Quarter 3 Market Report

Page 1

MARK E T R E PO R T

Q3 2020

Q3 2020

E A S T B AY A R E A

Keller Williams 1


Overview

Q3 2020

New Listings

Closed Sales

+5.2% Year-over-Year

+10.4% Year-over-Year

Median Sale Price

Average Price Per SqFt

5,518

4,572

Despite the continued concerns regarding the economy, the for-sale housing market accelerated through the end of the third quarter. With more households seeking larger spaces to work from home and for children to attend online classes, as well as families gaining access to backyards and outdoor spaces, homebuyer demand surged in many neighborhoods. While the pandemic and recession dominate headlines, the inventory of homes for sale continue to dictate market statistics. The potential sales activity for the last few months would be even higher if more quality homes were available. In recent months, the number of homes available decreased to historic lows. The lack of trade-up options for some existing owners has kept the household in place. Many potential sellers remained hesitant to market and make their homes available for tours. With few homes available for sale, those homes that were marketed efficiently sold quickly.

$885K $577 +9.4% Year-over-Year

+6.1% Year-over-Year

The third quarter was characterized by high sales volume and increased sales price. Overall sales volume was up about 21% from this same time last year. New listings were up approximately 5% from the previous year and about 28% over the previous quarter. Following this pattern, the overall median sales price on Single Family homes increased 13% over the past year, and about 5% over the past month. Surprisingly, the median sales price on Condos/Townhomes was flat month-over-month, and up 7% year-over-year. The average time on the market was around 20 days, which is about half the time compared to the same quarter last year but up over the historically undersupplied second quarter.

Total Sold Volume

Average Days on Market

Throughout the Bay Area, elevated demand for housing should persist as low mortgage rates improve purchasing power. Though the recession may extend longer than many had hoped, the tech industry may avoid widespread layoffs, helping to sustain demand.

+20.7% Year-over-Year

+23.7% Year-over-Year

$4.55B 20

Tina Jones | CEO, Team Leader Data includes all single family, townhome, and condominium sales in Alameda, Albany, Berkeley, Castro Valley, Dublin, El Cerrito, El Sobrante, Emeryville, Fremont, Hayward, Livermore, Newark, Oakland, Piedmont, Pleasanton, Richmond, San Leandro, San Lorenzo, San Pablo, Unition City sourced from BrodgeMLS and Broker Metrics.

Keller Williams 2


Contracts Signed and Closed Sales Single Family, Townhomes, and Condominiums

New Contracts Signed By Month, Year-Over-Year 2200

2019

Q3 2020

2020

2,191

2000 1,910

1,889

1,899

+5.1% 1800

1,830

1,729

1,798

1,734 1600

1,617

1,571 1400 May

June

July

August

September

Closed Sales By Month, Year-Over-Year 1800

2019

2020

1,680

1600

1,502

1400

1,460

1,462

1,536

1,534

1,457

1200

+25.7%

1,220 1,143

1000 800 675 600 May

June

July

August

September Keller Williams 3


Single Family Homes East Bay Area

Q3 2020

Q3 2020’s single family homes saw a sharp increase in new listings and sold units quarter-over-quarter. Median sales price was overall steady quarterover-quarter and properites sold over original asking price. Average days on market have been in a steady decrease during the past year.

New Listings vs. Closed Sales 4000

New

Sold

Median Sales Price

3,975

0-1BD

2BD

3BD

4BD

5+BD

ALL

3Q19

$536,800

$661,500

$787,500

$1,056,500

$1,350,000

$885,000

4Q19

$535,000

$650,000

$800,000

$1,050,000

$1,310,000

$875,000

1Q20

$527,500

$642,500

$785,750

$1,100,000

$1,417,000

$889,000

2Q20

$525,000

$730,000

$852,100

$1,150,000

$1,407,500

$950,000

3Q20

$500,000

$750,000

$885,000

$1,185,000

$1,500,000

$1,000,000

3,896

3500

3,193

3,175 3000

2,811

3,466

2,660

2500 2,111

2,143

2000

1,815

1500 3Q19

4Q19

1Q20

2Q20

3Q20

Median Sales Price vs. Original Asking Price

Average Days on Market

107%

106.5% 106.4%

106%

30

30

107% 106.2%

106.1%

25 25 22 20 20

105.5% 105%

19

15 3Q19

104.5%

4Q19

1Q20

2Q20

3Q20

104.5%

104% 3Q19

4Q19

1Q20

2Q20

3Q20 Keller Williams 4


Townhomes & Condominiums East Bay Area

Q3 2020

Q3 2020’s townhomes and condominiums saw a sharp increase in new listings and sold units quarter-over-quarter. The median sales price was slightly down to flat in all BR types year over year, and down drastically compared to the previous quarter. Average days on market was flat quarter-over-quarter, and properties sold slightly less than original asking price. New Listings vs. Closed Sales

New

1600

Sold

Median Sales Price 0-1BD

2BD

3BD

4BD

5+BD

ALL

3 Q 19

$460,000

$575,000

$725,000

$786,000

$787,000

$615,000

4 Q 19

$430,000

$570,000

$710,000

$794,995

$790,000

$605,000

1Q 2 0

$456,500

$605,000

$761,750

$771,475

$771,475

$640,000

2Q20

$455,000

$610,000

$767,500

$900,800

$899,900

$655,000

3Q20

$450,000

$620,000

$784,000

$900,000

$900,000

$660,000

1,542 1,349

1300 1,104 1100 964

1,012

1,106

903

900 700 765

735 582

400 3Q19

4Q19

1Q20

2Q20

3Q20

Median Sales Price vs. Original Asking Price 103%

102.8%

Average Days on Market

102.9%

40

39

35 102.5% 30

31 27

102% 101.8%

101.8%

101.8%

2Q20

3Q20

25

28

25 3Q19

4Q19

1Q20

2Q20

3Q20

101.5% 3Q19

4Q19

1Q20

Keller Williams 5


East Bay Area Number of Sales

73

Q3 2020

47

228 64 37

175 32

36

998 Alameda pg 7 Albany pg 7 Berkeley pg 8 Castro Valley pg 8 Dublin pg 9

184 181 196

El Cerrito pg 9 El Sobrante pg 10 Emeryville pg 10 Fremont pg 11

303

71

309

360

476

Hayward pg 11 Livermore pg 12 Newark pg 12 Oakland pg 13 Piedmont pg 13

105

Pleasanton pg 14 Richmond pg 14 San Leandro pg 15

604

San Lorenzo pg 15 San Pablo pg 16

135

Union City pg 16 Keller Williams 6


East Bay Area Sales by City

Q3 2020

$3,600,000

Alameda

Single Family Median Sales Price

Highest sale price

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

% PRICE CHANGE

Townhome/Condo Median Sales Price

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

% PRICE CHANGE

3BD

4BD

5BD+

ALL

$580,400 -

$895,500 $965,000

$1,200,000 $1,155,000

$1,400,000 $1,362,500

$1,500,000 $1,712,500

$1,156,000 $1,238,500

-

7.8%

-3.8%

-2.7%

14.2%

7.1%

$432,000 $448,500

$724,000 $722,500

$829,000 $825,000

$835,000 $1,175,000

-

$730,000 $756,000

4%

0%

0%

41%

-

4%

Highest sale price

% PRICE CHANGE

Townhome/Condo Median Sales Price % PRICE CHANGE

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

Highest price/sqft

2BD

$1,840,000

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

$1,109.01

Lowest sale price

0-1BD

Albany

Single Family Median Sales Price

$407,000

$805,000

$1,510.79

Lowest sale price

Highest price/sqft

0-1BD

2BD

3BD

4BD

5BD+

ALL

$890,000

$908,000 $1,069,000

$1,345,000 $1,305,000

$1,315,000 $1,205,000

$1,875,000 -

$1,257,500 $1,185,000

-

17.7%

-3%

-8.4%

-

-5.8%

$433,500 $480,000

$590,000 $614,000

$865,000 $868,000

-

-

$585,000 $572,500

11%

4%

0%

-

-

-2%

Keller Williams 7


East Bay Area Sales by City

Q3 2020

$4,100,000

Berkeley

Single Family Median Sales Price

Highest sale price

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

% PRICE CHANGE

Townhome/Condo Median Sales Price

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

% PRICE CHANGE

3BD

4BD

5BD+

ALL

$786,000 $855,000

$1,067,500 $1,044,750

$1,350,000 $1,449,000

$1,700,000 $1,805,000

$2,005,000 $2,140,500

$1,375,000 $1,410,000

8.8%

-2.1%

7.3%

6.2%

6.8%

%

$630,000 $658,000

$875,000 $767,000

$1,254,000 $1,051,000

$1,765,000 -

-

$875,000 $675,000

4%

-12%

-16%

-

-

-23%

Highest sale price

% PRICE CHANGE

Townhome/Condo Median Sales Price % PRICE CHANGE

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

Highest price/sqft

2BD

$1,900,000

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

$1,418.44

Lowest sale price

0-1BD

Castro Valley

Single Family Median Sales Price

$800,000

$550,000

$897

Lowest sale price

Highest price/sqft

0-1BD

2BD

3BD

4BD

5BD+

ALL

-

$650,450 $780,000

$830,000 $881,000

$1,005,000 $1,095,000

$1,200,000 $1,308,500

$886,500 $970,000

-

19.90%

6.10%

9.00%

9.00%

9.40%

$345,000

$525,000 $523,000

$827,359 $789,999

$787,000 $846,547

-

$702,500 $695,000

-

-0.40%

-4.50%

7.60%

-

-1.10%

Keller Williams 8


East Bay Area Sales by City

Q3 2020

$2,356,200

Dublin

Single Family Median Sales Price

Highest sale price

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

% PRICE CHANGE

Townhome/Condo Median Sales Price

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

% PRICE CHANGE

3BD

4BD

5BD+

ALL

-

-

$855,000 $910,000

$1,066,750 $1,131,000

$1,450,000 $1,497,500

$1,050,000 $1,136,091

-

-

6.4%

6%

3.3%

8.2%

$425,000 $472,000

$639,000 $630,000

$764,000 $821,500

$852,000 $926,000

$914,784 -

$700,000 $686,944

11%

-1%

8%

9%

-

-2%

Highest sale price

% PRICE CHANGE

Townhome/Condo Median Sales Price % PRICE CHANGE

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

Highest price/sqft

2BD

$3,200,000

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

$784.05

Lowest sale price

0-1BD

El Cerrito

Single Family Median Sales Price

$745,000

$490,000

$1,088.44

Lowest sale price

Highest price/sqft

0-1BD

2BD

3BD

4BD

5BD+

ALL

-

$805,000 $905,000

$950,000 $1,143,000

$1,180,000 $1,380,000

$815,000 $1,985,000

$925,000 $1,012,500

-

12.4%

20.3%

16.9%

143%

9.5%

-

$640,000 $640,000

$890,000 $911,106

-

-

$868,398 $857,212

-

0%

2%

-

-

-1%

Keller Williams 9


East Bay Area Sales by City

Q3 2020

$975,000

El Sobrante

Single Family Median Sales Price

Highest sale price

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

% PRICE CHANGE

Townhome/Condo Median Sales Price

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

% PRICE CHANGE

3BD

4BD

5BD+

ALL

-

$470,000 $510,000

$587,500 $652,500

$711,500 $755,000

$737,500 $665,000

$618,000 $658,000

-

8.5%

11.1%

6.1%

-9.8%

6.5%

$230,000 $239,500

$284,500 $374,500

$410,000 -

-

-

$284,500 $364,000

4.1%

31.6%

-

-

-

27.9%

Highest sale price

% PRICE CHANGE

Townhome/Condo Median Sales Price % PRICE CHANGE

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

Highest price/sqft

2BD

$800,000

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

$746.09

Lowest sale price

0-1BD

Emeryville

Single Family Median Sales Price

$330,000

$640,000

$902.93

Lowest sale price

Highest price/sqft

0-1BD

2BD

3BD

4BD

5BD+

ALL

$485,000 -

$910,000 $785,286

$1,200,000 -

$640,000

-

$910,000 $770,572

-

-13.7%

-

-

-

-15.3%

$485,000 $450,000

$810,000 $825,000

$872,500 $720,000

-

-

$606,250 $498,000

-7%

2%

-17%

-

-

-18%

Keller Williams 10


East Bay Area Sales by City

Q3 2020

$2,920,000

Fremont

Single Family Median Sales Price

Highest sale price

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

% PRICE CHANGE

Townhome/Condo Median Sales Price

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

% PRICE CHANGE

3BD

4BD

5BD+

ALL

-

$775,000 $875,061

$1,000,000 $1,130,000

$1,250,000 $1,310,000

$1,675,000 $1,880,000

$1,143,000 $1,260,000

-

12.9%

13.0%

4.8%

12.2%

10.2%

$424,000 $381,000

$588,000 $675,000

$895,000 $948,000

$995,995 $1,070,094

-

$682,500 $830,000

-10%

15%

6%

7%

-

22%

Highest sale price

% PRICE CHANGE

Townhome/Condo Median Sales Price % PRICE CHANGE

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

Highest price/sqft

2BD

$1,960,000

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

$1,146.10

Lowest sale price

0-1BD

Hayward

Single Family Median Sales Price

$730,000

$335,000

$1,039.58

Lowest sale price

Highest price/sqft

0-1BD

2BD

3BD

4BD

5BD+

ALL

$450,000 $499,000

$563,113 $630,000

$675,000 $715,000

$870,000 $908,250

$1,139,000 $1,130,000

$705,000 $760,000

10.9%

11.9%

5.9%

4.4%

-0.8%

7.8%

$393,888 $400,500

$480,000 $487,500

$587,500 $620,000

$755,000 $783,000

-

$529,500 $572,500

2%

2%

6%

4%

-

8%

Keller Williams 11


East Bay Area Sales by City

Q3 2020

$2,100,000

Livermore

Single Family Median Sales Price

Highest sale price

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

% PRICE CHANGE

Townhome/Condo Median Sales Price

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

% PRICE CHANGE

3BD

4BD

5BD+

ALL

-

$635,000 $645,000

$760,000 $810,000

$945,000 $995,000

$1,246,500 $1,265,000

$815,000 $880,000

-

1.6%

6.6%

5.3%

1.5%

8.0%

$355,000

$507,000 $600,000

$659,000 $705,000

$702,500 $737,000

-

$610,000 $680,000

-

18%

7%

5%

-

11%

Highest sale price

% PRICE CHANGE

Townhome/Condo Median Sales Price % PRICE CHANGE

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

Highest price/sqft

2BD

$1,611,000

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

$800.26

Lowest sale price

0-1BD

Newark

Single Family Median Sales Price

$538,500

$650,000

$1,121.43

Lowest sale price

Highest price/sqft

0-1BD

2BD

3BD

4BD

5BD+

ALL

-

$780,000

$875,000 $940,000

$970,000 $1,062,000

$1,369,500 $1,375,000

$930,000 $1,025,000

-

-

7.4%

9.5%

0.4%

10.2%

$420,000 -

$550,000 $574,444

$700,000 $880,000

$983,750 $990,000

-

$570,000 $855,000

-

4%

26%

1%

-

50%

Keller Williams 12


East Bay Area Sales by City

Q3 2020

$3,000,000

Oakland

Single Family Median Sales Price

Highest sale price

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

% PRICE CHANGE

Townhome/Condo Median Sales Price

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

% PRICE CHANGE

3BD

4BD

5BD+

ALL

$487,500 $420,000

$635,000 $736,500

$829,500 $922,500

$1,250,000 $1,323,010

$1,027,500 $1,372,778

$825,000 $900,000

-13.8%

16.0%

11.2%

5.8%

33.6%

9.1%

$520,000 $510,000

$700,000 $715,000

$820,000 $800,000

$875,000 $920,000

-

$650,000 $661,500

-2%

2%

-2%

5%

-

2%

Highest sale price

% PRICE CHANGE

Townhome/Condo Median Sales Price % PRICE CHANGE

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

Highest price/sqft

2BD

$5,800,000

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

$1,370.97

Lowest sale price

0-1BD

Piedmont

Single Family Median Sales Price

$225,000

$1,470,000

$1,484.98

Lowest sale price

Highest price/sqft

0-1BD

2BD

3BD

4BD

5BD+

ALL

-

$2,070,000 $1,677,000

$1,727,500 $1,925,000

$2,325,000 $2,500,000

$3,150,000 $3,775,000

$2,000,000 $2,487,500

-

-19.0%

11.4%

7.5%

19.8%

24.4%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Keller Williams 13


East Bay Area Sales by City

Q3 2020

$3,860,000

Pleasanton

Single Family Median Sales Price

Highest sale price

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

% PRICE CHANGE

Townhome/Condo Median Sales Price

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

% PRICE CHANGE

3BD

4BD

5BD+

ALL

-

$849,000 $871,000

$972,500 $1,060,000

$1,222,500 $1,310,000

$1,630,000 $2,200,000

$1,210,000 $1,270,000

-

2.6%

9.0%

7.2%

35.0%

5.0%

$395,000 $431,500

$577,000 $632,000

$790,000 $826,000

$750,000 $910,000

-

$650,000 $700,000

9%

10%

5%

21%

-

8%

Highest sale price

% PRICE CHANGE

Townhome/Condo Median Sales Price % PRICE CHANGE

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

Highest price/sqft

2BD

$1,550,000

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

$1,178.13

Lowest sale price

0-1BD

Richmond

Single Family Median Sales Price

$789,000

$220,000

$1,211.45

Lowest sale price

Highest price/sqft

0-1BD

2BD

3BD

4BD

5BD+

ALL

$445,000 $399,000

$525,000 $549,000

$550,000 $595,000

$620,000 $707,500

$765,000 $805,000

$575,000 $620,000

-10.3%

4.6%

8.2%

14.1%

5.2%

7.8%

$408,500 $402,000

$520,000 $485,000

$672,000 $631,622

$755,000

-

$511,750 $480,000

-2%

-7%

-6%

-

-

-6%

Keller Williams 14


East Bay Area Sales by City

Q3 2020

$1,390,000

San Leandro

Single Family Median Sales Price

Highest sale price

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

% PRICE CHANGE

Townhome/Condo Median Sales Price

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

% PRICE CHANGE

3BD

4BD

5BD+

ALL

$444,250 -

$660,000 $680,444

$716,000 $750,000

$860,000 $910,000

$868,000 $1,075,000

$725,000 $768,000

-

3.1%

4.7%

5.8%

23.8%

5.9%

$330,000

$442,500 $449,000

$520,500 $555,000

$765,972 $653,000

-

$479,675 $490,500

-

1%

7%

-15%

-

2%

Highest sale price

% PRICE CHANGE

Townhome/Condo Median Sales Price % PRICE CHANGE

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

Highest price/sqft

2BD

$988,888

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

$937.25

Lowest sale price

0-1BD

San Lorenzo

Single Family Median Sales Price

$529,000

$585,000

$740.78

Lowest sale price

Highest price/sqft

0-1BD

2BD

3BD

4BD

5BD+

ALL

-

$590,000 $643,000

$680,888 $722,500

$714,500 $782,500

$725,000 $988,888

$685,000 $725,000

-

9.0%

6.1%

9.5%

36.4%

5.8%

-

$440,500

$705,000

-

-

$467,500

-

-

-

-

-

-

Keller Williams 15


East Bay Area Sales by City

Q3 2020

$775,000

San Pablo

Single Family Median Sales Price

Highest sale price

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

% PRICE CHANGE

Townhome/Condo Median Sales Price

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

% PRICE CHANGE

3BD

4BD

5BD+

ALL

$200,000

$465,000 $395,000

$525,000 $520,000

$550,000 $615,000

$570,500 $535,000

$525,000 $520,000

-

-15.1%

-1.0%

11.8%

-6.2%

-1.0%

$199,000 -

$335,000 $344,500

$435,000 $503,500

$528,000 -

-

$429,000 $362,500

-

3%

16%

-

-

-16%

Highest sale price

% PRICE CHANGE

Townhome/Condo Median Sales Price % PRICE CHANGE

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

Highest price/sqft

2BD

$1,900,000

Q3 2019 Q3 2020

$628.67

Lowest sale price

0-1BD

Union City

Single Family Median Sales Price

$187,000

$640,000

$962.41

Lowest sale price

Highest price/sqft

0-1BD

2BD

3BD

4BD

5BD+

ALL

-

$749,000 $640,000

$789,500 $905,000

$944,000 $1,060,000

$1,060,000 $1,298,000

$900,000 $1,050,000

-

-14.6%

14.6%

12.3%

22.5%

16.7%

$410,000 -

$475,000 $492,500

$695,900 $622,500

$635,000 $700,000

-

$580,000 $595,000

-

4%

-11%

10%

-

3%

Keller Williams 16


Team of Success & Excellence Being an independently owned and operated franchise of Keller Williams. Keller Williams unparalleled team consists of more than 160 associates and professionals strategically located in Oakland, Alameda, and Castro Valley. Under the same ownership, we have sister offices located in San Francisco, Burlingame, San Mateo, and Half Moon Bay respectfully KW San Francisco, KW Peninsula Estates, KW San Mateo, and KW Coastside. With uncompromising principles, Keller Williams has established a new standard of excellence within the industry. The company’s growth has been strategic and exciting. Since its inception half way through 2016, the team has successfully represented more than 2,100 transactions, totaling more than $1.8 billion in total sales. Dedicated to upholding unparalleled standards for integrity and client care, they strive to create a culture where agents thrive while developing their own businesses to their maximum potential. The company has given their agents over $600,000 in profit share.

510.775.1079 4937 Telegraph Ave. Suite A, Oakland, CA 94609 2437 Santa Clara Ave, Alameda, CA 94609 20273 Patio Drive, Castro Valley, CA 94546

All rights reserved. This information may not be copied, used, or distributed without Keller Williams consent. Data is pulled from Bridge MLS and Broker Metrics. While information is believed true, no guarantee is made of accuracy. All data, including all measurements and calculations of area, is obtained from various sources and has not been, and will not be, verified by Keller Williams or MLS.

Each Office Is Independently Owned and Operated. Equal Housing Opportunity. DRE#02029039

Market report prepared by Jim Haas, Annie O’Kelly, and Tina Jones


510.775.1079 4937 Telegraph Ave. Suite A, Oakland, CA 94609 2437 Santa Clara Ave, Alameda, CA 94609 20273 Patio Drive, Castro Valley, CA 94546


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