December 2015 Market Report

Page 1

Monthly Indicators December 2015

New Listings were up 45.0 percent for single family/duplex homes but decreased 44.1 percent for townhouse-condo properties. Pending Sales increased 14.3 percent for single family/duplex homes but decreased 13.0 percent for townhouse-condo properties. The Median Sales Price was down 15.5 percent to $655,000 for single family/duplex homes and 16.9 percent to $527,500 for townhouse-condo properties. Days on Market decreased 22.2 percent for single family/ duplex homes and 28.0 percent for condo properties. Gross Domestic Product increased at an annual rate near 2.0 percent to close 2015, and that rate is expected to increase next year. Residential real estate is considered a healthy piece of the national economy. Contributing factors from within the industry include better lending standards and foreclosures falling back to more traditional levels. Declining unemployment, higher wages and low fuel prices have also conspired to improve personal budgets.

Monthly Snapshot + 4.8%

- 3.5%

- 18.3%

One-Year Change in Closed Sales All Properties

One-Year Change in Active Listings All Properties

One-Year Change in Median Sales Price All Properties

Residential real estate activity in Vail Board of REALTORS速 MLS, comprised of single-family properties, townhomes and condominiums. Percent changes are calculated using rounded figures.

Single Family/Duplex Activity Overview Townhouse-Condo Activity Overview New Listings Pending Sales Closed Sales Median Sales Price Average Sales Price Percent of List Price Received Days on Market Until Sale Housing Affordability Index Inventory of Active Listings Months Supply of Inventory All Properties Activity Overview Closed Sales and Inventory by Price Range Glossary of Terms

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Current as of January 6, 2016. All data from the Vail Board of REALTORS速 MLS. Powered by ShowingTime 10K.


Single Family/Duplex Activity Overview Key metrics for Single Family properties by report month and for year-to-date (YTD) starting from the first of the year.

Key Metrics

Historical Sparkbars

New Listings 12-2012

12-2013

12-2014

12-2013

12-2014

12-2013

12-2014

12-2013

12-2014

12-2013

12-2014

Days on Market

12-2013

12-2014

12-2013

12-2014

12-2013

12-2014

12-2013

12-2014

12-2013

12-2014

+ 14.7%

21

24

+ 14.3%

514

624

+ 21.4%

49

45

- 8.2%

516

600

+ 16.3%

$775,000

$655,000

- 15.5%

$665,000

$673,500

+ 1.3%

$2,071,922 $971,968

- 53.1%

$1,326,709 $1,289,466

- 2.8%

94.5%

94.1%

- 0.4%

95.4%

95.5%

+ 0.1%

198

154

- 22.2%

163

149

- 8.6%

45

55

+ 22.2%

53

54

+ 1.9%

453

454

+ 0.2%

--

--

--

10.5

9.1

- 13.3%

--

--

--

12-2015

Months Supply 12-2012

969

12-2015

Active Listings 12-2012

845

12-2015

Affordability Index 12-2012

+ 45.0%

12-2015

` 12-2012

58

12-2015

Pct. of List Price Received 12-2012

40

Percent Change

12-2015

Avg. Sales Price 12-2012

YTD 2014 YTD 2015

12-2015

Median Sales Price 12-2012

Percent Change

12-2015

Closed Sales 12-2012

12-2015

12-2015

Pending Sales 12-2012

12-2014

12-2015

Current as of January 6, 2016. All data from the Vail Board of REALTORS速 MLS. Powered by ShowingTime 10K. | 2


Townhouse-Condo Activity Overview Key metrics for Townhouse-Condo properties by report month and for year-to-date (YTD) starting from the first of the year.

Key Metrics

Historical Sparkbars

New Listings 12-2012

12-2013

12-2014

12-2013

12-2014

12-2013

12-2014

12-2013

12-2014

102

57

- 44.1%

867

917

+ 5.8%

46

40

- 13.0%

642

679

+ 5.8%

55

64

+ 16.4%

626

652

+ 4.2%

$635,000

$527,500

- 16.9%

$488,500

$495,000

+ 1.3%

- 3.9%

$955,576

$905,627

- 5.2%

$1,087,566 $1,044,734 12-2013

12-2014

12-2015

Pct. of List Price Received 12-2012

12-2013

12-2014

12-2013

12-2014

12-2013

12-2014

12-2013

12-2014

12-2013

12-2014

95.3%

96.1%

+ 0.8%

207

265

+ 28.0%

188

155

- 17.6%

55

69

+ 25.5%

72

73

+ 1.4%

451

420

- 6.9%

--

--

--

8.6

7.7

- 10.5%

--

--

--

12-2015

Months Supply 12-2012

+ 0.3%

12-2015

Active Listings 12-2012

95.4%

12-2015

Affordability Index 12-2012

95.1% 12-2015

Days on Market 12-2012

Percent Change

12-2015

Avg. Sales Price 12-2012

YTD 2014 YTD 2015

12-2015

Median Sales Price 12-2012

Percent Change

12-2015

Closed Sales 12-2012

12-2015

12-2015

Pending Sales 12-2012

12-2014

12-2015

Current as of January 6, 2016. All data from the Vail Board of REALTORS速 MLS. Powered by ShowingTime 10K. | 3


New Listings A count of the properties that have been newly listed on the market in a given month.

Year to Date

December 102

969 857

867

845

917

790

66 58

57

40 32

2013

2014

- 39.6% + 25.0%

2015

2013

2014

2015

2013

2014

2015

2013

2014

2015

+ 45.0%

0.0%

+ 54.5%

- 44.1%

+ 0.5%

- 1.4%

+ 14.7%

- 6.2%

+ 9.7%

+ 5.8%

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

Single Family/Duplex

New Listings

Single Family/Duplex

Year-Over-Year Change

TownhouseCondo

Year-Over-Year Change

Jan-2015

72

+26.3%

72

+35.8%

Feb-2015

43

+22.9%

46

-14.8%

Mar-2015

69

+3.0%

96

+33.3%

Apr-2015

77

0.0%

63

-12.5%

May-2015

105

+6.1%

98

+12.6%

Jun-2015

181

+28.4%

111

+0.9%

Jul-2015

117

+31.5%

97

+9.0%

Aug-2015

86

+8.9%

96

+84.6%

Sep-2015

75

+44.2%

60

+9.1%

Oct-2015

49

-19.7%

57

-10.9%

Nov-2015

37

-22.9%

64

+12.3%

Dec-2015

58

+45.0%

57

-44.1%

12-Month Avg

81

+14.7%

76

+5.8%

Townhouse-Condo

Historical New Listings by Month

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

200

175

150

125

100

75

50

25 1-2010

1-2011

1-2012

1-2013

1-2014

1-2015

Current as of January 6, 2016. All data from the Vail Board of REALTORS速 MLS. Powered by ShowingTime 10K. | 4


Pending Sales A count of the properties on which offers have been accepted in a given month.

Year to Date

December

Single Family/Duplex

Year-Over-Year Change

TownhouseCondo

Year-Over-Year Change

Jan-2015

42

+10.5%

42

-12.5%

Feb-2015

28

-26.3%

41

-10.9%

Mar-2015

48

-2.0%

49

+2.1%

Apr-2015

66

+57.1%

61

-12.9%

May-2015

58

+61.1%

54

+58.8%

Jun-2015

67

+55.8%

47

+20.5%

Jul-2015

88

+49.2%

75

+7.1%

Aug-2015

59

+9.3%

82

-2.4%

Sep-2015

51

0.0%

69

0.0%

Oct-2015

60

+22.4%

69

+32.7%

Nov-2015

33

-2.9%

50

+38.9%

Dec-2015

24

+14.3%

40

-13.0%

12-Month Avg

52

+21.4%

57

+5.8%

Pending Sales

46 40

642

624 529

679

546

514

30 22

24 21

2013

2014

2015

2013

2014

2015

2013

2014

2015

2013

2014

2015

- 24.1%

- 4.5%

+ 14.3%

- 16.7%

+ 53.3%

- 13.0%

- 10.8%

- 2.8%

+ 21.4%

- 7.0%

+ 17.6%

+ 5.8%

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

Historical Pending Sales by Month

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

90

80

70

60

50

40

30

20 1-2010

1-2011

1-2012

1-2013

1-2014

1-2015

Current as of January 6, 2016. All data from the Vail Board of REALTORS速 MLS. Powered by ShowingTime 10K. | 5


Closed Sales A count of the actual sales that closed in a given month.

Year to Date

December 64

626

600 55

544

49

652

547

516

45

44

39

2013

2014

- 20.0% + 11.4%

2015

2013

- 8.2%

- 20.4%

Single Family/Duplex

2014

2015

+ 41.0% + 16.4%

Townhouse-Condo

2013

2014

2015

2013

2014

2015

- 6.5%

- 5.1%

+ 16.3%

- 6.8%

+ 14.4%

+ 4.2%

Single Family/Duplex

Closed Sales

Single Family/Duplex

Year-Over-Year Change

TownhouseCondo

Year-Over-Year Change

Jan-2015 Feb-2015

23

-8.0%

38

+31.0%

27

-10.0%

33

+6.5%

Mar-2015

33

+17.9%

37

-27.5%

Apr-2015

42

-10.6%

39

-22.0%

May-2015

42

-6.7%

58

+1.8%

Jun-2015

80

+73.9%

64

+48.8%

Jul-2015

70

+59.1%

60

+22.4%

Aug-2015

66

+29.4%

59

-1.7%

Sep-2015

79

+46.3%

74

-5.1%

Oct-2015

49

-10.9%

65

-16.7%

Nov-2015

44

+4.8%

61

+35.6%

Dec-2015

45

-8.2%

64

+16.4%

12-Month Avg

50

+16.3%

54

+4.2%

Townhouse-Condo

Historical Closed Sales by Month

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

100

80

60

40

20

0 1-2010

1-2011

1-2012

1-2013

1-2014

1-2015

Current as of January 6, 2016. All data from the Vail Board of REALTORS速 MLS. Powered by ShowingTime 10K. | 6


Median Sales Price Point at which half of the sales sold for more and half sold for less, not accounting for seller concessions, in a given month.

Year to Date

December

Single Family/Duplex

Year-Over-Year Change

TownhouseCondo

Year-Over-Year Change

Jan-2015

$926,250

+70.0%

$975,250

+17.5%

Feb-2015

$1,121,250

+28.3%

$802,500

-24.3%

Mar-2015

$690,000

-9.3%

$755,000

+29.1%

Apr-2015

$750,000

+0.8%

$508,000

-32.9%

May-2015

$972,500

+66.2%

$572,500

+14.5%

Jun-2015

$592,500

+10.6%

$422,500

+16.6%

Jul-2015

$595,000

+6.7%

$398,500

-6.7%

Aug-2015

$699,500

+53.7%

$375,000

-16.1%

Sep-2015

$700,000

-9.3%

$491,250

+31.0%

Oct-2015

$645,000

-9.6%

$475,000

+5.0%

Nov-2015

$675,000

-6.6%

$529,000

+27.5%

Dec-2015

$655,000

-15.5%

$527,500

-16.9%

12-Month Avg*

$673,500

+1.3%

$495,000

+1.3%

Median Sales Price

$775,000

$665,000 $673,500 $600,000

$655,000

$635,000

$607,500

$488,500 $495,000

$527,500 $420,000 $425,300

2013

2014

2015

2013

2014

2015

- 5.1%

+ 27.6%

- 15.5%

- 6.5%

+ 49.3%

- 16.9%

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

2013

2014

+ 10.1% + 10.8%

2015

+ 1.3%

Single Family/Duplex

2013

2014

+ 14.4% + 16.3%

2015

+ 1.3%

Townhouse-Condo

Historical Median Sales Price by Month

* Median Sales Price for all properties from January 2015 through December 2015. This is not the average of the individual figures above.

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

$2,000,000

$1,750,000

$1,500,000

$1,250,000

$1,000,000

$750,000

$500,000

$250,000 1-2010

1-2011

1-2012

1-2013

1-2014

1-2015

Current as of January 6, 2016. All data from the Vail Board of REALTORS速 MLS. Powered by ShowingTime 10K. | 7


Average Sales Price Average sales price for all closed sales, not accounting for seller concessions, in a given month.

Year to Date

December

$1,326,709

$1,289,466

$2,071,922 $1,072,509 $955,576 $905,627 $799,673 $1,273,268 $1,087,566 $1,044,734

$971,968 $878,973

2013

2014

+ 15.3% + 62.7%

2015

2013

2014

2015

2013

2014

2015

2013

2014

2015

- 53.1%

- 10.1%

+ 23.7%

- 3.9%

- 6.5%

+ 23.7%

- 2.8%

+ 1.9%

+ 19.5%

- 5.2%

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

Historical Average Sales Price by Month

Avg. Sales Price

Single Family/Duplex

Year-Over-Year Change

TownhouseCondo

Year-Over-Year Change

Jan-2015

$1,873,446

+55.4%

$1,269,471

-10.0%

Feb-2015

$1,558,564

+41.9%

$1,141,142

-8.5%

Mar-2015

$1,304,972

-12.0%

$1,195,623

+40.8%

Apr-2015

$1,235,525

-42.8%

$766,308

-49.5%

May-2015

$1,617,972

+30.6%

$984,756

-11.7%

Jun-2015

$1,440,288

+37.3%

$783,961

+7.7%

Jul-2015

$1,060,670

+25.0%

$687,532

-24.2%

Aug-2015

$1,232,124

+65.3%

$579,977

+7.4%

Sep-2015

$1,354,503

-17.4%

$706,967

-6.5%

Oct-2015

$1,050,771

-10.4%

$1,127,811

+19.4%

Nov-2015

$1,194,902

+13.0%

$904,931

+15.2%

Dec-2015

$971,968

-53.1%

$1,044,734

-3.9%

-2.8%

$905,627

-5.2%

12-Month Avg* $1,289,466

* Avg. Sales Price for all properties from January 2015 through December 2015. This is not the average of the individual figures above.

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

$3,000,000

$2,500,000

$2,000,000

$1,500,000

$1,000,000

$500,000 1-2010

1-2011

1-2012

1-2013

1-2014

1-2015

Current as of January 6, 2016. All data from the Vail Board of REALTORS速 MLS. Powered by ShowingTime 10K. | 8


Percent of List Price Received Percentage found when dividing a property’s sales price by its most recent list price, then taking the average for all properties sold in a given month, not accounting for seller concessions.

Year to Date

December 94.9% 94.5% 94.1%

95.9% 95.1% 95.4%

Pct. of List Price Received

95.6% 95.4% 95.5%

94.8% 95.3% 96.1%

2013

2014

2015

2013

2014

2015

2013

2014

2015

2013

2014

2015

+ 1.8%

- 0.4%

- 0.4%

- 0.2%

- 0.8%

+ 0.3%

+ 2.1%

- 0.2%

+ 0.1%

+ 0.9%

+ 0.5%

+ 0.8%

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

Single Family/Duplex

Year-Over-Year Change

TownhouseCondo

Year-Over-Year Change

Jan-2015

92.9%

-3.1%

95.3%

+1.2%

Feb-2015

95.8%

+1.7%

95.4%

+1.6%

Mar-2015

95.2%

-1.0%

95.7%

+0.8%

Apr-2015

95.5%

+0.5%

96.5%

+3.3%

May-2015

94.2%

-2.3%

96.0%

+0.5%

Jun-2015

96.6%

+0.7%

96.2%

+0.4%

Jul-2015

96.8%

+1.5%

97.0%

+0.7%

Aug-2015

97.0%

+0.8%

96.4%

0.0%

Sep-2015

95.7%

+1.8%

97.2%

+1.0%

Oct-2015

95.2%

-0.5%

95.7%

+0.1%

Nov-2015

93.7%

-2.1%

95.5%

+0.6%

Dec-2015

94.1%

-0.4%

95.4%

+0.3%

12-Month Avg*

95.5%

+0.2%

96.1%

+0.8%

* Pct. of List Price Received for all properties from January 2015 through December 2015. This is not the average of the individual figures above.

Historical Percent of List Price Received by Month

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

100.0%

95.0%

90.0%

85.0%

80.0%

75.0%

70.0% 1-2010

1-2011

1-2012

1-2013

1-2014

1-2015

Current as of January 6, 2016. All data from the Vail Board of REALTORSÂŽ MLS. Powered by ShowingTime 10K. | 9


Days on Market Until Sale Average number of days between when a property is listed and when an offer is accepted in a given month.

Year to Date

December

Single Family/Duplex

Year-Over-Year Change

TownhouseCondo

Year-Over-Year Change

Jan-2015

182

+19.7%

166

-18.2%

Feb-2015

261

+9.2%

209

+8.9%

Mar-2015

266

+47.8%

147

-56.9%

Apr-2015

202

-1.9%

90

-63.7%

May-2015

173

-13.5%

136

-16.0%

Jun-2015

+10.4%

Days on Market

277

265

212 188

207

198

161

163

155

149

154 137

2013

2014

- 32.5% + 44.5%

2015

2013

2014

2015

2013

2014

2015

2013

- 22.2%

+ 18.9%

- 25.3%

+ 28.0%

- 10.1%

+ 1.2%

- 8.6%

- 0.9%

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

Single Family/Duplex

2014

2015

- 11.3% - 17.6%

Townhouse-Condo

148

+27.6%

191

Jul-2015

89

-19.1%

132

-6.4%

Aug-2015

100

-9.1%

90

-30.2%

Sep-2015

123

-35.3%

97

-44.3%

Oct-2015

145

-4.6%

208

+27.6%

Nov-2015

122

-2.4%

126

-19.2%

Dec-2015

154

-22.2%

265

+28.0%

12-Month Avg*

163

-8.3%

188

-17.7%

* Days on Market for all properties from January 2015 through December 2015. This is not the average of the individual figures above.

Historical Days on Market Until Sale by Month

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

500

400

300

200

100

0 1-2010

1-2011

1-2012

1-2013

1-2014

1-2015

Current as of January 6, 2016. All data from the Vail Board of REALTORS速 MLS. Powered by ShowingTime 10K. | 10


Housing Affordability Index This index measures housing affordability for the region. An index of 120 means the median household income is 120% of what is necessary to qualify for the median-priced home under prevailing interest rates. A higher number means greater affordability.

December

Year to Date

Single Family/Duplex

Year-Over-Year Change

TownhouseCondo

Jan-2015

40

-34.4%

38

-5.0%

Feb-2015

33

-13.2%

46

+43.8%

Mar-2015

53

+20.5%

48

-15.8%

Apr-2015

49

+8.9%

73

+65.9%

May-2015

38

-35.6%

65

-5.8%

Jun-2015

61

-4.7%

86

-9.5%

Jul-2015

60

-1.6%

90

+12.5%

Aug-2015

51

-32.0%

96

+24.7%

Sep-2015

52

+18.2%

74

-18.7%

Oct-2015

56

+16.7%

77

+1.3%

Nov-2015

53

+10.4%

68

-19.0%

Dec-2015

55

+22.2%

69

+25.5%

12-Month Avg*

50

+4.3%

53

+3.7%

Affordability Index

79

80

56

55

56

55

73

72

69 53

54

45

2013

- 3.4%

2014

2015

- 19.6% + 22.2%

Single Family/Duplex

2013

2014

2015

2013

- 3.7%

- 30.4%

+ 25.5%

- 17.6%

Townhouse-Condo

2014

- 5.4%

2015

+ 1.9%

Single Family/Duplex

2013

- 20.8%

2014

2015

- 10.0%

+ 1.4%

Townhouse-Condo

Year-Over-Year Change

* Affordability Index for all properties from January 2015 through December 2015. This is not the average of the individual figures above.

Historical Housing Affordability Index by Month

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

120

100

80

60

40

20

0 1-2010

1-2011

1-2012

1-2013

1-2014

1-2015

Current as of January 6, 2016. All data from the Vail Board of REALTORS速 MLS. Powered by ShowingTime 10K. | 11


Inventory of Active Listings The number of properties available for sale in active status at the end of a given month.

December

Single Family/Duplex

Year-Over-Year Change

TownhouseCondo

Year-Over-Year Change

Jan-2015

474

+3.0%

471

-3.3%

Feb-2015

476

+7.7%

468

-2.9%

Mar-2015

484

+8.0%

506

+2.6%

Apr-2015

470

+4.0%

471

+2.6%

May-2015

495

+0.2%

487

+0.2%

Jun-2015

579

+3.9%

536

+0.6%

Jul-2015

586

+2.8%

539

-0.2%

Aug-2015

591

+2.4%

536

+11.0%

Sep-2015

573

+7.5%

496

+14.8%

Oct-2015

514

+3.4%

450

+6.6%

Nov-2015

482

+0.8%

439

+4.0%

Dec-2015

454

+0.2%

420

-6.9%

12-Month Avg

515

+3.6%

485

+2.3%

Active Listings

467

2013

- 7.0%

454

453

493 451

2014

2015

2013

- 3.0%

+ 0.2%

- 18.0%

Single Family/Duplex

420

2014

2015

- 8.5%

- 6.9%

Townhouse-Condo

Historical Inventory of Active Listings by Month

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

1,000

900

800

700

600

500

400 1-2010

1-2011

1-2012

1-2013

1-2014

1-2015

Current as of January 6, 2016. All data from the Vail Board of REALTORS速 MLS. Powered by ShowingTime 10K. | 12


Months Supply of Inventory The inventory of homes for sale at the end of a given month, divided by the average monthly closed sales from the last 12 months.

December Months Supply

10.3

10.8

10.5 9.1

8.6 7.7

2014

2015

2013

2014

2015

- 1.0%

+ 1.9%

- 13.3%

- 12.2%

- 20.4%

- 10.5%

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

Year-Over-Year Change

TownhouseCondo

Year-Over-Year Change

Jan-2015

11.1

+9.9%

8.9

-16.8%

Feb-2015

11.2

+14.3%

8.8

-17.0%

Mar-2015

11.3

+11.9%

9.7

-8.5%

Apr-2015

11.0

+6.8%

9.2

-5.2%

May-2015

11.7

+1.7%

9.5

-5.9%

Jun-2015

12.8

0.0%

10.1

-8.2%

Jul-2015

12.4

-6.1%

10.0

-9.1%

Aug-2015

12.2

-9.6%

10.0

0.0%

Sep-2015

11.3

-9.6%

9.3

+8.1%

Oct-2015

10.2

-12.8%

8.6

+3.6%

Nov-2015

9.6

-14.3%

8.2

-1.2%

9.1

-13.3%

7.7

-10.5%

11.2

-2.5%

9.2

-6.4%

Dec-2015 2013

Single Family/Duplex

12-Month Avg

* Months Supply for all properties from January 2015 through December 2015. This is not the average of the individual figures above.

Historical Months Supply of Inventory by Month

Single Family/Duplex

Townhouse-Condo

40.0

30.0

20.0

10.0

0.0 1-2010

1-2011

1-2012

1-2013

1-2014

1-2015

Current as of January 6, 2016. All data from the Vail Board of REALTORS速 MLS. Powered by ShowingTime 10K. | 13


All Properties Activity Overview Key metrics for All Properties by report month and for year-to-date (YTD) starting from the first of the year.

Key Metrics

Historical Sparkbars

New Listings 12-2012

12-2013

12-2014

12-2013

12-2014

12-2013

12-2014

12-2013

12-2014

143

115

- 19.6%

1,714

1,890

+ 10.3%

67

64

- 4.5%

1,156

1,308

+ 13.1%

104

109

+ 4.8%

1,142

1,256

+ 10.0%

$690,250

$564,000

- 18.3%

$560,000

$585,000

+ 4.5%

$1,551,350 $1,014,693 12-2013

12-2014

12-2013

12-2014

12-2013

12-2014

12-2013

12-2014

12-2013

12-2014

12-2013

12-2014

94.8%

- 0.1%

95.4%

95.9%

+ 0.5%

203

219

+ 7.9%

177

152

- 14.1%

51

64

+ 26.7%

62

62

- 0.9%

906

874

- 3.5%

--

--

--

9.5

8.4

- 11.6%

--

--

--

12-2015

Months Supply 12-2012

94.9%

12-2015

Active Listings 12-2012

- 3.2%

12-2015

Affordability Index 12-2012

$1,123,268 $1,086,879

12-2015

Days on Market 12-2012

- 34.6%

12-2015

Pct. of List Price Received 12-2012

Percent Change

12-2015

Avg. Sales Price 12-2012

YTD 2014 YTD 2015

12-2015

Median Sales Price 12-2012

Percent Change

12-2015

Closed Sales 12-2012

12-2015

12-2015

Pending Sales 12-2012

12-2014

12-2015

Current as of January 6, 2016. All data from the Vail Board of REALTORS速 MLS. Powered by ShowingTime 10K. | 14


Closed Sales Actual sales that have closed in a given month.

By Price Range – All Properties – Rolling 12 Months 395 209

12-2014

By Property Type

12-2015

12-2014

12-2015

457 211

185

268

1,142 108

114

59

72

40

52

86

71

28

29

516

8

6

626

600

1,256

652

- 11.5%

+ 15.7%

+ 27.0%

+ 5.6%

+ 22.0%

+ 30.0%

- 17.4%

+ 3.6%

+ 33.3%

+ 16.3%

+ 4.2%

+ 10.0%

< $300K

$300K to $599K

$600K to $999K

$1.0M to $1.4M

$1.5M to $1.9M

$2.0M to $2.5M

$2.5M to $4.9M

$5.0M to $9.9M

$10.0M+

Singe Family

Townhouse-Condo

All Properties

Rolling 12 Months Single Family Condo By Price Range $299,999 and Below $300,000 to $599,999 $600,000 to $999,999 $1,000,000 to $1,499,999 $1,500,00 to $1,999,999 $2,000,000 to $2,499,999 $2,500,000 to $4,999,999 $5,000,000 to $9,999,999 $10,000,000 and Above All Price Ranges

12-2014 67 171 115 49 30 18 45 15 6 516

12-2015 60 201 141 61 40 27 45 19 6 600

Change - 10.4% + 17.5% + 22.6% + 24.5% + 33.3% + 50.0% 0.0% + 26.7% 0.0% + 16.3%

12-2014 142 224 96 59 29 22 41 13 0 626

12-2015 121 256 127 53 32 25 26 10 2 652

Compared to Prior Month Single Family Condo Change - 14.8% + 14.3% + 32.3% - 10.2% + 10.3% + 13.6% - 36.6% - 23.1% -+ 4.2%

11-2015 5 14 9 6 1 2 7 0 0 44

12-2015 3 17 10 7 5 1 1 1 0 45

Change 11-2015 - 40.0% 15 + 21.4% 21 + 11.1% 11 + 16.7% 3 + 400.0% 3 - 50.0% 5 - 85.7% 1 -2 -0 + 2.3% 61

12-2015 13 23 14 5 1 3 3 1 1 64

Year to Date Single Family Change - 13.3% + 9.5% + 27.3% + 66.7% - 66.7% - 40.0% + 200.0% - 50.0% -+ 4.9%

YTD 2013 YTD 2014 67 60 171 201 115 141 49 61 30 40 18 27 45 45 15 19 6 6 516 600

Condo

Change YTD 2013 YTD 2014 - 10.4% 142 121 + 17.5% 224 256 + 22.6% 96 127 + 24.5% 59 53 + 33.3% 29 32 + 50.0% 22 25 0.0% 41 26 + 26.7% 13 10 0.0% 0 2 + 16.3% 626 652

Change - 14.8% + 14.3% + 32.3% - 10.2% + 10.3% + 13.6% - 36.6% - 23.1% -+ 4.2%

Inventory of Active Listings A measure of the number of homes available for sale at a given time.

By Price Range – All Properties 141 43

12-2014

176 123

113

107

119

103

152

133 57

31

By Property Type

12-2015

12-2014

906

169 93

64

12-2015

88

453 34

454

451

34

874

420

- 27.9%

- 12.8%

- 35.8%

+ 11.2%

+ 29.1%

+ 12.3%

+ 11.2%

- 5.4%

0.0%

+ 0.2%

- 6.9%

- 3.5%

< $300K

$300K to $599K

$600K to $999K

$1.0M to $1.4M

$1.5M to $1.9M

$2.0M to $2.5M

$2.5M to $4.9M

$5.0M to $9.9M

$10.0M+

Singe Family

Townhouse-Condo

All Properties

Year over Year Single Family By Price Range $299,999 and Below $300,000 to $599,999 $600,000 to $999,999 $1,000,000 to $1,499,999 $1,500,00 to $1,999,999 $2,000,000 to $2,499,999 $2,500,000 to $4,999,999 $5,000,000 to $9,999,999 $10,000,000 and Above All Price Ranges

12-2014 21 52 73 46 57 30 99 50 25 453

12-2015 15 40 51 59 68 35 108 52 26 454

Change - 28.6% - 23.1% - 30.1% + 28.3% + 19.3% + 16.7% + 9.1% + 4.0% + 4.0% + 0.2%

Compared to Prior Month Single Family Condo

Condo 12-2014 21 89 103 60 46 27 53 43 9 451

12-2015 16 83 62 60 65 29 61 36 8 420

Change - 23.8% - 6.7% - 39.8% 0.0% + 41.3% + 7.4% + 15.1% - 16.3% - 11.1% - 6.9%

11-2015 18 46 68 68 72 35 104 48 23 482

12-2015 15 40 51 59 68 35 108 52 26 454

Change - 16.7% - 13.0% - 25.0% - 13.2% - 5.6% 0.0% + 3.8% + 8.3% + 13.0% - 5.8%

11-2015 24 98 73 58 60 27 56 36 7 439

12-2015 16 83 62 60 65 29 61 36 8 420

Year to Date Single Family Change - 33.3% - 15.3% - 15.1% + 3.4% + 8.3% + 7.4% + 8.9% 0.0% + 14.3% - 4.3%

Condo

There are no year-to-date figures for inventory because it is simply a snapshot frozen in time at the end of each month. It does not add up over a period of months.

Current as of January 6, 2016. All data from the Vail Board of REALTORS® MLS. Powered by ShowingTime 10K. | 15


Glossary of Terms A research tool provided by the Colorado Association of REALTORSÂŽ

New Listings

A measure of how much new supply is coming onto the market from sellers.

Pending Sales

A count of all the listings that went into Pending during the reported period. Pending listings are counted at the end of the reported period. Each listing can only be counted one time. If a listing goes into Pending, out of Pending, then back into Pending all in one reported period, this listing would only be counted once. This is the most real-time measure possible for home buyer activity, as it measures signed contracts on sales rather than the actual closed sale. As such, it is called a "leading indicator" of buyer demand.

Closed Sales

A measure of home sales that were closed to completion during the report period.

Median Sales Price

A measure of home values in a market area where 50% of activity was higher and 50% was lower than this price point.

Average Sales Price

A sum of all home sales prices divided by total number of sales.

Percent of List Price Received

A mathematical calculation of the percent difference from last list price and sold price for those listings sold in the reported period.

Days on Market Until Sale

A measure of how long it takes homes to sell, on average.

Housing Affordability Index

A measure of how affordable a region’s housing is to its consumers. A higher number means greater affordability. The index is based on interest rates, median sales price and average income by county.

Inventory of Active Listings

A measure of the number of homes available for sale at a given time. The availability of homes for sale has a big effect on supply-demand dynamics and home prices.

Months Supply of Inventory

A measure of how balanced the market is between buyers and sellers. It is expressed as the number of months it would hypothetically take to sell through all the available homes for sale, given current levels of home sales. A balanced market ranges from 4 to 7 months of supply. A buyer's market has a higher number, reflecting fewer buyers relative to homes for sale. A seller's market has a lower number, reflecting more buyers relative to homes for sale.

Current as of January 6, 2016. All data from the Vail Board of REALTORSÂŽ MLS. Powered by ShowingTime 10K. | 16


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