Hidden Debt

Page 51

The analysis also derives lessons on ways to structure contracts for better results by examining the PPP highway sector in India, for which rich data are available. PPPs for national highways are more likely to terminate early if, through their contractual obligations, they put the private sponsor under larger financial commitments—namely, higher payments to the government and a larger share of debt financing. The ­pattern of higher payments to the government might reflect a perverse incentive structure that encourages private partners to make overoptimistic bids on payments to the government in order to win tenders on PPP contracts, which have been financed largely by public banks.

Balancing the Efficiency Gains from PPPs against Their Risks and Liabilities A PPP is an organizational arrangement that enables public and private institutions to cooperate in providing a public project— which in the context of this chapter is an infrastructure project. As Grimsey and Lewis (2017) point out, a PPP is an enduring and relational partnership, with each partner bringing something of value (money, property, authority, reputation) to the partnership.3 A key defining feature of a PPP is the sharing of responsibilities and risks of outcomes between the partners. Underpinning the partnership is a framework contract that sets out the “rules of the game” delineating each partner’s rights and obligations. Because of uncertainties inherent in long-term projects, PPP contracts are incomplete: that is, they do not cover all possible scenarios, and they leave room for renegotiation (Guasch 2004). PPPs can offer numerous efficiency gains. Well-structured PPPs have the potential to provide infrastructure services at a relatively low cost to society. This can increase a country’s capacity to invest in infrastructure, given that some investments would potentially be feasible only under a PPP arrangement (Iossa and Martimort 2012). PPPs aim to efficiently allocate among the partners the risks

P UBLI C - P RIV A TE P A RTNERS H I P S IN SOUT H A SI A

and responsibilities associated with different stages of the project to maximize the value for money. Outsourcing of responsibilities to the private sector and bundling of investment and service provision can yield efficiency gains. Outsourcing allows the public sector to leverage private sector expertise and gain organizational efficiency in service provision. The potential of knowledge and technology spillovers from foreign sponsors may be better harnessed by the host country within a PPP relationship (ITF 2018). Competitive procurement to select the private partner can also drive the cost down compared to in-house public sector provision. PPPs bundle investment and service provision—that is, financing, design, construction, rehabilitation, operation, and maintenance—into a single long-term contract. This contrasts with traditional procurement practices, in which the government separates the contractual relationships for each phase of the infrastructure investment and operation. The idea behind bundling is to combine the two major stages of a typical infrastructure project (investment and service provision) to achieve efficiency gains. When these two stages are bundled, the private party has the incentive to adopt improvements during the design and construction stages that reduce operation and maintenance costs or increase the quality of services and revenues during operation, as long as the additional construction costs are offset by higher returns in the latter stage.4 Efficiency gains from PPPs may also arise from mobilizing private finance. Private finance may provide outside expertise in valuing risks and monitoring effort that public finance lacks. Hence, when private creditors that are specialized in project finance are involved in financing, private finance may resolve uncertainty and agency problems faced by the government (Iossa and Martimort 2012, 2015).5 By providing incentives for efficient termination, private finance may also resolve soft budget constraints (privileged access to additional financing due to the implicit guarantee of unconditional government support) through which governments can keep bad projects alive (de Bettignies and Ross 2009).6

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Notes

3min
page 192

Annex 4B. The Kalman Filter

3min
page 189

4.1 Recommendations for Improving Fiscal Reporting and Transparency in Pakistan

6min
pages 186-187

following Contingent Liability Shocks

3min
page 179

Debt, India

2min
page 175

Estimating Contingent Liability Shocks, Adjustment Costs, and Mitigating Factors Using Data for India

6min
pages 171-172

Assembly Elections

2min
page 180

Outcomes in South Asia

5min
pages 184-185

The Promise and Risks of Fiscal Decentralization in South Asia

1min
page 159

Notes

2min
page 154

Annex 3C. Productivity Estimation

3min
page 153

Only a Combination of Internal and External Policy Reforms Can Help Better Manage Contingent Liabilities from SOEs in South Asia

9min
pages 143-145

3.8 Share of Persistently Distressed Firms in India, 1991–2017

2min
page 135

Describing the Opaque and Complex SOE Sector in South Asia Using Data

6min
pages 129-130

Pakistan, and Sri Lanka, 2005–17

12min
pages 138-141

The Importance of Paying More Attention to the Hidden Liabilities of SOEs in South Asia

11min
pages 125-128

Annex 2A. Methodology for Determining Bank Distress

6min
pages 107-108

2.1 Main Findings of the Overall Analysis

3min
page 102

Analyzing the Effect of Firms’ Banking with SOCBs Compared with Private Banks

3min
page 101

Private Banks Adjust in Times of Distress

8min
pages 98-100

Commercial Banks, 2009–18

2min
page 93

Understanding Bank Distress and Its Main Factors

3min
page 92

2.3 India: Branch Networks and Total Credit, 2018

5min
pages 87-88

The Upsides and Downsides of State-Owned Commercial Banks

4min
pages 83-84

Annex 1D. Imputing the Missing Values for Predictions

2min
page 75

Improving Government Capacity, Due Diligence, and Contract Design to Better Manage the Fiscal Risks of the Growing PPP Programs in South Asia

2min
page 70

in India, 2001–17

2min
page 57

South Asia, by Country, 1990–2018

2min
page 63

1.5 Distribution of the Percentage of Contract Period Elapsed, 1990–2018

5min
pages 58-59

Features of Contract Design That Matter: Exploring the Link between PPP Contract Design and Early Terminations of Highway PPPs in India

3min
page 68

Government from Contingent Liabilities of Public-Private Partnerships

3min
page 64

Portfolio in South Asia, as a Percentage of GDP, 2020–24

2min
page 65

ES.1 Applying the Purpose, Incentives, Transparency, and Accountability (PITA) Recommendations in Fragile and Conflict-Affected Contexts ...................xvi 1.1 The Hidden Debt of National Highways in India

3min
page 53

O.2 Analytical Framework: Links from Distress to Adjustments to Impacts

9min
pages 32-34

The Need to Carefully Manage the Fiscal and Economic Risks of PPPs

5min
pages 49-50

Balancing the Efficiency Gains from PPPs against Their Risks and Liabilities Booming Infrastructure PPPs, Their Country and Sector Distribution, and Signs

6min
pages 51-52

Policy Recommendations

8min
pages 43-45

O.1 Implementing the High-Level Policy Recommendations for Public-Private Partnerships, State-Owned Commercial Banks, State-Owned Enterprises, and Subnational Governments

4min
page 46

O.9 Checks and Balances on Government Executives Help Prevent Distress of Public-Private Partnerships

2min
page 42

Notes

3min
page 47

Analytical Framework

2min
page 31
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