CORPORATE SOLUTIONS RESEARCH
Top 10 Global CRE Trends for 2016
Threats
Convergence
Experience
Digital Drive
Sustainability
Ownership
M&A
Coworking
Data Intelligence
Cities of the Future
Impact of cyber attacks increased (Oct 2014 - Oct 2015)
Greatest risks to business over the next 6-12 months
29%
increased global and regional political instability
Threats: Security, risk and transparency Elevated geopolitical risk, security concerns and volatility will impact CRE policies and strategies
24%
increased volatility in commodities and curencies
100%
increase in increase in increase in politically average impact criminal targeted of cyber attacks motivated cyber attacks attacks
Balancing risk and transparency
23% economic and political situation in the Eurozone
Transparency improved in over
18%
since 2012, however
80% of markets
slowing growth in key emerging markets timing and pace of interest rate rises in the US Source: Capital Confiedence Barometer, EY October 2015
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56%
Source: Control Risks, RiskMap 2016
6%
2
18%
110010 100110 101010 DoS 100011
41 countries (out of 102) have low transparency or are opaque Source: JLL Global Real Estate Transparency Index 2014
High expectation from C-suite to improve worker productivity Improve ASSET productivity 8%
31%
61%
Improve WORKPLACE productivity 4% 20%
76%
Improve BUSINESS productivity 8%
32%
60%
Improve PEOPLE productivity 8%
32%
60%
No expectation
Moderate expectation
High expectation
Base: 277 respondents Source: JLL Global Corporate Real Estate Trends 2015
Convergence: HR, IT (digital solutions) and CRE strategies converge Closer integration between Human Resources and Real Estate as CEOs demand performance
HR and CRE integration is increasing
Impacts of high level of employee engagement
HR
34%
Frequent interaction but separate divisions
40%
21%
6% 19% Current
increase in productivity
In 3 years
Source: Capital Confiedence Barometer, EY October 2015 Copyright Š JLL 2016 - Corporate Solutions
increase in profitability
25%
Shared services integration
3
22%
36%
Ad-hoc/project basis
Source: JLL Global Real Estate Transparency Index 2014
76% of respondents from JLL’s Global Corporate Real Estate Survey, report high expectations from leadership to enhance workplace experience over the next three years
10-25% Better mental function and memory
Productivity increases from better lighting
Source: WGBC, The Business Case for Green Building
Experience: Its all about User Experience (UX) CRE & FM will continue to enhance user experience
11%
23%
Productivity increases from better ventilation
Productivity increases from individual temperature control
More productive workers in daylight
Happy employees have, on average, 31% higher productivity; their sales are 37% higher - their creativity is three times higher Source: https://hbr.org/2012/01/positive-intelligence
Wellness and Well-being
Source: JLL, WGBC Health, Wellbeing & Productivity in Offices: The next chapter for green building 2014 Copyright Š JLL 2016 - Corporate Solutions
18%
Note: Operational cost and productivity benefits of LEED certified buildings
Building design features that are known to have positive impact on the health, wellbeing and productivity of office building occupants
4
3%
Look and feel, sensory triggers
Quality views and Biophilia,* noise and acoustics Interior layout and active design, access to amenities Indoor air quality, day lighting and lighting, thermal comfort *design based on the concept there is an instinctive bond between human beings and other living systems and the wider natural environment
By 2020, total mobile subscription is expected to reach 9.2 billion Source: Ericsson Mobility Report
Wearables Smart TVs Number of devices in use (in billions) by 2018
“From the dawn of civilization until 2003, humankind generated five exabytes of data. Now we produce five exabytes every two days…and the pace is accelerating.”
The Internet of Things
Google Executive Chairman Eric Schmidt
Tablets
Digital Drive: Technology transforms organisations, Real Estate and PEOPLE The ubiquity of digital and third platform technology will have a profound impact on real estate and its users
Smartphones Personal Computers 2004
2018
Source: HBR – “Digital Ubiquity How Connections, Sensors and Data Are Revolutionizing Business”
Implications Organisation Human cloud, dispersed, mobile, embedded culture of outsourcing
5
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Building Smart, cost effective, efficient, attract smart talent
Workplace Productive, flexible, virtual collaboration, coworking, on demand workplace
COP21
LIMITING GLOBAL WARMING TO BELOW 2˚C THIS CENTURY
ENERGY ACTION AND EFFICIENCY
RENEWABLE ENERGY
CARBON PRICE
INNOVATION
EMISSION REDUCTION
Commitments To Action Source: http://climateaction.unfccc.int/cooperative-initiatives
51% 51% of respondents from the JLL Global Corporate Real Estate Trends 2015 cited growing pressure from the C-suite to drive the corporate sustainability/CSR agenda Source: JLL Global Corporate Real Estate Trends 2015
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Renewable energy use
With COP21 setting ambitious goals for sustainable real estate, our industry will need to respond with aggressive operational and strategic plans
Improve operational performance Collaborative working
Coworking Flexible building design
Building a sustainable future for CRE
Live work campuses Zero energy buildings Virtual work model Harness big data
Retrofit existing assets
Sustainability:
Intelligent building systems
CRE Response:
The criteria for deciding whether to lease or own real estate will be re-examined by large corporations
Lease accounting standard
Ownership: Own vs lease in 2016? Corporate disposals are at record highs, but lease accounting will alter portfolio strategies and decision making at the board level
All leases will come on to company balance sheets potentially shifting the balance toward ownership
40% of CRE leaders reported increasing demands to raise capital through the real estate portfolio
Source: JLL,Global CRE Trends 2015
OWN vs LEASE 7
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Corporate disposals reach highest point in
8 years
Source: JLL, Raising Capital From Real Estate, 2015
59% of global senior executives expect to pursue acquisitions in the next 12 months The global number of announced M&A deals in Q1 2016 will be approx. 7% higher y-o-y CRE can help create value for companies throughout the M&A lifecycle How?
MITIGATE
OPTIMISE
ACCELERATE
ENSURE
Risks
Costs
Operational Strategy
Successful Integration
M&A M&A is business as usual for CRE With M&A volumes at record levels it is a crucial area of value of CRE
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Turning your real estate into a factor of success:
1
2
Start thinking about RE at the earliest opportunity
Manage confidentiality requirements
3
4
5
Build a RE solution fully aligned with the acquisition strategy and objectives
Adopt an integrated approach and resource appropriately
Speed is crucial to maximise value
Source: JLL Successful M&A: capturing value through real estate 2015, Intralinks Deal Flow Predictor 2015
The number of coworking spaces worldwide grew to 7,800 in 2015 compared to 3,400 in 2013
The number of members using coworking space is predicted to reach 1 million by 2018 Key expectations from coworking members: Sharing Knowledge (68%), Brainstorming or sharing new ideas (60%), Sharing opportunities for new jobs or projects (55%) Source: DeskMag,The Global Coworking Survey 2015
Coworking for corporates Corporate clients are embracing coworking to drive innovation and growth and meet CRE strategic plans (reducing footprint + increasing employees satisfaction and growth)
Internal Collaboration
Coworking Membership
Internal Collaboration
Internal Collaboration
Internal coworking for employees only
External coworking membership for employees only
Collaboration space for employees shared with external organisations/ individuals in an external coworking environment
Internal coworking space open to organisations/ individuals
Source: JLL
9
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57% of respondents surveyed globally will enhance their company's data gathering capabilities (over the next 1-3 years)
56 %
Use of data and analytics Aspiration vs Reality 2017
Addressing gaps in people and process is critical
28 %
Today
52% Data Intelligence: Data & Analytics are transforming decision making
Lack of effective data and analytics to measure insights Top constraint hindering CRE from enhancing itself as a strategic value-add Aspirations could be curtailed by current capabilities
Integrated business intelligence will optimise CRE performance
33% need training to understand proper usage and application of data and analytics
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31%
have trouble accessing data necessary to make decisions
Source: Mind the data gap: Aspiration vs. reality in corporate real estate, Forrester Consulting on behalf of JLL, 2014, JLL Global Corporate Real Estate Trends 2015
Having the right people, process and technology in place fundamentally drives data and analytics
26% of firms with revenue above US$1 billion: based in Emerging world cities will transform CRE portfolio strategy, potentially reaching 50% by 2015
Cities of the Future: New urban hubs are boosting CRE Opportunities 26% of firms with revenue above US$1 billion, based in ‘Emerging World Cities’, potentially reaching 50% by 2025
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Established World Cities – ‘The Big Six’ New York • London • Paris Tokyo • Hong Kong • Singapore Future Challengers Seoul Sydney Toronto
Nearly Emerged Shanghai Beijing
Emerging World Cities
Competitive Megacities Istanbul Kuala Lumpur Taipei Mexico City
Source: JLL Globalisation and Competition: The New World of Cities 2015
Agile HigherQuality Emerging Shenzhen Guangzhou Dubai Bangalore
New World Cities Munich • Oslo • Vancouver Barcelona • Denver • Brisbane High Potential/ Weakly Governed Mumbai Manila Jakarta
Lagging Megacities Dhaka Lagos Karachi
Implications and Key Recommendations for CRE IMPLICATIONS
KEY RECOMMENDATIONS
Portfolio: Increasingly fluid portfolios are calling for dispersed, diverse Real Estate
Workplace: HR and CRE convergence means User Experience is becoming preeminent
Reevaluate... your footprint and increase its flexibility to manage volatility and change
Redesign... your workplace to improve user experience and productivity
Strategy: Digital transformation is changing corporate strategy AND the form and function of Real Estate
Platform: CRE processes and skills need to evolve to meet emerging challenges
Digitize... your processes and platform to meet the expectations of tomorrow
Redefine... your CRE strategy to align with new operatonal realities and enhance sustainable growth
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Contact us IF YOU WOULD LIKE TO DISCUSS FURTHER, PLEASE CONTACT US
Borja Basa Managing Director Corporate Solutions Borja.Basal@eu.jll.com +34 91 789 11 00
Carlos Carbajo Head of Transactions Management Corporate Solutions Carlos.Carbajo@eu.jll.com +34 91 789 11 00
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