Table 32: Total retail and commercial space demand by centre and growth scenario 2021-41 (sqm

8.3 Total commercial centre demand summary

The following table summarises the total demand for commercial and retail space for each centre to 2041. A target vacancy rate of 5% has been applied to each centre’s total demand. Table 32 shows the combined total and net demand for floorspace for each centre between 2021 and 2041. This demand includes retail, commercial and a vacancy space allowance. In total, Clarence Valley is expected to demand between around an additional 28,700sqm to 63,400sqm of floorspace between 2021 and 2041.

Table 32: Total retail and commercial space demand by centre and growth scenario 2021-41 (sqm)

Commercial centre

Angourie NC Brooms Head NC Brushgrove NC Chatsworth island NC Clarenza NC (1) Clarenza NC (2) Copmanhurst NC Coutts Crossing NC Glenreagh village centre Grafton town centre Gulmarrad NC Harwood island NC Iluka town centre James Creek NC Junction Hill NC Junction Hill village Lawrence Bridge Street NC Lawrence Grafton Street NC Lawrence NC

Current Total demand 2041 Net demand 2021-2041

space 2021

low Medium High low Medium High

524 890 916 483 788 829 944 366 393 987 305 347 421 504

29 84 91 98 56 63 69

334 385 392 0.0 0 400 51 58 - - 66 -

451 1,141 1,183 1,218 690 732

766 1,364 3,132 3,292 3,477 1,768 1,928 2,113 1,388 1,423 1,584 1,765 35 196 377 116,812 126,817 134,959 145,623 10,006 18,147 28,812 0 - - - - - -

834 912 922 933 78 87 99

4,848 5,561 5,692 5,846 713 844 0 267 309 356 267 309 991 1,377 1,525 1,673 387 535 0 - - - - -

152 268 276 567 640 692 0 - 284 116 124 739 73 126 998 356 682 -

132 173

Lawrence Rutland Street NC 269 390 399 406 122 130 138

Maclean town centre 28,978 32,040 34,252 35,974 3,061 5,274 6,996

Minnie Water NC Seelands NC 447 729 778 0 - -

962 282 330 - - South Grafton NC, Armidale St 1,433 1,562 1,599 1,676 129 167 514 243

South Grafton NC, Federation St 0 202 214 240 202 214 240

South Grafton town centre Townsend NC Tucabia NC 14,867 17,081 18,253 20,246 2,214 3,387 5,380 234 870 968 1,076 636 734 842

720 870 939 1,201 150 219 481

Ulmarra town centre 3,467 3,803 4,093 5,097 336 626 1,630

Waterview Heights NC Wooli NC Yamba NC 0 - - - -

799 1,128 1,190 1,424 330 391 0 - - - - 625 -

Yamba Plaza Yamba town centre Yamba village

Total

567 775 820 871 208 253

304 15,431 18,747 19,766 20,890 3,315 4,335 5,459 14,622 17,388 18,438 19,580 2,767 3,816 4,959

210,609 239,271 254,374 273,986 28,662 43,765 63,377

Source: HillPDA – neighbourhood centre (NC)