Global Productivity

Page 448

422

CHAPTER 7

GLOBAL PRODUCTIVITY

technologies (chapter 2). Firms in EMDEs can update and improve their management styles and benefit from technology spillovers by participating in global value chains (box 7.1). Furthermore, removing barriers to migration can help facilitate structural transformation.18 Future research. This chapter’s findings point to three new directions for future research. First, the data set used would allow a more granular assessment of the impact of the GFC, other major economic shocks, and country-specific recessions on the pace of labor reallocation and within-sector productivity growth. This could include differentiation between the nine sectors by their sensitivity to macroeconomic or financial stress. Second, the data set could be used to assess whether countries that “leapfrogged” the manufacturing sector benefited from stronger productivity growth over long periods or during times of economic stress. Third, future research could tackle the endogeneity of sectoral reallocation. For example, an improvement in agricultural productivity could allow a reduction in agriculture’s share of employment and facilitate between-sector productivity growth. In this case the causal contribution of agriculture productivity growth to overall productivity growth could be found to be larger (and that of sectoral reallocation smaller) than simple growth accounting suggests.

ANNEX 7A Data and methodology Data. The database consists of sectoral and aggregate labor productivity statistics for 103 countries and nine sectors covering the period up to 2017 (tables 7A.1 and 7A.2). Compared with the literature using nine-sector data, it employs a large and diverse sample of countries (table 7A.3). The database combines data from World Bank World Development Indicators, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development’s Structural Analysis Database, KLEMS, the Groningen Growth Development Center (GGDC) database (de Vries, Timmer, and de Vries 2015), and the Expanded Africa Sector Database (EASD; Mensah and Szirmai 2018) for value added data and employment. The Asian Productivity Organization's Productivity Database, United Nations data, the International Labour Organization's ILOSTAT, and national sources are used for supplementary purposes. Following Wong (2006), local currency value added is converted to U.S. dollars using 2011 PPP exchange rate obtained from Penn World Table for the international comparison of productivity levels.19

18 Restuccia, Yang, and Zhu (2008) argue that obstacles to migration reduce labor flows out of agriculture. Artuc, Lederman, and Porto (2015) estimate, from data for eight major sectors, that the labor mobility costs of labor market frictions are larger in EMDEs than those in advanced economies. Bryan and Morten (2019), using Indonesian data, show that reducing migration costs to the U.S. level, a high-mobility benchmark, leads to a 7percentage-point increase in productivity growth. 19 Van Biesebroeck (2009) builds an expenditure-based sector-specific PPP in Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development countries, using detailed price data.


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Annex 7B Marginal productivity gap

4min
pages 452-453

References

14min
pages 456-463

Annex 7A Data and methodology

6min
pages 448-451

References

13min
pages 421-428

Sectoral productivity gaps

2min
page 432

Annex 7C Firm TFP data, estimates, and methodology

5min
pages 454-455

Annex 6C Commodity-driven productivity developments: Methodology

2min
page 420

Conclusion and policy implications

2min
page 412

Drivers of productivity: Technology vs. demand shocks

2min
page 391

Annex 6A SVAR identification of technology drivers of productivity

8min
pages 413-416

PART III Technological Change and Sectoral Shifts

0
pages 383-386

Effects of demand shocks

2min
page 397

Figure 6.1 Global labor productivity surges and declines

7min
pages 388-390

Sub-Saharan Africa

2min
page 350

Figure 5.22 Factors supporting productivity growth in MNA

7min
pages 333-335

Figure 5.19 Drivers of productivity growth in LAC

9min
pages 325-328

South Asia

4min
pages 337-338

Conclusion

2min
page 363

Figure 5.13 Drivers of productivity growth in ECA

10min
pages 314-317

Middle East and North Africa

2min
page 329

Latin America and the Caribbean

2min
page 318

Figure 5.12 Drivers of productivity growth in ECA in regional comparison

5min
pages 312-313

Europe and Central Asia

2min
page 305

Figure 5.7 Drivers of productivity growth in EAP

3min
page 301

PART II Regional Dimensions of Productivity

0
pages 281-284

Sources of, and bottlenecks to, regional productivity growth

4min
pages 290-291

Figure 5.1 Evolution of regional productivity in EMDE regions

4min
pages 288-289

East Asia and Pacific

2min
page 295

References

12min
pages 274-280

Evolution of productivity across regions

2min
page 287

Annex 4F Productivity measurement: PPP vs. market exchange rates

4min
pages 268-269

Annex 4C Beta-convergence testing

2min
page 257

Figure 4.4 Convergence club memberships

2min
page 242

Annex 4D Estimating convergence clubs: Commonalities in productivity levels

7min
pages 258-260

Testing for convergence and its pace

4min
pages 236-237

Conclusion and policy implications

7min
pages 253-255

Convergence clubs

7min
pages 239-241

Annex 3B Robustness

2min
page 213

Conclusion

2min
page 204

Figure 3.8 Episodes across different types of events

4min
pages 193-194

Annex 3A Data, sources, and definitions

2min
page 206

How has productivity convergence evolved?

2min
page 231

Figure 3.4 Episodes of war

2min
page 187

What policies can mitigate the effects of adverse events?

2min
page 203

Figure 3.5 Correlations between war frequency and productivity growth

7min
pages 188-190

Figure B3.1.1 Severity of pandemics, epidemics, and climate disasters

6min
pages 179-181

Figure B3.1.3 Impact of epidemics

6min
pages 184-186

Annex 2A Partial correlations

2min
page 146

Figure 3.2 Episodes of natural disaster

4min
pages 175-176

Box 3.1 How do epidemics affect productivity?

1min
page 178

Adverse events: Literature and stylized facts

2min
page 171

Conclusion

2min
page 145

Figure 2.13 Developments in financial and government technology

2min
page 143

Figure 2.12 EMDE infrastructure and education gaps

2min
page 142

Policy priorities

4min
pages 140-141

Figure 2.11 Post-GFC slowdown of the drivers of productivity growth

10min
pages 136-139

References

12min
pages 101-108

Analyzing the effects of drivers

1min
page 128

Developments in drivers of productivity

2min
page 134

Figure 2.1 Innovation

5min
pages 114-115

Box 2.1 Review of recent firm-level total factor productivity literature

8min
pages 130-133

Summary of stylized facts

2min
page 126

Long-run drivers

4min
pages 112-113

Box 1.1 Productivity: Conceptual considerations and measurement challenges

9min
pages 85-88

Conclusion

2min
page 96

Annex 1A Cyclical and technology-driven labor productivity developments

1min
page 100

Figure B1.1.1 Labor productivity decomposition and natural capital in EMDEs

7min
pages 89-91

References

13min
pages 65-70

Key findings and policy messages

4min
pages 32-33

Future research directions

2min
page 64

Synopsis

2min
page 39

PART I Productivity: Trends and Explanations

0
pages 71-74

Evolution of productivity

2min
page 78

Sources of the slowdown in labor productivity growth after the GFC

2min
page 83

Implications of COVID-19 for productivity

11min
pages 34-38
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