Southend Borough Council

Crea%ng Sustainable Ci%es II

Future of Energy across the UK’s Urban Landscape

Short Term Challenges • Depriva%on – 21.7% (7,200) children living in poverty • Obesity – 66.8% adults clasiifed as overweight or obese • Social isola%on – 3,000 more 65+ living alone • Life expectancy gap -­‐11.1 years lower for men and 10.0 years lower for women in the most deprived/ least deprived.

• Skills levels 1-­‐4 at a lower % than the UK and East of England • 13% of local businesses have recruitment problems

• Housing – 7,000 more affordable homes needed by 2030 • Climate change – increased overhea%ng, drought and threat of flooding • Energy – poor grid infrastructure and n increased likelihood of blackouts

Wellbeing

Infrastructure and housing

Skills and employment

Demographics • Growth in total popula%on – 14,500 m more people by 2025 • Growth in ageing popula%on – 7,000 more 65+

Climate Change will exacerbate every one of these challenges

SOUTHEND WEATHER • Ho;er summers • Up to 8°C warmer on average • Typically 30°C. Ho^est day around 35°C • Drier summers • 50% less rain • Heat waves more common and up to 10 days longer • Warmer Winters • Temperatures up to 4°C warmer on average • Typically 6°C. Reduced likelihood of frost, snow & ice • We;er winters • 50% more rain • Sea levels higher by up to 90cm • More storms and extreme weather events

• Typically, ho^er drier summers, warmer we^er winters

Our Own Perfect Storm Increased demand 50% by 2030 (IEA)

Increased Numbers 100% by 2050

Energy

Population

Climate Change

Climate Change

Food

Water

Increased demand 50% by 2030

Increased demand 30% by 2030

(FAO)

(IFPRI)

Resources Increased demand ??% by 2050

Water Increased demand 150% by 2050??

6 FOCUS AREAS: Carbon Reduc%on

Sustainable Communi%es

Policy

Sustainable Travel

Low Carbon Economy

Climate Change Adapta%on & Biodiversity

Current Projects -­‐ £19m projects • Approach

• Treat as 100% funded from borrowing • Annual returns 1-­‐3% of capital invested net of funding cost • Schools • Solar PV • Pier LiR Tower • Energy Efficiency • LED StreetlighJng

• Improved educaJonal environments • Reduced polluJon • Reduced light overspill • Be;er lighJng standards • Be;er draughtproofing

£700k annual savings net of cost

£9.2m Avoided Future Capital Costs

Other Benefits

3,500t CO2 saved annually

• Double Glazed Windows • LiRs replaced • Boilers replaced • LED lights • LighJng columns

• 0.44% of total CO2 emissions • AddiJonal 1200 t CO2 saved via Southend Energy

Next Projects – Address the Storm Green Infrastructure -­‐ Water Reduce Waste

Flooding

Capture for Reuse

Grey Water

Local GeneraJon Matched to Local Demand Absorb demand increases

Reduce Grid losses

Time ShiRing

DSR/FFR

Green Infrastructure -­‐ Cooling Avoid Urban Heat Island

Improve GeneraJon Performance

Understand What’s Going On – Use the Data Drains

Air Quality

Car Use/Parking

What I missed out

CO2 Savings 69%/0,7%

69%/ 0.7%???

2 Degrees???

Is this achievable

Energy transiJon

Risks Consumer confidence

NAP Equipment prices

Southend

Supply/ demand

Gas Grid?? ??????

Savings

Energy price makeup

CCRA

Gas Grid – What will happen?

Factors Safety

Cost

Climate Change

PracJcality

OpJons Replace

Hydrogen

Mix

Closure

Short Term How long will government take?

IncenJves for renewables/ electrificaJon

DisincenJves for gas

Long Term Expensive transiJon

Falling user base for gas

Gas more expensive

Tianjin – chemical explosion

Energy TransiPon

Supply Demand Balance

Consumers – Confidence?

July 2017, Essex

Groningen 500MW

Energy Price Make Up?

What is happening to demand?

Why will demand rise?

ElectrificaJon of Heat

Increased aircon and mechanical venJlaJon

Building Regs

ElectrificaJon of Transport

Climate Change

Risks -­‐ Southend 2222 • • • •

2 Roads 2 Railway lines 2 Electricity cables PopulaJon doubling by 2050

Add it all together?

Rising cost of supply Increasing complexity

Consumer confusion

Consumer Mistrust

Rising Demand

Subsidy free solar and ba;eries

Restricted Grid Energy TransiJon failure

What do we do?

Keep on with reducJon projects Complete own reducJons

Encourage others

Halving public sector emissions sJll a good thing to do

Local Resilience Solar starJng to be economic again

Ba;eries falling in price

Time ShiRing

DSR/FFR

Use trusted brand status to explain this to consumers Higher prices

Revenue opportuniJes

Consumer Advice/ ProtecJon

A;ack road use and transport emissions EVs

EV Chargepoints

Alt route planning

Energy OpportuniPes Solar/Ba;ery Approach Freely Available to other LAs

Joint MarkeJng Southend Energy and Suppliers

MulJple Finance Offers

Standards Energy Efficiency Measures

Matched Maintenance and Finance

Clear Plain Language MarkeJng

• 80% grid independence • Savings approx 20% net of costs plus grid rebalancing • Savings increase over Jme • Available to all householders • Social tenants • Private tenants • Home owners

• Expected launch May 18

Happy to help and to work with you