The Jewish population of New South Wales Key findings from the 2016 Census and Gen17
Dr David Graham with Leon Narunsky
JCA is a Sydney-based, not-for-profit organisation serving the NSW and ACT Jewish communities. As the central point for fundraising and strategic planning, JCA is the communal hub that connects the needs of the community with the services that JCA’s 23 member organisations provide in the areas of: aged and community care; culture, engagement and outreach; history, heritage and Holocaust remembrance; Jewish education; security and advocacy; and community continuity.
Acknowledgements This report was conceived and authored by Dr David Graham who was assisted by Leon Narunsky. JCA funded the licence for access to census data from ABS and the purchasing of specially customised 2016 Census tables. Survey data in this report have been extracted directly from the Gen17 datafiles. The Gen17 Australian Jewish Community Survey was jointly conducted in 2017 by JCA (Jewish Communal Appeal) in Sydney and the Australian Centre for Jewish Civilisation (ACJC), Monash University, Melbourne. Key financial support for Gen17 was provided by the Education Heritage Foundation in New South Wales and in Victoria by Gandel Philanthropy, Pratt Foundation, Besen Family Foundation, Cher Family Foundation, JewishCare Victoria and Australian Jewish Funders.
Authors Dr David Graham is a demographic research consultant to JCA in Sydney. He is an Honorary Associate at the Department of Hebrew, Biblical and Jewish Studies, University of Sydney, Honorary Research Associate at the University of Cape Town, and Senior Research Fellow at the Institute for Jewish Policy Research (JPR) in the UK. A geographer by training and expert in the study of Jews in Britain, Europe, Australia and South Africa, his skills encompass statistics, survey methods and GIS. Dr Graham was instrumental in the development and success of the nationwide Gen17 Jewish community study and has published widely for academic, professional and general interest audiences both nationally and internationally. He holds a DPhil from the University of Oxford. Leon Narunsky is a Research Assistant to DJG Research. Formerly the CFO of JCA his career has encompassed actuarial, financial and computing roles in the Australian insurance industry including CFO of the IAG/NRMA IT division, Head of Knowledge and Data Management and Senior Manager, Planning and Analysis. In South Africa, Leon headed up the National Mutual Life Association Actuarial Department.
First published 2020
Contents
1 Introduction and key findings
4
2 New South Wales in context
10
3 Geography
12
3.1 Jewish population distribution
12
3.2 Jewish population change by suburb and neighbourhood
14
3.3 The ‘most Jewish’ suburbs
17
3.4 Internal migration
18
3.5 Geography and population change in ACT
20
4 Demography 21 4.1 Age and sex structure
21
4.3 Jewish births
26
4.4 Jewish deaths (data from communal records)
27
4.5 Natural population change
28
4.6 Age and sex structure of Jews in ACT
28
5 Immigration and belonging
29
5.1 Place of birth
29
5.2 Language
32
5.3 Knowledge of Hebrew and Yiddish (Gen17)
34
5.4 Immigration
36
5.5 Reasons for migrating (Gen17)
38
5.6 Immigrant wellbeing and integration (Gen17)
40
6 Jewish households
42
6.1 Jewish household type
42
6.2 Average household size
44
6.3 Household tenure
44
6.4 Household composition
46
6.5 Lone persons
46
2 
  The Jewish population of NSW
7 Jewish partnerships and families
48
7.1 Jewish families
48
7.3 Marital status and age
53
7.4 De facto and same-sex couples
55
8 Intermarriage 56 8.1 Intermarriage by religion of partner
56
8.2 Intermarriage by partnership type and sex
58
8.3 Children of intermarried Jews
59
8.4 Intermarriage by age
59
8.5 The intermarriage rate (Gen17)
59
8.6 Intermarriage: Jewish attitudes and behaviours (Gen17)
61
9 Income, wealth and poverty
63
9.1 Personal income
63
9.2 Personal income (Gen17)
64
9.3 Personal income by location
65
9.4 Personal income in ACT
66
9.5 Household income
66
9.6 Household income (Gen17)
67
9.7 Househood income by location
68
9.8 Family income
68
9.9 Wealth and poverty (Gen17)
69
10 Education and schooling
72
10.1 Educational institutions
72
10.2 Educational institutions by location
74
10.3 Type of school attended (Gen17)
75
10.4 Take-up at Jewish schools
76
10.5 School choice for Jewish families (Gen17)
77
10.6 Attitudes towards Jewish schooling (Gen17)
82
10.7 Cost of Jewish schooling (Gen17)
83
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 3
11 Volunteering 11.1 Volunteering by various indicators
87 87
11.2 Volunteering by type of organisation and Jewish identity (Gen17) 89 11.3 Reasons for not volunteering (Gen17)
12 Care and welfare
92
93
12.1 General health and limiting conditions (Gen17)
93
12.2 Need for care assistance by age
95
12.3 Need for care assistance by location
96
12.5 Care and consumer choice (Gen17)
98
12.6 Provision of unpaid care assistance
100
13 Appendices Appendix 1. Construction of ‘broad’ geographical areas using the ASGS boundary system
102 102
Appendix 2. Jewish population change from 2011 to 2016 based on SA2 area boundaries 104 Appendix 3. Long term population change
106
Appendix 4. Age and sex in single years, Jewish population, NSW
109
Appendix 5. Change in total Jewish households, 2011 to 2016
110
Appendix 6. 2016 Census adjustment methodology
111
Appendix 7. Glossary
113
1 Introduction and key findings
This report combines findings from the 2016 Census and the Gen17 Jewish Community Survey on the Jewish population of New South Wales (NSW)1. Brief summary data are also reported for Jews in the Australian Capital Territory (ACT). The Australian census was held on 9th August 2016 and carried out by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). It is unparalleled in terms of the breadth and depth of information it provides about the Jewish population. Gen17 was a nationwide survey carried out in 2017 by the Jewish community with a sample size of 3,938 in NSW. It adds a level of detail about Jewish life that is unavailable from census data. This combination of sources shines a very bright empirical light on the Jewish community enabling planners and other interested groups to better understand this population. In this report, unadjusted census data (i.e. enumerated or raw numbers) are denoted with the subscript ‘u’, (e.g. 123u), adjusted (or estimated) data have subscript ‘a’ (e.g. 123a), and interpolated data have subscript ‘i’ (e.g. 123i) (see Appendix 6)2. The treatment of census data presented in all tables is indicated in the table title. Where data have been drawn from the Gen17 survey, this is indicated in the text and in chart and table titles. In the following summary, data relate to the census unless otherwise indicated.
1 2
Geography • NSW’s estimated Jewish population was 47,800a, 40.5% of the national Jewish population and an increase of 4.9% since 2006. However, growth slowed, rising by just 0.5% in the second half of the decade • Jews made up an estimated 0.62% of the NSW population, compared with 0.66% in 2011 • 95% of NSW Jews lived in Greater Sydney, a far greater proportion than the general population (64%) • Most Jews lived in Eastern Suburbs— North (47%) where 17% of the population is Jewish • Between 2011 and 2016 Eastern Suburbs—North grew by 1.4% and Eastern Suburbs—South grew by 1.7%. Botany and Regional NSW grew by 32% and 29% respectively. Upper and Lower North Shore contracted by 11% and 4% respectively • Locally, Rose Bay had the largest Jewish population (3,562a) in NSW followed by Bellevue Hill (2,979a) and Vaucluse (2,806a) • The most Jewish area was Dover Heights where 61% of residents were Jewish, the only area in NSW with a Jewish majority
For more information about Gen17 and to view a detailed methodology see Graham D and Markus A, 2018 Gen17 Australian Jewish Community Survey – Preliminary Findings, JCA and Monash University For a detailed explanation of the adjustment methodology and a discussion of the complications relating to the 2016 Census, see Graham D with Narunsky L 2019 The Jewish Population of Australia: Key findings from the 2016 Census, JCA and Monash University
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 5
• Since 2011, NSW experienced a net loss of 355a people to other Australian states and territories, mainly Victoria (211a) and Queensland (109a) • Since 2011, Ku-ring-gai (Upper North Shore) experienced a net loss of 470a Jews to other places in NSW. Eastern Suburbs—South had a net gain of 192a and Botany had a net gain of 148a • There were 838a Jews in 2016 in the ACT, an increase of 18% since 2006
Demography • In 2016 the median age of Jews in NSW was 44 years compared with 38 years generally. In 2006 the Jewish median age was 42 years • 31% of the Jewish population in NSW was aged 60 years and above in 2016. The size of the sixty-something cohort grew by 60% in the decade to 2016 • Gen17 survey data indicate that the average age at first birth for Jewish women in NSW aged 45 to 49 was 30.0 years old compared with 26.4 years for those aged 65 to 69, i.e. it is increasing • Jewish women in NSW aged 45 to 55 years have had, on average, 2.0 babies each (below replacement level) and 11% of Jewish women in this age group are childless • An average of 486 Jewish babies were born in NSW each year from 2012 to 2016 • Jewish funeral records indicate an average of 447 Jewish deaths took place in NSW each year from 2012 to 2016 • The median age of Jews in the ACT was 36 years, rather younger than in NSW (44 years)
Immigration and belonging • 4 9% of NSW Jews were not born in Australia compared with 30% in the general NSW population • While 43% of overseas born Jews in NSW were aged under 40, this was the case for 63% of Australian-born Jews in the state • 19% of Jews in NSW were born in South Africa, 16% in Europe and 6% in each of Israel and the Former Soviet Union • The size of the South Africa-born population in NSW (~9,000a people) remained essentially unchanged between 2011 and 2016
• 37% of Jews in the Upper North Shore were born in South Africa • 3,600a NSW Jews spoke Hebrew at home and a further 3,277a spoke Russian • 4 6% of Gen17 respondents in NSW read Hebrew ‘quite well’ or ‘very well’; 26% spoke it ‘well’ • The average annual number of Jewish overseas arrivals to NSW was 29% lower in the 2011-2015 period than in the 2006-2010 period • Almost as many Jewish migrants arrived in NSW from South Africa in the five years from 2001 to 2005 (1,303) as they did in the ten years from 2006 to 2015 (1,488) • Of the 1,675 total Jewish arrivals to NSW from 2011 to 2015, 26% came from South Africa and 26% came from Israel • Gen17 data indicate that 83% of Jewish migrants to NSW were more satisfied with their lives in Australia than in their country of origin. Levels of satisfaction increase the more time spent living in Australia
6
The Jewish population of NSW
• 21% of Jewish migrants to NSW felt ‘more at ease’ with people from their own country (Gen17). This was the case for 32% of those from Israel and 29% of those from South Africa • 65% of Jews born in Australia had a very strong sense of belonging to the country compared with 46% of those born elsewhere (Gen17)
Families • The total number of Jewish households in NSW in 2016 was 17,452u (3,811u lone persons, 12,926u families, 715u group households) • In 69% of Jewish households, all members were Jewish (31% of these are lone persons); in 14%, one or more has No religion (or not stated); in 17% one or more has a non-Jewish religion • Average Jewish household size in NSW was 2.7 persons per household, compared with 2.9 in the general NSW population • 27% of Jewish households in NSW rented their home, compared with 31% generally. In Sydney Inner City 54% of Jewish families rent • 7% (1,174u) of Jewish households in NSW were one parent families compared with 12% generally; 36% were couples with children compared with 33% in NSW generally; 22% were lone persons, similar to the proportion in NSW generally (23%)
• 45% of Jewish families in NSW consisted of married couples with children compared with 40% generally • 4 8% of Jewish families in NSW had at least one dependent child compared with 47% generally • 7% of NSW Jews aged 15 and above were currently divorced compared with 6% generally. Gen17 data showed that 19% of NSW Jews aged 18 and above had divorced at least once • 6% of NSW Jews aged 15 and above were currently widowed compared with 5% generally. Among Jews aged 80 to 89 in NSW, 17% of men were widowed compared with 60% of women
Intermarriage • 19,853i Jewish people in NSW live with a partner. 25% of Jews in a couple had a partner who did not report being Jewish—11% had a partner with No religion and 14% had a partner with a nonJewish religion • The proportion of partnered Jews in NSW who had a Jewish partner fell from 79.0% in 2006 to 75.2% in 2016 • Between 2011 and 2016 the number of Jews with a partner of No religion increased by 41%. The number with a non-Jewish partner declined by 4% • 9 0% of partnered Jews in NSW were married
• 7% of Jews in NSW aged 20 to 39 lived alone compared with 33% of those aged 85 and above
• 79% of married Jews had a Jewish partner compared with 39% of de facto Jews
• 77% (10,007u) of Jewish families in NSW consisted of married couples and 13% (1,640u) were de facto couples
• There is little difference in the propensity of Jewish men and women to had Jewish partners
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 7
• When both parents report being Jewish in NSW, 97% of children are reported Jewish; when only the mother reports Jewish and the father reports an Other religion, the percentage is 50%; when only the father reports Jewish and the mother reports an Other religion, it is 15% • 28% of married Jews aged 30 to 34 had a spouse who did not report being Jewish
• Jewish households in NSW were almost four times as likely to have annual incomes of $260,000 or above compared with all other households in NSW (15% versus 4% respectively) • The median annual Jewish household income in NSW was $127,200, 65% higher than the rest of NSW households ($77,200)
• Gen17 indicates that the intermarriage rate in NSW for Jews marrying between 2010 and 2017 was 23%
• Jewish couples with children had average household incomes of $197,600, 2.5 times higher than Jewish one parent households ($78,600)
• 21% of intermarried Jews say they do not feel very well accepted by the Jewish community
• Gen17 data indicate that 9% of Jewish households in NSW had incomes of $500,000 or more
• 4 6% of in-married Jews attend Friday night meals every week compared with 15% of intermarried Jews
• Excluding lone persons, 20% of Jewish families had incomes of $260,000 or above (compared with 5% generally). Jewish median annual family income was $152,100
• 26% of Gen17 respondents in NSW are very concerned about intermarriage in Australia and 38% are somewhat concerned
Economics • In 2016, Jews were four times as likely as the rest of the NSW population to have had personal pre-tax incomes of $156,000 per year or more (the highest income bracket measured by the census) • Jewish median personal income was $55,400, 61% higher than general in NSW ($34,400). However, Gen17 data indicate Jewish median personal income in NSW may have been $74,000 • At $50,600, median Jewish personal income was $10,000 lower in Eastern Suburbs – South than Eastern Suburbs – North; median personal income was lowest in Botany ($40,400 per year) • Median personal income for Jews in the ACT was $69,700
• 19% of Gen17 respondents said they were ‘Just getting along’ or ‘Poor’; for Jewish households with incomes of under $25,000 per year this was 62%; it was 49% for Jews who were currently married but separated • Relatively few (under 5%) respondents reported experiencing deprivation (limiting their ability to afford food and medicine)
Jewish schooling • In 2016 there were 7,317a Jewish children in NSW schools, a 9% increase since 2011 • Jews were 1.7 times more likely than the rest of the NSW population to send their children to private schools • There were 26% more Jewish children of primary school age in 2016 compared with 2006; by contrast there were 7% fewer of secondary school age
8
The Jewish population of NSW
• From 2006 to 2016 Jewish enrolments in primary Government schools increased by 64%, non-government increased by 3%; at the secondary level, Jewish enrolments contracted in both Government (by 20%) and non-Government (by 3%) schools • The shift away from non-government primary schools was especially pronounced in Eastern Suburbs – North from 73% in 2011 to 61% in 2016 • Gen17 shows that 68% of 18-29 year olds in NSW attended a Jewish school at both primary and secondary levels compared with 26% of 40-49 years olds and 9% of those age 50 and above • JCA and census records indicate that 46% of Jewish school-aged children in NSW attended Jewish schools in 2016 compared with 50% in 2011; take-up declined from 47% to 40% at the Jewish primary level • Gen17 respondents in NSW with at least one child in a Jewish primary school were 1.7 times as likely to have had household incomes of $300,000 or above compared to families with at least one child in a government primary school (37% versus 22%) • Families in NSW with at least one child in a Jewish secondary school were almost five times as likely to have had household incomes of $300,000 or more compared to those with at least one child in a government secondary school (34% versus 7%) (Gen17) • 72% of Orthodox families choose Jewish primary schools compared with 27% of nonOrthodox families (Gen17) • Gen17 respondents said the main advantages of Jewish schooling are ‘Strengthening Jewish identity’, ‘Provide a sense of belonging to the Jewish community’, and ‘Developing Jewish friendship and networks’: i.e. social and ethnocentric motivators
• 55% of Gen17 respondents aged under 45 years said the cost of sending one or more of their children to a Jewish school had prevented them from doing so • 55% of families with at least one child in a Jewish school said that the cost entailed either a significant or major financial sacrifice; when family income was $150,000-$299,999 this was 60% and 84% for families with incomes below $150,000
Volunteering • 30% of Jews in NSW said they had volunteered in the previous 12 months compared with 20% in NSW generally • Volunteering is sensitive to life cycle stage but Jews aged 15 to 19 were most likely to have done so (42%) • Jewish women were more likely to have volunteered than Jewish men (32% versus 28%) • Volunteering was most common among Unemployed and Never married. It was highest among Australia born Jews (36%) and lowest among Israel and FSU born Jews • Gen17 survey data indicate that 55% of volunteers had only volunteered for Jewish organisations. They also volunteered more frequently for Jewish organisations • Self-described Masorti respondents were most likely to have volunteered (66%) followed by Modern Orthodox (63%). ‘Just Jewish’ (44%) were least likely • Among the volunteers, 23% had done so for a synagogue and 19% for a school • The most common reason given for not volunteering was insufficient time (45%)
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 9
Care and welfare • Most (86%) Gen17 respondents in NSW reported having good general health. 14% had poor health. This was the case for 48% of those aged in their late eighties • 19% of Gen17 respondents said their daily activities were limited because of a longterm health problem or disability. This was the case for more than half of those aged 80 and above • Moderate Pain or discomfort was the most common impairment (28%) followed by moderate Anxiety or depression (22%) (Gen17) • There were 2,793a Jewish people in NSW in need of assistance with ‘core activities’ in 2016. 52% of those were aged 80 and above • Of those in need of assistance in NSW, 25% did not live at home i.e. they lived in nursing homes or ‘accommodation for the retired’ • In 2016, 893a Jewish people lived in nursing homes and accommodation for the retired in NSW, a rise of 18% since 2006 • JCA records indicate that there were about 640 Jews in nursing homes in NSW in 2016 • In 2016, 48% of Jews in nursing homes or ‘accommodation for the retired’ in NSW were aged 90 and above compared with 34% in 2006 • 4 3% of Jewish people aged 90 and above in NSW lived in a nursing home or accommodation for the retired • 58% of Gen17 respondents in NSW would prefer a care environment with a ‘Jewish ethos’ but not necessarily with kosher facilities. 53% of Modern Orthodox respondents would prefer one with kosher facilities
• 56% of respondents in NSW said the cost of home care should be financed by their own income, savings and investments (Gen17) • 32% of those in NSW aged 80 and above said they did not have sufficient financial provisions to pay for their care needs into old age. This was the case for 53% of those born in FSU countries (Gen17) • 5,421a Jews aged 15 and above in NSW provided unpaid care assistance to others. 61% of these care givers were women. 28% of women in their late fifties did so • 20% of Gen17 respondents in NSW provided regular assistance to close relatives suffering from physical or mental ill-health or disability
2 New South Wales in context
The 2016 Census differed from previous censuses in several important ways. This impacted the approach we have taken to adjusting the data for non-response. The details of this approach can be found in our report on the 2016 Census for Australia3 . It should also be noted that the approach taken to adjusting the 2011 and 2006 census data has been amended for comparative proposes. Therefore, figures for those censuses in this report may differ slightly from those previously published.
since 2006 (45,572a). But during this period, the pace of Jewish population increase slowed having risen by 4.4% between 2006 and 2011 but by only 0.5% between 2011 and 2016. Of the 7.5u million people in NSW in 2016, 4.1u million reported being Christian compared with 758,000u who reported a non-Christian religion and 1.9u million people who reported no religion. Christianity dominated NSW’s religious landscape in 2016 accounting for more than half (55%) of the state’s total population (Figure 1).
In 2016 the Jewish population of New South Wales (NSW) was estimated to be 47,800a, 4, 5 or 40.5% of the national total. This represented an increase of 4.9% or 2,227a people in the decade
Figure 1. The changing religious identity landscape of NSW, 1991 to 2016 (enumerated)* 8,000,000 7,000,000 6,000,000 5,000,000
Not stated
4,000,000
No religion Other religions
3,000,000
Christianity
2,000,000 1,000,000 0 1991
1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
* Data do not include ‘Supplementary codes’ (2006, 2011) and ‘Inadequately described’ (1991, 1996, 2001, 2016)
3 4 5
A detailed methodology and description of the key differences between the 2016 Census and previous censuses can be found in Graham with Narunsky 2019 op. cit. p7-8 and p70-74 The enumerated figure for NSW in 2016 was 36,902u An estimated or adjusted census figure (denoted by a) is an enumerated (raw) census figure that has been adjusted by 29.53% (see footnote 2).
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 11
But in proportionate terms, Christianity declined sharply between 2011 and 2016 in NSW—by 10 percentage points down from 65% (Table 1). By contrast, 26% of people in NSW described themselves as having ‘no religion’, a rise of 8 percentage points since 2011. These dramatic changes were mostly a result of people switching from Christianity to no religion. The overall picture in NSW is one of increasing religious
diversity with non-Christian denominations almost quadrupling in number since 1991 and rising from 9.2% in 2011 to 10.2% in 2016. Jews made up a very small proportion of the total NSW population in 2016 at 0.50%u or 5u per 1,000u people6. By comparison, for Hinduism it was 24u per 1,000u, for Buddhism it was 28u per 1,000u and for Islam it was 36u per 1,000u.
Table 1. Proportionate size of religious groups in NSW – 1991-2016 (enumerated)* 1991
1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
77.3%
74.7%
72.5%
68.1%
65.0%
55.4%
Islam
1.4%
1.7%
2.3%
2.6%
3.2%
3.6%
Buddhism
1.0%
7,452,016
2.4%
2.6%
2.9%
2.8%
Hinduism
0.4%
0.6%
0.8%
1.1%
1.7%
2.4%
Judaism
0.5%
0.5%
0.6%
0.6%
0.6%
0.5%
Other religions
0.2%
0.4%
0.5%
0.6%
0.8%
0.9%
No religion
10.0%
12.9%
11.9%
14.3%
18.1%
25.6%
Not stated
9.1%
7.8%
9.1%
10.1%
7.8%
8.8%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
5,717,620
5,977,765
6,230,758
6,511,649
6,869,229
7,452,016
Christianity
Total N
* Data do not include ‘Supplementary codes’ (2006, 2011) and ‘Inadequately described’ (1991, 1996, 2001, 2016). Columns may not to sum to 100% due to rounding.
6
The interpolated percentage for Jews is 0.54%i. See Appendix 6 which discusses the enumerated, interpolated and estimated (adjusted) numbers.
3 Geography
3.1 Jewish population distribution In 2016 most (87%) of Australia’s Jews lived in just two states, 41% in NSW and 46% in Victoria7. But Jewish population concentration extends well beyond state level. Thus, within NSW, the vast majority (95%) of Jews lived in Greater Sydney (‘Sydney’ from here-on) whereas this was the case for 64% of the state’s general population. (Other religious minority groups are also highly concentrated in Sydney relative to NSW generally, for example, 95% of Muslims, 94% of Hindus and 90% of Buddhists in NSW lived in Sydney.)
In Map 1 it can be seen that even in Sydney most Jews lived in only a few places8 : Eastern Suburbs—North, Eastern Suburbs—South, Sydney Inner City, Ku-ring-gai (colloquially ‘Upper North Shore’), Chatswood Lane Cove and North Sydney Mosman (together they are colloquially the ‘Lower North Shore’). These five locales account for more than four out of five (82%) Jews in NSW. Indeed, Eastern Suburbs—North alone accounts for almost half (47%) of the state’s Jewish population.
Map 1. Jewish population distribution, Sydney region, 2016 (estimated)*
* Source: ABS 2016 Census, ASGS boundaries at SA3 level. Map created with MapInfo Pro v16
7 8
For further details of NSW’s Jewish population compared with other states and territories see: Graham with Narunsky 2019 op. cit. p15-16. These are all SA3 level areas based on ABS’s ASGS boundary classification (see Glossary Appendix 7)
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 13
This pattern of concentration is revealed in even greater detail in Map 2. Again, just a few places accounted for most Jews. To the north of Sydney harbour, the largest concentration was in St Ives and there was a notable presence south of this area towards the harbour—the ‘Lower
North Shore’. But the vast majority of Jews lived south of the harbour in Eastern Suburbs. Dover Heights (SA2) alone accounted for over one in ten (11.5%) Jews in the whole state with adjacent neighbourhoods accounting for much of the remainder.
Map 2. Jewish population distribution, eastern Sydney, 2016 (estimated)*
* Source: ABS 2016 Census, ASGS boundaries at SA2 level.
14 The Jewish population of NSW
3.2 Jewish population change by suburb and neighbourhood
Eastern Suburbs – North the population increased by 1.4% (up 313a from 22,058a to 22,371a) and in Eastern Suburbs – South it increased by 1.7% (up 110a from 6,437a to 6,547a). This is, perhaps, slightly less than might have been expected for Eastern Suburbs – South given steeper rises previously experienced, but this increase does not include adjacent Botany which grew by 32% and where 959a Jews lived in 2016. Meanwhile, the Upper North Shore experienced an 11% decrease (down 511a from 4,608a to 4,097a) and the Lower North Shore9 decreased by 4% (down 98a from 2,674a to 2,576a). These trends reflect the continued movement (mainly through internal migration) away from the North Shore and south to the Eastern Suburbs and Botany.
As noted above, in the decade between 2006 and 2016, the Jewish population of NSW increased by 4.9%, up from 45,576a to 47,800a people. Sydney’s Jewish population increased by 4.2% over the decade, substantially less than the general increase experienced by the city overall (16.1%). More significantly, the NSW Jewish population increased by 4.4%a between 2006 and 2011 and by just 0.5%a between 2011 and 2016, reflecting a considerable decrease in the rate of growth. The change between 2011 and 2016 varied considerably by location. This is shown in Table 2 which uses ‘broad’ geographical areas which are the basis of much of the geographical analysis presented in this report (see also Map 1). In
Table 2. Jewish population distribution and percent of total Jewish population in NSW, 2016 (estimated) Percentage of total Jewish population
Percentage change from 2011-2016
2011
2016
2011
2016
Eastern Suburbs – North
22,058
22,371
46.4%
46.8%
1.4%
Eastern Suburbs – South
6,437
6,547
13.5%
13.7%
1.7%
Upper North Shore (Ku-ring-gai)
4,608
4,097
9.7%
8.6%
-11.1%
Lower North Shore (Chatswood – Lane Cove and North Sydney – Mosman)
2,674
2,576
5.6%
5.4%
-3.7%
Sydney Inner City
2,424
2,486
5.1%
5.2%
2.6%
728
959
1.5%
2.0%
31.6%
Rest of Sydney
6,604
6,131
13.9%
12.8%
-7.2%
Rest of NSW
2,036
2,633
4.3%
5.5%
29.3%
47,570
47,800
100.0%
100.0%
0.5%
Area (based on SA3 boundaries)*
Botany^
Total
* ASGS boundaries, such as SA3 used here, were first introduced in 2011 so cannot be compared with earlier census boundaries based on the ASGC system (see Appendix 1) ^ Botany has been separated out from rest of Sydney as it is an important growth area. But it is also geographically distinct from Eastern Suburbs – South.
9
Consisting of the two SA3 areas ‘Chatswood – Lane Cove’ and ‘North Sydney – Mosman’
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 15
In terms of population distribution, nearly half (46.8%) of NSW’s Jewish population lives in Eastern Suburbs – North while Eastern Suburbs – South accounts for over one eighth (13.7%) and despite its strong growth, Botany accounts for just 2.0% (Table 2). The North Shore (Upper and Lower combined) accounts for 14.0%. There are various ways to examine the data at more localised geographical levels. In the following section, we have chosen to use boundaries that will be more familiar and intuitive to those who live in these areas, SSC boundaries rather than ASGS boundaries10. The data are shown in Table 3. This shows that Rose Bay had the largest Jewish population (3,562a) in NSW in 2016 followed by Bellevue Hill (2,979a) and Vaucluse (2,806a). Rose Bay was also the largest suburb in 2011, though not in 2006, when Bellevue Hill was slightly larger. This is reflected in the change statistics: Rose Bay grew by 22% over the decade to 2016 whereas Bellevue Hill grew by less than 2%. (A table showing population change based the ASGS boundaries, introduced in 2011, at the SA2 level is presented in Appendix 2.)
The strongest growth in the 2006 to 2016 decade occurred in the far south of the Eastern Suburbs in Little Bay which more than tripled (up 244%, albeit from a population base of only 42a) and Pagewood which almost tripled (196% from a population base of 77a) (Table 3). Areas also in the south, but with larger Jewish populations, that also grew strongly were Maroubra (28%) and Randwick (15%). Tellingly, in both these places this growth occurred between 2006 and 2011 ceasing thereafter. Meanwhile, and as noted, Rose Bay increased by 22% but all other major growth over the decade was in the south, for example, South Coogee (43%), Matraville (42%), Botany (149%) and Zetland (134%). By contrast, declines were greatest in St Ives (-11%), St Ives Chase (-37%), Killara (-33%), East Lindfield (-34%), Hunters Hill (-13%) and Cremorne (-31%). All of these suburbs are located in the North Shore, although decadal declines also occurred in Bondi (-14%) and Bondi Beach (-4%) in the Eastern Suburbs.
Table 3. Largest 50 Jewish suburbs in NSW (SSC*), 2006, 2011 and 2016 (estimated)^ Number
Percent change
Suburb
2006
2011
2016
2006-11
2011-16
2006-16
Rose Bay
2,927
3,348
3,562
14.4%
6.4%
21.7%
Bellevue Hill
2,934
2,971
2,979
1.3%
0.3%
1.5%
Vaucluse
2,685
2,765
2,806
3.0%
1.5%
4.5%
North Bondi
2,486
2,487
2,604
0.0%
4.7%
4.7%
Dover Heights
2,413
2,517
2,382
4.3%
-5.4%
-1.3%
St Ives
2,432
2,408
2,174
-1.0%
-9.7%
-10.6%
Maroubra
1,496
1,936
1,908
29.5%
-1.5%
27.6%
Randwick
1,509
1,863
1,742
23.5%
-6.5%
15.4%
Bondi
1,910
1,757
1,640
-8.0%
-6.7%
-14.2%
Bondi Junction
1,177
1,332
1,323
13.2%
-0.7%
12.4%
Bondi Beach
1,033
1,027
987
-0.5%
-3.9%
-4.4%
Continued on next page 10 The SSC (State Suburb Code) is a boundary system used by ABS to more closely match neighbourhood boundaries that most people are familiar with. In particular they are more intuitive than the equivalent SA2 boundaries but do not mesh precisely with the ASGS hierarchical system. For example, the ASGS SA2 boundary called ‘Rose Bay – Vaucluse – Watsons Bay’ conflates several areas that, from a Jewish point of view, are spatially distinct and are separate in the SSC system. But potential for confusion remains as there are a number of cases where the same name is used in both systems, e.g. Dover Heights (SA2) has 5,505 Jews whereas Dover Heights SSC has only 2,382 Jews. That is because the SA2 boundary incorporates, inter alia, part of an area most people (and also the SSC classification system) would consider to be Rose Bay.
16    The Jewish population of NSW
Number Suburb
Percent change
2006
2011
2016
2006-11
2011-16
2006-16
Woollahra
705
772
749
9.6%
-3.1%
6.2%
Double Bay
739
633
675
-14.2%
6.5%
-8.6%
Darling Point
544
526
569
-3.3%
8.2%
4.6%
Kingsford
479
527
561
10.0%
6.4%
17.1%
Kensington
436
497
446
14.1%
-10.3%
2.3%
South Coogee
304
334
435
9.9%
30.3%
43.1%
Matraville
294
315
418
7.1%
32.8%
42.2%
Coogee
411
435
391
5.8%
-10.0%
-4.8%
Hunters Hill
439
383
381
-12.8%
-0.6%
-13.3%
Queens Park
348
339
372
-2.5%
9.7%
7.0%
Paddington
361
357
370
-1.2%
3.8%
2.6%
Bronte
335
325
307
-3.2%
-5.4%
-8.4%
Mosman
361
305
306
-15.5%
0.1%
-15.4%
Waterloo
423
399
297
-5.8%
-25.6%
-29.9%
Botany
115
198
288
71.2%
45.5%
149.1%
St Ives Chase
443
366
281
-17.3%
-23.3%
-36.6%
Killara
406
287
272
-29.2%
-5.4%
-33.0%
Clovelly
199
226
259
14.0%
14.5%
30.4%
Point Piper
285
200
251
-30.0%
25.7%
-12.0%
Waverley
321
257
249
-19.9%
-3.4%
-22.6%
Darlinghurst
164
208
240
27.2%
15.0%
46.3%
Redfern
272
245
231
-9.7%
-6.1%
-15.2%
Pagewood
77
154
228
100.7%
47.6%
196.2%
Chatswood
139
225
214
61.9%
-5.1%
53.7%
Rosebery
247
232
209
-5.9%
-10.2%
-15.6%
Edgecliff
158
146
201
-7.3%
37.4%
27.4%
Lane Cove North
130
172
194
32.3%
12.7%
49.1%
Surry Hills
241
230
188
-4.5%
-18.3%
-22.0%
Lindfield
221
225
187
1.9%
-17.1%
-15.6%
Pymble
197
206
179
4.4%
-13.2%
-9.4%
Lane Cove
163
178
168
9.7%
-5.6%
3.6%
Gordon
129
117
161
-9.1%
36.9%
24.4%
Cremorne
222
174
154
-21.8%
-11.2%
-30.6%
Elizabeth Bay
156
134
152
-14.2%
13.0%
-3.1%
Roseville
170
183
152
7.7%
-17.3%
-10.9%
Little Bay
42
121
145
186.6%
19.9%
243.8%
Zetland East Lindfield Wahroonga
62
92
145
48.6%
57.3%
133.8%
212
170
140
-19.9%
-17.7%
-34.1%
155
107
137
-31.3%
28.8%
-11.5%
Other
11,463
12,153
12,396
6.0%
2.0%
8.1%
Total
45,572
47,570
47,800
4.4%
0.5%
4.9%
* This table is based on State Suburb Code (SSC) boundaries as these are considered to be more intuitive than the equivalent SA2 boundaries based on the ASGS system and are also available from 2006, allowing for longer range comparisons as the ASGS was only introduced in 2011 (see Glossary Appendix 7) ^ Jewish population change data since 1991 can be found in Appendix 3 based on postcode boundaries.
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 17
3.3 The ‘most Jewish’ suburbs The estimated proportion of Australia’s population that is Jewish (0.49%a) has fallen slightly from 2011 (0.52%a), as it has in NSW (from 0.66%a in 2011 to 0.62%a in 2016). Locally, the proportions are much higher, for example, in Eastern Suburbs – North more than one sixth (17.1%) of the population is Jewish, and this is the case for almost one in twenty in Eastern Suburbs – South (4.5%) (Table 4). While Rose Bay is the largest Jewish suburb, it is only the second most densely Jewish suburb, and by some considerable margin (Table 5). The most densely Jewish area is Dover Heights where three out of five (60.5%) people are Jewish, the only area with a Jewish majority in NSW. In Rose Bay that is the case for one in three (34.2%). Three other neighbourhoods in NSW are more than a quarter Jewish: Vaucluse (29.0%), North Bondi (27.4%) and Bellevue Hill (26.8%).
Table 4. Jewish population as a percentage of total population by SA3 area, 2016 (estimated)* Percent Jewish
Area (based on SA3 boundaries) Eastern Suburbs – North
17.1%
Eastern Suburbs – South
4.5%
Upper North Shore (Ku-ring-gai)
3.3%
Botany
2.0%
Lower North Shore (Chatswood – Lane Cove and North Sydney – Mosman)
1.2%
Sydney Inner City
1.1%
Rest of Sydney
0.1%
Rest of NSW
0.1%
Total NSW
0.6%
* Calculations based on the estimated Jewish population in an area as a proportion of the total estimated population in that area
Table 5. Jewish population as a percentage of total population for the 50 most densely Jewish SSCs* in NSW, 2016* Suburb*
Percent Jewish
Suburb*
Percent Jewish
Suburb*
Percent Jewish
Dover Heights
60.5%
Woollahra
9.8%
Matraville
4.1%
Darlinghurst
2.0%
Rose Bay
34.2%
St Ives Chase
8.6%
Hunters Hill
3.9%
Gordon
2.0%
Vaucluse
29.0%
Bondi Beach
8.2%
Chifley
3.7%
Rosebery
2.0%
North Bondi
27.4%
South Coogee
7.6%
East Lindfield
3.6%
West Pymble
2.0%
Bellevue Hill
26.8%
Edgecliff
7.5%
Kingsford
3.5%
Waterloo
2.0%
Suburb*
Percent Jewish
Point Piper
17.1%
Tamarama
6.2%
East Killara
3.2%
Cammeray
1.9%
Bondi
15.8%
Maroubra
6.0%
Little Bay
3.1%
Lindfield
1.8%
Double Bay
14.0%
Pagewood
5.8%
Kensington
2.9%
Northbridge
1.8%
Bondi Junction
13.5%
Randwick
5.6%
Elizabeth Bay
2.8%
Eastlakes
1.7%
Darling Point
13.1%
Waverley
5.5%
Paddington
2.8%
Redfern
1.7%
Watsons Bay
12.6%
Centennial Park
5.3%
Botany
2.6%
Pymble
1.7%
St Ives
12.1%
Clovelly
5.3%
Killara
2.5%
Queens Park
11.7%
Bronte
4.4%
Coogee
2.5%
* Calculations based on the estimated Jewish population in an area as a proportion of the total estimated population in that area, where there more than 100 a Jews in that area. * an SSC is a State Suburb Code (see note to Table 3)
18 The Jewish population of NSW
3.4 Internal migration Although we can see how the population has changed from census to census, that is not the same as understanding the movement of Jews across Australia and within NSW, known as internal migration. In the five years to 2016 at the national interstate level, NSW experienced net loss (remainder after population losses are subtracted from gains) of 355a people to all other states and territories. Most of this loss was attributable to Victoria (-211a) and Queensland (-109a) (Figure 2).
Migration also occurred at the more localised level (Table 6). Within NSW the largest net movement was away from Ku-ring-gai (Upper North Shore) which experienced a net loss of 470a Jews. By contrast, Eastern Suburbs – South had a net gain of 192a and Botany had a net gain of 148a, rather substantial given its relatively small base in 2011 of 728a. Other net losses were Eastern Suburbs – North (117a) but off a huge base and Chatswood – Lane Cove (87a).
Figure 2. Net migration flow between NSW and all other states, 2011 to 2016 (estimated)
Net of migration flow from/to NSW (persons)
50 6
19
0 -19
-50
-8 -34
-100 -109 -150 -200 -211 -250 Victoria
Queensland
South Australia
Western Australia
Tasmania
Northern Territory
ACT
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 19
Table 6. Net Jewish migration flow into NSW suburbs (SA3 areas) between 2016 and 2011 (estimated)* Jewish population 2016 Eastern Suburbs – South Botany Sydney Inner City
Net change 2011-2016
6,547
192
959
148
2,486
65
630
58
Cronulla – Miranda – Caringbah
220
34
Marrickville – Sydenham – Petersham
280
32
Blue Mountains
203
27
Manly
198
26
Ryde – Hunters Hill
882
26
Strathfield – Burwood – Ashfield
319
18
Gosford
320
17
Hurstville
216
10
Pittwater
231
8
1,118
4
Warringah
North Sydney – Mosman Leichhardt
407
0
Baulkham Hills
250
-1
Kogarah – Rockdale
286
-1
Richmond Valley – Coastal
439
-4
Hornsby
348
-17
Canada Bay
241
-19
Chatswood – Lane Cove
1,459
-87
Eastern Suburbs – North
22,371
-117
4,097
-470
Ku-ring-gai
* Calculations based on the estimated Jewish population in areas with more than 150 a Jews
Finally, we can look at net migration flows between particular suburbs within Sydney. As noted in Table 6, Ku-ring-gai experienced a total net loss of 470a Jews between 2011 and 2016. In Table 7, reading down the columns, we can see that a large proportion of this loss (345a people) was to Eastern Suburbs – North. (Reading across the rows we see the converse, Eastern Suburbs – North had a net gain of 345 Jews from Ku-ring-gai.) Meanwhile, Eastern Suburbs – North itself experienced a net loss of 311a Jews to
Eastern Suburbs – South as well as Sydney Inner City (74a) and Botany (39a). Botany experienced net gains from Eastern Suburbs – South (74a), Sydney Inner City (40a) and Eastern Suburbs – North (39a). Gen17 survey data indicate that 10% of householders had lived in their current home for 30 years or more while just over half (52%) had lived there for up to six years. 10% had recently moved, i.e. they had lived in their current home for less than one year.
20 The Jewish population of NSW
Table 7. Net migration flow between selected NSW suburbs, 2011 – 2016 (estimated)
Botany Botany
Sydney Inner City
Eastern Suburbs – North
Eastern Suburbs – South
Chatswood – Lane Cove
Kuring-gai
North Sydney – Mosman
Ryde – Hunters Hill
Other
-40
-39
-74
0
-3
4
0
4
-74
0
-3
-51
-23
1
44
311
-13
-345
-18
-5
74
-4
-6
-8
5
58
-3
-1
14
57
73
-10
1
5
17
Sydney Inner City
40
Eastern Suburbs – North
39
74
Eastern Suburbs – South
74
0
-311
Chatswood – Lane Cove
0
3
13
4
Ku-ring-gai
3
51
345
6
3
North Sydney – Mosman
-4
23
18
8
1
-73
Ryde – Hunters Hill
0
-1
5
-5
-14
10
-5
Other
-4
-44
-74
-58
-57
-1
-17
16
Total
148
65
-117
192
-87
-470
4
26
-16 239
3.5 Geography and population change in ACT In 2016, the number of Jews in ACT (Australian Capital Territory) in 2016 was 838a, an increase of 17.7% since 2006. Growth was strongest in the first half of the decade (up 13.5%) compared with the second half (up 3.7%). ACT’s Jewish population is spread out and can be found in 67 suburbs. Unusually, Jews are not concentrated in any particular part of Canberra as they are in most other cities where they reside. The top 10 areas (out of 131) account for just 36% of ACT’s total Jewish population; the equivalent for NSW is 48% (and that’s out of 4,500 SSCs). Only three ACT suburbs—Ainslie, Kingston and Watson—appear in the top ten for each of the last three censuses suggesting high levels of population change. This may reflect the unique nature of Canberra’s Jewish population; more itinerant, secular and less Jewishly cohesive than other communities.
Table 8. Largest 10 Jewish suburbs in ACT (SSC), 2006, 2011 and 2016 (estimated) 2006
2011
2016
Watson
24
29
36
Giralang
4
7
35
Ainslie
26
44
34
Griffith
27
24
32
Bruce
10
23
31
O'Connor
17
34
30
Hackett
11
12
28
Curtin
19
18
26
Barton
14
8
25
Kingston
30
22
25
Other
531
588
536
Total
712
808
838
4 Demography
4.1 Age and sex structure The median11 age of Jews in NSW is 44 years which is considerably older than the general population at 38 years. The older Jewish age structure is evident in Figure 3 which indicates
that 43% of the Jewish population is aged under 40 years compared with 52% generally. By contrast, 31% of the Jewish population is aged 60 years and above compared with 22% generally.
Figure 3. Jewish population structure compared with the general population, NSW, 2016 (estimated) 90+
0.8%
80-89
2.2% 3.5%
5.2%
70-79
6.8%
8.9%
Age group
60-69
14.4%
10.7% 12.6% 12.8%
50-59
13.4% 13.3%
40-49 11.4%
30-39 9.1%
20-29
13.9% 13.6%
10.8% 11.9%
10-19
12.1% 12.6%
0-9 0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
Percentage of total population from each age group Jewish (N = 47,800)
All others (N = 7.7m)*
* This number incorporates an adjustment for the estimated resident population (ERP) complied by ABS and is based on the census post enumeration survey (See Graham with Narunsky 2019 op. cit. p70)
11 The mean and median are both measures of the average. The advantage of the median over the more familiar mean is that very large values (outliers) are less distorting.
22
The Jewish population of NSW
As noted, the Jewish population of NSW increased by an estimated 4.9% between 2006 and 2016, primarily as a result of international migration (see section 6.4, below) rather than migratory gains from other states (see section 4.4) or natural increase (see below). Meanwhile, the median age of Jews increased from 42 years in 2006 to 44 years in 2016. Figure 4 shows this ageing graphically. It is apparent how the successive lines steadily shift to the right of the graph i.e. to older ages. This is also reflected in the fact that the number of people in their sixties increased by 60% in the decade, a result of the post WWII baby-boomer generation ageing. By contrast, numbers in their twenties and fifties declined (by 14% and 13% respectively). These changes are mainly the result of ‘population momentum’ (i.e. the hard-wired or underlying age structure of the Jewish population) rather than migration or changes in birth or death rates. As such, it also indicates the likely size of different age groups going forward. Thus, we might expect an equally large increase (also of around 60%) of people aged in their seventies in the 2016 to 2026 decade.
A useful way to understand the shape and likely future trajectory of NSW’s Jewish population is to examine its population structure graphically. This is called a population pyramid and is presented in Figure 5. It shows undulating peaks and troughs which indicate larger and smaller age group sizes. The largest peak is for people aged in their late sixties—these are the baby-boomers who have been entering retirement in recent years. There is a smaller peak of people aged in their early forties—this is the ‘echo’ of the baby-boomer generation, and there is also an ‘echo of the echo’; a peak of children aged around 8 years old with a relatively large group aged 5 to 9 years old in 2016, i.e. the grandchildren of the babyboomers. Beyond that third peak, we can see that the number of children being born is steadily declining, a result of population dynamics. I.e. in the absence of significant net migration, there are simply fewer women of childbearing age coming up the population ranks and, therefore, fewer children being born.
Jewish population in each age group
Figure 4. Jewish population change, NSW, 2006 to 2016 (estimated) 7,000 6,500 6,000 5,500 5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 0-9
10-19
20-29
30-39
40-49
50-59
60-69
70-79
80-89
Age group 2006 (N = 45,576)
2011 (N = 47,570)
2016 (N = 47,800)
90+
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report    23
Age
Figure 5. Age and sex structure for the Jewish population of NSW in single year cohorts, 2016 (estimated) 102 99 96 93 90 87 84 81 78 75 72 69 66 63 60 57 54 51 48 45 42 39 36 33 30 27 24 21 18 15 12 9 6 3 0
Male
450
400
350
Female
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
Number of people per age categrory
Data on the number of people in each single year age cohort are presented in Appendix 4 (Table 65). The pyramid can also be used to examine how the population structure has changed over time. In Figure 6 we can see that compared with 2006, there were relatively more children aged under
10 (+14%) in 2016 but relatively fewer people in their twenties (-14%) and fifties (-13%). But most strikingly there were many more people aged in their sixties (+60%) and nineties (+63%).
24
The Jewish population of NSW
Figure 6. Population change: age and sex structure for the Jewish population of NSW, 2006 and 2016 (estimated) 100+ 95-99 90-94 85-89
Male
Female
80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69
Age group
60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 2,000 1,750 1,500 1,250 1,000 750
500
250
0
250
500
750 1,000 1,250 1,500 1,750 2,000
Number of people in each cohort Male 2016
4.2 Age by location We now examine the age structure in terms of location (Table 9). This shows that Eastern Suburbs – South and Botany have the highest proportions of Jews aged under 20 (29% and 28% respectively). Botany has the lowest proportion of older Jews (age 60+).
Male 2006
Female 2006
Female 2016
Sydney Inner City has the highest proportion of young adults (twenty and thirty somethings). Lower North Shore and Rest of Sydney have the highest proportions of Jews aged 80-89 (9%) and aged 90 and above (11%) respectively.
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 25
Table 9. Age distribution of Jews in NSW, 2016 Eastern Suburbs North
Eastern Suburbs South
Upper North Shore
Lower North Shore
Sydney Inner City
Botany
Rest of Sydney
Rest of NSW
Total
0-9
13.1%
14.3%
11.8%
11.8%
6.3%
14.7%
9.2%
9.7%
12.1%
10-19
11.2%
14.2%
16.0%
6.6%
4.2%
13.7%
7.7%
8.5%
10.8%
20-29
9.5%
7.3%
9.9%
7.9%
16.2%
7.8%
7.6%
7.1%
9.1%
30-39
11.1%
10.5%
7.0%
11.2%
21.0%
12.8%
12.2%
11.3%
11.3%
40-49
12.1%
17.0%
12.7%
12.4%
9.3%
16.7%
15.1%
15.3%
13.4%
50-59
12.3%
11.5%
16.5%
12.7%
9.8%
13.1%
12.5%
14.3%
12.6%
60-69
14.4%
10.8%
14.5%
18.1%
15.1%
10.3%
15.0%
19.5%
14.4%
70-79
9.0%
7.3%
7.1%
10.3%
10.8%
6.3%
10.0%
9.4%
8.9%
80-89
5.2%
4.3%
3.9%
7.0%
6.0%
3.5%
6.7%
3.9%
5.2%
90+
2.0%
2.8%
0.7%
1.9%
1.3%
1.1%
4.0%
1.0%
2.2%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
Total
The next two tables present age data by broad geographical area for 2016 as well as population change since 2011. Gains can be seen across the board in Botany and Rest of NSW. Gains also occurred in Sydney Inner City, especially among younger cohorts and in the Eastern Suburbs, where the picture was more mixed. For example,
in Eastern Suburbs – South there was a 27% increase in the number of 10-19 year olds but a 25% decrease in the number of 30-39 year olds (Table 11). By contrast, in Upper North Shore, gains occurred among those aged 60 and above.
Table 10. Age group by location 2016 (estimated)* Eastern Suburbs North
Eastern Suburbs South
Upper North Shore
Lower North Shore
Sydney Inner City
Botany
Rest of Sydney
Rest of NSW
Total
0-9
2,930
937
482
304
155
140
601
212
5,762
10-19
2,497
934
654
171
104
131
503
185
5,179
20-29
2,129
475
405
205
402
74
497
155
4,343
30-39
2,474
687
286
288
521
122
797
246
5,420
40-49
2,718
1,118
519
320
231
159
992
334
6,391
50-59
2,756
755
675
328
242
124
821
313
6,015
60-69
3,224
706
596
465
373
98
982
426
6,870
70-79
2,018
479
293
266
267
60
655
206
4,243
80-89
1,166
285
159
180
149
34
440
85
2,499
456
181
28
49
32
10
263
22
1,043
22,369
6,557
4,098
2,575
2,475
952
6,552
2,186
47,765
90+ Total
* Excludes No Usual Address and Migratory – Offshore – Shipping
26 The Jewish population of NSW
Table 11. Age group by location, percentage change 2011 to 2016 (estimated)* Eastern Suburbs – North 0-9 10-19
Eastern Suburbs South
Upper North Shore
Lower North Shore
Sydney Inner City
Botany
Rest of Sydney
Rest of NSW
Total
2%
-8%
-2%
10%
35%
18%
-10%
-2%
<1%
<1%
27%
-18%
-2%
14%
61%
-5%
14%
2%
20-29
-9%
-2%
-14%
-19%
-7%
26%
-16%
1%
-9%
30-39
-10%
-25%
-9%
-21%
23%
-3%
-15%
3%
-11%
40-49
5%
13%
-16%
27%
2%
64%
9%
11%
7%
50-59
-5%
4%
-27%
-17%
-20%
33%
-11%
-11%
-9%
60-69
13%
7%
15%
0%
24%
87%
4%
20%
12%
70-79
27%
30%
27%
17%
-12%
-4%
41%
45%
25%
80-89
-12%
-24%
-28%
-6%
-26%
12%
-3%
-4%
-13%
90+
40%
19%
32%
11%
13%
188%
31%
53%
32%
1%
2%
-11%
-3%
2%
32%
-1%
8%
<1%
Total
* Excludes No Usual Address and Migratory – Offshore – Shipping
4.3 Jewish births Census data can be used to provide an estimate of the size of the Jewish birth cohort since it records the total number of babies aged under 1 recorded on the night of the census (9th August 2016). It should be stressed that this is only indicative of the birth cohort and therefore these data represent a proxy for Jewish births rather than an actual measure12. The data are examined in two ways: the ‘point estimate’ shows the estimated number of babies aged under 1 in the census. The ‘average estimate’ is the annual average of the number of children aged under 5 in the census. This approach ameliorates the possibility of temporary fluctuations that might affect the point estimate as well as the typically higher non-response level for very young babies in the census. The results are shown in Table 12 for 2006, 2011 and 2016 for Australia-born, Jewish children. Based on the point estimate, it suggests there were 464 Jewish ‘births’ in NSW in the year to the Census night in August 2016. This is 2% lower than the 2011 equivalent and 13% lower than in 2006. However, if the data are analysed
in terms of averages, then this suggests a slightly larger birth cohort of 486 in 2016 and a 5% increase over the decade. But it also suggests a 10% decrease between the 2007 to 2011 period and the 2012 to 2016 period. Gen17 data indicated that the average age at first birth of Jewish women in NSW aged 45 to 49 years old was 30.0 years. Average age at first birth has been increasing as it was 27.7 years for women aged 55 to 59 and 26.4 years for women aged 65 to 69. In addition, the census shows that 10% of women aged 45 and above13 have never had a baby – an indicator of childlessness. It also shows that on average, Jewish women in NSW aged 45 to 55 years have had 2.0 children which demographers consider to be below replacement level and other data suggest this figure was higher in recent decades. 11% of women in this age group were childless. Figure 7 summarises the data for Jewish women aged 45 and above (i.e. past their reproductive years) and shows that 45% have had two children and 2% have had five or more children.
12 In practice, there is some uncertainty about the accuracy of the census data relating to very young children (under two years old) where under-reporting is more likely than for other groups. 13 This is the age by which the vast majority of women will have given birth.
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 27
Table 12. Jewish ‘births’ in NSW, Australia-born, alternative measures (estimated) Year / period
Point estimate for ‘births’ in the 12 months prior to the census*
Average number of ‘births’ in 5-year period prior to census
Total ‘births’*
5 year % change
10 year % change (2006-2016)
2006
535
x
x
2011
473
-12%
x
2016
464
-2%
-13%
2002 to 2006
463
x
x
2007 to 2011
542
17%
x
2012 to 2016
486
-10%
5%
* These are not counts of births as such but estimates from the total number of babies aged under 1 on the night of the census
Figure 7. Number of children ‘ever born’ to Jewish women aged 45 and above, NSW (Ns refer to the estimated number of women in each category) 4 children, 759, 6%
5 or more children, 209, 2% No children, 1,229, 10%
3 children, 2,979, 24%
1 child, 1,552, 13%
4.4 Jewish deaths (data from communal records) To complete the demographic picture of the Jewish community in NSW, we now examine Jewish deaths using communal statistics on Jewish funerals (burials and cremations). These have been gathered by JCA and show that a total of 464 funerals were recorded in 2016 in NSW. For the period 2012 and 2016, 2,217 Jewish funerals took place, an average of 447 per year (Figure 8). By comparison, 2,012 funerals were recorded for the period 2007 to 2011 (402 per year). In other words, the annual average number of Jewish deaths14 has been increasing.
2 children, 5,512, 45%
Figure 8. Total Jewish burials and cremations recorded, NSW, 2006-2017
Total recorded Jewish burials and cremations
600 477
500 419 400
407
447 392
378
388
430
470
464
485
396
300 200 100 0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Sources: Sydney Chevra Kadisha, North Shore Temple Emanuel and Emanuel Synagogue
14 Note this is not the same as the ‘death rate’ which is the number of deaths as a proportion of the population in a particular time period.
28 The Jewish population of NSW
4.5 Natural population change In summary, the 2007-2016 decade saw considerable demographic dynamism. The first half of the decade (2007-2011), births outpaced deaths (average of 542 birth per year against an average of 402 deaths), on average by about 140 persons per year—in other words, natural increase occurred. However, in the second half of the decade, 2012-2016, while births continued to outpace deaths, the average fell to only about 39 persons per year—a much reduced level. Focusing on point estimate data alone we see that in 2016, there were 464a Jewish births and, coincidently, 464 Jewish deaths in NSW, indicating zero natural change. (Note these data do not reflect other population changes such as net migration (see section 6.4) and assimilation.)
Table 13. Jewish population by age and sex, ACT compared with NSW, 2016 (estimated) Male
There are less than a thousand Jews in ACT, of whom 51.5% are female and 48.5% male (Table 13). Teenagers are under-represented although the proportion aged under 20 was 23% in both ACT and NSW. Nevertheless, the average age of Jews in ACT, 36 years, is rather lower than for those in NSW, 44 years. Compared with NSW, the 20-29 and 30-39 age cohorts in ACT were notably larger in proportionate terms (14% and 16% for ACT versus 9% and 11% respectively for NSW). By contrast, there are proportionately fewer older Jews in ACT than NSW.
Total
ACT % of total
NSW % of total
0-9
47
67
114
14%
12%
10-19
34
39
73
9%
11%
20-29
43
70
113
14%
9%
30-39
65
70
135
16%
11%
40-49
60
44
104
13%
13%
50-59
47
53
100
12%
13%
60-69
52
40
92
11%
14%
70-79
39
34
73
9%
9%
80-89
13
9
22
3%
5%
4
0
4
0%
2%
402
426
828
100%
100%
90+ Total
4.6 Age and sex structure of Jews in ACT
Female
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 29
5 Immigration and belonging
5.1 Place of birth As a traditionally immigrant community, half (49%) of the Jewish population of NSW was not born in Australia. This compares with just under a third (30%) for the rest of the NSW population. One in five (19%) Jews in NSW was born in South Africa, almost one in six (16%) was born in Europe, and 6% was born in Israel (Figure 9). Despite this high level of non-Australian nativity, a high proportion of Jews in NSW nevertheless hold Australian citizenship (94%) reflecting the fact that a majority of overseas born Jews are well integrated within Australian society. Between 2006 and 2016, the proportion of Jews in NSW that was born in Australia increased by 15% (Table 14). This shows the Jewish population
is becoming increasingly ‘native’. Nevertheless, migration from some countries showed increases, for example, the number of Jews born in Israel increased by 23% in the decade and the US-born population increased by 18%. By contrast, the number born in Germany and all East European countries declined by more than 30%, a reflection of the older Holocaust Survivor generation passing on. Meanwhile, the largest migrant group, South Africa-born Jews, experienced a net increase of 4.4% over the decade but, notably, did not increase at all between 2011 and 2016, indicating the end of a long and demographically fruitful period of Jewish South African migration to NSW.
Figure 9. Place of birth, Jewish population of NSW, 2016, N=47,800 (estimated) Rest of Europe 3% UK 5%
Other 3%
Israel 6%
Former Soviet Union* 6% Australia 51%
Eastern Europe 8%
South Africa 19%
* Former Soviet Union includes Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Estonia, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Latvia, Lithuania, Moldova, Russian Federation, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, and Uzbekistan
30â&#x20AC;&#x192;
â&#x20AC;&#x192; The Jewish population of NSW
Table 14. Jewish population of NSW by place of birth, 2006, 2011 and 2016, and change* (estimated) Number
Percentage change
2006
2011
2016
2006-2011
2011-2016
2006-2016
20,377
22,316
23,462
9.5%
5.1%
15.1%
South Africa
8,633
9,018
9,015
4.5%
0.0%
4.4%
Israel
2,211
2,449
2,708
10.8%
10.6%
22.5%
UK
2,098
2,180
2,114
3.9%
-3.0%
0.8%
Rest of E. Europe
1,770
1,569
1,219
-11.4%
-22.3%
-31.1%
Ukraine
1,336
1,498
1,201
12.1%
-19.8%
-10.1%
Rest of W. Europe
1,423
1,407
1,177
-1.1%
-16.3%
-17.2%
930
1,084
1,097
16.6%
1.2%
18.0%
Hungary
1,208
1,019
816
-15.6%
-19.9%
-32.4%
Russian Federation
1,085
1,000
736
-7.8%
-26.4%
-32.2%
Poland
784
655
506
-16.5%
-22.7%
-35.4%
Rest of FSU*
411
455
416
10.7%
-8.6%
1.2%
New Zealand
403
415
403
3.0%
-3.0%
-0.1%
Germany
616
489
392
-20.7%
-19.7%
-36.3%
Other
2,293
978
1,229
-57.3%
25.7%
-46.4%
Total
45,576
46,532
46,493
2.1%
-0.1%
2.0%
Place of Birth Australia
USA
* Excludes Not Stated and Supplementary Codes; for FSU see note to Figure 9
It is also the case that overseas-born groups differ in terms of age profile. Overall, 43% of the Jewish population of NSW is aged under 40 but for Australia-born Jews this is the case for 63%, young even when compared with the general population of NSW (52%) (Figure 10). Just 24% of the overseas born Jewish population is aged under 40. Other Jewish groups with young age profiles are American and Israel born (49% and 42% respectively). By contrast, Jews from Poland, Hungary and Germany have the oldest age profiles, with less than 15% being aged under 65. These differences reflect the very different experiences of migration for these different groups. East European Jews primarily arrived in Australia as post-WWII refugees whereas Americans and Israelis are economic migrants living here temporarily or who have come for marriage and/or to raise families.
Place of birth is also related to where you live and we see different groups concentrated in different areas of NSW. For example, Upper North Shore has a high proportion of South Africa-born Jews (37%), albeit down from 43% in 2011. One sixth (16%) of Jews in Sydney Inner City, and the same proportion in Botany, were born in the FSU, both down from about a quarter (25% for Sydney Inner City and 23% for Botany) in 2011 (Table 15).
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 31
Figure 10. Age distribution of Jewish population of NSW by place of birth, 2016 (estimated)* 100% 11%
90%
11%
14%
16%
23%
24%
31%
80%
41%
25%
44%
70%
40%
32%
44%
60%
86%
33%
87%
89%
51%
50%
46%
40%
33%
42% 63%
30%
25%
10%
52%
49%
42%
20%
43%
24%
17%
13%
23% 5%
13%
6%
2%
FSU
UK
USA
Hungary
Poland
New Zealand
Germany
Total Jewish
Total NSW
23,478 9,014
Israel
South Africa
Australia
0%
2,697
2,361
2,108
1,097
813
505
407
374
47,800
7.8m
0-39 years
40-64 years
65+ years
* All sub-groups with at least 350 peopl
Table 15. Place of birth by location, 2016* (estimated) Australia
South Africa
Israel
FSU
Other
Total
N^
Eastern Suburbs – North
51%
21%
5%
4%
20%
100%
22,371
Eastern Suburbs – South
50%
19%
5%
8%
19%
100%
6,547
Upper North Shore
40%
37%
6%
1%
15%
100%
4,097
Lower North Shore
49%
17%
7%
2%
25%
100%
2,576
Sydney Inner City
42%
9%
5%
16%
28%
100%
2,486
Botany
47%
12%
7%
16%
18%
100%
959
Rest of Sydney
49%
10%
7%
4%
30%
100%
6,549
Rest of NSW
55%
7%
9%
1%
27%
100%
2,180
Total
49%
19%
6%
5%
21%
100%
47,765
* Green shading indicates highest and red shading indicates lowest proportions per country; Rows may not to sum to 100% due to rounding. ^ Excludes No Usual Address (NSW) and Migratory – Offshore – Shipping (NSW)
32 The Jewish population of NSW
5.2 Language The census measures whether, and how well, respondents spoke English. More than threequarters (79%) of Jews in NSW spoke no other language in 2016. Of the remainder (10,141a people), most (73%) spoke English ‘very well’, 17% spoke it ‘well’, and 9% did not speak it well or at all.
The languages in decline such as Hungarian, Polish, German and Yiddish are in line with country of birth trends (see Table 14).
The census also asked about languages spoken at home. The majority (79%) of Jews in NSW spoke English at home but that was not the case for many Jews (9,979a people) and of these, the most common non-English language spoken in Jewish homes was Hebrew, spoken by 3,600a people, followed by Russian with 3,277a speakers (Table 16). Between 2006 and 2016 the number of people who spoke English at home increased by 5%. The total number who spoke a non-English language at home increased by 4%. Over the 2006-2016 decade, Hebrew overtook Russian as the main non-English language with the former increasing by 35% and the latter decreasing by 5%.
Important differences can be observed in terms of languages spoken at home by age group (Figure 11). For example, Hebrew speakers (3,606a) are young with 53% being aged under 40, as are Spanish speakers at 55%. By contrast, Polish speakers are all aged 40 or above and German speakers have the highest percentage aged 70 years or above—66%. As discussed (Table 15), immigrant groups are not randomly distributed across NSW and this is also reflected data on language (Table 17). For example, Russian speakers are over-represented in Eastern Suburbs – South (22%) and Sydney Inner City (15%), as are Hungarian speakers in Eastern Suburbs – North (64%).
Table 16. Language spoken at home, estimated number of people, Jewish population, NSW 2006, 2011 and 2016* Totals Language
2016
Change
2006
2011
2016
Proportion
2006-2011
2011-2016
2006-2016
English
35,561
37,147
37,427
78.9%
4%
1%
5%
Hebrew
2,660
3,200
3,600
7.6%
20%
12%
35%
Russian
3,461
3,626
3,277
6.9%
5%
-10%
-5%
Hungarian
974
802
635
1.3%
-18%
-21%
-35%
French
359
449
471
1.0%
25%
5%
31%
Spanish
252
299
361
0.8%
19%
21%
43%
German
447
331
260
0.5%
-26%
-21%
-42%
Afrikaans
125
147
181
0.4%
17%
23%
45%
Yiddish
233
200
150
0.3%
-14%
-25%
-36%
Polish
217
194
139
0.3%
-11%
-29%
-36%
Other
839
816
904
1.9%
-3%
11%
8%
Total
45,129
47,211
47,406
100.0%
5%
0.4%
5%
* Data exclude: ‘Non-verbal, so described’, ‘Inadequately described’, and ‘Not stated’. Columns may not sum to 100% due to rounding.
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 33
Figure 11. Language spoken at home by age, NSW, 2016 (estimated) 100% 9%
7%
90%
14% 30%
26%
80% 70%
36%
28%
34%
40%
55% 40%
% of population
62%
66%
60% 35%
50%
45% 41%
40% 30%
66% 55%
53%
20%
20%
45% 35%
10%
37% 38%
29%
25% 14%
English
French
Russian
Yiddish
German
Hungarian
Afrikaans
Polish
6%
Hebrew
8%
Spanish
0%
352
3,606
37,420
465
3,285
157
273
627
189
136
Language spoken Under 40
40-69
70+
Table 17. Language spoken at home by location, 2016 (estimated)* English
Hebrew
Russian
Hungarian
French
Spanish
German
Eastern Suburbs – North
48%
44%
40%
64%
43%
29%
47%
36%
47%
Eastern Suburbs – South
13%
11%
22%
9%
14%
15%
12%
15%
14%
Upper North Shore
9%
10%
2%
6%
5%
5%
2%
5%
9%
Lower North Shore
6%
6%
2%
6%
5%
10%
6%
5%
5%
Sydney Inner City
4%
4%
15%
4%
10%
10%
5%
4%
5%
Botany Rest of Sydney Rest of NSW Total N
Other
Total
1%
3%
7%
2%
4%
4%
1%
2%
2%
13%
15%
11%
7%
13%
24%
20%
2%
13%
5%
8%
1%
1%
5%
2%
5%
32%
6%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
37,420
3,606
3,285
627
465
352
273
1,771
47,800
* Columns may not to sum to 100% due to rounding
34
The Jewish population of NSW
5.3 Knowledge of Hebrew and Yiddish (Gen17)
(26%) say they can speak it Well (Figure 12). This is in stark contrast to Yiddish which, as the census shows, is a far less prevalent language. Knowledge of Yiddish is greatest in terms of understanding (9%) with 3% being able to speak it at least 'quite well' (note the census indicates just 0.3% speak it at home (Table 16)).
Whilst the census can tell us about the numbers of people who speak Hebrew and Yiddish ‘at home’, it does not tell us about the general knowledge of these languages and how their importance extends well beyond their census status as ‘mother tongues’. For that we must turn to survey data.
The ability to understand these languages is related to age but in opposite directions. Excluding those born in Israel, the younger a person is, the more likely it is they understand Hebrew 'quite well' or 'very well' but the opposite is the case for understanding Yiddish, a language of the old in NSW15 (Figure 13).
The ability to speak Hebrew does not correspond well with the ability to read the language (among Jews living outside Israel). Almost half (46%) of Gen17 respondents in NSW can read Hebrew 'quite well' or 'very well' and half as many
Figure 12. Ability to read, speak and understand Hebrew and Yiddish, NSW (Gen17 N=3,938 per item)
Hebrew
Read
18%
Speak
13%
Yiddish
Understand
Read Speak Understand
28% 14%
14%
46%
26% 17%
31%
1% 4% 5% <1% 3% 3% 2% 0%
8% 5%
9% 10%
15% Very well
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Quite well
Q: How well can you read, speak and understand Hebrew? Q: How well can you read, speak and understand Yiddish?
15 In places such as Victoria, where there are large Haredi communities, this is not the Case. See Graham with Narunsky 2019 op. cit. p32
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 35
Yiddish
Hebrew*
Figure 13. Ability to understand Hebrew and Yiddish quite well or very well by age group*, NSW (Gen17 N=3,938) 18-39 years
17%
40-59 years
18%
60-79 years
9%
80+ years
8%
18-39 years 40-59 years
43%
25% 33%
15% 20%
12% 13%
5%
<1% 3% 4% <1% 6% 5%
60-79 years
3%
80+ years
3% 0%
16%
13%
21%
17% 5%
10%
15%
20%
Very well
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Quite well
* Excluding those born in Israel
Figure 14. Ability to speak Hebrew and Yiddish Quite well or Very well by current religious/Jewish identification^, NSW (Gen17 N=3,938 per item) Strictly Orthodox/Haredi*
54%
23%
Modern Orthodox
27%
4%
Traditional
23%
4%
Masorti/Conservative
19%
5%
No denomination – just Jewish
17%
3%
Non-practising (secular/cultural)
14%
3%
Progressive/Reform
13%
1% 0%
10% Hebrew^
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Yiddish
^ Excluding those born in Israel * The sample size for Strictly Orthodox/Haredi is not statistically reliable although the results should be considered indicative
The ability to speak Hebrew is related to current religious/Jewish identification. In general, the more religious a respondent’s position, the more likely it is they can speak Hebrew (Figure 14). But this is not the case for Yiddish. Whilst Strictly Orthodox Jews are by far the most likely to be able to speak
Yiddish, the next group is Masorti/Conservative, with similar levels among Modern Orthodox, Traditional and Secular/cultural Jews.
36
The Jewish population of NSW
5.4 Immigration The number of Jewish migrants arriving in NSW in 201516 was estimated to be 391 (Table 18). This was 10% lower than the equivalent figure for 2010 (435). However, such point estimates are susceptible to fluctuations and an alternative approach is to examine average data, mitigating this possibility. These show that migratory inflows were 29% lower in the 2011-2015 period than in the earlier 2006-2010 period (Table 18). (Note these are gross, not net, figures as they do not reflect Jewish emigration from Australia.)
Table 18. Year of arrival* in NSW, Jewish population, various years (estimated) Time period Point estimate
Annual 5 year average
Year/period^
Number of arrivals
2010
435
2015
391
2006-2010
465
2011-2015
331
% change 10%
-29%
* The census question asks, in what year did you ‘first arrive in Australia to live’ for at least one year. ^ Since the census takes place in August and year of arrival data are recorded by the calendar year, data for 2016, 2011 and 2006 are incomplete in each respective census hence the figures for the most recent complete datasets are presented here.
Examining migration in more detail, 1,657 Jews living in NSW in 2016 arrived from overseas from 2011 to 2015 (Table 19). This was 9% lower than the equivalent number arriving from 2006 and 2010 and 30% lower than the equivalent number arriving from 2001 to 2005. Much of this decline has been due to falling migration from South Africa, which declined by 67% over the period. The significance of this can been seen by the fact that almost as many migrants arrived from South Africa in the five years from 2001 to 2005 as arrived in the ten years from 2006 to 2015 (1,303 versus 1,488 respectively). Although migration from Israel and Other countries has picked up, the numbers hardly compensate for the South African decline. Total in-migration to NSW has actually been declining since the late 1990s (Figure 15). South African migration peaked in the 1996-2000 period which itself eclipsed the FSU peak of the early 1990s. NSW entered a new phase of Jewish migration after 2005 where no single country dominated the picture. In fact, Jewish migrants from South Africa, who comprised more than two thirds (71%) of new arrivals in the late nineties, dropped to 55%, 41% and 26% of new arrivals in successive five-year periods to be equal with Israel (26%) in the most recent (2011-2015) period.
Table 19. Estimated number of Jewish overseas arrivals to NSW by place of origin, 2001-2005, 2006-2010, 2011-2015* Wave 1
Wave 2
Wave 3
2001 - 2005
2006 - 2010
2011 - 2015
Number of arrivals in period South Africa
1,303
% of arrivals
Number of arrivals in period
55%
754
% of arrivals 41%
Number of arrivals in period 437
% of arrivals
% change wave1wave2
% change wave2wave3
% change wave1wave3 -67%
26%
-42%
-42%
Israel
461
19%
334
18%
425
26%
-28%
27%
-8%
Other
605
26%
731
40%
795
48%
21%
9%
31%
Total
2,369
100%
1,819
100%
1,657
100%
-23%
-9%
-30%
* Totals show the number of Jewish arrivals who were present on each respective census night (in 2006, 2011 and 2016) and who arrived in the preceding five-year period. Therefore, people who arrived in the period but left prior to census night of that period are not included. As each census takes place in August, the data relate to the five-year period to December of the year preceding the census year to ensure complete years are compared.
16 Since the census took place in August 2016 the most recent full year of data is used, i.e. the calendar year 2015
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 37
Finally, it should be noted that the census ultimately presents an incomplete picture of migration as it does not (and cannot) gather data on outflows such as the number of Jews
leaving NSW for other countries, especially Israel (e.g. due to Aliya). For these figures, international census data and arrival records may be consulted.
Figure 15. Number of Jewish migrants present in NSW in 2016 by period of arrival and place of origin (estimated)* 3,000
Estimated number of Jewsih migrants
2,750
477
619
2,500
189
2,250 2,000
525
526 637
1,750 1,500
404
137
1,250 585
1,000
1,047
1,032
500 4 27 5
69
36 21 17
517
566
36 14 73
70 9 36
681 729
80
545 2,056 1,574
549
250
461
658
80
549
128
334
161
750
0
162
277
1,303
49
995 759
754
696
425 66 437
104 70 85
Period of arrival South Africa
FSU
Israel
Other
* these data include migrants who were present in 2016—i.e. migrants who passed away or otherwise left Australia since their arrival are excluded
38 The Jewish population of NSW
5.5 Reasons for migrating (Gen17) Gen17 respondents who were not born in Australia, were asked to give the two most important reasons they had for leaving their home country, i.e. key push factors. By far the most important reason was family ‘parents brought me to Australia, partner relocated job etc.’ (34%) (Figure 16). The second most important reason was ‘poor political situation’ in their country of origin (22%) closely followed by ‘poor future for my children’ (21%).
But the reasons given differed depending on the country from which immigrants originated. For example, those from Israel, the UK and the USA primarily cited family reasons (UK immigrants also cited lifestyle/climate) (Table 20). And while those from East European countries also cited family reasons, they, together with migrants from South Africa and the Former Soviet Union, also mentioned poor political situation. They were also likely to mention ‘To escape persecution’.
Figure 16. Most important and second most important reason for immigrants leaving their home country to come to Australia, NSW (Gen17 N=2,224) Family reasons (parents brought me to Australia, partner relocated job etc.)
34%
8% 16%
Poor political situation 10%
Poor future for my children
9%
To escape social strife/crime Poor economic/employment prospects
4%
To escape persecution
4% 5% 3%
Poor lifestyle/climate
22% 21%
13%
11%
7%
2% 5%
To escape war/terrorism
1% 2%
Poor educational opportunities Other reason(s) to leave (please specify)
6%
14%
2%
Prefer not to say 0% Most important reason
5%
10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
Second most important reason
Q: Which, if any, of the following reasons prompted you to leave your country of origin? If you lived in more than one country, please refer to the country you lived in for the longest period of time before coming to Australia.
In terms of reasons given for coming to Australia, or ‘pull factors’, the most important reason was again family related with 31% saying they ‘came with my parents as a child’ (Figure 17). The second most important reason given was that Australia offered ‘a safe environment’.
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Reportâ&#x20AC;&#x192; â&#x20AC;&#x192; 39
Table 20. Most important reason cited by immigrants for leaving their home country to come to Australia, by country of origin, NSW (Gen17 N=2,224)**
South Africa
Ukraine + Russian Federation
United Kingdom
Israel
USA
Eastern Europe^
To escape social strife/crime
22%
2%
<1%
6%
4%
1%
To escape persecution
<1%
<1%
<1%
8%
<1%
17%
Poor future for my children
19%
7%
4%
11%
3%
1%
Family reasons*
22%
46%
46%
35%
60%
40%
Poor political situation
27%
3%
1%
15%
1%
19%
Poor lifestyle/climate
1%
5%
14%
1%
2%
2%
Other reason(s) to leave
9%
32%
34%
22%
30%
20%
Prefer not to say
1%
5%
<1%
2%
1%
<1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Total
** proportions above 10% highlighted * Parents brought me to Australia, partner relocated job etc. ^ Poland, Hungary and Germany
Figure 17. Most important and second most important reason for immigrants to come to Australia, NSW (Gen17 N=2,224) Came with my parents as a child
31%
3%
To join family or partner here
12% 10%
Better future for my children
6%
Australia is similar to my country of origin Employment reasons (e.g. recruited by employer)
2%
24% 17%
5%
Ability to obtain an Australian visa
5%
Better economic prospects
4%
8% 11%
2% 2% 1% 3%
Educational reasons (e.g. to study) The Jewish community here
6%
Other reason(s) to move here (please specify) 1% 0% Most important reason
19%
10%
A safe environment
Prefer not to say
19%
5%
10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
Second most important reason
40%
40 The Jewish population of NSW
In general, NSW Jewish immigrants were just as likely to feel ‘more at ease’ with Australian born people (19%) as they were with people from their own country (21%) (Figure 19). But this level differed depending on country of origin with those from Israel and South Africa being most at ease with their fellow (respective) migrants and least at ease with people born in Australia. By contrast, those born in Eastern Europe were most at ease with those born in Australia.
5.6 Immigrant wellbeing and integration (Gen17) Overall, most (83%) NSW respondents not born in Australia were more satisfied with their lives in Australia than in their countries of origin, but levels of satisfaction varied with the greatest being among those from the Former Soviet Union (95%) and the lowest (but still not absolutely low) among those from the United States (70%) (Figure 18).
As with life satisfaction, levels of ease are closely related to the length of time immigrants have been living in Australia. Those who have been living here the longest were most at ease with people born in Australia (~30%) and those who have been here the shortest were most at ease with people from their own country of origin (~30%).
Levels of satisfaction tend to increase the longer a person has been living in Australia. For example, of those respondents who arrived here relatively recently, from 2015-2017, 26% said they were much more satisfied with their lives in Australia whereas this was the case for 44% of those who arrived here from 2005-2009 and for 62% of those who arrived in the early 1990s.
Figure 18. Levels of immigrant’s satisfaction with life in Australia compared with the country you previously lived in, by country of birth, NSW (Gen17 N=2,224)
Total
Ukraine + Russian Federation
83.2%
24%
59%
17%
78%
Eastern Europe
13%
73%
South Africa
27%
59%
United Kingdom Israel
45%
USA
38% 0%
27% 32%
86.0% 85.5% 84.8%
34%
51%
94.6%
72.0% 69.9%
10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Much more satisfied
More satisfied
Q: Compared to life in the country you lived in permanently before coming to Australia, how satisfied are you with your life in Australia?
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 41
Figure 19. Extent to which immigrants feel at ease with people born in Australia, by country of birth, NSW (Gen17 N=2,224) 40% 35%
35%
32%
30%
29%
30% 25%
21%
20% 15%
14%
11%
21%
19%
17%
16%
19%
12% 9%
10% 5% 0% Israel
South Africa
USA
Ukraine + Russian Federation
United Kingdom
Eastern Europe
Total
More at ease with people from my country of origin More at ease with people born in Australia Q: Do you currently feel more at ease among people born in Australia or people from your country of origin?
Figure 20. Sense of belonging to Australia by country of birth, NSW (Gen17 N=3,938)
Total
12% 2%
31%
53%
1% 1%
1% <1% Australia born
7%
26%
65%
2% 1% Immigrant 0%
10%
20%
15%
33%
46% 30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Very strong
Quite strong
Neutral (neither strong nor weak)
Quite weak
Very weak
Don’t know/Prefer not to say
90%
3% 100%
Q: To what extent do you have a sense of belonging in Australia?
Similar results were seen in terms of sense of belonging to Australia. Overall, just over half (53%) said they had a very strong sense of belonging but among those born in Australia, this is 65%; among those born overseas it is
lower at 46% (Figure 20). Even so, 79% of immigrants have a quite or very strong sense of belonging to Australia.
6 Jewish households
In the following section, the census data are enumerated (i.e. unadjusted) unless otherwise stated17 . Also, in this section, the words ‘household’ and ‘dwelling’ are used interchangeably.
6.1 Jewish household type A Jewish household refers to any dwelling in which at least one occupant reported Jewish by religion in the 2016 Census, regardless of the religion responses of other household members. By this definition there were 17,452u Jewish households in NSW in 2016 (41% of the 42,953u Jewish households in Australia). Jewish households comprise 0.52% of the total of 2.6 million households in NSW. Of these, 3,811u were lone persons, 12,926u were families (i.e. dwellings containing more than one related person, including 1,174u Jewish lone parent households) and 715u were ‘group households’ (which comprise unrelated people over the age of 15 who share a home). In addition to these Jewish households, a further 1,122u Jewish people were living in ‘non-private dwellings’, i.e. primarily care homes and retirement homes. Comparisons with 2011 are complicated by the fact that the adjustment factor applied in this report only relates to individuals, not households or families (see Appendix 6) and a less detailed definition of Jewish household was used in 2011. However, in Appendix 5 some experimental comparisons using different approaches are made alongside a more detailed explanation of the technical issues.
There are various other ways in which a Jewish household might be defined and, in this analysis, we identify Jewish household in terms of the following three types: • All-Jewish – all members reported Jewish (this includes lone persons) • Jewish and No religion/Not stated – at least one person reported Jewish and at least one other person reported No religion or Not stated but no one reported an Other (non-Jewish) religion • Jewish and Other religion – at least one person reported Jewish and at least one person reported a different religion (e.g. Christian) Just over two out of three (69%) NSW Jewish households are All-Jewish (i.e. all members are Jewish), although almost one in three (31%) of these is a lone person household (Figure 21). A further 14% comprise at least one Jewish person living with at least one person who reported No religion or did not state a religion (but not with anyone stating a different religion) and around one in six (17%) comprise at least one Jewish person living with a person who had an Other religion (mainly Christian). By contrast, a higher proportion, 74%, of Victorian Jewish households are All-Jewish and 12% comprised at least one Jewish person living with a person who had an Other religion.
17 For a full description of the adjustment methodology applied, please see Appendix 3 of Graham D with Narunsky L 2019 op. cit.
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 43
Figure 21. Jewish households by type, NSW, 2016 (enumerated) N=17,452
Jewish and No Religion/ Not Stated 2,465 14% Jewish and Other religion 3,043 17%
All Jewish 8,133 47%
Lone Person 3,811 22%
Whilst two out of five (42%) Jewish households in NSW are located in Eastern Suburbs – North (where 15% of all households in the area are Jewish) (Table 21), 17% of households are found in Rest of Sydney. This is a notably high proportion given that this region accounts for 13% of the Jewish population (see Table 2). Eastern Suburbs – North has the highest proportion of All-Jewish households (82%) which tends to correlate with Jewish population size and density –the lowest proportions of All-Jewish are in Rest of Sydney and Rest of NSW where the Jewish population is small and spread out.
Table 21. Jewish households by location (SA3) and Jewish household type, 2016**
Total Jewish households*
Location
All-Jewish
Jewish + No Religion or Not Stated
Jewish + Other Religion
Total^
% of total Jewish households in NSW^
% of households in each locality that are Jewish
7,393
Eastern Suburbs - North
82%
9%
9%
100%
42%
15.3%
2,055
Eastern Suburbs - South
72%
14%
14%
100%
12%
4.1%
1,284
Sydney Inner City
57%
24%
19%
100%
7%
1.5%
1,182
Upper North Shore
78%
9%
13%
100%
7%
3.1%
1,119
Lower North Shore
58%
17%
25%
100%
6%
1.4%
Botany
64%
11%
26%
100%
2%
2.1%
3,001
Rest of Sydney
39%
22%
38%
100%
17%
0.2%
1,087
Rest of NSW
40%
23%
37%
100%
6%
0.1%
Total
67%
14%
19%
100%
100%
0.8%
337
17,458
* total does not sum to 17,452 households due to confidentiality controls employed by ABS ** Green shading indicates highest and orange shading indicates lowest proportions per household type ^ totals may not add to 100% due to rounding
44
The Jewish population of NSW
6.2 Average household size
6.3 Household tenure
NSW households with at least one Jewish person had an average size of 2.7 persons per household, slightly smaller than for the general population at 2.9 (Table 22). Excluding lone person households, this increases to 3.1. The average size of Jewish households where all members are Jewish was 2.4 and smaller than the average household size of households containing at least one Jew with at least one other member who is not Jewish, or No religion or religion Not stated which are similar at 3.0 and 3.1 respectively.
Almost two out of five (38%) Jewish households in NSW are owned outright, a somewhat higher proportion than in the state generally (32%) (Figure 22). This is because the Jewish age structure is older and older people are more likely to have paid off their mortgages. A total of 4,576u Jewish households are rented and Jews are less likely to rent their home than is generally the case (26% compared with 31% respectively).
Table 22. Average household size (persons per household) by household type, NSW, 2016
All households
All households excluding lone persons
Jewish population
2.7
3.1
General population
2.9
3.2
All-Jewish
2.4
3.1
Jewish and No religion/ Not stated
3.0
N/A
Jewish and Other religion
3.1
N/A
Jewish household type
Jewish home ownership varies considerably by location. For example, almost half (47%) of Jewish households in Lower North Shore are owned outright (closely followed by Eastern Suburbs – North and Upper North Shore, both on 46%) whereas in Botany, this is the case for only one in five (20%) Jewish homes and is probably reflective of a younger age structure in that area (Table 23) (see section 5.2). By contrast, renting is very common (54%) in Sydney Inner City and Botany (39%) but far less common elsewhere. More than a third of Jewish homes in Botany (40%), Eastern Suburbs–South (39%) and Ku-ringgai (36%) are owned with a mortgage. Average household size is also quite variable by location. It is largest in Eastern Suburbs – South at 3.2 persons per household and Sydney Inner City (also 3.2) and smallest in rest of Sydney (2.0). This will be reflective of differing age structures and levels of religiosity in different areas.
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Reportâ&#x20AC;&#x192; â&#x20AC;&#x192; 45
Figure 22. Tenure: Jewish households compared with the rest of the population, NSW, 2016 (enumerated) 38%
40% 35%
32%
32% 32%
30%
31% 26%
25% 20% 15% 10% 5%
2%
2%
2%
3%
0% Owned outright
Owned with a mortgage
Rented
Jewish Households (N = 17,452)
Other tenure
Not stated
All Other Households (N = 2.6m)
Table 23 Jewish household^ tenure and household size by location, 2016 (enumerated)* Owned outright
Owned with a mortgage
Rented
Other tenure
Total
N
Average household size**
Eastern Suburbs - North
46%
29%
22%
3%
100%
7,386
3.0
Eastern Suburbs - South
29%
39%
30%
2%
100%
2,044
3.2
Sydney Inner City
21%
24%
54%
1%
100%
1,286
3.2
Upper North Shore
46%
36%
17%
1%
100%
1,174
2.2
Lower North Shore
47%
29%
23%
1%
100%
1,097
2.3
Botany
20%
40%
39%
1%
100%
323
3.0
Rest of Sydney
32%
37%
28%
3%
100%
3,054
2.0
Rest of NSW
36%
33%
29%
3%
100%
1,072
2.5
NSW
39%
32%
27%
2%
100%
17,434
2.7
Location
* Green shading indicates highest and orange shading indicates lowest proportions per tenure type; Rows may not to sum to 100% due to rounding. ^ any dwelling in which at least one person is Jewish. Excluding ownership type not stated ** persons per household
46 The Jewish population of NSW
6.4 Household composition Compared with the NSW general population, Jews are more likely to live in couple families (66% compared with 60%) but they are just as likely to live alone (22% compared with 23%) (Figure 23). On the other hand, Jews are notably less likely to live in one parent households (7% compared with 12%). There were 1,174u one parent Jewish households in NSW. There is significant variation in Jewish household composition at the local level (Table 24). For example, over half (51%) of households in Upper North Shore consist of couples with children, compared with 14% in Sydney Inner City. Jewish lone person households make up 10% of Upper North Shore households but a third (33%) in Sydney Inner City. Some of these differences occur because there is high variation in household stock across the city with apartments in Sydney Inner City and family homes further out.
6.5 Lone persons It was seen above that Jews are as likely to live alone as those in the general population (Figure 23). In 2016, 4,141i Jewish people (aged 20 years
and above) lived alone in NSW, a figure which has increased by 3% over the last decade, although it is lower than in 2011 (Table 25). However, there has been far greater variation by age group. For example, the number of Jewish people aged 60-74 living alone increased by 63% over the decade whereas the number aged 75-84 years decreased by 18% yet the number aged 85 years and above increased by 22%. These changes are mainly structural, i.e. due to the shape of the underlying age structure of the population, rather than a result of preference for living alone. As such, we can expect the number of Jews aged 75 and above and living alone to increase in the coming years. The proportion of people in any particular age group living alone increases with age. Among young adults in 2016, 7% lived alone compared with a third (33%) of people aged 85 and above. It is also instructive to examine whether the likelihood of living alone has changed. This is shown in the final three columns of Table 25. In 2016, 7% of people aged 20-39 lived alone, compared with 9% a decade earlier. This suggests that the propensity to live alone has declined in younger age groups. Moreover, although slightly more people lived alone in 2016 than they did in 2006, the likelihood of living alone has declined across the board.
Figure 23. Household composition – Jewish and general population, NSW, 2016 (enumerated) 100% 90% 80% 70%
4%
4%
22%
23%
7%
1%
60% 50%
30%
Group household Lone person household 1%
12%
Other family
27%
One parent family
40% Couple family with no children
30% 20%
36%
33%
Jewish Households (N = 17,452)
Other Households (N = 2.7m)
10% 0%
Couple family with children
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 47
Table 24. Jewish household type by location, 2016 (enumerated)*
Location
Couple family with children
Couple family with no children
One parent family
Lone person household
Other family
Group household
Total
N
Eastern Suburbs - North
36%
30%
6%
1%
24%
3%
100%
7,440
Eastern Suburbs - South
45%
24%
8%
0%
19%
4%
100%
2,060
Sydney Inner City
14%
35%
4%
1%
33%
12%
100%
1,279
Upper North Shore
51%
31%
7%
0%
10%
1%
100%
1,198
Lower North Shore
33%
37%
4%
0%
22%
3%
100%
1,108
Botany
42%
23%
12%
0%
21%
2%
100%
322
Rest of Sydney
37%
31%
7%
1%
19%
5%
100%
2,985
Rest of NSW
29%
33%
9%
0%
22%
7%
100%
1,090
Total NSW
36%
30%
7%
1%
22%
4%
100%
17,482
* Orange shading indicates lowest and green indicates highest proportions per column; rows may not sum to 100% due to rounding
Table 25. Jewish people who live alone by age, NSW, 2006 and 2011 enumerated, 2016 interpolated* Total number of lone persons 2006
2011
2016
% change in number of lone persons 2006-16
20-39
835
765
582
40-59
992
954
60-74
823
75-84 85 and above
Age group
Total (age 20+)
Lone persons as a percentage of all persons in each age group 2006
2011
2016
-30%
9%
8%
7%
876
-12%
9%
9%
8%
1,169
1,342
63%
18%
17%
17%
876
721
722
-18%
32%
29%
27%
506
590
619
22%
37%
32%
33%
4,033
4,199
4,141
3%
14%
14%
12%
* Although data for households have not generally been adjusted (see Appendix 6), data for lone persons in 2016 have been interpolated
7 Jewish partnerships and families
A ‘Jewish family’ comprises any dwelling with at least two or more related people, of which at least one person reported Jewish. In other words, ‘Jewish families’ exclude lone person households and group households (where unrelated people share a dwelling). As with data on households, data on Jewish families are unadjusted unless otherwise stated.
Jewish families (80%) (Table 26). By contrast, this is the case for only 25% of Jewish families in Rest of NSW where Jewish families with non-Jewish members are most likely to be located (45%). As with Jewish households, the likelihood of all family members being Jewish inversely correlates with Jewish population size and density. Most (77% or 10,007u) Jewish families consisted of married couples alongside 1,640u (13%) de facto couple families and 1,174u (9%) one parent families. Compared with the rest of the NSW population, Jews are more likely to live as married couples with children (45% versus 40% respectively) and almost half as likely to live in one parent families (9% versus 16% respectively) (Table 27).
7.1 Jewish families A total of 12,926u Jewish families were enumerated in NSW in 2016 and 62% of these are All-Jewish (all family members are Jewish). The location with the largest number of Jewish families is Eastern Suburbs – North which also has the highest proportion of All-
Table 26. Jewish families, by Jewish family type and location, 2016 (enumerated)* Total Jewish families
Location
All-Jewish
Jewish + No religion or Not stated
Jewish + Other religion
Total
5,453
Eastern Suburbs - North
80%
10%
10%
100%
1,597
Eastern Suburbs - South
69%
16%
15%
100%
1,053
Upper North Shore
77%
10%
13%
100%
822
Lower North Shore
49%
21%
30%
100%
702
Sydney Inner City
42%
34%
24%
100%
258
Botany
60%
14%
26%
100%
Rest of Sydney
28%
27%
44%
100%
Rest of NSW
25%
30%
45%
100%
Total NSW
62%
17%
21%
100%
2,266 776 12,927
* Green shading indicates highest and orange shading indicates lowest proportions per household type.
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Reportâ&#x20AC;&#x192; â&#x20AC;&#x192; 49
Table 27. Couple type by family composition, Jewish families and all other families, NSW, 2016 (enumerated) Marital Status* Married De facto Not married
Total Jewish families N=12,926
All Other Families N=1.9m
Couple family with children
45%
40%
Couple family with no children
32%
29%
4%
5%
Family composition
Couple family with children Couple family with no children
9%
8%
One parent family
9%
16%
Other family
Total
1%
2%
100%
100%
* Social marital status of family reference person
Table 28. Social marital status by family composition and Jewish family type, NSW, 2016 (enumerated) Marital status* Married
De facto
Not married
All-Jewish
Jewish + No religion or Not stated
Jewish + Other religion
Total
N
Couple family with children
63%
16%
21%
100%
5,811
Couple family with no children
70%
11%
19%
100%
4,196
Couple family with children
22%
38%
40%
100%
505
Couple family with no children
28%
37%
35%
100%
1,135
One parent family
74%
16%
10%
100%
1,174
Other family
68%
21%
11%
100%
120
62%
17%
21%
100%
12,941
Family composition
Total
* Social marital status of family reference person ^ This does not sum to 12,926 due to confidentiality controls employed by ABS
Married couple families, whether with or without children, are far more likely to be All-Jewish than de facto couple families, for example, 63% of married couples with children are All-Jewish families compared with 22% of de facto couples with children (Table 28). In terms of registered marital status, Jewish families in NSW are more likely to consist of a married couple (with or without children) than other families in the state (78% versus 70% respectively) (Table 29). They are slightly less likely to be divorced and widowed and far less likely to be Never married (9% versus 15% respectively), mainly a reflection of the older Jewish age structure.
Table 29. Registered marital status of family reference person, by Jewish household type, NSW, 2016 (enumerated) All-Jewish families
All other families
Married
78%
70%
Divorced
8%
8%
Separated
2%
4%
Widowed
2%
3%
Marital Status
Never married Total N
9%
15%
100%
100%
12,926
1.9m
50â&#x20AC;&#x192; â&#x20AC;&#x192; The Jewish population of NSW
Jewish families in NSW are more likely to have no children at home than other families (42% versus 38%) (Table 30). On the other hand, they are slightly more likely to have dependent children (48% versus 47%).
When dependent children are present, those who are All-Jewish are more likely than other Jewish families to have three or more children (24%). Overall, they have an average of 2.0 dependent children at home, compared with 1.8 when at least one person has No religion or Not stated (Table 31).
Table 30. Count of dependent children, by Jewish family type, NSW, 2016 (enumerated)* All-Jewish
Jewish + No religion or Not stated
Jewish + Other religion
Total Jewish families
All other families
No children
42%
40%
44%
42%
38%
No dependent children^
11%
11%
9%
10%
15%
At least one dependent child
47%
49%
47%
48%
47%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
N
7,986
2,210
2,730
12,926
1.9m
* A dependent child/ren comprises all children aged 0-14 years and all dependent students aged 15-24 years ^ this refers to families who have children present but who are not dependent
Table 31. Families with Dependent Children, by Jewish family type, NSW, 2016 (enumerated)* All-Jewish
Jewish + No religion or Not stated
Jewish + Other religion
Total Jewish families
All other families
One dependent child
31%
38%
36%
33%
39%
Two dependent children
44%
48%
45%
45%
41%
Three dependent children
20%
12%
16%
18%
15%
Four or more dependent children
4.3%
2.8%
2.4%
3.6%
4.7%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
N
3,782
1,080
1,291
6,153
0.9m
2.0
1.8
1.9
1.9
1.9
Average number of dependent children
* A dependent child/ren comprises all children aged 0-14 years and all dependent students aged 15-24 years
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 51
7.2 Marital status
Jews in NSW are far more likely to live in apartments and semi-detached homes than is generally the case. As a result, they are far less likely to live in separate (detached) houses (48% versus 74% generally) (Table 32).
In addition to formalised, ‘Registered Marriages’, the census also records ‘Social Marital Status’.18 Jews are more likely to be married (registered) than the general population of NSW (59% compared with 50% respectively) (Figure 24). And Jews are slightly less likely to be in de facto partnerships than is generally the case (7% versus 9%). They are also less likely to be ‘Never married’ (21% versus 27%), which is at least partly due to their older Jewish age structure.
Table 32. Type of dwelling, Jewish families and all other families, NSW, 2016 (enumerated) Total Jewish families (N=12,296)
All other families (N=1.9m)
Separate house
48%
74%
Semi-detached, row or terrace house, townhouse etc.
18%
10%
Flat or apartment
33%
15%
Other/Not stated
1%
1%
100%
100%
Total
Figure 24. Current marital status – Jewish population and general population, (all people aged 15 and above, estimated) NSW, 2016 70% 59%
60%
50%
50% 40% 30%
27% 21%
20% 7%
10%
9% 2%
2%
7%
6%
6%
5%
0% Never married*
Married
Married de facto
Jewish (N = 36,793)
Separated*
Divorced*
Widowed*
General Population (N = 5.6m)
* These people were currently unpartnered (no de facto relationship) at the time of the census
18 Social Marital Status indicates a person’s relationship status based on current living arrangements of couples. Where a couple relationship exists in the household, the type of relationship is identified (ABS 2016 Census Dictionary page 107).
52
The Jewish population of NSW
Between 2006 and 2016, there was an 5% increase (1,003a) in the number of Jewish adults living in registered marriages in NSW (though not all married Jews were married to other Jews) (Table 33). However, the largest proportionate increase was in the number of de facto partnerships (up by 29% in the decade, an increase of 581a). The number who were ‘Never married’ was down slightly (by 2.6%).
variables. Not all people who are ‘Married’ are in a marriage and similarly, not all people who are ‘Never married’ are unpartnered. Thus, 17% of people whose status is Never married were in de facto marriages as were 21% of people whose status is currently Divorced. Marital status is shown geographically in Table 34. Sydney Inner City has the highest proportion of adults who have never been married (40%) due to its relatively large young-adult population (see Table 9). On the other hand, Sydney Inner City has the lowest proportion of married Jews (39%) compared with Upper North Shore which has the highest proportion (67%).
Because 'registered marriage' and ‘social marital status’ measure different things—the former being about ceremony, the latter about partnership status—we can cross tabulate these
Table 33. Current partnership status (persons aged 15 and above), NSW Jewish population, 2006 and 2016 (estimated)* Total Current partnership status
Percent
2006
2016
2006
2006 to 2016 2016
Total change
% change
Never married (no partner)
7,783
7,581
20.6%
19.4%
-201
-2.6%
Married (living with spouse)
20,153
21,156
53.4%
54.0%
1,003
5.0%
Living in de facto marriage
1,979
2,560
5.2%
6.5%
581
29.4%
586
619
1.6%
1.6%
33
5.7%
Currently divorced (no partner)
2,037
2,443
5.4%
6.2%
406
19.9%
Widowed (no partner)
2,394
2,084
6.3%
5.3%
-310
-13.0%
Other
2,831
2,729
7.5%
7.0%
-102
-3.6%
Total
37,763
39,173
100.0%
100.0%
1,512
3.7%
Separated (no partner)
* Columns may not to sum due to rounding
Table 34. Marital status by area (persons aged 15 and above), NSW Jewish population, 2016 (estimated)* Never married
Married
Separated
Eastern Suburbs - North
24%
60%
2%
Eastern Suburbs - South
24%
58%
3%
Divorced
Widowed
Total
N
7%
7%
100%
18,079
8%
8%
100%
5,075
Upper North Shore
23%
67%
<1%
4%
5%
100%
3,302
Sydney Inner City
40%
39%
4%
11%
7%
100%
2,293
Lower North Shore
20%
62%
1%
9%
8%
100%
2,155
Botany
24%
53%
4%
12%
7%
100%
746
Rest of Sydney
25%
51%
2%
13%
9%
100%
5,650
Rest of NSW
27%
48%
4%
16%
6%
100%
1,850
Total
25%
57%
2%
9%
7%
100%
39,150
* Rows may not to sum due to rounding. Green shading indicates highest and orange indicates lowest proportions per partnership status.
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 53
7.3 Marital status and age
Gen17 survey data provide some additional information on Jewish divorce in NSW. Unlike the census, it asked whether respondents had ever been (rather than if they are currently) divorced and found that this was the case for almost one in five people (19%) aged 18 and above. Most had been divorced once, but 17% of this group had been divorced more than once.
Marital status changes over a person’s life course. Among Jews in NSW, three quarters (75%) remain single ‘Never married’ in their late twenties but by their late thirties this is the case for just 22% (Figure 25). Marriage is the predominant status until people reach their late eighties when widowhood takes over. Meanwhile, divorce and separation are the statuses for more than one in ten people aged in their late forties rising to almost one in five in their sixties.
Respondents who had been divorced were asked whether a ‘get’ (Jewish divorce document) had been granted. For one in three (35%) respondents, this was not relevant as they had not had ‘a Jewish religious marriage’, but of those who had experienced a Jewish religious marriage, most (79%) said a get had been granted.
In 2016, 75% of people aged 25-29 were Never married compared to 70% in 2011 suggesting that the age at which Jews are first marrying is increasing or that fewer are choosing to marry.
Figure 25. Marital status as a proportion of each age group, Jewish population, NSW, 2016
Age group
Never married 90+
2%
85-89
2%
80-84
3%
75-79
3%
70-74
4%
65-69
4%
60-64
7%
Divorced / Separated
5%
22%
6% 11%
31% 15%
63%
19% 18%
68%
16%
72%
22%
73% 36%
5% 61%
25-29
3%
75%
24%
20-24
98%
15-19
100%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
1%
9% <1%
76%
15%
2%
13% 1%
75%
30-34
4%
17%
72%
11%
7%
19%
70%
12%
11%
19%
70%
50-54
35-39
52%
55%
9%
40-44
Widowed
71%
39%
55-59
45-49
Married
1% 2%
60%
70%
Proportion of each age group by marital status
80%
90%
100%
54â&#x20AC;&#x192; â&#x20AC;&#x192; The Jewish population of NSW
Gender is also an important factor. The longer life expectancy of Jewish women than Jewish men, combined with a higher rate of remarriage for men, inevitably leads to more women remaining widowed than men (60% of Jewish women in their eighties are widowed compared with 17% of Jewish men). From their midforties onwards, men are more likely to be married than women, and women are more likely to be divorced than men (until both sexes reach their mid-eighties). For example, 17% of Jewish women in their sixties are divorced compared with 13% of men of that age.
However, 18% are in a partnership and live in a de facto partnership and a further 19% are in a partnership but do not live with their partner (Figure 26). As noted, the experiences of Jewish men and women differ in this regard. Among those who have never been married, women are more likely to be unpartnered than men (71% versus 61% respectively). But the difference is greatest in terms of those who are currently divorced or widowed, for example, 55% of men who are currently divorced have a new partner compared with 22% of women.
Gen17 data indicate that among those in NSW (aged 18 and above) who are not currently married and living with their spouse, a majority (62%) is not in a permanent partnership.
Total
18%
Widowed
Female
6% 7%
Single, that is never married Divorced
Figure 26. Partnership status for all those not currently married and living with their spouse NSW (Gen17 N=1,096)
Female
Male 9%
13%
9%
78% 37%
10%
45%
20%
15% 0%
65%
13%
17%
Male
62%
86%
22%
Male Female
19%
71% 24%
20%
30%
61% 40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Currently living with your de facto partner In a long-term partnership but not living together Not in any kind of long-term partnership
90% 100%
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 55
7.4 De facto and same-sex couples Of the 2,374a Jews in de facto (or social) marriages, most (2,115a or 89%) were in oppositesex partnerships (Table 35). Of these, a majority (61%) had never been previously married, although 29% were divorced, 3% were separated from a marriage, and 4% were widowed from a marriage.
In terms of same-sex de facto couples, there were 114a Jewish women and 145a Jewish men in such unions. (Same-sex marriage was not sanctioned in Australia until December 2017). This is about 1.2% of all Jews in partnerships (including married couples), similar to the proportion in NSW generally (1.0%).
Table 35. Type of de facto marriage, Jewish population by sex, (persons aged 15 and above) NSW, 2016 (estimated)*
Persons in opposite-sex couple Female in same-sex couple Male in same-sex couple Total
Male
Female
Total
% of total
1,036
1,079
2,115
89%
-
114
114
5%
145
–
145
6%
1,181
1,193
2,374
100%
* Excludes not stated. Rows and columns may not sum due to rounding
8 Intermarriage
a partner who reported No religion and one in seven (14%) had a partner with an Other religion (Table 36)21. Thus, almost one in four (25%) Jews living in a couple in NSW had a partner who did not report Jewish by religion or by ancestry in the 2016 Census.
In the following section, for comparative purposes, data on Jewish intermarriage for 2016 use interpolated19 figures. In all other cases data are based on enumerated figures. Also in this section, unless otherwise stated, â&#x20AC;&#x2DC;Jewishâ&#x20AC;&#x2122; also includes people who reported their religion as No religion/Not stated but who reported their ancestry as Jewish.
The proportion of partnered Jews in NSW who have a Jewish partner has declined since 2001, from 79.5% to 75.2% in 2016, in line with an increase in the number of those with a partner reporting No religion. The proportion with a partner with an Other religion has remained largely unchanged.
8.1 Intermarriage by religion of partner There were 19,853i20 Jewish people in NSW living with a partner (married or de facto) in 2016. Of these, three quarters (75%) had a Jewish partner, more than one in ten (11%) had
Table 36. Religion of partner (married or de facto) for Jewish individuals living in a couple, NSW, 2001 to 2011 (enumerated) and 2016 (interpolated)^ Religion of partner
2001
2006
2011
2016
79.5%
79.0%
77.3%
75.2%
5.5%
6.2%
7.8%
10.8%
14.9%
14.8%
14.9%
14.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
N (Jewish individuals)
16,763
17,466
19,389
19,853
No religion + other religion
20.4%
21.0%
22.7%
24.8%
Jewish No religion Other religion* Total
* the majority (90%) of these partners are Christian ^ Columns may not sum to 100% due to rounding
19 This is an estimate of the enumerated census figure had the religion question format and circumstances of the 2016 Census matched those of the immediately preceding censuses. The interpolated figure can be directly compared with enumerated data from earlier censuses. It is denoted by a subscript i (interpolated) after the number. 20 Note this figure excludes those whose partner did not report a religion (N=227i). A note of caution is however warranted. For completeness, data on Jews in this section also incorporate people who identified as Jewish in the ancestry question but who reported their religion as No religion or Not stated religion (800 i partnered individuals in 2016). Strictly speaking, such individuals are not part of the interpolated adjustment. Moreover, a unique adjustment pertaining to such individuals has not been attempted. But for the purposes of this section and for expediency, we have treated them in the same way as Jews by religion. 21 Unless otherwise stated, these data are based on Jewish individuals who live with their partner (as opposed to couples in which at least one person is Jewish). The data exclude Jewish people in a partnership whose partner was temporarily away from home on census night. They also exclude Jews in same-sex couples in NSW (N=200 u).
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 57
Table 37. Religion of partner for couples (married or de facto) in which at least one partner is Jewish, NSW, 2001 to 2011 (enumerated) and 2016 (interpolated) Religion of partner
2001
2006
2011
2016
66.0%
65.2%
63.0%
60.3%
9.2%
10.2%
12.7%
17.3%
24.8%
24.5%
24.3%
22.5%
Total
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
N (Couples in which at least one partner is Jewish)
10,096
10,570
11,897
12,386
No religion + Other religion
34.0%
34.8%
37.0%
39.7%
Jewish No religion Other religion*
* the majority (90%) of these partners are Christian
Data on intermarriage can either be expressed as a proportion of all Jewish individuals marrying (as above) or as a proportion of all couples marrying (i.e. all marriages involving at least one Jew). The advantage of the couples’ approach is that it is more intuitive since marriage, after all, is based on couples. On the other hand, couples-based intermarriage figures tend to be higher than those based on individuals and some may feel they give an exaggerated indication of the state of intermarriage. Although neither approach is more accurate than the other, it is important that the base upon which the statistics are calculated is clearly understood. Thus, examining the same data in terms of couples (in which at least one partner is Jewish) (12,386i couples excluding couples where the partner did not respond to the religion question), in 60% of cases both partners were Jewish, in 17% one partner was Jewish and one is No religion and in 23% one partner is Jewish and one has an Other religion. Between 2011 and 2016, the total number of partnered Jewish individuals (married or de facto) increased by 2.4%, alongside a slight decrease (3.7%) in the number of Jews with a partner who reported an Other religion and essentially no change in the number with a Jewish partner (-0.4%) (Table 38). On the other hand, there was a dramatic proportionate increase in the number of Jews whose partner reported No religion, rising by 41.3% from 2011 to 2016.
Table 38. Number of Jewish individuals by religion of partner (married or de facto) and change from 2011 (enumerated) to 2016 (interpolated), NSW
Religion of partner Jewish
2011
2016
% change 2011 to 2016
14,988
14,935
-0.4%
No religion
1,512
2,137
41.3%
Not Jewish
2,889
2,781
-3.7%
19,389
19,853
2.4%
Total
58â&#x20AC;&#x192; â&#x20AC;&#x192; The Jewish population of NSW
8.2 Intermarriage by partnership type and sex Multiple factors impact the likelihood of intermarriage occurring, with certain Jewish subgroups tending to exhibit higher levels than others. The key census variables of interest are type of partnership, sex, age and location.22 The vast majority (90%) of partnered Jews in NSW are married with the remainder (10%) being in de facto (or cohabiting) partnerships.
Table 39. Religion of partner for Jewish individuals by partnership type*, NSW, 2016 (interpolated)
Religion of partner Jewish No religion Other religion** Total N (Jews living in couples)
Married
All partnered Jewish individuals
De facto
79.3%
38.7%
75.2%
8.5%
31.5%
10.8%
12.3%
29.8%
14.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
17,900
1,948
19,853
Compared with married Jews, those in de facto partnerships are more than twice as likely to have a partner with an Other religion (30% versus 12% respectively) and almost four times as likely to have a partner with No religion (32% versus 9% respectively) (Table 39). Jewish women are slightly more likely to have a Jewish partner than Jewish men but the main difference between the sexes is that Jewish women are more likely to have a partner with No religion and Jewish men are more likely to have a partner with an Other religion (i.e. Christian) (Table 40). This is less a result of preference on the part of Jews and more to do with preference on the part of non-Jews, especially non-Jewish males, who are more likely to identify as No religion than non-Jewish females which means the pool of such men is larger.
* excluding Jews with partners who did not state a religion ** the majority (90%) of these partners are Christian
Table 40. Religion of partner for married Jewish individuals by sex and partnership type, NSW, 2016 (interpolated) Married
Religion of partner Jewish No religion Other religion* Total** N^
Jewish males: religion of wife
Jewish females: religion of husband
Religion of partner
Total
Jewish males: religion of female partner
Jewish females: religion of male partner
Total
78.5%
80.1%
79.3%
38.3%
39.1%
38.7%
7.6%
9.3%
8.5%
30.6%
32.3%
31.5%
13.9%
10.6%
12.3%
31.0%
28.6%
29.8%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
9,042
8,858
17,900
983
965
1,948
* the majority (90%) of these are Christian partners ** Columns may not sum to 100% due to rounding ^ Excluding Jews whose partners who did not state a religion
22 Jewish denomination is also an important determinant of intermarriage however the census does not capture this information but can be analysed using survey data.
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 59
8.3 Children of intermarried Jews Gender is also relevant in terms of the religion of upbringing of children. The likelihood of a child being raised Jewish is highest when both parents are Jewish. Taking the religion reported for the youngest dependent child as a proxy for the religion all the children in a family are being raised, when both parents are Jewish, 97% of couples in NSW raise their children Jewish (Table 41). When the parents are not both Jewish, the sex of the Jewish parent becomes an important factor in the likelihood of a child being raised Jewish. That is, when the child’s mother is Jewish and the father has an Other religion, 50% of couples raise their children Jewish. By contrast, when the father is Jewish, and the mother is Other religion, the proportion is just 15%.
8.4 Intermarriage by age Jews who marry at a very young age (under 25) tend to be more religious than those who marry at older ages, so are more likely to marry Jews. Almost all (88%) married Jews aged 1524 in NSW are married to other Jews23 (Figure 27). However, it is also true that Jews who marry today are more likely than their parents to marry a non-Jewish person, in other words, the younger a person is the more likely they are to marry someone who is not Jewish. Almost three out of ten (28%) married Jews in NSW aged in their early thirties have a spouse who did not report Jewish.
8.5 The intermarriage rate (Gen17) In contrast to the prevalence measure of intermarriage, which is a snapshot of intermarriage at one moment in time (and as such, is the only kind of intermarriage data available from the census), the intermarriage rate refers to the proportion of all marriages taking place in a particular time period that involved Jews marrying non-Jews. This can only be obtained with survey data. Gen17 indicates that the intermarriage rate in NSW for Jews marrying between 2010 and 2017 was 23%24. In other words, almost a quarter of Jews who married in this period married a non-Jew. Figure 28 shows how intermarriage in NSW has changed over time25. Between the 1960s and 1990s, it rose steadily, followed by a notable increase in the most recent period, almost doubling from 13% to 23%.
Table 41. Religion of youngest dependent child by religion of married parents, NSW, 2016 (interpolated)
Religion of parents Both mother and father Jewish
% Youngest child reported as Jewish
Number of married couples
97%
3,344
Mother Jewish
Father No religion
57%
465
Father Other religion
50%
487
Father Jewish
Mother No religion
17%
362
Mother Other religion
15%
599
23 This percentage relates to a group of less than 40 individuals. 24 The equivalent statistic in terms of couples is 38% – i.e. almost two out of five weddings taking place in that period and involving at least one Jew was an intermarriage. 25 Note this is an approximation of intermarriage over time since it only includes marriages that were extant in 2017. In other words, anyone marrying in earlier years who is no longer alive, has assimilated or who left the state is not included in these data.
60
The Jewish population of NSW
Figure 27. Married Jews by age by religion of spouse (N=3,502, interpolated) Other religion
No religion
Other + No religion
30% Proportion of age group
25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% <25
2529
3034
3539
4044
4549
5054
5559
6064
6569
7075+ 74
Other religion
12% 9% 14% 12% 14% 14% 14% 9% 11% 10% 11% 8%
No religion
0% 12% 14% 13% 11% 10% 7% 8% 6% 6% 5% 3%
Other + No religion 12% 21% 28% 26% 24% 24% 21% 17% 17% 16% 16% 11% Age group
Figure 28. Intermarriage rate by period marriage took place, NSW (Gen17 N=2,452)*
Proportion of Jewish individuals currently living with their spouse who is not Jewish
25%
23%
20%
15%
13%
10%
5%
13%
8% 5% 3%
0% 1960-1969
1970-1979
1980-1989
1990-1999
2000-2009
2010-2017
Period marriage took place
* All Jewish individuals who are married and currently living with their spouse. Status is established based on the following question: Was your current, or most recent, marriage held under Jewish religious auspices?
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 61
8.6 Intermarriage: Jewish attitudes and behaviours (Gen17)
related to a person’s religious position. Thus, one in three (33%) non-practising Jews are concerned about intermarriage compared with 84% of Orthodox Jews (figure 32).
Most (79%) intermarried Jews in NSW say they feel somewhat or very well accepted by the Jewish community but 17% do not feel very well accepted and a small minority (4%) do not feel accepted at all (Figure 29).
Figure 29. Feelings of acceptance by intermarried Jews, NSW (Gen17 N=256)
Intermarried Jews in NSW are far less likely to observe Jewish practices than in-married Jews. For example, 46% of in-married Jews attend Friday night meals every week compared with 15% of intermarried Jews (Figure 30). And 59% of in-married Jews fast on Yom Kippur every year compared with 18% of intermarried Jews.
Not accepted at all, 4%
Not very well accepted, 17% Very well accepted, 36%
Similarly, in-married Jews are far more likely than intermarried Jews to eat kosher meat both inside and outside the home. Indeed two out of five (40%) intermarried Jews eat pork products at home and more than half (57%) do so outside the home (Figure 31).
Somewhat accepted, 43%
Q: Thinking about yourself as one of an intermarried couple, how accepted do you feel by the Jewish community? Do you feel you are...
26% of respondents are very concerned about intermarriage in Australia and 38% are somewhat concerned. Levels of concern however are closely
Fast on Yom Kippur
Attend a Friday night Shabbat meal with family/close friends
Figure 30. Attendance at Friday night meals and fasting on Yom Kippur by religion of spouse, NSW (Gen17 N=2,451)*
Jewish spouse
46%
Non-Jewish spouse
15%
23%
32%
13%
Jewish spouse
59%
Non-Jewish spouse
18%
23%
11%
8%
40%
11% 9%
15%
21%
57%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Always
Usually
Sometimes
* excluding those who prefer not to say and those who do not fast for health reasons.
Never
62
The Jewish population of NSW
Type of meast consumed Type of meat outside the bought for the home home
Figure 31. Kosher meat consumption by religion of spouse, NSW (Gen17 N=2,451)*
Jewish spouse Non-Jewish spouse
61%
35%
3%
Jewish spouse
30%
55%
14%
Non-Jewish spouse
18%
56%
25%
65%
32%
2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Only kosher meat Ordinary (non-kosher) meat, but not pork products Ordinary (non-kosher) meat including pork products * excluding prefer not to say
Figure 32. Level of concern felt about intermarriage by current religious/Jewish identification, NSW (Gen17 N=3,784) Modern Orthodox Traditional
11%
38%
Non-practising (secular/cultural)
25% 0%
8%
58%
49%
33%
10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
Somewhat concerned
12%
45%
No denomination – just Jewish
68%
29%
39%
Progressive/Reform
78%
34%
44%
Masorti/Conservative
84%
49%
35%
Very concerned
9 Income, wealth and poverty
9.1 Personal income Income is a key determinant of economic wellbeing, albeit, not the only one. It is also subject to a relatively high level of non-response in the census, despite being a compulsory question. However, Jews were far less likely to not respond to the income question as the general NSW population (9% generally versus 4% for Jews). Setting these non-responses aside, Figure 33 shows that, in terms of personal income, Jews were four times as likely as the rest of the NSW
population to earn $156,000 per year or more, the highest income bracket measured by the census (14.7% versus 3.5% respectively). And whilst 75% of the general population earned under $65,000, this was the case for 56% of Jews. These figures are also reflected in the estimated median26 personal annual incomes with Jews at $55,400, compared with $34,400 for the rest of the NSW population27, a difference of 61%.
Figure 33. Personal income, NSW Jewish population versus rest of NSW, 2016* 4%
>$156,000
15% 6%
$104,000-$156,000
10% 15%
$65,000-$104,000 $41,600-$65,000
14%
$20,800-$41,600
18% 18% 25%
17%
<$20,800
21%
15%
Nil/Negative
9% 0%
5%
10%
Rest of NSW (N=6.3m)
11% 15%
20%
25%
30%
Jewish (N=39,182, estimated)
* All people aged 15 and above, excluding non-response
26 The mean and median are both measures of the average. The advantage of the median over the more familiar mean is that very large values (outliers) are less distorting. 27 Excluding persons under 15 and those who did not respond to the income question
64 The Jewish population of NSW
Figure 33 also indicates that not all Jewish adults have high personal incomes. 24% earned less than $20,800 per year ($400 per week). That said, this does not necessarily mean these people are at risk of poverty. Some may live in households with other income earners: for example, those caring for young children (usually mothers) who perhaps earn part-time incomes alongside their spouse’s full-time income. Others may be young adults living with their parents or living alone but with relatively low outgoings.
9.2 Personal income (Gen17) Gen17 provides an alternative source of information on personal income, but it is important to note it is not directly comparable28. Two key advantages of survey data over the census are that the upper income bracket is far greater than the census’s ($500,000 per annum compared with $156,000 in the census), important because the Jewish population has much higher average earnings than the general population, and, because it is part of a survey dataset, so the possibilities for analysis are greater. On the other hand, the level of non-response was considerably higher (28% compared with 4% in the compulsory census). That said, additional analysis indicates this nonresponse does not appear to be biased towards any particular income group or band29. Of greater interest is the fact that the survey data indicate far higher incomes than the census.
In terms of personal income, the modal30 band was $100,000-$149,999 (18%) (Figure 34). However, 27% of respondents reported personal incomes of $150,000 or more and we can (approximately) compare this with the census where 15% earned $156,000 or more. Clearly these are very different results, so which is more accurate? Unfortunately it is not possible to answer this question within the confines of a report of this nature, however, a second set of Gen17 data are presented in Figure 34 which are from a small but arguably, more representative sub-sample*. This referral sub-sample had a Jewish median personal income of $74,000 as opposed to $91,500 (the latter being more representative of JCA’s database). And whilst this sub-sample median was also far higher than the census median of $55,000, it is probably the more accurate of the figures available.
28 In addition to the issues discussed in the text the question wording and presentation is rather different too: in Gen17 the question asked: “Which of the following best represents your current PERSONAL annual gross income, from all sources, BEFORE taxes and other deductions?”. In the 2016 Census it asked: “What is the total of all income the person usually receives?” followed by a detailed set of instructions about what to include. Separately, Gen17 took place one year later than the 2016 Census which may also have impacted comparability, the age cut off for the census was 15 compared with 18 in the survey, and the census includes a Nil/Negative income, category not included in the survey. 29 This level of income non-response is typical in optional sample surveys of the Jewish community. Those who choose prefer not to say (PNTS) are simply more likely to choose that option for all questions, presumably due to a higher than average sense of privacy. But otherwise there does not seem to be a different relationship between income and reporting PNTS. For example, cross tabulations of income with a question on perceived wealth (Prosperous through to Poor) shows that once income PNTS is set aside, the distributions are statistically the same. 30 Mode is a measure of central tendency meaning the most common value
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 65
Figure 34. Personal pre-tax annual income, NSW (Gen17 N=3,938, N=259*)^ $500,000 or more
5%
2%
5% 4%
$300,000 to $499,999 $200,000 to $299,999
5%
$150,000 to $199,999
7% 10%
4%
$100,000 to $149,999
15%
$75,000 to $99,999
15%
18% 19%
16%
$50,000 to $74,999 11%
$25,000 to $49,999 8%
$10,000 to $24,999
18%
14% 13%
6% 7%
Less than $10,000 0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
Gen17 total NSW sample
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
JCA referals* NSW
^ all those aged 18 and above, excluding non-response * JCA referrals are an online snowball sub-sample that was created off the back of the main Gen17 sample, that in NSW was generated using JCA database (see Graham and Markus, 2018 Op. cit. p79
9.3 Personal income by location Census data indicate that personal income is highly variable by location across NSW (Table 42). Overall, it was highest among Jews living in the Lower North Shore (median $77,400 per year) and lowest for Jews outside Sydney (median $40,400 per year). Personal incomes were more than $10,000 lower in Eastern Suburbs – South than in Eastern Suburbs – North. Of the areas analysed within Sydney, median personal income was lowest in Botany ($40,400 per year). With the exception of unrelated people living in the same home (e.g. flatmates), income tends to be shared among household members. Thus, personal income is a limited indicator of wealth and poverty; household income is a more accurate indicator for understanding such issues.
Table 42. Personal income by area, Jewish population age 15 and above, NSW, 2016 Census Median annual income
Estimated number of people
Lower North Shore
$77,400
2,186
Eastern Suburbs – North
$61,700
18,059
Sydney Inner City
$59,600
2,272
Upper North Shore
$55,500
3,295
Eastern Suburbs – South
$50,600
5,075
Rest of Sydney
$46,400
5,670
Botany
$40,400
736
Rest of NSW
$31,900
1,834
Total
$55,500
39,128
66
The Jewish population of NSW
9.4 Personal income in ACT
In NSW, Jewish household income was notably higher than household income generally. For example, 15% of Jewish households had annual incomes of $260,000 or above compared with 4% for all other households (Figure 36).
The median personal annual income for Jews in ACT in 2016 was $69,700, compared with $51,900 for the rest of the ACT population31 , a difference of 34%. It was also 26% higher than the median for Jews in NSW ($55,400).
The median annual Jewish household income was $127,200, 65% higher than the rest of NSW households ($77,200) (Table 43). But household income is related to household composition and Jewish couples with children at home had much higher average incomes of $197,600, 2.5 times higher than Jewish one parent households ($78,600).
This difference is visually evident in Figure 35 which shows that, in terms of personal income, Jews were more than twice as likely as the rest of the ACT population to earn $156,000 per year or more (10.4% versus 4.6% respectively), this being the highest income bracket measured by the census. They were also 1.6 times as likely to earn in the $104,000-$156,000 range (17% versus 11%).
Nevertheless, in all cases, including for lone parents, Jewish household incomes in NSW were higher than the equivalent incomes in the general population. For example, Jewish lone persons had median incomes of $49,100, 43% higher than lone persons in the rest of NSW ($34,300). Note however, the median annual income for Jewish lone persons aged under 50 was almost double that of those aged 50 years or above ($77,600 (aged under 50), compared with $39,200 (aged 50 and over)).
9.5 Household income A ‘Jewish household’ refers to any dwelling in which at least one occupant reported Jewish by religion in the 2016 Census, regardless of the religion responses of other household members.
Figure 35. Personal income in ACT, Jewish versus rest of ACT population, 2016* Not stated
7%
1% 4.6%
>$156,000
10.4% 11%
$104,000-$156,000
17% 22%
$65,000-$104,000 $41,600-$65,000
15%
$20,800-$41,600
15%
24%
17% 17%
14% 13%
<$20,800 Nil/negative
5% 0%
5% Rest of ACT (N=0.3m)
8% 10%
15%
20%
Jewish (N=672, estimated)
* All people aged 15 and above
31 Excluding persons under 15 and those who did not respond to the income question
25%
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Reportâ&#x20AC;&#x192; â&#x20AC;&#x192; 67
Figure 36. Household annual income* for Jewish households and all other households, NSW, 2016 (enumerated) $416,000 or more $312,000-$415,999 $260,000-$311,999
0% 1% 2%
7%
2%
7% 5%
$208,000-$259,999
10% 10%
$156,000-$207,999
15% 19% 18%
$104,000-$155,999 $78,000-$103,999
10%
$52,000-$77,999
$1-$25,999
0%
16%
11%
$26,000-$51,999
Negative income / Nil income
12%
8%
19%
12% 13%
2% 2% 5%
All other households N=2.3m)
10%
15%
20%
25%
Jewish households (N=15,684)
* data exclude families where all incomes are not stated or some are but not all incomes are stated
9.6 Household income (Gen17) As discussed above (section 10.2), direct comparisons between census and survey data on income are problematic. Gen17 indicates that almost one out of five Jewish households (19%) in NSW had incomes of $100,000-$149,999. The data also suggest that 9% of households have incomes of $500,000 or more. Gen17 gives a median Jewish household income for NSW of $150,000 compared with $127,000 in the census. Whilst it is likely this Gen17 figure is an overstatement, in this case, we cannot examine the referral sub-sample because it is too small.
Table 43. Median annual household income for Jewish households by household composition, NSW, 2016 Jewish population
Rest of NSW
Couple family with children present
$197,600
$127,300
Couple family with no children present
$133,000
$79,700
One parent family
$78,600
$60,000
Other family
$80,800
$72,700
Lone person household
$49,100
$34,300
Group household
$116,000
$85,800
Total
$127,200
$77,200
15,684
2.3m
N (enumerated)
* Figures exclude those who did not respond to the income question or households where not all incomes were stated.
68 The Jewish population of NSW
Figure 37. Median annual pre-tax household income, NSW (Gen17 N=2,072)* $500,000 or more
8.6%
$300,000 to $499,999
9.6%
$200,000 to $299,999
15%
$150,000 to $199,999
17%
$100,000 to $149,999
19%
$75,000 to $99,999
10%
$50,000 to $74,999
9%
$25,000 to $49,999
6%
$10,000 to $24,999
5%
Less than $10,000
1% 0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
* unique households
9.7 Household income by location The census shows household incomes also to be highly variable by location across NSW (Table 44). Overall, they are highest among Jews living in Upper North Shore (median $168,000) and Lower North Shore (median $163,600 per year) and lowest for Jews outside Sydney (median $70,900 per year). Household annual incomes are $18,000 lower in Eastern Suburbs – South than in Eastern Suburbs – North. Of the SA3 areas analysed within Sydney, median household annual incomes are lowest in Botany ($101,600 per year).
9.8 Family income ‘Jewish families’ are Jewish households excluding
lone persons and group households (i.e. where unrelated people share a dwelling). And as with household incomes, the family incomes of Jewish families in NSW are substantially higher than family incomes generally. For example, 20% of Jewish families have incomes of $260,000 or above compared with 5% generally.
With median annual family incomes of $152,100, Jewish families had incomes on average 65% higher than the rest of NSW families ($92,200).
Table 44. Median annual Jewish household income by area, NSW, 2016* Median annual income Upper North Shore
$168,000
Estimated number of people 1,011
Lower North Shore
$163,600
957
Eastern Suburbs – North
$141,800
6,548
Eastern Suburbs – South
$123,600
1,841
Sydney Inner City
$117,200
1,167
Rest of Sydney
$111,600
2,900
Botany
$101,600
288
$70,900
972
$127,200
15,684
Rest of NSW NSW total
* Figures exclude households where any eligible members did not respond to the income question
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 69
9.9 Wealth and poverty (Gen17) While most (78%) Gen17 respondents in NSW felt they were at least reasonably financially comfortable, almost one in five (19%) said they were Just getting along or else Poor (Figure 39). However, this was highest among those who were ‘Married, but separated’ (49%) or Divorced (34%)32.
Given the very high levels of income reported in Gen17, few people (under 5%) in NSW reported experiencing serious levels of deprivation to the extent they had to reduce the size of their meals and could not afford prescription medicines (Table 45).
Unsurprisingly, perceptions of financial circumstance are closely related to actual income (Figure 40). Thus, 62% of households with incomes of under $25,000 considered themselves to be Just getting along or worse, compared with none in the highest bracket ($500,000 or above)33. Perceptions of financial circumstance also vary with age. 17% of those in their twenties said they were 'jst getting along' or worse, rising to 22% of those aged in their fifties and declining thereafter (Figure 41).
Gen17 respondents aged 50 and above in NSW were asked whether they felt they had enough money to live comfortably throughout their retirement. A majority (76%) said they did but one in five (20%) said they were not confident (Table 46). This, however, varied with age with respondents age 80 and above being most confident. It also varied by country of origin with those born in Australia being most confident and those being born overseas being least confident.
Figure 38. Family annual income*, Jewish families and all other families, NSW, 2016 (enumerated) $416,000 or more
0% 1% 2%
$312,000-$415,999
10%
3%
$260,000-$311,999
9% 6%
$208,000-$259,999
13% 11%
$156,000-$207,999
16%
$104,000-$155,999
20%
$78,000-$103,999
13%
9%
$52,000-$77,999
17%
10%
$26,000-$51,999
18%
9%
$1-$25,999
22%
6%
3% 2% 1%
Negative income / Nil income 0%
5%
10%
All other families (N=1.7m)
15%
20%
25%
Jewish families (N=11,465)
* data exclude families where all incomes are not stated or some by not all income are stated
32 Gen17 data N=2063 excluding non-response 33 Whilst the prosperity question was directed at all individuals, the data have been compared with household income since some respondents report very low personal incomes but high estimates of personal prosperity – these individuals may be benefiting from higher incomes earned by other family members. Indeed, further analysis indicates that 75% of these respondents are female and 56% are aged under 30.
70 The Jewish population of NSW
Figure 39. Perception of current financial circumstances, households, NSW (Gen17 N=2,072) Nearly poor 1%
Table 45. Levels of deprivation*, in the previous 12 months, NSW (Gen17, N=3,896, N=1,618)
Prefer not to say 4% Prosperous Poor 7% 1%
Just getting along 16%
Living very comfortably 27%
Individuals
Households
Meals only*
2.1%
0.2%
Medicine only*
0.5%
1.4%
Meals and medicine*
1.8%
0.9%
Total
4.4%
2.6%
*Q: In the last 12 months did you personally: Ever reduce the size of your meals because there wasn’t enough money to buy food? Need prescription medicine but didn’t get it because you couldn’t afford to buy it?
Living reasonably comfortably 44%
Q: Which of the following terms best describes your current financial circumstances?
Figure 40. Perception of current financial circumstances by household income, households, NSW (Gen17 N=2,072) $500,000 or more
52%
$300,000 to $499,999
14%
$200,000 to $299,999
5% 2%
$150,000 to $199,999
1%
$100,000 to $149,999
1%
$75,000 to $99,999
5%
53%
30%
14%
58%
20%
18%
49%
21%
25%
41%
35% 30%
2%
34%
46%
20%
2% 1% 3% 1%
40%
52%
10%
3%
52%
39%
4% 0%
23%
59%
1% $50,000 to $74,999 5% 3% $25,000 to $49,999 3% Less than $25,000
3%
45%
40%
50%
60%
12% 6%
70%
80%
1%
14% 90%
Prosperous
Living very comfortably
Living reasonably comfortably
Just getting along
Nearly poor
Poor
100%
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 71
Figure 41. Perception of current financial circumstances, individuals reporting ‘Just getting along or worse’ by age group, NSW (Gen17 N=2,287) 25%
22% 20%
20%
20%
18%
17%
14%
15%
11% 10% 5% 0% 20-29
30-39
40-49
50-59
60-69
70-79
80+
Age group
Table 46. “Overall, how confident are you that you will have enough money to live comfortably throughout your retirement years?” NSW, age 50 years and above (Gen17 N=743 per category) Very confident
Fairly confident
Not confident
Don’t know
Total
25%
51%
20%
4%
100%
50-59
16%
51%
28%
5%
100%
80+
36%
46%
13%
5%
100%
Australia
27%
52%
16%
6%
100%
South Africa
26%
45%
25%
3%
100%
Israel
13%
54%
24%
9%
100%
FSU
0%
66%
24%
11%
100%
Total Age
Country of birth
10 Education and schooling
10.1 Educational institutions There were an estimated 7,317a Jewish children in schools in NSW in 2016, a 9% increase since 2011 (6,703a) and 10% increase since 2006 (6,663a). In 2016, Jews were 1.7 times more likely than the rest of the NSW population to send their children to non-government (private) schools (62% compared with 36% generally) (Table 47). The proportion of Jewish children in non-government (private) schools has been declining since 2006. It was 62% in 2016 but 67% in 2011 and 68% in 2006.
Compared with the NSW general population, Jews were more likely to send their children to pre-schools and to attend university but less likely to attend TAFE.
Table 47. Type of educational institution attended, 2016, Jewish population and rest of NSW population (estimated)* Jewish N=11,869
All others N=1.8m
9%
7%
Government
18%
23%
Catholic
<1%
7%
Other non-government
18%
4%
Government
6%
15%
Catholic
1%
7%
19%
4%
Technical or Further Educational Institution (including TAFE Colleges)
3%
8%
University or other Tertiary Institution
24%
21%
Other
2%
4%
Total
100%
100%
Pre-school
Infants/Primary
Secondary
Other non-government
* Data exclude Not stated (5% Jewish, 23% general); Columns may not to sum to 100% due to rounding
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 73
While the total number of Jewish children in schools in NSW increased by 10% between 2006 and 2016 overall (since the size of the schoolaged population increased), the rise was unevenly distributed across sectors. While the primary sector grew by 26% (up from 3,405a to 4,296a), the secondary sector contracted by 7% (down from 3,258a to 3,029a) (Table 48). These changes are primarily a result of population dynamics: a result of the baby boom ‘echo’ noted above (see Figure 6, page 24).
Meanwhile, in the secondary sector between 2006 and 2016, there was overall contraction in the smaller government school sector of 20% and a more modest decline of 3% in the nongovernment (private) sector. But the data also indicate the non-government secondary sector grew (by 2%) in the latter part of the decade. In summary, the big shift away from nongovernment (private) primary schools continued after 2011 and even accelerated, against a backdrop of a large rise in the number of primaryaged children. Meanwhile, the modest shift into non-government (private) secondary schools also continued after 2011 but at a reduced rate, and against a backdrop of overall decline in secondary school-aged cohort.
Although these shifts are largely ‘locked in’ (i.e. a result of a change in the total number of children per age group), there is clear evidence that school preferences have also been changing. The overall increase in the primary sector from 2006 to 2016 was almost exclusively focused on a rise in enrolments to government schools (up 64%) whilst the non-government (private) schools only experienced a rise of 3% (Table 48). The data indicate this switch in preferences accelerated during the decade.
Table 48. Type of educational institution attended, Jewish population, NSW, 2006, 2011 and 2016, (estimated) 2006
Secondary
2016
2011 2016
2006 2016
9%
35%
-10%
22%
2,135
17%
18%
39%
64%
17%
2,161
17%
2%
1%
3%
696
5%
666
5%
-16%
-4%
-20%
19%
2,318
18%
2,363
19%
-5%
2%
-3%
3,279
26%
3,405
27%
3,206
26%
4%
-6%
-2%
326
3%
275
2%
264
2%
-16%
-4%
-19%
1,634
13%
1,220
10%
672
5%
-25%
-45%
-59%
12,789
100%
12,800
100%
12,548
100%
0%
-2%
-2%
%
886
7%
1,198
9%
1,082
Government
1,301
10%
1,541
12%
Non-government*
2,104
16%
2,146
828
6%
2,430
Government Non-government*
University/TAFE Other Not stated Total * including non-government Catholic schools
% change 2006 2011
N Pre-school Infants / Primary
2011
N
%
N
%
74 The Jewish population of NSW
10.2 Educational institutions by location
size of the government sector (594 a additional pupils, Table 50) but almost no change in the size of the non-government sector (Table 49). By area at the primary level, Eastern Suburbs – North experienced growth of 69% in the primary government sector but a slight contraction in the non-government sector (2%).
Data on type of school attended by sector and suburb are shown in Table 49 (percentages) and Table 50 (totals). Between 2011 and 2016, the proportion of Jewish pupils in NSW attending non-government (private) schools at the primary level declined from 58% to 50% in 2016 but increased slightly at the secondary level (from 77% to 78%)34 (Table 49). The shift away from non-government primary schools was especially pronounced in Eastern Suburbs – North (from 73% to 61%).
The secondary level experienced a modest contraction in its overall size (by -4%) in the government sector and a slight growth in the size of the non-government sector (+2%). But again, there were local variations with Eastern Suburbs – North growing by 14% in the government sector compared with a contraction of 14% in that sector in the Upper North Shore. By contrast, the non-government sector grew by 36% in Eastern Suburbs – South.
In terms of sectoral change, between 2011 and 2016 at the primary level, as noted, there was significant variation with 39% growth in the
Table 49. Type of school attended by location and sector, Jewish population, 2011 and 2016 – percentages Proportion attending non-government (private) sector Location
2011
% change in size of sector
2016
Primary
Secondary
Primary
Secondary
Primary
Secondary
Gov’t
Non-Gov’t^
Gov’t
Non-Gov’t^
Eastern Suburbs - North
73%
91%
61%
90%
69%
-2%
14%
-2%
Eastern Suburbs - South
61%
81%
61%
84%
13%
12%
8%
36%
Upper North Shore
48%
74%
49%
74%
5%
6%
-14%
-13%
Lower North Shore
24%
49%
18%
54%
61%
12%
-26%
-10%
Sydney Inner City*
26%
31%
28%
56%
64%
84%
-41%
66%
Botany*
52%
56%
41%
65%
57%
-1%
19%
77%
Rest of Sydney
26%
38%
13%
35%
31%
-44%
-13%
-23%
Rest of NSW
38%
53%
40%
45%
13%
23%
30%
-8%
Total
58%
77%
50%
78%
39%
1%
-4%
2%
* Percentages are based on small numbers of children (see Table 50) ^ Non-government (private) sector
34 Taking the sector as a whole, there was a shift away from non-government schools between 2011 (67%) and 2016 (62%)
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 75
Table 50. Type of school attended by location and sector, Jewish population, 2011 and 2016 (estimated)* – totals 2011 Location
2016
Primary
Secondary
Primary
Gov't
Non-Gov't
Gov't
Eastern Suburbs - North
475
1,275
134
1,377
803
Eastern Suburbs - South
268
419
79
328
Upper North Shore
216
201
125
Lower North Shore
116
36
Sydney Inner City
35
Botany Rest of Sydney Rest of NSW Total
Non-Gov't
Gov’t
Secondary
Non-Gov’t^
Gov’t
Non-Gov’t^
1,254
153
1,343
304
468
85
446
352
225
214
108
306
53
50
187
40
39
45
12
40
18
57
22
23
30
37
41
24
30
58
40
28
53
308
107
200
121
403
60
175
93
86
53
42
48
97
65
54
44
1,541
2,144
696
2,324
2,135
2,162
666
2,360
^ Non-government (private) sector
10.3 Type of school attended (Gen17) Gen17 data showed that one third (33%) of respondents in NSW have attended both a Jewish primary and a Jewish secondary school while 37% have attended both a government primary and government secondary school (Table 51). They
also showed that two out of five (42%) people attended a Jewish primary school, regardless of their secondary path, and 39% attended a Jewish secondary school, regardless of their primary path.
Table 51. Types of school attended for all those educated in Australia, NSW, Gen17 (N=1,970) Secondary level Jewish school
Government school
Independent school
Total
33%
5%
3%
42%
Government school
5%
37%
7%
49%
Independent school
1%
1%
8%
9%
Total
39%
43%
18%
100%
Jewish school Primary level
76â&#x20AC;&#x192; â&#x20AC;&#x192; The Jewish population of NSW
Figure 42. Type of school attended for all those educated in Australia, by age, NSW Gen17 (N=1,970) 80% 70%
68%
66%
60% 50%
47%
40% 30% 20% 10%
26%
24% 9%
28%
8%
0% Both a Jewish primary and schondary school Both a Government primary and schondary school 18-29
30-39
However, this picture disguises considerable variation by age. For example, more than two thirds (68%) of those aged 18 to 29 years attended a Jewish school at both primary and secondary levels compared with a quarter (26%) of those aged in their forties and less than 10% of those age 50 and above (Figure 42). Almost the mirror of this picture is observed in terms of those who attended government schools at both the primary and secondary levels. In other words, there has been an increasing tendency to be educated in the private Jewish sector at both levels over time.
10.4 Take-up at Jewish schools What proportion of Jewish school-aged children attend (private) Jewish schools in NSW? Since the census does not disaggregate the nongovernment sector by Jewish and non-Jewish school status, JCA data on Jewish school numbers in NSW have been collected and are examined in the context of the census data.
40-49
50+
Overall, 46% of Jewish school-aged children in NSW attended Jewish schools in 2016 (Table 52). Jewish school take-up overall has declined since 2011 when it was 50%, however, most of that decline was focused on the primary level (down from 47% to 40%), continuing a previous trend. The proportion of take-up at the secondary level increased very lightly (up from 54% to 55%) again continuing a trend. The size of the Jewish school-aged population increased by 9.3% (up 620a children) between 2011 and 2016, compared with almost no change (0.4%) over the previous five years (Table 52). However, this growth was concentrated almost entirely in the non-Jewish primary sector (+32.1%). The overall pattern in the decade from 2006 to 2016 was of strong growth in the size of the primary sector cohort (almost all of which was focused on the nonJewish sector) alongside contraction in the size of the secondary level cohort. Nevertheless, the Jewish school sector actually increased slightly at this level.
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 77
Table 52. Jewish school take-up* by level, 2006 to 2011 Number of Jewish children per category by year
School level
Primary
School sector
2006
2011
2016
2006 2011
2011 2016
Jewish school
1,703
1,727
1,709
1.4%
-1.0%
0.4%
Non-Jewish school
1,706
1,949
2,576
14.3%
32.1%
51.0%
Total
3,409
3,676
4,285
7.9%
16.6%
25.7%
50%
47%
40%
-
-
-
Jewish school
1,628
1,644
1,656
1.0%
0.7%
1.7%
Non-Jewish school
1,632
1,376
1,376
-15.7%
0.0%
-15.6%
Total
3,260
3,020
3,032
-7.3%
0.4%
-7.0%
50%
54%
55%
-
-
-
Jewish school
3,331
3,371
3,365
1.2%
-0.2%
1.0%
Non-Jewish school
3,337
3,326
3,952
-0.3%
18.8%
18.4%
Total
6,668
6,697
7,317
0.4%
9.3%
9.7%
50%
50%
46%
-
-
-
Percent in Jewish schools (take-up)
Secondary
Percent in Jewish schools (take-up)
Total
Percentage change in sector size by period
Percent in Jewish schools (take-up)
-
2006 2016
* Census data in this table are based on type of institution (i.e. the figures have not been broken down by age). This is the same approach used in the NSW 2011 Census report (Table 29, page 43). Note however that figures may differ from that report due to the implementation of revised adjustment factors. Source: Data for Jewish schools—all of which are private (‘non-government’) schools—are from JCA records; data on ‘non-Jewish’ schools (public and private) are from the census and are estimated
10.5 School choice for Jewish families (Gen17) Survey data can also be used to give an indication of the proportion of Jewish households that send their children to Jewish schools. Unlike the census, survey data allow for the disaggregation of the non-government sector by Jewish and non-Jewish school types. However, these data are not directly comparable with those shown above, not least because they are based on households with school-aged children as opposed to individual children. Gen17 data also show that Jewish school takeup is higher at secondary level than at primary level. Among Jewish families with children of primary school age (i.e. 5 to 12 years old), on average, 46% send at least one child to a Jewish school, 49% send at least one child to a government school and 5% send at least one
child to independent primary school (Table 53). Among Jewish families with children of secondary school age (i.e. 13 to 18 years old), on average, 67% send at least one child to a Jewish school, and 17% send at least one child to a government secondary school. In summary, Jewish families are 1.5 times as likely to send their children to Jewish secondary schools as they are to send them to Jewish primary schools, and more than three times as likely to send them to non-Jewish independent secondary schools as they are to send them to non-Jewish independent primary schools. Almost half of families with primary aged children send them to non-Jewish public schools.
78â&#x20AC;&#x192;
â&#x20AC;&#x192; The Jewish population of NSW
Table 53. Proportion of households with school-aged children by school type NSW (Gen17 N=570 household for primary level, N=300 household for secondary level) Level Sector
Primary
Secondary
Jewish
46%
67%
Government
49%
17%
Independent
5%
17%
100%
100%
Total
But when asked whether it is preferable for Jewish children to attend a Jewish school at primary or secondary level, the difference is small with 57% indicating preference a primary and 60% indicating preference at secondary level (Figure 43). Opinion, it seems, does not match behaviour.
Why is there dissonance between school preference and actual choice? One factor might be affordability and Gen17 data on income allow for further examination of this. Household income distributions for families with children in primary school (some of whom may also have children in secondary school) are shown in Figure 44 by school type. Those with at least one child in a Jewish primary school are 1.7 times as likely to have household incomes of $300,000 or above compared to families with at least one child in a government primary school (37% versus 22%). (Note it is possible that some families have more than one primary-aged child and we cannot assume that families choose one type of school for each of their children.)
Figure 43. Preference for Jewish schooling by level, NSW Gen17 (N=628 per level)* Secondary School
33%
Primary School
34%
0%
10%
20%
27%
21%
23%
30%
40%
50%
21%
60%
70%
8%
9%
80%
11%
14%
90% 100%
Strong preference for a Jewish school Some preference for a Jewish school No preference either way for Jewish or non-Jewish school Some preference for a non-Jewish school Strong preference for a non-Jewish school Q Whether or not you have children, do you feel it is preferable for Jewish children to attend a school that is Jewish OR non-Jewish OR do you have no preference either way? * all unique households with at least one child aged under 19
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Reportâ&#x20AC;&#x192; â&#x20AC;&#x192; 79
Type of primary school
Figure 44. School type by pre-tax annual household income for households with children in primary school, NSW (Gen17 N=570 households)*
Jewish
24%
Independent
39%
31%
Government
37%
31%
37%
0%
10%
20%
38%
40%
30%
40%
50%
60%
22%
70%
80%
90% 100%
Proportion in household income bracket Under $150,000
$150,000-$299,999
$300,000 and above
* excludes income non-response (26% overall)
Type of secondary school
Figure 45. School type by pre-tax annual household income for households with children in secondary school, NSW (Gen17 N=300 households)*
Jewish
Independent
24%
42%
22%
35%
Government
0%
34%
43%
60%
10%
20%
30%
33%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
7%
90%
100%
Proportion in household income bracket Under $150,000
$150,000-$299,999
$300,000 and above
* excludes income non-response (30% overall)
But a different pattern is exhibited by families with children of secondary school age (some of whom may also have children in primary school) (Figure 45). Families with at least one child in a Jewish secondary school are almost five times as likely to have household incomes of $300,000 or more compared to families with at least one child in a government secondary school (34%
versus 7%). Conversely, families with at least one child in a government secondary school are 2.5 times as likely to have a household income of under $150,000 compared with families who have at least one child in a Jewish secondary school (60% versus 24%).
80
The Jewish population of NSW
Type of primary school
Figure 46. Type of primary school children attend by current religious/Jewish identification of householder, NSW (Gen17 N=570 households)*^ 27%
Non-Orthodox
62%
11%
51%
Traditional
47%
1%
72%
Orthodox 0%
10%
20%
30%
28%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90% 100%
Proportion of identity group in each school type Jewish
Government
Independent
* Orthodox = Strictly Orthodox/Haredi, Modern Orthodox, Chabad; Non-Orthodox = Masorti/Conservative, Progressive/Reform, No denomination – just Jewish, Non-practising (secular/cultural), Humanist (Secular), Atheist ^ one family may have more than one child at a primary school
Type of secondary school
Figure 47. Type of secondary school children attend by current religious/Jewish identification of householder, NSW (Gen17 N=300 households)*^
Non-Orthodox
52%
Traditional
26%
22%
78%
Orthodox
14%
85%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
8%
5% 11%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Proportion of identity group in each school type Jewish
Government
Independent
* Orthodox = Strictly Orthodox/Haredi, Modern Orthodox, Chabad; Non-Orthodox = Masorti/Conservative, Progressive/Reform, No denomination – just Jewish, Non-practising (secular/cultural), Humanist (Secular), Atheist ^ one family may have more than one child at a secondary school
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 81
In summary, there is a clear difference in terms of preference and choice between secondary and primary schooling decisions. At the primary level, parents are choosing the public option even though many could probably afford the private option. But at the secondary level, families that can afford the private option are choosing this path, the implication being that those who cannot afford it may feel they are being left out. Another factor worth exploring in terms of school choice in NSW is Jewish identity. This can be modelled using a variable called current selfidentified Jewish/religious position. In Figure 46, the relationship between Jewish position and
primary school choice is shown. As expected, at the primary level, Orthodox families are most likely to choose Jewish schools (72%), by contrast, non-Orthodox families are most likely to choose government schools (62%)35. (Note some families may have more than one primaryaged child and it cannot be assumed that families choose one school type for all their children.) But at the secondary level (Figure 47), important shifts are observed. Whilst all groups increase their presence in Jewish schools, this is especially so among traditional and non-Orthodox groups. Indeed, non-Orthodox almost doubled its proportion from 27% to 52%.
Type of primary school
Figure 48. Type of primary school children attend by country of birth of householder, NSW (Gen17 N=570 households) Australia
48%
South Africa
44%
52%
Other
46%
31%
0%
10%
20%
7%
63%
30%
40%
50%
60%
1%
6%
70%
80%
90% 100%
Proportion of CoB group in each school type Jewish
Government
Finally, we examine the data in terms of country of birth of householder. Again there are important differences based on level. For families with at least one child in primary school and where the householder is born in either Australia or South Africa, around half send their child to a Jewish primary school (Figure 48). But this is rather lower (31%) families with householders born elsewhere.
Independent
At the secondary level we again see the shift into Jewish schools but householder’s country of birth is a key factor (Figure 49). The increase is modest for families with Australian born householders but striking among the two other groups. Families with South African born householders increase their presence at secondary Jewish schools by such an extent that they are almost exclusively at these institutions (85%). No less striking is the near doubling of the proportion of householders born in other countries, increasing from 31% to 59%.
35 Although it should also be born in mind that Emanuel School is not a specifically Orthodox school.
82
The Jewish population of NSW
Type of secondary school
Figure 49. Type of secondary school children attend by country of birth of householder, NSW (Gen17 N=300 households)
Australia
58%
20%
South Africa
23%
85%
Other
11% 4%
59%
0%
10%
20%
22%
30%
40%
50%
60%
19%
70%
80%
90% 100%
Proportion of CoB group in each school type Jewish
Government
Independent
Figure 50. First main advantage of full-time Jewish day schools, NSW (Gen17, N=3,938) Strengthen Jewish identity
23%
Provide a sense of belonging to the Jewish community
21%
Develop Jewish friendships and networks
13%
Provide strong Jewish education
11%
Strong secular academic education (outstanding results for university entry)
7%
Education takes place in a Jewish environment
5%
Other
10%
No advantages
5%
Don’t know/Prefer not to say
5% 0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Q: Whether or not you have attended one, what do you consider to be the main advantages of full-time JEWISH DAY SCHOOLS, if any?
10.6 Attitudes towards Jewish schooling (Gen17) Whether or not Gen17 respondents in NSW had attended a Jewish school themselves or whether they had any children, they were asked what they thought were the three main advantages of Jewish schools (from a list of 16 items plus an option to add other reasons).
In terms of the first main advantage, 23% mentioned ‘strengthening Jewish identity’ as and a further 21% mentioned ‘provide a sense of belonging to the Jewish community’ (Figure 50).
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 83
Figure 51. Top ten advantages of Jewish schools mentioned*, NSW (Gen17, N=3,938 per item) Provide a sense of belonging to the Jewish community
49.0%
Strengthen Jewish identity
48.8%
Develop Jewish friendships and networks
48.1%
Provide strong Jewish education Strong secular academic education (outstanding results for university entry)
26% 23%
Education takes place in a Jewish environment
13%
Provide Hebrew literacy
13%
High quality of resources/technology/library etc
8%
Reduce likelihood of intermarriage
7%
Increase Jewish observance
6%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Q: Whether or not you have attended one, what do you consider to be the main advantages of full-time JEWISH DAY SCHOOLS, if any? * Respondents were asked to mention the first, second and third most important advantages. This graph amalgamates the responses to these three options
When all three responses are taken into account (i.e. summing all three responses together), it is interesting to see that three items are statistically indistinguishable, each being considered important by just under half of NSW respondents (Figure 51). Two of these were mentioned above (sense of belonging and strengthening Jewish identity) but a third item, ‘Developing Jewish friendships and networks’ also appears. Note these items are social and ethnocentric in nature; they are not educational or religious. And perhaps here lies an indication of at least some of the driving force behind the notable recent movement at the primary level, away from Jewish schools and into government schools with high proportions of Jewish pupils.
10.7 Cost of Jewish schooling (Gen17) All NSW respondents with children (including adult children who had left home), were asked whether the cost of school fees had ever
prevented them from sending one or more of their children to a Jewish school36. Overall, 37% said that it had, but the percentage was higher among younger cohorts who are more likely to have school-aged children: among those aged under 45 years, an average of 55% said the cost had prevented them from doing so. Parents with children attending Jewish schools were asked whether or not the cost of doing so was within their household’s financial capacity. More than half (55%) said that the cost entailed either significant or major financial sacrifices (Figure 52). However, there are notable differences when household income is factored in. For families with annual pre-tax incomes of $300,000 or more, 24% say the cost is a significant or major sacrifice, itself a sizable proportion given this income level, but this pales in comparison to 60% among families with incomes of between $150,000 and $299,999, and 84% for families with incomes below $150,000 (Figure 52).
36 People who had never considered a Jewish day school for their child/ren are excluded
84
The Jewish population of NSW
Figure 52. Affordability of Jewish schooling by household income* NSW Gen17 (N=411) 13%
All Prefer not to say
10%
Under $150,000 $150,000-$299,999
32% 35%
16% 7%
10%
32%
24%
40% 40%
40% 0%
22%
44% 33%
$300,000 or above
33%
20%
20%
37% 30%
40%
50%
60%
17% 70%
80%
7%
90%
100%
Well within household’s financial capacity Entails some financial sacrifices for the household Entails significant financial sacrifices for the household Entails major financial sacrifices for the household Q: Earlier you indicated that at least one of your children attends a Jewish Day School. Would you say the cost of sending your child/ children to a Jewish day school… * All households with at least one child currently attending a Jewish school
Figure 53. Methods of financing Jewish day school fees* NSW (Gen17 N=411 per item) Personal/household income
58%
Personal/household savings
17%
Financial support from other family members (e.g. grandparents)
16%
Means-tested subsidies from the school
11%
Bank loan/use of home loan
11%
Other financial arrangement(s)
4%
Prefer not to say
14% 0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Q: In what way or ways are you currently financing your child’s/children’s Jewish Day School fees? * All households with at least one child currently attending a Jewish school
50%
60%
70%
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Reportâ&#x20AC;&#x192; â&#x20AC;&#x192; 85
Parents with children in Jewish schools in NSW were asked a multi-select question about how they are financing the cost of this schooling. The most common response, 58%, was through personal household income followed by personal or household savings (17%) (Figure 53).
seen here with 42% saying that they probably or definitely would do so compared with 40% who said they probably or definitely would not do so. Again, we see some evidence that suggests parents view secondary Jewish schooling to be more important than primary Jewish schooling.
Respondents with young children (aged under 5) at home were asked how likely it was they would send their child to a Jewish primary school. One in three (33%) indicated that they would probably or definitely do so but over half (55%) said they probably or definitely would not do so (Figure 54). A similar question was asked with respect to a Jewish high school, this time to anyone who had a child aged under 12. A different pattern can be
When these data are analysed in terms of income, there is a general relationship suggesting lower incomes are associated with a higher likelihood of not choosing a Jewish school either at primary or high school level (figure 55). The data suggest that whilst the relationship is generally apparent there is a notable difference between those with household incomes below $150,000 a year and those above this amount.
Figure 54. Likelihood of sending a child to a Jewish primary or secondary school, NSW, (Gen17, N=246^, N=477*)
Planning to send child to a Jewish primary school^
19%
Planning to send child to a Jewish secondary school*
20%
14%
27%
22%
24%
28%
16%
12%
18%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%100% Yes, definitely
Yes, probably
No, probably not
No, definitely not
Undecided
Q: Earlier you indicated at least one of your children is aged under five years old. Are you currently planning to send this child to a Jewish primary school? (If you have more than one child aged under five, please relate your answer to the eldest child.) Q: Earlier you indicated at least one of your children is aged under 12 years old. Are you currently planning to send this child to a Jewish high school? (If you have more than one child aged under 12, please relate your answer to the eldest child.)
86â&#x20AC;&#x192; â&#x20AC;&#x192; The Jewish population of NSW
Figure 55. Likelihood of sending a child to a Jewish primary or high school by household income, NSW Gen17 (primary N=246, high N=477)
Primary
Under $150,000
6% 11%
$150,000-$299,999
21%
High
$300,000 or above
Under $150,000
8%
32% 0%
28%
7%
29%
32% 27% 19%
13%
23%
25%
21% 23%
$300,000 or above
34%
16%
29%
$150,000-$299,999
Yes, definitely
36%
24% 25% 14%
10% 13%
12% 11%
15% 15% 23%
10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Yes, probably
No, probably not
No, definitely not
Undecided
Q: Earlier you indicated at least one of your children is aged under 12 years old. Are you currently planning to send this child to a Jewish High School? (If you have more than one child aged under 12, please relate your answer to the eldest child.)
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Reportâ&#x20AC;&#x192; â&#x20AC;&#x192; 87
11 Volunteering
The census captures data on volunteering by recording whether a person spent any time engaged in unpaid voluntary work through an organisation or group, in the twelve months prior to the 2016 Census for every person aged 15 and above. In total, 30% of Jews in NSW said they had volunteered, a somewhat higher proportion than for the remainder of the NSW population (20%). Although this is also higher than the proportion of Jews who volunteered in 2011 (27%), changes to this question in 2016 (which provided additional examples of different types of volunteering) may have contributed towards increased positive responses and complicate direct comparisons between 2011 and 2016.
11.1 Volunteering by various indicators Volunteering is sensitive to age and sex. Jewish teenagers (aged 15 to 19) in NSW are most likely to have volunteered (42%) but the propensity to do so declines with age (Figure 56). It takes a steep dip around the early thirties (25%), presumably due to childcare responsibilities, but rises and peaks in the late forties (37%) mainly declining thereafter.
Proportion of age group that volunteers
Figure 56. Proportion who have volunteered* by age group, Jewish population, NSW, 2016^ 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0%
Age group * Records people (aged 15 and above) who spent time doing unpaid voluntary work through an organisation or group, in the twelve months prior to 2016 Census. Excludes work done as part of paid employment, to qualify for government benefit; obtain a qualification or for a family business. ^ Excludes not stated
88â&#x20AC;&#x192; â&#x20AC;&#x192; The Jewish population of NSW
Figure 57. Proportion who volunteer, by age and sex, Jewish population, NSW, 2016 6%
90+
12% 17% 18%
Age group
80-89 70-79
29% 27%
60-69
27%
50-59
31% 36%
31%
40-49
40%
31% 27% 26%
30-39 20-29
31%
35%
u20
38% 0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45% 45%
50%
% of age group that volunteers Female
Jewish women in NSW are more likely to volunteer than Jewish men (32% for women compared with 28% for men). And this is the case at almost all ages with the exception of those aged 80 years and over (Figure 57). The gap is greatest in the teen years and the forties. Different groups exhibit different propensities towards volunteering (although these will also likely be influenced by age and sex). Table 54 shows the highest proportion who volunteer by labour force status is among the unemployed (37%) followed by those who work part-time (34%). In terms of marital status, the Never married group is most likely to have volunteered (33%) and the widowed group (mostly older people) the least likely (20%). In terms of
Male
country of birth, Australia-born Jews (36%) were more likely to have volunteered than any other group with the lowest likelihood being those born in Israel (22%) and the FSU (10%). Although it is only possible to speculate, these differences may be related to feelings of connection to the Jewish community and/or society at large.
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 89
Table 54. Proportion of group that volunteers* (age 15 and above) by labour force status, marital status and country of birth, Jewish population, NSW, 2016^ % of sub-group who volunteer All Jews in NSW
Labour force status
Marital status
Country of birth
30%
Unemployed
37%
Employed, worked part-time
34%
Employed, worked full-time
30%
Not in the labour force
28%
Employed, away from work
26%
Never married
33%
Married
32%
Divorced
26%
Separated
21%
Widowed
20%
Australia
36%
South Africa
31%
Other country
27%
Israel
22%
Former Soviet Union (FSU)
10%
* Records people (aged 15 and above) who spent time doing unpaid voluntary work through an organisation or group, in the twelve months prior to the 2016 Census. Excludes work done as part of paid employment, to qualify for government benefit; obtain a qualification or for a family business. ^ Excludes not stated
11.2 Volunteering by type of organisation and Jewish identity (Gen17) In contrast to the census, Gen17 survey data indicate that more than half (54%) of respondents in NSW age 18 above had volunteered the previous 12 months (Figure 58). This is a considerably higher proportion than was recorded in the census (30%) but it must be recognised that the questions on volunteering were different in each case37. 30% of respondents had volunteered for Jewish organisations only, a further 15% volunteered for non-Jewish organisations only, and 9% volunteered for Jewish and non-Jewish organisations38. Not only are Jews in NSW more likely to volunteer for Jewish than non-Jewish organisations but they are also more likely to volunteer more frequently for them too, hence 35% had volunteered at least once a week for Jewish organisations compared with 24% for non-Jewish organisations (Figure 59)
Figure 58. Volunteering by respondents aged 18 and above by organisation type, NSW (Gen17, N=3,938) For Jewish and Non-Jewish organisations 9%
For Non-Jewish organisation only 15%
None 46%
For Jewish organisation only 30%
Q: In the last 12 months, have you done any unpaid voluntary work to support an organisation(s)?
37 Gen17 asked: “In the last 12 months, have you done any unpaid voluntary work to support an organisation(s)?”. The 2016 Census asked: “In the last twelve months did the person spend any time doing voluntary work through an organisation or group?” followed by a detailed list of inclusions and exclusions. 38 An assessment of the Gen17 referral sub-dataset (N=294 i.e. smaller but arguably more representative) indicates similar overall levels of volunteering (46%). However, interestingly, this also showed that volunteering for Jewish organisations only was slightly lower than for non-Jewish organisations only (21% versus 24% respectively).
90
The Jewish population of NSW
Figure 59. Frequency of unpaid voluntary work done in the last 12 months by organisation type, NSW (Gen17: N=1,859 Jewish organisation; N=933 non-Jewish organisation)
Jewish organisation
35%
Non-Jewish organisation
27%
24%
0%
38%
28%
48%
10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
At least once a week Less than once a week but at least once a month Less often than once a month
Figure 60. Frequency of unpaid voluntary work done in the last 12 months by current self-defined Jewish/religious position, NSW (Gen17 N=3,781) 13%
21%
Masorti/Conservative 7% Modern Orthodox
34% 33%
11% 36% 12%
22%
Progressive/Reform
27%
9% 8%
Traditional
10% 12%
0%
10%
50%
26%
15%
No denomination – just Jewish
39%
33%
7% Non-practising (secular/cultural)
47%
52%
22% 20%
56% 30%
40%
Jewish and Non-Jewish organisations
Non-Jewish organisation only
Jewish organisation only
None
50%
60%
Regarding self-defined Jewish position, the group most likely to volunteer is Masorti (66%) followed by Modern Orthodox (63%). The group least likely to volunteer is â&#x20AC;&#x2DC;Just Jewishâ&#x20AC;&#x2122; (44%) (Figure 60). However, in terms of the type of organisations respondents volunteered for, Modern Orthodox were most likely to only volunteer for Jewish organisations (47%)39 . Masorti were most likely to volunteer for both Jewish and non-Jewish organisations.
Respondents in NSW who had volunteered for a Jewish organization in the previous year were asked what kind of organisation(s) this was. The most commonly mentioned category was a synagogue (23%) followed by Jewish school (19%). This highlights the role these two types of communal institution play not just in terms of service delivery but also for galvanizing other forms of Jewish communal engagement. Important differences are seen in terms of gender with men being more likely to volunteer for a synagogue, a school and especially CSG and Maccabi (Figure 61).
Figure 61. Jewish organisations that respondents had volunteered for in the previous 12 months among those who had volunteered for a Jewish organisation*, NSW (Gen17 N=1859 per category) 21%
A synagogue
26%
17% 20%
A Jewish school 13% 12%
JCA 5%
Community Security Group (CSG)
12% 10% 9%
JewishCare
9% 8% 8% 7%
JNF Sir Moses Montefiore Jewish Home 3%
Maccabi
7%
NSW Jewish Board of Deputies
5% 6%
UIA
7% 6% 6% 4% 4% 2%
Sydney Jewish Museum B'nai b'rith Other Jewish organisation(s) 0%
47% 36% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% Female
Male
Q: Which JEWISH organisation(s) have you volunteered your time to support in the last 12 months? * Many organisations were mentioned and items are not independent. This list is cut-off at 2%
39 It is even higher among the Strictly Orthodox (71%) but this figure is not statistically reliable.
92 The Jewish population of NSW
Figure 62. Reasons given for not volunteering, NSW (Gen17 N=1496 per item) 45%
Do not have the time Prefer to give financial support rather than your time
13%
Don’t know what opportunities are available
12% 11%
Have never been asked/It has never occurred to you
8%
Are not interested
7%
Have health problems Don’t have enough money
6%
Do not have transport
2%
Don’t have enough experience
1%
Everything that interests is inaccessible
1%
Something else
8% 0%
5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%
Q: There are many reasons why some people do voluntary work and others do not. You said that you have not done any voluntary work in the past 12 months. Is this because:
11.3 Reasons for not volunteering (Gen17) The 46% of respondents in NSW who had not volunteered in the previous 12 months were asked why this was the case. Just under half (45%) said this was because they did not have enough time, by far the most common reason given (Figure 62).
12 Care and welfare
12.1 General health and limiting conditions (Gen17)
In addition to their self-assessed general health, NSW survey respondents were also asked whether their daily activities were limited because of a long-term health problem. Whilst overall levels were low, with 19% reporting this was the case, again, the likelihood of people experiencing limitations to their daily activities increased with age. With more than half of those in their eighties and above reporting a long-term health problem or disability (Figure 64). Moreover, the severity of this limitation(s) also increases with age.
Respondents to the Gen17 survey were asked to describe their general state of health. Overall, in NSW, most people (86%) have good health but 14% do not. However, health is sensitive to age and, as can be seen in Figure 63, general health deteriorates as people get older so for those aged under 50, 10% or less had fair to bad general health but by the time they reached their late eighties, this was the case for almost half (48%) the cohort.
Figure 63. Self-assessed general health by age, NSW, (Gen17, N=3,938) 90+ 85-89
43%
80-84
30%
75-79
7%
16%
65-69
7%
14%
60-64 Age
5%
25%
70-74
7%
45-49
48%
45%
50%
35%
33%
22%
2% 15% 1% 13%
12%
50-54
5%
3% 17%
13%
55-59
40-44
2% 48%
46%
4% 11% 1% 10%
9% 3% 2% 5%
35-39
7%
30-34 25-29 u25
1% 8%
4%
2% 6%
4%
2% 6%
4% <1% 4% 0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25% Fair
Q: How is your health in general?
30% Bad
35%
40%
55%
94
The Jewish population of NSW
Figure 64. Whether day-to-day activities are limited because of a health problem or disability which has lasted, or is expected to last for at least 12 months, NSW (Gen17 N=3,938) 90+
32%
85-89
36%
80-84
65-69
8%
23%
60-64 Age
10%
22%
5%
15%
50-54
9% 5% 6%
30-34
7%
u25
19%
2% 15% 1% 10%
1% 6%
35-39
25-29
37%
30%
2% 17%
13%
45-49
53%
4% 27%
14%
55-59
55%
12%
28%
70-74
60%
19%
41%
75-79
40-44
28%
2% 9%
11% 9%
0%
5%
2% 10% 3% 14% 9% 10%
15%
20%
25%
Yes, limited a little
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%
65%
Yes, limited a lot
Q: Are your day-to-day activities limited because of a health problem or disability which has lasted, or is expected to last, at least 12 months? Please include problems related to old age.
Table 55. Proportion of respondents with moderate or extreme impairment in five categories of ill-health, NSW, Gen17 (N=3,938 per item) Type of impairment Mobility
Self-care Usual activities (e.g. work, study, housework, family or leisure activities) Pain / discomfort
Anxiety / depression
Level of impairment I have some problems walking about
11%
I am confined to bed
<1%
I have some problems washing/dressing myself
<1%
I am unable to wash or dress myself
<1%
I have some problems with performing my usual activities
8%
I am unable to perform my usual activities
<1%
I have moderate pain or discomfort
28%
I have extreme pain or discomfort
<1%
I am moderately anxious or depressed
22%
I am extremely anxious or depressed
Q: Please indicate which statements best describe your own state of health today.
1%
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 95
12.2 Need for care assistance by age
The survey also asked whether respondents in NSW had specific impairments due to health conditions. The most common impairment was pain or discomfort at a moderate level (28%) followed by anxiety or depression also at a moderate level (22%) (Table 55). Few respondents reported severe impairment in any of the categories examined.
The 2016 Census recorded 2,793a Jewish people in NSW in need of assistance with ‘core activities’40. Need, however, is often closely related to age and over half (52%) of those in need, or 1,461a people, are aged 80 and above. The data shown in Figure 65 indicate that in terms of absolute size, the number of people needing assistance is greatest among those aged 85-89 (columns and left-hand axis). But the graph also shows the proportion of each cohort in need; this is 1.6% for people under 50 years and 3.6% for people aged 50 to 69 but it rises steeply—beyond 50% in the late eighties—thereafter (line and right-hand axis).
90% 80%
500
70%
400
60% 50%
300
40% 30%
200
20%
100
10% 95+
90-94
85-89
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
0% 5-9
0
% of each age group in need of assistance (line)
600
0-4
Number of Jews in need of assistance (columns)
Figure 65. Need for assistance with core activities by age – estimated number of Jewish people and percent of each age group, NSW, 2016
Age group Total in need of assistance with core activities % of age group in need of assistance with core activities
40 Need is defined in the census as “People with a profound or severe disability… needing help or assistance in one or more of the three core activity areas of self-care, mobility and communication, because of a disability, long term health condition (lasting six months or more) or old age.” ABS 2016 Census Dictionary p180
96 The Jewish population of NSW
12.3 Need for care assistance by location
Among those aged 50 and above in need of assistance in NSW in 2016, 59% (1,655a) lived in their own home, a rise of 18% since 2006. Of these, 630a lived alone and 1,025a lived with a spouse or someone else (Table 57). Overall, between 2006 and 2016, the number of people in need of assistance and living alone increased by 11%, whilst among those living with their spouse or others, the increase was 23%. The increase among those in their nineties was considerably higher, whether living alone (48%) or living with someone else (60%).
Of the 2,793a people in need of assistance in NSW, 25% lived in ‘non-private dwellings’ (almost all of whom (90%) were living in nursing homes or 'accommodation for the retired'). Of the remainder, 2,036a Jewish people lived in their own homes of which one in five 41% lived in Eastern Suburbs – North (Table 56).
Table 56. Need for assistance with core activities for all those living in their own homes by location, Jewish population, 2016 (estimated)* Total in need of assistance
Percent
Eastern Suburbs - North
848
41%
Eastern Suburbs - South
267
13%
66
3%
Sydney Inner City
179
9%
Upper North Shore
110
5%
Lower North Shore
83
4%
Botany
Rest of NSW Total
510
25%
2,063
100%
* Excludes those in non-private dwellings such as nursing and retirement homes
Table 57. Need for assistance with core activities by age and household type, Jewish population, NSW, 2006, 2011 and 2016 (estimated)*
Lone person
Living with spouse or others
% change 2006-2011
% change 2011-2016
% change 2006-2016
115
27%
14%
45%
86
127
18%
47%
74%
306
254
225
-17%
-11%
-26%
90+
110
113
162
3%
43%
48%
Total
568
555
630
-2%
14%
11%
50-69
208
259
302
25%
16%
45%
70-79
229
222
240
-3%
8%
5%
80-89
303
352
338
17%
-4%
12%
90+
91
88
145
-2%
64%
60%
Total
830
921
1,025
11%
11%
23%
Age
2006
2011
2016
50-69
79
101
70-79
73
80-89
* Excludes those in non-private dwellings such as nursing and retirement homes
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 97
12.4 Jews living in care facilities
The average age of people living in nursing homes or accommodation for the retired in NSW has steadily increased over the decade—34% were aged 90 and above in 2006 compared with 39% in 2011 and 48% in 2016.
The census distinguishes between people who live at home and those who live in ‘non-private dwellings,’ within which, nursing homes and accommodation for the retired,41 fall. In 2016, there were 893a Jewish people living in such facilities in NSW, a rise of 18% since 2006.
In 2016, 23% of Jewish people aged 90 and above lived in a nursing home and a further 20% lived in accommodation for the retired (Table 58). Therefore 43% of the very old lived in these types of accommodation, similar to the proportion in 2006 (42%) and 2011 (45%). However, between 2006 and 2016, the number of Jews aged 90 and above living in nursing homes increased by 44% and the number living in accommodation for the retired doubled (up 103%).
Of these, most (517a) were living in nursing homes and a further 376a were living in accommodation for the retired. However, a word of caution is warranted here. JCA records indicate that there were about 640 Jews in nursing homes in 2016 and we suspect that the difference may be due to the way administrators who complete the census forms in such institutions are defining their facilities since the total of 893a in both accommodation types is similar to the number we understand from community records can be accommodated in such institutions in NSW. See Definitional note~ below.
Table 58. Jewish residents of nursing homes and accommodation for the retired* by age, 2006, 2011 and 2016, NSW (estimated) Percentage of total Jewish population in age group
Facility
Nursing homes
Accommo-dation for the retired
Age group
% change
2006
2011
2016
2006
2011
2016
20062011
20112016
20062016
Under 80
87
80
75
0.6%
0.5%
0.4%
-8%
-6%
-14%
80-89
233
354
215
8%
13%
9%
52%
-39%
-8%
90+
158
297
227
26%
38%
23%
88%
-24%
44%
Total
478
732
517
2.7%
3.7%
2.5%
53%
-29%
8%
Under 80
25
17
40
0.2%
0.1%
0.2%
-32%
140%
62%
80-89
151
97
133
5%
3%
6%
-36%
38%
-12%
90+
99
53
202
16%
7%
20%
-47%
284%
103%
Total
276
166
376
1.6%
0.8%
1.8%
-40%
126%
36%
* See footnote 41
41 ‘Accommodation for the retired or aged (not self-contained) … refers to hostel type accommodation (with common living and eating facilities) provided for retired or aged people who are generally in good health and capable of looking after themselves.’ (2016 Census dictionary p158). Note homes for the retired such as B’nai B’rith Retirement Villages and Lifestyle Manor are not included in these figures since residents have private addresses and live independently.
98
The Jewish population of NSW
In addition to those living in care homes and retirement homes in 2016, 148a Jewish people in NSW were living in other care facilities (but also defined as non-private dwellings) such as hospitals and respite facilities.42 These will have been temporary residences for most people. Definitional note ~ In the census, a private dwelling includes mainly houses and flats but also caravans and tents for example. A Non-Private Dwellings (NPD) is one that provides “a communal or transitory type of accommodation.” They vary by function and include hotels, guest houses, prisons, boarding schools, hospitals, nursing homes and so on. According to ABS, people in NPDs are enumerated on personal forms, not household forms, so information on their family structure is not collected but data on metrics like religion are collected. “In the case of accommodation for the retired or aged, where one establishment contains both self-contained units and units that are not self-contained [i.e. with common living and eating facilities provided for retired or aged people who are generally in good health and capable of looking after themselves], then both household forms (self-contained) and personal forms (not selfcontained) are used as appropriate".43
Figure 66. Preferred type of care facility, NSW, Gen17 (N=3,938) Prefer not to say, 2%
Don’t know which option I prefer, 7%
An environment that is not specifically Jewish, 6%
No preference, 9%
Jewish environment with kosher facilities, 18%
An environment with a Jewish ethos but not necessarily with kosher facilities 58%
Q: If you needed to be looked after in a care home or supported living environment, which type of facility, if any, would you would prefer?
Not surprisingly, preference is strongly related to religious position. Hence we see that just over half (53%) of Modern Orthodox respondents in NSW said that they would prefer a facility with kosher facilities but for most other groups, an environment that had a Jewish ethos but not necessarily with kosher facilities, was most likely to be preferred (Figure 67)
12.5 Care and consumer choice (Gen17) Whilst most people will not require residential care until they are very elderly, if at all, Gen17 respondents were asked what kind of care home or supported living environment they would choose, should it ever become necessary. Most (58%) respondents in NSW said that they would prefer an environment with a Jewish ethos but not necessarily one that has kosher facilities (Figure 66).
42 Specifically, these are: Public hospital (not psychiatric); private hospital (not psychiatric); psychiatric hospital or institution; hostel for the disabled; other welfare institution. 43 Source: ABS 2016 Census Dictionary p189-190, p158
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 99
Figure 67. Preferred type of care facility by current Jewish/religious position, NSW, Gen17 (N=3,938) Modern Orthodox
53%
Traditional
20%
Masorti/Conservative Progressive/Reform
40% 71%
17%
69%
5%
1% 4% 9%
73%
No denomination – just Jewish 4%
63%
Non-practising (secular/cultural) 2% 0%
3%4% 1% 3%5%
10%
50% 20%
17% 40%
6% 7%
9%
14%
10%
20%
60%
11%
80%
100%
Prefer care in a Jewish environment with kosher facilities Prefer care in an environment with a Jewish ethos but not necessarily with kosher facilities Prefer care in an environment that is not specifically Jewish No preference Don’t know which option I prefer Q: If you needed to be looked after in a care home or supported living environment, which type of facility, if any, would you would prefer?
Figure 68. Preferences for how personal care and support for people to continue living at home should be financed, NSW, Gen17 (N=3,938) Personal income, savings, investments
56%
Government
25%
Jewish community
4%
Other sources
2%
Don’t know
12%
Prefer not to say
1% 0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Q: Most people would prefer to live in their own home when they reach old age. If you will require personal care and support to continue living at home, should this be mainly financed by:
When asked about who should finance the cost of supporting someone in their own home, if they preferred to be cared for this way when they reached old age, most respondents (56%) said they would expect this to be financed with personal income, savings and
investments, with a further 25% saying it should be financed by the government (Figure 68). Few (4%) felt it should be financed by the Jewish community.
100 The Jewish population of NSW
Respondents aged 50 and above were asked whether they felt they had sufficient financial provisions to pay for their care needs into old age. Overall, just over half (54%) said they did but just under a third (32%) said they did not and a further 14% were unsure (Table 59). This varied by age, with older respondents being more confident than younger respondents. Nevertheless, 32% of those age 80 and above said they did not have sufficient financial provisions. There is also variation in terms of country of birth with a quarter of South African respondents (25%) aged 50 and above being unsure whether they had sufficient financial provisions and more than half (53%) of those born in FSU countries saying they did not have sufficient financial provisions.
Table 59. Do you have sufficient financial provisions to cover the cost of your care needs in old age? by age and country of birth, NSW, Gen17 (N=743) No
54%
32%
14%
100%
50-59
42%
32%
26%
100%
80+
65%
32%
4%
100%
Australia
58%
28%
14%
100%
South Africa
55%
19%
25%
100%
Israel
45%
38%
16%
100%
FSU
28%
53%
19%
100%
TOTAL Age
Country of birth
Don’t know
Yes
Total
12.6 Provision of unpaid care assistance Unpaid care assistance44 is also reported in the census and this shows that 5,421a Jews aged 15 and above provided such assistance to others (who were not necessarily Jewish) in NSW. (This compares with 5,227a in 2011). Care providers are more likely to be female than male—61% of unpaid care givers are women (this percentage is unchanged from 2011). The proportion of people providing care assistance increases steadily with age until it peaks in the late fifties when over a quarter (28%) of women provide care, and proportions decline thereafter as people begin to require care themselves and/or the person(s) they are caring for requires professional help (Figure 69).
44 ABS defines unpaid assistance to a person with a disability as “unpaid help or supervision given in the previous two weeks to another person to assist them with daily activities because of a disability, a long-term health condition or problems related to old age. A longterm illness is one that has lasted or is likely to last for six months or more. The care could have been provided to family members or other people, but excludes care given through an organisation or club.” ABS 2016, Census Dictionary p241
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Reportâ&#x20AC;&#x192; â&#x20AC;&#x192; 101
Figure 69. Provision of unpaid care assistance, by age and sex, NSW, 2016 2%
90+
7% 7% 9%
85-89
11%
80-84 75-79
14% 16%
9%
70-74
19%
12%
Age group
65-69
21%
16%
60-64
27%
17%
55-59
28%
20%
50-54
27%
18%
45-49
10%
40-44
10% 11%
35-39
20% 15%
8% 9% 7% 8% 9% 8% 6% 6% 4%
30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Proportion providing unpaid care assistance Female
Gen17 respondents in NSW were asked whether they provided regular assistance to close relatives suffering from physical or mental ill-health or disability. Overall, 20% said this was the case and 10% of respondents reported giving regular help to an elderly family member suffering physical illhealth/disability (Table 60).
Male
Table 60. Proportion who give regular help or support to a close relative by type of disability, NSW, Gen17 (N=3,938 per item) Type of relative
Type of disability Physical ill-health/disability
10%
Mental ill-health/disability
3%
Child under 18 in my family
Physical ill-health/disability
<1%
Mental ill-health/disability
<1%
Another close family member
Physical ill-health/disability
4%
Mental ill-health/disability
4%
Elderly family member
Q: Do you look after, or give any regular help or support to, a close relative (parent, child, spouse, or sibling), either inside or outside your home, who is suffering from long-term ill-health or a long-term disability? Please do not count anything you do as part of your paid employment.
13 Appendices
Appendix 1. Construction of ‘broad’ geographical areas using the ASGS boundary system The broad areas used for geographical analysis in this report are based on seven SA3 boundaries plus Rest of Sydney and Rest of NSW. Table 61 shows the relationship between these SA3s and their constituent SA2 neighbourhoods (areas smaller than SA2 are SA1s and Mesh Blocks but these are only identified by numerical codes
in the ABS system). However, as discussed in the report, SA2 boundaries are not particularly intuitive for the localised analysis of the Jewish population. For example, the SA2 boundary called ‘Bondi – Tamarama – Bronte’ merges three distinct areas and is separate from ‘Bondi Beach – North Bondi’ which confuses things further still, hence the use of alternative and more intuitive SSC (State Suburb Code) boundaries in the detailed analyses.
Table 61. Relationship between SA2 and SA3 areas for the construction of the broad geographies used in this report Broad geography SA3 boundaries
SA2 – constituent areas
Eastern Suburbs – North
Bondi – Tamarama – Bronte Bondi Beach – North Bondi Bondi Junction – Waverly Centennial Park Double Bay – Bellevue Hill Dover Heights Paddington – Moore Park Rose Bay – Vaucluse – Watsons Bay Woollahra
Eastern Suburbs – South
Coogee – Clovelly Kensington (NSW) Kingsford Malabar – La Perouse – Chifley Maroubra – North Maroubra – South Maroubra – West Randwick – North Randwick – South
Continued on next page
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 103
Broad geography SA3 boundaries
SA2 – constituent areas
Sydney Inner City
Darlinghurst Erskineville – Alexandria Glebe – Forest Lodge Newtown – Camperdown – Darlington Potts Point – Woolloomooloo Pyrmont – Ultimo Redfern – Chippendale Surry Hills Sydney – Haymarket – The Rocks Waterloo – Beaconsfield
Botany
Banksmeadow Botany Mascot – Eastlakes Pagewood – Hillsdale – Daceyville Port Botany Industrial Sydney Airport
Ku-ring-gai*
Gordon – Killara Lindfield – Roseville Pymble St Ives Turramurra Wahroonga (East) – Warrawee
Chatswood – Lane Cove^
Chatswood (East) – Artarmon Chatswood (West) – Lane Cove North Lane Cove – Greenwich St Leonards – Naremburn Willoughby – Castle Cove – Northbridge
North Sydney – Mosman^
Cremorne – Cammeray Crows Nest – Waverton Mosman Neutral Bay – Kirribilli North Sydney – Lavender Bay
* Upper North Shore ^ Lower North Shore
104 The Jewish population of NSW
Appendix 2. Jewish population change from 2011 to 2016 based on SA2 area boundaries Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries are part of ABS’s ASGS boundary system. They “are designed to reflect functional areas that represent a community that interacts together socially and economically.” Whole SA2s aggregate directly to SA3s in the Main Structure. (ABS 2016 Census Dictionary page 167). The SA2 is the smallest area for the release of many ABS statistics, however, these boundaries are not necessarily commensurate with suburb boundaries people are familiar with, hence the use of SSC boundaries in the main report.
Dover Heights is the most populous SA2 with 5,505a Jews, a slight increase from 2011 (up 1.2%) (Table 62). In percentage terms, the largest increases were in Botany (46%), ‘Manly – Fairlight’ (44%), ‘Pagewood – Hillsdale – Daceyville’ (44%), Marrickville (35%) and ‘Malabar – La Perouse – Chifley’ (31%). The largest decrease in the top 50 most populous SA2 areas was St Ives (down 11%). Other areas with large percentage decreases were Lindfield – Roseville (-21%), Surry Hills (-18%), ‘Willoughby – Castle Cove – Northbridge’ (-14%) and Turramurra (-12%).
Table 62. The biggest 50 SA2 areas by Jewish population size, 2011 and 2016 (estimated)
SA2
2011
2016
N change
Percentage Change
Dover Heights
5,439
5,505
66
1.2%
Double Bay – Bellevue Hill
4,723
4,894
171
3.6%
Bondi Beach – North Bondi
3,504
3,544
40
1.1%
Rose Bay – Vaucluse – Watsons Bay
3,055
3,140
85
2.8%
St Ives
2,773
2,460
-314
-11.3%
Bondi – Tamarama – Bronte
2,153
2,061
-92
-4.3%
Bondi Junction – Waverly
1,928
1,948
20
1.0%
Maroubra*
1,936
1,914
-22
-1.1%
Randwick*
1,863
1,749
-115
-6.2%
998
1,080
83
8.3%
1,023
1,006
-16
-1.6%
Malabar – La Perouse – Chifley
612
802
190
31.0%
Woollahra
772
795
23
3.0%
Waterloo – Beaconsfield
707
639
-68
-9.6%
Gordon – Killara
550
544
-6
-1.0%
Paddington – Moore Park
473
490
17
3.5%
Lindfield – Roseville
593
470
-123
-20.7%
Willoughby – Castle Cove – Northbridge
529
456
-73
-13.9%
Coogee – Clovelly Kensington – Kingsford
Continued on next page
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 105
SA2
2011
2016
N change
Percentage Change
Potts Point – Woolloomooloo
378
409
31
8.2%
Hunters Hill – Woolwich
386
385
-1
-0.2%
Pagewood – Hillsdale – Daceyville
260
374
114
44.1%
Lane Cove – Greenwich
388
352
-36
-9.2%
Chatswood (West) – Lane Cove North
327
328
1
0.2%
Cremorne – Cammeray
321
306
-15
-4.7%
Mosman
305
306
0
0.1%
Pymble
314
293
-21
-6.7%
Mascot – Eastlakes
274
290
16
5.8%
Botany
198
288
90
45.5%
Redfern – Chippendale
266
268
2
0.9%
Darlinghurst
208
240
31
15.0%
Chatswood (East) – Artarmon
237
228
-9
-3.9%
Turramurra
248
218
-30
-12.2%
Newtown – Camperdown – Darlington
172
207
35
20.2%
Crows Nest – Waverton
201
198
-3
-1.5%
Neutral Bay – Kirribilli
183
193
10
5.3%
Surry Hills
230
188
-42
-18.3%
Erskineville – Alexandria
141
183
41
29.2%
Leichhardt – Annandale
178
168
-10
-5.6%
Macquarie Park – Marsfield
178
162
-17
-9.3%
Mullumbimby
134
154
20
14.9%
Balmain
132
152
20
15.0%
Frenchs Forest – Belrose
147
144
-4
-2.4%
Sydney – Haymarket – The Rocks
127
133
6
5.1%
97
131
34
34.9%
Glebe – Forest Lodge
109
128
19
17.7%
Forestville – Killarney Heights
107
123
16
15.5%
Manly – Fairlight
83
119
37
44.2%
North Sydney – Lavender Bay
96
118
22
23.0%
123
115
-8
-6.5%
84
102
19
22.1%
Marrickville
Wahroonga (East) – Warrawee* Ryde
*Notes: The 2016 Maroubra SA2 is the combination of three separate 2016 SA2s: North Maroubra, South Maroubra and West Maroubra as it was a single SA2 in 2011. The 2016 Randwick SA2 is the combination of North and South Randwick as it was a single SA2 in 2011. The Wahroonga (East) – Warrawee SA2 was slightly larger (Wahroonga – Warrawee) in 2011 but the numbers in the above table have been left unchanged for these areas in 2016 as they follow the general trend in those areas. The total in 2011 for Hornsby – Waitara and Wahroonga – Warrawee was 344 a. These two areas were split into four in 2016 (Wahroonga (East) – Warrawee, Waitara – Wahroonga (West), Hornsby – West and Hornsby – East) and totalled 299 a, a decrease of -12.9%.
106â&#x20AC;&#x192; â&#x20AC;&#x192; The Jewish population of NSW
Appendix 3. Long term population change
data show that over the 30-year period from 1986 to 2016, NSWâ&#x20AC;&#x2122;s Jewish population increased by 42%, from 28,197u to 40,099i which equates to an annual growth rate of 1.2% (Figure 70). However, the decadal rate of growth has been steadily decreasing over time, almost halving from a 17% increase between 1986 and 1996 to a 9% increase from 2006 to 2016 46.
Long term data on Jewish population change are available but must be assessed using unadjusted (enumerated) figures as there is no consistent approach to adjustment over time (albeit with an interpolated number for the 2016 data45 ). The
Figure 70. Jewish population change 1986 to 2016 with percentage change per decade in parenthesis, NSW (enumerated, 2016 interpolated*) 45,000
40,099*
40,000
36,718 32,850
Jewish Population
35,000 30,000
28,197
(+9%)
25,000
(+12%)
20,000
(+17%)
15,000 10,000 5,000 0 1986
1996
2006
2016
* The interpolated number has been used in 2016 for consistency of comparison with earlier enumerated numbers. This accommodates a change in presentation of the religion question in the 2016 Census.
45 The interpolated number has been used in the analysis of 2016 Census data for consistency of comparison with enumerated figures from earlier censuses. This adjusts for the change in the presentation of the religion question in 2016. 46 As these percentages are based on unadjusted (enumerated) data (and interpolated data for 2016) they show a greater change than was recorded using adjusted data. The increase based on adjusted data for 2006 to 2016 is lower at 4.9% (see Table 3).
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 107 To examine long term change at more localised levels, it is necessary to use postcode boundaries as these have remained fairly stable over the long term. (ABS’s introduction in 2011 of a new boundary system (ASGS) renders localised comparisons before then untenable). Data are available from 1991 and show that although Eastern Suburbs – North has consistently had the largest Jewish sub-population by a large margin, the rate of growth has been far stronger in Eastern Suburbs – South (Table 63). That, however, noticeably changed in the most recent period where the growth rates were almost the same (2% in the north, 3% in the south). The Jewish population in the Upper North Shore and Lower North Shore reached their peak sizes in around 2006 declining by 17% and 10% respectively, since then. At a more detailed level, Table 64 shows that Maroubra tripled in size (up 196%) in the 25-year period between 1991 and 2016 and all other Eastern Suburbs – South areas grew by over 75% (Botany is not included as historic data are unavailable). No areas within Eastern Suburbs – North grew by quite this much, although Rose Bay grew by 57% (and by 13% since 2006) and
Vaucluse, Waverley and Bellevue Hill grew by more than a third. By contrast, Bondi’s Jewish population has not grown over this period and is 10% smaller than in the mid-1990s (and has declined by 5% since 2006). Indeed, the 2016 Census showed that the Jewish population of Vaucluse is now on par with that of Bondi, having been 30% smaller in the 1990s. St Ives’ growth of 60% over the 25-year period and driven by South African migration in the 1990s, peaked in 2006, declining by 14% since then. The biggest changes that took place between 2011 and 2016, were in Upper North Shore (down 12%) with Lindfield declining by 21% and St Ives declining by 11% and Ryde down 8% (Table 64). Growth, on the other hand, was greatest outside Sydney, in Rest of NSW (increasing by 28%) but inside Sydney, Maroubra grew by 9% and Edgecliff and Paddington both grew by 7%.
Table 63. Jewish population size by year and percentage change, based on postcode subdivisions – Broad areas (estimated) Percentage change
1991*
1996*
2001*
2006
2011
2016
25 years 1991 -2016
Eastern Suburbs – North
18,256
20,686
20,388
22,160
22,549
22,915
26%
11%
12%
3%
2%
Eastern Suburbs – South
3,190
4,079
4,751
5,800
7,040
7,245
127%
78%
52%
25%
3%
Lower North Shore
2,755
2,914
2,873
2,950
2,773
2,667
-3%
-8%
-7%
-10%
-4%
Upper North Shore
4,260
5,072
5,099
5,390
5,042
4,456
5%
-12%
-13%
-17%
-12%
Rest of Sydney
5,841
6,663
6,915
7,504
8,111
7,883
35%
18%
14%
5%
-3%
Rest of NSW
1,327
1,440
1,535
1,702
2,055
2,633
98%
83%
72%
55%
28%
35,629
40,854
41,561
45,505
47,570
47,800
34%
17%
15%
5%
0%
Broad areas
Total
20 years 1996 -2016
15 years 2001 -2016
10 years 2006 -2016
5 years 2011 -2016
* 2001 data are from Eckstein G, 2003 Demography of the Sydney Jewish Community 2001, Jewish Communal Appeal, Sydney, Australia, p27; 1996 data from Eckstein G, 1999 Demography of the Sydney Jewish Community 1996, Jewish Communal Appeal, Sydney, Australia, p22; 1991 data from JCA/Monash University ACJC files and have been adjusted by 20%
108 The Jewish population of NSW
Table 64. Jewish population size by year and percentage change, based on postcode subdivisions – Narrow areas (estimated for 2006 to 2016) Percentage change
Broad areas
Narrow areas
Postcode area (POA)
1991§
1996‡
2001*
2006
2011
2016
25 yrs 19912016
20 yrs 19962016
15 yrs 20012016
10 yrs 20062016
5 yrs 20112016
Bondi
2026
5,329
5,958
5,312
5,619
5,338
5,334
<1%
-10%
<1%
-5%
<1%
Bellevue Hill
2023
2,206
2,501
2,501
2,712
2,972
2,979
35%
19%
19%
10%
<1%
Waverley
2022 2024
1,645
1,949
2,125
2,302
2,247
2,254
37%
16%
6%
-2%
<1%
Edgecliff
2025 2027 2028
2,131
2,316
2,233
2,479
2,287
2,443
15%
5%
9%
-1%
7%
Rose Bay
2029
2,256
2,678
2,753
3,134
3,349
3,534
57%
32%
28%
13%
6%
Vaucluse
2030
3,751
4,282
4,606
4,926
5,379
5,324
42%
24%
16%
8%
-1%
Paddington
2000 2011 2021
937
1,002
858
988
976
1,048
12%
5%
22%
6%
7%
Randwick
2031
1,108
1,330
1,498
1,742
2,095
2,003
81%
51%
34%
15%
-4%
Kingsford
2018 2032-34
1,052
1,492
1,703
1,976
2,161
2,196
109%
47%
29%
11%
2%
Maroubra
20352036
1,030
1,257
1,550
2,082
2,785
3,047
196%
142%
97%
46%
9%
Waterloo
Waterloo
2010 2016 2017
602
1,030
1,102
1,149
1,173
1,102
83%
7%
<1%
-4%
-6%
Lower North Shore
Lower North Shore
2060-68 2088-90 209296
2,755
2,914
2,873
2,950
2,773
2,667
-3%
-8%
-7%
-10%
-4%
Lindfield
2069 2070
1,001
1,001
870
805
740
583
-42%
-42%
-33%
-28%
-21%
St Ives
2075
1,538
2,214
2,543
2,875
2,774
2,460
60%
11%
-3%
-14%
-11%
Gordon
2071-74 2076-77
1,721
1,857
1,686
1,711
1,527
1,413
-18%
-24%
-16%
-17%
-7%
21102122
1,086
1,095
1,188
1,162
1,135
1,045
-4%
-5%
-12%
-10%
-8%
St George
2205-14 2216-34
1,086
1,013
936
950
1,023
957
-12%
-6%
2%
1%
-6%
Rest of Sydney^
Rest of Sydney
Various
3,067
3,525
3,689
4,240
4,780
4,778
56%
36%
30%
13%
<1%
Rest of NSW
Rest of NSW
Various
1,327
1,440
1,535
1,702
2,055
2,633
98%
83%
72%
55%
28%
35,629
40,854
41,561
45,505
47,570
34.2%
17.0%
15.0%
5.0%
0.5%
Eastern Suburbs – North
Eastern Suburbs – South
Upper North Shore
Ryde/St George
TOTAL
Ryde
47,800
* 2001 data are from Eckstein G, 2003 Demography of the Sydney Jewish Community 2001, Jewish Communal Appeal, Sydney, Australia, p27; 1996 data from Eckstein G, 1999 Demography of the Sydney Jewish Community 1996, Jewish Communal Appeal, Sydney, Australia, p22; 1991 data from JCA/Monash University ACJC files and have been adjusted by 20% ^ Including Botany (postcode 2019)
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Reportâ&#x20AC;&#x192; â&#x20AC;&#x192; 109
Appendix 4. Age and sex in single years, Jewish population, NSW
Table 65. Age in single year cohorts by sex, Jewish population, NSW, 2016 (estimated) Age
Male
Female
0
232
241
1
249
220
2
304
251
3
284
263
Total
Age
Male
Female
Total
Age
Male
Female
Total
473
33
228
295
523
66
313
321
635
469
34
246
285
531
67
338
350
688
556
35
295
271
566
68
370
417
788
547
36
256
262
518
69
403
422
825
4
289
286
575
37
275
290
565
70
321
354
675
5
288
250
538
38
267
315
582
71
259
276
535
6
304
334
639
39
276
356
632
72
210
250
460
7
363
312
675
40
301
319
619
73
198
185
383
8
324
286
610
41
342
324
666
74
179
216
395
9
355
325
680
42
342
325
667
75
171
209
380
10
320
282
602
43
330
351
681
76
165
211
376
11
343
284
627
44
333
352
685
77
162
181
343
12
304
294
598
45
350
363
712
78
170
193
363
13
264
273
538
46
294
332
626
79
152
168
320
14
249
245
494
47
282
312
595
80
144
157
301
15
276
253
528
48
260
269
530
81
110
158
268
16
262
263
525
49
284
312
596
82
108
132
240
17
253
232
484
50
234
272
506
83
131
149
280
18
199
193
392
51
271
281
552
84
127
123
250
19
196
223
418
52
282
294
576
85
124
139
263
20
199
219
418
53
273
329
602
86
106
142
249
21
205
192
396
54
297
328
624
87
114
130
244
22
227
220
447
55
275
341
615
88
84
122
206
23
224
225
449
56
278
361
640
89
75
131
206
24
193
245
438
57
317
339
657
90
70
98
168
25
197
233
430
58
312
321
633
91
62
145
207
26
202
205
407
59
304
312
617
92
69
93
162
27
198
194
392
60
299
346
645
93
47
89
136
28
209
277
486
61
316
328
644
94
38
79
117
29
212
256
469
62
295
358
653
95
40
58
98
30
236
267
503
63
359
335
694
96
19
36
56
31
194
281
475
64
339
307
646
97+
36
53
89
32
262
269
531
65
321
347
668
Total
23,055
24,745
47,800
110 The Jewish population of NSW
Appendix 5. Change in total Jewish households, 2011 to 2016 In our 2011 Census report47, a Jewish household was defined as “any household with at least one Jewish person but where all other people either reported Jewish or No Religion or their religion was Not stated (14,900u Jewish households).” In other words, this was a slightly narrower definition than has been applied in this report since it excludes households where Jews live with nonJews. (Such information could be largely inferred from intermarriage data.) This, however, limits the possibility of making temporal companions. In order to overcome this, we apply the more limited 2011 definition to the 2016 data and apply the interpolation factor to the 2016 data. In doing so, we see that the number of Jewish households in NSW increased by 1.9% from 14,900u to 15,178i from 2011 to 2016 (Table 66). Regionally, the largest increase occurred in the Rest of NSW (12.8%), followed by Eastern Suburbs – South (5.4%) and Eastern Suburbs – North (3.4%). The largest decreases were on the North Shore (-9.2% in Chatswood – Lane Cove and -7.4% in Ku-ring-gai).
Table 66. Jewish households* by location, 2011 (enumerated) and 2016 (interpolated) 2011
2016
Eastern Suburbs – North
7,097
7,338
3.4%
Eastern Suburbs – South
1,819
1,918
5.4%
Sydney Inner City
1,102
1,136
3.0%
Chatswood – Lane Cove
1,208
1,118
-7.4%
Ku-ring-gai
524
476
-9.2%
431
438
1.6%
Ryde – Hunters Hill
193
189
-2.0%
1,867
1,822
-2.4%
659
743
12.8%
14,900
15,178
1.9%
Rest of NSW Total
Using this ‘HRP approach’ we find slightly fewer (2%) Jewish households in NSW in 2016 (14,890u). However, this is an unadjusted figure and if we apply the adjustment factor it suggests there were 19,287a Jewish households in NSW in 2016. Applying the relevant factors to 2011 and 2006 data indicates little change in the total number of Jewish households since 2011 but a 4.3% increase since 2006 (Table 67).
Table 67. Jewish households in NSW, HRP method (see text), 2006 to 2016 Unadjusted
Estimated (adjusted)
5 year change*
2006
14,902
18,498
-
-
2011
16,076
19,251
4.1%
-
2016
14,890
19,287
0.2%
4.3%
% Change
North Sydney – Mosman Rest of Greater Sydney
But an alternative approach is to use the household reference person (HRP) to identify Jewish households. The HRP is “the person who is used as the basis for determining the familial and non-familial relationships within a household. It is usually the person who has identified himself/herself as Person 1 on the Household form.”48 The disadvantage of this approach is that it misses out any households where Person 1 did not state their religion as Jewish when other people in the household did do so, but the advantage is that it simplifies the definition of Jewish household, and, because it is based on an individual, the relevant adjustment factors can be applied, potentially allowing for more reliable temporal comparisons.
* based on adjusted data
* Jewish household defined as any dwelling with at least one Jewish person but where all other people either reported Jewish or No religion or their religion was Not Stated
47 Graham D 2014 The Jewish Population of Australia: Key findings from the 2011 Census, JCA and Monash University 48 ABS 2016 Census Dictionary, p148
10 year change*
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 111
Applying the HRP approach, it can be seen that whilst the number of households has remained stable overall between 2011 to 2016 (increasing by 0.2%), there were increases in Eastern Suburbs – South (1.7%), Rest of NSW (8.4%) and Rest of sydney (5.2%) (Table 68). The largest decreases were on the North Shore (-9.3% in Ku-ring-gai, -6.6% in Chatswood – Lane Cove and -6.5% in North Sydney – Mosman).
Table 68. Jewish households by location, 2011 and 2016, HRP method (see text) (estimated) 2011
2016
Change
Eastern Suburbs – North
8,863
8,925
0.7%
Eastern Suburbs – South
2,306
2,346
1.7%
Sydney Inner City
1,358
1,308
-3.7%
Chatswood – Lane Cove Ku-ring-gai North Sydney – Mosman Ryde – Hunters Hill Rest of Greater Sydney Rest of NSW Total
686
641
-6.6%
1,538
1,395
-9.3%
582
544
-6.5%
253
250
-1.1%
2,734
2,876
5.2%
924
1,003
8.4%
19,244
19,287
0.2%
Appendix 6. 2016 Census adjustment methodology A full and detailed description of the approach taken to adjusting the 2016 Census data can be found in our report on the 2016 Census for Australia49. The following is a brief summary of the steps taken to derive the adjustment factor of 29.5% for 2016. This adjustment has been jointly agreed by JCA in Sydney and The Australian Centre for Jewish Civilisation (ACJC) at Monash University in Melbourne. Finally, the incorporation of an additional ‘ERP’* step necessitates the revision of adjustment procedures and factors implemented for 2006 and 2011 since these did not take ERP data into account. The adjustment methodology applied to enumerated 2016 Census data for Jews incorporates a 3-stage procedure which jointly adjusts for: Stage 1 – the unique circumstances of the 2016 Census: 1) negative media attention relating to privacy in the run to the census; 2) the introduction of an online first approach to the census; 3) a change in the presentation of the religion question giving high prominence to the category No religion; 4) a denial of service attack on census night; Stage 2 – undercount due to the religion question being voluntary and some Jews reporting their identity through census questions other than religion; Stage 3 – the ERP estimate, an estimate of the population that did not take part in the census due for example to being away on census night The census adjustment factor is derived using Australia wide data and is not itself adjusted for any differences that may occur at state level.
49 Graham and Narunsky 2019 op. cit.
112 The Jewish population of NSW
Table 69. The three-stage 2016 Census adjustment procedure for the Jewish population* Row Stage 1 (ACLD)
1
Jewish population enumerated in the 2016 Census
2
Estimated net Jewish loss to No religion (4,532) and religion Not stated (4,848) based on ACLD analysis
3
Interpolated Jewish population (row 1 + row 2)
98,910
4
Interpolated inflation factor (row 3 / row 1)
1.0866 8.66%
5
Interpolated inflation factor (row 4) as a percentage ((row 3 – row 1) / (row 1)
Stage 2 (2011 Stage 1)
6
2011 Census Stage 1 inflation factor^
7
Interim adjusted Jewish population (row 3 x row 6)
Stage 3 (ERP)
8
ERP adjustment (3.57%)
9
ERP adjustment (row 7 x row 8)
10
Difference between enumerated and adjusted (row 9 – row 1)
11
Stage 2 Adjustment factor – direct inflation (row10 / row 1)
12
Direct Stage 2 inflation multiplier (row 11 + 1)
Deriving the inflation factor
91,023 7,887
1.15 113,837 1.036 117,903 26,880 29.53% 1.30
Source: Graham D with Narunsky L 2019 op. cit. p70 ^ see Graham D 2014 The Jewish Population of Australia: Key findings from the 2011 Census, JCA and Monash University p41. * Notes: ACLD = The Australian Census Longitudinal Dataset (ACLD) is produced by ABS and tracks an anonymised 5% random sample of respondents directly from one census to the next. Interpolated = An estimate of the enumerated census number had the religion question format and circumstances of the 2016 Census matched those of the immediately preceding censuses. 2011 Census Stage 1 inflation factor = factor that was applied to 2011 census data in 2011. ERP = Estimated Resident Population – an adjustment made by ABS to rebase the enumerated census figure to account for people who were missed by the census, for example those who were overseas on census night. It is applied here following a suggestion from Emmanuel Gruzman, PhD candidate at the Australian Centre for Jewish Civilisation (ACJC) at Monash University
The incorporation for the first time of the ERP factor into the 2016 adjustment procedure necessitates a retroactive change or rebase of the 2006 and 2011 factors for comparability as this did not form part of these procedures. This derives an inflation factor of 1.24 for enumerated 2006 Census data on Jews and 1.20 for 2011 data. The rebased population sizes are 110,264 for 2006 and 116,563 for 2011 having previously been estimated at 105,578 and 112,025 respectively. An important implication of the inclusion of the ERP adjustment into this methodology is that the general population must also be adjusted because the ERP is applicable to all residents regardless of religion. Therefore, any comparisons that are made between the estimated Jewish population and the general population (or remainder) must take this into account by multiplying the population total by the relevant ERP inflation
50 Graham and Narunsky 2019 op. cit.
factor (2006 = 1.044; 2011 = 1.041; 2016 = 1.036) and subtracting the adjusted Jewish remainder. Note an ERP adjustment is not required when the comparison is with enumerated Jewish data. Census data on Jewish families and households have not been adjusted. That is because the adjustment procedure is based on individuals and is not applicable to households since an inflation factor for households requires knowledge of the distribution of Jewish non-respondents among all households and this is not known. A full explanation is provided in our previous report on Australia50.
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 113
Appendix 7. Glossary ABS
Australian Bureau of Statistics
ACLD
Australian Census Longitudinal Dataset. This is a randomly selected 5% sample produced by ABS that links individual anonymised responses from the 2006 Census to the 2011 Census and then to the 2016 Census. This facilitates a direct assessment of change.
ACT
Australian Capital Territory
ASGC
Australian Standard Geographical Classification (boundary system used by ABS from 1984 to 2006)
ASGS
Australian Statistical Geography Standard (boundary system used by ABS from 2011)
De facto
A de facto marriage exists when the relationship between two people (of the same or opposite sex, who live together in the same household), is reported as either: de facto, partner, common law husband/wife/spouse, lover, boyfriend, or girlfriend (ABS).
Dependent child
A dependent child is a person who is either a child under 15 years of age, or a dependent student. To be regarded as a child the person can have no identified partner or child of his/her own usually resident in the household (ABS).
Enumerated
The number, or count, as reported by ABS (after perturbation for small cells). It is denoted by a subscript u (unadjusted) in this report.
ERP
Estimated Resident Population – an adjustment made by ABS to rebase the enumerated census figure to account for people who were missed by the census, for example those who were overseas on census night.
Estimated
An estimated census figure is an enumerated figure that has been adjusted to account of the likely effects of non-response as well as changes to the wording of the religion question in 2016. It is denoted by a subscript a (adjusted) after the number.
FSU
Former Soviet Union. This consists of Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Estonia, Georgia, Latvia, Lithuania, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russian Federation, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine and Uzbekistan
114 The Jewish population of NSW
Interpolated
An estimate of the enumerated census number had the religion question format and circumstances of the 2016 Census matched those of the immediately preceding censuses. The interpolated figure can be directly compared with enumerated data from earlier censuses. It is denoted by a subscript i (interpolated) after the number.
Jewish family
A Jewish family comprises any Jewish household in which at least one occupant reported Jewish and in which at least two or more people are related. It excludes Jewish lone persons and Jewish group households.
Jewish group household
Any household in which at least one occupant reported Jewish and with two or more unrelated people where all persons are aged 15 years and over. This excludes couple relationships, parent-child relationships or other blood relationships.
Jewish household Any household in which at least one occupant reported Jewish regardless of the religion responses of other household members. LGA
Local Government Area
Married
ABS distinguishes between Registered and Social Marital Status. The former is based on the question ‘What is the person’s present marital status?’, whereas the latter is derived from both this question and a question on household relationships. The counts of people in marriages differ depending on which variable is used.
No religion
In 2016 the full label for No religion was: ‘Secular Beliefs and Other Spiritual Beliefs and No Religious Affiliation’.
Non-Private Dwelling (NPD)
Any establishment which provides a communal type of accommodation
NSW
New South Wales
SA2, SA3, SA4
Statistical Area Levels within the ASGS system. These are a set of hierarchical functional areas that directly integrate with each other. The smallest area (for which data are published) is the SA1 and there are 17,895 such areas in NSW but they are only identifiable by numerical code. These SA1s ‘mesh’ into 540 SA2s, which then mesh into 93 SA3s and finally these mesh into 30 SA4s.
SSC
State Suburb Code – a boundary system used by ABS to more closely match neighbourhood boundaries that most people are familiar with. In particular they are more intuitive than the equivalent SA2 boundaries but they do not mesh with the SA hierarchical system.
NSW 2016 Census and Gen17 Report 115
116 The Jewish population of NSW
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