ADMIRALS COVE MARKET REPORT
Q4 2022
Inside Jupiter’s most exclusive waterfront golf community.
Photographed home: 389 Eagle Drive. Previously listed and sold by Donna Hutchins. This report is brought you by Gary Pohrer and Donna Hutchins of Douglas Elliman.
GARY POHRER | DONNA HUTCHINS | 3 CONTENTS Letter
All Property Types Custom Homes Club Cottage & Villas Harbor Condos In Closing 4 6 10 14 18 23
from Gary Pohrer and Donna Hutchins
Letter From Gary & Donna
We are delighted to welcome you to the first edition of Admirals Cove Market Report, which details the trends and history of Admirals Cove real estate. Within this report, we have broken down the market in a way that no one has done before, with various statistics showing the state of the market not only today, but over the past 20+ years.
The purpose of this report is to inform the local community, prospective sellers and new potential residents about the Admirals Cove real estate market. We believe that data is a very powerful tool when transacting on real estate for either personal or investment purposes. Drawing from data, our experience, and trends in Admirals Cove, we endeavor to predict what may come next in our local residential real estate market to help guide our clients in navigating these changing times.
By way of introduction, we’d like to introduce ourselves.
Over the past 19 years, Gary Pohrer’s record-breaking sales and unwavering work ethic have earned him impressive accolades. Ranking as the #1 Douglas Elliman Realtor in Palm Beach for Sales Volume since 2017 and #15 Nationwide 2022 REALTrends + Tom Ferry The Thousand, he is one of the most successful real estate agents in Palm Beach. His top-tier experience with record sales expands throughout Palm Beach County, selling oceanfront residences from Manalapan to Jupiter Island to Seminole Landing and exclusive homes in top golf club communities like Admirals Cove and Old Palm golf club. Gary Pohrer has proven his ranking as one of the top agents in the area with sales totaling over $1B since 2020.
Donna Hutchins has consistently ranked among Douglas Elliman’s top-performing brokers nationwide, and over the last 20 years has been privileged to work with some of the most influential individuals and developers in New York, New Jersey, and Florida who value her hard work, honesty, and dynamic negotiating skills. Known for her record-breaking accomplishments over her rich career, recent career highlights have included closing the highest sale in Jupiter’s exclusive Admirals Cove community in 2022. Donna resides in Admirals Cove and brings intimate knowledge of the community and all it has to offer to her clients.
$1B+
#15
Ranked Nationwide 2022 REALTrends + Tom Ferry The Thousand
19
Years Selling Real Estate in Florida
GARY POHRER |
HUTCHINS | 4
DONNA
SCAN ME!
In Sales Since 2020* Douglas Elliman Palm Beach Realtor for Sales Volume From 2017-2022** #1
In 2022, Gary and Donna represented the buyer and the seller on what is to date the highest sale in Admirals Cove with the record breaking sale of 194 Spyglass Court at $15.7M.
Together we bring more than 40 years of real estate experience in Palm Beach, Jupiter and its coastal towns to the market, and we look forward to sharing our expertise with the Admirals Cove community.
We hope you enjoy the read and look forward to your feedback so we can improve on this report in the future. If we can assist you in 2023, please don’t hesitate to reach out as we would love to help you navigate your real estate needs this year and beyond.
Best Regards, Gary and
Donna
Gary Pohrer Executive Director of Luxury Sales Sales Associate gary.pohrer@elliman.com
REPORT CONTRIBUTORS
GARY POHRER | DONNA HUTCHINS | 5 *AS DETERMINED BY 2020 DOUGLAS ELLIMAN REAL ESTATE SALES VOLUME AND GROSS COMMISSION INCOME. **AS RECOGNIZED BY THE DOUGLAS ELLIMAN ELLIE AWARDS FROM 2017 TO 2022. ***2022 GROSS COMMISSION INCOME AT DOUGLAS ELLIMAN REAL ESTATE.
Tammy Bernstein Sales Associate
Beth Johnson Sales Associate
Elizabeth Tristan Sales Associate Market Insights Advisor
Donna Hutchins Senior Director of Luxury Sales Broker Associate donna.hutchins@elliman.com
Douglas Elliman 2022 Platinum Award - Top 8% of Agents Company-Wide***
Honored in 2022 REALTrends + Tom Ferry America’s Best Real Estate Professional
Years Selling Real Estate in Florida
15+ 8%
ALL PROPERTY TYPES
Photographed home: 194 Spyglass Court. Previously listed and sold by Gary Pohrer and Donna Hutchins.
Q4 2022 Summary: All Property Types
Transaction volume was down -64% year-over-year (YOY)* in Q4. In Q4 of 2021, there was a total of 22 transactions, whereas Q4 of 2022 only saw 8 transactions.
Total sales value* was down -57% YOY in Q4 of 2022. In Q4 of 2021, there was more than $88M in sales value transacted. In Q4 2022, that number dropped to nearly $38M.
Price per square foot (PPSF)* continues to grow YOY, and was up significantly from the same period last year: +47%. Price per square foot on waterfront properties was up +50%, whereas non-waterfront only increased by +10% YOY in the fourth quarter.
FOOTER: Glossary
Year-over-year (YOY ): A method of evaluating two or more measured events, comparing the results of one period with those of a comparable period on an annualized basis.
Total sales value : The sum of all sales during a period of time.
Price per square foot (PPSF): A calculation of the value of each square foot of area of a house, condo or any building. It is calculated by dividing the price by the square footage.
PPSF: Home Size: Home size is based on the current under air square footage.
PPSF: Lot Size: This is based on the PPSF of the total lot.
% CHANGE YEAR OVER YEAR Q4 2021 Q4 2022 TRANSACTIONS WATERFRONT NON-WATERFRONT TOTAL SALES VALUE WATERFRONT NON-WATERFRONT AVERAGE SALES PRICE WATERFRONT NON-WATERFRONT AVERAGE PPSF: HOME SIZE WATERFRONT NON-WATERFRONT 8 7 1 $37,862,369 $34,962,369 $2,900,000 $4,732,796 $4,994,624 $2,900,000 $1,418 $1,531 $750 22 17 5 $88,214,538 $77,874,538 $10,340,000 $4,009,752 $4,580,855 $2,068,000 $965 $1,020 $683 -64% -59% -80% -57% -55% -72% 18% 9% 40% 47% 50% 10%
HUTCHINS | 7
GARY POHRER | DONNA
Inventory: Active Listings
Inventory of real estate in Jupiter continued to build in the fourth quarter, up +105% YOY. It grew from an average of 222 active listings in Q4 2021 to an average of 453 active listings in Q4 2022.
Days On Market
39 DAYS
Single family homes stayed on the market for an average of 39 days during Q4 2022. This was up +33% from last year at this time, when homes took an average of 30 days to sell.
GARY POHRER | DONNA HUTCHINS | 8
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 Jan17 Apr -1 7 Jul17 Oc t17 Jan18 Apr -1 8 Jul18 Oc t18 Jan19 Apr -1 9 Jul19 Oc t19 Jan20 Apr -2 0 Jul20 Oc t20 Jan21 Apr -2 1 Jul21 Oc t21 Jan22 Apr -2 2 Jul22 Oc t22 885 730 814 741 859 718 553 426 258 436 248 633 ACTIVE LISTINGS Jan17 Apr -1 7 Jul17 Oc t17 Jan18 Apr -1 8 Jul18 Oc t18 Jan19 Apr -1 9 Jul19 Oc t19 Jan20 Apr -2 0 Jul20 Oc t20 Jan21 Apr -2 1 Jul21 Oc t21 Jan22 Apr -2 2 Jul22 Oc t22 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 71.7 64 64.7 53.9 53.6 83.1 68 42.6 39.6 28.3 44.8 DAYS
MARKET
ON
Sale to List Ratio*
In Q4 2022, single family homes sold on average -7% below the asking price, quite similar to trends seen in the previous quarter. One thing to note is that in the first half of 2022, properties sold at nearly 99% of asking price. Starting in July of 2022, sale to list ratio dropped to 93%.
SALE TO LIST RATIO
Glossary
Sale to List Ratio: The ratio of the final sale price of a home to its list, or asking, price expressed as a percentage. If the sale to list ratio is above 100%, the home sold for more than the list price. If it’s less than 100%, the home sold for less than the list price.
GARY POHRER | DONNA HUTCHINS | 9
70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 Ma r17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Ma r18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Ma r19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Ma r20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Ma r21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Ma r22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 94.8 93.8 93.3 92.6 95 94.1 95.6 97.1 100.4 93.2
CUSTOM HOMES
The custom home collection at Admirals Cove is made up of single family waterfront, non-waterfront and golf-view residences. Waterfront lots boast at least 100 feet on the water, and can accommodate vessels that range from 70 to 120+ feet. Custom homes range in size from approximately 3,000 square feet to 25,000+ square feet.
Photographed home: 103 Schooner Lane. Previously listed and sold by Gary Pohrer and Donna Hutchins.
Q4 Summary: Custom Homes
Transaction volume was down -80% YOY for the fourth quarter of 2022, dropping from 10 sales in Q4 2021 to 2 sales in Q4 2022.
Total sales value* was down -73% YOY, decreasing from $65.6M in Q4 of 2021 to $17.4M in Q4 of 2022.
PPSF was up +42% in Q4 YOY, increasing from $1,037 PPSF in Q4 2021 to $1,477 in Q4 2022.
GARY POHRER | DONNA HUTCHINS | 11
% CHANGE YEAR OVER YEAR Q4 2021 Q4 2022 TRANSACTIONS WATERFRONT NON-WATERFRONT TOTAL SALES VALUE WATERFRONT NON-WATERFRONT AVERAGE SALES PRICE WATERFRONT NON-WATERFRONT AVERAGE PPSF: HOME SIZE WATERFRONT NON-WATERFRONT 2 2 0 $17,395,000 $17,395,000$8,697,500 $8,697,500$1,477 $1,47710 9 1 $65,621,175 $61,826,175 $3,795,000 $6,562,118 $6,869,575 $3,795,000 $1,037 $1,045 $916 -80% -78% -100% -73% -72% -100% 33% 27%42% 41%|
Custom Homes: Transactions
2022 closed out the year with 12 custom home transactions. Custom home transactions were down -61% in 2022, which was a significant decrease from the last two years. 2022 marked the fourth slowest year we’ve seen since 2000. TOTAL ANNUAL SALES VALUE
Custom Homes: Total Sales Value
Total sales value for custom homes was $96M in 2022, split between waterfront ($90M) and non-waterfront ($6.5M) sales. Total sales value on the custom homes asset class was down -60% in 2022 compared to 2021, and down -36% compared to 2020. However, the total sales value for 2022 was still above pre-Covid levels.
ANNUAL CLOSED TRANSACTIONS
$0.00 $50,000,000.00 $100,000,000.00 $150,000,000.00 $200,000,000.00 $250,000,000.00 $300,000,000.00 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 200 7 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 $50.5M $24M $63M $150M Sales Value ($) 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 40 35 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 200 7 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 32 22 31 11 23 13 25 23 15 34 12 All Transactions GARY POHRER | DONNA HUTCHINS | 12
($)
Custom Homes: Price Per Square Foot (PPSF)
Price per square foot on custom homes was up +15.5% in 2022. Waterfront custom homes PPSF rose +21.5% from $1,018 to $1,237, and non-waterfront PPSF was down -22.8% from $836 in 2021 to $646 in 2022. Note, non-waterfront PPSF was based on a very small sample size of just two sales in 2022, and therefore not necessarily representative of a trend. We will continue to watch this metric over the coming quarters.
Most Recent Custom Home Sales
SALE PRICE ADDRESS WATERFRONT? SF HOME SIZE APPROX PPSF ($) HOME SIZE $15,700,000 194 SPYGLASS COURT YES 9,290 $1,690 $12,500,000 372 REGATTA DRIVE YES 9,400 $1,330 $11,000,000 109 SCHOONER LANE YES 6,711 $1,639 $10,750,000 371 REGATTA DRIVE YES 7,290 $1,475 $8,500,000 129 COMMODORE DRIVE YES 8,188 $1,038 $7,000,000 406 MARINER DRIVE YES 7,509 $932 $6,500,000 408 MARINER DRIVE YES 4,189 $1,552 $6,395,000 287 REGATTA DRIVE YES 5,065 $1,263 $6,300,000 381 EAGLE DRIVE YES 8,365 $753 $5,000,000 349 EAGLE DRIVE YES 6,458 $774 $3,500,000 119 CLIPPER LANE - 5,526 $633 $3,022,500 467 MARINER DRIVE - 4,572 $661
0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 $1,400 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 200 7 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 $1,237 $646 $/SF Non-Waterfront $/SF Waterfront PPSF ($)
GARY POHRER | DONNA HUTCHINS | 13
CLUB COTTAGES & VILLAS
Set on a private marina with access to both the Intracoastal and the Atlantic Ocean, the cottages & villas at Admirals Cove are situated with waterfront, non-waterfront and golf course view throughout the East side. Waterfront properties boast 70 to 90 feet on the water. These elegant, three to four bedroom single family homes range in size from approximately 2,600 to 3,500 square feet, and offer residents the opportunity to join South Florida’s premier club as full golf members, who enjoy world class golf, tennis, and dining.
\
Q4 Summary: Club Cottages & Villas
Transaction volume was down -50% YOY for the fourth quarter of 2022, dropping from four sales in Q4 2021 to two sales in Q4 2022.
Total sales value was up +13%, increasing from $10.1M in Q4 of 2021 to $11.4M in Q4 of 2022.
PPSF was up +99% YOY, increasing from $818 PPSF in Q4 2021 to $1,631 in Q4 2022. This large increase was driven by a record-breaking sale for club cottages & villas, which went for $8.5M at 185 Island Drive.
% CHANGE YEAR OVER YEAR Q4 2021 Q4 2022 TRANSACTIONS WATERFRONT NON-WATERFRONT TOTAL SALES VALUE WATERFRONT NON-WATERFRONT AVERAGE SALES PRICE WATERFRONT NON-WATERFRONT AVERAGE PPSF: HOME SIZE WATERFRONT NON-WATERFRONT 2 1 1 $11,400,000 $8,500,000 $2,900,000 $5,700,000 $8,500,000 $2,900,000 $1,631 $2,725 $750 4 1 3 $10,114,420 $5,139,420 $4,975,000 $2,528,605 $5,139,420 $ 1,658,333 $818 $1,585 $545 -50% 0% -67% 13% 65% -42% 125% 65% 75% 99% 72% 37% GARY POHRER | DONNA HUTCHINS | 15
Club Cottages & Villas: Transactions
2022 closed out the year with 11 club cottage and villa transactions, which was a -39% YOY decline. Unlike custom homes, it’s worth noting that 11 transactions is average for a typical year, based on the last 20+ years of sales.
Club Cottages & Villas: Total Sales Value
Total sales value for club cottages and villas was just below $40M in 2022, split between waterfront ($20M) and non-waterfront ($20M) sales.
In 2022, total sales value on the club cottages & villas asset class was only down -2.8% compared to 2021, and flat compared to 2020. Overall, it was above pre-Covid levels.
Sales Value ($) Non-Waterfront Sales Sales Value ($) Waterfront
0 $5,000,000.00 $10,000,000.00 $15,000,000.00 $20,000,000.00 $25,000,000.00 $30,000,000.00 $35,000,000.00 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 200 7 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 $20,525,000 $19,190,000
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 200 7 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 19 17 12 5 8 19 7 16 11 13 All Transactions
($) ANNUAL CLOSED TRANSACTIONS GARY POHRER | DONNA HUTCHINS | 16
TOTAL ANNUAL SALES VALUE
Club Cottages & Villas: Price Per Square Foot
Price per square foot on club cottages and villas was up +49% for waterfront villas and +56.6% for non-waterfront villas in 2022. Waterfront cottage and villa PPSF rose from $954 to $1,423, and non-waterfront PPSF increased from $591 to $926, from 2021 to 2022 respectively.
Most Recent Club Cottages & Villas Sales
SALE PRICE ADDRESS WATERFRONT? SF HOME SIZE APPROX PPSF ($) HOME SIZE $8,500,000 185 ISLAND DRIVE YES 3,119 $2,725 $5,140,000 102 REGATTA DRIVE - 4,124 $1,246 $4,325,000 154 WATERS EDGE DRIVE YES 2,959 $1,462 $3,650,000 114 REGATTA DRIVE - 3,299 $1,106 $3,400,000 114 REGATTA DRIVE - 3,299 $1,031 $3,200,000 245 REGATTA DRIVE YES 2,614 $1,224 $2,900,000 329 EAGLE DRIVE - 3,869 $750 $2,400,000 403 MARINER DRIVE YES 3,116 $770 $2,300,000 102 WATERS EDGE DRIVE - 3,171 $725 $2,100,000 245 REGATTA DRIVE YES 2,614 $803 $1,800,000 110 WATERS EDGE DRIVE - 2,959 $608
$/SF Non-Waterfront $/SF Waterfront 0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 $1,600 $1,400 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 200 7 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 $926 $1,423 PPSF ($)
GARY POHRER | DONNA HUTCHINS | 17
HARBOR CONDOS
The luxurious Harbor Condos of Admirals Cove are two-story buildings with a single residence on each floor and four residences to a building. All second floor homes include a private elevator. Harbor Condos boast views of either lush golf greens or water, and most include docks accommodating vessels up to 34 feet. Harbor Condos range in size from approximately 2,160 to 2,600 square feet.
Q4 Summary: Harbor Condos
Transaction volume was down -50% YOY for the fourth quarter of 2022. This marked a drop from 8 sales in Q4 2021 to four sales in Q4 2022.
Total sales value was down -27%, declining from $12.5M in Q4 of 2021 to $9M in Q4 of 2022. PPSF was up +45% in Q4 YOY, increasing from $790 PPSF in Q4 2021 to $1,142 in Q4 2022.
TRANSACTIONS
Harbor Condos: Transactions
2022 closed out the year with 16 Harbor Condo transactions. Transactions were down -51% in 2022. This was down significantly from the two preceding years, but was on par with pre-Covid transaction levels.
% CHANGE YEAR OVER YEAR Q4 2021 Q4 2022
TOTAL SALES VALUE AVERAGE SALES PRICE AVERAGE PPSF: HOME SIZE 4 $9,067,369 $2,266,842 $1,142 8 $12,478,943 $1,559,868 $790 -50% -27% 45% 45%
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 200 7 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 23 18 29 6 19 13 15 11 15 33 All Transactions ANNUAL CLOSED TRANSACTIONS
GARY POHRER | DONNA HUTCHINS | 19
Harbor Condos: Total Sales Value
Total sales value for Harbor Condos was just above $35M in 2022.
Total sales value on the Harbor Condo asset class was flat YOY. This was the only property type in Admirals Cove that did not see a decline in sales value YOY.
Harbor Condos: Price Per Square Foot
Price per square foot on Harbor Condos was up +103% YOY, rising from $544 in 2021 to $1,103 in 2022.
GARY POHRER | DONNA HUTCHINS | 20 TOTAL ANNUAL SALES VALUE ($) $0.00 $5,000,000.00 $10,000,000.00 $15,000,000.00 $20,000,000.00 $25,000,000.00 $30,000,000.00 $35,000,000.00 $40,000,000.00 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 200 7 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 $8M $14M $3M $5M $10M $35M Sales Value ($)
0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 200 7 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 $219 $357 $217 $314 $373 $1,103 Average $/SqFt PPSF ($)
Most Recent Harbor Condo Sales
SALE PRICE ADDRESS WATERFRONT? SF HOME SIZE APPROX PPSF ($) HOME SIZE $3,050,000 4601 CAPTAINS WAY YES 2,357 $1,294 $2,863,830 220 EAGLE DRIVE YES 1,866 $1,535 $2,750,000 501 CAPTAINS WAY YES 1,866 $1,474 $2,725,000 152 EAGLE DRIVE YES 1,952 $1,396 $2,690,000 226 EAGLE DRIVE YES 1,866 $1,442 $2,500,000 350 SPYGLASS WAY YES 1,866 $1,340 $2,250,000 164 EAGLE DRIVE YES 2,256 $997 $2,100,000 260 EAGLE DRIVE YES 1,866 $1,125 $2,100,000 164 EAGLE DRIVE YES 2,256 $931 $2,000,000 2003 CAPTAINS WAY YES 1,952 $1,025 $1,960,000 384 SPYGLASS WAY YES 2,256 $869 $1,950,000 1702 CAPTAINS WAY YES 1,952 $999 $1,800,000 1503 CAPTAINS WAY YES 1,952 $922 $1,700,000 320 SPYGLASS WAY - 1,866 $911 $1,453,539 1803 CAPTAINS WAY YES 1,952 $745 $1,450,000 312 SPYGLASS WAY - 1,952 $743
HUTCHINS | 21
GARY POHRER | DONNA
In Closing
We appreciate you taking the time to read our report, and hope you found our insights on the Admirals Cove market helpful!
Admirals Cove has experienced a tremendous amount of growth over the last few years, with the macro headwinds impacting south Florida in such positive ways. Although 2022 was a bit slower than what we’ve experienced in the two years prior, we’re still seeing tremendous demand for properties in the premier community, keeping us optimistic about continued investment in Admirals Cove in 2023 and beyond.
If you have any feedback for us, we’d love to have it, as we are always looking for new ways to break down the data in more interesting or accessible ways.
Warmest wishes, Gary and Donna
Donna Hutchins Senior Director of Luxury Sales Broker Associate
M: 732.241.7002
donna.hutchins@elliman.com
Source: Above data is pulled from Beaches MLS and the Palm Beach Property Appraisers (PAPA). Specifically, we are only looking at transactions located in the Admirals Cove development.
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In Contract: 379 Eagle Drive, new construction, last ask: $18.5M Exclusively listed by Donna Hutchins of Douglas Elliman.