Property & Build: Election 2023

Page 10

ELECTION 2023

House prices up for first time since downturn A modest amount of home value growth this quarter may mean the residential property market recovery has begun, QV reports

T

he average home increased in value nationally by 0.5% to $893,639, marking its first quarter of positive growth since the downturn began in late 2021. But values continue to track downward across most of the main urban areas, with just Tauranga (0.6%), Marlborough (0.2%), Christchurch (0.1%), Queenstown (0.8%), and Invercargill (1.5%) in the black this quarter. The latest QV House Price Index shows the rolling three-monthly rate of reduction has slowed in Auckland (-0.5%), Wellington (-0.6%) and Palmerston North (-0.3%), and increased by less than a percentage point in Whangārei 10 propertyandbuild.com

(-2%), Hamilton (-0.7%), Rotorua (-1.4%), New Plymouth (-0.1%), Napier (-1.6%), Hastings (-2.5%), and Dunedin (-1.7%). Quotable Value (QV) operations manager James Wilson commented: “If we step back and take a good look at the housing market at a high level, things are beginning to look a little healthier now. For the first time in a while we are seeing value increases in some areas of Aotearoa – especially in places where there is strong demand for entry level housing.” “Generally speaking, it’s a case of the more affordable end propping up the market overall, with areas coming off low value bases

continuing to be among the strongest performers. The obvious exceptions among the main urban areas we monitor are Tauranga and Queenstown, but in both of these places values at the lower end of the market are growing while values at the upper end are still soft.” Though sales volumes have increased from month to month, new listing numbers continue to soften overall. “Real estate agencies are beginning to report growing interest for a reduced number of new properties coming onto the market, with buyers having to compete for the best ones. This is pushing up values once again,” Mr Wilson said.

“It seems market confidence is increasing, but the upcoming election has also encouraged many buyers and sellers to adopt more of a ‘wait and see’ mindset. It’s also important to remember that strong economic headwinds are still blowing, with many households still re-fixing their mortgages at significantly higher interest rates. It’s likely this will continue to restrict investors in particular.” Now, as all eyes look toward next month’s general election, Mr Wilson said the housing market would continue to vary considerably from region to region. “While values begin to strengthen in some areas, the rate of growth is not


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pages 62-63

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