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OFFSHORE ENERGY EDITION 39
IN THIS ISSUE Interview Spencer Dale, Group Chief Economist, BP Eirik Wærness, Chief Economist, Equinor
OEEC Program Delegates can expect three content packed days.
OFFSHORE ENERGY 18
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OEEC NEWSFLASH
In this issue
Not one or the other
Interview 4
“We need it all.” said Eirik Wærness Chief Economist at Equinor in relation to
OEEC 2018 Program
8
the company’s increasing investments in renewable energy and continuing
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investments in oil. This holds true to Offshore Energy Exhibition & Conference as
Event News
well, there is no singular approach in energy or one industry the star of the show. Created and produced by
Cover image The beautiful ceiling of the National Maritime Museum during Offshore Energy Opening Gala Dinner in 2017.
OFFSHORE ENERGY EDITION 39
IN THIS ISSUE Interview Spencer Dale, Group Chief Economist, BP Eirik Wærness, Chief Economist, Equinor
OEEC Program Delegates can expect three content packed days.
OFFSHORE ENERGY 18
Practical Information Exhibition Ms. Annemieke den Otter Exhibition Manager Tel: +31 (0)10 2092606 Email: ao@navingo.com
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OFFSHORE ENERGY 18
Bringing together the whole energy-mix is one of the defining characteristics of Offshore Energy. To Explore new ventures, to Inspire companies and offshore energy professionals and to Transform business opportunities. We were honored to speak with Eirik Wærness of Equinor and Spencer Dale of BP and discuss energy market developments, the Paris Agreement and providing more energy with less emissions. You will find this feature article on pages 4, 5 and 6. Our conference program is taking shape and will offer a content packed three days with keynotes, thematic sessions as well as masterclasses and other side events. The program caters to different target groups across oil & gas, offshore wind and marine energy while also looking at collaboration and other cross-sectoral themes. Head to pages 8 and 9 to find our more on the entire program and time schedule. What can you expect during Offshore Energy in 2018? Find out more on pages 10 and 11. Registration is now live, so make sure you register your attendance via www.offshore-energy.biz. We look forward to seeing you there. Enjoy reading this edition! The OEEC team
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We need it all.
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“ We need a far more decisive break from the past” BP and Equinor on energy market developments, the Paris Agreement and providing more energy with less emissions
They both worked at the central bank of their home country before joining an oil and gas major. They both play a key role in the transformation of their oil and gas majors into broad energy companies. They are Spencer Dale, Group Chief Economist of BP and Eirik Wærness, Chief Economist of Equinor. Offshore Energy Today had the opportunity to speak with them about their views on energy market developments, reaching the Paris Agreement and the dual challenge of more energy and less carbon.
Eirik Wærness has been in the industry for a while. Asked about what he sees as the most remarkable developments of his time in the energy realm, Wærness says: “What is going on at the moment in terms of cost reductions in renewable electricity and battery technology for electric vehicles is a remarkable change.” At the same time the oil and gas industry demonstrates an enormous ability to reduce its cost levels when it has to. “Some of those changes are mind-boggling in terms of what we are able to do,” says Wærness, which “bodes well for the ability of that part of the energy industry to be competitive going forward.”
Shifting supply and demand
Spencer Dale, who manages BP’s global economics team, is a bit more
Digitization, artificial intelligence, how is that going to change the way we both produce and consume energy? of a newcomer in the industry, at least compared to Wærness, but brings decades of experience in economics and finance. When Dale looks at the energy markets, three things strike him as very exciting. First, the developments in the energy market itself. US shale oil and gas are revolutionizing the supply side of the market. The growth of electric cars and shared mobility are changing
About Spencer Dale, Group Chief Economist, BP Spencer Dale is group chief economist of BP plc since October 2014. Prior to that, he was executive director for financial stability at the Bank of England and a member of the Financial Policy Committee. Between 2008 and 2014, Spencer was chief economist of the Bank of England and a member of the Monetary Policy Committee. Spencer joined the Bank of England in 1989 and served in numerous roles, including head of economic forecasting. Spencer served as a senior advisor at the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors between 2006 and 2008.
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significant parts of the demand side. Second, according to Dale, is the shift in global energy demand notably towards China, India and Southeast Asia. Third, something that Dale confesses he had not really thought about until his move to BP, is technology. “Digitization, artificial intelligence, how is that going to change the way we both produce and consume energy?”
INTERVIEW
Eirik Wærness
Power, power, power
Dale and Wærness are both responsible for advising their company leadership on global energy trends. What are their views on the Paris climate agreement, I asked, and do they think it is possible to meet the two-degree goal? Dale and Wærness do, and have ideas how. “We need a far more decisive break from the past”, says Dale. He mentions two messages from the BP Energy Outlook 2018 – launched just the day before the interview – related to what that break might look like. One is carbon pricing. “We know this from economics for hundreds of years,” says Dale. “If you don’t like something, the best way of rationing it, is to put a price on it, and that is what carbon pricing does.” The second message is about what best to focus efforts on to reduce carbon emissions. “First of all,” says Dale “think about the power sector.” “Then think about the power sector. And if you have got any time left, think a little bit more about the power sector.” In any scenario that shows a sharp fall in carbon emissions, the power sector plays a key
It is possible, but it is very far away from being a walk in the park. role. “That’s where government policies and we should be focusing our efforts.”
emerging economies, and at the same time reducing CO2 emissions there.”
Paris no walk in the park
Peak oil
Wærness, like Dale, has also led macroeconomic research and scenarios. One of these scenarios, says Wærness, has a trajectory which is consistent with the two-degree target, with a fifty percent probability. “It is not very likely,” says Wærness, “it requires concerted action with governments in the driving seat, with industry following up, with technological changes, with behavioral changes.” “It is possible, but it is very far away from being a walk in the park.” According to Wærness, the solution will not come from one invention or one measure, and “you will definitely not find a solution in the Western world.” “This is a lot about providing energy to the
In an interview with Bloomberg in 2017, Wærness said that to reach the twodegree target, peak oil has to happen extremely rapidly. I asked Wærness what he thinks of that today. He explains that when Equinor made the twodegree scenarios over the last years, they designed those to be a pathway to an emission level consistent with the climate target. In that scenario global emissions from the energy sector have to go down by some 60 percent from today to 2050. There are different pathways to get there. “One pathway is not very optimistic on carbon capture and storage, but extremely optimistic on energy efficiency, very optimistic on
About Eirik Wærness, Chief Economist, Equinor Eirik Wærness, Chief Economist at Equinor since 2013, has specialist competence in energy and petroleum economics, macroeconomics, tax analysis, corporate strategy, scenario analysis, investment analysis and performance management. Before joining Equinor he worked at the Norwegian Ministry of Finance, Total E&P Norway and Pöyry Management Consulting. In the period 2010-2013 he served as member of the Executive Board of the Central Bank of Norway. Since 2014 he is a member of the World Economic Forum’s Global Agenda Council on the Future of Oil & Gas.
Offshore Energy Newsflash 39
5
INTERVIEW
Spencer Dale
We need more energy, but at the same time, we need less carbon to make sure that we can grow in a sustainable way. the growth of renewables, extremely optimistic on the penetration of electric vehicles and in that scenario, oil demand will peak in 2023, 2024, and then start a moderate decline.”
Oil investments continue, peak or no peak
So what does peak demand mean for an international oil company, or a broad energy company? Dale and Wærness both point at natural decline. As there is going to be a huge need for investments to keep supply at pace with demand, even if oil demand were to peak relatively soon. Dale: “For a company like BP, that has a key role in our strategy. Continue to invest in oil, because the world will need that investment, but make sure to invest only in low cost, advantaged oil to make sure that we are robust for this more competitive environment that we think is going to emerge over the next ten to fifteen years.” Wærness also sees ample opportunities for his company. “We have to make that as energy efficient and as carbon efficient as possible.” In one of Equinor’s scenarios, carbon emissions are going to cost between USD 100 and USD 150 per ton, by 2050. In the same 6
scenario, Equinor still produces more than sixty million barrels per day, the same as in 1980.
We need it all
Investments in oil remain key to Equinor’s strategy. At the same time, the company is increasing its investments in renewable energy and decarbonisation. Wærness: “We need it all. This is not one or the other.” There are some critical questions to be tackled. “How will different markets will, what will the business model be, where do you generate value in a value chain with intermittent uncontrollable renewable electricity?” “What is the price of oil going to be in a situation where demand is not 120 million barrels but 60 million barrels?” “How do you regulate markets to make sure that investors are willing to invest in renewable electricity when the marginal cost of producing it is zero?” “Those types of issues are there, but there is definitely going to be need for energy.”
Dual challenge
Dale calls it the dual challenge that needs solving over the next twenty
to thirty years. “Without energy, the increasing prosperity and improving living standards will be stunted.” “We need more energy, but at the same time, we need less carbon to make sure that we can grow in a sustainable way.” “BP wants to play its part in solving that dual challenge, and what makes me most excited is trying to think through the economics of how we can address that dual challenge.” “Working in energy is so important to the functioning and living standards of the world”, says Dale. “It’s all pretty exciting.” Femke Perlot-Hoogeveen
This article is based on interviews during International Petroleum Week in London. You can watch the full interviews in short video clips on carbon pricing, operatorcontractor collaboration and cost reductions and oil price and geopolitics. Go online to OffshoreEnergyToday.com.
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OEEC 2018 PROGRAM
Offshore Energy 2018 Monday 22 October 2018 08.00
08.30
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Offshore Wind Event - Day 1
Tuesday 23 October 2018 08.00
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Offshore Wind Event - Day 2 Exploration in a mature basin
Competing for marine space
Master Class
Subsea power systems Offshore Energy Exhibition - Day 1 (Community Square, Startup Zone, Matchmaking)
Wednesday 24 October 2018 08.00
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Global Oil Event Offshore operations and maintenance
Late life operations
Master Class
Corporate responsibility Offshore Energy Exhibition - Day 2 (Community Square, Startup Zone, Matchmaking)
Guided by this year’s theme “Explore. Inspire. Transform.” the Offshore Energy conference caters to different target groups of energy professionals across the oil & gas, offshore wind and marine energy industries. Delegates can expect three content packed days offering technical knowledge, business intelligence and networking with like-minded peers.
KEYNOTES Offshore Energy 2018 brings four keynotes sessions, on Gas, Oil, Offshore Wind and Marine Energy. The keynotes are must attend events for decision-makers looking for strategic insights. Sessions are combined with lunch or welcoming refreshments. Starting 30 minutes ahead of time. OFFSHORE WIND EVENT Monday 22 October, 11.00 – 16.00 Tuesday 23 October, 09.00 – 12.30 Amtrium, Amsterdam RAI The 9 annual Offshore Wind Event – previously known as Offshore WIND Conference – brings together the entire offshore wind value chain to discuss current and future wind farm developments. In addition to key project updates, topics include future-proofing business models for subsidyfree offshore wind, redesigning electricity markets for abundant offshore wind and solutions for storage.
SPECIAL EVENTS OPENING GALA DINNER & AWARDS SHOW
COMMUNITY SQUARE
Monday 22 October, 18.00 – 00.00 National Maritime Museum, Amsterdam
Tuesday 23 October, 09.30 – 18.00 Wednesday 24 October, 09.30 – 18.00 Hall 2, Amsterdam RAI
This black tie gala dinner will be attended by international offshore energy professionals ranging from operators, service companies, and contractors to politicians and suppliers. In addition to a culinary dinner, musical interludes and speeches by dignitaries, three Offshore Energy awards will be presented. The three awards that will be presented during the Opening Gala Dinner are:
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MARINE ENERGY EVENT Wednesday 24 October, 13.00 – 17.00 Amtrium, Amsterdam RAI The Marine Energy Event provides an up-to-date market outlook for marine renewable energy projects – focusing on the latest developments in wave, tidal, ocean thermal, and salinity gradient power generation. Delegates can expect real world case studies from across the globe as well as insights into the drivers for investors and supply chain to become involved in marine energy projects.
GLOBAL GAS EVENT Tuesday 23 October, 14.00 – 17.00 Amtrium, Amsterdam RAI
GLOBAL OIL EVENT
For the third time Offshore Energy attendees will be able to enjoy topical talk-shows and informal idea sharing at Community Square. Community Square returns to the front of Hall 2 and will be expanded to provide more seating space. The theme selection will take place in spring 2018 and will include energy transition, collaboration between oil, gas and renewables and offshore storage of energy and CO2. All programs are guided by the overall annual theme “Explore. Inspire. Transform.”
• The Best Innovation in Offshore Energy Award; • The Offshore Energy Public Outreach Award; • The Offshore Energy Young Engineer Award.
STARTUP ZONE
OFFSHORE ENERGY NETWORKING DRINK
Tuesday 23 October, 09.30 – 18.00 Wednesday 24 October, 09.30 – 18.00 Hall 3, Amsterdam RAI
Tuesday 23 October, 18.00 – 21.00 Amsterdam RAI The Offshore Energy Networking Drink is organized in the after-hours of the 1st exhibition day of Offshore Energy 2018. On October 23rd an expected 500 guests will enjoy drinks and snacks in an energetic environment. The Offshore Energy Networking Drink offers an excellent opportunity to meet new potential clients or further cement your existing business relations.
MASTER CLASSES MASTER CLASSES
Wednesday 24 October, 09.00 – 12.00 Amtrium, Amsterdam RAI
Tuesday 23 October, 09.00 – 11.00 Wednesday 24 October, 09.00 – 11.00 Hall 3, Amsterdam RAI
The Gas and Oil Keynotes are two new features at Offshore Energy. Both keynotes sessions will offer supply and demand forecasts, present hot regions for business and discuss the place of oil and gas in the overall energy mix. Keynote speakers will address the most important strategic and commercial challenges associated with the current and future hydrocarbons industry.
The Master Classes bring together masters and young talents in the offshore oil, gas and energy industry for an informal exchange of ideas and experiences, both technical and non-technical. The Master Classes are meant for final year students, starters and young professionals (<6 years work experience, <35 years old, min. Bachelor degree.)
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EXHIBITION FLOOR
Offshore Energy will setup a zone for startups in the offshore oil, gas and renewables industry again this year. The Startup Zone offers new entrepreneurs an approachable platform to showcase their innovations to the Offshore Energy community. The Startup Zone offers room for several startups in any phase – from the conceptual phase to the pilot phase through to recent market entry. Fully integrated into the exhibition, the Startup Zone gives its participants access to potential customers and investors and gives all OEEC attendees the opportunity to see the industry’s latest innovations in products, technologies and services.
MATCHMAKING Tuesday 23 October, 09.30 – 18.00 Wednesday 24 October, 09.30 – 18.00 Hall 2, Amsterdam RAI After a successful first edition of Offshore Energy Match, the national matchmaking event headed by the Enterprise Europe Network (EEN) will return on the exhibition floor in 2018. This B2B matchmaking event offers business to industry, science and technology professionals the opportunity to meet, discuss and network. Companies looking for cooperation, new customers, new partners or collaborative alliances within the oil, gas and renewable energy fields, can sign up for matchmaking at offshore-energy.biz/matchmaking.
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OEEC 2018 PROGRAM
Explore. Inspire. Transform. 14.30
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>>>
Offshore Energy Opening Gala Dinner & Awards Show (18.00 - 00.00)
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Global Gas Event Offshore transport, installation and removal
Offshore Energy Networking Drink (18.00 - 21.00)
Innovation, collaboration and cost-reduction
Legend 14.30
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Marine Energy Event Decommissioning and re-use
DELEGATE FEES • Offshore Wind Event • Global Gas Event • Global Oil Event • Marine Energy Event • Thematic Session
19.00
19.30
20.00 Global Gas & Oil Events>>> Marine Energy Event Master Class Offshore Energy Exhibition Offshore Wind Event Special Event Thematic Session
SPECIAL EVENT FEES €495 (NGO €150 | Student €75) €125 (Student €25) €125 (Student €25) €125 (Student €25) €75 (Student €15)
• Master Classes €15 (for selected participants only) • Passe Partout €750 All conference tickets include admission to the session of choice, conference materials, breakfast or lunch, refreshments or drinks and are exclusive of 21% VAT.
Opening Gala Dinner & Awards Show • Individual ticket • Table Sponsor OEEC Exhibitor • Table Sponsor non-OEEC Exhibitor * Dining table for 10
€325 €2,995* €3,495*
THEMATIC SESSIONS The thematic sessions address topics along the lifecycles of oil & gas fields and offshore renewables projects, from development to decommissioning. Sessions are combined with breakfast, lunch or tea. Starting 30 minutes ahead of time. EXPLORATION IN A MATURE BASIN Breakfast session Tuesday 23 October, 09.00 – 11.00 Hall 3, Amsterdam RAI For years in a row the amount of discovered oil and natural gas resources has been less than the produced resources. To meet demand, increased investments in exploration and production are needed, also in mature basins. This session looks at how exploration and production are encouraged in mature basins, in particular on the North Sea, to offset natural decline of existing fields and to maximize economic recovery.
COMPETING FOR MARINE SPACE Lunch Session Tuesday 23 October, 12.00 – 14.00 Hall 3, Amsterdam RAI The Exclusive Economic Zones of coastal countries, especially in the North Sea and Baltic Sea, are increasingly used for economic activities. These include oil & gas production, wind and marine energy production as well as shipping, commercial fishery and aquaculture. So many different interests on so little space asks for marine spatial planning. This session looks at the current and expected future competition for marine space and gives an update on regulations affecting oil & gas and renewable energy production at sea.
OFFSHORE TRANSPORT, INSTALLATION AND REMOVAL Tea Session Tuesday 23 October, 15.00 – 17.00 Hall 3, Amsterdam RAI The oil & gas and offshore wind markets offer room for a range of dedicated vessels, carrying out activities from installation of oil and gas infrastructure, of offshore wind foundations, turbines and of substations through to decommissioning of topsides and jackets. This session looks at the latest additions to the global fleet, from purpose-built to multi-purpose vessels, from vessels able to operate in shallow water and in deep water, nearshore and far offshore.
INNOVATION, COLLABORATION AND COSTREDUCTION Tea Session Tuesday 23 October, 15.00 – 17.00 Hall 3, Amsterdam RAI The low oil price has driven cost-reducing innovations and new forms of collaboration in various stages of the oil & gas life cycles. This session will present cases ranging from research and development and real technology deployment to new business models. Nominees of the “Best Innovation in Offshore Energy Award” will have the opportunity to present their submission.
SUBSEA POWER SYSTEMS
OFFSHORE OPERATIONS AND MAINTENANCE
Lunch Session Tuesday 23 October, 12.00 – 14.00 Hall 3, Amsterdam RAI
Breakfast session Wednesday 24 October, 09.00 – 11.00 Hall 3, Amsterdam RAI
A number of concurrent developments lead to increased research into subsea power systems and subsea cables: electrification of offshore oil and gas platforms, subsea field development in oil and gas and the increasing number of offshore wind farms. This session will present the latest insights and technical challenges of powering offshore installations and transmitting power to shore and look at where subsea power for oil, gas and wind meet on the seabed.
The costs of O&M activities represent between a quarter and a third of the total lifetime costs of offshore wind farms. This session looks at ways to reduce O&M costs of the wind turbines and the balance of plant, looking in particular at asset management strategies including, for example, offshorebased maintenance and condition based maintenance, asset management tools and reliability of key components. Attention will also be paid to end-of-warranty opportunities.
Offshore Energy Newsflash 39
LATE LIFE OPERATIONS Lunch Session Wednesday 24 October, 12.00 – 14.00 Hall 3, Amsterdam RAI In the North Sea region as well as in other mature basins oil and gas operators constantly have to ask themselves whether their ageing wells, platforms and associated infrastructure equipment are still economic to operate. This session looks at late-life strategies and technologies, focusing on reducing operational costs and maximizing value creation for companies, investors and resource holders from late phase operations.
CORPORATE RESPONSIBILITY Lunch Session Wednesday 24 October, 12.00 – 14.00 Hall 3, Amsterdam RAI Across the globe and across industries, companies increasingly face public scrutiny of their business activities. This session will engage delegates in a discussion on corporate responsibility in the extractive and renewable energy industry and why it makes business sense to put corporate responsibility at the heart of your company strategy. Expect examples of how companies take responsibility for their impact on the environment they operate in, on their stakeholders and on their own employees and the results of this strategy.
DECOMMISSIONING AND RE-USE Tea Session Wednesday 24 October, 15.00 – 17.00 Hall 3, Amsterdam RAI Decommissioning and re-use of oil and gas platforms and also of wind turbines is becoming a business of its own. This session looks at recent decommissioning projects and what has and can be done to work cost efficiently and cost-effectively. Speakers will focus on planning, innovation and cooperation, along the supply chain as well as across nations.
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EVENT NEWS
Event news Just four months to go before Offshore Energy Exhibition & Conference kicks off. Let us take you on a tour of what we have been up to in the run up to the event.
Meet the future The Startup Zone will be back in 2018. After rave reviews from participants as well as other exhibitors you will be able to find the zone in Hall 3. Amber Nossent, Account Manager Offshore Energy:“start-ups are really excited about the opportunity to showcase their products and services to 12,000 offshore energy professionals. It is also great to share a small success story, as last year ECE Offshore was a part of our Startup Zone and this year they have moved to being a full-fledged exhibitor. Just goes to show the power of the platform.”
Many contacts, short amount of time Registration is now live for Offshore Energy Match. Back after a stellar first year this B2B matchmaking event will return to the exhibition floor. Headed by Enterprise Europe Network (EEN) it is a must for offshore energy professionals looking to meet new business relations. Kees Mokveld of EEN comments: “Offshore Energy Match is a unique opportunity to keep updated on the industry and to meet varied, qualified contacts from all over the world in a short amount of time.” Head to www.offshore-energy.biz/matchmaking to sign up.
Join us on the exhibition floor The 22,500 square meter floor space is filling up fast and currently 75 per cent of the exhibition space has been sold. Stephan van Plateringen, Sales Manager Offshore Energy: “We are pleased to welcome companies such as Van Oord, Vroon, MPI Offshore, BASF, Ardent, Huisman, DEME and Jan de Nul. We are getting great feedback on halls 1, 2 and 3 – companies are rearing to go. As are we!”
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EVENT NEWS
Prestigious evening Are you ready to celebrate? The Offshore Energy Opening Gala Dinner and Awards Show will be taking place on 22 October at the National Maritime Museum in Amsterdam. A prestigious night with entertainment, dinner and of course the presentation of the Offshore Energy Awards. You can head to the website www.offshore-energy.biz/opening-gala-dinner to nominate in three categories: Best Innovation in Offshore Energy Award, Offshore Energy Public Outreach Award and Offshore Energy Young Engineer award. Last year, Karel Roozen won the Best Innovation in Offshore Energy Award for the Next Ocean Wave Predictor, said:“I think the impact of winning the award will be huge. We have controversial new technology and it helped our company a lot to display it to the relevant audience present during the Offshore Energy Opening Gala Dinner.” Roozen is now also Jury Member for the same award. Criteria for nominations can be found on the website. Don’t wait too long and get nominating!
Topical, relevant and catered to you
Registration live
As you can see on pages 8-9 the conference program has taken shape and caters to different target groups of energy professionals across the oil & gas, wind and marine energy industries. Delegates can expect three content packed days offering technical knowledge, business intelligence and networking with like-minded peers.
Don’t want to miss all you have just read
Femke Perlot-Hoogeveen, Conference Manager OEEC: “This year will see a more categorical distinction in the program, with four business intelligence sessions, or keynotes, focusing on gas, oil, offshore wind and marine energy. The accompanying thematic sessions will offer technical and learning and Development related content. And of course, the master classes will return as well as Community Square.
and register your attendance to
about? The registration is now live. Head to https://registration.offshore-energy.biz/ Offshore Energy 2018.
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Register now! Offshore Energy attracts a global audience of more than 12,000 offshore energy industry professionals. The three-day event features an exhibition where over 600 companies will showcase their products and services. The accompanying conference addresses current and future issues in the offshore industry, covering developments in oil & gas, offshore wind and marine energy. See you in Amsterdam!
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