Table 30: Net demand for commercial jobs and resulting space by scenario

Table 29: Occupied retail space demand by commercial centre and growth scenario 2021-41 (sqm)

Commercial centre Current space

Forecast demand - 2041 Net demand (2021-41) 2021 Low Medium High Low Medium High

Angourie neighbourhood centre Brooms Head neighbourhood centre Brushgrove neighbourhood centre Chatsworth island neighbourhood centre Clarenza neighbourhood centre_1 Clarenza neighbourhood centre_2 Copmanhurst neighbourhood centre Coutts Crossing neighbourhood centre Glenreagh village centre Grafton town centre Gulmarrad neighbourhood centre Harwood island neighbourhood centre Iluka town centre 524 845 870 897 321 347 373 483 748 788 938 266 305 455 29 80 87 93 51 58 64 334 365 372 380 32 38 46 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0

0 0 0 0 0 0 451 1,084 1,124 1,157 633 672 706 457 1,955 2,001 2,051 1,497 1,544 1,594 763 1,075 1,121 1,167 312 359 404 69,225 76,878 80,118 84,918 7,653 10,893 15,693 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 834 866 876 886 32 41 52 4,405 4,785 4,857 4,942 380 452 537

James Creek neighbourhood centre Junction Hill neighbourhood centre 0

254 294 338 254 294 338 991 1,309 1,449 1,589 318 458 598 Junction Hill village 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Lawrence Bridge Street neighbourhood centre 152 254 262 269 102 110 117 Lawrence Grafton Street neighbourhood centre 567 608 658 702 41 91 136 Lawrence neighbourhood centre 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Lawrence Rutland Street neighbourhood centre 269 371 379 386 102 110 117 Maclean town centre 18,685 20,144 21,177 21,544 1,459 2,493 2,860 Minnie Water neighbourhood centre 447 693 739 914 245 291 466 Seelands neighbourhood centre 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 South Grafton neighbourhood centre, Armidale St 1,055 1,484 1,519 1,592 429 464 537 South Grafton neighbourhood centre, Federation St 0 192 204 228 192 204 228 South Grafton town centre 9,498 11,456 12,119 13,476 1,958 2,621 3,978 Townsend neighbourhood centre 234 827 920 1,022 593 686 789 Tucabia neighbourhood centre 720 827 892 1,141 107 172 421 Ulmarra town centre 2,937 3,282 3,522 4,435 344 585 1,498 Waterview Heights neighbourhood centre 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Wooli neighbourhood centre 799 1,072 1,131 1,353 273 332 554 Yamba neighbourhood centre 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Yamba Plaza 337 477 493 509 140 156 173 Yamba town centre 11,684 13,832 14,388 14,965 2,148 2,703 3,281 Yamba village 11,572 13,186 13,837 14,511 1,614 2,265 2,939

Total 137,449 158,947 166,195 176,404 21,498 28,746 38,955

Source: HillPDA – neighbourhood centre (NC)