Global Productivity

Page 143

CHAPTER 2

GLOBAL PRODUCTIVITY

117

FIGURE 2.13 Developments in financial and government technology Economies with large “unbanked” populations have also seen the biggest increases in financial technology innovations in payment systems and other financial services. These systems are critical to improving access to finance to make productivity-enhancing investments. EMDE government transparency still lags advanced economies. New information and communication technology can facilitate the rapid dissemination of information within and outside government to monitor performance and service shortfalls.

70 60 50 40 30 20

ECA

10

LAC

MNA

Index

EAP

Per 1,000 population 700 Bank accounts 600 Mobile money accounts 500 400 300 200 100 0

SAR

B. Information openness: National government data availability

SSA

A. Access to banking services and mobile money accounts

0 EAP

ECA

LAC

MNA

SAR

SSA

Sources: GSM Association (GSMA), Open Knowledge Foundation, World Bank. Note: EAP = East Asia and Pacific; ECA = Europe and Central Asia; LAC = Latin America and the Caribbean; MNA = Middle East and North Africa; SAR = South Asia; SSA = Sub-Saharan Africa. A. Mobile money accounts based on a sample of 16 EMDEs in EAP, 7 EMDEs in ECA, 18 EMDEs in LAC, 9 EMDEs in MNA, 7 EMDEs in SAR, and 40 EMDEs in SSA. Bank accounts, defined as depositors at commercial banks, based on a sample of 22 EMDEs in EAP, 24 EMDEs in ECA, 32 EMDEs in LAC, 19 EMDEs in MNA, 8 EMDEs in SAR, and 48 EMDEs in SSA. B. Global Open Data Index is a proxy for the availability of open national government data at large. GDP weighted average. 2016/7 data. It is based on a sample of 27 advanced economies, 14 EMDEs in ECA, 6 EMDEs in EAP, 25 EMDEs in LAC, 2 EMDEs in the MNA, 6 EMDEs in SAR, and 12 EMDEs in SSA.

productivity. Such policies as improved training and performance-based payments for service providers could improve access to good-quality health care (World Bank 2012, 2018b).12

Creating a growth-friendly environment Strengthen institutions and government effectiveness. Over the long term, institutional quality plays a crucial role in growth. Productivity gains can stem from policies that limit market power and promote fair competition, more even-handed contract enforcement, simplified and transparent legal systems, and governance reforms that lower political risk (Acemoglu et al. 2019; Rodrik 1999; Rodrik, Subramanian, and Trebbi 2004). Governments can also promote productivity growth by lowering transaction costs and increasing trust in institutions (Knack and Keefer 1997; World Bank 2019a).13 12 Efforts to create a transparent and easily understandable metric of human capital might also help address the issue, especially considering the time needed for the benefits of human capital investment to materialize in the form of productivity growth (Kraay 2018; World Bank 2018a). 13 In Rwanda, civil service reform between 1999 and 2009 increased the share of civil servants with a university degree from 6 percent to 79 percent and coincided with faster growth after 2000.


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Annex 7B Marginal productivity gap

4min
pages 452-453

References

14min
pages 456-463

Annex 7A Data and methodology

6min
pages 448-451

References

13min
pages 421-428

Sectoral productivity gaps

2min
page 432

Annex 7C Firm TFP data, estimates, and methodology

5min
pages 454-455

Annex 6C Commodity-driven productivity developments: Methodology

2min
page 420

Conclusion and policy implications

2min
page 412

Drivers of productivity: Technology vs. demand shocks

2min
page 391

Annex 6A SVAR identification of technology drivers of productivity

8min
pages 413-416

PART III Technological Change and Sectoral Shifts

0
pages 383-386

Effects of demand shocks

2min
page 397

Figure 6.1 Global labor productivity surges and declines

7min
pages 388-390

Sub-Saharan Africa

2min
page 350

Figure 5.22 Factors supporting productivity growth in MNA

7min
pages 333-335

Figure 5.19 Drivers of productivity growth in LAC

9min
pages 325-328

South Asia

4min
pages 337-338

Conclusion

2min
page 363

Figure 5.13 Drivers of productivity growth in ECA

10min
pages 314-317

Middle East and North Africa

2min
page 329

Latin America and the Caribbean

2min
page 318

Figure 5.12 Drivers of productivity growth in ECA in regional comparison

5min
pages 312-313

Europe and Central Asia

2min
page 305

Figure 5.7 Drivers of productivity growth in EAP

3min
page 301

PART II Regional Dimensions of Productivity

0
pages 281-284

Sources of, and bottlenecks to, regional productivity growth

4min
pages 290-291

Figure 5.1 Evolution of regional productivity in EMDE regions

4min
pages 288-289

East Asia and Pacific

2min
page 295

References

12min
pages 274-280

Evolution of productivity across regions

2min
page 287

Annex 4F Productivity measurement: PPP vs. market exchange rates

4min
pages 268-269

Annex 4C Beta-convergence testing

2min
page 257

Figure 4.4 Convergence club memberships

2min
page 242

Annex 4D Estimating convergence clubs: Commonalities in productivity levels

7min
pages 258-260

Testing for convergence and its pace

4min
pages 236-237

Conclusion and policy implications

7min
pages 253-255

Convergence clubs

7min
pages 239-241

Annex 3B Robustness

2min
page 213

Conclusion

2min
page 204

Figure 3.8 Episodes across different types of events

4min
pages 193-194

Annex 3A Data, sources, and definitions

2min
page 206

How has productivity convergence evolved?

2min
page 231

Figure 3.4 Episodes of war

2min
page 187

What policies can mitigate the effects of adverse events?

2min
page 203

Figure 3.5 Correlations between war frequency and productivity growth

7min
pages 188-190

Figure B3.1.1 Severity of pandemics, epidemics, and climate disasters

6min
pages 179-181

Figure B3.1.3 Impact of epidemics

6min
pages 184-186

Annex 2A Partial correlations

2min
page 146

Figure 3.2 Episodes of natural disaster

4min
pages 175-176

Box 3.1 How do epidemics affect productivity?

1min
page 178

Adverse events: Literature and stylized facts

2min
page 171

Conclusion

2min
page 145

Figure 2.13 Developments in financial and government technology

2min
page 143

Figure 2.12 EMDE infrastructure and education gaps

2min
page 142

Policy priorities

4min
pages 140-141

Figure 2.11 Post-GFC slowdown of the drivers of productivity growth

10min
pages 136-139

References

12min
pages 101-108

Analyzing the effects of drivers

1min
page 128

Developments in drivers of productivity

2min
page 134

Figure 2.1 Innovation

5min
pages 114-115

Box 2.1 Review of recent firm-level total factor productivity literature

8min
pages 130-133

Summary of stylized facts

2min
page 126

Long-run drivers

4min
pages 112-113

Box 1.1 Productivity: Conceptual considerations and measurement challenges

9min
pages 85-88

Conclusion

2min
page 96

Annex 1A Cyclical and technology-driven labor productivity developments

1min
page 100

Figure B1.1.1 Labor productivity decomposition and natural capital in EMDEs

7min
pages 89-91

References

13min
pages 65-70

Key findings and policy messages

4min
pages 32-33

Future research directions

2min
page 64

Synopsis

2min
page 39

PART I Productivity: Trends and Explanations

0
pages 71-74

Evolution of productivity

2min
page 78

Sources of the slowdown in labor productivity growth after the GFC

2min
page 83

Implications of COVID-19 for productivity

11min
pages 34-38
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