Soundings Summer Edition 2021

Page 10

Aerospace & Marine International 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Outlook

May Surface Temperature pattern reflects warmer than normal v tropical Atlantic indicating the potential for favored cyclone deve de temperatura de la superficie de mayo refleja valores más cálidos de l subtropical, lo que indica el potencial que favorece el desarrollo de ciclo

BY

Rachel Wren,

Meteorologist / Route Analyst

Bob Cohen,

Certified Consulting Meteorologist Aerospace & Marine International

A

fter a record-breaking 2020 hurricane season, Aerospace & Marine International (AMI) is predicting an above-normal 2021 season in the Atlantic Basin with 20 named storms (9 hurricanes, 4 of them major). In 2020, the final numbers included 30 named storms (13 hurricanes, 6 of them major). AMI arrived at these forecasted numbers based on the state of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) which has a considerable impact on tropical cyclone development. AMI has put together their “2021 AMI Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook” which presents La Niña, El Niño, and ENSO conditions and how each may impact Atlantic/Pacific cyclonic activity. Find out more about ENSO expectations and how these conditions are favorable for another active hurricane season here: https://bit.ly/3g7UARL

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www.americansalvage.org


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