Economics of Increasing Canola Production David Archer USDA-ARS Northern Great Plains Research Laboratory Mandan, ND
U.S. Canola Acres
HRJ Feedstock Cost Challenge
Canola oil and jet fuel Midwest wholesale prices (USDA-ERS and U.S. EIA)
More Efficient Land Use
Fallow Rotational benefits Double-crop or Relay-crop
Field Research Minnesota Soybean-Camelina Relay Cropping
Data from: Gesch et al.(2014). Agronomy Journal 106(5): 1735-1745.
Breakeven Modeling Analysis
Field Operations and Enterprise Budgets
ND Canola Expansion Potential
300,000 Mg Canola Increase
8,300 Mg Soil Erosion Reduction
ND Canola Expansion Potential
430,000 Mg Canola Increase
14,300 Mg Soil Erosion Increase
ND Canola Expansion Potential
505,000 Mg Canola Increase
3,600 Mg Soil Erosion Increase
ND Canola Expansion Potential
570,000 Mg Canola Increase
32,000 Mg Soil Erosion Reduction
ND Canola Expansion Potential
710,000 Mg Canola Increase
60,000 Mg Soil Erosion Reduction
ND Canola Expansion Potential
805,000 Mg Canola Increase
86,000 Mg Soil Erosion Reduction
Breakeven analysis summary As
canola price increases, additional canola production become profitable to produce beginning in Western ND and expanding eastward. At low levels of additional canola production, water erosion decreases, but increases at intermediate levels before decreasing as canola production continued to increase. There is substantial spatial variation in erosion changes across the region