Crea%ng Sustainable Ci%es II Future of Energy across the UK’s Urban Landscape
Short Term Challenges • Depriva%on – 21.7% (7,200) children living in poverty • Obesity – 66.8% adults clasiifed as overweight or obese • Social isola%on – 3,000 more 65+ living alone • Life expectancy gap -‐11.1 years lower for men and 10.0 years lower for women in the most deprived/ least deprived.
• Skills levels 1-‐4 at a lower % than the UK and East of England • 13% of local businesses have recruitment problems
• Housing – 7,000 more affordable homes needed by 2030 • Climate change – increased overhea%ng, drought and threat of flooding • Energy – poor grid infrastructure and n increased likelihood of blackouts
Wellbeing
Infrastructure and housing
Skills and employment
Demographics • Growth in total popula%on – 14,500 m more people by 2025 • Growth in ageing popula%on – 7,000 more 65+
Climate Change will exacerbate every one of these challenges
SOUTHEND WEATHER • Ho;er summers • Up to 8°C warmer on average • Typically 30°C. Ho^est day around 35°C • Drier summers • 50% less rain • Heat waves more common and up to 10 days longer • Warmer Winters • Temperatures up to 4°C warmer on average • Typically 6°C. Reduced likelihood of frost, snow & ice • We;er winters • 50% more rain • Sea levels higher by up to 90cm • More storms and extreme weather events
• Typically, ho^er drier summers, warmer we^er winters
Our Own Perfect Storm Increased demand 50% by 2030 (IEA)
Increased Numbers 100% by 2050
Energy
Population
Climate Change
Climate Change
Food
Water
Increased demand 50% by 2030
Increased demand 30% by 2030
(FAO)
(IFPRI)
Resources Increased demand ??% by 2050
Water Increased demand 150% by 2050??
6 FOCUS AREAS: Carbon Reduc%on
Sustainable Communi%es
Policy
Sustainable Travel
Low Carbon Economy
Climate Change Adapta%on & Biodiversity
Current Projects -‐ £19m projects • Approach
• Treat as 100% funded from borrowing • Annual returns 1-‐3% of capital invested net of funding cost • Schools • Solar PV • Pier LiR Tower • Energy Efficiency • LED StreetlighJng
• Improved educaJonal environments • Reduced polluJon • Reduced light overspill • Be;er lighJng standards • Be;er draughtproofing
£700k annual savings net of cost
£9.2m Avoided Future Capital Costs
Other Benefits
3,500t CO2 saved annually
• Double Glazed Windows • LiRs replaced • Boilers replaced • LED lights • LighJng columns
• 0.44% of total CO2 emissions • AddiJonal 1200 t CO2 saved via Southend Energy
Next Projects – Address the Storm Green Infrastructure -‐ Water Reduce Waste
Flooding
Capture for Reuse
Grey Water
Local GeneraJon Matched to Local Demand Absorb demand increases
Reduce Grid losses
Time ShiRing
DSR/FFR
Green Infrastructure -‐ Cooling Avoid Urban Heat Island
Improve GeneraJon Performance
Understand What’s Going On – Use the Data Drains
Air Quality
Car Use/Parking
What I missed out
CO2 Savings 69%/0,7%
69%/ 0.7%???
2 Degrees??? Is this achievable
Energy transiJon
Risks Consumer confidence
NAP Equipment prices
Southend
Supply/ demand
Gas Grid?? ??????
Savings
Energy price makeup
CCRA
Gas Grid – What will happen? Factors Safety
Cost
Climate Change
PracJcality
OpJons Replace
Hydrogen
Mix
Closure
Short Term How long will government take?
IncenJves for renewables/ electrificaJon
DisincenJves for gas
Long Term Expensive transiJon
Falling user base for gas
Gas more expensive
Tianjin – chemical explosion
Energy TransiPon
Supply Demand Balance
Consumers – Confidence?
July 2017, Essex
Groningen 500MW
Energy Price Make Up?
What is happening to demand?
Why will demand rise? ElectrificaJon of Heat
Increased aircon and mechanical venJlaJon
Building Regs
ElectrificaJon of Transport
Climate Change
Risks -‐ Southend 2222 • • • •
2 Roads 2 Railway lines 2 Electricity cables PopulaJon doubling by 2050
Add it all together? Rising cost of supply Increasing complexity
Consumer confusion
Consumer Mistrust
Rising Demand
Subsidy free solar and ba;eries
Restricted Grid Energy TransiJon failure
What do we do? Keep on with reducJon projects Complete own reducJons
Encourage others
Halving public sector emissions sJll a good thing to do
Local Resilience Solar starJng to be economic again
Ba;eries falling in price
Time ShiRing
DSR/FFR
Use trusted brand status to explain this to consumers Higher prices
Revenue opportuniJes
Consumer Advice/ ProtecJon
A;ack road use and transport emissions EVs
EV Chargepoints
Alt route planning
Energy OpportuniPes Solar/Ba;ery Approach Freely Available to other LAs
Joint MarkeJng Southend Energy and Suppliers
MulJple Finance Offers
Standards Energy Efficiency Measures
Matched Maintenance and Finance
Clear Plain Language MarkeJng
• 80% grid independence • Savings approx 20% net of costs plus grid rebalancing • Savings increase over Jme • Available to all householders • Social tenants • Private tenants • Home owners
• Expected launch May 18
Happy to help and to work with you