Florida Metro Forecast Spring 2022 from the UCF Institute of Economic Forecasting

Page 150

I N D U S T R Y L O C AT I O N Q U OT I E N T

E X P L A N AT IO N AND INTERP RE TATIO N This technique compares the local economy to a reference economy; in this case, the local economy is the chosen MSA, and the reference economy is the state of Florida. An Industry Location Quotient (LQ) is calculated to determine if the local economy has a greater share of each industry’s employment than the reference economy. The LQ helps to identify specializations that exist in the local economy. There are only three possible outcomes: 1. An LQ greater than one 2. An LQ equal to one and 3. An LQ less than one. An LQ that is greater than one means that the share of local employment in that particular industry is greater than the reference economy employment share in that same industry. This implies that some of the goods or services produced by that industry are exported for consumption elsewhere. An LQ of one means that local demand is met by the local industry. No goods/services are imported or exported from the local area in that industry. The share of local employment in that industry is equal to the share for that industry in the reference economy. An LQ less than one implies that the industry is not meeting local demand for that good or service, and in order to meet demand, that area must import that good or service. This also means that the share of local employment in that industry is less than the share of employment in that industry for the reference economy.

CALC U LATIO N An industry location quotient is a calculated ratio of two ratios. LQ = ((Local employment in industry A in year T / Total local employment in year T) / (Reference economy employment in industry A in year T) / (Total reference employment in year T)) For example: Orlando MSA employment for Information is 27,400 Total Orlando MSA nonagricultural employment is 1,104,100 Florida employment for Information is 169,800 Total Florida nonagricultural employment is 8,247,000 LQ = ((27,400 / 1,104,100) / (169,800 / 8,247,000)) = 1.2039 Source: Florida Regional Economic Database, Current Employment Statistics, May 2022

150

Florida & Metro Forecast / Spring 2022


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Industry Location Quotient

3min
pages 150-152

The Villages........................................................................................140

13min
pages 144-148

West Palm Beach-Boca Raton-Boynton Beach................145

4min
page 149

Tampa–St. Petersburg–Clearwater ..........................................135

11min
pages 139-143

Sebastian–Vero Beach...................................................................120

12min
pages 124-128

Tallahassee...........................................................................................130

12min
pages 134-138

Punta Gorda.......................................................................................... 115

12min
pages 119-123

Sebring.................................................................................................. 125

12min
pages 129-133

Panama City ......................................................................................100

12min
pages 104-108

Pensacola–Ferry Pass–Brent ..................................................... 105

12min
pages 109-113

Port St. Lucie........................................................................................110

11min
pages 114-118

Palm Bay–Melbourne–Titusville ....................................................95

11min
pages 99-103

Orlando–Kissimmee–Sanford....................................................... 90

12min
pages 94-98

North Port–Sarasota–Bradenton................................................ 80

12min
pages 84-88

Ocala .........................................................................................................85

12min
pages 89-93

Naples–Immokalee–Marco Island ................................................ 75

12min
pages 79-83

Jacksonville............................................................................................55

11min
pages 59-63

Lakeland–Winter Haven .................................................................. 60

12min
pages 64-68

Miami–Fort Lauderdale–West Palm Beach.............................65

11min
pages 69-73

Miami-Miami Beach-Kendall...........................................................70

12min
pages 74-78

Homosassa Springs........................................................................... 50

11min
pages 54-58

Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach-Sunrise............................40

13min
pages 44-48

Florida Forecast Charts ...................................................................20

1min
page 23

Deltona–Daytona Beach–Ormond Beach ...............................35

12min
pages 39-43

Cape Coral–Fort Myers..................................................................... 25

11min
pages 29-33

Florida News Summaries................................................................. 23

11min
pages 24-28

Gainesville...............................................................................................45

11min
pages 49-53

Crestview–Ft. Walton Beach–Destin......................................... 30

12min
pages 34-38

Florida Highlights and Summary.....................................................5

13min
pages 13-18
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