Distributional Impacts of COVID-19 in the Middle East and North Africa Region

Page 121

Chapter 3: West Bank and Gaza: Links among Income, Jobs, and Food 87

Changes in food insecurity driven by income shocks during lockdown differ significantly. Households that faced an income reduction during lockdown faced a 10 percentage point increase in the probability of being food insecure compared with households without income decreases. In addition, shocks in the employment of the main income earner during the lockdown help explain some of the differences in the change of food insecurity. Households whose main income earner worked less hours, stopped working, or did not work before lockdown faced higher increases in food insecurity than households whose main income earners kept working their usual number of hours during lockdown. We also find significant differences between households whose main income earner was able to work but worked less hours and households whose main income earners were not able to work, lost their job, or had no job before lockdown. Finally, consistent with our previous analysis, we find significant differences in the change in food insecurity between the West Bank and Gaza. Even after controlling for other characteristics, the increase in the probability of being food insecure was 8.4 percentage points higher in the West Bank than in Gaza (figure 3.16 and table 3A.1 in the annex).

Conclusion The 2020 RAPS underscores that COVID-19 seriously disrupted the livelihoods of Palestinian households through the labor market channel between March and May 2020, the period of emergency, or the lockdown. Our in-depth analysis of the phone survey and the 2018 SEFSec find that the pandemic affected not only the poorest households but also those that were relatively better-off prior to the start of the pandemic. What follows are a few key takeaways to help guide future targeted interventions. First, our analysis suggests that although 20 percent of previously employed main income earners lost their job during the period of emergency, employment losses do not fully explain the observed income loss during the lockdown. Rather, another major factor is at work: changes in the demand for work for workers who had not lost their jobs. This helps explain some of the differences in the impacts of the pandemic on household incomes between the West Bank and Gaza. Among previously employed main income earners, less than half were able to work at least partially, and only a fraction were able to work as usual. In the West Bank, 40 percent of the previously employed main income earners reported still having a job but not being able to work. In Gaza, however, a higher share of main income earners who stopped working may have lost their jobs permanently.


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Articles inside

Introduction

4min
pages 258-259

Transmission Channels

2min
page 260

Conclusion

2min
page 276

Large Poverty Setbacks

1min
page 269

Sensitivity Analysis

2min
page 272

Key Messages

1min
page 257

References

3min
pages 254-256

Sector and More Likely to Work in Sectors Affected during the Pandemic

2min
page 244

Impacts on Household Welfare and Poverty

2min
page 243

How the Study Is Conducted

3min
pages 236-237

Suffer the Biggest Income Losses

4min
pages 238-239

How This Study Fits into the Literature on Economic Shocks

4min
pages 234-235

References

3min
pages 228-230

Future Scenarios

2min
page 221

An Innovative Methodological Approach

11min
pages 205-210

Key Messages

1min
page 197

References

0
pages 195-196

Notes

4min
pages 193-194

How the Study Is Conducted

5min
pages 185-187

Precrisis Situation: Poverty and Labor Markets

2min
page 179

Introduction

2min
page 176

Notes

3min
pages 171-174

Key Messages

1min
page 175

Conclusion

2min
page 170

5.3 Most Djiboutians Are Returning to Normal Workloads

2min
page 158

Introduction

2min
page 152

References

3min
pages 149-150

Conclusion

2min
page 145

Key Messages

0
page 151

Which Households Were Most Likely to Declare Lower Living Standards

1min
page 142

during the COVID-19 Surge

1min
page 140

Distributed in Key Transmission Channels

1min
page 134

Phone Surveys to Quickly Check on Living Standards

1min
page 131

References

1min
pages 127-128

Conclusion

4min
pages 121-122

Key Messages

0
page 129

Introduction

2min
page 130

A Complex Link: Food Insecurity, Income Loss, and Job Loss

2min
page 117

COVID-19 Impacts on Household Welfare

2min
page 112

More Than Doubled

1min
page 111

Key Messages

0
page 101

Impacts on Employment: Work Stoppages

2min
page 85

Reference

0
pages 99-100

2.1 Limitations of Phone Surveys

2min
page 83

Conclusion

1min
page 98

to Paint a COVID-19 Picture

4min
pages 70-71

Key Messages

1min
page 77

Introduction

1min
page 78

Preexisting Structural Problems

2min
page 64

Introduction

4min
pages 56-57

Key Messages

1min
page 55

Future Shocks

2min
page 51

COVID-19-Induced Shocks

2min
page 58

Notes

1min
page 52

Message 2: COVID-19 Is Just One of the Severe Socioeconomic Challenges Facing the Region

2min
page 45

References

1min
pages 53-54

Variations in Size and Timing of Containment Measures

1min
page 60
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