jrefrmhr[mAsL[mESifh rl0g'avhvma&; tifpwDusKrS xkwfa0onf/
azazmf0g&D ? 2020/
ISP-Myanmar taMumif; jrefrmh r[mAsL[mESihf rl0g'avhvma&;tifpwDusK (ISP-Myanmar) onf vGwv f yfNyD; ygwpD u JG if;onfh tpd;k &r[kwaf om okawoetzGUJ jzpfygonf/ ISP-Myanmar \ ajrmfjrif csurf mS jrefrmEdik if u H fkd ½ke;f xBuchH ikd rf t I m;aumif;Ny;D onf;cHpw d Bf u;D rm;aom vªtzGt UJ pnf; w&yftjzpf ay:xeG ;f vmapa&;jzpfonf/ xdt Yk wl tpd;k &onfvnf; wm0ef,rl ?I wm0efcrH I &Sdonfhtjyif jynfoltm;vkH;yg0ifrIudk vrf;zGifhay;aom tpdk;&w&yf jzpfay:a&;udk OD;wnfygonf/ ISP-Myanmar \ OD;wnfcsufrm S 'Dru kd a&pDusaom acgif;aqmifru I kd jr§iw hf iftm;ay;
&efESifh EdkifiHhta&;wGif EdkifiHom;rsm; yg0ifaqmif&GufrI tm;aumif;ap&ef jzpfonf/ ISP-Myanmar taejzifh tpDtpOfokH;&yfudkaqmif&GufaeNyD; ,if;wdkYrSm ¼ (1) (2) (3)
rl0g'OD;wnfonfh okawoevkyfief;rsm;? okawoe t&nftaoG;jr§ifhwifa&;oifwef;rsm;ydkYcsjcif;ESifh acgif;aqmiftqifh aqG;aEG;xdpyfjcif;rsm;? rD'D,mMum;cHaygif;pkHjzifh qufqHqufoG,fa&;ESifh jyifyqufqHa&;vkyfief;rsm; jzpfMuonf/
ISP-Myanmar onf r[mAsL[mESihf rl0g'avhvma&;*sme,f (The Myanmar Quarterly) udk xkwaf 0aeNyD; a&;olzwfol aqG;aEG;yGyJ pHk jH zpfaom Myanmar Quarterly Symposium ESihf a&&Sno f abmaqmifonfh taMumif;t&mrsm;? tv,ftvwfumv oabmaqmif onfh taMumif;jcif;&mrsm;udk qef;ppfaqG;aEG;aeonfh a,mrif;BuD;Z&yf pum;0dkif; aqG;aEG;yGJrsm;udkvnf; jyKvkyfvsuf&Sdygonf/
qufoG,f&ef trSwf B-1? atmifcsrf;omvrf;oG,f 1? atmifajrompnftdrf&m? urm&GwfNrdKUe,f? &efukef/ zkef; ¼ 09 960 839 801 Info@ISPMyanmar.com www.facebook.com/ISPMyanmarpage www.ISPMyanmarpeacedesk.com
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ykHESdyfrSwfwrf; jrefrm 2050 tem*wftwGuf tqifoifhjzpfNyDvm; azazmf0g&D? 2020/ ISBN 978-99971-0-849-4
tkyfa& yxrtBudrf ? 2000 wefzdk; 3000 usyf t,f'Dwm aexGef;Edkif pmjyift,f'Dwm ausmfrsKd;xG#f pmrsufESmzGJUpnf;rI xGef;OD; ? ausmfrsKd;odef; "mwfykH aZmfrif;Edkif ('DyJ,if;) xkwfa0ol OD;pdef0if; (00744)? ESpfumvrsm;pmay ykHESdyfol OD;at;0if; at;uÇmykHESdyfwdkuf (00290) trSwf 46 ? 46 vrf;? AdkvfwaxmifNrdKUe,f? &efukefNrdKU/ pmtkyfcsKyf a&TorD;
t,f'DwmrSwfpk a,mrif;BuD;Z&yf pum;0dkif; aqG;aEG;yGJ (Talk Show) tpDtpOfonf ISP-Myanmar \ vkyfief;pDrHcsufwck jzpfygonf/ tjcm;aqG;aEG;yGJ? zdk&rfrsm;ESihf ykHo²mefrwlay/ taMumif;t&mw&yftay: aqG;aEG;&mü e,fy,fp?Hk u@pkH yg0ifapjcif;tm;jzihf tawG; tac: 0wfrIefuljcif; jzpfEdkifatmif ISP-Myanmar u tm;xkwfcJhygonf/ 2018 ckepf Zlvikd f 8 &ufwiG f pwifjyKvkycf o hJ nhf a,mrif;BuD;Z&yf pum;0dik ;f aqG;aEG;yGJ \ yxr&moD (Season 1 ) rSm 2019 ckESpf atmufwdkbm 19 &ufwGif NyD;qkH;cJhonf/ taMumif;t&mpkHaom pum;0dkif;aqG;aEG;yGJ &Spfck jyKvkyfEdkifcJhygonf/ a,mrif;BuD;Z&yf pum;0dkif;aqG;aEG;yGJ 'kwd,&moD rpwifrD yxr&moDü aqG;aEG;cJh aom taMumif;t&mrsm;udk jyefvnfazmfjyEdkif&ef ,ckpmtkyfudk pDpOfxkwfa0jcif; jzpfygonf/ pmrsufEmS taetxm;t& aqG;aEG;yG&J pS cf pk vk;H \ aqG;aEG;csuftjynht f pkH udk azmfjyEdik jf cif;r&Scd yhJ g/ odaYk omf a,mrif;BuD;Z&yf pum;0dik ;f aqG;aEG;yGrJ sm; ay:ayguf ap&ef aphaqmftm;jzpfapcJah om ]Edik if t hH em*wfopfukd ykaH zmfEikd af &;}tm; NcHKikEH ikd rf nhf pum;0dkif;ESpfckrS aqG;aEG;csuftjynhftpkHudk azmfjyxm;ygonf/ ,ckpmtkyt f wGif tydik ;f av;ydik ;f udk zwf½&I rnfjzpfonf/ yxrydik ;f wGif a,mrif;Bu;D Z&yf pum;0dkif;aqG;aEG;yGJ yxr&moDtwGuf yGJOD;xGufjyKvkyfcJhaom ]tem*wf jrefrmEdkifiH 2050} pum;0dik ;f aqG;aEG;csuf tjynht f pku H kd zwf&ygrnf/ 'kw, d ydik ;f wGif jyKvkycf NhJ yD;jzpf aom a,mrif;BuD;Z&yf pum;0dkif;rsm;teuf trSwfpOf 2 rS 7 txd aqG;aEG;cJhaom taMumif;t&m tusOf;csKyf? t,ltqrSwpf rk sm;udk azmfjyxm;ygonf/ wwd,ydik ;f wGif a,mrif;Bu;D Z&yf pum;0dik ;f aqG;aEG;yGJ yxr&moDtwGuf &moDyw d t f aejzihf jyKvyk cf ahJ om ]tem*wftwGuf jrefrm tqifoihjf zpfNyDvm;} pum;0dik ;f rS aqG;aEG;csuf tjynht f pku H kd zwf½I&rnf jzpfygonf/ aemufqkH;tydkif;wGifrl uG,fvGefoGm;cJhNyDjzpfaom rdk;av0o ynm&Sif a'guw f mxGe;f vGif (a,mrif;Bu;D Z&yf pum;0dik ;f pifjrihx f ufü) ajymMum;cJo h nfh aqG;aEG;csuftjynhftpkHtm; trSwfw&taejzihf pkpnf;azmfjyxm;ygonf/
a,mrif;BuD;Z&yf[lonf a,mrif;BuD;Z&yf pum;0dik ;f aqG;aEG;yGo J nf jrefrmh r[mAsL[mESihf rl0g'avhvma&;tifpwDusK (ISP-Myanmar) \ tpDtpOfwck jzpfygonf/ a,mrif;BuD;Z&yf pum;0dkif;aqG;aEG;yGJ (Talk Show) onf tjcm;aomaqG;aEG;yGJ zdk&rfrsm;ESifh rwljcm;em;csufrmS vwfwavmBuHKawGaU e&onfh Edik if aH &;? vlraI &;? pD;yGm;a&; jyóemrsm;udk aqG;aEG;rnfr[kwb f J a&&Sno f abmaqmifonfh taMumif;t&mrsm;? tv,ftvwfumv oabmaqmifonfh taMumif;jcif;&mrsm;udk qef;ppfaqG;aEG;Muygonf/ ,if;tpDtpOfwGif oufqdkif&mu@toD;oD;rS ynm&Sifrsm;? vufawGU tm;xkkwfaqmif&Guf aeMuolrsm;udk zdwfMum;í? jrefrmhvªabmif\ ,Ofaus;rI? "avhxHk;wrf;? wefzdk;xm;rIrsm;ESifh jyóemrsm;udk qef;ppfo;kH oyfMuygonf/ xdt Yk wl tem*wfopfukd yHak zmfEikd af &; a0zef ajymqdk Muonf/ a&Sw U ½l El ikd rf nfh ajrmfjrifcsufvm;&mrsm;udv k nf; aqG;aEG;Muonf/ aqG;aEG;rIrsm;onf Edik if aH wmfwnfaqmufa&;? jynfaxmifp0k ad ooESihf pdw"f mwfwnfaqmufa&;? vlrt I zGt UJ pnf; tm;aumif;cdkifrma&;wdkYtwGuf wwyfwtm;jzpfap&ef &nf&G,fygonf/ a,mrif;BuD;Z&yf[k tb,fhaMumifh trnfay;&ygoenf;/ a,mrif;BuD;OD;bd;k vdiI f (1830¼1883)onf uke;f abmifacwfwiG f xif&mS ;cJah om ynmausmf trwfwOD; jzpfygonf/ ÚmPfynmxufjrufonft h jyif bk&ifuv kd nf; [kww f ikd ;f rSe&f m t&Su d kd t&St d wdik ;f wifavSsmufonft h wGuf tBudrBf udrf rif;rsufoifch &H ol ynm&Sv d nf; jzpfygonf/ &wemykaH cwf jyKjyifajymif;vJa&;umvudk OD;aqmifcahJ om rSL;rwfwOD;jzpfNyD; ]&mZ"r® o*F[ usrf;} uJhodkYaom tapmydkif; jrefrmhtkyfcsKyfa&;ynm usrf;rsKd;udkvnf; jyKpkcJholjzpfygonf/ ,cktpDtpOfü a,mrif;BuD;[k *kPfjyK&jcif;rSm OD;bdk;vIdifonf (1) tmPm&Sdoludk [kwfwdkif;rSef&m raxmufrn§majymqdk&Jaom owåd&Sdol (2) udk,fusifhodu©m? ÚmPf&nfxufjrufol (3) acwfjyifftjrif pl;&SrI&Sdol jzpfaomaMumifh jzpfygonf/ ]Z&yf}[lonf vltrsm;wdYk vufzuf&nfMurf;0dik ;f xdik f 'l;wdu k af qG;aEG;&m ae&m? ta&;taMumif; &Syd gu pka0;wdik yf ifE;DS aESmMu&m ae&mjzpfNy;D trsm;jynfol yg0ifEikd rf u I v kd nf; azmfòef;aomaMumifh jzpfygonf/
a,mrif;BuD;Z&yf yxrqkH;aqG;aEG;yGJ pum;0dkif;
tem*wfjrefrmEdkifiH 2050 Scenario building
EdkifiHhtem*wfudk BudKwifrSef;qjcif; jzpf&yfcefYrSef;wGufqjcif; (scenario thinking) udk tpdk;&ESifh yk*¾vduu@ ae&mXme tzGJUtpnf;rsm;pGmwGif toHk;jyKaeNyD; tem*wfudkcefYrSef;wGufqí r[mAsL[mrsm; a&;qGJcsrSwfEdkifap&ef jzpfygonf/ awmiftmz&duEdkifiHü EdkifiHa&;tajymif;tvJrsm; aqmif&GufMu&mwGif 1991¼92 ckESpf umvü u@aygif;pHkrS ta&;ygaom acgif;aqmifrsm;u at;aq;qdwfNidrfonfh ae&mwckwGif Mont Fleur scenario exercise (rGefYzavm tem*wf BudKwifrSef;qrI avhusifhcef;) wckudk aqmif&GufcJhMuonf/ ]aemif 10 ESpftMum 2002 ckESpfwGif awmiftmz&duEdkifiH rnfodkY&Sdaernfenf;}[k ar;cGef;xkwf ajzqdkcJhMujcif;jzpfonf/ Mont Fleur aqG;aEG;yGJrsm;\ &nf&G,fcsufrSm trkef;w&m;ESifh emusnf;cHpm;csufrsm; udk zGifhqdkwifjyMu&efr[kwfbJ vmrnfh 10 ESpf tem*wfudk yHkoGif;Edkifrnfh tacstwif aqG;aEG;tajz&SmrI (debate) rsm; jzpfay:vmap&ef &nf&G,fjcif;jzpfygonf/ awmif tmz&duEdkifiHrS EdkifiHa&;orm;rsm;? pD;yGm;a&;vkyfief;&Sifrsm;? wuf<uvIyf&Sm;olrsm;? ynm&Sifrsm; tygt0if vlyk*¾dKvf 22 OD;u tcsdef,l aqG;aEG;cJhMuonf/ ,ck a,mrif;BuD;Z&yf pum;0dkif;aqG;aEG;yGJ tpDtpOfwGifvnf; ]tem*wfjrefrmEdkifiH 2050} (Myanmar 2050) twGuf jzpfEdkifajcvm;&m ar;cGef;rsm;udk u@toD;oD;rS tawGUtBuHK&Sd vkyfief;&Sifrsm;? ynm&Sifrsm;u ajzqdkMurnfjzpfonf/ n
tem*wfjrefrmEdkifiH 2050 myanmar 2050
y x r ydk if ; a qG ; a EG ; cs uf rs m ;
'DauGUa&muf&if 'DwufeJYavSmfvdkuf? [dkauGUa&muf&if [dkwufeJYavSmfvdkuf ponfjzifh taetxm;rsKd;uae ausmfvGefNyD; Munfhcsifygw,f/ rD;pifMunfhu&if; vkyfae&wJh taetxm;uae ausmfvGefNyD; Munfhcsifwmyg/ ydkaumif;wJh tdyfrufawGudk rufcsifygw,f/ n
OD;atmifolNidrf;
OD;atmifolNidrf; MODERATOR
tm;vHk;yJ r*FvmygcifAs/ yxrOD;qHk; ajymjycsifwJhtcsufawG &Sdygw,f/ tem*wf jrefrmEdkifiH ouú&mZf 2050 rSm usaemfwdkY b,fvdkjrifcsifwmvJ/ 'geJY ywfoufvdkY 'DaeY aqG;aEG;MurSm jzpfygw,f/ usaemfwdkYu bmjzpfvdkY 'Davmufa0;uGmwJh umvudk pOf;pm;MuygovJ/ pOf;pm;wJhtcg Expediency vdkYac:wJh edpö"l0 'DauGUa&muf&if 'DwufeJY avSmfvdkuf? t,f'DwmrSwfcsuf OD;atmifoNl idr;f onf ISP-Myanmar \ jyify qufqq H ufo, G af &;Xme 'g½du k w f mjzpfNyD; a,mrif;BuD;Z&yf pum;0dkif;aqG;aEG;yGJrsm;wGif Moderator tjzpf yifwdkifaqmif&Gufaeol jzpfygonf/ ¤if;onf tar&duef jynfaxmifpk [m;AwfwuúodkvfrS jynfoªtkyfcsKyfa&;ynm r[mbGJU &&Sdxm;ol jzpfonf/
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jrefrm 2050
[dkauGUa&muf&if [dkwufeJY avSmfvdkuf ponfjzifh taetxm;rsKd;uae ausmf vGeNf y;D Munfch siyf gw,f/ rD;pifMunfu h &if; vkyaf e&wJh taetxm;uae ausmv f eG Nf y;D Munfhcsifwmyg/ ydkaumif;wJh tdyfrufawGudk rufcsifygw,f/ 'Dtaetxm;rSmyJ y&dowfawGtygt0if jrefrmjynfolawGudk vIyfEdI;vdkufcsifwJh qE´&Sdygw,f/ 'gaMumifh ]jrefrmhtem*wf 2050} qdkwJh aqG;aEG;yGJ jzpfvmcJhwmyg/ 'DvdkrsKd; tem*wfudkBudKwifrSef;qwJh (Scenario) aqG;aEG;yGJ jzpfvmcJhovJ qdk&if awmiftmz&duEdkifiH&JU tajymif;tvJumvawGudk avhvmwJhtcg awGU& ygw,f/ txl;ojzifh awmiftmz&duEdkifiHudk ajymif;vJr,fqdkwJhtcg 1991¼92 umvavmufrSm awmiftmz&duEdkifiHu wuf<uvIyf&Sm;olawG? EdkifiHa&;orm; awG? pD;yGm;a&;vkyfief;&SifawGu awmiftmz&duEdkifiH&JU Mont Fleur vdkYac:wJh? at;csrf;om,mwJh NrdKUav;wNrdKUrSm qHkMuw,f/ qHkMuNyD;wJhtcg awmiftmz&du EdkifiH&JU jyóemawGudk pOf;pm;Muygw,f/ pOf;pm;NyD;wJYtcg aemufq,fESpfrSm awmiftmz&duEdkifiHudk b,fvdkjrifcsifovJ qdkwJhudpöudk olwdkY aqG;aEG;cJhMuyg w,f/ 'gudk Mont Fleur scenario exercise vdYk ac:ygw,f/ tJ'u D mvrSmwke;f u Adam Kahane vdkYac:wJh ynm&Sifuvnf; 'Dudpöudk yl;aygif;ulnDay;cJhygw,f/ awmif tmz&duEdkifiHrSm aqG;aEG;cJYwJh yk*¾dKvf 22 OD;&Sdygw,f/ txl;ojzifh Adam Kahane1 vdkYac:wJh ynm&Sif&JU pOf;pm;csufrSm oHk;ydkif;avmuf yg0ifygw,f/ yxrwcsufu Scenario Thinking vdkYajymwJhtcgrSm vuf&Sdtajctaeudk pOf;pm;Muygw,f/ vuf&Sdtajctaeudk usaemfwdkY vufcHEdkif&JUvm;/ aemufwck u 'Dvt kd ajctaetwdik ;f oGm;r,fq&kd if wnfNidrrf u I jzpfyghrvm;/ Sustainability vdkYac:wJh a&&SnfwnfwHhcdkifjrJrIu jzpfyghrvm;vdkY pOf;pm;Muygw,f/ tJ'Dvdk rjzpf Edkifbl;qdk&if bmvkyfMurvJqdkawmh tJ'DtcsdefrSm wkefvIyfwmawG jzpfvmr,f? aoG;ysufwmawG jzpfvmEdkifw,f/ 'Dvdk taetxm;rsKd;rSm xGufajy;wmvnf; 1/
Adam Kahane. (2012). “Transformative Scenario Planning: Working Together to Change the Future”. Berrett-Koehler Publishers.
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Myanmar 2050
jzpfEdkifw,f/ xGufrajy;bl; &ifqdkifMur,f qdkvnf; tckvdk pOf;pm;wmrsKd; jzpfvmEdkif ygw,f/ tJ'Dvdktaetxm;rSm oª&JU 'kwd, tqifh pOf;pm;csufu ]usaemfwYkd wpHw k &m udk ajymif;csifNyD}qdkygpdkY/ ajymif;csifwJhtcg rSm wa,mufwnf; ajymif;vdkY r&ygbl;/ usaemfw&Ykd UJ vlraI &;? pD;yGm;a&; todu k t f jrHK uGe&f ufBuD;udk qufxm;wJh taetxm;rSm ½IyfaxG;ayGvDrIawG trsm;BuD; &Sdygw,f/ Actors vdkYac:wJh? yg0ifvIyf&Sm;aewJholawG &Srd ,f/ wa,mufew YJ a,muf tjyeftvSef rSDcdkae&wJh udpöawG &Sdr,f/ aemufwcku Unpredictability vda Yk c:wJ?h BudKwif rSe;f qvdYk Adam Kahane \ emrnfausmfpmtkyf r&EdkifwJhudpöawG &Sdw,f/ tJ'Dtaetxm;rSm wa,mufwnf;eJY ajymif;vJzdkY rjzpfEdkifawmhygbl;/ wwd,tqifh yl;aygif;aqmif&GufrI awG vdkvmygw,f/ yl;aygif;aqmif&GufrI qdkwJhae&mrSm usaemfwdkY tcsif;csif;tMum;rSma&m? EdkifiHwumtqifh rSmyg a'oÅ&tqifh? a'otqifh ponfjzifh yl;aygif; aqmif&GufrIawG vdkvmygw,f/ txl;ojzifh Scenario thinking vdkYac:wJY tem*wfudk BudKwifrSef;qNyD; bmvkyf csifovJqdkwJh AsL[mcsrSwfrIu pOf;pm;csufjzpfygw,f/ 'Dtaetxm;rSmyJ tem*wf tajctaeawGukd b,f vdk jrifcsio f vJqw kd [ hJ m pOf;pm;vmrdygw,f/ 2050 qdw k m 17
jrefrm 2050
ra0;vGe;f bl;vm;aygh/ aemufvmr,fh ESpf 30 ausmfumvrSm aemufrsdK;qufawG twGuf pOf;pm;ygw,f/ aemufrsKd;qufawG tajctae b,fv&kd rdS vJ/ usaemfwYkd 'DrSm jyxm;ygw,f/ (ykH¼1 udk Munfhyg)
(ykH¼1) obm0 uyfab;tÅ&m,f usa&mufEdkifrIqdkif&m tòef;udef; Inform 2019 risk index jzpfygonf/ pum;0dkif;aqG;aEG;yGJ jyKvkyfcsdefu 2018 ckESpf tajctaeudk xkwfEkwfjycJhNyD; xdktcsdefu jrefrmEdkifiH\ taetxm;rSm 6 'or 4 jzpfygonf/ ,ck 6 'or 6 jzpfaomaMumifh ydkrdkpdk;&drf&aom tajctae jzpfygonf/
'Dtaetxm;rSm jrefrmEdkifiH&JU tajctaeudk MunfhwJhtcg obm0uyfab; tÅ&m,fawGu awmfawmfjrifrh m;aewJh taetxm;udk awG&U ygw,f/ 'gudk &ifqikd f EdkifwJh taetxm; usaemfwdkYrSm &SdNyDvm;/ Coping Capacity vdkY ac:ygw,f/ 'Dtae txm;rSmvnf; tm;enf;csufawG &Sdaeygw,f/ tÅ&m,fu jrifhygw,f/ 'gjzifh aemufrsdK;qufawG&JU usef;rma&;tajctaeudk usaemfwdkY Munfh&atmifyg/ tJ'Dawmh Stanford wuúodkvfrSm Presentation vkyfxm;wJh tcsuftvuf wcsKdUudk jycsifygw,f/ txl;ojzifh umuG,fukoEdkifwJh ul;pufa&m*gawGeJY ywf oufwhJ tcsufawGyg/ (yk¼H 2 udk Munfyh g) 'DrmS Munfv h u kd &f if TB wd?Yk HIV wdYk ponf 18
Myanmar 2050
(ykH¼2) jrefrmEdkifiHESifh a'owGif;EdkifiHrsm;tMum; HIV, TB ESifh iSufzsm;a&m*g jzpfyGm;rItajctae EIdif;,SOfcsuf2
(ykH¼3) jrefrmEdkifiHü ul;pufa&m*gr[kwfaom a&m*gjzpfyGm;rI tajctae3 2
Zaw. Phyu Phyu Thin. 2015. “Health System Transformation in Myanmar: Are the Current Changes Promisiong. Presentation. Stanford University. Retrived online at http://www.burmalibrary.org/docs22/ Stanford-2015-05-Health_System_Transformation-Myanmar.spdf.pdf
3
ibid.
19
jrefrm 2050
jzifh umuG,Ef ikd w f ahJ &m*gjzpfymG ;rIrmS a'owGi;f Edik if aH wGMum;xJ usaemfwEYkd ikd if rH mS tjrifrh m;qH;k jzpfaewJh taetxm; awG&U ygw,f/ aemuf ul;pufa&m*g r[kww f hJ a&m*gawGaygh/ (ykH¼3 udk Munfhyg) MunfhvdkufvdkY&Sd&if aoG;csKda&m*g? qD;csKda&m*g? aoG;wd;k a&m*g? aq;vdyef YJ aq;&GuBf uD;aMumifjh zpfwhJ jyóemawG? 'gawGuvnf; awmfawmfrsm;rsm;jzpfaewJh taetxm;rSm awGU&w,f/ usaemfwdkY tem*wfrsKd;quf vli,fawG&JU ynma&;udk Munfh&atmifyg/ usaemfwdkYEdkifiHrSm vli,f&mcdkifEIef;u 26 &mcdkifEIef;&Sdw,fvdkY ajymygw,f/ tJ'D 26 &mcdkifEIef;rSm twef;ynm roifzl;wJhvli,fawGu 5 'or 5 &mcdkifEIef; &Sdae ygw,f/ tv,fwef; ratmifwJholawGu 52 &mcdkifEIef;&Sdaeygw,f? aygif;vdkuf r,fqdk&if 60 &mcdkifEIef;eD;yg;avmufu ynmrwwfbJ? ynmrjynfhpHkbJeJY tem
rsKd;qufopfynma&; tajctae 26 &mcdkifEIef;
12 'or 2 oef; 2015 ckESpf pm&if;rsm;t& jrefrmEdkifiH\ vli,fOD;a& jzpfygonf/
vli,fOD;a& 26 &mcdkifEIef;teuf twef;ynmrwwfol &mcdkifEIef;
EdkifiHhvlOD;a&pkpkaygif;teuf vli,fOD;a& &mcdkifEIef;
5 'or 5 &mcdkifEIef;
52 &mcdkifEIef;
13 'or 3 ESpf &if;jrpf ¼ 2015 ckESpf jrefrmEdkifiH ausmif;tNyD; vkyfief;cGif0ifa&mufrI tul;tajymif; qef;ppfjcif; tpD&ifcHpm (tvkyform;? vl0ifrIBuD;Muyfa&;ESifh jynfoªtiftm; 0efBuD;Xme)
ausmif;xGuf&onfh yQrf;rQtouf
(ykH¼4) jrefrmEdkifiH\ rsKd;qufopf ynma&;tajctaejy udef;*Pef;rsm; jzpfygonf/
20
vli,fOD;a& 26 &mcdkifEIef;teuf tv,fwef;NyD;qkH;jcif;r&Sdol &mcdkifEIef;
Myanmar 2050
tvkyfvkyfaeaomuav;ESifh uav;vkyfom; tajctae 6 'or 5 &mcdkifEIef; jrefrmEdkifiHwGif ausmif; vkH;0wufa&mufzl;jcif;r&Sdonfh uav;i,frsm;rSm uav;OD;a&pkpkaygif; 12 'or 14 oef;\ 6 'or 5 &mcdkifEIef; &Sdonf/
10 'or 5 &mcdkifEIef; rdbudk wzufwvrf;rSulnD&if; tvkyfvkyfae&aom uav;ta&twGufonf uav;OD;a&pkpkaygif; 12 'or 14 oef;\ 10 'or 5 &mcdkifEIef; &Sdaeonf/
1 'or 27 oef;
1 'or 10 oef;
tvkyfvkyfae&aom uav;rsm;
tÅ&m,f&Sdaom vkyfief;cGiftygt0if vkyfief;cGifrsm;ü &Sdaeaom uav;vkyfom;rsm;
9 &mcdkifEIef; tÅ&m,f&Sdaom vkyfief;cGiftygt0if vkyfief;cGifrsm;ü &Sdaeaom uav;vkyfom;ta&twGufonf uav;OD;a&pkpkaygif; 12 'or 14 oef;\ 9 &mcdkifEIef; &Sdaeonf/
&if;jrpf ¼ 2015 ckESpf jrefrmEdkifiH uav;vkyfom;ppfwrf; tpD&ifcHpm (tvkyform;? vl0ifrIBuD;Muyfa&;ESifh jynfoªtiftm; 0efBuD;Xme)
(ykH¼5) jrefrmEdkifiHwGif tvkyfvkyfaeaomuav;ESifh uav;vkyfom;tajctaejy udef;*Pef;rsm;jzpfygonf/
*wfudk b,fvdkjzwfoef;MurvJ ar;p&m &Sdvmygw,f/ (ykH¼4 udk Munfhyg) 'Dtaetxm;rSm uav;vkyfom;eJY tvkyfvkyfae &wJh uav;awGudpöudk pOf;pm;zdkY vdkvmygw,f/ usaemf wdkYEdkifiHrSm vHk;0 ausmif;rwufEdkifwJh uav; 6 'or 5 &mcdik Ef eI ;f &Syd gw,f/ rdbudk wzufwvrf;u tvkyv f yk Nf yD; ulnDae&wJh uav;awG &Sdygw,f/ ta&twGuf renf; ygbl;/ 1 'or 2 oef;avmuf &Sdygw,f/ 'gt h jyif uav;vkyo f m;qdw k m &Syd gao;w,f/ uav; vkyfom;u oªoabmqE´ rygbJeJY vkyfief;cGif0ifae&wJh uav;awGyg/ 'Duav;vkyo f m;uvnf; 1 'or 1 oef;
60 &mcdkifEIef; eD;yg;avmufu ynmrwwfbJ? ynmrjynfhpHkbJeJY tem*wfudk b,fvdkjzwfoef;MurvJ ar;p&m &Sdvmygw,f ...
21
jrefrm 2050
avmuf &Sdygw,f/ 'gu vli,fOD;a& pkpkaygif;&JU 9 &mcdkifEIef;avmuf&SdaewJh tae txm; jzpfygw,f/ (ykH¼5 udk Munfhyg) 'Dtaetxm;rSm usaemfwdkYuav;awG&JU tem*wf[m b,fvdk&SdrvJ/ usaemfwdkYEdkifiHu uav;awG&JU w0ufavmufu qif;&JrIwGif;eufxJrSm &Sdaeyg
uav;rsm;\ tem*wf
l
l
l
l
l
150 OD;
2 'or 2 oef;
touf 5 ESpfrjynfhcif aeYpOf aoqkH;ae&aom uav;ta&twGuf
Nidrf;csrf;a&;r&Sdaom a'orsm;ü aexdkifae&onfh uav;ta&twGuf
jrefrmuav;OD;a&\ xuf0ufausmfonf qif;&JrItwGif; aexdkifaeMu&onf/ uav;ig;OD;teuf wOD;vQif arG;pm&if;r&Sdyg/ toufig;ESpfatmuf uav;okH;ykHwykHonf t&yfykn§ufvsuf ¶NzdK;rIaemufusaeonf/ jrefrmuav; xuf0ufausmfonf ynma&;rNyD;qkH;cif vlysKd¼tysKdt&G,f a&mufvmMuonf/ roefpGrf;uav; okH;OD;teuf ESpfOD;onf ausmif;rwufEdkifyg/ ¤if;wdkY\ 90 &mcdkifEIef;onf aq;ukorI rcH,lEdkifMuyg/
&if;jrpf ¼ UNICEF: Lives in Hold-Making sure No Child is Left behind in Myanmar, 2017.
(ykH¼6) jrefrmEdkifiHrS uav;rsm;\tem*wfudk òef;qdkaeonfh tcsuftvufrsm; jzpfygonf/
w,f/ uav;ig;OD;xJrSm wOD;u arG;pm&if;r&Sdygbl;/ aemufwcg ynma&;rjynfh rpHkeJY w0ufavmufu vlysKd? tysdK jzpfvmMuygw,f/ (ykH¼6 udk Munfhyg) uav;aoEIef;uvnf; usaemfwdkYrSm jrifhygw,f/ ig;ESpfrjynfhcif aowJh uav;u aeYpOf 150 avmuf &Sdaeygw,f/ aemufwcku Nidrf;csrf;a&;udk rcHpm; EdkifwJhuav;ta&twGufu 2 'or 2 oef;avmuf &Sdaeygw,f/ 'Dtcsuf 22
Myanmar 2050
tvufawGudk UNICEF tpD&ifcHpmu ,lxm;wmyg/ 'DtajctaerSm usaemfwdkY&JU tem*wfudk rpOf;pm;oifhbl;vm;aygh/ tJ'geJYywfoufNyD; 'DaqG;aEG;yGJ jzpfvmyg w,f/ 'DaqG;aEG;yGJrSm aqG;aEG;zdkY ynm&SifawG usaemfwdkYzdwfac:xm;ygw,f/ yxrOD;qH;k tcktajctaeawGeyYJ wfoufNyD; 'Dtwdik ;f qufomG ;&if wdik ;f jynf tajctae b,fvdkjzpfvmrvJ/ u@aygif;pHku aqG;aEG;MurSmyg/ yxrqHk; a'gufwmoefYjrifhOD;&JU aqG;aEG;rIeJYpwifygr,f/ n
23
jrefrmjynfolawGudk twlwuG pkpnf;Edkifr,fh Zmwfvrf;topfawGvnf; vdktyfaeygw,f/ aMu;acwfu v,form;awGeJY ESpfaxmifcsD MumNyDjzpfwJh yk*Humvuvdk jrefrmawG awGa0qdkif;iHhraebJ jyifyu A[kokwawGudk vufcHoifhygw,f/ ydkvdkY BuD;us,fpGm? wDxGifzefwD;rI&SdpGm awG;ac:MuzdkYvdktyfygw,f/ n
a'gufwmoefYjrifhOD;
a'gufwmoefYjrifhOD; panelist
vGefcJhwJh ESpfaygif; 2000 umv? jrefrmEdkifiH aMu;acwftapmydkif;rSm v,f orm;awGpkaygif;NyD; olwdkY&JU yxrOD;qHk;NrdKU jyudk wnfaxmifcJhMuw,f/ ydkus,f jyefYwJh uÇmeJY pNyD; qufoG,fcJhMuw,f/ Ak'¨bmom? tpdk;&pepf? tEkynm? odyÜHeJY ywfoufwJh tawG;tac:topfawGudk wifoGif;vmcJhMuw,f/ 'DtawG;tac: awGaMumifyh J olwYkd vlrt I zGt UJ pnf;udk ¶NzdK;wd;k wufvmapcJw h ,f/ aemufyikd ;f ESpf t,f'DwmrSwfcsuf a'gufwmoefYjrifhOD;onf U Thant House \ Ouú|jzpfNyD; YangonHeritage Trust udk wnfaxmifcJholvnf; jzpfygonf/ ¤if;onf Foreign Policy r*¾Zif;rS a&G;cs,faom 2013 ckESpf uÇmhtawG;tac:ynm&Sif 100 pm&if;wGif yg0ifco hJ nf/ xdaYk emuf Prospect r*¾Zif;rS a&G;cs,fonfh 2014 ckEpS f uÇmhtawG;tac: ynm&Sif 50 pm&if;wGif eHygwf 15 ae&mü &yfwnfcJhol jzpfygonf/
25
jrefrm 2050
1000 avmuftMumrSmawmh yk*rH mS bk&ifeYJ rSL;BuD;rwf&mawGu vIy&f mS ; &Sio f ef aewJha'owGif;rSm tpdwftydkif;wcktjzpf &yfwnfEdkifzdkY tjyif;txef BudK;yrf;cJh Muw,f/ jynfwiG ;f eJY jynfyu A[kow k awGeYJ yHpk aH wGukd aygif;pyfNyD; &ifoyf½aI rm zG,Nf rdKU jyudk wnfaqmufzefw;D Edik cf MhJ uw,f/ tv,facwf ordik ;f umvrSm txif BuD; cHhnm;zG,f rif;EdkifiHi,fwck jzpfcJhw,f/ jrefrmEdik if u H jyifyudx k ad wGU NyD; uÇmBuD;udk wHcg;zGihf BudKqdw k t hJ cgwdik ;f jrefrm EdkifiH[m todÚmPfydkif;qdkif&mt&a&m ½kyf0w¬Kydkif;qdkif&mt&yg <u,f0¶NzdK;cJhyg w,f/ jrefrmEdkifiHu aMumuf&GHUwJh pdwfeJYaomfvnf;aumif;? ,HkMunfrIuif;rJhpGm jzifah omfvnf;aumif; jynfwiG ;f udo k m tav;ay;Munfw h t hJ cgwdik ;f Edik if u H qif;&J rGJawrI? jynfyusL;ausmfodrf;ydkufrIawGeJY BuHKawGUcJY&ygw,f/ jrefrmEdkifiHu tcktcg ta&;ay:tajctae a&mufaeygNyD/ jrefrmjynfol jynfom;awGtaeeJY olwv Ykd ckd sifwhJ b0? uÇmay:rSm olwjYkd zpfcsifwhJ tqift h wef; udk tav;teuf jyefvnfpOf;pm;zdkY tcsdefyg/ EdkifiHa&;rSm us½IH;jcif;[m pdwful;
26
Myanmar 2050
pdwfoef;awG us½IH;&jcif;yJ jzpfygw,f/ jrefrmEdkifiH[m Zmwfvrf;topfwyk'fa&;zdkY vdktyfaeovdk? tem*wf arQmrf eS ;f csuf topfpufpufwck vdt k yfaeygw,f/ wu,fh pdefac:rI jyóemawGudk twlwuG yl;aygif;ajz&Sif;MuzdkY vlawGudkqGJac:EkdifwJh &nfrSef;csufrsKd; vdktyfygw,f/ jrefrmEdkifiH&JU vlOD;a&w0uf[m touf 30 atmuf awGyg/ vltrsm;pku ouú&mZf 2050 jynfhESpftxd? 'grS r[kwf ydkvGefNyD; aeEdkifMuygvdrfhr,f/ tJ'DtcsdefrSm uÇm BuD;u vHk;0 rwljcm;em;wJh ae&mwck jzpfaerSmyg/ ,aeYtcsderf mS usaemfwYkd MuHKawGaU e&wJh tBuD;rm;qH;k Ncdrf;ajcmufrIuawmh &moDOwk azmufjyefajymif;vJrIyJ jzpfygw,f/ usaemfwu Ydk jyif;xefq;kd &Gm;wJh &moDOwkxu J kd a&mufaeygNyD/ 2008 ckESpfu jzpfcJhwJh em*pfrkefwdkif;vdk (obm0 ab;tÅ&m,fawG) rMumcP MuHK&ygvdrfhr,f/ jrefrmEdik if &H UJ tcsKdaU 'oawGrmS vlaevdrYk &Edik w f t hJ xd tyl jyif;wmawG jzpfvmygr,f/ [dr0Åmawmifwef;rSm a&cJawG aysmv f Ykd tBu;D tus,f rcefrY eS ;f Edik w f hJ twdik ;f tqeJY a&vTr;f rd;k rIawG jzpfvmEdik yf gw,f/ yifv,fa&rsufEmS jyif jrifw h uf vmrIaMumifh urf;½dk;wef;awG a&zHk;vTrf;wm? aemufqHk; &efuek Nf rdKaU wmf a&zH;k vTr;f oGm;wm jzpfEikd yf gw,f/ usaemf wdu Yk &moDOwkazmufjyefajymif;vJrI tBuD; tus,f cHpm; ae&wJh uÇmBuD;&Jt U pdwt f ydik ;f rSm aexdik af eMu&ygw,f/ 'Dvrkd sKd; ½kwjf cnf; arQmfvifrh xm;wJh yHpk aH jymif;vJjcif;awG aMumifh pdu k yf sKd;a&;eJY pm;eyf&u d m© vHNk cHKa&; tay: xdcu kd rf I
jynfwGif;udkom tav;ay; MunfhwJhtcgwdkif; EdkifiHu qif;&JrGJawrI? jynfyusL;ausmf odrf;ydkufrIawGeJY BuHKawGUcJY&ygw,f ...
27
jrefrm 2050
awGu twdik ;f tq rodEikd af tmifygyJ/ vlawGu olwYkd aexdik af e Mu&m b0awG? aexdkifaeMu&m a'oawGrSm aezdkYrjzpfEdkifawmhavmufatmifyg/ usaemfwdkY[m ¶NzdK;wdk;wufrI w&Sdefxdk; tm;aumif;vmaewJh w½kwfEdkifiH BuD;&JU tdref ;D csif;tjzpf aexdik af eMu&ygw,f/ w½kwjf ynf vlrt I zGt UJ pnf;&JU tvsif tjref wdk;wufajymif;vJrIawGu &ifoyf½IarmzG,fjzpfNyD; 'DvkdyJ a&SUqufvnf; jzpfay:aeygvdrfhr,f/ tdrfeD;csif;uyfvsuf w½kwfjynf&JU tqif;&JqHk; jynfe,f wckjzpfwJh ,leefjynfe,frSmawmif qif;&Jom;ta&twGuf[m NyD;cJhwJh ig;ESpf twGif; (vlOD;a& 43 oef;teuf) 11 oef;uae 6 oef;udk usqif;vmcJhygw,f/ tqdkjyKxm;wJh w½kwf¼jrefrmpD;yGm;a&;pBuøvrf;rBuD;rSm tu,fí w0ufudk taumiftxnfazmfEikd cf &hJ ifawmif jrefrmEdik if u H w½kw&f UJ 0ef;usife,fajrxJukd eD;eD;uyfuyf aygif;pnf;rdomG ;rSmyg/ pufr¶I NzdK;NyD;jzpfw?hJ 'grSr[kwf pufraI cwfveG f w½kwfEdkifiHu jrefrmhwHcg;0udk a&muf&Sdvmjcif;aMumifh jrefrmEdkifiH[m NyD;cJhwJh &mpkESpf ESpfckeJYrwl jcm;em;pGm vTrf;rdk;½IyfaxG;rIawGeJY MuHK&ygvdrfhr,f/ uÇmay:rSm tjcm; tajymif;tvJrsm;uvnf; jzpfaeygw,f/ {&mr vlom; a&TUajymif;tajccsaexdkifrIawG jzpfaeygw,f/ tckqdk&if jrefrmEdkifiH tygt0if uÇmay:rSm pkpkaygif; a&TUajymif;tajccsol oef; 250 avmuf &Sdygvdrfhr,f/ 'D tajctaeuyJ tdrfeJY rdrdukd,fykdifae&m&JU oabmt"dyÜm,fudk ajymif;vJvmap ygw,f/ odyÜHynmwdk;wufrIuvnf; ordkif;wavQmuf r,SOfomwJhEIef;eJY &Sdae ygw,f/ vlrItzGJUtpnf;udk toGifajymif;apwJh enf;ynmajymif;vJrIawG jzpfap ygw,f/ txl;ojzifh zefw;D todÚmPfwk (AI) eJY rsKd;½d;k ADZe,fy,fawGrmS yg/ topf topfaom vHjk cKH a&;Ncrd ;f ajcmufraI wGvnf; BuKH ae&ygw,f/ qdik b f mppfyaJG wGuae vltpktNyHKvdkuf aoausapEdkifwhJ vufeufrsm;yg yg0ifvmwJh bufrnDrQwJh ppfyaJG wG? vltrsm;tjym;udk tvsiftjrefu;l pufEikd w f hJ uyfa&m*gawG &Sv d mygw,f/ ,ckjzpfaewJh uÇmvH;k qdik &f m tajymif;tvJawGtay: tqifoif&h ifqikd zf Ykd jrefrm 28
Myanmar 2050
EdkifiHu b,fae&mrSmrS &Sdraeao;ygbl;/ odyrf MumcifrmS yJ jrefrmEdik if u H tdrk if;MuawmhrmS yg/ 1970 jynfEh pS rf sm;uwnf;u uÇmBuD;ay:rSm uav; arG; zGm;rI tedrq hf ;kH EIe;f udk BuHKaeMu&ygw,f/ usefwhJ tmqD,H EdkifiHawGvdkyJ jrefrmEdkifiHu &mpkESpftv,frSm tdkrif;ol vlOD;a& trsm;tjym;&Sdvmygr,f/ usefwJholawGeJY rwl wmu jrefrmEdik if u H rcsrf;omcif tdrk if;oGm;MurSm jzpfyg w,f/ aocsmwmu jrefrmEdkifiHrSm NrdKU jyjzpfxGef;rI jzpfvm ygvdrfhr,f/ cefYrSef;csufawGt& q,fpkESpftwGif;rSm vl 5 oef;uae 10 oef;avmufu &efuek ef YJ tjcm;NrdKU BuD;awG udk a&TaU jymif;vmygvdrrhf ,f/ NrdKU jyb0awGu jrefrmEdik if &H UJ tem*wfudk tqHk;tjzwfay;ygvdrfhr,f/ usaemfwdkYu
,ckjzpfaewJh uÇmvHk;qdkif&m tajymif;tvJawGtay: tqifoifh&ifqdkifzdkY jrefrmEdkifiHu b,fae&mrSmrS &Sdraeao;ygbl; ...
29
jrefrm 2050
wDxGifzefwD;rIeJY xkwfvkyfEdkifpGrf;&SdwJh armif;ESiftm;awGeJY aecsifpzG,f NrdKU jyudk &rSmvm;/ 'grSr[kwf &mZ0wfrIawG? vlrIa&; rNidrfoufrIawGeJY 'ku©bHkNrdKU jyrsKd;udk &rSmvm;qdw k m a&G;cs,f&ygvdrrhf ,f/ tckvkd pdeaf c:rIjyóemawGukd jrefrmjynfol awGu od&Sdem;vnfNyD; &ifqdkifajz&Sif;Mu&ygvdrfhr,f/ tem*wftwGuf vdkcsifwJh ajrmfjrifcsuf&SdzdkYvnf; vdktyfygw,f/ &moDOwk azmufjyefajymif;vJraI wGMuHK&if vlxak wGu b,frmS aeMurSmvJ/ 'grSr[kwf w½kwfu tukef vTrf;rdk;oGm;rSmvm;/ xdkif;EdkifiHu NrdKU BuD;awGvdk jzpf vmrSmvm;/ 'grSr[kwf NrdKUi,fuav;awG? &GmawG qufusefaeOD;rSmvm;/ pD;yGm;a&;pepfu b,fvdkjzpfrSmvJ/ c&D;oGm;vkyfief;uae wESpfudk a':vm 50 bDvD,H? odkYr[kwf *sD'DyD&JU 15 &mcdkifEIef;avmuftxd 0ifaiG&aewJh xdkif;EdkifiH vdk jzpfoifhovm;/ 'grSr[kwf a&TUajymif;vkyfom;awGeJY olwdkY tdrfjyefydkYaiGtay: rScD akd ewJEh ikd if v H m;/ ta&SaU 'ou usefwEhJ ikd if aH wG&UJ yHpk t H wdik ;f jynfyydu Yk ek f t"du xkwv f yk rf ?I pm;oH;k oltav;ay;aom ,Ofaus;rI? obm0ywf0ef;usifawG tBuD; tus,fzsufqD;rIawGeJY ¶NzdK;wkd;wufatmifvkyfrSmvm;/ jynfwiG ;f ukrP Ü BD uD;tcsKdu U pD;yGm;a&;udk csKyfuikd v f rT ;f rd;k xm;wm jrefrmjynf olawG vdkcsifMuovm;/ 'grSr[kwf EdkifiHjcm;ukrÜPDawGu pD;yGm;a&;rSm t"du tcef;u@u yg0ifaewmrsKd;vm;/ 'grSr[kwf tao;pm;eJYtvwfpm; vkyfief; awGudk tajcjyKwJh pD;yGm;a&;pepfrsKd;vm;/ ydkvdkYta&;BuD;wmu jrefrmEdkifiHu pD;yGm;a&;t& wef;wlnDrQrIudk OD;pm;ay; rSmvm;/ 'grSr[kwf qif;&Jcsrf;om tBuD;tus,f uGm[aewJhtwdkif; vufcHae xdkifMurSmvm;/ 'Dvu kd pd aö wGukd uRrf;usifoyl nm&Siaf wG qH;k jzwfzYkd r[kwyf gbl;/ jynfov l x l k awGu b,fvt kd em*wfukd vdck sifovJqw kd meJY ywfoufwhJ Ekid if aH &;t& qH;k jzwf csufawGom jzpfygw,f/ 30
Myanmar 2050
vlxk&JU aeYpOfb0tay: tBuD;tus,f oufa&muf r,fh pD;yGm;a&; tem*wftwGuf jrefrmEdik if u H tdyaf ysmf&if; vrf;avQmufaevdkY r&ygbl;/ Oyrmqdk&&if ta&twGuf axmifcsDaom pD;yGm;a&;vkyif ef; ti,fpm;uav;awGu wESpw f ESpq f kd oef;eJcY sw D hJ w½kwEf ikd if o H m;eJY tjcm;Ekid if o H m; c&D;oGm;{nfo h nfah wGukd {nfch aH ewJh rÅav;NrKd [ U m vlenf;pk u xdef;csKyfxm;wJh pufrIvkyfief;tenf;i,feJY ,leefudk jynfyydu Yk ek af wGwifyrYkd ,fh rÅav;NrdKeU EYJ idI ;f ,SO&f if vH;k 0 uGJ jym;aewmudk awGU&rSmyg/ 100 &mcdkifEIef; aocsmwmu twdwfu jrefrmEdkifiH [m rMumciftcsdeftwGif; aysmufuG,foGm;awmhrSmyg/ 'gayrJh jrefrmEdkifiH&JU EdkifiHa&;u twdwfu tuGJtNyJ awGtay:rSm twdwu f yHak zmfxm;cJw h hJ tem*wfy&kH yd af wG ay:rSm tjrpfwG,faewkef;ygyJ/ Oyrmajym&&if udk,fydkif tkyfcsKyfa&;? zuf'&,fpepf pwJhtay:rSm tajccHNyD; jzpf aewJh wkid ;f &if;om;tkypf ak wGtMum; tacstwif jiif;ckrH I yg/ tu,fí ydv k yYkd al vmif? ydv k pYkd pkd w G af er,fh uÇmBu;D ay:u NrdKU BuD;tenf;i,ftwGi;f rSm ajrmufjrm;pGmaom vlaygif;pHk a&maxG; aexdkifMu&awmhr,fqdk&if 'gawGu b,fvdk t"dyÜm,f&SdOD;rSmygvJ/ jrefrmawGtzdkY twdwfumvu ,HkrSwfrSm;csufawG eJY <u,f0csrf;omrI? twdwu f rdrb d mom zlvrkH ?I oH;k rukef wJh o,HZmwawGtay:uae ausmv f eG o f ifyh gNy/D tifrwef tÅ&m,frsm;wJ?h aocsma&&mrIr&Sv d w S hJ tem*wfu tck
vlxkawG&JU aeYpOfb0tay: tBuD;tus,foufa&mufr,fh pD;yGm;a&;tem*wftwGuf jrefrmEdkifiHu tdyfaysmf&if; vrf;avQmufaevdkY r&ygbl; ...
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jrefrm 2050
vufxJ a&mufaeNyDqdkwmudk em;vnfoifhygw,f/ jrefrmhEdkifiHa&;uvnf; Edk;xoifhygNyD/ ta&;ay: tajctae bmawG jzpfae w,fqdkwm Munfhoifhygw,f/ jrefrmawGrSm {&mrydkifqdkifrIawGvnf; &Sdygao; w,f/ 'gayrJh vlawG xifxm;ovdk r[kwfygbl;/ tem*wf uÇmhpD;yGm;a&;u jrefrmawG&JU obm0"mwfaiGU? opf? owåKwGif; xGufawGudk vdkcsifrS vdkygawmhr,f/ 'gayrJh olwdkYu jrefrmwdkY&JU axGjym;wJh ,Of aus;rI? tHhrcef;wnf&SdaewJh ZD0rsKd;pHkuGJjym;rI? Adokumvuf&m? tEkynm? pmay tarGtESp?f vufusefopfawmawGqu D opfyifyef;refawG? wd& ämefawG? urf;½d;k wef;awGeJY uRef;awGudk wefzdk;xm;MurSmyg/ jrefrmawGu vltenf;i,f <u,f0 csrf;omzdkYtwGuf tem*wfrSm wefzdk;xm;Mur,fht&mawGudk zsufqD;ypfMur,fh tÅ&m,fvnf; &Sfdaeygw,f/ jrefrmawGtaeeJY 'dGpHk &nf&G,fcsufESpfck jynfh0zdkY vdktyfw,fqdkwm oabm aygufoifhygw,f/ 'gawGu 'Drdkua&pDeJY aps;uGufpD;yGm;a&;pepfyg/ vuf&Sdtcsdef rSm tem*wfpdefac:rIawGudk &ifqdkifEdkifr,fh pGrf;&nfawG[m ae&mu@wdkif;rSm &S&d v UJ m;qdw k m oHo,jzpfp&myg/ jrefrmEdik if u H 21 &mpk jyóemrsm;&JU a&SaU rSmuf a&mufaewJhtcsdefrSm 20 &mpku tajzawGeJY jiif;cHkHMuwkef;yg/ ydkvdkY wDxGifqef;opfwJh awG;ac:rIawG vdktyfygw,f/ jrefrmjynfolawGudk twlwuG pkpnf;Edkifr,fh Zmwfvrf;topfawGvnf; vdktyfaeygw,f/ vHk;0 aocsm&Sif;vif;wJhtcsufu EdkifiHwumeJY txD;usefz,fMuOfaexdkif wmu tajzr[kwfygbl;/ a&S;twdwf aMu;acwfu v,form;awGeJY ESpfaxmif csD MumNyDjzpfwhJ yk*u H mvuvdk jrefrmawG awGa0qdik ;f iHrh aebJ jyifyu A[kow k awGudk vufcHoifhygw,f/ ydkvdkY BuD;us,fpGm? wDxGifzefwD;rI&SdpGm awG;ac:MuzdkY vdt k yfygw,f/ 'Dvrkd rS [kw&f if vlawG&UJ oufwrf;twGi;f rSmyJ Edik if u H aysmufu, G f aumif; aysmufuG,foGm;Edkifygw,f/ n 32
OD;atmifolNidrf; MODERATOR
jrefrmh 2050 aqG;aEG;yGJudk pwifrSm jzpfygw,f/ yxr OD;qHk; q&mawmf t&SifOD;aombdwudk avQmufxm;ygw,f/ bmomw&m;u wynfah wmfwu Ykd kd ,Ofaus;atmif qH;k r ay;ygw,f/ aemufwcku wynfhawmfwdkY&JU vªabmiftzGJU tpnf;? vª,Ofaus;rIawG ¶NzdK;vmrIrmS vnf; bmomw&m;&JU tcef;u@u ta&;BuD;ygw,f/ 'gayrJh 'DaeYtaetxm;rSm wynfah wmfwYkd bmomw&m; xJrSmyJ wcsdKUu@awGrSm tpGef;a&mufwJh udpöav;awG jzpf vmygw,f/ bmomw&m;udk tajccHNyD;awmh trke;f pum; yGm; wJY wcsKdu U pd aö v;awG jzpfvmygw,f/ 'Dvt kd aetxm;eJY wynfh awmfwdkY vªabmiftzGJUtpnf;u qufoGm;r,fqdkvdkY&Sd&if tem*wfrSm b,fvdkjzpfEdkifovJqdkwmudk aqG;aEG;ay;zdkY wif avQmufygw,f bk&m;/ n
uÇmBuD;&JU ajymif;vJaewJhjzpfpOfawG odyfodomaewJhtcsdefrSm usKyfwdkYu ]wef;wlnDrQ 0g'jzLpifwJhjynf 'dkYjynf 'dkYajr}qdkNyD; a<u;aMumfaewJh vlrsKd;tqifhyJ &Sdaeao;wm awGU&ygw,f/ 'gaMumifh 2020 txdatmifvnf; usKyfwdkYvlrsKd;u a<u;aMumf½HkeJYyJ tcsdefukefaeMuOD;rSm jzpfygw,f/ n
q&mawmfOD;aombdw
q&mawmfOD;aombdw panelist
jrefrmEdkifiH&JU 2050 rSm jzpfay:vmr,fh EdkifiHhtem*wf tvm;tvmawGeJY ywfoufNyD; 2016 ckEpS rf mS tar&duefjynfaxmifpk td[ k ikd ;f tdjk ynfe,fu Bowling Green State University rSm ]jrefrmhynma&; tem*wftvm;tvm}qdkwJh pmwrf; wapmif OD;yÍif; wifoGif;cJhzl;ygw,f/ 'Dvdk tvm;o²mefwlygyJ/ 'geJY enf;enf; wlaew,f/ tJ'Dawmh 2018 ckESpfrSm jrefrmEdkifiH&JU tydkif;u@awGeJY ywfoufvdkY Spiritual (pdwy f ikd ;f qdik &f m)ydik ;f uae ajymay;ygqdak wmh jrefrmEdik if o H nf 'Dru kd a&pD t,f'DwmrSwfcsuf q&mawmfO;D aombdwonf ppfuikd ;f tjynfjynfqikd &f m Ak'b ¨ momynma&; pifwm (IBEC) \ ausmif;tkyf BuD;jzpfNyD; pawmh[krf; Nidrf;csrf;a&;qk &&SdcJhaom q&mawmf jzpfonf/
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jrefrm 2050
wdik ;f jynfukd toGiu f ;l ajymif;p umvjzpfwt hJ wGuf pdeaf c:raI ygi;f rsm;pGmeJY jzwfoef; aeMu&wmudk tm;vHk;aom jynfolvlxkvnf; todjzpfygw,f/ 'Dae&mrSm bmawGu pdefac:rIawGudk jzpfapovJqdkawmh 'Drdkua&pD tul; tajymif;rSm Civil Society vdaYk c:wJh t&yfbuftzGt UJ pnf;awG? tpd;k &bufutydik ;f awG? aemuf wdik ;f &if;om;tydik ;f u@awG &SMd uwJah e&mrSm ajymif;csifwhJ pdwq f E´ awGu tm;BuD;NyD;awmhrS ud, k &hf UJ yxrOD;qH;k vky&f r,fh vkyif ef;awGukd arYavsmhae MuwJt h wGuf wdik ;f jynf&pUJ ed af c:rIawG[m ydNk yD;awG&U w,fvYkd 2018 ckEpS &f t UJ jrifukd OD;yÍif;u yxrOD;qHk;taeeJY ajymygw,f/ 2020 rSmusawmh 'Drdkua&pD tul;tajymif;umv[m ig;ESpfumv &Sdvm wJhtwGuf olwdkY enf;enf;av; a&;a&; odvmMur,f/ 'gayrJh wdkif;jynfrSm&SdwJh vlawG&JU todA[kokw &ifhusufrIjzpfzdkY&mtwGuf jyifqifzdkYudk arhaeMuw,f/ uÇmBuD;&JU ajymif;vJaewJjh zpfpOfawG odyo f o d maewJt h csderf mS usKyfwu Ykd ]wef;wl nDrQ 0g'jzLpifwjhJ ynf 'djYk ynf 'daYk jr}qdNk yD; a<u;aMumfaewJh vlrsKd;tqifyh J &Sad eao; wm awG&U ygw,f/ 'gaMumifh 2020 txdatmifvnf; usKyfwv Ykd rl sKd;u a<u;aMumf½kH eJYyJ tcsdefukefaeMuOD;rSm jzpfygw,f/ tJ'Dae&mrSm 2020 uae 2030 txd c&D;udk oGm;vdkufr,fqdk&if wdkif;jynf twGif;rSm&SdMuwJh rsKd;qufopfawGu 'gudk enf;enf; odvmMuNyD/ olwdkY&JUpdwfu enf;enf;odvmNyD/ igwdkY vkyfrS&awmhr,fvdkY odvmMuwJhtcsdefrSm vli,fawGu pwifNyD; jyifvmMuwJh taetxm;uav;awG awGU&Edkifr,f/ tJ'D awGU&wJhae&m rSm t&yfbuf tzGJUtpnf;&,f? bmoma&; tzGJUtpnf;&,f? &yf&Gm a'ocH acgif; aqmifawGeYJ wdik ;f jynfukd tkycf sKyfMuwJh rif;tpd;k &rsm;u 'Dt&yfbuf tzGt UJ pnf; awGudk todtrSwfjyKNyD; olwdkYwawGu bmvkyfay;&rvJ? 0ef;&HHay;r,fqdk&if wdik ;f jynf&UJ tajymif;tvJwck[m 2030 tuGmta0;rSm c&D;wck a&mufvrd rhf ,f vdYk jrifygw,f/ 'gayrJh 'Dae&mrSm oª&w UJ efz;kd awGu bmjzpfvq J akd wmh Edik if w H umudk 36
Myanmar 2050
txifBuD;½HkrQ BuD;NyD;awmh udk,f udk,fwdkifu txifBuD; &r,fh ,Ofaus;rIukd wnfaqmufz&Ykd mtwGuf usKyfwYkd vl rsKd;awGrSm tm;enf;aewmudk awGU&ygw,f/ udk,fh&JU ,Of aus;rIuv kd nf; xde;f odr;f zdv Yk w kd ,f/ jrefrmh,Ofaus;rIqw kd m uvnf; wefzdk;&Sdw,f/ &SdaewJhwefzdk;udk r,kwfavsmhap bJ EdkifiHwumu vlawGeJY &ifaygifrwef;Edkifao;ygbl;/ 2030 rSm &ifaygifwef;EdkifzdkYqdkwm rpOf;pm;ygeJYOD;/ olwdkYeJY,SOfwGJNyD; aemufuae avQmufEdkifzdkY&mtwGuf jyifMuzdkY&mqdk&if 'D pdwfydkif;qdkif&mt& bmajymvdkY&ovJ qd&k if bk&m;a[mrSm vmxm;wmu ]pdawåe ed,wd avm aum}qdkwJh ygVdpum;vHk;wvkH; &Sdygw,f/ "Spiritual can create everthing, impossible to possible." wJh/ tck ed*;Hk csKyyf gr,f/ 2050 &JU tcif;tusi;f udk Munfrh ,f
bk&m;a[mrSm vmxm;wmuawmh ]pdawåe ed,wd avmaum} qdkwJh ygVdpum;vHk;wvkH; &Sdygw,f/ "Spiritual can create everthing, impossible to possible." wJh ...
37
jrefrm 2050
qdk&if jrefrmEdkifiH&JUtcif;tusif;[m tqdk;bufawGudk oGm;Edkifovdk taumif; bufudkvnf; oGm;Edkifwm&Sdygw,f/ tqdk;bufudkoGm;Edkifwmu bmvJqdkawmh a<u;aMumfoHvdkY ac:wJh a<u;aMumf½HkrQ a<u;aMumfaewJh jrefrmvlrsKd;awG rsm;ae w,f/ tpd;k &a&m? t&yfbuftzGt UJ pnf;awGa&m? rsKd;qufopfawGa&mu tJ'gudk odNyD;awmhrS ud, k &hf UJ ud, k yf ikd Ef ikd if aH wmfuav;awG? rdom;pkuav;awG? NrdKU jy aus; &GmawGukd vSyatmif jyif&r,f/ NyD;awmh pdwyf ikd ;f qdik &f mOD;aqmifEikd w f hJ yk*Kd¾ vfawG uvnf; 0dkif;0ef;yl;aygif;NyD; aqmif&GufoGm;r,fqdk&if 2050 qdkwJh jrefrmEdkifiH&JU tem*wf[m Oa&mywd?Yk tar&duwdu Yk kd ,SONf ydKifEikd w f hJ taetxm;wckukd a&muf Edkifw,f/ tJ'Dvdkenf;eJY vSywJh0ef;usifwckudk rwnfaqmufEdkifbl;qdk&if jrefrm Edik if &H UJ 2050 tem*wftvm;tvm[m tukev f ;kH &ifav;p&mBu;D ygyv J Ykd OD;yÍif;u aqG;aEG;wifjyyg&ap/ n
38
OD;atmifolNidrf; MODERATOR
wefz;kd xm;rIawG ta&;BuD;aMumif; aqG;aEG;ay;oGm;wm aus;Zl;BuD;ygw,fbk&m;/ 'kwd,taeeJY pma&;q&mr *sL;udk zdwfac:csifygw,f/ usaemfwiYkd ,fi,fuae Bu;D vmcJw h w hJ avQmufv;kH rSm &opmay &JUtcef;u@ ta&;BuD;ygw,f/ &opmayuyJ usaemfwdkY&JU pOf;pm;awG;ac:ykH? wefzdk;xm;rIawGudk yHkoGif;vmcJhwm jzpfyg w,f/ q&mrudk,fwdkif t&ifu ESpfpOfeD;yg;avmuf pmtkyf xkwfcJhayr,fh aemufydkif;rSm jcm;oGm;wm owdxm;rdygw,f/ aemufwcku vli,fawG pmzwfwm enf;vmygw,f/ zke;f ok;H wmyJ rsm;vmw,fayghaemf/ 'Dvt kd aetxm;rSm 'Dtwdik ;f quf oGm;&if 2050 rSm &opmayeJY usaemfwdkY&JU vlrItzGJUtpnf; taetxm; b,fvdkjzpfrvJ oHk;oyfay;ygq&mr/ n
Nidrf;csrf;rSmvm; 'grSr[kwf&if tMurf;zufMu rSmvm;? jyóemwckudkajz&Sif;wJhtcgrSm at;at;aq;aq; ajz&Sif;rSmvm;? 'grSr[kwf vufeufeJYajz&Sif;rSmvm;? aoG;xGufoH,dkeJY ajz&Sif;rSmvm;qdkwm &opmay¶NzdK;rI? r¶NzdK;rItay:rSm rlwnfaew,fvdkY usr oabmaygufygw,f/ n
q&mr*sL;
q&mr*sL; panelist
'DaeY vuf&t dS jriftaeeJu Y awmh [kwyf gw,f&iS /hf usrwdYk pmayudk txl;ojzifh &opmayudk zwf½rI I enf;vmygw,f/ vli,fawGomru vlBuD;awGvnf; zwf½rI I enf;ygw,f/ tJ'Dawmh jrefrmEdkifiHomru wjcm;aomEdkifiHawGrSmyg &opmay onf q&majymovdk tm;vH;k tay:rSm oufa&mufr&I ydS gw,f/ tJ'v D &kd w dS t hJ wGuf usrwdkY&JU tem*wf 2050 udk tckae cefYrSef;r,fqdk&if? 'D tajctaetwdkif;om qufomG ;r,fq&kd if OD;yÍif;vnf; ajymoGm;cJo h vdyk /J bmvdv Yk q J akd wmh &opmayonf t,f'DwmrSwfcsuf q&mr*sL;onf jrefrmEdkifiHrS xif&Sm;aom 0w¬Ka&;q&mrsm;teuf wOD;jzpfonf/ obm0ywf0ef;usif xdef;odrf;a&;qdkif&m a[majymaqG;aEG;rIrsm;wGifvnf; a&SUwef;u yg0ifaqmif&GufaeolwOD; jzpfygonf/
41
jrefrm 2050
vlawG&JU pdwfudk u,fwifEdkifw,f/ vlawG&JU qif;&JEGrf;yg;rIudkvnf; u,fwifEdkif w,f/ tJ'DvdkyJ usaewJhpdwfudkvnf; &opmayu u,fwifay;Edkifw,f/ vGwf ajrmufru I kd vdt k yfw,f/ tJ'aD wmh vGwaf jrmufru I kd vdt k yfwt hJ wGuf usrwdEYk ikd if H rSm Liberal Arts vdktyfygw,f/ Liberal Arts qdkwm usrwdkY&JUpdwfudk vGwfajrmufapaom tEkynmayghaemf/ tJ'DtEkynmxJrSm bmawGygrvJqdkvdkY&Sd&if &opmayvnf;ygw,f? *Dw yg0ifyg w,f? Performance Art ygr,f/ aemufNyD; oDuHk;zGJUEGJUrItwwfynm? wa,muf a,mufukd tquftoG,v f yk w f t YJ cgrSm tzGw UJ zGeUJ YJ aemufwzGu UJ kd tquftoG,f vkyfw,f/ qufoG,fwJhtcgrSm usrwdkY&JU pum;tajymtqdk? tJ'gu tifrwef ta&;BuD;ygw,f/ wzufom;&J&U ifxu J kd xdomG ;atmifajymEdik w f m? wzufom;udk pnf;½Hk;Edkifwm 'gawGu qufoG,frI&JU tEkynm/ tJ'gudk usrwdkYvdktyfw,f/ tJ'gawGtwGuf usrwdkYudk &opmayu oifMum;ay;Edkifw,f/ tJ'gaMumifh tckacwfrSm &opmay ¶NzddK;rIenf;w,fqdk&if aemiftem*wfrSm tJ'D&opmay uae tusKd;oufa&mufrjI zpfr,ft h &mawG? tJ'gawGtm;vH;k [m edrahf wmhrmS aygh/ tJ'aD wmh vlwa,muf? vlrt I odik ;f t0dik ;f &JU w&m;rQwrI? rw&m;rI aemufNyD;awmh t"r®? "r® aemufNyD; Nidr;f csrf;rSmvm; 'grSr[kw&f if tMurf;zufMurSmvm;? jyóem wckukd ajz&Si;f wJt h cgrSm at;at;aq;aq; ajz&Si;f rSmvm;? 'grSr[kwf vufeufeYJ ajz&Sif;rSmvm;? aoG;xGufoH,dkeJY ajz&Sif;rSmvm;qdkwm &opmay ¶NzdK;rI? r¶NzdK;rI tay:rSm rlwnfaew,fvdkY usr oabmaygufygw,f/ NyD;awmh 'DacwftaeeJYrajymbJeJY t&ifacwfudkajym&r,fqdk&if usrwdkY&JU t&ifacwfrSm q&maZmf*sD &SdcJhw,f/ q&mBuD;rif;ok0Pf &SdcJhw,fayghaemf/ tJ'D awmh q&maZmf*sD bmaMumifh &SdvJ? q&maZmf*sD&JUt&ifrSm &Sifr[m&|om& &SdcJh w,f/ &Sifr[moDv0Ho &SdcJhw,f/ armifodef;[efqdkwJh vli,fuav;wa,muf udk aZmf*sD&,fvdkY pmqdkjzpfvmatmif jyKjyifay;wJhtxJrSm OD;vwf&JU ]a&Tjynfpdk;}eJY 42
Myanmar 2050
&Sirf [m&|om&&JU ]ud;k cef;ysKd }U wdYk yg0ifw,fvYkd q&mBu;D aZmf *sD&JU pmawGuwqifh usrwdkYodxm;w,f/ tJ'Duaewqifh usrwdkYacwfudk a&mufvmwJhtcg tcktajctaeNyD;vdkY aemufxyf tESpf 30 MumwJhtcgrSm b,folawG &SdrSmvJ/ tJ'DvlawG &SdzdkY vdktyfygw,f/ usr wdkY&JUacwfeJY usrwdkY&JU t&ifacwfuawmh aZmf*sD&Sdr,f? rif;ok0Pf&rdS ,f? a&Tjynfat;&Srd ,f? NrdKrU Nidr;f &Srd ,f? NyD;awmh Munfat;&Sdr,f? jroef;wifh&Sdr,f? yg&*l&Sdr,f? wifrdk;&Sd r,f/ olw&Ykd cdS w hJ t hJ wGuf usrwd&Yk pUJ w d u f av;awG[m El;nHh w,f? odraf rGw U ,fq&kd if usrwdYk vuf&adS cwfrmS b,fo&l dS rvJ/ tJ'DvlawG[m aemufxyf tESpf 30 MumwJhtcg b,foal wGukd arG;zGm;ay;rSmvJ/ b,foal wGukd tusK;d ouf a&mufrmS vJ/ tck't D wdik ;f oGm;r,fq&kd if usrwdo Yk nf &o
&opmayedrfhwJhtwGuf aemufuvlawG[mvnf; edrfhjcif;&JU'Pfudk cH&wJhtcgrSm vªtzGJUtpnf;[m edrfhuswJhvªtzGJUtpnf; jzpfEdkifygw,f ...
43
jrefrm 2050
pmayedrfhwJhtwGuf aemufuvlawG[mvnf; edrfhjcif;&JU'Pfudk cH&wJhtcgrSm vªtzGJUtpnf;[m edrfhuswJhvªtzGJUtpnf; jzpfEdkifygw,fvdkY ajymcsifygw,f&Sifh/ n
44
OD;atmifolNidrf; MODERATOR
Liberal arts eJY &opmay ta&;BuD;yku H kd aqG;aEG;oGm;wm
aus;Zl;wifygw,f q&mr/ 'Dwcg a'gufwmxGef;ol&oufudk zdwfac:csifygw,f/ txl;ojzifh 'DaeYuÇmrSm pufreI nf;ynmu tawmfu h kd ajymif; vJaeygw,f/ Disruptive Technology vdkYawmif ac:ygw,f/ ½kwfjcnf; ajymif;vJNyD;awmh rxifrSwf rcefYrSef;EdkifwJh tae txm;txdudk ajymif;vJwJhykHpH jzpfvmwmyg/ 'Dtaetxm; rSm usaemfwYkd vªabmiftzGt UJ pnf;u b,favmuftxd tqif oifh jzpfNyDvJaygh/ 'geJYywfoufNyD; aqG;aEG;ay;ygOD;q&m/ n
usaemfwdkY 100 rSm 65 OD;onf tckr&Sdao;wJh tvkyftudkifudk vkyfzdkYtwGuf ynma&;pepf jyifqifzdkYvdkw,fvdkY ajymygw,f/ t"dyÜm,fu 65 OD;vkyf&r,fhtvkyfonf tvkyfopfjzpfw,f/ tvm;wl 65 &mcdkifEIef;aom tvkyfta[mif;rsm;onf ajymif;vJoGm;r,f/ n
a'gufwmxGef;ol&ouf
a'gufwmxGef;ol&ouf panelist
usaemfwdkY enf;ynmydkif;rSm q&majymcJhovdk ½kwfjcnf; ajymif;vJNyD;awmh rxifrSwf rcefYrSef;EdkifwJh taetxm;txdudk ajymif;vJvmwJh ykHpHayghaemf/ e,f y,fwdkif;rSmawGU&w,f/ usaemfwdkY o,f,lydkYaqmifa&;e,fy,f Uber, Grab tp &Sw d hJ ukrP Ü aD wG? aiGaMu;0efaqmifrI ay;wJhae&mrSmvnf; WeChat wd?kY Ali Pay wdkY uÇmrSm bPfr[kwfwJh tzGJUtpnf;awG 0ifvmwm awGU&w,f/ 'gudk usaemfwdkY ac:awmh Disruption ayghaemf/ 'Dvyk if ef;u@wckv;kH udk ajymif;vJatmif enf;ynm t,f'DwmrSwfcsuf a'gufwmxGef;ol&oufonf Myanmar Information Technology Pte. Ltd. \ trIaqmift&m&SdcsKyf jzpf ygonf/ ¤if;onf jrefrmEdkifiH uGefysLwmtoif;csKyf\ wGJzuftwGif;a&;rSL;vnf; jzpfygonf/
47
jrefrm 2050
eJY tvSnfhtajymif;vkyfwJh jzpfEdkifajcawGudk awGU&w,f/ okawoewckukd usaemf zwfMunfyh gw,f/ tJ'rD mS bma&;xm;ovJqakd wmh olu US Department of Labours u xkwfxm;ygw,f/ tckvuf&Sd ausmif;rSm&SdwJh ausmif;om; 65 &mcdkifEIef;? t"dyÜm,fu 100 rSm 65 OD; aemiftem*wfrSm vkyf& r,fh tvkyo f nf tckvuf&rdS mS r&Sad o;bl;vdYk ajymygw,f/ usaemfwYkd 100 rSm 65 OD;onf tckr&Sdao;wJY tvkyftudkifudk vkyfzdkYtwGuf ynma&;pepf jyifqifzdkY vdkw,fvdkY ajymygw,f/ t"dyÜm,fu 65 OD; vkyf&r,fhtvkyfonf tvkyfopfjzpfw,f/ tvm;wl 65 &mcdkifEIef;aom tvkyfta[mif;rsm; ajymif;vJoGm;r,faygh/ tJ'Dawmh usaemfwdkY EdkifiHtaeeJY 'Da&pD;udk odzdkYvdkw,f/ ckeu q&mOD;oefYjrifhOD;vnf; ajymcJhw,f? usaemfwdkYudk armif;ESifr,hf enf;ynmwckuawmh todÓPfwk (AI) jzpfygw,f/ um;armif;wJhudpöawG tiSm;um;armif;w,f? bwfpfum;armif;w,f? 'Dtvkyf awGu aemifwcsderf mS ? rMumawmhr,fh oH;k av;ESprf mS tvdt k avsmufarmif;wJu h m; awG? &xm;awG jzpfvmr,f/ wcsKdUvkyfief;awG aysmufukefr,f/ Oyrm¼ txnf csKyfvkyfief;awGrSm Automations (vltpm;xdk; pufud&d,mrsm;? puf½kyfrsm;)awG 0ifvmwJhtcg usaemfwdkYajymif;ukefr,f/ tm;vHk;udk NcHKMunfhvY&dk Sd&if jrefrmEdkiif H b,fa&mufaevJqw dk mudk usaemfwkYd pOf;pm;wJhtcgrSm usaemfh&JUqE´? usaemfh&JUtdyfruf usaemfhtwGuf r[kwfygbl;? usaemfhom;av;u touf av;ESpfqdkawmh olwdkYtwGufaygh? usaemfwdkY jzpfcsif wJh tdyrf ufu a'owGi;f tmqD,rH mS wDxiG zf efw;D rIeYJ ywfouf&if jrefrmEdik if u H kd todynmA[kow k A[dck suf (Knowledge Hub) jzpfapcsiw f ,f/ ynma&;udk tajccH NyD; todynm? twwfynm pka0;wJhae&m jzpfcsifw,f/ Oyrmwcku u,fvD zdk;eD;,m;ayghaemf/ Silicon Valley &Sdw,f/ wuÇmvHk;u tawmfqkH;vlawG tJ'DrSm oGm;pkNyD;awmh wDxGifqef;opfrIudk vkyfMuw,f/ pifumylawmif EdkifiHwumu? 48
Myanmar 2050
a'owGif; EdkifiHawGu vlawmfawG udk qGJaqmifNyD; tod ynm A[kow k A[dck sufjzpfatmif BudK;pm;w,f/ usaemf&h UJ tdyrf ufuawmh aemuftESpf 30 rSm jrefrmEdik if o H nf wcsed f u ynma&;xG e f ; um;cJ h o vd k y J ? wD x G i f q ef ; opf r I e J Y ywfoufv&Ykd &dS if A[dck suw f ckjzpfzYkd arQmv f ifyh gw,f/ ud, k ef YJ tdrfeD;em;csif;rSmvnf; tdE´d,wdkY? w½kwfwdkYvdk pD;yGm;a&; tiftm;BuD; Edik if aH wG&w dS ,f/ 'gudk toH;k csr,fq&kd ifawmh usaemfwdkY jzpfEdkifr,fvdkY ,HkMunfygw,f/ n
jzpfcsifwJhtdyfrufu a'owGif; tmqD,HrSm wDxGifzefwD;rIeJY ywfouf&if jrefrmEdkifiHudk todynmA[kokw A[dkcsuf (Knowledge Hub) jzpfapcsifw,f ...
49
OD;atmifolNidrf; MODERATOR
tckvkd wdw k w kd w k w f w k f aqG;aEG;ay;oGm;wm aus;Zl;wif ygw,f q&m/ usaemfwdkYEdkifiHu Knowledge Hub aygh? A[k okw qHkcsuf jzpfvmrvm;? wDxGifqef;opfrIqHkcsuf jzpfvm rvm;/ aemufwausmhrSm xyfNyD;awmh aqG;aEG;Muygr,f/ 'Dwcg OD;0if;rsKd;oludk zdwfac:csifygw,f/ txl;ojzifh OD;0if;rsK;d olu obm0ywf0ef;usif xde;f odr;f a&; udpaö wGvnf; f yk af &; vkycf w hJ ,f/ aemufwcku EITI vdaYk c:wYJ o,HZmw xkwv rSm yGiv hf if;jrifomrIupd aö wG trsm;BuD;vkycf yhJ gw,f/ obm0 ywf0ef;usit f jyif pGr;f tifupd aö wGvnf; a[majymwm? aqG;aEG; wmawG Mum;cJyY gw,f/ tJ'aD wmh q&mhtaeeJY usaemfwEYkd ikd if &H UJ a&SUtvm;tvmudk aqG;aEG;ay;ygq&m/ n
usaemfwdkYvkyfcJhwJh okawoet&qdk&if tenf;qHk; vlESpfodef;avmuf tdk;rJhtdrfrJhawG a&TUajymif;oGm;vmae&w,f/ 'gu ppfyGJawGaMumifh vlawG xGufajy;&wJh yrmPxufrsm;w,f/ wu,fvdkYrsm; jrpfBuD;awG wckckjzpfukefr,fqdk&if vlOD;a&ajcmufoef; csufcsif;cHpm;&r,f/ n
OD;0if;rsKd;ol
OD;0if;rsKd;ol panelist
obm0ywf0ef;usif xdef;odrf;a&;orm; wa,muftaeeJY ajym&&ifawmh 'DaeYaqG;aEG;wJh acgif;pOfu 2050 qdak wmh usaemfjrifawGcU sifwhJ usaemh&f w UJ ikd ;f jynf ayghAsm/ jrifcsifawGUcsifwJh wdkif;jynf 2050 uawmh ypfwdkif;axmif vªtzGJUtpnf; wckukd jrifcsifawGcU sifygw,f/ bmvdv Yk q J akd wmh ypfwikd ;f axmif vª tzGt UJ pnf;u *kPft*¯av;&yfeJY jynfhpHk&r,f/ wpfu bmvJqdk&if tckajymaewJh &moDOwk ajymif;vJjcif;qdw k hJ pdeaf c:rIukd jyefvnfNyD; emvefxEdik pf rG ;f &Sw d ?hJ &Sio f efxajrmuf t,f'DwmrSwfcsuf OD;0if;rsKd;olonf jrefrmEdkifiH\ obm00ef;usif tzGJUtpnf;jzpfaom Ecodev Myanmar wnfaxmifolESifh tkyfcsKyfrI'g½dkufwm jzpfonf/
53
jrefrm 2050
EdkifpGrf;&SdwJh pGrf;tifeJY jynfhpHkzdkYvdkw,f/ eHygwfEpS u f usaemfwYkd Edik if o H m;wdik ;f [m ud, k pf rG ;f &ifprG ;f oavmuf vkyu f ikd f EdkifwJh? vkyfudkifEdkifoavmufvnf; tusKd;&SdwJh tajctaeaumif;wckudk ydkifqdkif pGrf;aqmifEdkifwJh taetxm;wckudk a&mufcsifw,f/ eHygwfokH;u usaemfwdkY[m apmapmuajymovdkaygh? 'DarQmfvifhcsufawG jynf0h w,f/ b,favmuftxd usaemfwYkd arQmfvifv h /J arQmfvifo h avmufvnf; usaemfwdkY vkyfEdkifw,f/ tck usaemfwdkY jzwfoef;cJY&wJh b0awGrSmqdk&if udk,f arQmfvifhayr,fh udk,fpGrf;Edkifoavmuf rpGrf;EdkifcJhwmawG trsm;BuD;yJ/ 'DvdkrsKd; cg;oD;wJt h awGt U BuHKawGukd 2030¼2050 rSm awG&U r,fh rsKd;qufawGrmS r&Sad pcsif bl;/ arQmfvifch suftjynfeh YJ vkyEf ikd w f t hJ aetxm;rsKd;a&mufcsifw,f/ eHygwfav; uawmh *kPfodu©m&Sd&r,f/ 'Dav;csufeJYjynfhpkHwJh ypfwdkif;axmifvªtzGJUtpnf;udk axmifzdkYvdkw,f/ bm vdv Yk q J akd wmh udo k efjY rifOh ;D ajymoGm;ovdyk /J jrefrmEdik if [ H m 2050 rSm b,fvakd ervJ/ Beyond the 2050-2100 tp &So d nfjzifh aeEdik zf q Ykd w kd m tck twGi;f ydik ;f rSmjzpfaewJh jyóemawGtjyif t"du vTr;f rd;k aewJh tjyifA[d'¨ ESpcf u k kd b,fvpkd rD cH efcY EJG ikd rf vJ qdkwm ta&;BuD;w,f/ wpfu Geopolitics vdkYac:wJh yx0D0ifEdkifiHa&;? ta&SUeJYtaemuf tm;NydKifae wJah e&mrSm usaemfwYkd b,fvpkd rD cH efcY rJG vJ/ 'Dtydik ;f u ordik ;f a&;qdik &f meJY Edik if aH &; qdik &f mqdak wmh usaemf rajymawmhb;l / aemufwcku &moDOwkajymif;vJrq I akd wmh usaemfeJY wdkuf½dkufqufpyfvmwJhudpö jzpfw,f/ tJ'Dawmh &moDOwkajymif;vJrI [m? 'Dtwdik ;f uÇmBu;D &moDOwkajymif;vJaer,fq&kd if vmr,fh ESpf 100 twGi;f rSm tylcsdeu f 4 'D*&Dpifw*D &dwt f xd wufomG ;r,f/ yifv,fa&rsufEmS jyifu tenf; qH;k 15 aytxd wufvmr,f/ tJ't D wGuf uÇmvH;k qdik &f m yg&DoabmwlncD suf t& BudK;yrf;w,f/ 2050 rSm tckajymaewJh vuf&Sdtylcsdefxuf 1 'or 5 'D*&D 54
Myanmar 2050
pifwD*&dwfxuf rwufatmif 0dkif;BudK;yrf;aeMuw,f/ aemufwcku wufvmr,fh yifv,fa&rsufESmjyif [mvnf; ESpaf ytxuf rausmfatmifqw kd hJ &nfreS ;f csuf eJY ypfrSwfxm;NyD; vkyfaew,f/ tJ'Dawmh uÇmvkH;qdkif&m &nfreS ;f csufu jynfrh vm;? rjynfb h ;l vm; rodb;l / odaYk omf jynfrh ,fyJ xm;OD;? (yifv,fa&rsufEmS jyif) ESpaf yavmuf wufvm&if usaemfwdkY {&m0wDwdkif;rSm&SdaewJh vlOD;a& aemf? 5 &mcdik Ef eI ;f uae 10 &mcdik Ef eI ;f avmufu cHpm;oGm; &r,fo h abm &Sw d ,f/ rMumao;cifu usaemfwv Ykd yk cf w hJ hJ okawoet&qdk&if tenf;qHk; vlESpfodef;avmuf tdk;rJh tdrfrJhawG a&TUajymif; oGm;vmae&w,f/ 'gu ppfyGJawG aMumifh vlawGxu G af jy;&wJh yrmPxuf rsm;w,f/ wu,f vdrYk sm; jrpfBuD;awG wckck jzpfuek rf ,fq&kd if vlO;D a& ajcmuf
tckBuHKawGUae&wJh jyóemu bmvJqdkawmh zsm;emaewJhjyóemu wck? zsm;ae&muae usef;rmvmatmifvkyfzdkYu wck? NyD;&if oefpGrf; vmatmifvkyfzdkYu wck oHk;qifhjzpfaew,f ...
55
jrefrm 2050
oef; csufcsif; cHpm;&r,f/ wu,fvdkYrsm; tifrwef qdk;0g;wJh yljyif;ajcmufaoGU rIudk cH&r,fqdk&if tenf;qHk; vl 14 oef;avmuf xdoGm;r,f/ 'Dtwdik ;f yJ usaemfwYkd rScD akd ewJh opfawmawG? a&a0a&vJ opfawmrSm rScD akd e wJh vlOD;a&u oef; 20 avmuf &Sdw,f/ 'D oef; 20 avmufu wckckjzpfoGm;&if cHpm;&r,f/ 'gaMumifh 'Dped af c:rIukd tckuwnf;u jyifqifxm;zdYk vdw k ,f/ usaemf wdkY tm;eJYvnf; r&bl;/ tukefvHk; aygif;NyD;awmh oGm;zdkYvdkw,f/ tJ'Dvdk oGm;zdkY twGuf tck BuHKawGUae&wJhjyóemu bmvJqdkawmh zsm;emaewJh jyóemu wck? zsm;ae&muae usef;rmvmatmifvkyfzdkYu wck? NyD;&if oefpGrf;vmatmif vkyzf u Ykd wck tqifo h ;kH qifh jzpfaew,f/ zsm;emwmudk t&ifu&k r,f? usef;rmvm atmif vkyf&r,f? usef;rmNyD;&ifvnf; oefpGrf;atmif vkyf&r,f/ vkyfr,fqdk&ifvnf; apmapmuajymwJh pGrf;tifu ygvmw,f/ tJawmh 3E vdYk usaemfwYkd ajymygw,f/ wpfu pD;yGm;a&;¶NzdK;wd;k wufatmif b,fvv kd yk rf vJ/ 'Du@xJu2050 rSm ypfwikd ;f axmifjzpfr,fq&kd if pD;yGm;a&;eJY vdu k af vsmnDaxG jzpfwYJ pGr;f tifukd ¶NzdK;atmif b,fvv kd yk rf vJ/ tJ'gawGeYJ vdu k af vsmnDaxG jzpfwhJ ywf0ef;usif? 'Drl0g'awGudk b,fvdkajymif;rvJqdkwJh 3E nDñGwfrIaygh/ 'Drl0g'awG nDñw G af tmifvyk zf Ykd vdyk gw,f/ 'gudak wmh aemuf aqG;aEG;r,ft h ydik ;f usrS qufNyD; aqG;aEG;ygr,f/ n
56
OD;atmifolNidrf; MODERATOR
ypfwdkif;axmif vªtzGJUtpnf;tjzpf jrifcsifwJh q&mh&JU ½Ijrifcsufudk usaemfwdkYav;pm;ygw,f/ 'g½dkufwm c&pöwD;em;cDudk zdwfac:csifygw,f/ vwfw avm umvrSm ½ky&f iS Zf mwfum;ESpu f m;eJY xifay:ausmMf um;vm w,f/ txl;ojzifh aqG;aEG;apcsifwmuawmh Entertainment Yk c:wJh azsmfajza&;vkyif ef;u@&JU a&St U vm;tvm Industry vda b,fvdk&SdrvJ/ enf;ynmtopfawG ay: xGef;vmw,f/ enf; ynmtopf ay:xGef;vmwmeJY wNydKifwnf;rSmyJ usaemfwdkY&JU jrefrmY½yk &f iS v f yk if ef;? *Dwvkyif ef;awGukd b,fvrkd sKd; tqifjh r§ihf rSmvJ/ 'gu wydik ;f &Syd gw,f/ aemufwydik ;f rSm cd;k ul;acGjyóem rsKd;awGvnf; &Sdaeao;w,fqdkawmh 'Dtaetxm;awGeJY azsmaf jza&;vkyif ef;awGuvnf; 2050 txd touf&iS yf grh vm;/ usaemfw&Ykd UJ ,Ofaus;rIjr§iw hf ifa&; vkyif ef;awGvnf; b,fvkd vkyfEdkifrSmvJ/ aqG;aEG;apcsifygw,f/ n
ynma&;u tEkynmudktm;ay;wJh ynma&; r[kwfao;ygbl;/ ausmif;awGrSmvnf; oifMum;jyojcif; r&Sdygbl;/ 'gaMumifh BuD;jyif;vm&wJhb0rSmvnf; tEkynmtay: cHpm;wefzdk;xm;rI? *Dwtay: cHpm;wefzdk;xm;rI wdkYudkvnf; oifMum;cGifh r&cJhovdk pmayzefwD;rItydkif;rSmvnf; tm;enf;cJhygw,f/ n
'g½dkufwm c&pöwD;em;cD
'g½dkufwm c&pöwD;em;cD panelist
½kyf&Sifvkyfief;tygt0if azsmfajza&;e,fy,ftaMumif;udk ajym&r,fqdk&if ynma&;udk pNyD; ajym&ygvdrfhr,f/ ½kyf&SifyJjzpfjzpf? tEkynmyJjzpfjzpf pNyD;awmh zefwD;awmhr,fqdk&if ynma&;uyJ pNyD; zefwD;vdkY&rSmyg/ vuf&Sd tajctaerSm usrwd&Yk yUJ nma&;u tEkynmudt k m;ay;wJh ynma&; r[kwaf o;ygbl;/ ausmif; awGrmS vnf; oifMum;jyojcif; r&Syd gbl;/ 'gaMumifh usrwd&Yk UJ BuD;jyif;vm&wJb h 0 rSmvnf; usrwdaYk wGu tEkynmtay: cHpm;wefz;kd xm;rI? *Dwtay: cHpm; wefz;kd t,f'DwmrSwfcsuf 'g½du k w f m c&pöw;D em;cDonf ]rkj'mac:oH}? ]Oyg,fwrH sOf} ponfh ½ky&f iS Zf mwfum;rsm;jzifh ½ky&f iS Mf unhf y&dowf rsm;tMum; tvSnfhtajymif;jzpfapcJhonfh vli,f'g½dkufwm jzpfygonf/
59
jrefrm 2050
xm;rIwdkYudkvnf; oifMum;cGifhr&cJhovdk pmayzefwD;rItydkif;rSmvnf; tm;enf; cJhygw,f/ bmjzpfvdkYvJqdkawmh usrwdkY&JU zefwD;EdkifwJhpGrf;tm;udk oifMum;ay;wmrsKd; r[kwfbJ 'gav;udk usufvdkufyg? 'gav;udk jyefajzygqdkwJh ynma&;pepfuae vmcJh&wJhtwGuf OD;aESmufeJY zefwD;rIuvnf; awmfawmfhudk xdef;csKyf&wJhtydkif; rSm trsm;BuD; jzpfvmygw,f/ tar&duefjynfaxmifpkrSm ausmif;oGm;wufwJhtcsdefuvnf; 'D'ku©udk &ifqdkifcJh&ygw,f/ olwdkYqDrSm Class participation 10 &mcdkifEIef; &Sd&r,f/ 10 &mcdkif EIe;f txd trSwu f &kd csifw,fq&kd if Class participation &Su d &kd &dS r,fvYkd ajymygw,f/ tJ'DtcgrSm udk,fh&JUtodÓPfawG? udk,fh&JU xifjrif,lqcsufawG? twef;xJrSm &SdaewJholawG&JU zefwD;rIawGudk a0zefydkif;jcm;Edkif&r,fqdkwJh tcsdefrSm usrwdkY twGuu f 'Dvkd xajymwmwd?Yk 'Dvv kd yk w f mwdq Yk w kd m tifrweftm;enf;cJw h hJ Edik if H u vmcJhwJhtwGufaMumifh wcgwavus&if OD;aESmufudk awmfawmfav; tvkyf ay;vdu k &f wJh tqifrh sdK;awGyg BuHK&ygw,f/ aemufNyD; aMumufawmh rajym&Jwmwd?Yk olwyg;udk axmufjywm? a0zefwm? 'gawGukd oifMum; rjyovmwJt h wGuf usr wdkY&JU tEkynmtm;u t&rf;enf;ygw,f/ tJ'gu wckyg/ aemufwcku acwfynmawG t&rf;wd;k wufvmwJt h csderf mS ynma&;u usr wdkYudk usifh0wf? pm&dwåwdkYudk roifMum;ay;cJhwJhtwGufaMumifh ckewkef;u cdk;ul; jyóem[mvnf; olrsm;EdkifiHxuf ydkNyD;awmh BuD;rm;vm&w,fvdkY xifygw,f/ 'Dupd rö sKd;qdw k mu Oya'uvnf; tumtuG,af y;NyD; jzpf&f r,f/ Oya'u tum tuG,frjzpfvmwmu waMumif;? NyD;awmh ckewkef;uvdk usrwdkY i,f&G,fpOf tcguaeNyD;awmh oifMum;jyoay;wJh tEkynmtay: cHpm;wefz;kd xm;rI? olwyg; &JU tEkynmudk av;pm;txifBuD;NyD;awmh MunfEl;EdkifwJhpGrf;tm;udk roifay;bl; qdkvdkY&Sd&if usrwdkYqDrSm olwyg;&JU tEkynmudk 'Dvdk vG,fvG,fav;? ckevdk vdkif; 60
Myanmar 2050
ay: wifay;vdkufr,fwdkY? a0rQay;vdkufr,fwdkY? tvum; ay;vdu k rf ,f qdw k [ hJ muvnf; 'Dynma&;pepfuae vm w,fvdkY usr xifygw,f/ aemufq;kH wcktaeeJY ajymcsifwmuawmh usrwdYk u trsm;tm;jzifh eD;pyfaewJh tck azsmfajza&;e,fy,frSm xdkif;eJY tdE´d,vrf;aMumif;udkvnf; vdkufaew,fvdkY jrif ygw,f/ 'gayrJh usrwdkY owdxm;&rSmu olwdkYawG[m vGefcJhaom tESpf 30 upNyD;awmh tck wdk;wufvmw,f qdkayr,fh uÇmudk wdk;Edkifovm;? rwdk;Edkifao;ygbl;/ 'g aMumifhrdkYvdkY 'Dtwdkif;omqufoGm;r,fqdk&if usrwdkY&JU tEkynm[mvnf; &ifav;p&mwckygyJ/ q&mawmfb&k m; rdefYMum;cJhovdkygyJ&Sifh/ n
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61
OD;atmifolNidrf; MODERATOR
'Dwcg zdwfac:csifwmu q&mra':at;at;0if; jzpfyg w,f/ q&mru owif;rD', D mtvkyu f kd umvMum&Snf vkycf hJ zl;oljzpfygw,f/ tck rD', D mavmurSmvnf; awGyU gvdrrhf ,f/ *sme,fawG wapmifNyD;wapmif &yfem;vdu k &f wJh taetxm;awG jzpfvm w,f/ tJ'gtjyif wzufrSmvnf; pmtkyfwdkufawG wckNyD;wck ydw&f wJh taetxm; jzpfvmw,f/ aemufwcku owif;axmuf awG&JU t&nftaoG;ydkif;qdkif&m jyóemvnf; usaemfwdkYrSm &Sdaeygao;w,f/ tJ'gawGeJYywfoufNyD; a&SU tvm;tvmudk oHk;oyfay;ygcifAs/ n
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a':at;at;0if;
a':at;at;0if; panelist
usrudk ISP uae ajymzdkYac:wJhtcg 2050 owif;rD'D,mavmu&JU tajc taeudk cefYrSef;ajymay;ygvdkY qdkygw,f/ usrudk rdwfaqGwa,mufu vSrf;quf w,f/ 2050 rSm usr &SdOD;rSmrdkYvdkYvm;wJh/ usruawmhxifw,f? usrtazvnf; 90 ausmf aecJah wmh tJ't D csdeaf vmufqkd usrvnf; 90 ausmfaeNyDav? &SOd ;D rSmyg/ usr Munfo h mG ;csifao;w,faemf/ rD', D mavmuBuD; b,favmufw;kd wufovJ Munfhcsifygw,f/ t,f'DwmrSwfcsuf a':at;at;0if;onf AP owif;Xmeü ESpfaygif; 25 ESpfausmf vkyfudkifcJholjzpfNyD; 2013 ckESpfwGif rpfZl&D *sme,fvpfZifausmif;rS Honor Medal for Distinguished Service qk &&SdcJhol jzpfonf/
65
jrefrm 2050
2050 qdkawmh ESpf 30? wu,fawmh odyfra0;ygbl;/ usr 60 ausmfaeNyDyJ/ ESpf 30 ESpcf gjyef ausmfcNhJ yD;NyD/ tJ'aD wmh odyt f a&;rBuD;bl; xifygw,f/ tJ'aD wmh aemufxyf ESpf 30 twGuf ajymr,fqdk&if vGefcJhwJh ESpf 70? vGwfvyfa&;&NyD;wJh tcsdeu f pNyD; Armjynf&UJ owif;rD', D mavmu tajctae b,fvv kd q J w kd m t&if odzdkYvdkr,f xifygw,f/ r[kwf&if a&SU ESpf 30 ajymNyD;awmh aemufu ESpf 70 bmvJqdkwm rodbJaeygr,f/ jrefrmEdik if &H UJ owif;rD', D mavmuqd&k mrSm ESpyf ikd ;f cGNJ yD; ajym&ygvdrrhf ,f/ ESpf 70 qdw k u hJ mvrSm 14 ESpaf vmufjzpfw?hJ jrefrmEdik if H vGwv f yfa&;&NyD;p tcsdeu f ae 1962 ckESpf ppftmPmrodrf;cifumvudk usrwdkYu rD'D,m&JUa&TacwfvdkY ac:yg w,f/ tifrwefaumif;wJh a&TacwfBuD;wck &SdcJhzl;w,fqdkwm tifrwef i,fwJh vlawG odcsifrSodrSmyg/ usr arG;NyD;vdkY awmfawmfawmif touf&aeygNyD/ tJ'D awmh usr odcJhygw,f/ tJ'[ D mNyD;wJt h cgrSm Media dark age vdaYk c:wJ?h tifrwef arSmifru kd w f hJ nBuD; vdkyJ rD'D,mawGr¶NzdK;bJeJY qdwfokOf;oGm;wJhacwfBuD;udkvnf; jzwfausmfcJh& ygw,f/ tJ't D csdeu f awmh 1962 ckEpS af emufyikd ;f umvudk qdv k ykd gw,f/ yk*v ¾ u d owif;pmawG r&Sad wmhb;l / pmaypdppfa&;qdw k hJ tzGt UJ pnf; ay:vmw,f/ owif;pm q&mawGudk zrf;w,f? qD;w,f? owif;pmawGudk jynfolydkifodrf;w,f/ tJ'Dvdk tcsdefawGudk usrwdkYu Media dark age vdkY ac:csifygw,f/ tJ'aD wmh aemuf ESpf 30 us&if bmjzpfrvJqw kd mudak wmh cefrY eS ;f NyD; ajym&&if usrwdu Yk a&Tacwfuakd wmh ra&mufEikd af o;bl;vdyYk J ajymyg&ap/ aemufwydik ;f rSm enf;enf;csJU NyD; ajymwmayghaemf/ n
66
OD;atmifolNidrf; MODERATOR
usaemfwdkYvnf; rD'D,m a&Tacwfudk jyefjrifcsifygw,f q&mr/ 'Dwcg zdwfac:csifwmu OD;pdkif;ñGefYvGif jzpfygw,f/ &Srf; wdkif;&if;om;rsm; 'Drdkua&pDtzGJUcsKyf (SNLD) &JU twGif;a&;rSL; jzpfygw,f/ usaemfwdkY wdkif;jynfu wdkif;&if;om;aygif;pHk pkaygif;NyD; aexdkifMuwJh EdkifiHyg/ tcktcsdefrSmvnf; zuf'&,f'Drdkua&pD jynfaxmifpk wnfaqmufa&;qdw k hJ udpaö wGukd ajymaeMuwJh tcgusawmh wdkif;&if;om;awG&JU ajrmfjrifcsufeJY ywfoufNyD; 'DEdkifiHrSm 2050 qdk&if b,fvdkjzpfEdkifrvJ/ aqG;aEG;ay;ap csifygw,f/ n
usaemfwdkYEdkifiHrSm jzpfaewJhudpöu OD;aESmuf,dkpD;rI r[kwfawmhygbl;/ EdkifiHxJrSm&SdwJh usaemfwdkYaoG;awGaygh? aoG;,dkpD;rIvdk jzpfaew,f/ wESpfwESpfudk 'Dvdk odef;*Pef;eJY aoG;,dkpD;rIjzpfaew,fqdk&if 2050 rSm usaemfwdkY&JU tajctae[m aumif;EdkifwJh taetxm; r&SdEdkifbl;/ n
pdkif;ñGefYvGif
pdkif;ñGefYvGif panelist
yxrOD;qHk; 'DaeY vuf&Sdtajctaeaygh/ aumif;wJh tajctaeawG quf vufxdef;odrf;oGm;NyD;awmh raumif;wJh tm;enf;csufawGudk jyKjyifoGm;vdkY&Sd&if 2050 twGuf jyifqifEdkifw,fvdkY ,lqygw,f/ tJ'Dawmh wdkif;&if;om;udpöudk aemufrS ajymygr,f/ tckavmavmq,f jrefrmEdkifiH&JU yx0Dtaetxm;udk MunfhvdkufwJhtcgrSm usaemfwdkYEdkifiH&JU ywfywfvnfrSm vlOD;a& tifrwefrsm;wJh wdik ;f jynfawG 0ef;&Hxm;wm awG&U ygr,f/ vlO;D a&vnf; rsm;w,f/ usaemfwx Ykd uf t,f'DwmrSwfcsuf pdkif;ñGefYvGifonf &Srf;wdkif;&if;om;rsm;'Drdkua&pDtzGJUcsKyf (SNLD) \ 'kwd,Ouú| jzpfygonf/
69
jrefrm 2050
vnf; ¶NzdK;wJh taetxm; &Sdygw,f/ wcsdefwnf;rSmyJ usaemfwdkYEdkifiH&JU 2014 ckESpf oef;acgifpm&if;udk jyefMunfh vdkufwJhtcg tHhMop&maumif;avmufatmif vlOD;a&usqif;aewm awGU&rSmyg/ vlOD;a&uGmjcm;rIayghaemf/ vlOD;a&uGmjcm;rI odyfrsm;aewJhtwGuf 2050 rSm pdwf ylyefp&m jzpfEikd w f ,f/ usaemfwo Ykd m 'DaeY rjyifqif? rwm;qD;Edik b f ;l qd&k if tcuf tcJ wpHkw&m awGUEdkifr,fvdkY xifygw,f/ usaemfhrdwfaqGawG&JU tqdkt&qdk&if r*Fvm'Hkavqdyfuae aeYpOfaeYpOf wvudk vlaomif;*Pef;avmuf EdkifiHjcm;xGufNyD; tvkyf vkyfaew,fqdkawmh wESpq f &kd if tenf;qH;k ode;f *Pef;ygyJ/ 'gu bmudjk yovJq&kd if OD;aESmuf,pkd ;D rIvYkd t&ifwkef;u usaemfwdkY oHk;Muw,f/ usaemfwdkYEdkifiHrSm jzpfaewJhudpöu OD;aESmuf,dkpD;rI r[kwfawmhygbl;/ EdkifiH xJrSm&SdwJh usaemfwdkY aoG;awGaygh? aoG;,dkpD;rIvdk jzpfaew,f/ wESpfwESpfudk 'Dvdk ode;f *Pef;eJY aoG;,dpk ;D rIjzpfaew,fq&kd if 2050 rSm usaemfw&Ykd UJ tajctae[m aumif;Edik w f hJ taetxm; r&SEd ikd b f ;l / 'gudk b,fvekd nf;eJyY jJ zpfjzpf usaemfwYkd ukpm; zdkYvdkaeNyD? ta&;wBuD;ayghaemf/ aemufwcsuf vGwfvyfa&; &NyD;uwnf;uae zGm;zufawmfaygh/ 'DaeYtxd jrefrmEdkifiHrSmjzpfaewJh y#dyu©awG[m ESpfaygif; 70 &SdygNyD/ rukpm;Edkifao;ygbl;/ txl;ojzifh wdkif;&if;om;awGeJY y#dyu©awG[m 'DaeYtxd tqHk;rowfEdkifao; ygbl;/ 'g[m aumif;wJhudpöawmh r[kwfbl;/ 2050 qdk&if aemufxyf ESpf 30? usaemfwdkY rukpm;bJeJY tJ'Dudka&mufoGm;r,fqdk&if usaemfwdkYEdkifiH&JU ordkif;[m &mpkwck y#dyu©awGjzpfaewJh wdik ;f jynftjzpf ordik ;f 0ifomG ;ygvdrrhf ,f/ 'gaMumifh 'DaeYrSm jzpfwJhenf;eJY usaemfwdkY BudK;pm;zdkYvdkr,f xifygw,f/ trsKd;om; jyefvnfoifhjrwfa&;? wa,mufeJYwa,muf cspfMunf&if;ESD;a&;? nDñw G af &;? nDñw G af &;qdNk yD; a<u;aMumfcw hJ mawmh ESpaf ygif;rsm;pGm &Scd yhJ gNyD/ 'gay 70
Myanmar 2050
rJh 'DaeYtxd vufawGU taumiftxnfazmfEikd w f m r&Sad o; ygbl;/ 'Dtcsufudkvnf; usaemfwdkY aocsm pOf;pm;NyD;awmh ukpm;zdYk vdrk ,fxifygw,f/ tJ'v D kd rukpm;Edik v f &Ykd &dS if ud, k f cHtm;awGu wjznf;jznf;eJY? ckeuvdk aoG;awGuvnf; ,dpk ;D aew,f/ jynfwiG ;f rSmvnf; y#dyu©awGu &Sad eao; w,fq&kd ifawmh usaemfw[ Ykd m 2050 udk arQmfvifv h Ykd odyf aumif;r,frxifygb;l / ukpm;Edik cf w hJ ,fq&kd ifvnf; usaemf wd&Yk t UJ em*wfu usaemfwYkd ajr;awGtwGuyf J aumif;r,f vdkY xifygw,f/ n
nDñGwfa&;? nDñGwfa&;qdkNyD; a<u;aMumfcJhwmawmh ESpfaygif;rsm;pGm &SdcJhygNyD/ 'gayrJh 'DaeYtxd vufawGU taumiftxnf azmfEdkifwmr&Sdao;ygbl; ...
71
OD;atmifolNidrf; MODERATOR
aoG;,dpk ;D rI jyóemeJY ESpf 70 ausmMf um r&Si;f Edik w f hJ y#dyu© udk q&m axmufjyoGm;wm awGU&ygw,f/ 'Dwcg a'gufwmpdk;xGef;udk zdwfcsifygw,f/ a'gufwm pd;k xGe;f u qefpyg; vkyif ef;&SiBf u;D rsm;toif;rSmvnf; vkyw f ,f? pD;yGm;a&;vkyfief; u@awGrSmvnf; yg0ifywfoufaewJhol jzpfwJhtcgusawmh wdkif;jynf&JU pm;eyf&du©mvHkNcHKa&; (Food kd o f vJ/ usaemfwYkd wdik ;f jynf Security) tajctae b,fvjkd zpfEi pD;yGm;a&;uvnf; 'DumvawGrmS xdik ;f rdiI ;f aew,f qdw k hJ tae txm;rsKd; aqG;aEG;MuwmawG &Sdygw,f/ 'Dvdk qufoGm;r,f qdk&if wdkif;jynftem*wf b,fvdkjzpfEdkifovJ aqG;aEG;ay;zdkY zdwfac:ygw,f/ n
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a'gufwmpdk;xGef;
a'gufwmpdk;xGef; panelist
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75
jrefrm 2050
odkYaomf wck pdk;&drfp&m&Sdw,f/ aus;vufa'orSm vkyfom;&Sm;yg;rI jzpfaew,f/ bmvdv Yk q J akd wmh ta&SrU mS vnf; ajymcJyh gw,f/ usaemfww Ykd ikd ;f jynf[m vGwv f yf a&; &atmifqNkd yD; wdu k cf w hJ ,f/ Adv k cf sKyfatmifqef; OD;aqmifNyD;awmh tck ESpaf ygif; 70 MumwJhtcg udk,fhxD;udk,fheef;eJYaeEdkifwJh tajctaea&mufwJh taetxm; &Sdw,f/ 'gayrJh usaemfwdkYqDu vlrsKd;awmfawmfrsm;rsm;aygh/ Oyrm ¼ xdkif;EdkifiHrSm qdkvnf; av;oef;avmuf? rav;&Sm;rSm wpfoef;avmufaygh/ EdkifiHul;vufrSwf xkwfay;a&;½Hk;rSmMunfh&if aeYpOfeJYtrQ wef;pDaew,f/ tJ'gu bmudkjyaevJ qdk&if 'DrSm&SdwJh usaemfwdkY&JU jynfolawG? usaemfwdkY&JU vli,fawG[m olwdkY&JU b0 [m udk,fhwdkif;jynfrSmaeNyD; udk,fhxD;udk,fheef;eJY ae&wm auseyfrI&SdaeNyDvm; qdkwJh ar;cGef;xkwfp&m &Sdw,f/ tpd;k &tqufqufukd Munfv h u kd w f t hJ cg tm;vH;k u aumif;w,f ajymwmyJ/ rqvacwfrSmajymvnf; GDP awG aumif;w,f ajymwmyJ/ 2 Digits avmuf &SdwmyJ/ usaemfwdkY wyfrawmftpdk;&acwfrSmvnf; aumif;wmyJ/ wHwm;awG b,fEpS if; aqmufw,f? qnfawG b,fEcS &k w dS ,f? GDP u wufaew,f/ OD;ode;f pdef tpdk;&vufxufvnf; pD;yGm;a&;u aumif;wmyJ/ pD;yGm;a&;t& Munfhvdkufwdkif; ude;f *Pef;awG wufaewmyJ/ 'Dacwfvnf; aumif;wmyJ/ uÇmYbPf xkwjf yefcsuf Munfv h nf; aumif;w,f/ tm;vH;k aumif;aerSawmh usaemfwYkd bmaMumifh 'Dvakd wG oGm;aervJ/ usaemf tJ'gawmhtHhMow,f/ usaemfvnf; tck tpnf;ta0;awG bmawG zdwfawmh wufw,f/ bm jyóem&SdvJqdk&if usaemfu ½dk;½dk;yJawG;wwfw,fav/ vli,fvnf; vli,f? 'gayrJh tpnf;ta0;wufwdkif; usaemf ajymwJhpum;udk em;raxmifbJ armif; xkwcf &H wm rsm;w,f/ tpd;k &tqufqufuae 'Dtpd;k &txd ygw,f/ bmvdq Yk v kd Ykd &Sd&if a'gufwmpdk;xGef;? tpnf;ta0;qufrwuf&if &ygNyDaygh/ usaemfu ½dk;½dk;yJ ar;wwfw,f/ olwdkYu aumif;w,f? aumif;w,f tm;vHk;u ajymwJhtcsdefrSm 76
Myanmar 2050
usaemfar;wJah r;cGe;f u wtm;rsm; ½d;k aevm;ayg?h vGaJ ewm ayg/h aumif;w,fvYkd ajymwJt h csed rf mS bmaumif;vJ usaemf rodbl;/ ckeu ajymwJh tajccHawGaygh/ pm;0wfaea&;u wu,fa&m ajyvnfaeNyv D m;/ iwfawmhriwfMubl;ajym Muw,f/ 'gayrJh riwf½HkeJY jynfhpHkNyDvm;/ vli,fawG&JU tem*wfua&m wu,f&Sd&JUvm;/ tJ'D ar;cGef;u ar;p&m&Sdw,f/ vli,fawGudk OD;pm;ay;w,f ajymwmyJ/ awmifolv,form;awGudkvnf; OD;pm;ay; w,f ajymwmyJ/ v,form;awG tjrJwrf; ydkufqH&Sd? tck vnf;&S?d aemifvnf; ydu k q f &H zdS yYkd J BudK;pm;w,f/ b,fawmh rS ta<u;u rausEdkifbl;/ tJ'aD wmh b,fawmhrsm;rS usaemfwYkd aumif;rvJ rod bl;aygh/ trsKd;orD;awGudkvnf; OD;pm;ay;w,f ajymMu
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77
jrefrm 2050
wmyJ/ 'gayrJh wu,fwrf;awmh trsKd;orD;awG a&Sw U ef;a&mufNyDvm;/ vli,fawG a&m wu,fyJ a&SUwef;udk a&mufvmNyDvm;/ pD;yGm;a&;vkyfudkifwJh ae&mrSmvnf; wu,fwrf; OD;pm;ay;cH&&JUvm;/ 'gu jyóem&Sdvmw,f/ tJ'Dawmh usaemfwdkYu 'Dtwdkif;oGm;ae&if ESpfaygif; 30 bmjzpfrvJqdkawmh t&iftwdkif;yJ jzpfrSmayghaemf/ bmrS rajymif;Edkifbl;aygh/ n
78
OD;atmifolNidrf; MODERATOR
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usaemfwdkYEdkifiHtwGuf 2050 rSm wu,fvdkwmu bmvJqdk&if igwaum aumwwfwJh acgif;aqmifBuD;rsm;udk xdef;csKyfMuyfrwfNyD; ckeuajymxm;wJh t&nftaoG;rsm;eJYjynfhpHkwJh acgif;aqmifaumif;rsm;udk jr§ifhwifEdkifr,fqdk&if wdkif;jynfrSm tvm;tvm&Sdr,f/ n
OD;rif;Zif
OD;rif;Zif panelist
2050 rSm jrefrmEdik if u H kd b,fvjkd rifcsifovJq&kd if a&SyU ikd ;f rSm aqG;aEG;cJMh uol awGu obm0ab;tÅ&m,fvdk [mrsdK;awG? vlOD;a& ta&TUtajymif;awG? qif;&J csrf;om uGm[rIawG? 'gawGu rsKd;quftvdu k o f mG ;&r,fh udprö sdK;awGvYkd aqG;aEG; oGm;Muygw,f/ usaemfuawmh 2050 udk EdkifiHa&;½Iaxmifht& Munfhr,fqdk&if acgif;aqmifqdkwJhudpöudk OD;pm;ay; ajymcsifygw,f/ 2050 rSm acgif;aqmifudk tm;jyK&wJh Edik if b H 0uae acgif;aqmifru I t kd m;jyK&wJh Edik if b H 0udak &mufzYkd usaemf t,f'DwmrSwfcsuf OD;rif;Zifonf ISP-Myanmar \ trIaqmif'g½du k w f mjzpfonf/ ¤if;onf tar&duefjynfaxmifpk bmuav wuúodkvfwGif EdkifiHa&;odyÜH yg&*lbGJUtwGuf pmwrf;jyKpkaeol jzpfygonf/
81
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Myanmar 2050
usaemfu tJvdkawGajymwJhtcg 'gjzifh&if ]rif;u vnf;uGm? acgif;aqmifa&mvdkao;vdkYvm;}vdkY ar;p&m &Sdygw,f/ apm'uwufp&m &Sdygw,f/ acgif;aqmifvdkyg w,f/ 'Drdkua&pDrSm acgif;aqmifvdkw,f/ txl;ojzifh acgif;aqmifaumif;awG vdkygw,f/ 'gayrJh acgif;aqmif BuD;rsm;awmh rvdkygbl;/ acgif;aqmifBuD;rsm;qdkwmu bmvJqdkawmh igxifwm? igvkyfwmu rSefw,fqdkwJh ig waumaumwJh taetxm;rsKd; rvdkygbl;/ bmvdkYvJqdk awmh acgif;aqmifaumif;rsm;uomvQif rsdK;qufrsm;udk vufqifhurf;NyD;awmh OD;aqmifoGm;Edkifwm jzpfygw,f/ acgif;aqmifBuD;rsm; qdw k muawmh olwu Ykd , kd o f w l Ykd tcdik f trmjzpfNyD;awmh ½kyw f x k zk yYkd J OD;pm;ay;aewm jzpfygw,f/ 'gjzif&h if acgi;f aqmifaumif;&JU t&nftaoG;ubmvJ/
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83
jrefrm 2050
usaemf aemufydkif; rSm qufNyD;awmh csJUajymygr,f/ usaemfh&JUtjrift& eHygwfwpf ajymcsifwmuawmh acgif;aqmifaumif; qdkwm[m 'DEdkifiH? 'Dwdkif;jynf? udk,f OD; aqmifwJh tzGJUtpnf; b,fudkOD;wnfNyD;awmh a&S;½IoGm;oifhw,fqdkwJh Vision (ajrmfjrifcsuf)udk xkwfazmfEdkifwJhol jzpf&ygr,f/ oª&JU ajrmfjrifrIaumif;ovm;? tjcm;vl&UJ ajrmfjrifrI aumif;ovm; qdw k mudk jynfoal wGu a&G;cs,rf mS jzpfygw,f/ ajrmfjrifcsufudk xkwfazmfEdkifwJhol jzpf&ygr,f/ eHygwfESpfu ig bmvkyfcsifw,f? ig bmvkycf w hJ ,fqw kd m trsm;jynfou l kd &Si;f jywJh wm0ef,rl ?I wm0efcrH &I w dS hJ yk*Kd¾ vf rsdK; jzpf&ygr,f/ ajymcsifwmuwrsKd;? vkycf sifwm vkyv f mwmuwrsKd;eJY wm0efrv hJ Ykd r&ygbl;/ aemufq;kH wckuawmh ud, k pf ;D wJjh rif; txD;vm;? trvm; odzv Ykd ykd gw,f/ udk,fu acgif;aqmifjzpfvmNyDqdk&if b,frl0g't& vkyfaewmvJ? udk,fh&JUrl0g'eJY ywfoufvYkd uRrf;usiftqifh r[kw&f ifawmif wD;rdacgufrd &S&d ygr,f/ wD;rdacgufrd r&Sdbl;qdk&ifvnf; uRrf;usifwJholudkac:NyD;awmh wm0efay;&JwJh pdwfaejrifhrI&SdzdkY vdyk gw,f/ 'Do;kH ck[m acgif;aqmifaumif;&JU t&nftaoG;vdYk usaemfxifygw,f/ csKyfNyD;ajym&if 'Drdkua&pD&JU tvSw&m;? usaemfwdkYEdkifiHtwGuf 2050 rSm wu,fvdkwmu bmvJqdk&if igwaumaumwwfwJh acgif;aqmifBuD;rsm;udk xdef;csKyfMuyfrwfNyD; ckeuajymxm;wJh t&nftaoG;rsm;eJYjynfhpHkwJh acgif;aqmif aumif;rsm;udk jr§ifhwifEdkifr,fqdk&if wdkif;jynfrSm tvm;tvm&Sdr,fvdkY usaemf oHk;oyfygw,f/ n
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OD;atmifolNidrf; MODERATOR
udkrif;Zifu acgif;aqmifrIeJYywfoufvdkY txl; aqG;aEG; oGm;ygw,f/ 'DaeY aqG;aEG;rIawGudk enf;enf; jyefcsKyfMunfh r,fqdk&if txl;ojzifh usaemfwdkY tem*wfudkMunfhwJhtcgrSm Structurevda Yk c:wJh zGpUJ nf;xm;rItydik ;f eJY ywfoufNyD; aqG;aEG; MuwmawG &Sdygw,f/ aemufwcg Institution vdkYac:wJh tzGJU tpnf;pepfqdkif&m udpöawGvnf; aqG;aEG;Muwm ygygw,f/ aemufwcg Culture vdkYac:wJh ,Ofaus;rI &opmay? azsmfajz a&;u@ 'gawGeJYywfoufvdkY aqG;aEG;wmawG &Sdygw,f/ udk rif;Zif aqG;aEG;oGm;wmawmh Agent vdkYac:wJh acgif;aqmifrI tydkif;ayghaemf/ vlyk*¾dKvfawG&JU tydkif;udk aqG;aEG;oGm;w,fvdkY usaemf ,lqygw,f/ tcsdew f t kd wGi;f rSm tm;vH;k xdxad &muf a&muf aqG;aEG;ay;oGm;wm trsm;BuD; aus;Zl;wifygw,f/ 'kwd,ydkif; aqG;aEG;rI qufvufjyKvkyfoGm;ygr,f/ n
tem*wfjrefrmEdkifiH 2050 myanmar 2050
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OD;atmifolNidrf; MODERATOR
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q&mawmfOD;aombdw
q&mawmfOD;aombdw panelist
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91
jrefrm 2050
udk,fudk,fwdkif arwåmw&m;udk rwnfaqmufbJeJY olrsm;udk arwåmrQcsifvdkY r&ygbl;/ udk,fudk,fwdkif Nidrf;csrf;rIudk rwnfaqmufbJeJY ...
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Myanmar 2050
qdw k hJ jA[®p&kd w f &m;av;yg;eJY wnfxm;ygw,f/ 'gaMumifrh v Ykd Ykd jrefrmawG&UJ vkyEf ikd f pGr;f &nf wefz;kd awG? vªprG ;f tm; t&if;tjrpfawG? pdwyf ikd ;f qdik &f mawGu jrifNh yD;om; jzpfw,f/ uÇmay:rSm Munfv h u kd v f &Ykd &Sd if wu,fah rwåmppfeYJ cspfwwfwv hJ rl sKd;[m uÇmay:rSm jrefrmqdkNyD; a<u;aMumfvdkY&w,f/ aemif 2050 rSm 'Dwefz;kd awGukd wnfaqmufvYkd r&bl;vm;/ &ygw,f/ tJ'v D kd wnfaqmufzt Ykd wGuf tcsed , f &l rSmu ESpaf ygi;f 20 ygy/J 2020 txd xm;vdu k af wmh/ a<u;aMumf&if;eJyY J tcsdeu f ek o f mG ;NyD/ usKyfwYkd 'Dvykd J xm;vdu k Mf uawmh/ yxrtqifh u bmvJqakd wmh vkyif ef;pOfwckukd ajymif;vJwahJ e&mrSm rjzpfrae vdt k yfygw,f/ a<u;aMumf&if;eJY arQmfvifch sufawG &d&S r,f/ arQmfvifv h Ykd r&vmbl;qd&k if? vlawGu bmvky&f rvJqakd wmh ud, k u hf , kd u f , kd t f m;xkw&f r,f qdw k hJ todpw d "f mwfawGukd OD;aqmifvIHYaqmfolawG? bmoma&;vIHYaqmfolawGu ajymjyay;zdkYvdkygw,f/ ud, k u f , kd w f ikd f arwåmw&m;udk rwnfaqmufbeJ YJ olrsm;udk arwåmrQcsifvYkd r&ygbl;/ udk,fudk,fwdkif Nidrf;csrf;rIudk rwnfaqmufbJeJY olrsm;udk Nidrf;csrf;a&;
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b,favmufatmfatmf r&ygbl;/ 'gaMumifh jrefrmjynfBuD; Nidrf;csrf;apcsifw,f qdk&if wOD;wa,mufcsif;uae Nidrf;csrf;rIudk wnfaqmufzdkYvdkygw,f/ olrsm;udk arwåmay;csifw,fqdk&if udk,fudk,fwdkifu arwåmawG jynfh0aezdkYvdkygw,f/ olrsm;udk acgif;aqmifcsifw,fq&kd if ud, k u f , kd w f ikd u f acgif;aqmifEidk w f hJ t&nf tcsif;&dSatmif yxrOD;qHk; jznfhwif;zdkY vdkygw,f/ pdwfydkif;qdkif&meJYywfoufwJh pGrf;aqmif&nf&,f? ½kyfydkif;qdkif&m pGrf;aqmif&nf&,fqdkNyD; ESpfydkif;&dSygw,f/ tJ'D pdwfydkif;qdkif&meJY ½kyfydkif;qdkif&mESpfckvHk; o[Zmwjzpfatmif oGm;zdkY&m twGuf b,frmS ta&;BuD;ovJqakd wmh vlxrk mS ta&;BuD;ygw,f/ tck wdik ;f jynf wckvHk;u wdkif;oljynfom;awG&JU b0awG[m tifrwefrS 0rf;enf;p&m aumif; ygw,f/ uÇmBuD;udkvnf; rsufjcnfjywfw,f/ uÇmBuD;udk txifBuD;ae&if;eJY trDvnf; rvdkufEdkifbl;/ a<u;aMumfaewmu aemiftESpf20 rSm wdkif;jynfBuD; bmjzpfr,f/ aemif ESpf 30 rSm bmjzpfr,f? b,fox ª uf om&r,fqNkd y;D b,favmuf yJ a<u;aMumfa<u;aMumf tJ'gu vufawGUrusygbl;/ tem*wf 2050 rSm wu,fwrf;om,mvSywJh jrefrmEdkifiHawmfBuD;tjzpfeJY jrefrmh,Ofaus;rIawGukd xde;f odr;f oGm;r,fh Edik if aH wmfBuD;jzpfz&Ykd mqd&k if? usKyfw&Ydk UJ vªtzGJUtpnf;xJrSm&dSaeMuwJh bmoma&;acgif;aqmifawG? vlrIa&;acgif;aqmif awG tJ'DvlawGudk wdkif;jynftkyfcsKyfMuwJh vlawGuvnf; todtrSwfjyKzdkY vdkyg w,f/ tJ'D wdik ;f jynftyk cf sKyfMuwJh rif;tpd;k &awGeYJ jynfoal wG tm;vH;k yl;aygif;NyD; wefzdk;awGudk wnfaqmufMuwJhae&mrSm wOD;csif;&JU pdwfaepdwfxm;awG? pGrf; aqmif&nfawGudk usKyfwkdYu wnfaqmufay;&rSm jzpfygw,f/ pGr;f aqmif&nf wnfaqmufjcif; (Capacity building) vdYk ajymwJah e&mrSm 'gonf Edik if w H nfaqmufjcif;ygyJ/ tJ'gudk arhaeMuwJt h wGuf usKyfwYdk wdik ;f jynf[m aemuf usaejcif; jzpfw,f/ 'gaMumifhrdkYvdkY b,fae&m? b,fXme? b,fNrdKU &GmrSmyJjzpfjzpf odwJhvlawGu ajcwvSrf;p&if rdkifaygif; uka#woef;txd oGm;vdkY&ygw,f/ 94
Myanmar 2050
OD;yÍif;u awmrSmarG;cJhwJh awmom; jzpfygw,f/ 'gayrJh OD;yÍif;u a<u;aMumfygw,f/ ]igu awmom;awmh awmom;? 'gayrJh *vdb k ,fawmom;}vd/Yk uÇmajrjyifrmS &dSMuwJh vlawGeJY &ifaygifwef;NyD; pum;ajymEdkifygw,f/ tdrfajc &Spfq,favmuf&dSwJh awm&Gmuav;rSm arG;NyD; awmh ud, k u hf , kd u f , kd f rodrif ,fygbl;/ uÇmajrjyif tESu YH kd oGm;NyD; awGw U v hJ w l ikd ;f eJ?Y tm;vH;k eJY &ifaygifwef;NyD; aqG;aEG; Edkifw,f/ ajymqdkEkdifygw,f/ tJ'D awGU BuHKvmwJh tawGU tBuHKawGukd ud, k &hf UJ ae&mXme IBEC 0ef;usifukd a&mufwhJ tcg ud, k &hf UJ jrefrmh,Ofaus;rI eJY udu k n f w D yhJ pkH w H ckukd wnf aqmufNyD; jyifqifwnfaqmufvu kd w f t hJ cg ud, k 0hf ef;usif rSm&dMS uwJh vli,fawG? &[ef;oHCmawG? olw&Ykd UJ tawG;tjrif awG[m uÇmMunfhMunfhNyD; awG;ac:vmEdkifMuw,f/ n
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95
OD;atmifolNidrf; MODERATOR
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q&mr*sL;
q&mr*sL; panelist
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100
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Myanmar 2050
awG jzpfaew,f/ tJ'D tydik ;f tpav;awGu wrdepf Mum&ifMumr,f? ESprf ed pf Mum &ifMumr,f/ NyD;&if olwrYkd mS qGaJ qmifraI wGu trsm;BuD;/ 'gukd trDvu kd zf Ykd &opmay pma&;q&mawGbufuvnf; tJ'gudk vdktyfw,f/ qdkawmh bavmhawG&dSr,f? aemufNyD;awmh e-book awG &drS ,f/ 'gawGukd olwYkd tm½Hpk u kd zf v Ykd nf; vdt k yfw,f/ tJ'v D kd tm½Hk pdu k zf Ykd qdv k &Ykd &Sd if 'Dbufu &opmay a&;wJo h t l aeeJu Y ykEH ydS rf 'D , D m eJw Y if auseyfraeawmhb?J wcgwcgusawmh rd[ k mrufu awmifBuD;&d&S mudk oGm; &ovdkrsKd;ayghaemf/ tJ'DvdkrsKd;txd vkyfzdkYvdk&ifvnf; vdktyfr,fvdkYxifw,f/ aemuf tESpf 30 twGuq f &kd if pma&;olawG&UJ wm0efawGukd t&ifajymr,f/ pma&;olawG[m qGaJ qmifzt Ykd wGuf trsKd;rsKd; enf;rsKd;pHak yghaemf/ enf;rsKd;pHk qdw k m aumif;wJh enf;rsKd;pHu k kd oH;k &r,f/ tJ'aD wmh ud, k u f , kd w f ikd rf mS vnf; pGr;f aqmifEikd f &nf&dSzdkY vdktyfw,f/ tJ'DtwGuf udk,fudk,fwdkifu pmzwfzdkY vdktyfw,f/ jrefrm EdkifiHrSm usr tygt0if pma&;q&m awmfawmfrsm;rsm;&dSw,f/ 'gayrJh pmzwfwJh pma&;q&mta&twGufu awmfawmfenf;ygw,f/ usrwdkY udk,fwkdifuvnf;
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Myanmar 2050
ynmpGr;f &nfeYJ pdwcf pH m;rIprG ;f &nf? (IQ a&m EQ yg) ESpcf v k ;kH vlwdkif;rSm &dSzdkYvdkygw,f/ pdwfcHpm;rIpGrf;&nf &dSaeorQumvywfvHk; usrwdkY onf a'gojzpfjcif;? avmbjzpfjcif;awGudk wwfEkdif oavmuf xde;f odr;f Edik v f rd rhf ,f/ tJ'v D jkd zpfzu Ykd vnf; &o pmayuyJ wGef;tm;ay;rSmyg/ tJ'Dawmh &opmay&JU wGef; tm;udk usrwdYk trsm;BuD; vdt k yfygw,f/ tJ't D wGuf usr wdu Yk , kd w f ikd u f vnf; BudK;pm;&r,f/ pmzwfoal wGuvnf; tavhtxeJY BudK;pm;,l&rSmygvdkY xifygw,f&Sifh/ n
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103
OD;atmifolNidrf; MODERATOR
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a'gufwmxGef;ol&ouf
a'gufwmxGef;ol&ouf panelist
ckeu q&mawGvnf; ajymcJhw,f/ aemuf tESpf 30 rSm jrefrmjynf bmjzpf rvJaygh/ usaemfwdkYu 'Dtwdkif;yJqdkwm ajymMuw,f/ jzpfEkdifwmwcku 'Dxuf qdk;Ekdifygao;w,f/ tckajymif;r,fqdkvdkY&dS&if tcsdefaumif;wckaygh/ bmaMumifh tcsdefaumif;vdkY ajymovJqdk&if Industry 4.0 (enf;ynmqdkif&m pwkw¬ pufrI awmfveS af &;)qdw k m ajymif;aeygw,f/ 'gonf e,fy,fwikd ;f twGuf tcsKd;tauGU jzpfygvdrfhr,f/ ckeu ajymcJhwJhtwdkif; tvkyftudkifwcsKdU r&dSawmhbl;/ w0uf t,f'DwmrSwfcsuf a'gufwmxGef;ol&oufonf Myanmar Information Technology Pte. Ltd. \ trIaqmift&m&SdcsKyf jzpf ygonf/ ¤if;onf jrefrmEdkifiH uGefysLwmtoif;csKyf\ wGJzuftwGif;a&;rSL;vnf; jzpfygonf/
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108
ausmfausmfu tvkyftudkiftopfawG ay:vmvdrfhr,f/ tJ'aD wmh 'Dtcsderf mS usaemfwu Ykd ckeyf sHausmfvmT ; vkyEf ikd f cJv h &Ykd &Sd if? Digital Economy udk a&TU ajymif;Edik w f ,fqv kd &Ykd &Sd if tcif;tusif;xJ jyefa&mufEikd w f ,f/ tJ'v D v kd yk zf u Ykd vli,f awGukd tm;ud;k NyD; qG, J v l n S zhf Ykd vdyk gw,f/ 'grS vrf;aMumif; rSefay: a&mufygr,f/ vlBuD;awGuawmh t&ifvlawGudk tjypfwifr,f? NyD;cJhwJhjyóemawGudk ajz&Sif;ae&ao;w,f/ usaemfwdkY vli,fawGeJY tm½kHpdkuf vkyfoifhygw,f/ Industry fall qdk wm vuf&dSrSm ÓPf&nfwk(AI) udk tajccHwJh puf½kyfawG? wcsKdt U vkyaf wG Oyrm¼ v,form;awGu v,fxeG w f o hJ l csnf;yJ &Sad wmhrmS r[kwb f ;l / puf½yk af wGeYJ tvdt k avsmuf vkyfwJhpufawG 0ifvmNyD/ tJ'DrwdkifcifrSm a&aEG;aiGU oHk; cJhw,f/ auto machines awG? mass production awG &dScJh w,f/ tck 'DrsKd;qufu ÓPf&nfwk (AI) jzpfygw,f/ ajymif;r,fqdk&if eHygwfwpfu vli,fudk tajccH &r,f/ eHygwfESpfuawmh ynma&;pepfudk jyifqifzdkY vdk w,f/ atmufajc ynma&;pepfudk ajymif;zdkY vdkw,f/ ynma&;pepfvYkd ajymwJt h cg orm;½d;k us ynma&;pepfukd pajymif;&if? rlvwef;u pajymif;&if tESpf20 tcsdef,l& r,f/ tJ'Dawmh orm;½dk;us ynma&;pepfudk jyifqifzdkY vdk ygw,f/ Liberal Arts awG? tEkynmawG? vludk ,Ofaus; odrfarGUapwJhynmawG 'DrSm vkyfzdkYvdkw,f/ ckeuajymwJh tvkyfwcsKdU aysmufoGm;w,f/ usefcJhwJh tvkyfxJrSm
Myanmar 2050
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109
jrefrm 2050
Economy rSm uÇmhxy d w f ef; OD;aqmifojl zpfaeNyD/ olw&Ykd UJ pDru H ed ;f udk Munfw h t hJ cg
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110
OD;atmifolNidrf; MODERATOR
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OD;0if;rsKd;ol panelist
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113
jrefrm 2050
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114
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Myanmar 2050
u bmjzpfrvJ/ tJ'g eJYywfoufwJh enf;ynmawG b,fvdk ¶NzdK;atmifvkyfrvJ qdw k m tckuwnf;u tkwjf rpfcsNyD; vkyzf v Ykd w kd ,f/ 'Dtwdik ;f udk ynma&;pepfxrJ mS xnfh&r,f/ okawoeXmeawGudk usaemfwdkY ay;&r,f/ tJ'Dvdkvkyfief;awGudk apmapmuajymwJh twdkif; tpysKd;wm? aiGaMu;okH;pGJwm 'gawG vkyfrSomvQif aemuftESpf 30rSm middle-income trap udk ausmfoGm;EkdifrSm jzpfygw,f/ usaemfw&Ykd t UJ m;omcsuf aemufwcku ajro,HZmw aygao;w,f/ odaYk omf vnf; ajro,HZmwu taMumif;trsKd;rsKd;aMumifh odr;f qnf;cHae&wm jzpfw,f/ 'Dajro,HZmwawGudk wu,fom &&dSatmifvkyfEdkif&if ywf0ef;usifeJY o[ Zmwjzpfwx hJ w k u f ek af wG a&mif;Ekid zf ?Ykd xkwu f ek af wG xkwv f yk Ef idk w f hJ pufrv I yk if ef; awG trsm;BuD; jzpfEidk w f ,f/ 'DtwGuf vdt k yfovdk tckuwnf;u BudKwifjyifqif xm;zdkY vdkygw,f/ usaemfwt Ykd wGuf aemufwck tvm;tvmaumif;wmu usaemfw&Ykd UJ yx0D0if tm;omcsufayghaemf/ yx0DEdkifiHa&;t& usaemfwdkY&JUae&mu tcsuftcsmus
115
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w,f/ ta&SeU t YJ aemuf qH&k yfjzpfwt hJ wGuf 'gudk vdck sifw,fqv kd &Ykd &Sd if apmapmu ajymwJh multi-model transport vdkYac:wJh enf;rsdK;pHkeJY ukefypönf;awGudk ta&SU taemuf o,f,yl aYkd qmifwhJ ukeo f , G af &;A[dck suf? o,f,yl aYkd qmifa&; A[dck suf awG jzpfvmr,fqdk&if middle-income trap udk aemif tESpf 30 rSm ausmfEdkifr,f vdkY usaemfjrifw,f/ tJ'DtwGuf tckuwnf;u BudKwifjyifqifzdkY vdkw,f/ tJ'aD wmh avmavmq,f umvvwfyikd ;f ayghAsm/ usef;rmwJh tqifrh mS awmh pdkufysKd;a&;uae tajccH&r,f/ pdkufysKd;a&;udk ypfxm;vdkYr&bl;/ pdkufysKd;a&;u pD;yGm;wd;k wufrmS awmh r[kwb f ;l / pdu k yf sKd;a&;udk tajccHwm[m Ekid if &H UJ wnfNidrrf I udkjzpfw,fqdkawmh 'gudk usef;rmatmifvkyfzdkY od&r,f/ odkYaomfvnf; vuf&dS pdkufysdK;a&;u@rSmjzpfaewJh jyóemu txGufEIef;wdk;zdkYyJ ajymaeMuw,f/ Industrification vdYk ac:wJh pdu k yf sdK;a&;pGr;f tm;jr§izhf yYkd J ajymaew,f/ 'DtwGuw f if rvHkavmufbl;/ &moDOwkajymif;vJrIudk xnfhpOf;pm;r,fqdk&if agriculture industrification a&m? apmapmuajymwJh ZD0rsKd;pkHrsKd;uGJyg ESpfckpvHk;udkayghaemf/ pdkufysdK;a&;rsdK;pHk ayg<u,f0wJh pdkufysdK;enf;pepfudk tajcusatmif vkyf&rSm jzpf ygw,f/ 'Dtwdkif;yJ taxmuftuljyKEdkifr,fh vkyfief;aemufwcku 0efaqmifrIvkyf ief;aygh/ tJ'gqdk c&D;oGm;vkyfief;aygh/ 'Dc&D;oGm;vkyfief;udkvnf; ecology (a*[ aA')? ecosystem (a*[pepf)awGeJY csdwfNyD; c&D;oGm;vkyfief;awG ¶NzdK;wdk;wuf atmif umvvwfyikd ;f rSm aqmif&u G Ef ikd rf ,fq&kd if a&&Sno f mG ;r,fh bio-economy eJY multi-transport twGufudk taxmuftuljyKygvdrfhr,f/ [kwfNyD/ tJ'Dawmh umvvwfydkif;eJY umv&Snfydkif;udkoGm;wJh 'Drl0g'okH;ck nDñw G pf mG eJY vkyw f ,fqakd wmh pGr;f tifu ta&;BuD;vmw,f/ pGr;f tifrmS usaemf wdkYu jiif;cHkaeMuw,f/ ausmufrD;aoG;puf½kH aqmufr,f? raqmufbl;/ 'gawG cPxm;vdkuf/ uÇmuoGm;aewJh a&&SnftpDtrHuawmh renewable energy 116
Myanmar 2050
(jyefvnfjynfhNzdK;NrJpGrf;tif)jzpfw,f/ usaemfwdkYu jyef vnf jynfNh zdK;NrJprG ;f tif tifrwefaygwJh Edik if yH g/ taMumif; aMumifh 'Dr0l g'awG rwdu k q f ikd w f t hJ wGuf jyefvnfjynfNh zdK;NrJ pGr;f tif[m xkw, f El idk w f phJ rG ;f tm; r&db S ;l jzpfaew,f/ tJ'D awmh usaemfwu Ykd 'DprG ;f tifuo kd mG ;zdq Yk &kd if energy transition vdkYac:wJh csufcsif;vufiif;awmh jyefvnfjynfhNzdK; NrpJ rG ;f tifukd oGm;vdYk rjzpfEikd af o;bl;/ Mum;xJrmS enf;ynm wdk;wufatmif vkyfae&wJhtqifh jzpfaeao;wJhtwGuf aMumifh jzpfw,f/ odaYk omfvnf; 2025 ckEpS af emufyikd ;f rSm 'D enf;ynmawGu usdef;aojzpfvmEdkifrSm jzpfwJhtwGuf 'gukd usaemfwYdk arQmrf eS ;f Ny;D energy transition infrastructure awGaygh/ qifu h u J ;l ajymif;zdYk tajccHtaqmuftODawG tck uwnf;u BudKwif &if;ESD;jr§KyfESHxm;zdkYvdkw,f/ 'gqdk&if
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117
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vlrIa&; qkH;½IH;epfemrIrsm; xdef;csKyfjcif; (Socital Loss and Damage Control)/ vlrIxHkul;jcif; (Social Osmosis) tjyKoabmawG;ac:jcif;ESihf vlra I &;t& csdwq f ufxu kH ;l jcif;/ tajccH usaom wefzdk;xm;rIrsm;udk jyefvnfwnfaqmufEdkifrnf jzpfonf/
2/
obm0 cHEikd &f nfcEH ikd pf rG ;f tm;rsm;xde;f odr;f jcif;(Nurturing nature for Resilience)/ ,if;tcsuf wGif aoG;pnf;nDñGwfrIjzifh t&if;tjrpf ydkifqdkifcGifhqdkif&m tcGifhta&;rsm;udk tm;jznfhay;jcif;? wm0ef0wå&m;rodwwf ysufuGufaom pD;yGm;a&;vkyfief;rsm;udk uefYowfjcif;? vlrIa&;ESifh obm0ywf0ef;usif qdk;usKd;rsm;udk avQmhcsjcif;wdkY yg0ifNyD;? odkYrSom MuHhMuHhcdkifEdkifaom touf arG; 0rf;ausmif;rIrsm;ESifh a*[pepfwnfNidrfrIudk ydkrdktm;aumif;aprnf jzpfonf/
3/
ql;ajimifhcvkwfz,f&Sm;jcif; (Uprooting spike)/ EdkifiHom; jynfolrsm;\ tmPmcGeftm;udk jr§ifhwiftm;ay;jcif;? tysufoabmaqmifonfh tiftm;pkrsm;udk [efYwm;jcif;jzifh? taESmifh t,Sufrsm;ESifh qlnHoHrsm;udk z,f&Sm;jcif;tm;jzifh? 'Drdkua&pDenf;us tkyfcsKyfrIpepf tajccHudk wnfaqmufapjcif; jzpfonf/
119
jrefrm 2050
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4/
pGrf;aqmif&nfacsmufurf;yg; wHwm;xdk;jcif; (Bridging the capacity deficit)/ vkyfief; vkyf aqmif&mwGif tcuftcJrsm;udk z,f&Sm;jcif;tm;jzifh? ckcHrIrsm;ESifh pdwfysuftm;avsmh&rIrsm;udk oufomaprnf/ tedrfhqHk;jzpfaom jynfolvlxk aumif;usKd;csrf;om (public goods) oabm vkyfief;rsm;? 0efaqmifrIrsm;udk jynfolrsm; cHpm;&&SdEdkifrnfjzpfonf/
5/
qufvuf xdawGUqufqH tjyKoabmaqmifjcif; (Democratizing engagement)/ EdkifiHawmf ESifh EdkifiHom;jynfolrsm;tMum; ydkí oefpGrf;tm;aumif;aom qufqHa&;ESifh EdkifiHom;wdkY yg0if aqmif&GufrIudk jzpfaprnf/ tusKd;pD;yGm;csif; xdyfwdkufawGU&jcif;rsKd; a&Smif&Sm;Edkifrnf/ xdyfwdkuf wd;k onfh y#dyu©rsm;udv k nf; avsmhenf;usqif;aprnf/ tajymif;tvJtay:vnf; ydík ,HMk unfrI &Sdaprnf jzpfonf/
OD;atmifolNidrf; MODERATOR
¶NzdK;a&;eJyY wfoufvYkd vufiif; vkyo f ifw h mawGukd tcsdef tuefYtowfaMumifh OD;0if;rsdK;olu tjynfhtpHk ajymroGm; Edik yf gbl;/ aemufwcku tv,ftvwfumv vkyo f ifw h u hJ pd ?ö a&&Snv f yk o f ifw h hJ udpaö ygh/ usaemfwYdk wkid ;f jynfukd zsm;emaewJh tqif?h use;f rma&;aumif;vmatmif vky&f r,ft h qif?h oefprG ;f wJhtqifhaygh/ cGJNyD; tMuHay;oGm;wm awGU&ygw,f/ tckwcg usaemf zdwfac:csifwmu 'g½dkufwm c&pöwD; em;cDyg/ tapmydik ;f rSm aqG;aEG;oGm;wmu usaemfw&Ykd UJ ausmif; ynma&;u@awGrSm art appreciation aygh/ tEkynm cHpm; wwfatmif oifoGm;wJhudpöawG r&dSbl;vdkY aqG;aEG;ygw,f/ aemufwcku ckeu q&mr*sL;vnf; ajymygw,f/ soft power ayg/h tEkynmqdw k muvnf; wenf;tm;jzifah jym&if taysmx h nf yg0gqdkNyD; ajymvdkY&ygw,fqdkawmh tJ'geJYywfouf NyD; 'g½dkuf wm c&pöwD;em;cDtaeeJY aqG;aEG;ay;zdkY arwåm&yfcHygw,f/ n
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'g½dkufwm c&pöwD;em;cD
'g½dkufwm c&pöwD;em;cD panelist
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124
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Myanmar 2050
yg&w,f/ tjyeftvSef av;pm;rIawG trsm;BuD;eJzY pUJG nf;xm;wJh tzGt UJ pnf;BuD;wck jzpfwJhtwGufaMumifh 'DtzGJUtpnf;wckvHk;udk usrwkdYu twlwlvufwGJNyD; tvkyfvkyf&r,f/ aemufwck u usrwdkY&JU 'D½kyf&Sifudku cyfjrefjref? cyfvG,fvG,f? cyfou G o f u G f vkyv f &Ykd wJh tvkyrf sKd; r[kwyf gbl;/ 'gudk vkyw f ,fqv kd &Ykd &Sd if usrwd&Yk UJ cH,lcsufudku raumif; wJhtwGuf pm;oHk;ol&JUcH,lcsuf? olwdkYqDrSm&oGm;wJh t&muvnf; olwdkY wefzdk;rxm; csifwmvnf; jzpfaumif;jzpfvmEdkifw,fvdkY ,lqygw,f/ ckewke;f u ynma&;ydik ;f rSm usrwdYk arG;zGm;vmwJt h wGuf cHpm;Ekid w f t hJ iftm;? usrwdkY udk,fEdIufuvnf; 'DtzGJUtpnf;eJY 'Dynma&;tajccH trsm;BuD;aMumifh edrfhuscJh&wmu waMumif;? aemufwcku opömr&dSjcif;aMumifh 'DtzGJUtpnf;u opömrJhjcif;qdkwJh &oudk &oGm;wmrsKd;vnf; ajymEdkifygw,f/ 'gaMumifh usrwdkY ud, k Ef u dI u f vnf; cH,cl sufaumif;&r,f/ usrwdu Yk ae ay;a0vdu k w f hJ arwåmppf r,fq&dk if usrwd&Yk UJ y&dowftppf qdw k [ hJ mvnf; xGuaf y:vmr,f/ y&dowftppf
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uvnf; wefzdk;xm;jcif;qdkwJh udk,fusifhodu©m? usifh0wfawGudk olwdkYu roif bJeYJ arwåmudk jyef&w,fvYkd ac:ygw,f/ Oyrm ¼ usr vuf&&Sd ifqikd af e&wJh jyóem wckrmS qd&k if bmoGm;awGo U vJqakd wmh aeYpOfBuHKae&wJ?h tGev f ikd ;f ay:wufaewJh usr&JU½kyf&Sif(cdk;ul;)u usrudk,fwdkif jrifawGUcJhwm r[kwfygbl;/ y&dowfu 0dkif;zrf;ay;wmawG jzpfvmw,f/ screenshot awG ½dkufxm;w,f/ pm&if;awG jyKpkw,f/ 'gu bmvJqakd wmh olwq Ykd u D jyefNyD;awmh&wJh arwåmt&mvdYk owfrw S f w,f/ 'gaMumifh usrwdYk ydNk yD;awmhvyk &f r,f/ BudK;pm;&r,fh u@awGu ydNk yD;awmh rsm;vmw,f/ aemufwcku ckewkef;u aqG;aEG;roGm;wJh vGwfvyfcGifhaygh/ usrwdkY tEkynmorm;awGu vGwfvyfrIr&dSygbl;/ bmjzpfvdkY r&dSwmvJ ajym&if usrwdkYrSm tjrJwrf; qifqmjzwfrI &dSygw,f/ 'D[mqdk&if rvkyf&bl;? [dk[mqdk&if rvkyf&bl;qdkNyD; qifqmjzwfwJh tzGJUtpnf;wck &dSovdk? aemuf jyóemwcku tJ't D zGt UJ pnf;uaeNyD; usrwku Yd kd qifqmvkyaf ewJ[ h mawGvnf; MuHK&ygw,f/ 'DudpörsKd;rSmudkvnf; usrwdkYudk vGwfvyfcGifhay;&r,f/ 'Dae&mrSm vG,fvG,fav;ygyJ/ udk,fhudk,fudk,f t&if pOf;pm;MunfhvdkY&ygw,f/ b,fvdk vGwfvyfrIrsKd;udk vdkcsifygovJ/ udk,fu 'D vGwfvyfrIrsKd;udk vdkcsifw,fqdk&if wyg;oluakd &m 'Dvv kd w G v f yfrrI sKd; r&apcsifb;l vm;/ olwyg;udk ray;csif&ifawmif rS udk,f &oifh&xdkufw,fvdkY cH,lxm;wJh vGwfvyfrIwckudk olwyg;tay:vnf; ay;Ekdif&ygr,f/ tJ'grS udk,fvnf;jyef&r,f/ qdkawmh tJ'D vGwfvyfrIr&dSwJh tEk ynmuvnf; zefwD;wJhae&mrSm trsm;BuD; qkyfudkifcHxm;&ygw,f/ aemufwcku tdE´d,eJY xkdif; ½kyf&Sifvrf;aMumif;udk pD;arsmaew,fvdkY ckeu usr ajymwJh[mav;udk tus,f ajymjycsifygw,f/ xkdif;eJY tdE´d,½kyf&SifawGudk avhvmMunfhwJhtcsdefrSm olwdkYpD;yGm;a&;u vGefcJhwJh ESpf 30 u Munfhr,fqdk&if tenf;tusOf;om Edik if w H umudk a&mufygw,f/ ½ky&f iS v f yk if ef;BuD;wckv;kH u Edik if H wumudk ra&mufygbl;/ b,fae&mawGuae EdkifiHwumtqifhtwef;udk rDae 126
Myanmar 2050
ovJqdkvdkY&dS&if pufrIydkif;qdkif&m camera works awG? effects awG? colors awGuyJ a&mufomG ;NyD;awmh tEkynm rSm Edik if w H umudk tjynft h 0 rrDao;ygbl;/ ½ky&f iS t f enf; tusOf;uawmh cGx J u G rf ,fqNkd yD; vkyo f mG ;wJh um;av;awG &dyS gw,f/ 'DEpS yf ikd ;f tckxikd ;f rSmqd&k if Bad Genius vdk ½ky&f iS f rsKd; xGuv f mw,f/ olwu Ykd tEkynmrSmvnf; awmfawmf udk tqifw h cka&mufw,f/ 'gayrJh ½ky&f iS v f yk if ef;Bu;D wckv;kH ajymif;vJomG ;ovm;qdak wmh ajymif;vJroGm;ygbl;/ qdv k kd csifwhJ oabmu olwo Ykd nf pufryI ikd ;f qdik &f mudyk J vku d Nf yD; awmh wu,fhtEkynmtppfudk rvkdufcJhbl;/ tEkynm tppfu bmvJqadk wmh story-telling eJY acting ayg/h tJ'[ D m rSmawmh aemufusNyD;usefcyhJ gw,f/ 'gawGukd usrwdYk tck csderf mS oifcef;pm,lr,fqv kd &Ykd &Sd if 2050 qdw k hJ tcsdew f ck
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127
jrefrm 2050
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128
OD;atmifolNidrf; MODERATOR
aus;Zl;wifygw,f cifAs/ usaemf t"du &vdkufwmu awmh wm0ef,lrI vdktyfw,f/ wzufrSmvnf; vGwfvyfrI vdktyfw,fqkdwJhtcsuf awGUygw,f/ tck zdwfac:csifwmu q&mr a':at;at;0if; jzpfyg w,f/ q&mr apmapmykid ;f rSmajymoGm;wJh rD', D ma&Tacwf qdw k hJ pum;vHk;uawmh rSwfrSwf&& usefcJhygw,f/ tJ'geJY ywfouf NyD; q&mr&JU xifjrifcsufudk quf&Sif;jyygOD; cifAs/ n
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a':at;at;0if;
a':at;at;0if; panelist
rD'D,ma&TacwfvdkYajym&if tJ'D[mav;udk enf;enf;av; csJUxGifNyD; ajymyg r,f/ rD'D,ma&Tacwfqdkwmudk rrDwJhuav;awGu 'Dtcef;xJrSm rsm;aeygw,f/ tJ'Dwkef;u owif;avmu b,fvdkjzpfovJqdk&if owif;pmayghaemf/ pmapmif r[kwfbl;/ owif;pmawGu tapmif 40 ausmfavmuf &dSw,f/ NyD;awmh tJ'D xJrSm w½kwf? ukvm;? Arm? t*Fvdyf tJ'Dvdk bmompHkeJYxkwfwJh owif;pmawG trsm;BuD; &dSygw,f/ tJ'Dtcsdefwkef;u owif;pmavmuBuD;[m tifrwef ¶NzdK; t,f'DwmrSwfcsuf a':at;at;0if;onf AP owif;Xmeü ESpfaygif; 25 ESpfausmf vkyfudkifcJholjzpfNyD; 2013 ckESpfwGif rpfZl&D *sme,fvpfZifausmif;rS Honor Medal for Distinguished Service qk &&SdcJhol jzpfonf/
131
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jrefrmEdkifiH&JU owif;avmuu bmeJYwlovJqdkawmh a':vmaps;vdkyJ/ wufvdkufusvdkufyJ/ aumif;rvm;qdkawmh raumif;jyefbl; ...
132
NyD; ta&SUawmiftm&SrSm awmfawmf OD;armhEkdifcJhygw,f/ tJ't D csdew f ek ;f u owif;pmawG[m tifrwef MoZm tmPm &dSw,f/ jynfolvlxktay:rSma&m? tpdk;&tay: rSmyg tawmfav; MoZmwdurú &dw S t hJ wGuaf Mumifh tpd;k & awGukd xde;f ausmif;ay;Edik w f ,f/ tpd;k &awGeYJ tzGUJ tpnf; awG&JU tm;enf;csufawGudk trsm;BuD; axmufjyEkdifcJhwJh twGuf olwu Ykd vnf; trsm;BuD; jyifEikd cf w hJ ,f/ tJ'aD wmh usrwdu Yk tJ'aD cwfBu;D udk (tJ'aD cwfu vlBu;D awG ajymwJh twkdif;qdk&if) 'g tifrwef aumif;wJhacwf? a&TacwfvdkY ajymygw,f/ 'gayrJh a&Tacwfqakd wmh owif;pmq&mBuD; awGu axmifrusbl;vm;vdkY ar;rSmayghaemf/ owif;pm q&mBu;D qdw k muawmh axmifus&rSmyJ/ tJ'gukd raMumuf r&GHUeJY vufcHxm;rS 'Dowif;tvkyfudkvkyfwm aumif;yg w,f/ Oyrm ¼ tJ'aD cwfwek ;f u usruawmh usr rsufjrif udk,fawGUeJYajym&if usrtaz udk,fwkdifu tck ½dkufwm owif;Xmeu uav;awGjzpfovdk Official Secrets Act (tpdk;& vQKdU0Sufcsuf tufOya') eJY tzrf;cH&ygw,f/ w&m;pGcJ &H w,f/ aemufEmergency Provisions Act (ta&; ay: pDrrH I tufOya')eJv Y nf; axmifxJ xnhyf gw,f/ tJ'g a&Tacwfaemf/ a&TacwfqdkvdkY odyft&rf;rSef;xm;&if pdwf raumif;jzpfaeMurSmpd;k vd/Yk tJ'D acwfwek ;f uvnf; tzrf; cH&w,f/ bmuGmvJvaYkd r;vdYk &d&S if tJ'aD cwfwek ;f u olwYkd u w&m;pGJvdkY&dS&if a&SUaeaumif;aumif; iSm;vdkY&w,f/ w&m;a&;r@dKifuvnf; tifrwefajzmifrh wfw,f/ vTwf
Myanmar 2050
p&m&dS&if vGwfr,f/ tay:upm usrvmbl;ayghaemf/ tJ'g a&Tacwfyg/ tJ'aD wmh tifrwefaumif;wJah cwfvYkd usr awmfawmf tm;usw,f/ rDawmh rrDbl;/ tm;usygw,f/ tJ'gNyD;wJhtcg 1962 ckepfaemufydkif;uawmh wu,fhudk rD'D,mtarSmif aeY&ufawGyg/ 1962 ckEpS f tmPmodr;f w,f/ 1964 ckEpS f qd&k if yk*v ¾ u d owif;pm awG tukefvHk; jynfolydkifodrf;cH&ygw,f/ NyD;wJhtcg pmaypdppfa&;qdkwmvnf; ay:vmygNyD/ yk*¾vduowif;pmawG jyKwfoGm;ygw,f/ tpdk;&owif;pm qdkwm xGuv f mw,f/ tJ'aD wmh b,fvv kd yk f aumif;awmhrmS vJ/ owif;pmq&mqdw k m u tukev f ;kH axmifxaJ &mufomG ;w,f/ bmuGmvJvaYkd r;&if tJ'w D ek ;f u owif;pm q&mawGudk axmifxJxnfh&if olwdkYu w&m;rpGJbl;/ axmifxJyJ xnfhxm;wm/ tJ'Dawmh a&SUaevnf; rvdkawmhbl;/ at;at;aq;aq; axmifxJrSm awmfawmf tem;,lvkduf&ygw,f/ tJ'g rD'D,mtarSmifaeY&ufawGaygh/ tJ'Daemuf 1988 ckESpf a&mufvmw,f/ 1988 ckESpf a&mufawmhvnf;yJ
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pdkif;ñGefYvGif
pdkif;ñGefYvGif panelist
'DEdkifiHtwGuf? 2050 twGuf 'DaeY vufiif;vkyfoifhwJh udpöu jynfwGif;ppf y#dyu©awGudk csKyfNidrf;atmifvkyfzdkYaygh/ tJ'DvdkvkyfzdkYtwGuf trsKd;om; jyefvnf oifhjrwfa&;? trsKd;om;&ifMum;apha&; 'gawGudk OD;pm;ay;NyD; vkyfoifhw,fvdkY usaemf aqG;aEG;csifw,f/ tJ'Dvkyfief;awG vkyfwJhtcgrSm tcsdeftuefYtowf aMumifh tcsufESpfcsufyJ aqG;aEG;csifygw,f/ yxrwcsufu vGwv f yfa&;&NyD;wJt h csdeu f pNyD; trsdK;om; jyefvnfoifjh rwf t,f'DwmrSwfcsuf pdkif;ñGefYvGifonf &Srf;wdkif;&if;om;rsm;'Drdkua&pDtzGJUcsKyf (SNLD) \ 'kwd,Ouú| jzpfygonf/
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Myanmar 2050
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OD;atmifolNidrf; MODERATOR
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a'gufwmpdk;xGef;
a'gufwmpdk;xGef; panelist
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146
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Myanmar 2050
tMum;rSmvnf; owif;tcsuftvuf rQa0wm vkyw f ahJ e&mrSm ydNk yD; jrifv, G v f m w,fvdkY jrifw,f/ usaemfwdkYtaeeJY jyóemu ta&SUu aqG;aEG;olawGvnf; ajymoGm;Muw,f/ ynma&;aygh/ vuf&dS EkdifiHhacgif;aqmifu ynma&;udk tqifh jr§ifhzdkY ajymw,f/ ynma&;udk tqifhjr§ifhwhJ[mu bmudk b,fvkd jr§ifhrvJqdkwm uvnf; jyóemvdjYk rifw,f/ usaemfwq Ykd rD mS ½kyyf ikd ;f qdik &f mudo k mG ;wm rsm;w,f/ usaemf rSwfrdoavmuf NyD;cJhwJh tpdk;&vufxuf? or®w OD;odef;pdef tpdk;& vuf xufrSm ynma&;bwf*suf wdk;atmifvkyfawmh? olu vG,fw,f/ b,fvdkvkyf vkdufovJqdkawmh t&ifwkef;u GTC awGu odyÜHeJY enf;ynmatmufrSmAs/ tJ'D [mukd ynma&;atmufudk xnfhvdkufawmh bwf*sufu wdk;oGm;w,f/ tJ'g vG,v f , G af v;/ acgif;pOf ajymif;vdu k w f maygh/ aemufawmh bmawGvyk v f ?J awGv U J qdk&if ½kyfydkif;qdkif&mjzpfwJh taqmuftODawG aqmufw,f/ usaemfwdkYawG e,f a&mufawmh wuúodkvfrSm ausmif;om;u r&dSbl;/ taqmuftODudk xyfxyf aqmufw,f/ 'DESpf pDrHudef;? aemufESpf pDrHudef;udk Munfhvdkufw,f/ ol jyw,f/
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jrefrm 2050
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Myanmar 2050
csifwmvJ/ ausmif;om;awG? ckeuajymwJh vli,fawGudk bm vkyfapcsifwmvJ/ okawoevkyfygqkdawmh bmudk yHhydk; rSmvJ/ ckeu ajymwJ[ h mvnf; &dw S ,f/ vli,fawGtaeeJY ckeu ajymovdak ygh/ tpd;k &u raxmufyb hH ;l / 'gayrJh igwkYd udk,fh[mudk,fvnf; tckvuf&dS zkef;wvHk;&dS&if tifwm eufoHk;vdkY&w,f/ usaemfwdkYu bmudk&SmrSmvJ/ 'gawG &dS vmw,f/ tcGifhtvrf;udk b,fvdk&SmrvJ/ aemufwcg usaemfwdkYtaeeJY ausmif;wufyg/ ckeu ausmif;xGuw f EhJ eI ;f awG rsm;w,fvYkd ajymwmaygh/ jyóem u usaemfwdkYqDrSmvnf; ar;wJhar;cGef;aygh/ usaemfwdkY vnf; tar;cH&w,f/ wynfhawGu ar;wJh[m/ ausmif; wufyg vdaYk jym&if ausmif;NyD;&if bmjzpfrvJ/ txufwef;
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149
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150
OD;atmifolNidrf; MODERATOR
aus;Zl;wifygw,fcifAs/ usaemfuawmh ud, k u hf , kd u f , kd f vli,fvdkY xifao;wmyJ/ a'gufwmpdk;xGef; ajymrS jyefpOf;pm; &rvdk jzpfygw,f/ q&m t"duaqG;aEG;wmu vli,fwOD; csif;&JU tcef;u@udkvnf; aqG;aEG;ygw,f/ rl0g' csrSwfol awG&UJ ta&;ygwJ?h tao;pdw&f r,fh udpaö wGuv kd nf; aqG;aEG; oGm;ygw,f/ tckaemufqHk;uawmh udkrif;Zif usefygw,f/ udkrif;Zif u tapmydik ;f rSm acgif;aqmifBuD;eJY acgif;aqmifru I kd cGNJ yD;awmh aqG;aEG;oGm;w,f/ 'kwd,ydkif;rSma&m 'DaqG;aEG;yGJuae b,f vdrk sKd; take-home message aygh/ usaemfwYkd tdrjf yefo,fomG ; vdkY&r,fh pOf;pm;csufrsKd; bmawGay;csifygovJ/ n
acgif;aqmifaumif;rSm t&nftaoG; okH;ck? ckeu usaemf tMurf;zsif;ajymcJhygw,f/ yxrwcku ajymwmawmh vision eJY ywfoufygw,f/ vision qdkwmu 'DEkdifiHudk b,fvdkjzpfapcsifovJqdkwJh &Sif;vif;wJh ½Ijrifcsuf? arQmfrSef;csuf? arQmf&nfcsuf jzpfygw,f/ n
OD;rif;Zif
OD;rif;Zif panelist
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Myanmar 2050
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155
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Myanmar 2050
ajymcsif wmu bmvJqakd wmh usaemfwYkd 'Dvkd 'DrmS xdik af ewJh tcsdef rSm ucsifjynfe,frmS ppfajy;aewJh uav;av;awG? ausmif;rwuf&wJh uav;av;awG? rd;k wGi;f rSm 'kua© &muf aewJh uav;av;awG usaemfwkdY vdyfjymoefYEdkifrvm;/ usaemfwYkd vdyjf ymvHv k m;/ 'g usaemfxifw,f/ ta&;BuD; wJhudpö&yfawGvdkY usaemfxifygw,f/ acgif;aqmifawGrSm tJhvdkrsKd; sensitivity &dSzdkYvdkr,fvdkY usaemf xifygw,f/ tJ'g[m ckeuajymwJh wm0ef,lrI? wm0efcHrIawG&JU tajccHazmifa';&Sif;awG jzpfygw,f/ aemufqHk;wcktaeeJY ajymcsifwmuawmh ay:vpDydkif; jzpfygw,f/ yxrwckuawmh tjrifudk usaemf aqG;aEG; cJhw,f/ aemufwckuawmh wm0ef,lrI? wm0efcHrIudk usaemf ajymw,f/ aemufq;kH wckuawmh ay:vpD? 'gvnf; odyfudk ta&;BuD;ygw,f/ ckeu t&Sifbk&m;vnf; rdefYMum;ygw,f/ slogan eJY program ruGw J u hJ pd aö ygh/ slogan awGeyYJ aJ eNyD;awmh program ygrvmwJhudpö jzpfygw,f/ usaemfwdkYu program wu,f vkyaf wmhr,f? ay:vpD wu,fvyk af wmhr,fq&kd if tajccH tcsufawG em;vnfzv Ykd ykd gw,f/ oGm;csifwmu zuf'&,f ajymNyD;awmh 2008 tajccHOya'[m zuf'&,fjzpfw,f qdkNyD; twif;xkd;a&mif;ae&if cufygw,f/ 'gu tajccH oabmw&m;udk r&Si;f wJo h abm jzpfygw,f/ ESpzf ufpvH;k ygy/J usaemf wzuf w nf ; ud k ajymwm r[k w f y gbl ; / tjcm;wzufuvnf; zuf'&,fajymNyD;awmh jynfe,feJY
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wdkif;a'oBuD; vTwfawmfawGudk xdef;csKyf&r,fvdkY ,lqxm;w,fqdk&if 'gvnf; jyóem&dSygw,f/ qdkawmh tajccHawGudk em;rvnfbl;qdk&if usaemfwdkY ay:vpDawGcsrSwfzdkY tifrwef cufygw,f/ 'gaMumifh ajymcsifwmu usaemfwkdY acgif;aqmifrI[m yk*¾vdu u@udk tm;ay;r,f ajymw,f/ tpdk;&u 100 &mcdkifEIef;ygwJh ukrÜPD axmifr,f/ 'grsKd;awGu tajccHoabmw&m;awGudk usaemfwdkY rydkifwJhoabm jzpfygw,f/ 'gaMumifhrdkY udk,fwdkifrydkif&ifvnf; ydkifwJholrsm;udk tultnDawmif; yg/ Technocracy vdkYac:wJh uRrf;usifolrsm;udk tultnDawmif;&wJh udpö[m jyóemr&dSbl;/ udk,fu rl0g'udkcsay;½HkyJ/ b,foGm;r,fqdkwm ajym½HkyJ/ uRrf; usifolrsm;u b,fvdkoGm;&r,fqdkwm ulnDEkdifw,fvdkY usaemf xifygw,f/ tJ'Dpum;eJY csKyfNyD;awmhyJ usaemf ed*Hk;ajym&r,fqdk&ifawmh acgif;aqmif aumif;udk ydNk yD;jr§iw hf ifzt Ykd wGuf 'Dvkd t&nftaoG;&Sw d hJ 2050 udk usaemfwYkd oGm; csifw,f/ tJ'Dvdk oGm;wJhenf;eJYyJ acgif;aqmifBuD;a&m*gudk usaemfwdkY avQmhcs Edkfifr,fvdkY xifygw,f/ n
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OD;atmifolNidrf; MODERATOR
tm;vH;k r*FvmygcifAs/ a,mrif;Bu;D Z&yf tpDtpOf wwd, ydik ;f txd ZGaJ umif;aumif;eJY em;axmifaewJh y&dowfBuD;a&m tm;ay;aewJh y&dowftm;vk;H udyk g aus;Zl;wifaMumif; ajymcsif ygw,f/ 'DumvtwGi;f rSm ar;cGe;f ar;vmwJh udpaö wGukd usaemf wdkY aumuf,lwJhtcg ar;cGef; 100 ausmf &ygw,f/ 'Dar;cGef; 100 ausmfudk tm;vkH;ajzzdkYawmh vufawGUrSmcufygw,f/ usaemfwYkd aqG;aEG;yGt J pDtpOf aemufyikd ;f tpDtpOfawGrmS wdu k f ½du k af qG;aEG;Edik w f hJ tajctaeawG zefw;D oGm;rSmyg/ tck yxr qHk;tpDtpOfrSmawmh tcuftcJ&SdvdkY 'Dar;cGef;awGxJu jyef pkNyD;awmhyJ wcsKdUudk jyefajzMum;ay;zdkY&Sdygw,f/ tck wwd, ydik ;f aqG;aEG;wJt h cgrSm usaemfwt Ykd aeeJY tcka[majymoGm;wJh olawGtaeeJYayghaemf? aemufqHk; Final message aygh/ 2050 rSm arQmfvifhcsufua&m &SdygOD;rvm;aygh/ arQmfvifhcsuf&Sdw,f qd&k ifa&m tBuHay;csufawGu bmawGjzpfEikd rf vJqw kd hJ aemuf qHk; Take-home message aygh/ tdrfudk jyefo,foGm;EdkifwJh owif;pum;wckcu k kd ajymay;apvdyk gw,f/ tJ'rD mS yJ oufqikd f &mar;cGe;f vnf; usaemf jznfph u G Nf y;D awmh ar;oGm;rSm jzpfygw,f/ yxrOD;qHk; q&mawmf OD;aombdwudk wynfhawmf avQmufxm;yg&ap/ q&mawmftwGuf ar;cGef;wckawmh &Sdyg w,f/ ar;cGef;uawmh ouú&mZf 2050 jrefrmEdkifiHrSm oHCm ta&twGuf ydw k ;kd vmEdik o f vm;? ydak vsmhomG ;Edik o f vm;qdw k m udk ar;xm;ygw,f/ 'guawmh t&Sifbk&m;twGuf ar;cGef;yg bk&m;/ n
2050 rSm om,mvSywJh jrefrmEdkifiHBuD; uÇmhtv,frSm jzpfwmudk jrifapcsifw,f qdk&ifawmh udk,fh&JUwefzdk;awGudk avQmYcsrxm;bJ EdkifiHtwGif;rSm&SdMuwJh wdkif;&if;om; nDtpfudkarmifESrawGtm;vHk; pkpkpnf;pnf; nDnDñGwfñGwfeJY wa,mufudkwa,muf qJwmawG &yfzdkYvdkygw,f/ n
q&mawmfOD;aombdw
q&mawmfOD;aombdw panelist
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a&S;acwfu rnforl Q qJqjkd cif; r&Syd gbl;/ 'DuaeY 2017¼18 udk a&mufvmwJt h cg awmh Ak'¨bmomvdkY trnfcHxm;aom yk*¾dKvfrsm;udk,fwdkif? jrefrmEdkifiHom;rsm; udk,fwdkif rdrdwdkY&JU bmom? ,Ofaus;rI? jrefrmh"avh xHk;wrf;pOfvmrsm;udk wefzdk; rxm;wwfwJhtwGuf 2050 rSm jrefrmEdkifiH&JU Ak'¨bmomtajctae[m xdef; ausmif;wnfhrwfNyD; roGm;bl;qdk&if ,kwfavsmhoGm;EdkifwJh taetxm;wck &Sdyg w,fvdkY &J&Jwif;wif; ajzyg&ap/ Message wckudkay;yg qdk&ifawmh 2050 rSm jrefrmEdkifiHBuD; om,mvSywJh EdkifiHBuD; uÇmhtv,frSm jzpfwmudk jrifapcsifw,fqdk&ifawmh udk,fh&JUwefzdk;awG udk avQmYcsrxm;bJ jrefrmEdik if t H wGi;f rSm&SMd uwJh wdik ;f &if;om; nDtpfuakd rmifErS awGtm;vHk; pkpkpnf;pnf; nDnDñGwfñGwfeJY wa,mufudkwa,muf qJwmawG &yfzdkYvdkygw,f/ Argument vdkY ac:wJh jiif;cHkjcif;[m jyóemudk jzpfapwwfwJh twGuf tjyeftvSeaf v;pm;rIeYJ tjyeftvSef em;vnfrw I ckukd wnfaqmufomG ; r,fqdk&if 2050 rSm jrefrmEdkifiH&JU Ak'¨bmomtiftm;[mvnf; xdyfwef; jyef a&mufvmrSmjzpfovdk jrefrmEdkifiH&JU EdkifiHa&;jzpfpOf? vlrIa&;? pD;yGm;a&;awG[m vnf; uÇmBuD;eJY &ifaygifrwef;Edik &f ifawmif tem*wf vli,frsKd;qufopfawG&UJ o,faqmifrt I m;aMumifrh v Ykd Ykd tar&duefw?Ykd Oa&mywd?Yk tm&Swu kd u f awmifu&kd ;D ,m;wdkY? *syefwdkYvdk EdkifiHrsKd;awGudk odyfNyD;awmhrS acgif;armhNyD; Munfhp&mrvdkyg bl;vdkY ajzMum;yg&ap/ n
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OD;atmifolNidrf; MODERATOR
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q&mr*sL;
q&mr*sL; panelist
[kwfuJh aus;Zl;wifygw,f/ Cultural Policy yJ jzpfjzpf? b,frl0g'yJjzpfjzpf rl0g'&SdNyD;&if tJ'gudk usifhoHk;zdkY? vdkufemzdkY? tavhtusifhvkyfzdkY vdkygw,f/ usrwdkY tckavmavmq,f vdktyfaewmu rl0g'&SdcJhonfjzpfap? r&SdcJhonfjzpfap tJ'D rl0g' r&Sd&ifvnf; &SdatmifvkyfzdkY? wu,fvdkY &SdaecJh&ifvnf; &SdcJhygvm;qdkwmudk usrwdkYtukefvHk; odNyD;awmh tJ'g udk aemufxyf Law Enforcement jzpfatmifvdkY tm;vHk;u Practice vkyfzdkY vdktyfwmyg/ tJawmh Cultural Policy [kwfygw,f? &Sdyg t,f'DwmrSwfcsuf q&mr*sL;onf jrefrmEdkifiHrS xif&Sm;aom 0w¬Ka&;q&mrsm;teuf wOD;jzpfonf/ obm0ywf0ef;usif xdef;odrf;a&;qdkif&m a[majymaqG;aEG;rIrsm;wGifvnf; a&SUwef;u yg0ifaqmif&GufaeolwOD; jzpfygonf/
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OD;atmifolNidrf; MODERATOR
aus;Zl;wifygw,f q&mr/ wwd,taeeJY usaemf a'guf wm xGe;f ol&oufukd zdwaf c:csifygw,f/ tJ'aD wmh q&mhtae f vJaygah emf/ q&mhtwGuf ar;cGe;f eJY bm Message xyfay;csio ESpfck &Sdygw,f/ wckuawmh aemif tem*wfumvrSm vli,f awGtwGuf tvkyftudkif r&Sdawmhbl;qdk&if olwdkYb0u b,fvdkjzpfoGm;EdkifygovJwJh/ aemufwckuawmh usaemfwdkY tm;vHk; MuHKae&wJh jyóemygyJ/ Zawgyi eJY Unicode jyóem jzpfygw,f/ jrefrmEdkifiHrSm Zawgyi eJY Unicode 'geJYywfoufNyD; awmh qufvuf uGJvJaG eOD;rSmvm;&Siw f /hJ pmzwf&wm t&rf; taESmifht,Sufjzpfovdk pma&;&wmvnf; t&rf;'ku©a&muf ygw,fwJh/ q&mhtwGuf ar;cGef;ygcifAs/ vli,fawG tvkyf tudkif r&SdMuawmhbl;qdkvdkY&Sd&if olwdkY&JUb0awGu b,fvdk jzpfoGm;EdkifygovJwJh/ n
tem*wf 2050 rSm atmifjrifzdkYqdkvdkY&Sd&if usaemfjzpfcsifwJh usaemfhtdyfrufuawmh Knowledge Hub aygh/ Innovation Hub jrefrmvdkajym&if Innovation, Knowledge qdkwJh tm;vHk;Mum;xJrSm jrifvmatmif? Mum;vmatmif vkyfcsifw,f/ n
a'gufwmxGef;ol&ouf
a'gufwmxGef;ol&ouf panelist
usaemfajymwm em;vnfrIvGJrSmpdk;vdkYyg/ tvkyftudkifr&Sdwm r[kwfygbl;? olwdkYvkyfr,fh tvkyftudkifonf tcktcsdefrSm r&Sdao;wm/ tvkyftudkif trsKd; tpm;opfawG jzpfvmvdrfhr,f/ usaemfwdkY ynma&;pepfrSm ausmif;om;awGudk jyifqifay;&rSm/ tckr&Sad o;wJh tvkyt f opfawGukd vkyEf ikd zf Ykd usaemfwu Ykd oifay; &r,fqdkwJh? jyifqifxm;ay;&r,fqdkwJh t"dutcsufudk ajymwmyg/ 'kwd,tcsufuawmh Zawgyi Unicode aygh/ Unicode eJY Zawgyi udk usaemf t,f'DwmrSwfcsuf a'gufwmxGef;ol&oufonf Myanmar Information Technology Pte. Ltd. \ trIaqmift&m&SdcsKyf jzpf ygonf/ ¤if;onf jrefrmEdkifiH uGefysLwmtoif;csKyf\ wGJzuftwGif;a&;rSL;vnf; jzpfygonf/
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OD;atmifolNidrf; MODERATOR
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OD;0if;rsdK;ol
OD;0if;rsKd;ol panelist
Survival for Fittess ayghAsm/ usaemfwYkd MuHKawGa U e&wJh &moDOwkajymif;vJru I kd
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Myanmar 2050
wJh o,HZmw 'DxufravsmhomG ;zdYk wenf;tm;jzifh usaemf wdkY ynm&yfydkif;qdkif&meJYajym&ifawmh usaemfwdkY Carrying Capacity vdYk ac:wmaygh/ Carrying Capacity qdw k m obm0 u xrf;xm;Edik w f hJ cHEikd &f nfprG ;f tm;? 'Dxuf edru hf soGm;&if b,fvdkrS emvefjyefrxlEdkifawmhbl;/ usaemfwdkYEdkifiH&JU vuf&Sdtajctaeu tJ'Dtajctae a&mufaeNyD/ awm awG&JU tajctae? a&awG&JU tajctae usaemfwdkY ajrqD vTmawG&JU tenftxnf[m 'Dhxuf usoGm;awmhr,f qdk &if b,fvdkrS b,favmufvkyfvkyf emvefjyefrxlEdkif awmhbl;/ apmapmuar;wJh ar;cGef;udk jyefajz&ifawmh 'D tcsdefrSm jyifEdkif&ifawmh? 'D tedrfhqHk;a&mufaewJh tajc taeudk qufxdef;xm;&ifawmh arQmfvifhcsufwck usef ao;w,f/ 'g aemuf 15 ESpftwGif;? 10 ESpftwGif;aygh/ 2030 twGi;f rSm qufNyD;awmh &Sad ewJh awmawmifa&ajr awGukd xde;f xm;Edik &f ifawmh ausmv f mT ;Edik rf ,fh taetxm; &Sdao;w,f/ aemufq;kH Take-home Message taeeJY usaemf ajym csifwmu bmvJqdkawmh usaemfwdkY[m Defending the Resource Right qdkvdkwmu tajccHvlwef;pm;awG&JU ol wdkY&JU a&ajrawmawmif tcGifhta&;awGudk usaemfwdkY umudk umuG,&f r,f/ cifAsm; &if;ES;D jr§KyfEv HS Ykd csrf;omwm b,fem;rSef; rodbl;/ rkefYqDaMumf b,fem;aerSef; rod bl;? EIwfcrf;emvdkY r&bl;/ avmavmq,f 'DawmawG? awmifawG rysuo f mG ;atmifvYkd tajccHumuG,rf u I kd OD;pm;
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OD;atmifolNidrf; MODERATOR
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'g½dkufwm c&pöwD;em;cD
'g½dkufwm c&pöwD;em;cD panelist
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OD;atmifolNidrf; MODERATOR
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a':at;at;0if; panelist
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wu,frjrifygbl;/ olwYkd 'D[mawGukd owif;pmawG zwf NyD; tjrifawG ajymif;oGm;r,fvdkY wu,fudk rxifygbl;/ Mindset udk ajymif;csifwJhpdwf r&SdMuao;bl;/ tukefvHk; rmefav;awGeYJ ig? ig qdw k mawG odyrf sm;aeMuao;w,f/ ESpzf ufpvH;k rSm tJ'iD gawG ravQmhoa&G?U twå ravSsmhoa&GU ½kwfw&ufawmh rD'D,mu twif; acgif;BuD;wdk;r0ifygeJY/ tJ'Dawmh usru 2050 rSm bmjrifvJqdk&if usrwdkY [dk;t&ifwkef;u a&Tacwfudkawmh ra&mufbl;? 'gayrJh bmawmh ajymcsifvq J akd wmh usrwdYk [d;k t&if Media Dark Days vda Yk c:whJ tarSmifacwfBu;D udk usrwdYk a&mufwmawmh r[kwaf o;bl;/ odyrf arSmifw h arSmif tcsdeu f av; a&muf aeygw,f/ tJ'gu usr 'Dvykd jJ rifygw,f/ tJ'aD wmh tpd;k & awGtaeeJYvnf; pdwfaumif;av;awG0ifNyD;awmh 2050 avmuf aemufEpS f 30 qdak wmh olwv Ykd nf; tuRwfw&m; awG? bmawG&aumif;r,fvdkY usr jrifygw,f/ 2050 usvdkY&Sd&ifvnf; jyefMum;a&;0efBuD;XmeBuD;u jywdkuf BuD;jzpfNyD;awmh Tourist awG oGm;MunfhaewJh XmeBuD;jzpf r,fvdkY usrxifygw,f/ n
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187
OD;atmifolNidrf; MODERATOR
aus;Zl;wifygw,f q&mr/ tck q&m OD;pdkif;ñGefYvGifudk zdwfac:csifygw,f/ 'DrSm q&mhtwGuf ar;cGef;wck &Sdygw,f/ tJ'aD r;cGe;f u bmvJqkad wmh ckeu a'gufwmoefYjrifOh D; ajym oGm;wJt h xJrmS wcsdeu f svd&Yk &dS if obm0uyfab;awGaMumifh vlawG[m ydkNyD;awmh NrdKU BuD;awGudk pkaexdkifvm&r,f qdkwJh [m ajymoGm;ygw,f/ aemufwcgusawmh NrdKU BuD;awGrSm vl OD;a& ig;oef;uae q,foef;avmuftxd ajymif;a&TUvmNyD; awmh ae&r,fh taetxm;awG ol ajymygw,f/ tJ'D tae txm;rSm usaemfwYkd Autonomy wd?Yk Federalism pwJh tawG;tac: awG[m tvkyfrjzpfEdkifawmhbl; qdkwJh[mvnf; ol aqG;aEG; oGm;wm &Sdygw,f/ tJ'DtjrifeJY ywfoufNyD;awmh OD;pdkif;ñGefY vGif&JU tjrifudk odcsifygw,f/ n
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pdkif;ñGefYvGif
pdkif;ñGefYvGif panelist
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191
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wdkif;jynftay:rSm pdwfaumif; apwemaumif; r&Sdbl;qdk&if bmvkyfvkyf atmifjrifrSm r[kwfygbl; ...
192
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Myanmar 2050
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193
OD;atmifolNidrf; MODERATOR
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197
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Myanmar 2050
q&mrwdkYawmif ajymaew,f/ 'gav; rpcifrSm q&mr *sL;wdkY? Chris wdkYawmif ajymaeMuwmyJ/ tajymif;tvJ awGayghaemf/ t&ifwkef;u Printed udkyJ ajymaewJh[mrSm tcku Online udk a&mufvmawmh q&mrvnf; ckeu xnfhajymwJhtxJrSm ygw,f/ tJ'gudk tajymif;tvJjzpf wJ[ h mqdak wmh usaemf jrifygw,f/ 2020¼2050 rSmawmh wu,fh tajymif;tvJayghaemf/ usaemfwdkYqDrSm Mobile Coverage uvnf; rsm;vmw,f/ rsm;wJhtwGufaMumifh rdkYvdkY 'Dtay:rSm usaemfwdkY bmvkyfMurvJayghaemf/ tJ'D awmh t&if;tESD;vnf; enf;w,faygh/ enf;enf;eJY vkyfvdkY &wJh[m wckawmh ay:vmw,f/ aemuf topfjzpfwJh twGufaMumifhrdkYvdkY tm;vHk; yg0ifEdkifw,f/ tpdk;&vnf; 'geJYywfoufNyD; usaemf odoavmufawmh Oya'w&yf jy|mef;zdkY vkyfaew,f/ tcku Oya' r&Sdawmh tjiif;yGm; wmaygh/ ypön;f oGm;ay;wJt h cgrSm jyóemawGwufw,f wdkY? bmwdkY Feedback raumif;bl;/ usaemfwdkY zwfMunfh awmh Oya'awG? ay:vpDawG csrSwfzdkYawmh vkyfaeMuNyD/ pm;oHk;olumuG,fa&;bufu taeeJYa&m/ tJ'D[may:vm&ifawmh usaemfxifw,f? 'g vli,f vlvwfawGtwGufuawmh tcGifhtvrf;aumif;wckvdkY usaemf jrifw,f/ t&ifwkef;uawmh Supermarket BuD; zGifhEdkifrS? 'grSr[kwf&if tcef;iSm;rS/ tcef;iSm;wJh p&dwf uvnf; BuD;awmh tJ'yD pkH rH sKd; r[kwaf wmhb;l ayghaemf/ tJ'D awmh 'D[mudkvdkufNyD; usaemfwdkY b,fvdkjyifqifrvJ qdk
usaemfwdkYqDrSm Mobile Coverage
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199
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Myanmar 2050
usew f w hJ uúov kd af wGwuf tenf;qH;k a':vm aomif;*Pef; awG Edik if jH cm;udyk aYkd y;&w,f/ olwYkd Edik if o H m;qd&k if oufom w,f/ Edik if jH cm;om;qd&k if aomif;*Pef; wESpu f kd tenf; qH;k ode;f ig;&mavmuf&rdS S wuúov kd w f ufv&Ykd wm/ tJ'aD wmh aq;ausmif;rwufb;l / bmvdYk tif*sief , D mrwufvq J &kd if ESp&f n S &f if wufvYkd r&bl;/ bmvdq Yk kd rdbuvnf; tjynfh t0 raxmufyb hH ;l / ud, k [ fh mud, k f tvkyv f yk &f r,fq&kd if usaemfwdkYu ausmif;wdkif; ausmif;wufcGifh &&r,fqdkwJh [m awmif;qdk&if igwdkYvnf; vlwdkif;wufcGifh&&r,f/ olww Ykd ikd ;f jynfrmS bmvdYk rwufMuwmvJ/ bmvdYk tm;vH;k bG&UJ rjzpfvJ wuúov kd f bmvdrYk oGm;wmvJ bmvdo Yk w l u Ykd Diploma eJY NyD;oGm;wmvJ? tar&durSm 'grSr[kwf A Level eJY Ny;D oGm;wmvJ/ Poly eJ NY y;D oGm;vJqw kd m tJ'[ D m jyóem&Sd w,f/ usaemfwq Ykd rD mS bmjzpfvq J &kd if ckeu usaemf ajym ovdyk /J bmvky&f ifaumif;rvJqw kd m rpOf;pm;bl;/ usaemfwYkd rdbutp rpOf;pm;rdbl;/ olrsm;u ILBC xm;awmh olu xm;vdkufw,f/ 'gayrJh usaemfu olwdkYudkajymw,f/ cif Asm; tJ'g qHk;½IH;rI&Sdw,fqdkawmh olu bm&SdvJar;awmh (1) cifAsm; om;orD;awGu ILBC O Level atmifNyD;&if wyfxJ0ifvdkY r&awmhbl;/ [kwf[kwf? r[kwf[kwf ol uawmh 0if&if0ifvmr,f/ [kww f ,f r[kwv f m;/ cifAsm;u oGm;NyD; qk;H jzwfvu kd w f t hJ wGuaf Mumifrh v Ykd ?Ykd aemufeyH gwf (2) tpd;k &ausmif;awG tckxd vufrcHb;l / cifAsm; O level atmifNyD;wJhtcsdef EdkifiHjcm; rvTwfEdkifwJhtcsdefrSm cifAsm;
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jrefrm 2050
tJ'u D av;udk b,frmS xm;rvJ qdw k m jyóemwck &Sv d mw,f/ usaemfwYkd tJ'u D srS aq;ausmif;wufr,fqdk wufvdkY r&bl;/ [dku vufrcHbl;/ cifAsm; tJ'gqdk&if tpuwnf;u cifAsm; qHk;jzwfvdkufwJh[mu taumif;r[kwfbl; jzpfaew,f/ usaemfu tJ'v D kd ajymvdu k &f if olwu Ykd pdwq f ;kd w,f/ ig wwfEikd v f Ykd xm;wm yJ/ rSefw,f? wwfEdkifw,fqdkwm b,favmufwwfEdkifvJ/ cifAsm; uav; b,f ESa,muf&SdvJ/ cifAsm;u om;OD;a,mufsm;av;udk xm;w,f/ usefwJh aemufrSm ESpfa,muf&Sdw,f/ tJ'Dawmh usaemfajymcsifwm q&m ckeuar;wJh ar;cGef;udk ajz&wm bmvJqdk&if udk,f bmvkyfEdkifvJqdkwmudk MunhfzdkY/ wu,fwrf; rdb awGu pMunf&h r,f/ Munfw h t hJ csderf mS vnf; ud, k f bmvkycf sifvJ tu©&mvdu k u f kd MunfhzdkY usaemfwdkYu tMuHjyKcsifw,f/ usaemfwdkYu tBuHjyKwJhtcg wcgwav rSm;wmu rdbawGudk,fwdkifu rSm;cJhwm/ usaemfu axmufjycsifw,f/ aemuf wcg cg;v,fjywfoGm;wJholawG trsm;BuD;/ cg;v,fygjywfNyD; ausmif;NyD;vdkY? ILBC NyD;vdkY International School NyD;wJh ausmif;om;tm;vkH;&JU 20 &mcdkifEIef;avmufyJ ausmif;qufxm;Edik w f ,f/ usefw[ hJ m tm;vH;k u [dv k v kd kd 'Dvv kd ekd YJ NyD;oGm;w,f/ 'gu ppfwrf;wck &SdvdkY/ tJ'Dawmh usaemfwdkYajymcsifwm wcgwavusawmh udk,fbmvkyfcsifvJ tay:rSm rlwnfNyD;awmhrS pOf;pm;zdkY usaemfajymcsifygw,f/ 'guawmh ckeu tajzyg/ tJ'Dawmh usaemfwdkYu Message ay;csifw,f qdkwmuawmh vli,f vl&G,fawGtaeeJY tvkyfvkyfwJhae&mrSm uH? ÓPf? 0D&d,vdkY ajymwmayghaemf/ oHk;ckqHkrSjzpfr,f/ wcgwavusawmh usaemfwdkYar;cGef;ar;&if? atmifjrifwJhol oGm;ar;&if olu BudK;pm;w,f? bmjzpfw,f? BudK;pm;wdik ;f rjzpfwm trsm;BuD;yg/ usaemfwb Ykd 0rSmvnf; BudK;pm;cJw h ,f? ratmifjrifcw hJ [ hJ mawG trsm;BuD;? atmif jrifwJh[mawGu &Sdwmenf;enf;/ tJ'Dawmh ajym&&if vG,fvG,fav;/ usaemfwdkY u b,fvBkd udK;pm;vdYk b,fvkd jzpfw,f Interview awG rSm ajzMuwmaygh/ 'grSr[kwf 202
Myanmar 2050
&ifvnf; Talk awGrmS ajymMuwmayg/h wu,fwrf; BuKd ;pm; Ny;D rjzpfwmtrsm;Bu;D / atmifjrifwo hJ u l enf;enf;av;yg/ tJ'Dawmh 'gqdk rvkyf&awmhbl;vm;qdkwJh ar;cGef;&Sd w,f/ usaemfwdkYtaeeJY uHqdkwJh[mu rajymEdkifbl;/ usaemfwdkYvkyfEdkifwmu ÓPfeJY 0D&d,udk usaemfwdkY tm; xkww f ,f/ uHaumif;wJt h csderf mS jzpfrmS aygh/ tJ'v D kd r[kwf bJ 'gqdk igwdkY uHraumif;bl;? tdyfaer,fqdk&if udk,f rod vdkufbl; jzpfr,f/ vli,f vlvwfawGudk ajymcsifwm uawmh udk,fhtaeeJY Message wck ay;csifwmu udk,f vkyfaewJh[m ÓPfeJY 0D&d, jynfh0atmifvkyfzdkY vdkw,f/ rdrdudk,fydkifvkyfief; vkyfwm jzpf&ifjzpfr,f? 'grSr[kwf olrsm;qDrmS 0efxrf;jzpf&ifjzpfr,f? even though volunteer jzpf&ifvnf; jzpfr,f/ usaemfwdkYu jcaohFvdkyJ xkH;udkESvHk; rlNy;D awmh taumif;qH;k jzpfatmif Do the Best vkyzf t Ykd wGuf usaemfhtaeeJY wdkufwGef;csifygw,f/ uHaumif;&ifawmh tm;vH;k atmifjrifrmS jzpfw,f/ 'gayrJh uH b,fawmhaumif; rvJ usaemfwdkYrajymEdkifbl;/ BudK;pm;zdkYtwGuf wdkufwGef; csifygw,f/ n
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ay;csifwmu udk,fvkyfaewJh[m ÓPfeJY 0D&d, jynfh0atmif vkyfzdkYvdkw,f ...
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OD;atmifolNidrf; MODERATOR
aus;Zl;ygcifAs? aemufqHk;taeeJYawmh udkrif;Zifudk zdwf ac:csifygw,f/ udkrif;ZiftwGufawmh ar;cGef;ESpfck &Sdygw,f/ yxrwcku jrefrmEdkifiHrSmwJh acgif;aqmifaumif; vlawmf &Sm;yg;aew,fvYkd jrifryd gw,fw/hJ bmaMumifv h Ykd xifygovJwhJ ar;xm;ygw,f/ 'kw, d wckuawmh jrefrmqdw k m Brand wck jzpfygvdrrhf ,fw/hJ tJ'gqd&k if 2050 rSm jrefrmEdik if u H kd jrifcsifwhJ Alternative Brand aygh/ wjcm;yHk&dyfwck? wjcm;emrnfwcku bmjzpfEdkifygrvJwJh? 'Dar;cGef; ar;xm;ygw,f/ n
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OD;rif;Zif
OD;rif;Zif panelist
'kwd,ar;cGef;udkyJ pNyD;awmh aumufMunfh&atmifyg/ bmjzpfvdkYqdk usaemf wdu Yk Edik if w H um avQmufywfomG ;Munfw h t hJ cgrSm bmawG&U ovJqakd wmh vuf&dS tajctaerSm usaemfwu Ykd , kd u f saemfwYkd jrifwOhJ y"deYJ rSex f rJ mS MunfNh yD; [m... igwdYk jrefrmyJqdkwJh Oy"deJY EdkifiHwumu usaemfwdkYudkjrifwJh Oy"d[m tawmfuGmjcm; vmwm awG&U ygw,f/ tJ'gu usaemfwYkd txl;ojzifh &cdik u f pd t ö NyD; aemufyikd ;f rSm tawmfu h kd odomvmwJjh yóemjzpfygw,f/ 'Dupd [ ö m usaemfwt Ykd wGuf ta&;BuD; t,f'DwmrSwfcsuf OD;rif;Zifonf ISP-Myanmar \ trIaqmif'g½du k w f mjzpfonf/ ¤if;onf tar&duefjynfaxmifpk bmuav wuúodkvfwGif EdkifiHa&;odyÜH yg&*lbGJUtwGuf pmwrf;jyKpkaeol jzpfygonf/
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wJh jyóem jzpfygw,f/ bmvdkYvJqdkawmh jrefrmEdkifiHrSmu tpuwnf;u ckeu usaemfwjYkd refrmEdik if &H UJ Brand vdYk ajymvdyYk g/ tpuwnf;u 'DEikd if &H UJ t"dujyóem [m Nation Building vdaYk c:wJh jynfaxmifpw k ckukd ayrDa'gufrD 47 yifvekH aYJ yghaemf? rwnfaqmufEdkifcJhwJh jyóemyg/ jynfaxmifpkudk ayrDa'gufrD rwnfaqmuf EdkifcJhwJhtwGufaMumifhvnf; 62 rSm wyfrawmfuaeNyD;awmh zuf'&,fudk taMumif;jyKNyD; tmPmodrf;w,f/ t&yfbuf¼ppfbuf qufqHa&;awG qdk;0g; vmcJhw,f/ ckeuajymwJh aemufwdk;jyóemawG trsm;BuD; wufvmygw,f/ tckrsm;qdk&if aemufwdk;jyóemu usaemfwdkY &Sd&if;pGJjyóemxufawmif ydkNyD; BuD;pdk;vmEdkifwJhoabm jzpfygw,f/ Climate Change vdkrsKd;ayghaemf/ obm0 ab; tÅ&m,fudpörsKd;? Geopolitics qdkwJh ckeu udk0if;rsdK;ol axmufjyoGm;wJh yx0D EdkifiHa&;taetxm;/ Globalization vdkYac:wJh uÇmrSm enf;ynmawG? ckeu udkxGef;ol&oufwdkY ajymoGm;wJh[mrsKd;? a&mufNyD;awmh tJ'DvdktajctaersKd;rSm usaemfwu Ykd rl&if;jyóemudk ajz&Si;f aewmeJY vdyyf wfrvnfEikd w f hJ taetxm;rsK;d jzpfygw,f/ tJ'Dawmh aemufaemifrSm? 2050 rSm usaemfjrifwmuawmh yxrwef;pm; Edik if o H m;? 'kw, d wef;pm;Edik if o H m; wwd,wef;pm;Edik if o H m;qdNk y;D wdik ;f &if;om;awG cHpm;ae&wJ[ h mudk ry,fzsuaf y;Edik b f ;l qd&k if usaemfwYkd emvefxEl ikd rf mS r[kwyf gb;l / usaemfwdkY EdkifiHa&;[m tcktcsdeftxd EdkifiHa&; Failure ayghaemf? EdkifiHa&;aMumifh jyóemawG 'Davmufwufae&wm? Edik if aH &;eJyY wfoufvYkd Reimagination vdaYk c:whJ pdwu f ;l pdwo f ef;opf? tjrif topf jyefvyk zf q Ykd &kd if eHygwfwpfu wef;wlnrD QrIqw kd hJ tay:rmS tajcrcH&if r&Edik yf gb;l / tJ'aD wmh arwåmw&m;vdYk ckeu q&mawmfb&k m; vnf; rdeyYf gw,f/ arwåmw&m;&Jt U "du[m wef;wlawG&U if arwåm0ifqw kd m ud, k f u udk,feJYwef;wljzpfwJholtay:rSm arwåmxm;Edkifwm jzpfygw,f/ ckeu usaemf ajymcJhwJh [D&dMowyÜ vdyfjymoefYzdkY vdkw,fayghaemf/ 'gawG[m usaemfxifw,f? 208
Myanmar 2050
'DvªtzGJUtpnf;&JU Foundation jzpfr,fqdk&if 2050 rSm usaemfw[ Ykd m Edik if aH wmfocD si;f xJrmS ygwt hJ wdik ;f tm;vH;k u wef;wly/J 'g wdjYk ynf? 'gwdaYk jr qdNk yD;awmh Sense of belonging ayghaemf? 'g&r,fvdkY xifygw,f/ 'gu ta&;BuD;w,fvdkY xifygw,f/ aemufwckuawmh bmvdkY vlaumif;olaumif;awG? vlawmfawG acgif;aqmifxJrSm ray:vJqdkwJhar;cGef; xif ygw,f/ usaemf xifwmuawmh usaemfwYkd Edik if aH &;orm; awmfawmfrsm;rsm;udk usaemf owdxm;Munfrh w d t hJ cgrSm Edik if aH &;orm;qdw k mu 'Dvykd g/ tmPmudk rJenf;eJY vdck sif wJholvnf; &Sdw,f/ vufeufenf;eJY vdkcsifwJholvnf; &Sd w,f/ oabmu tmPmvdkcsifwJholayghaemf/ tmPm &NyD;awmh trsm;jynfol tusKd;jyKr,fvYkd a<u;aMumfwv hJ ?l uwday;wJv h u l kd usaemfwu Ykd Edik if aH &;orm;vdYk ,lqwm yg/ vufeufenf;eJ, Y cl sif,l aiGeyYJ J 0,f,, l al ygh/ ajymcsif wmu 'DEdkifiHa&; Armjynf&JU tcif;tusif;rSm EdkifiHa&; orm; awmfawmfrsm;rsm;u b,fvkd jzpfvq J akd wmh ud, k hf tvSnfhra&mufao;vdkY apmifhaeovdk jzpfaew,f/ igu awmh aemufrsdK;qufukd vufqifu h rf;ay;vdu k rf ,fqw kd hJ oabmrsKd; odyfrawGU&ygbl;/ bmeJYwlvJqdkawmh usaemfwdkY i,fi,fwkef;u EdkYqD bl;awG tara&SrU mS aumfpm;wJt h cgrSm taru ½du k af wmh ig toufBuD;vdYk vc&&ifawmhjzifh Edq Yk b D ;l awG trsm;BuD; 0,fpm;OD;r,fqdkwJh pOf;pm;csufeJY EdkifiHa&;vkyfovdk jzpf
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aew,f/ ajymcsiw f mu bmvJqakd wmh ud, k t hf vSnu hf kd apmifNh y;D awmh vkyaf ew,f/ tJ'Dawmh udk,f tmPmr&cif udk,f ocifrjzpf&awmh uRefpepfu qdk;w,faygh? udk,fvnf; ocifjzpf a&m uRefpepfuvnf; rqdk;ygbl; qdkwmrsKd; jzpfvmw,f/ qdak wmh usaemfw&Ykd UJ t"du jyóem[m 'DrsK;d quf[m igtvSnNhf y;D Ny?D aemufrsK;d quf udk b,fvkd vufqifu h rf;ay;rvJqw kd hJ shock aygh/ tJ'v D kd shock jzpfatmif usaemf wdYk trke;f cHajymaewmyg/ usaemfwYkd tck ajymaewm[m b,forª S tremy ajym aewm r[kwfbl;/ ckeu tm;vHk;vnf; ajymw,f/ 'DrsKd;qufwcku awmfoifhNyD/ cP em;oifNh yD/ aemufrsdK;qufukd b,fvv kd ufqifu h rf;rvJ? tkwjf rpfawG csay; rvJ qdkwmudk ppOf;pm;oifhNyDvdkY usaemfxifygw,f/ tJ'Dawmh usaemfuawmh Ak'¨bmom0if wa,muftaeeJY ajymr,fqdk&if y|mef;w&m;awmfrmS &Syd gw,f/ ew¬yd pöa,mqdw k m/ 'gvnf; Take-home Message vdkY usaemf xifygw,f/ r&Sdjcif;tm;jzifh aus;Zl;jyKwmyg/ tJ'Dawmh ig r&Sdawmh jcif;tm;jzifh vªtzGJUtpnf;udk aus;Zl;jyKygvdkY usaemfajymcsifygw,f/ n
t,f'DwmrSwfcsuf ew¬dypöa,m ¼ r&Sdonfjzpfí aus;Zl;jyKwwfaom w&m;[lí zGihfqdkygonf/ wenf;tm;jzihf nOhf\ uif;rJh jcif;onf aeYjzpfjcif;iSm aus;Zl;jyKouJo h v Ykd nf;aumif;? qDr;D \ Nidr;f jcif;onf trdu k af rSmifjzpfjcif;iSm aus;Zl; jyKouJo h v Ykd nf;aumif; r&Sad omtm;jzihf aus;Zl;jyKwwfaomw&m;udk qdv k ykd gonf/ ]Nidr;f aoavNyD;? qDr;D wÅK? aus;Zl;jyKod?Yk xdw Yk rl w S b f ?d r&So d rI? aus;Zl;jyK}[lívnf; ygVdA'k b ¨ mom teufziG q fh rkd rI sm;t& rSwo f m; Edkifygonf/
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OD;atmifolNidrf; MODERATOR
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r[mAsL[majrmufacgif;aqmifrsm;u rnfonfhudpörsm; aqmif&GufMuoenf;/ (What strategic leaders do?)
rnfodkYrnfyHk aqmif&GufMuoenf;/ (How they do it?)
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ISP-Myanmar China Desk
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China-Myanmar Economic Corridor (CMEC)
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a':oufoufcdkif OD;aeatmif Oway Travel & Tours
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'*kHNrdKUe,f rJqE´e,f? jynfoªvTwfawmfudk,fpm;vS,f jzpfygonf/
OD;ausmfpGmrif; Grand Lotus Tours
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ra0opfvGif MIB-ABC
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Bella Cosmetics and Personal Care
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jrefrm 2050
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Myanmar 2050
rnfodkY xnfhoGif;pOf;pm;Edkifygrnfenf;/ ]Nidrf;csrf;rI? vGwfvyfrI? w&m;rSswrI? wef;wlnDrSsrI}[laom tajccH tyg t0if? vlrItodkuft0ef;\ vHkNcHKrI? om,m0ajymrI? axmufcHvdkvm;rIrsm;tay: wGufcsufpOf;pm;í vªtzGJUtpnf;\ tkkwfjrpfjzpfaom tajccHOya'ukd a&;qGJ jcif; (odkYr[kwf) jyifqifjcif;wkkdY aqmif&GufMu&onfom jzpfygonf/ q|r ajrmuf pum;0dkif;aqG;aEG;yGJwGif jrefrmEdkifiH\ zGJUpnf;yHktajccHOya' jyifqifa&; tay: ,cifESifh,ck tawGUtBuHKrsm;? jyóemajz&Sif;ykHrsm;tm; vufqifhurf; qifjcifí vli,frsm;\tjrifudk OD;pm;ay; aqG;aEG;cJhMuonf/ n
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Miss Teen Earth Myanmar 2018 Air Quality Yangon
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a&ab;'ku©onf jzpfcJhonf/ 2017 ckESpfuqdkvQif vlaygif; 140ç000 ausmf a&ab;'ku©onf jzpfcJhygonf/ 2016 ckESpfu ydkírsm;onf/ vlaygif; 470ç000 cefY a&ab;'ku©onf jzpfcJh&ao;onf/ xdkolrsm;onf wESpfwnf; 'ku©cHpm;& onfr[kwf? ESpfpOfESpfwdkif; a&ab;'ku©onfb0 a&mufaeMu&jcif;jzpfonf/ a&ab;aMumifh qkH;½IH;cJh&aom toufrsm;pGmvnf; &Sdaeonf/ tqdkyg Owk puf0ef;qdk;'Pf tajymif;tvJu em*pfrkefwdkif;'PfcH&NyD;aemufydkif; ydkí odom vmcJhjcif;jzpfonf/ em*pfrkefwdkif;onf acwfopfordkif;wGif tqdk;&Gm;qHk; jzpf&yf 238
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Myanmar 2050
owårajrmuf pum;0dkif;ü rdk;av0oynm&Sif a'gufwmxGef;vGif aqG;aEG;aepOf
EdkifiHwumrdom;pku BudK;yrf;cJhMu onf/ 1992 ckESpf &D,dk ajruÇmxdyfoD;nDvmcH (Rio Earth Summit)? aemif oHk;ESpftMumwGif uÇmhukvor*¾ &moDOwkajymif; vJrIqdkif&mEdkifiHwumoabmwlnDcsufrlabmif UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC)? aemufydkif; usKdwdk oabmwlnDcsuf (Kyoto Protocol) ESifh yg&DoabmwlnDcsuf (Paris Agreement) rsm; jyKvkyfí wuÇmvHk; zefvHktdrf tmedoif&Sdonfh "mwfaiGUpGefYxkwfrI avQmhcsapa&;ESifh &moDOwkazmuf jyefajymif;vJrIudk 0dkif;0ef;wm;qD;a&;wdkYtwGuf BudK;yrf;aeMuonf/ 1994 ckESpf Edk0ifbmwGif UNFCCC rlabmifudk jrefrmEdkifiHu yg0ifvufrSwfa&;xdk;cJhonf/ 2003 ckESpfwGif usKdwdkoabmwlnDcsufudk todtrSwfjyKcJhonf/ NyD;cJhonfh ZGef 5 &uf (uÇmhywf0ef;usif xdef;odrf;a&;aeY)wGif or®w OD;0if;jrifhu ]jrefrmEdkifiH trsKd;om;ywf0ef;usifa&;&mrl0g'ESifh trsKd;om;tqifh &moDOwkajymif;vJrIqdkif 241
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tem*wftwGuf jrefrm tqifoifhjzpfNyDvm; Lessons from Yaw Min Gyi’s Zayat: Is Myanmar Prepared to Meet Future Challenges? atmufwdkbm 19 &uf? 2019 ckESpfwGif jyKvkyfcJhonf/
2018 ckESpf ZlvdkifrS 2019 ckESpf ZGeftxd jyKvkyfcJhaom a,mrif;BuD;Z&yf pum;0dkif; ckepfBudrfwGif jrefrmEdkifiHtwGuf ta&;BuD;aomacgif;pOfrsm;udk yHkazmf aqG;aEG;cJhMuonf[k ,lqrdygonf/ jynfhpHkuHkvHkrIr&Sdao;aomfvnf; ynm&Sifrsm;? e,fy,ftoD;oD;rS uRrf;usifolrsm;u NcHKiHkrdatmif tjrifzvS,fcJhMuygonf/ aocsmonfrSm jrefrmEdkifiHtwGuf pdefac:rIrsm; 'keJYa';&Sdaeonf/ jrefrmEdkifiH\ EdkifiHawmfwnfaqmufa&; (State building) ESifh jynfaxmifpkMueftifvu©Pm wnf aqmufa&; (Nation building) rSm NyD;pD;jynfhpHkrI r&Sdao;yg/ EdkifiH\ toGiful;ajymif;a&; vkyfief;pOfrSmvnf; a&SUqufcsDwufzdkY rsm;pGm vdktyfaeygao;onf/ ESpf 70 ausmfvm NyDjzpfonfh jynfwGif;ppf ed*Hk;csKyftqHk;owfEdkifa&;ESifh trsKd;om; jyefvnf&ifMum;aph a&;udkvnf; OD;pm;ay;tjzpf ajymqdkaqmif&GufaeMuonf/ uav;rsm;twGuf t&nftaoG;&Sdaom ynma&;ESifh zl;yGifha0qmaeaom yef;cif;ozG,f tem*wfudk tyfESif;csifonf/ ydkí vHkNcHKaom? ydkí zlvHk0ajymaom? ydkí usef;rmaysmf&TifzG,f tem *wfudk pdwful;&nfrSef; arQmfMunfhcsifonf/ jrefrmEdkifiHtwGuf ydkíaumif;rGefaom tem*wfudk rnfodkYzefwD;Edkifygrnfenf;/ pdefac:rIrsm;udk BuHhBuHhcHEdkifrnfh ypfwdkif; axmif vªtzGJUtpnf;tjzpf &yfwnf&ef jrefrm tqifoifhjzpfygNyDvm;/ ,ck&moD twGuf aemufqkH;pum;0dkif;jzpfvmrnfh a,mrif;BuD;Z&yfpum;0dkif;wGif oHk;oyfaqG; aEG;cJhMuygonf/ a,mrif;BuD;Z&yf pum;0dkif; &SpfyGJpm w&moD (8 Episodes of Season 1) \ aemufqkH;pum;0dkif; aqG;aEG;rItjynfhtpkHudk pmrsufESm 247 rS pwifí zwf½IEdkif ygonf/ 243
tem*wftwGuf jrefrm tqifoifhjzpfNyDvm; IS MYANMAR PREPARED TO MEET FUTURE CHALLENGES?
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OD;atmifolNidrf; MODERATOR
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OD;atmifolNidrf; MODERATOR
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a'gufwmaZmfOD;
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IS MYANMAR PREPARED TO MEET FUTURE CHALLENGES?
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271
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IS MYANMAR PREPARED TO MEET FUTURE CHALLENGES?
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273
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274
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OD;vSarmifa&T
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IS MYANMAR PREPARED TO MEET FUTURE CHALLENGES?
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279
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280
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281
OD;atmifolNidrf; MODERATOR
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OD;&JrsKd;[def;
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307
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IS MYANMAR PREPARED TO MEET FUTURE CHALLENGES?
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IS MYANMAR PREPARED TO MEET FUTURE CHALLENGES?
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IS MYANMAR PREPARED TO MEET FUTURE CHALLENGES?
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337
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338
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IS MYANMAR PREPARED TO MEET FUTURE CHALLENGES?
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IS MYANMAR PREPARED TO MEET FUTURE CHALLENGES?
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341
OD;atmifolNidrf; MODERATOR
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343
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rav;&Sm;0efBuD;csKyf ajymw,f/ igwdkYawGu enf;ynm&JU t&Sifocif jzpf&r,f? uRefrjzpf&bl;/ tJ'DtwGuf enf;ynm&yf0ef;awG ydkNyD; jzpfvmzdkYtwGuf rufvHk;awGay;w,f ...
374
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IS MYANMAR PREPARED TO MEET FUTURE CHALLENGES?
w,f/ olu armfvNrKd iu f vmw,f/ &efuek rf mS vkyaf ew,f/ 'gu wu,fjzpfaewm jzpfw,f/ usaemfw&dYk UJ wcsK0Ud efxrf;awG? rdbu ajymif;oGm;vdYk tvkyx f u G o f mG ;&w,f/ [drk mS aew,f/ 'gayrJh [du k ae ya&m*suv f yk w f m vc wjym;rSravQmb h ;l / 'grsK;d awG u tcktcsed rf mS jzpfv&Ydk aeNy/D Edik if jH cm;u ya&m*suaf wG,Nl y;D vky&f ifvnf; aomif;eJY csDNyD;&aeNyD/ 'gawGu t&ifwkef;uqdk&if rjzpfEdkifbl;/ tckqdk&if jzpfEkdifaeNyD/ [dkwavmu rav;&Sm;0efBuD;csKyfajymw,f/ igwdkYawGu enf;ynm&JU t&Sif ocif jzpf&r,f? uRefrjzpf&bl;/ tJ'DtwGuf enf;ynm&yf0ef;awG ydkNyD; jzpfvmzdkY twGuf rufv;kH awGay;w,f/ Harvard u bG&UJ Ny;D wJt h cgrmS vnf; b&mZD;oGm;rvm;? csDvDoGm;rvm;/ oGm;r,fqdk&if a':vmwodef; csufcsif; &if;ESD;rwnfrIay;w,f/ tdrv f nf; wESppf m iSm;p&mrvkb d ;l / Edik if u H v kd mNy;D enf;ynm&yf0ef;awG us,jf yefv Y mzdYk twGuf tpdk;&uaezdwfac:wmjzpfw,f/ olpdrf;awGudk zdwfac:wmjzpfw,f/ usaemfwu Ykd 'Dtwdik ;f yJ jzpfygapqdNk yD; ckeyf sHausmfvmT ; atmfaevdrYk &bl;/ jzpf vmatmif a&cHajrcHaumif;awG zefwD;ay;zdkY vdkw,f/ vli,fawGu t&rf;awmf ygw,f? t&rf;av;pm;w,f/ acwfBu;D uvnf; ajymif;aeNy/D tJ'aD wmh vli,fawGukd wu,ftm;udk;w,f/ olwdkYudkvnf; EdkifiHawmftaeeJY a&cHajrcHaumif;whJ tcGifh ta&;awG jzpfvmapcsiw f ,f/ vli,fenf;ynm? wufopfp pD;yGm;a&;vkyif ef;&Siaf wG twGuf tcuftcJqHk;u bmvJvdkYar;vdkuf&if ydkufqHr&Sdwmjzpfw,f/ 'gayrJh olwdkYrSmynm&Sdw,f? ÓPf&Sdw,f/ azmufxGuf pOf;pm;Edkifw,f/ usaemfwdkY txd avmufu awmfawmf aMumufao;w,f/ usaemfwaYkd &SrU mS qd&k ifvnf; pOf;pm;&if rjzpfEikd w f mu pNyD;pOf;pm;w,f/ vli,fawGrmS u tJ'gr&Sad wmhb;l / olw&Ykd t UJ m;udk oHk;NyD; tcsdKU jyóemawGudk tajz&SmMunfh&atmif/ q&mwa,muftaeeJq Y &kd ifawmh oifMum;rIypkH H ajymif;csifw,f/ tJ't D wGuf vdt k yfwhJ oifaxmufuyl pön;f awG vkyw f ,f/ "mwfoifyek ;f qkw d mu oifaxmuful ypönf;wckyJjzpfw,f/ tjcm; enf;ynm&SifawGvnf; ay:xGufvmapcsifw,f/ 375
tem*wftwGuf jrefrm tqifoifhjzpfNyDvm;
tarwa,muftaeeJq Y &kd ifvnf; orD;av;udk ynm&J&ifh yGv J ,fwifah pcsif w,f/ pD;yGm;a&;vkyfief;&Sifwa,muftaeeJYqdk&ifawmh enf;ynmudk tajccHwJh Diversify Economy udk q&majymoGm;w,f/ pdu k yf sKd;a&;udyk J tajccHwmr[kwb f ;l / o,HZmwudkyJ tajccHwmr[kwfwJh Diversify Economy ay:vmzdkYtwGuf a&cH ajrcHaumif;awG zefwD;ay;apcsifw,f/ r[kwf&if usaemfwdkYutp usaemfwdkY&JU ÓPypön;f rlyikd cf iG hf (IP)udk jrefrmjynfrmS rxm;&Jb;l / tar&durSm oGm;xm;&w,f/ pifumylrSm oGm;xm;&w,f/ jrefrmjynfu wa,mufa,mufu usaemfh[mudk cdk;NyD;oHk;oGm;vdkY w&m;pGJ&if axmif*Pef;? aomif;*Pef;yJ&r,f/ enf;ynmrSm vnf; toufu ÓPypön;f rlyikd cf iG yhf jJ zpfw,f/ ÓPypön;f rlyikd cf iG u hf kd 'DrmS xm;vdYk r&bl;qdkuwnf;u udk,hfEdkifiHu trsm;BuD;qHk;½IH;aeNyD/ tcGeef yYJ wfoufwmawGq&kd ifvnf; usaemfwq Ykd rD mS tvkyv f yk w f hJ tcsKdU Edik if H jcm;om;awGqdk&if jrefrmjynf½Hk;u vcray;eJY? tJ'DtcGefudk raqmifEdkifbl;/ EdkifiH jcm;½H;k u vcay;rS,rl ,fqw kd mrsKd;awG jzpfvmNyD/ t&ifwek ;f u rpOf;pm;rdw[ hJ m awG? ay;xm;csufawGeYJ rudu k w f [ hJ mawGukd jyefpOf;pm;&r,f[ h mawG &Sv d mw,f/ oufomcGiahf y;wm? rufv;Hk ay;wmawGu pD;yGm;a&;rSm Diversify Economy jzpf vmapcsifw,fq&kd if xnfo h iG ;f pOf;pm;&r,ft h csufawG jzpfw,f/ 'grSvnf; Edik if H awmftwdik yf ifcaH jymwJh ckeyf sHausmfvmT ;wd?Yk wu,fh uÇmopfukd tdyrf ufopfawGeYJ oGm;vdkY&r,f/ usaemfuawmh tdyfrufruf&wmukd aysmfygw,f/ tdyfrufvnf; qufrufcsifygw,f/ aus;Zl;wifygw,f/ n
376
OD;atmifolNidrf; MODERATOR
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OD;rif;Zif
OD;rif;Zif panelist
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379
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a&G;aumufyGJeJY ywfoufNyD;ajym&&if a&G;aumufyGJ&v'f wckwnf;ukd tm½kHrjyKapcsifbl;? EkdifiHa&;&v'fukdvnf; tm½kHjyKapcsifygw,f ...
380
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IS MYANMAR PREPARED TO MEET FUTURE CHALLENGES?
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IS MYANMAR PREPARED TO MEET FUTURE CHALLENGES?
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tem*wftwGuf jrefrm tqifoifhjzpfNyDvm;
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394
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OD;atmifolNidrf; Moderator
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rvSvS0if; Panelist
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tem*wftwGuf jrefrm tqifoifhjzpfNyDvm;
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IS MYANMAR PREPARED TO MEET FUTURE CHALLENGES?
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tem*wftwGuf jrefrm tqifoifhjzpfNyDvm;
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OD;atmifolNidrf; Moderator
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IS MYANMAR PREPARED TO MEET FUTURE CHALLENGES?
NLD 'kw, d Ouú|jzpfwhJ a'gufwmaZmfjrifah rmifu r[mrdwq f w dk m
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q&mausmf0if; Panelist
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OD;atmifolNidrf; Moderator
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tem*wftwGuf jrefrm tqifoifhjzpfNyDvm;
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a'gufwmaZmfOD; Panelist
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tem*wftwGuf jrefrm tqifoifhjzpfNyDvm;
ykNd y;D tm;aumif;vmrSmjzpfw,f/ rNird ;f csr;f wJah 'oawGtwGuv f nf; pHerlemjzpfp&m awG trsm;BuD;&dw S ,f/ 'gaMumifh 'Dupd [ ö m apmifah ep&mrvkb d ;l / ¶NzdK;a&;vkyjf cif; tm;jzifv h nf; Nidr;f csrf;a&;ukd taxmuftuljyKEkid w f ,f? ¶NzdK;a&;u pEkid &f ifvnf; pzkdY 'gukd wkdufwGef;csifwmjzpfygw,f/
OD;atmifolNidrf; Moderator
aemfarOD;twGuf ar;cGef;&dSygw,f/ ar;xm;wmuawmh toufay;NyD;awmh umuG,fcsifavmufatmifjzpfapr,fh pH wefzkd;awGu bmawGjzpfrvJ/
aemfarOD; Panelist
tm;vkH;twGufawmh usr pum;ajymvkdYr&bl;/ usr&JUwa,mufpm t,l tqeJaY &m? jynfaxmifpu k dk vkcd sifw,fqw dk hJ vlawG? usrodwv hJ al wG&UJ t,ltqeJY qk&d if enf;enf;av; rSe;f ajymMunfw h mjzpfw,f/ jynfaxmifpu k dk wnfaqmufcsif &wJh taMumif;&if;u rwlwv hJ al wG &daS evdjYk zpfw,f/ wlwv hJ al wGyq J &dk if jynfaxmif pk wnfaqmufp&mawmif rvkdbl;/ rwlwJht&mawG? rwlwJh ,kHMunfrI? rwlwJh bmompum;awGeYJ vlawG pkpnf;NyD;aewJh Ekid if u H dk wnfaqmufr,fqadk wmh usr 402
IS MYANMAR PREPARED TO MEET FUTURE CHALLENGES?
wkdY jynfaxmifpkukd pOf;pm;Muwm jzpf w,f/ tJ'jD ynfaxmifpu k dk pOf;pm;wJt h cg jynfaxmifpkukd rSm Nidr;f csrf;pGm ,SOw f aJG exkid zf t Ydk wGuf wnfaqmufcsif&wJh qkd&if ukdrif;ZifajymcJhovkdyJ? usrwkdY taMumif;&if;u wef;wla&;ukd tajccHzkdYvdkw,f/ jynf rwlwJhvlawG &dSaevdkY jzpfw,f/ axmifpk&JU zGJUpnf;ykHtajccHOya'rSm 'D wlwJhvlawGyJqkd&if wef;wla&;ukd >cif;csurf &dS tmrcHxm;zkYd jynfaxmifpk vkdw,f/ 'gu jynfaxmifpk&JU pHwefzkd; wnfaqmufp&mawmifrvkdbl; ... jzpfovk?d wnfaqmufr,fh Ekid if aH wmf&UJ pHwefz;dk vnf; jzpfzv Ydk w dk ,f/ bmjzpfvYdk vJ qkad wmh ckid rf mwJh jynfaxmifpjk zpfzv Ydk o dk vd?k ckid rf mwJh Ekid if aH wmfjzpfzv Ydk nf; vkd w,f/ tJ't D cg rSm usrwk&Yd UJ zGpUJ nf;yk[ H m 'Dpw H efz;dk awGut dk ajccHwhJ zGpUJ nf;yHjk zpfr,f qk&d if 'gu usrwk&Yd UJ pHwefz;dk jzpfw,f/ zGpUJ nf;yku H u dk muG,w f ,fqw dk m pmtkyw f tkyf ukd umuG,fwmr[kwfbl;/ usrwkdY&JU pHwefzkd;ukd umuG,fwmjzpf&r,fqkdwJhtcg tJ'DzGJUpnf;ykH[m usrwkdY&JU pHwefzkd;ukd tajccHwJh? a&mifjyef[yfwJh xif[yfay:vGif apwJh pHwefzkd;jzpfoifhw,fvkdY usruawmh ,lqwmjzpfygw,f/ aemufwcku bmjzpfvkdY 'Dvkdajym&wmvJqkdawmh zGJUpnf;ykHu 'Dvkd tmrcH xm;wJh zGJUpnf;ykHr[kwfbl;qkd&if? usr c&D;oGm;&if;eJY Myanmar National Airline &JU 71 ESpfajrmuf tcrf;tem;udk zwfvdkuf&w,f/ zwfvdkuf&wJhtcsdefrSm 71 ESpf ajrmuf ESpyf wfvnfukd bke;f Bu;D qGr;f uyfNy;D tvSL'gejyKw,fayg/h usru tJ't D crf; tem; ESpyf wfvnfudk MunfNh yD; 'D[mu Ekid if aH wmfyidk af vaMumif;qkw d m av,mOf xGuw f meJY av,mOfrLS ;u *kP, f 0l if<h um;pGmajymw,f/ ajymwJt h cgrSm usrwku Yd ausauseyfeyfBuD; cHpm;&w,f/ 'g[m EkdifiHawmfykdif avaMumif;vdkif; jzpfw,f/ 403
tem*wftwGuf jrefrm tqifoifhjzpfNyDvm;
'gayrJh usrwkYd Ekid if aH wmfBuD;u bmomrsKd;pk?H ,Ofaus;rIrsKd;pk?H uk;d uG,, f MHk unfwhJ bmomrsKd;pkH &Sad ewJh Ekid if aH wmfBuD;u (ydik q f ikd w f )hJ Ekid if aH wmfyidk af vaMumif;&JU ESpf ywfvnfu bmomwckudk tav;xm;NyD;? txl;jyKNyD;awmh azmfjyaew,fqw dk m tJ'Dudpöu usreJY rqkdifawmhjyefbl;/ usr ajymcsifwmu usrwkdYu wef;wla&;? ukd,fykdifjy|mef;cGifh? vGwfvyfpGm uk;d uG,, f MHk unfciG ?hf 'grsKd;awGjzpfw,f/ OyrmtaeeJY usrwkYd Ekid if aH wmf&UJ tajccH pHwefz;dk ? jynfaxmifp&k UJ pHwefz;dk awGvYkd oabmxm;NyD;awmh 'Djynfaxmifpk zGpUJ nf;ykH tajccHOya'txJrSm 'gawGukd aoaocsmcsm tESpfom&&dS&dS jyef|mef;Ekdifr,f qk&d if usrwkeYd q YJ idk w f ,f/ jynfojl ynfom;awGvnf; ,kMH unfw,fq&dk if 'D zGpUJ nf;ykH ukd usrwkdYu umuG,frSmjzpfw,f/ bmjzpfvkdYvJqkdawmh usrwkdYu zGJUpnf;ykHukd umuG,w f m? pmtkyu f dk umuG,w f mr[kwb f ;l ? usrwk&Yd pUJ w H efz;dk ukd umuG,w f m jzpfygw,f/
OD;atmifolNidrf; Moderator
'Dwcg ar;cGe;f u OD;vSarmifa&TtwGuf jzpfygw,f/ jrefrmh Nidr;f csrf;a&;jzpfpOftwGuf wzufrmS vnf; aqG;aEG;yGaJ wG quf vky?f wzufuvnf; jyefNyD;awmh ukpm;rIvyk w f hJ udprö sKd;awGudk vnf; zefwD;ay;r,fqkd&if tajctaeaumif;awG jzpfEkdifyg ovm;? Oyrm¼ ajr,m jyefvnfppD Ofay;wmawG? IDPs jynfwiG ;f 'kuo © nfawGudk jyefvnfae&mcsxm;ay;wmawG? tjcm;rl0g' awG ponfjzifh 'Dvadk qmif&u G af y;r,fq&dk if ykNd yD;awmh aumif; rvmEkdifbl;vm;vdkY ar;xm;ygw,f/ 404
IS MYANMAR PREPARED TO MEET FUTURE CHALLENGES?
OD;vSarmifa&T Panelist
tJ'v D kd vkyaf y;Ekid &f ifvnf; aumif;w,f/ 'gayrJh ckeu q&mraemfarOD; aqG; aEG;ovkrd sKd; wcsKdaU e&mtqifah wG[m tJ'aD vmuftqifah wG a&mufrvmao;bl;/ qkv d w dk muawmh wzufew YJ zuf aqG;aEG;wmawmh [kww f ,f/ 'gayrJh Ekid if w H um rSm usifo h ;Hk aewJ[ h mawGu aumif;wmawG&aSd yr,fh usaemfwu Ydk , dk w f idk u f 'gawG ukd vufcHusifhokH;zkdYqkdwJhtqifhukda&mufzkdY Level wef;u vlawG &dSraeao;bl;/ 'gayrJh aocsmwmu IDPs udpu ö tck aqG;aEG;aew,f? ajymaeMuw,f/ wzufu IDPs udpöukd ukdifwG,c f sifw,f/ tjcm;wzufuusawmh r[kwb f l;/ qkdvkdwmu &nf&G,fcsufukd taumiftxnfazmfwJhae&mrSm ykHpHrsKd;pkH&dSw,f/ tJ'DykHpHrsKd;pkHrSm usaemfwkdY pOf;pm;wJhtay:rSm rlwnfNyD;awmh tukefvkH; 'DrSm tqifoifhrjzpfwm awGvnf; &dSao;w,f/ usaemf owdxm;rdwmu &SpEf pS w f mumv Nidr;f csrf;a&;jzpfpOfajymwJt h xJrmS tckcsdeftxd enf;enf;cufwJh[m&dSw,f? tqifoifhjzpfwJh[mawG &dSw,f/ ckeu ajymwJh wef;wlnDrQrIudpöeJY ywfoufwJh[mukdajym&if tNrJwrf; rwlwJh½Iaxmifh jzpfaew,f/ 'gu xdv, G &f v S , G w f o hJ abmrsK;d jzpfawmh avmavmq,frmS a&Sw U ef; rwifbeJ YJ aqG;aEG;vk&Yd wmawGudk a&Sw U ef;wifaqG;aEG;&if;eJyY J wcsderf mS awmh oifh awmfwhJ ae&mwckawmh a&mufEidk w f ,f/ 'gaMumifh ckeu ar;cGe;f uawmh tckcsucf si;f vkyEf idk zf q Ydk w dk mxuf 'gukd pdwu f ;l xm;NyD; vkyEf idk w f t hJ ajctaerSm vkyzf Ydk qkw d mrsKd; &dSaeygw,fvdkY ajzyg&ap/ 405
tem*wftwGuf jrefrm tqifoifhjzpfNyDvm;
OD;atmifolNidrf; Moderator
ukrd if;ZiftwGuf ar;cGe;f &dyS gw,f/ a'oqkid &f m jyóemeJY ywfoufwahJ r;cGe;f jzpfygw,f/ 'DrmS pmeJaY &;xm;wmuawmh jrefrmEkdifiHtaeeJY zuf'&,fpepfusifhokH;&ef jzpfEkdifygovm;/ jynfwGif;Nidrf;csrf;a&;&zdkY zuf'&,fu tajzwck jzpfEkdifygo vm;/
OD;rif;Zif Panelist
ckeu rdwfaqGar;wJhar;cGef;udk usaemfuawmh av;pm;pGmeJYyJ oabmxm; uGv J cJG sifygw,f/ bmjzpfvv Ydk q J adk wmh usaemft h jrif ajymr,fq&dk if ]wkid ;f &if;om; awGu Nidrf;csrf;a&;rvkdcsifbl;/ tdrfeD;csif;awGu zdtm;ay;vkdufwmeJY vufeuf csoGm;rSmyJ}qkw d t hJ jrif[m awmfawmfav; awmufawmufcg;cg; jyif;xefw,fvYdk xifygw,f/ orkdif;rSmjyefMunfhvkdufr,fqkd&if wkdif;&if;om; vufeufukdifvIyf&Sm;rIawG ay:vmwmuvnf; wu,fwrf;usawmh ckeuwef;wla&;tay:rSmyJ tajccHyg w,f/ 'gayrJh jynfwGif;ppf&JU oabmobm0t& wm&SnfvmwmeJYtrQ jyóem awGu ykdNyD;½IyfaxG;vmygw,f/ jynfwGif;ppfrSm b,folrS tjypfuif;w,fvkdY 406
IS MYANMAR PREPARED TO MEET FUTURE CHALLENGES?
rxifbl;/ 'gayrJh usaemfu wkdif;&if; om;ta&;ukd axmufcHwm rltm;jzifh axmufcHwmjzpfw,f/ Oyrm¼ KNU yx0DEkdifiHa&;jzpfwJh tiftm;BuD;xGm;jcif;[m u&ifvªtzGJU tdrfeD;csif;EkdifiHawGuawmh tpnf; tiftm;BuD;xGm;jcif;eJY xyfwl usaemftNrJajymaeus uscsifrS usvdrrhf ,f/ usaemf axmufcH pum;&dSw,f/ usaemfwkdYukd wmu u&ifvªtzGJUtpnf; tiftm; zsufvkdYawmh&w,f? BuD;xGm;jcif;eJY u&if vªtzGJUtpnf; jzpfatmifvkyfay;vkdYawmh *kPfodu©m&dS&dSeJY ¶NzdK;wkd;wufa&;ukd r&bl; ... axmufcHwm jzpfw,f/ tJ'D½Iaxmifht& ajymr,fqdk&if 'Drdkua&pDrSmvnf; tvm;wlygyJ/ 'Drdkua&pDrSm ygwDwck tiftm;BuD;xGm;a&;u usaemhf&nf&G,fcsuf r[kwfygbl;/ ArmhvªtzGJUtpnf;? ArmEdkifiH tiftm;BuD;xGm; a&;? *kPo f u d m© &Sad &;udyk J usaemfarQmv f ifyh gw,f/ 'gaMumifh rltm;jzifah jymr,fq&dk if wkid ;f &if;om;awGupNyD; vufeufuidk af wmfveS af &;awG vkycf w hJ muku d wef;wla&; jyóemjzpfw,f/ umvMumwJhtcgrSm usefwJhudpöawGvnf; trsm;BuD; ygvm wmukd todtrSwfjyK&r,f/ 'gaMumifh jyóemuvnf; ajz&Sif;& ykdcufygw,f/ yx0DEidk if aH &;jzpfwhJ tdref ;D csif;Ekid if aH wGuawmh usaemf tNrJajymaeuspum; &dw S ,f/ usaemfwu Ydk dk zsufvaYdk wmh&w,f? jzpfatmifvyk af y;vkaYd wmh r&bl;/ w½kwf yJjzpfjzpf? xkid ;f yJjzpfjzpf? usaemfwEYdk idk if &H UJ jyóem rajyvnfatmif zsufv&Ydk w,f/ 'gayrJh usaemfwkdYEkdifiH aumif;oGm;atmifawmh olwkdY vkyfay;vdkY&bl;/ usaemfwkdY ukd,fwkdifvkyfrS&r,fvdkY ,lqygw,f/ 'gu yxrar;cGef;eJYywfoufNyD; usaemfh&JU oabmxm;jzpfw,f/ 'kw, d ar;cGe;f u ckeuvnf; aqG;aEG;cJyh gw,f/ t"dutm;jzifh zuf'&,ftay: 407
tem*wftwGuf jrefrm tqifoifhjzpfNyDvm;
rSm ,kMH unfcsuf&x Sd m;NyD;om; wkid ;f &if;om;awGjzpfwhJ u&if? ucsif? csif;? u&ife?D rGefeJY tckaqG;aEG;aewJh[mrSm usaemfwkdYbufu &v'fxGufatmifvkdY 'DpepfBuD; [m tvkyfjzpfw,fqkdwm oufaojyzkdYvkdNyDvkdY xifygw,f/ tJ'guvnf; wjcm; aMumifh r[kwfbl;/ ckeu ukd&JajymcJhovdkyJ? *drf;u ajymif;vJoGm;NyD jzpfw,f/ ajrmufyidk ;f &JzU t d m; odyjf yif;vmwmeJt Y rQ zuf'&,fr[kwaf om tjcm;enf;rsm; qkw d m pNyD;ajymvmMuw,f/ 'gaMumifh usaemfw, Ydk MHk unfwhJ zuf'&,fudk axG;ayGU xm;Ekid rf ?S oufaojyxm;Ekid rf ?S 'gawmifrS tawmfcufygw,f/ usaemfwu Ykd uÇm ay:rSm tck[mu armf',fawGtukev f ;kH jyefvnfjyifqifae&wJo h abm jzpfaeyg w,f/ a':e,fx&rfq h v kd nf; tukev f ;kH ua,mufu,ufawG jzpfae&wJu h mv/ t*FvefrmS jzpfaewJh Brexit qdv k nf; tHMh op&m tifrwefaumif;w,f/ tck usaemf wdYk pHxm;wJh tdE, d´ awmifrS uuf&rfS ;D ,m;udprö mS ar;cGe;f xkwpf &m jzpfvmygw,f/ pydefvnf; BuHKae&w,f/ usaemhftjrifuawmh armf',fwckwnf;u usaemfwkdYEkdifiH&JU jyóemukd ajz &Si;f zkt Yd wGuf 96 yg;aysmufwahJ q; rjzpfEidk b f ;l / 'gayrJh zuf'&,fuawmh Bu;D pk;d aom? tm;aumif;aom? jyóemawmfawmfrsm;rsm;ukd ajz&Si;f Ekid af om taMumif;jzpfr,f vkYd xifygw,f/ usefwu hJ pd aö wGuawmh 'DEidk if rH mS aoewfr&dv S ?Ydk Ekid if aH &;ygwDr&dv S Ydk ajyma&;qkcd iG rhf &dw S hJ wkid ;f &if;om; rsK;d EG,t f i,fawG trsm;Bu;D &dyS gw,f/ vltenf;pk awG&[ UJ mukd oD;oeft Y cGit hf a&;ay;NyD; pOf;pm;wmrsKd;awGvnf; pOf;pm;&rSm jzpfyg w,f/ 'gayrJhvnf; BuD;pkd;aomtaMumif;tm;jzifh tajzay;Ekdifwmu zuf'&,f jzpfr,fvkdY xifygw,f/ 'gayrJh tcsdefuvnf; odyfr&dSawmhbl;vdkY xifygw,f/ cke u q&mausmf0if;ajymovkd tcsdeq f w JG modyrf sm;&if usaemfh wGucf sufru I aemuf xyf ig;ESpfuae q,fESpfavmuftxd 'DvkdrsKd;EkdifiHa&;u tDNyD; oGm;aer,f/ t&deS rf &daS wmhb;l qk&d if usaemf xifwmu zuf'&,f[m 'DEidk if t H wGuf ajz&Si;f csuf jzpfzYdk cufvmygvdrrhf ,f/ bmjzpfvv Ydk q J adk wmh wkid ;f &if;om; awmfawmfrsm;rsm;[m 408
IS MYANMAR PREPARED TO MEET FUTURE CHALLENGES?
1947 rSmwke;f u tvdrcf &H w,f/ tckvnf; igwYdk axmifacsmufxrJ mS ydwrf ad ew,f/ 'gaMumifh igwkt Yd wGuu f awmh tjcm;enf;a&G;wm ykad umif;r,fqw dk hJ ckeu Radicalization bufudk a&mufoGm;Ekdifygw,f/ 'gaMumifh usaemf wkdufwGef;csifwmu tm;vk;H aocsmpOf;pm;NyD; igwkYd 'DpepfeYJ tvkyjf zpfao;w,fqw dk mukd oufaojy ay;yg? tJ'DvkdoufaojyvkdY&dS&if usaemfwkdYroGm;csifwJh pepfrsKd;? usaemfwkdYEkdifiH ajrykaH jymif;oGm;Ekid w f hJ tajctaersKd;ukd jiif;qefz?Ydk wGe;f vSezf Ydk tcsderf aD o;w,fvYdk xifygw,f/
OD;atmifolNidrf; Moderator
usaemfwkdY pum;0kdif; odrf;&r,fhtcsdef a&mufvmNyD jzpf ygw,f/ usefwhJ ar;cGe;f wck usaemf ajzzk&Yd ySd gw,f/ bmjzpfvv Ydk J qkad wmh vuf&Sd a,mrif;BuD;Z&yfpum;0kid ;f ukd bmjzpfvYdk MRTV wk?dY Ekid if aH wmf½yk o f w H rYdk mS rvTiEhf idk o f vJqw dk [ hJ m&,f? 'gukd us,f jyefYatmif b,fvkdvkyfrvJqkdwJh[m jzpfygw,f/ usaemfwYdk 'D aqG;aEG;yGJ pum;0kid ;f awGu tvm;wl aemufxyf aqG;aEG;yGJawGjzpfvmzkdY wGef;tm;ay;csifwm jzpfygw,f/ [kd wavmu IRI &JU okawoewckxu G yf gw,f/ aemufwcg PACE tzGu UJ vnf; ppfwrf;wckvyk yf gw,f/ jynfoal wG t"du b,fu owif;&ovJvYkd ar;xm;ygw,f/ tJ'pD pfwrf;ESpcf v k ;Hk &JU azmfjy csufawGrSm jynfoltrsm;pku jrefrmhtoHu &ygw,f? MRTV u owif;&ygw,f/ 'kw, d wcku DVB uae owif;&ygw,f/ tckvuf&Sd usaemfwpYdk um;0dik ;f udk DVB ½kyo f v H ikd ;f uvTiyhf gw,f/ 409
tem*wftwGuf jrefrm tqifoifhjzpfNyDvm;
MRTV uae vTiE hf idk w f t hJ aetxm; r&daS o;ygb;l / aemufwcku
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413
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414
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415
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426
a,mrif;BuD;Z&yf pum;0dkif;aqG;aEG;yGJonf jrefrmhr[mAsL[mESifh rl0g'avhvma&;tifpwDusK (ISP-Myanmar) \ tpDtpOfwck jzpfygonf/ xdktpDtpOfudk DVB ½kyfoHvdkif;rSwqihf tywfpOf wifqufaeygonf/ a,mrif;BuD;Z&yf pum;0dkif;aqG;aEG;yGJ (Talk Show) onf tjcm;aom aqG;aEG;yGJzdk&rfrsm;ESifh rwljcm;em; csufrSm vwfwavmBuHKawGUae&onfh EdkifiHa&;? vlrIa&;? pD;yGm;a&;jyóemrsm;udk aqG;aEG;rnfr[kwfbJa&&Snf oabmaqmifonfh taMumif;t&mrsm;? tv,ftvwfumv oabmaqmifonfh taMumif;jcif;&mrsm;udk qef;ppfaqG;aEG;aeMujcif;jzpfonf/ ,if;tpDtpOfwGif oufqdkif&mu@toD;oD;rS ynm&Sifrsm;? vufawGUtm;xkkwfaqmif&GufaeMuolrsm; udk zdwfMum;í jrefrmhvªabmif\ ,Ofaus;rI? "avhxHk;wrf;? wefzdk;xm;rIrsm;ESifh jyóemrsm;udk qef;ppfoHk;oyf Muygonf/ xdkYtwl tem*wfopfudkyHkazmfEdkifa&; a0zefajymqdkMuygonf/ a&SUwl½lEdkifrnfh ajrmfjrifcsuf vm;&m rsm;udkvnf; aqG;aEG;Muygonf/ aqG;aEG;rIrsm;onf EdkifiHawmfwnfaqmufa&;? jynfaxmifpk0daooESifh pdwf "mwfwnfaqmufa&;? vªtzGJUtpnf; tm;aumif;cdkifrma&;wdkYtwGuf wwyfwtm;jzpfap&ef &nf&G,fygonf/
ISP-Myanmar rS jyKvkyfcJhNyD;jzpfaom a,mrif;BuD;Z&yf pum;0dkif;aqG;aEG;yGJrsm; 1/
tem*wfjrefrmEdkifiH 2050
2/
tusyftwnf;twGif;rSacgif;aqmifrI tdyf&if;rwfwwf vrf;avQmuf aejcif;avm? r[mAsL[majrmuf pGefYOD;wDxGifacgif;aqmifolavm
Zlvdkif? 2018
3/
qif;&Jjcif; vGwfuif;atmif
4/
cg;ywfwuGif; vrf;wpif; ¼ jrefrmhtusKd;pD;yGm;tom&apzdkY
Edk0ifbm? 2018 Zefe0g&D? 2019
Mo*kwf? 2018 pufwifbm? 2018
5/
pufrIawmfvSefa&; 4.0 ESifh jrefrmEdkifiH
6/
zGJUpnf;yHktajccHOya'vrf;cGJ ¼ vªtzGJUtpnf;bufrStjrif
rwf? 2019
7/
Owkab;twGufvIyf&Sm;rI ¼ ta&;ay:vdkY xdk;&r,fhacgif;avmif;
ZGef? 2019
8/
a,mrif;BuD;Z&yfpum;0dkif;udk jyefvnfqef;ppfjcif; tem*wftwGuf jrefrm tqifoifhjzpfNyDvm;
atmufwdkbm? 2019
www.ISPMyanmarchinadesk.com
ISP China Desk onf jrefrmhr[mAsL[mESihf rl0g'avhvma&; tifpwDusK (ISP-Myanmar) \ vkyfief; pDrHcsufwck jzpfygonf/
jrefrm¼w½kwfqufqHa&;udk avhvm&mü taxmuftyHhjzpfaprnhf aemufcHtaMumif;t&mrsm;? yx0D EdkifiHa&;ESifh rsufarSmufacwf ESpfEdkifiHqufqHa&;qdkif&m tcsuftvufrsm;udk ISP China Desk wGif pkpnf;azmfjyay;rnfjzpfum &nf&G,fcsufokH;&yf xm;&Sdygonf/ xdk&nf&G,fcsuf okH;&yfrSm¼ (1) w½kwf¼jrefrmqufqHa&;ESihf pyfvsOf;onhf jyeYfusJaeaom tcsuftvufrsm;udk pkpnf;ay;jcif; jzihf trsm;jynfolrsm;taeESihf owif;rsm;udk tvG,fwul vufvSrf;rDvmap&ef? (2) owif;tcsuftvufrsm;? txl;okawoejyK aqmif;yg;rsm;jzihf rwlnDaomtjrifrsm;? tqdkjyK csufrsm;udk tjyeftvSef? tacstwif aqG;aEG;zvS,fMuNyD; ydkrdkaumif;rGefaom rl0g'rsm; csrSwf Edkif&efESifh (3) tiftm;BuD;aom tdrfeD;csif;ESihf qufqH&mwGif jrefrmEdkifiH\ tusKd;pD;yGm;rsm;udk jr§ihfwifEdkif&ef wdkY jzpfygonf/ wifjyykHtm;jzifh jrefrm¼w½kwf ESpfEdkifiHqufqHa&;\ qufpyftajctaersm;jzpfonhf ordkif;aMumif; rsm;? e,fpyfjzwfausmf yx0DEdkifiHa&;rsm;? w½kwfEdkifiHrS t"duyg0ifywfowfaeonhf vlyk*¾dKvfrsm;? tzGJUtpnf;rsm;ESihf ¤if;wdkY\ tcef;u@rsm;udk azmfjyrnfjzpfouJhodkY jrefrm¼w½kwf qufqHa&;tm; pD;yGm;a&;? EdkifiHa&;? oHwrefa&;? vkHNcHKa&;ESihf vlrIa&;½Iaxmihfrsm;rS avhvmokH;oyfygrnf/ xdkYtjyif txl;tm½kHpdkufoihfaom taMumif;t&mrsm;jzpfonhf jrpfqkH? jrefrmhNidrf;csrf;a&;ü w½kwfEdkifiH\ yg0ifrI? cg;ywfwuGif; vrf;wpif;ESifh w½kwf¼jrefrm pD;yGm;a&;pBuørlabmiftwGif;rS pDrHudef;rsm; tygt0if tjcm;ta&;ygonhf taMumif;t&mrsm;udkvnf; txl;u@rsm;taejzihf tav;ay;wifjyygrnf/ xdkYtwl trsm;jynfoltaejzifh owif;tcsuftvufrsm; vG,fulpGm &&SdEdkif&ef ESpfEdkifiHtpdk;&rsm;\ xkwfjyefcsufrsm;? jynfwGif;owif;pm? *sme,frsm;rS w½kwf¼jrefrmta&;ESihf qufpyfaom owif;rsm;? aqmif;yg;rsm;ESifhtwl jrefrm¼w½kwfqufqHa&;udk ydkif;jcm;pdppfazmfjyaeaom okawoeokH;oyfcsuf pmwrf;rsm;udkvnf; wpkwpnf;wnf; &&SdEdkifap&ef pkpnf;ay;xm;ygonf/
www.ISPMyanmar.com
Emerging Young Researcher Initiative (wufopfvli,f okawoetpDtpOf)onf jrefrmh r[m AsL[mESifh rl0g'avhvma&;tifpwDusK (ISP-Myanmar) \ vkyfief;pDrHcsufwck jzpfygonf/ jrefrmh rsufarSmufa&;&m tajctaersm;ESifhywfoufí ausmif;olausmif;om;vli,frsm; okawoejyKvkyf Edkif&ef ynm&yfydkif;qdkif&mtm;jzifhvnf;aumif;? aiGaMu;tm;jzifhvnf;aumif; ISP-Myanmar u yHhydk; ulnDay;onfh tpDtpOfwck jzpfygonf/
wufopfvli,f okawoetpDtpOf (yxrtBudrf)twGuf okawoe tqdkjyKvTmrsm;udk 2018 ckESpf 'DZifbmu zdwfac:cJhNyD; jrefrmEdkifiHtESHYtjym;&Sd wuúodkvfausmif;rsm;rS ausmif;olausmif;om;rsm; ay;ydkYcJhMuonfh okawoetqdkjyKvTm 39 apmif &SdcJhygonf/ ,if;wdkYteuf tqdkjyKvTm 20 udk a&G;cs,f &ef qkH;jzwfcJhNyD;? xdktxJrS taumif;qkH; okawoepmwrf; ig;apmifudk rMumcifxGuf&Sdrnfh The Myanmar Quarterly r[mAsL[mESifh rl0g'avhvma&;*sme,f trSwf¼5 wGif azmfjyrnfjzpfonf/ wufopfvli,f okawoetpDtpOf ('kwd,tBudrf)twGuf okawoe tqdkjyKvTmrsm;udk 2019 ckESpf Zlvdkifu zdwfac:cJhNyD; jrefrmEdkifiHtESHYtjym;&Sd wuúodkvfausmif;rsm;rS ausmif;olausmif;om;rsm; ay;ydkYcJhMuonfh okawoetqdkjyKvTm 44 apmif &SdcJhygonf/ ,if;wdkYteuf tqdkjyKvTm 15 apmifudk a&G;cs,f&ef qkH;jzwfcJhNyD; usef&Sdaom vkyfief;pOfrsm;udk qufvufvkyfaqmifvsuf&Sdygonf/ okawoetqdkjyKvTmrsm;udk a&G;cs,fonfhpepfrSm avQmufxm;oltrnfrMunfhbJ jyify ynm&Sifrsm; yg0ifaom pdppfa&;aumfrwDu zwf½Ií owfrSwfxm;onfh trSwfay;pnf;rsOf;twdkif; pdppfa&G;cs,f cJhjcif;jzpfygonf/ owfrSwfxm;aom trSwfay;pnf;rsOf;rsm;rSm¼ okkawoepmwrf;twGuf pdwf0ifpm;zG,faphaqmfrI (Research Puzzle) okkawoear;cGef; (Research Question) okkawoejyKavhvmrnfh enf;emrsm; (Research Method) jrefrmEkdifiH\ rsufarSmufacwf vªtzGJUtpnf;a&;&mrsm;ukd em;vnfEkdifatmif okawoepmwrf; jzifh a&;om;tusKd;jyKjcif; (Potential Impacts) wdkYjzpfygonf/
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wufopfvli,f okawoetpDtpOfESifh ywfoufNyD; xyfrHod&Sdvdkygu research@ispmyan mar.com odkY tD;ar;vfydkYí ar;jref;Edkifygonf/
Myanmar Quarterly Symposium
onf jrefrmhr[mAsL[mESihf rl0g'avhvma&; tifpwDusK (ISPrS xkwfa0aeaom okawoetajcjyK The Myanmar Quarterly r[mAsL[mESifh rl0g' avhvma&;*sme,fü (acwfNydKif jrefrmhEdkifiHa&;twGuf qDavsmfta&;ygonf[k t,f'DwmtzGJUu ,lqNyD; *sme,frsufESmzHk; acgif;pD;ESifhtxl;aqmif;yg;rsm;tjzpf) yHkESdyfazmfjycJhNyD;jzpfonfh taMumif; t&mrsm;tay: jyefvnf oHk;oyf aqG;aEG;tajz&Smjcif; odkYr[kwf a&;olzwfol aqG;aEG;yGJw&yfjzpfonf/ Myanmar)
xdkodkYaqG;aEG;&mwGif The Myanmar Quarterly *sme,fü aqmif;yg;rsm;a&;om;cJhonfh Author, Panelist rsm;ESifh oD;oefYzdwfMum;xm;aom Discussant rsm;tMum; owfrSwfxm;onfh acgif;pD; taMumif;t&mtay: tjyeftvSefoHk;oyfjcif;? taMumif;tcsufESifh tjrifzvS,fjcif;rsm; jyKvkyfMu jcif;jzpfonf/ Myanmar Quarterly Symposium aqG;aEG;csufrsm;udk www.ISPmyanmar.com/ burmese odkY 0ifa&mufMunfh½IEdkifygonf/ ISP-Myanmar rS jyKvkyfcJhNyD;jzpfaom Myanmar Quarterly Symposium rsm;
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The Myanmar Quarterly twGJ(1) trSwf(2)
azazmf0g&D 2017
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Myanmar Quarterly Symposium
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