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Editorial, Hartmut Bühl

The Union put to the test

The worldwide Coronavirus pandemic has reached Europe. We are afraid of how insufficient the medical precautions in some countries are and how unprepared the Union itself is in this civil security sector. Covid-19 is putting Europe to the test in a time when the global power situation is changing, and re-nationalisation is progressing. Only a sovereign European Union will overcome this crisis and be able to act in the future as a global strategic player. However, the worst case for the Union is now, and it must show that it is more than a conglomerate of nations. The medical situation is one aspect, but the Union also has to prepare for a shutdown of the worldwide economy and be prepared to help save the economy and industries in Europe and abroad. Globalisation will continue, but it has to be adapted to the lessons learned from this crisis. The Union has the chance to influence new rules for globalisation, taking into account its own global ambitions. What direction will the Union take in the future? Europe must strongly defend its interests and sovereignty, and it will be important not to confound tolerance with weakness. 2020 will be a decisive year for Europe and it could become a good one, if the Union with its Member States succeed in mastering the coronavirus pandemic. The policy of the new president of the Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, and her strategic objectives are trying to meet the urgent requests of citizens in European societies. They have the willingness to look for concrete answers to the most crucial problems of the population and the inescapable tasks in foreign, defence and security policy, but also in industry policy, the digital revolution and research. Strategies for migration and ecology are of utmost importance. The Commission must try more than it did before to reach people in societies through adapted communications. The Union must reach the hearts of its citizens! In all these fields, the priorities are to consolidate the Union internally and protect it against external threats. Its first task is to address how it can consolidate Europe internally: where do we need European common solutions and where should competences be transferred back to nations. The Union, together with its Member States, must make it clear that it will not become a playground for anti-global disinformation and the home of populists. The second task is more than evident: we must prepare Europe to be resistant to all external threats. Europe has to react to crisis situations through prevention and response. We need strong civil security and a competent European defence, not positioned against NATO but within it. Only a strong Union with internal solidarity and the means to secure peace for Europe, but also ready to engage globally, will meet the future. Our European Union is a club, and in every club, members have to follow rules. Without a superior authority setting a course and watching over them, the club will not function. Without the willingness of the Member States to cooperate and to share responsibilities, the Union will be a pile of junk. Ursula von der Leyen has the power to set the Union’s policy. She has decided, with her Commission, to make the Union more human and develop it into a political power and strategic actor. To achieve these objectives, she needs a lot of sensitivity, but also resoluteness and perseverance. This is her chance! Hartmut Bühl

IMPRESSUM: The European − Security and Defence Union

Headquarters: International Consulting 6, Rue du Château, F 28260 Berchères-sur-Vesgre (FR) E-Mail: hartmut.buehl@orange.fr Publisher and Editor in Chief: Hartmut Bühl, Berchères-sur-Vesgre (FR) Phone: +49/172 32 82 319 E-Mail: hartmut.buehl@orange.fr Deputy Editor-in-Chief: Nannette Cazaubon, Paris (FR) E-Mail: nannette.cazaubon@magazine-the-european.com Editorial Assistant: Céline Merz, Linz a. Rhein (GE) E-Mail: editorial.assistant.esdu@gmail.com Translater: Miriam Newman-Tancredi, Castres (FR) and London (GB) Layout: Beate Dach, SpreeService, Berlin (GE) Advertisement & Sales: Andy Francis Stirnal, Berlin (GE) Phone: +49/175 6686 1543 Print: Polyprint GmbH (GE) © 2020 by International Consulting, France

THE EUROPEAN – SECURITY AND DEFENCE UNION Vol. No. 34

Content

3 6

Editorial, Hartmut Bühl News, Nannette Cazaubon

13–40

MAIN TOPIC EU27 in a multipolar world A new role for the European Union?

8–12 In the Spotlight Brexit – what next?

8

Dr Gordan Grlić Radman, Zagreb Croatia’s EU chairmanship - a historic moment for the country Overcoming challenges through unity and strength

10

Sir Graham Watson, London The United Kingdom after Brexit Damage to the integrity of the UK

11

Hartmut Bühl, Brussels/Paris Auld Lang Syne Will the UK accept EU standards?

12

The European Green Deal Documentation

14

Jean Dominique Giuliani, Paris Learning the language of power Change of dimension

15

Dr Hans-Gert Pöttering, Berlin Europe and its external challenges in uncertain times Europe’s defence through a pillar in NATO

16

Hilde Vautmans MEP, Brussels/Strasbourg Is the EU’s foreign policy prepared for the consequences of Brexit? Brexit is a historic mistake

17

Brexit and the changes in EU institutions Documentation

18 Interview with Jānis Garisons, Riga NATO is our security – Europe is our soul! It’s too early to bury NATO

20

Dr Nadezdha Arbatova, Moscow The EU in a polycentric world: what next? A view from a Russian Europeanist

22

Gerald Knaus, Berlin Hamster in the wheel: credibility and EU Balkan policy The need for change in the EU accession process

23

Christina García Fernandez and David García Cantalapiedra, Madrid Climate change: a challenge for international security A cascade of uncertainty

26

The von der Leyen Commission 2019–2024 Documentation

EU27 in a multipolar world

Interview with Helmut Sorge, Rabat/Marrakech Power play in the Middle East Europe’s missing influence

The Berlin Conference on Libya Documentation

Dr Rachel Suissa, Haifa Worldwide geopolitical changes and the role of Europe The last of the Mohicans

Towards a EU-ASEAN strategic partnersip Documentation

Hideshi Tokuchi, Tokyo EU-Japan Maritime Security Cooperation in East Asia Recovery of the regional balance of power

36 Barry Desker, Singapore Competing strategic visions in the Asia-Pacific Changing relationships in the region

Debalina Ghoshal, Brussels/Kashmir The India-China nuclear equation The nuclear threshold remains high

41–53 Security and Defence Europe as a global security provider

42

Interview with Mohamed Salami, Rabat The African CBRNe Masters – a high level training course Taking account of regional specificities

46

Dr Hans-Peter Bartels, Berlin On the way to a Europe of Defence Striving for practical international cooperation

48

Christian Cambon, Paris Europe’s strategic autonomy A precondition for European security

50

Nannette Cazaubon, Paris JEYRAN 2019 – a successful CBRN counter-terrorism excercise A field report from Uzbekistan

54

List of Authors 2019

The European – Security and Defence Union is the winner of the 2011 European Award for Citizenship, Security and Defence, and was awarded in 2019 the Jury’s Special Prize of the same competition.

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