Willamette Valley MLS Monthly Statistics January 2009

Page 1

2008 Real Estate Review Active Offices

January Active Listings

2008

2009 2009

6,402

% of Change

6,956

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

332 338 359 392 442

Combined Sales Force 1,380 1,395 1,488 1,618 1,898

Total Listing Issued 14,233 13,869 14,377 15,105 15,307

Total Annual Sales 7,877 8,202 9,084 9,894 11,576

Total Annual Dollar Volume $1,152,263,314 $1,225,870,920 $1,468,312,025 $1,761,745,381 $2,302,562,120

2006

487

2,131

16,585

10,587

$2,435,687,568

2007

505

2,194

18,425

8,899

$2,226,574,295

2008

481

1,898

16,957

5,954

$1,433,604,120

8.65%

1984 to 2008 Average Sales Prices (all types, all areas) 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

54,591 53,582 53,279 53,547 57,263 62,968 66,718 72,002 78,723 86,339 98,379 107,670 117,470 127,493 136,601 140,886 144,482 146,282 149,460 161,637 179,917 198,908 230,064 250,205 240,780

2008 to 1997 Closed Sales by Month

2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997

JAN 380 646 800 808 510 568 559 415 454 566 457 521

FEB 421 676 737 656 575 550 498 442 455 423 477 414

MAR 541 714 917 920 761 723 657 653 635 625 620 569

APR 565 837 826 845 839 732 693 632 611 660 770 559

MAY 577 924 1025 1001 838 800 748 757 661 617 699 747

Number of Sales 14 11576 10587 9894 10 9084 8899 79638018 78778202 8 7850 7233 5954

JUNE 551 916 1064 1101 1027 795 825 757 733 819 824 709

JULY 617 871 937 1047 921 862 726 758 638 743 802 816

Number of Sales

Thousands

12

6 4

2 0 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

AUG 528 889 1077 1143 991 879 759 760 674 892 757 743

SEPT 528 685 896 1195 901 914 733 687 605 744 680 883

Percent Increase/ Decrease From Previous Year -9.79% 8.90% 4.13% 10.75% 8.92% 17.00% -8.54% -15.98% -33.06%

OCT 502 675 882 1017 829 930 740 821 635 709 713 769

NOV 386 543 765 971 680 665 643 562 617 579 571 593

DEC 358 523 671 823 764 670 621 652 534 657 593 527

2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997

Total Annual Dollar Volume 3000 2500 2000 Millions

1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0

1500 1000 500 0

1994 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008


Residential Average Sales Prices by Area

Top Sales Terms

350

3,000

300

Thousands

4,000

2,000

1,000

250 200 150

% Chg = Percent of change from previous year

AREA

Keizer 10 Central 20 SubEast 30 SubEast 35 Southeast 40 South 50 West 60 Benton 70 Linn 80 Marion 90 Polk 95 Total Average

80

90

95

Linn

Marion

Polk

OS

70 Benton

50

60

50

West

71

South

193

598

Southeast 40

3,758 993

1TD LSC

SubEast 35

VA

SubEast 30

CNV CSH FHA

Central 20

100

Keizer 10

0

Residential Average Sales Prices by Area

2004

% Chg 03/ 2004

2005

% Chg 04/ 2005

2006

% Chg 05/ 2006

2007

% Chg 06/ 2007

2008

% Chg 07/ 2008

$170,910

4.34

$189,658

11.0%

$225,355

18.82%

$229,379

1.79%

$231,879

1.1%

114,336

4.71

128,012

12.0%

154,369

20.59%

157,079

1.76%

153,849

-2.1%

147,962

4.56

159,430

7.8%

180,207

13.03%

206,858

14.79%

191,029

-7.7%

129,690

-11.16

142,444

9.8%

162,865

14.34%

199,803

22.68%

192,505

-3.7%

181,174

4.90

207,514

14.5%

243,589

17.38%

276,266

13.41%

256,201

-7.3%

193,863

-0.74

217,470

12.2%

262,437

20.68%

311,226

18.59%

288,442

-7.3%

197,247

2.39

233,278

18.3%

275,932

18.28%

294,995

6.91%

257,827

-12.6%

218,548

7.58

230,087

5.3%

273,058

18.68%

306,557

12.27%

299,687

-2.2%

126,797

-5.84

145,597

14.8%

167,923

15.33%

194,920

16.08%

191,847

-1.6%

157,636

-4.70

174,232

10.5%

209,524

20.26%

249,100

18.89%

231,951

-6.9%

149,960

-0.89

165,458

10.3%

189,622

14.60%

232,396

22.56%

222,252

-4.4%

$180,172

9.79%

$199,754

10.9%

$232,943

16.61%

$249,203

6.98%

$240,406

-3.5%


January 2009

2008 New Construction Statistics A member owned cooperative MLS Since 1949 New Construction Residential

Area 10 Keizer

Units Sold 12 Mos to date

37

Average Sales Price

Area 30 Suburban NE

Area 35 Suburban SE

Area 40 SE Salem

Area 50 South Salem

Area 60 West Salem

Area 70 Benton County

Area 80 Linn County

Area 90 Marion County

Area 95 Polk County

1

11

16

98

41

73

103

264

114

69

$264,737

$210,000

$237,230

$214,203

$301,490

$385,866

$307,846

$349,516

$217,608

$281,588

$251,951

Average Square Footage

1,955

1,800

1,771

1,429

2,274

2,699

2,338

2,269

1,701

1,961

1,900

Average Cost per Square Foot

$135.00

$117.00

$134.00

$150.00

$133.00

$143.00

$132.00

$154.00

$128.00

$144.00

$133.00

Average Day on the Market

167

99

160

87

156

310

189

208

187

162

167

Currently Active Listings

26

108

15

21

124

55

98

83

206

129

50

New Construction Residential

Area 20 Central Salem

Sales 2003

Sales 2004

Sales 2005

Sales 2006

Sales 2007

Currently Active

Currently Pending

Units

1,484

1,512

2,047

1,812

1,426

987

65

Average Price

$181,635

$199,604

$230,791

$262,089

$286,090

$310,260

$266,988

Average Square Footage

1,762

1,775

1,905

1,929

2,013

2,040

2,159

Average Cost per Square Foot

$104.00

$112.00

$121.00

$136.00

$142.00

$152.00

$124.00

Average Days on the Market

149

153

151

162

174

170

96

Equal Housing Opportunity

Many factors contribute to fluctuations in data users should analyze over an extended period to ascertain market trends. copyright 2009 WVMLS all rights reserved


Residential Sales by Number of Bedrooms

662

3,129

992

180

$158,671

$226,745

$298,825

$352,745

1,104

1,587

2,266

2,871

$144.00

$143.00

$132.00

$123.00

115

125

146

163

521

2,437

1,079

222

Units Sold

5 Bedrooms

5 Bedrooms

4 Bedrooms

4 Bedrooms

3 Bedrooms

3 Bedrooms

2 Bedrooms

Number Sold 12 Months Average Sales Price Av. Square Footage Average Cost Square Foot Days on Market Active on the Market

2 Bedrooms

700 Sold Listings Days on Mkt Currently Active

600 500 400 300 200 100 0

40-49999 50-59999 60-69999 70-79999 80-89999 90-99999 100-109999 110-119999 120-129999 130-139999 140-149999 150-159999 160-169999 170-179999 180-189999 190-199999 200-224999 225-249999 250-274999 275-299999 300-349999 350-399999 400-449999 450-499999 500-749999 750-999999 1000000+

Units Sold / Days on Market/Active

Residential Listings by Price Range 12 Mos

Price Ranges


Residential Sold Price Analysis A R E A

2006 Units Sold

2006 Dollar Volume

2007 Units Sold

2007 Dollar Volume

2008 Units Sold

Active on the Mkt

10

450

$101409885

412

$94504001

323

207

20

469

72399034

344

54035257

274

30

567

102177561

394

81502005

35

360

58631233

348

40

804

195845887

50

331

60

2008 Dollar Volume

Original Average List Price

Average Sales Price

% Sale to List

Days on the Mkt

Average Square Footage

Price Per Square Foot

$74897020

$244067

$231879

95.0

111

1702

$136.00

250

42154634

163931

153849

93.8

105

1364

113.00

224

186

42790668

206072

191029

92.7

110

1462

131.00

69531312

188

177

36190994

202723

192505

94.9

105

1439

134.00

703

194214790

524

433

134249831

279538

256201

91.6

129

1895

135.00

86866612

296

92122984

239

215

68937767

310639

288442

92.8

140

2090

138.00

526

145140013

454

133927944

359

323

92560017

276879

257827

93.1

140

2000

129.00

70

867

236740959

856

262412624

694

458

207983358

319123

299687

93.9

129

1890

159.00

80

1671

280599297

1558

303684845

1001

908

192039504

204570

191847

93.7

141

1533

125.00

90

921

192971879

963

239883006

544

577

126181680

251512

231951

92.2

133

1644

141.00

95

530

100499559

575

133627769

351

294

78010797

239346

222252

92.8

134

1622

137.00

OS

444

106886614

476

151019711

298

356

91182903

337603

305982

90.6

131

1722

178.00

New Listings by the Month 2500

Percent of Sales Price to List Price 2001

2000

100

95

2002

1500

2003

93.8 92.7 94.9 91.6 92.8 93.1 93.9 93.7 92.2 92.8 90.6

80

1000

2004

60

500

2005

40

0

2006

20

NOV 957 972 876 1041 1053 1176 1185 1039

DEC 565 701 935 841 843 834 819 799

0

2008

Area OS

OCT 1193 1156 1237 1110 1171 1549 1571 1278

Area 95

SEP 1150 1122 1156 1094 1376 1452 1429 1414

Area 90

AUG 1214 1247 1195 1350 1510 1661 1780 1343

Area 80

JUL 1194 1277 1419 1393 1311 1557 1655 1708

Area 70

JUN 1294 1160 1380 1367 1544 1781 2022 1647

Area 60

MAY 1450 1275 1211 1402 1367 1610 1980 1535

Area 50

APR 1230 1273 1296 1272 1386 1323 1699 1639

Area 40

MAR 1366 1285 1199 1412 1397 1395 1664 1609

Area 35

FEB 1318 1022 1291 1188 1129 1130 1327 1573

Area 30

JAN 1308 1271 1182 873 1231 1117 1284 1373

Area 20

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Area 10

2007

Average Days on the Market 150 129 111

140 140

129

Average Sales Price Per Square Foot By Area Including Lot

141 133 134 131

200

105 110 105

178

100

159

150

131 113

50

134

135

138

129

141 125

137

100

Area OS

Area 95

Area 90

Area 80

Area 70

Area 60

Area 50

Area 40

Area 35

Area 30

Area 20

50 Area 10

0

136

0 Area 10 Area 30 Area 40 Area 60 Area 80 Area 95 Area 20 Area 35 Area 50 Area 70 Area 90 Area OS


3421 25th St. SE Salem, Oregon 97302-1122 (503) 399-8657 1 800 944-3138 The Statistics presented in this update are compiled by the WVMLS. Statistics reflect sales made by member offices for properties listed in the Willamette Valley, Oregon. Many factors contribute to fluctuations in data. Users of this report should analyze data over an extended period to ascertain market trends. Information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Copyright 2009 WVMLS All rights reserved Executive Vice President/Editor Jay A. Gordon We welcome your comments and suggestions.

1998 to 2008 Residential Average/Median Sales Prices 300,000 250,000

Equal Housing Opportunity

All statistical reports are available on the web at WVMLS.COM

200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000

AREAS: Keizer

0

#

1998

10

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

136,601 140,886 144,482 146,282 153,589 164,103 180,172 199,754 232,943 249,203 240,406

Central Salem

20

Suburban East

30

Suburban SE

35

Southeast Salem

40

South Salem

50

West Salem

60

Benton County

70

Linn County

80

Marion County

90

Polk County

95

126,000 127,000 129,900 135,000 138,555 147,273 156,900 172,400 199,900 217,000 210,000

Factoid: The average new home sold in the Willamette Valley is a 3 bedroom, 2 bath with 2,042 square feet plus a 2 car garage. The average cost per square foot for a new home is $141.00 including a 7,000 square foot lot. Closed Sales December 2008 Full Year 2007 December 2007 Full Year 2006

New Listings

Pending Listings

358

799

472

Average Sales Price $218,226

% List Price to Sales Price 95.40%

8,899

18,425

5,889

$250,205

97.62%

523

819

404

$225,649

96.23%

10,587

16,585

7,103

$230,064

98.62%


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