GOVERNMENT AFFAIRS
NEW POLL HIGHLIGHTS TIGHT RACES FOR GOVERNOR AND U.S. SENATE Get ready Wisconsinites for yet another closely watched, competitive election year. That’s according to the latest results from a new Marquette University Law School poll released earlier this month. The poll of 803 registered voters suggests that the high profile primary races among Republicans for the job of Governor and for the coveted position of United States Senator among Democrats are equally shaping up to be tight contests with just less than a month and a half to go until the August 9 primaries and the general election to follow on November 8. These two races, in particular, are important politically because they could ultimately decide who controls the U.S. Senate and/or whether the state of Wisconsin will continue with split party governance or have one party control of the legislative and executive branches next session. In the now, five-way Republican gubernatorial primary that determines who will face off against first-term, incumbent Democrat Governor Tony Evers, business owner Tim Michels and former Lieutenant Governor Rebecca Kleefisch are running in a neck-and-neck race with Michels having a slight lead of 27 percent among Republicans and Independents who say they will vote in the GOP primary. Kleefisch received support from 26 percent of primary voters, Kevin Nicholson had 10 percent, Tim Ramthun 3 percent, and relative unknown Adam Fischer with less than .5 percent. Tim Michels’ candidacy is a late entry into the race since April 22 and yet already he has made a name for himself (aside from his well-known 34 | JULY 2022 |
wisconsin INDEPENDENT AGENT
Wisconsin construction business - Michels Corporation), most notably receiving the muchsought-after endorsement of former President Donald Trump, who continues to carry significant sway in Wisconsin and nationwide among Republican voters. Michels returns to the political stage having last ran for public office nearly two decades ago in 2004 when he won a four-way Republican primary for U.S. Senate. He ultimately lost in the general election to former U.S. Senator Russ Feingold. Kleefisch, who is most known for serving alongside former Governor Scott Walker for two full terms as Lt. Governor from 2011 to 2019, has been campaigning for the better part of a year now and leads slightly in favorability ratings among her GOP rivals with 44 percent favorability versus 10 percent who had an unfavorable view of her. Candidate Michels was close behind with 42 percent favorability and 7 percent unfavorable; Nicholson at 27 percent; and Ramthun with 3 percent. The most noteworthy statistic in this race taken from the latest poll results is that a substantial 32 percent (nearly one third) of Republican primary voters remain undecided in this contest, meaning this race is a toss-up as each of the candidates try to convince the large swath of undecided voters to support them as the Republican nominee. For someone like Kleefisch, who is a pretty wellknown commodity among GOP voters and who has been campaigning longer and harder than the rest of the field, it will likely be more difficult for her to pick up significant votes from this group of undecideds unless her campaign is able to convince them that she is the only candidate in the GOP field that can defeat Evers in November.