China: The Next Station is Arctic

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A

!! TIC RC

CH INA

:

T S A T TION X E N IS... E H T

China’s expansion to the Arctic Xin Su


First Chinese in the Arctic

戊 申 年 春 康 有 为

光实旋视饮顶如十泊夜时 景不即日三有日二舟半五 奇夜上稍边亭正时登十月 绝也升低酒,午至山一二 !,,如, 。顶,时十 暮 , ,四 日 , ,


China is coming! “Canadian Arctic oil firms’ agendas.”

China can be expected to continue to persistently, yet quietly and unobtrusively, push for the Arctic, in spirit, being accessible to all.

does not seem to be high on Chinese

——Frédéric Lasserre professor of The University of British Columbia

“I think it’s broader than oil. Their real interest, I’m con-

vinced, is in transport, simply shipping their goods to Europe. You would save a lot of transport time.” ——Houlden, spokesman for Harper

Linda Jakobson he director of the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute

“Grasp this historical opportunity and recognise the political, economic and

military value of the Arctic and then re-evaluate Arctic region and adjust its strategic plan.”

China’s rights in the

“Any country that lacks

comprehensive research on polar politics will be excluded from being a de-

cisive power in the management of the Arctic and, therefore, be forced into a passive position.” “Circumpolar nations have to understand that Arctic affairs are not

only regional issues but also international ones.”

——Guo Peiqing Chinese researcher on Arctic politics

China has "natural and legitimate economic and scientific interests

in the Arctic", The Danish government would like to see China as a permanent observer, and I think the others (members) are likewise willing to do that” —— Friis Arne Petersen The Danish ambassador to China

“The Arctic belongs to all the people around the world

as no nation has sovereignty over it... China must play an indispensable role in Arctic explora-

tion as we have one-fifth of the world’s population.” ——Yin Zhuo Chinese Rear Admiral

“China can make a valuable contribution in the Arctic

Region...China should be welcomed as observer to the Arctic Council. ” ——Jonas Gahr Støre Norway’s foreign minister

“Whoever has control over the Arctic route will control the new passage of world economics and international strategies,”

Norway could shut China out of the Arctic Council if Beijing does not stop a campaign of diplomatic snubs imposed. —— Aftenposten

——Li Zhenfu associate professor at Dalian Maritime University

“The Russian Empire and the Soviet Union built the main navigable sea routes

along Russian territory in the Arctic. Anyone who uses the routes should follow

Russia's laws. Should there be international regulations for routes in the Arctic, it is those Arctic nations that should make the regulations.” —— Oleg Khlestov vice president of the Russian International Law Association

“China does not have an Arctic strategy”, China’s wish to see disputes related to sovereignty resolved peacefully through

dialogue.

——Hu Zhengyue China’s assistant minister of foreign affairs


China is transforming 2001

export china

import china

2011


China is expanding

2% 11%

2%

14%

6%

3% 11%

20% 64%

69%

2%

15%

1%

23%

4%

35%

22%

12%

78%

8%

13%

47%

33%

62%

10%

6%

1%

4%

52% 31%

36%

5 $5130

7 $5730

11 $13530

15 $24160

18 $12500

15 $9110

1%2% 14 $14920

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011


Arctic as the backyard? OIL

13%

GAS COAL DIAMOND 30%

25%

10%

GOLD

SILVER

ZINC Lead

FOREST FISHERY

?

hydr fresh water...... electric

?

47%

62%

69%

78%

52%

36%

$3520

$4480

$8670

$14850

$4550

$4330

$7810

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011


Things not always go rignt...

Military background

The sensitivity of local ethnic cultural

Racial discrimination

National security

The suspicion of a hostile takeover

Lack of experience Market Risk


500

400

2000

RISING!

0

2050

Predictive change

300

200

100

0

1950

-100

1850

1900

-200

-300mm

Measured change

THE SEA LEVEL IS Estimate change


China today

上海 上海

LOOK!!! IT’S SHANGHAI!!!


China ... in 300 years

THIS IS SHANGHAI???!!! BUT WE’RE STILL AT SEA!!!

上海


China, now here in the Arctic

EMBASSY


Future, the busiest countury in the Arctic

EMBASSY


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