greater affordability.

February

Year to Date

Single Family/Duplex

Year-Over-Year Change

TownhouseCondo

Year-Over-Year Change

Mar-2014

44

-10.2%

57

-18.6%

Apr-2014

45

-29.7%

44

-20.0%

May-2014

59

-4.8%

69

-34.9%

Jun-2014

64

-13.5%

95

-12.0%

Jul-2014

61

-1.6%

80

+1.3%

Aug-2014

75

+4.2%

77

+5.5%

Sep-2014

44

+2.3%

91

+12.3%

Oct-2014

48

+2.1%

76

+2.7%

Nov-2014

48

+2.1%

84

+3.7%

Dec-2014

45

-19.6%

55

-30.4%

Jan-2015

38

-37.7%

36

-10.0%

Feb-2015

32

-15.8%

44

+37.5%

12-Month Avg*

50

-43.1%

56

-39.8%

Affordability Index

93

92

57 49

45

44 38

39

38 32

32

2013

2014

2015

2013

2014

2015

2013

- 24.6%

- 22.4%

- 15.8%

+ 2.2%

- 65.6%

+ 37.5%

- 8.1%

Single Family/Duplex

41

Townhouse-Condo

2014

- 21.1%

2015

- 15.6%

Single Family/Duplex

2013

+ 7.0%

2014

- 57.6%

2015

+ 5.1%

Townhouse-Condo

Historical Housing Affordability Index by Month

* Affordability Index for all properties from March 2014 through February 2015. This is not the average of the individual figures above.

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

120

100

80

60

40

20

0 1-2010

1-2011

1-2012

1-2013

1-2014

1-2015

Current as of March 6, 2015. All data from the Vail Board of REALTORS速 MLS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | 11


Inventory of Active Listings The number of properties available for sale in active status at the end of a given month.

February

Single Family/Duplex

Year-Over-Year Change

TownhouseCondo

Year-Over-Year Change

Mar-2014

447

-3.0%

492

-14.6%

Apr-2014

451

-0.7%

458

-13.9%

May-2014

493

+4.7%

484

-8.5%

Jun-2014

555

+1.8%

530

-9.4%

Jul-2014

567

-5.3%

535

-10.8%

Aug-2014

573

-0.3%

478

-19.0%

Sep-2014

521

-3.3%

424

-21.5%

Oct-2014

481

-9.4%

408

-19.0%

Nov-2014

458

-8.8%

403

-18.9%

Dec-2014

427

-8.6%

431

-12.4%

Jan-2015

439

-4.6%

448

-7.8%

Feb-2015

426

-3.6%

439

-8.7%

12-Month Avg

487

-3.4%

461

-13.8%

Active Listings

579 486

2013 - 22.6%

481

442

426

2014 - 9.1%

2015 - 3.6%

2014 - 16.9%

2013 - 25.9%

Single Family/Duplex

439

2015 - 8.7%

Townhouse-Condo

Historical Inventory of Active Listings by Month

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

1,000

900

800

700

600

500

400 1-2010

1-2011

1-2012

1-2013

1-2014

1-2015

Current as of March 6, 2015. All data from the Vail Board of REALTORS速 MLS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | 12


Months Supply of Inventory The inventory of homes for sale at the end of a given month, divided by the average monthly closed sales from the last 12 months.

February Months Supply

11.9 10.0

10.6

10.0

9.8

8.3

2013 - 44.4%

2014 - 2.0%

2015 + 2.0%

2014 - 10.9%

2013 - 40.2%

Single Family/Duplex

2015 - 21.7%

Townhouse-Condo

Single Family/Duplex

Year-Over-Year Change

TownhouseCondo

Year-Over-Year Change

Mar-2014

10.1

+7.4%

10.5

-13.2%

Apr-2014

10.2

+13.3%

9.7

-14.9%

May-2014

11.4

+20.0%

10.1

-8.2%

Jun-2014

12.8

+16.4%

11.0

-10.6%

Jul-2014

13.1

+10.1%

10.9

-13.5%

Aug-2014

13.5

+18.4%

9.9

-20.2%

Sep-2014

12.2

+9.9%

8.5

-26.1%

Oct-2014

11.3

+1.8%

8.1

-25.0%

Nov-2014

10.8

-0.9%

7.9

-26.2%

Dec-2014

9.9

-3.9%

8.3

-23.1%

Jan-2015

10.2

+1.0%

8.5

-20.6%

Feb-2015

10.0

+2.0%

8.3

-21.7%

12-Month Avg

11.3

+8.0%

9.3

-18.5%

* Months Supply for all properties from March 2014 through February 2015. This is not the average of the individual figures above.

Historical Months Supply of Inventory by Month

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

40.0

30.0

20.0

10.0

0.0 1-2010

1-2011

1-2012

1-2013

1-2014

1-2015

Current as of March 6, 2015. All data from the Vail Board of REALTORS速 MLS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | 13


All Properties Activity Overview Key metrics for All Properties by report month and for year-to-date (YTD) starting from the first of the year.

Key Metrics

Historical Sparkbars

New Listings 2-2012

2-2013

2-2014

2-2013

2-2014

2-2013

2-2014

2-2013

2-2014

89

88

- 1.1%

199

232

+ 16.6%

84

81

- 3.6%

170

166

- 2.4%

61

59

- 3.3%

115

120

+ 4.3%

$940,000

$815,000

- 13.3%

$807,500

$900,625

+ 11.5%

$1,173,821 $1,342,134 2-2013

2-2014

2-2013

2-2014

2-2013

2-2014

2-2013

2-2014

2-2013

2-2014

2-2013

2-2014

95.5%

+ 1.5%

94.5%

95.0%

+ 0.5%

215

233

+ 8.4%

198

202

+ 2.0%

36

44

+ 22.7%

41

40

- 4.6%

924

865

- 6.4%

--

--

--

10.2

9.0

- 11.8%

--

--

--

2-2015

Months Supply 2-2012

94.1%

2-2015

Active Listings 2-2012

+ 14.6%

2-2015

Affordability Index 2-2012

$1,240,450 $1,420,959

2-2015

Days on Market 2-2012

+ 14.3%

2-2015

Pct. of List Price Received 2-2012

Percent Change

2-2015

Avg. Sales Price 2-2012

YTD 2014 YTD 2015

2-2015

Median Sales Price 2-2012

Percent Change

2-2015

Closed Sales 2-2012

2-2015

2-2015

Pending Sales 2-2012

2-2014

2-2015

Current as of March 6, 2015. All data from the Vail Board of REALTORS速 MLS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | 14


Closed Sales Actual sales that have closed in a given quarter.

By Price Range – All Properties – Rolling 12 Months 242

352

2-2014

By Property Type

2-2015

2-2014

2-2015

390 1,085

215

209

207

107

102

62

67

27

60

45

84

24

32

2

540

5

1,147

636

544

511

- 14.5%

+ 10.8%

+ 2.9%

- 4.7%

+ 8.1%

+ 66.7%

+ 40.0%

+ 33.3%

+ 150.0%

- 5.4%

+ 16.9%

+ 5.7%

< $300K

$300K to $599K

$600K to $999K

$1.0M to $1.4M

$1.5M to $1.9M

$2.0M to $2.5M

$2.5M to $4.9M

$5.0M to $9.9M

$10.0M+

Singe Family

Townhouse-Condo

All Properties

Rolling 12 Months Single Family Condo By Price Range $299,999 and Below $300,000 to $599,999 $600,000 to $999,999 $1,000,000 to $1,499,999 $1,500,00 to $1,999,999 $2,000,000 to $2,499,999 $2,500,000 to $4,999,999 $5,000,000 to $9,999,999 $10,000,000 and Above All Price Ranges

2-2014 100 166 115 60 35 15 35 12 2 540

2-2015 63 167 114 42 35 19 47 19 5 511

Change - 37.0% + 0.6% - 0.9% - 30.0% 0.0% + 26.7% + 34.3% + 58.3% + 150.0% - 5.4%

2-2014 141 186 94 47 27 12 25 12 0 544

2-2015 144 223 101 60 32 26 37 13 0 636

Compared to Prior Month Single Family Condo Change + 2.1% + 19.9% + 7.4% + 27.7% + 18.5% + 116.7% + 48.0% + 8.3% -+ 16.9%

1-2015 3 3 7 2 2 0 3 3 0 23

2-2015 5 5 3 2 5 2 4 1 0 27

Change + 66.7% + 66.7% - 57.1% 0.0% + 150.0% -+ 33.3% - 66.7% -+ 17.4%

1-2015 4 9 6 5 4 7 3 0 0 38

2-2015 4 7 9 3 6 1 1 1 0 32

Year to Date Single Family Change 0.0% - 22.2% + 50.0% - 40.0% + 50.0% - 85.7% - 66.7% --- 15.8%

Condo

YTD 2013 YTD 2014 Change YTD 2013 YTD 2014 Change 12 8 - 33.3% 6 8 + 33.3% 12 8 - 33.3% 17 16 - 5.9% 11 10 - 9.1% 10 15 + 50.0% 11 4 - 63.6% 7 8 + 14.3% 2 7 + 250.0% 7 10 + 42.9% 1 2 + 100.0% 4 8 + 100.0% 5 7 + 40.0% 8 4 - 50.0% 0 4 -1 1 0.0% 1 0 - 100.0% 0 0 -55 50 - 9.1% 60 70 + 16.7%

Inventory of Active Listings A measure of the number of homes available for sale at a given time.

By Price Range – All Properties 147 53

166

125

2-2014

By Property Type

2-2015

168

157 111

120

97

100

37

62

2-2014

924

147 90

53

2-2015

91

442 30

35

481

426

865

439

- 30.2%

- 15.0%

- 5.4%

+ 8.1%

+ 3.1%

- 14.5%

- 12.5%

+ 1.1%

+ 16.7%

- 3.6%

- 8.7%

- 6.4%

< $300K

$300K to $599K

$600K to $999K

$1.0M to $1.4M

$1.5M to $1.9M

$2.0M to $2.5M

$2.5M to $4.9M

$5.0M to $9.9M

$10.0M+

Singe Family

Townhouse-Condo

All Properties

Year over Year Single Family By Price Range $299,999 and Below $300,000 to $599,999 $600,000 to $999,999 $1,000,000 to $1,499,999 $1,500,00 to $1,999,999 $2,000,000 to $2,499,999 $2,500,000 to $4,999,999 $5,000,000 to $9,999,999 $10,000,000 and Above All Price Ranges

2-2014 23 44 75 47 55 33 92 50 23 442

2-2015 16 39 66 54 52 28 95 51 25 426

Change - 30.4% - 11.4% - 12.0% + 14.9% - 5.5% - 15.2% + 3.3% + 2.0% + 8.7% - 3.6%

Compared to Prior Month Single Family Condo

Condo 2-2014 30 102 91 64 42 29 76 40 7 481

2-2015 21 86 91 66 48 25 52 40 10 439

Change - 30.0% - 15.7% 0.0% + 3.1% + 14.3% - 13.8% - 31.6% 0.0% + 42.9% - 8.7%

1-2015 22 51 64 52 54 24 96 49 27 439

2-2015 16 39 66 54 52 28 95 51 25 426

Change - 27.3% - 23.5% + 3.1% + 3.8% - 3.7% + 16.7% - 1.0% + 4.1% - 7.4% - 3.0%

1-2015 19 90 98 67 48 24 52 42 8 448

2-2015 21 86 91 66 48 25 52 40 10 439

Year to Date Single Family Change + 10.5% - 4.4% - 7.1% - 1.5% 0.0% + 4.2% 0.0% - 4.8% + 25.0% - 2.0%

Condo

There are no year-to-date figures for inventory because it is simply a snapshot frozen in time at the end of each month. It does not add up over a period of months.

Current as of March 6, 2015. All data from the Vail Board of REALTORS® MLS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | 15


Glossary of Terms A research tool provided by the Colorado Association of REALTORSÂŽ

New Listings

A measure of how much new supply is coming onto the market from sellers.

Pending Sales

A count of all the listings that went into Pending during the reported period. Pending listings are counted at the end of the reported period. Each listing can only be counted one time. If a listing goes into Pending, out of Pending, then back into Pending all in one reported period, this listing would only be counted once. This is the most real-time measure possible for home buyer activity, as it measures signed contracts on sales rather than the actual closed sale. As such, it is called a "leading indicator" of buyer demand.

Closed Sales

A measure of home sales that were closed to completion during the report period.

Median Sales Price

A measure of home values in a market area where 50% of activity was higher and 50% was lower than this price point.

Average Sales Price

A sum of all home sales prices divided by total number of sales.

Percent of List Price Received

A mathematical calculation of the percent difference from last list price and sold price for those listings sold in the reported period.

Days on Market Until Sale

A measure of how long it takes homes to sell, on average.

Housing Affordability Index

A measure of how affordable a region’s housing is to its consumers. A higher number means greater affordability. The index is based on interest rates, median sales price and average income by county.

Inventory of Active Listings

A measure of the number of homes available for sale at a given time. The availability of homes for sale has a big effect on supply-demand dynamics and home prices.

Months Supply of Inventory

A measure of how balanced the market is between buyers and sellers. It is expressed as the number of months it would hypothetically take to sell through all the available homes for sale, given current levels of home sales. A balanced market ranges from 4 to 7 months of supply. A buyer's market has a higher number, reflecting fewer buyers relative to homes for sale. A seller's market has a lower number, reflecting more buyers relative to homes for sale.

Current as of March 6, 2015. All data from the Vail Board of REALTORSÂŽ MLS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | 16


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