Distributional Impacts of COVID-19 in the Middle East and North Africa Region

Page 60

26

Distributional Impacts of COVID-19 in MENA

FIGURE 1.2

Stringency Index across Countries in MENA Shows Big Variations in Size and Timing of Containment Measures Average stringency index 100 90 Average stringency level (%)

80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10

BHR PSE MAR

DJI QAT IRQ

DZA SYR IRN

EGY TUN

KWT YEM

LBY LBN

21 20

21

ary bru

Fe

Jan

ua

ry

20

02

0

20

r2 be

De

cem

er

20

20 No

ve

mb

20 20

er

Oc

tob

er mb

pte Se

ARE OMN SAU

20

0 02

0

st 2

02 Au

gu

0

0

02

y2

Jul

e2

02

Jun

20

y2

20

ril Ap

Ma

20

20 20

20 rch

Ma

ary bru

Fe

Jan

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ry

20

20

0

MLT JOR

Source: World Bank calculations based on data from Our World in Data (Roser and Ortiz-Ospina 2021), https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-data. Note: The stringency index is a composite measure based on nine response indicators, including school closures, workplace closures, and travel bans, rescaled to a value from 0 to 100 (100 = strictest). If policies vary at the subnational level, the index is shown as the response level of the strictest subregion. December data represent only until 10th of the month.

while others faced reduced mobility because of social confinement measures imposed by governments. These disruptions hit the self-employed and those in the informal sector in contractual jobs the most. Supply chains fell short because of disruptions in transportation and businesses, thereby heavily hampering economic activity. Stringent workplace closures have been relaxed in many countries, but the current measures continue to have a widespread impact. Overall, about 80 percent of MENA’s workers currently reside in countries with some sort of workplace closure measure in place (figure 1.3). This share reached a peak of more than 90 percent for a period of five months from April to September 2020, then slowly declined until end-October, after which it started to increase slightly again. Specifically, lockdowns of workplaces for all but essential workers (that is, the most stringent of possible measures) continue to affect a sizeable share of the global workforce. As of end-2020, almost 20 percent of the region’s workers were living in countries with such lockdowns. More recently, the most stringent workplace closure measures have begun to be targeted at highly infected


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Articles inside

Introduction

4min
pages 258-259

Transmission Channels

2min
page 260

Conclusion

2min
page 276

Large Poverty Setbacks

1min
page 269

Sensitivity Analysis

2min
page 272

Key Messages

1min
page 257

References

3min
pages 254-256

Sector and More Likely to Work in Sectors Affected during the Pandemic

2min
page 244

Impacts on Household Welfare and Poverty

2min
page 243

How the Study Is Conducted

3min
pages 236-237

Suffer the Biggest Income Losses

4min
pages 238-239

How This Study Fits into the Literature on Economic Shocks

4min
pages 234-235

References

3min
pages 228-230

Future Scenarios

2min
page 221

An Innovative Methodological Approach

11min
pages 205-210

Key Messages

1min
page 197

References

0
pages 195-196

Notes

4min
pages 193-194

How the Study Is Conducted

5min
pages 185-187

Precrisis Situation: Poverty and Labor Markets

2min
page 179

Introduction

2min
page 176

Notes

3min
pages 171-174

Key Messages

1min
page 175

Conclusion

2min
page 170

5.3 Most Djiboutians Are Returning to Normal Workloads

2min
page 158

Introduction

2min
page 152

References

3min
pages 149-150

Conclusion

2min
page 145

Key Messages

0
page 151

Which Households Were Most Likely to Declare Lower Living Standards

1min
page 142

during the COVID-19 Surge

1min
page 140

Distributed in Key Transmission Channels

1min
page 134

Phone Surveys to Quickly Check on Living Standards

1min
page 131

References

1min
pages 127-128

Conclusion

4min
pages 121-122

Key Messages

0
page 129

Introduction

2min
page 130

A Complex Link: Food Insecurity, Income Loss, and Job Loss

2min
page 117

COVID-19 Impacts on Household Welfare

2min
page 112

More Than Doubled

1min
page 111

Key Messages

0
page 101

Impacts on Employment: Work Stoppages

2min
page 85

Reference

0
pages 99-100

2.1 Limitations of Phone Surveys

2min
page 83

Conclusion

1min
page 98

to Paint a COVID-19 Picture

4min
pages 70-71

Key Messages

1min
page 77

Introduction

1min
page 78

Preexisting Structural Problems

2min
page 64

Introduction

4min
pages 56-57

Key Messages

1min
page 55

Future Shocks

2min
page 51

COVID-19-Induced Shocks

2min
page 58

Notes

1min
page 52

Message 2: COVID-19 Is Just One of the Severe Socioeconomic Challenges Facing the Region

2min
page 45

References

1min
pages 53-54

Variations in Size and Timing of Containment Measures

1min
page 60
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