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Figure 16: Summary of industrial land requirements under each demand scenario

Table 23: Employment precinct supply and demand gap assessment (ha)

Precinct

Ashby working waterfront Goodwood island - working waterfront Harwood island industrial

Net demand Nonconstrained GAP

Low Medium High vacant land Low Medium High

0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

0.04 0.05 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 -0.04 -0.05 -0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1

Harwood island working waterfront

0.1 0.2 0.3 Harwood island working waterfront, River St 0.0 0.0 0.0 Ilarwill industrial 0.0 0.0 0.0

Iluka industrial 1.0 1.4 1.8 0.0 -0.1 -0.2 -0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1.0 -1.4 -1.8

Iluka waterfront Junction Hill industrial 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.0 -0.2 -0.3 -0.4 0.0 -0.2 -0.4 -0.7

Koolkhan North Grafton South Grafton industrial Townsend industrial Tyndale industrial Yamba industrial Yamba waterfront

Total

Source: HillPDA 4.3 6.1 8.2 2.0 2.9 4.1 8.6 13.4 19.2 1.4 2.2 3.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 25.6 21.3 19.6 17.4 0.0 -2.0 -2.9 -4.1 24.4 15.9 11.0 5.2 0.6 -0.8 -1.6 -2.5 0.0 -0.1 -0.2 -0.2

3.2 4.5 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

5.1 1.9 0.6 -0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

21.1 32 44 55.8 34.6 24.2 11.6

The following figure summaries the supply and demand analysis undertaken in this section under each scenario.

Figure 16: Summary of industrial land requirements under each demand scenario Scenario 1 Scenario 2

Total LGA net job growth 2021-41 818 jobs

Jobs directed to industrial precincts 239 jobs

Total floorspace demand 63,500sqm

Total land required to accommodate space 21ha

Current available land stocks 56ha Total LGA net job growth 2021-41 1,939 jobs

Jobs directed to industrial precincts 526 jobs

Total floorspace demand 94,750sqm

Total land required to accommodate space 32ha

Current available land stocks 56ha Scenario 3

Total LGA net job growth 2021-41 3,261 jobs

Jobs directed to industrial precincts 865 jobs

Total floorspace demand 132,500sqm

Total land required to accommodate space 44ha

Current available land stocks 56ha

Residual capacity 35ha Residual capacity 24ha Residual capacity 12ha

*Please note residual capacity stocks could contain constrained land. A more detailed constraints lands assessment is recommended

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