Zenith International and Warrick Research Global Aseptic Packaging 2015
Global Aseptic Packaging
Zenith and Warrick Research Report
2015
Introduction The Global Aseptic Packaging report is a joint report by industry experts Warrick Research and Zenith International. This report gives the results of a survey of world markets for aseptic packaging and packaging systems and for aseptically packed beverages and food products. The survey was carried out from July to September 2015. The report is divided into various sections: -
World Markets for Aseptic Packaging
-
Regional and Country Markets for Aseptic Packaging
-
Technical Developments and Supplier Profiles
The report gives detailed market figures and 5 year forecasts for milk, beverages and food products using aseptic filling technology. It also provides a detailed analysis of the competitive position of aseptic systems in comparison to alternative processing and filling methods. Definition of Aseptic Packaging Aseptic Packaging is generally defined as the brining of pre-sterilised products with packaging rendered sterile, and filling the product into the pack in a sterile environment designed to prevent recontamination. Sterilisation involves the elimination of micro-organisms, which might later cause the product to deteriorate. Like most definitions, this can be subject to differing interpretations, and does not provide an automatic classification of which systems can be considered ‘aseptic’. In this survey, we have covered the systems and applications which are generally considered ‘aseptic’ in the dairy, beverage and food processing industry. We also look at those systems generally defined as ‘ultraclean’, which may use the same sterilising principles as aseptic systems, but do not achieve the same level of sterility. Report Coverage The report covers retail and catering applications for aseptic packaging in the beverage and food industry (pack sizes up to 25 litres/kg). The report does not cover alcoholic beverages, and does not cover medical or pharmaceutical applications. Survey Method The survey involved over 500 interviews with beverage and food processors, processing and packaging machinery suppliers, material suppliers, trade associations and others. A comprehensive study was made of published articles and data, and sources of information on the Internet. The report also draws on our large database of information from previous surveys in these markets. Market Estimates and Forecasts Market estimates and forecasts utilise information from a range of sources - beverage and food processors, equipment suppliers, trade associations and research organisations. The figures in the report are our own
Zenith and Warrick Research Report
Global Aseptic Packaging
2015
estimates unless otherwise stated in the text. Market size figures normally include estimates of both retail and food service applications. Market forecasts take into account both likely market developments and technical developments. For maximum clarity forecasts are normally presented as single figure estimates rather than ranges, and for a single future year. World and regional market estimates and forecasts The report covers 43 countries, representing the major global markets. Please note, that within 43 countries, there is a partial coverage of ‘Other dairy products’ and of ‘Other products’ due to their negligible volumes in some markets. ‘Other dairy products’ represent flavoured milk, milk drinks, cream, creamer, soft ice mix and thick shake base, yogurt and desserts, and ‘Other products’ include soups and sauces, tomato products and baby foods. The regional overviews have been carefully grossed up to represent the total volume for the region by taking into account those markets not covered directly in the report. Note Figures have been rounded to the nearest million therefore slight discrepancies in totals may occur due to rounding issues. Liabity Whilst every effort has been made to ensure that the information presented in this document is accurate and that the opnions expressed are sound, Zenith International and Warrick Resarch cannot be made liable for any errors or omissions or for any losses or consequential losses resulting from decisions based on its contents. Copyright All copyright in this document is reserved.
We hope that you find Global Aseptic Packaging Report 2015 a useful tool in your business planning. We update our research and databases on a regular basis and always welcome any comments or suggestions about possible improvements.
Monika Fedor Consultant Zenith International
Global Aseptic Packaging
Zenith and Warrick Research Report
2015
Definitions Beverages Fruit juice - 100% fruit juice and pure juice. Nectars - Fruit-based still drinks with 25-99% fruit content. Juice drinks - Fruit based drinks with fruit content of 5 to 24%. Generally these will be still drinks that have a fruit positioning but are not iced teas or another specific category. Sports drinks - beverages using scientific claims about the improvement of physical performance during sport and aiding recovery. Energy drinks - only includes functional energy drinks or body and mind stimulation drinks. RTD tea - Tea-based or tea-flavoured beverage in a ready to drink format, still or sparkling - drinks that portray themselves as tea based, almost all have a fruit flavour, often peach or lemon .
Dairy White milk - white drinking milk - including both preserved and fresh drinking milks, does not include powdered, condensed or evaporated milks; long life / preserved milk - UHT and sterilised; fresh milk pasteurised and untreated; other dairy milk including functional milks, calcium enriched and lactose reduced. ESL milk - extended shelf life milk. UHT milk - ultra high temperature milk. Other dairy products include: -
Flavoured milk - traditional flavoured milks - white milk to which some type of flavour and often colour and stabilisers have been added; this segment also includes lactose reduced flavoured milk; other flavoured milk drinks including carbonated milk drinks.
-
Soft ice mix and thick shake base - milk base (fresh or preserved) is flavoured with syrup, then frozen and whipped.
-
Cream - composed of the higher-butterfat layer skimmed from the top of milk before homogenisation.
-
Creamers: A cream or milk substitute for adding to coffee or tea. Often in small pots or sticks.
-
Yogurts and Desserts: All sorts of traditional and flavoured yogurts, yogurt and other dairy based desserts as well as custards and rice puddings.
Zenith and Warrick Research Report
Global Aseptic Packaging
2015
Other Products Other products include: -
Soups and sauces
-
Tomato products
-
Baby Food – Ready to eat baby food only.
Types of Packaging Packaging types include: -
Cartons*
-
PET bottles
-
HDPE bottles
-
Plastic pots
-
Bag-in-Box
-
Pouches*
-
Others - cans, glass, stick packs plus other variants.
*Please note Tetra Fino pouch is classified as a carton due to the material used in Russia, Ukraine, Pakistan and Egypt. In Colombia and China it is quantified as a pouch.
Zenith and Warrick Research Report
WORLD MARKET OVERVIEW
Global Aseptic Packaging
2015
X
A.
K EY RESULTS.......................................................................................................................... X
B.
WORLD MARKET FOR ASEPTIC PACKAGING BY REGION.......................................................... X
C.
WORLD MARKET FOR ASEPTIC PACKAGING BY PRODUCT ...................................................... X
D.
C.1
White Milk
C.2
Other Dairy Products
C.3
Beverages
C.4
Food Products
WORLD MARKET FOR ASEPTIC PACKAGING BY PACK TYPE .................................................... X D.1
Overview
D.2
White Milk
D.3
Other Dairy Products
D.4
Beverages
D.5
Food Products
E.
ASEPTIC PACKAGING INSTALLATIONS ..................................................................................... X
F.
THE M ARKET FOR ASEPTIC PACKAGING – TONNAGE AND VALUE............................................ X
G.
OPPORTUNITIES FOR PACKAGING M ATERIAL SUPPLIERS ........................................................... X
H.
OPPORTUNITIES FOR PACKAGING AND SYSTEM SUPPLIERS ....................................................... X
I.
OPPORTUNITIES FOR DAIRIES, BEVERAGE COMPANIES, FOOD PROCESSORS............................... X
REGION: REGIONAL OVERVIEW
X
A.
COVERAGE......................................................................................................................... X
B.
OVERVIEW.......................................................................................................................... X B.1
The Use of Aseptic Packaging - By Product
B.2
The Use of Aseptic Packaging - By Pack Type
Zenith and Warrick Research Report C.
D.
E.
F.
C.1
Market Size and Trends
C.2
UHT Milk and Use of Aseptic Packaging
OTHER DAIRY PRODUCTS (INCLUDING DAIRY ALTERNATIVES) ......................................... X D.1
Market Size and Trends
D.2
Use of Aseptic Packaging
BEVERAGES......................................................................................................................... X E.1
Market Size and Trends
E.2
Processing and Packaging of Ambient Products
E.3
Use of Aseptic Packaging
FOOD PRODUCTS ............................................................................................................ X Use of Aseptic Packaging
COUNTRY
B.
C.
2015
WHITE MILK ....................................................................................................................... X
F.1
A.
Global Aseptic Packaging
X
OVERVIEW.......................................................................................................................... X A.1
The Use of Aseptic Packaging - By Product
A.2
The Use of Aseptic Packaging - By Pack Type
WHITE MILK ....................................................................................................................... X B.1
Market Size and Trends
B.2
Suppliers
B.3
UHT Milk and Use of Aseptic Packaging
OTHER DAIRY PRODUCTS (INCLUDING DAIRY ALTERNATIVES) ......................................... X C.1
Overview and Structure of Sector
C.2
Use of Aseptic Packaging
C.3
Flavoured Milk
C.4
Cream
C.5
Coffee Creamer (including portion packs)
Zenith and Warrick Research Report
D.
E.
C.6
Desserts and Yogurts
C.7
Dairy Alternatives (including soya milk)
C.8
Baby Milk and Infant Formula
C.9
Soft Ice Mix and Thick Shake Base
Global Aseptic Packaging
2015
BEVERAGES......................................................................................................................... X D.1
Market Size and Trends
D.2
Suppliers
D.3
Processing and Packaging of Ambient Products
D.4
Use of Aseptic Packaging
FOOD PRODUCTS ............................................................................................................ X E.1
Overview
E.2
Soups
E.3
Sauces
Zenith and Warrick Research Report
Global Aseptic Packaging
ASEPTIC PROCESSING AND PACKAGING
2015 X
A.
OVERVIEW ............................................................................................................................. X
B.
LONG LIFE FOOD AND DRINK PRODUCTS............................................................................... X
C.
ASEPTIC PROCESSING AND PACKAGING .................................................................................. X
D.
THE BENEFITS AND DRAWBACKS OF ASEPTIC PROCESSING AND PACKAGING ........................... X
E.
THE HEAT TREATMENT PROCESS ............................................................................................ X
F.
PROCESSING OF PARTICULATES............................................................................................... X F.1
G.
Alternative Heat Treatment methods for Particulates
THE PACKAGING STERILISATION PROCESS............................................................................... X G.1
Hydrogen Peroxide
G.2
Hydrogen Peroxide and Peracetic Acid
G.3
Sterilisation by Heat
G.4
Electron Beam Sterilisation
G.5
Other Methods
H.
EFFECTIVENESS OF PACKAGING STERILISATION SYSTEMS........................................................... X
I.
SHELF LIFE REQUIREMENTS...................................................................................................... X I.1
Ambient and Chilled Distribution
I.2
Processing Systems for Extended Shelf Life Products
I.3
Cool Chain Temperatures
I.4
Aseptic and Ultra Clean Filling Systems
I.5
Use of Aseptic Fillers for ESL Products
ASEPTIC FILLING - COMPETITIVE POSITION AND TECHNICAL DEVELOPMENTS A.
X
OPERATIONAL EFFICIENCY OF ASEPTIC F ILLING LINES.............................................................. X A.1
Overview
Zenith and Warrick Research Report
B.
A.2
Key Factors Influencing Line Efficiency
A.3
Product and Pack Change
A.4
Maintenance and Cleaning
A.5
Unscheduled Stoppages
A.6
Product and Pack Loss
A.7
Capacity Utilisation and Operating Hours
A.8
Line Efficiency - Reasons for Loss of Output
Global Aseptic Packaging
2015
COMPETITIVE POSITION OF ASEPTIC F ILLING LINES .................................................................. X B.1
Hot Fill v. Aseptic – Overview
B.2
Choice of Hot Filling and Aseptic Filling
B.3
Capital Cost
B.4
Diligence/Tolerance
B.5
Running Costs
B.6
Ease of Operation
B.7
Product Quality
B.8
Pack Design
B.9
Pack Cost
B.10 Oxygen Barrier B.11 Energy Use and Costs B.12 Water and Chemical Costs
C.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSIDERATIONS....................................................................................... X C.1
Overview
C.2
Life Cycle Analysis and Environmental Impact
C.3
Renewable Packaging
C.4
Recycling and Re-use of Packaging
C.5
Recycling Rates
C.6
Packaging Material use - Weight of Packaging
Zenith and Warrick Research Report C.7
Energy Use
C.8
Water Use
C.9
Chemical Use
Global Aseptic Packaging
ASEPTIC PACKAGING SYSTEMS – DEVELOPMENTS AND SUPPLIERS A.
B.
C.
D.
2015
X
ASEPTIC CARTON SYSTEMS..................................................................................................... X A.1
Overview
A.2
Developments
THERMOFORMED PLASTIC CONTAINERS.................................................................................. X B.1
Overview
B.2
Developments
PLASTIC BOTTLES ................................................................................................................... X C.1
Overview
C.2
Developments
POUCHES AND SACHETS......................................................................................................... X D.1
Overview
D.2
Developments
E.
BAG-IN-BOX.......................................................................................................................... X
F.
GLASS CONTAINERS............................................................................................................... X
G.
M ETAL CANS ......................................................................................................................... X
H.
AEROSOLS.............................................................................................................................. X
I.
PLASTIC TRAYS....................................................................................................................... X
J.
STICK PACKS.......................................................................................................................... X
K.
PACKAGING SPECIFICATIONS, MATERIALS AND WEIGHTS ........................................................ X K.1
Cartons
Zenith and Warrick Research Report K.2
Plastic Bottles
K.3
Plastic Pouches
K.4
Plastic Pots
K.5
Total Material Use
K.6
Material Use - Tonnes and Value
Global Aseptic Packaging
SUPPLIERS OF ASEPTIC FILLING EQUIPMENT
2015
X
A.
INDUSTRY STRUCTURE ........................................................................................................... X
B.
SALES OF ASEPTIC PACKAGING EQUIPMENT AND M ATERIALS ................................................... X
C.
SUPPLIER PROFILES.................................................................................................................. X C.1
Alfa Laval Parma ( Astepo) - Italy
C.2
Benco SpA - Italy
C.3
Ecolean - Sweden
C.4
Elecster Oyj - Finland
C.5
Elopak AS - Norway
C.6
FBR-Elpo
C.7
GEA Group (Germany) - Procomac Spa – Italy
C.8
Goglio SpA - Italy
C.9
Greatview Aseptic Packaging Company – China
C.10 Guangdong Yuandong Food Packaging Machinery Co. Ltd - China C.11 IPI – Italy C.12 Jiangsu Packaging Machinery - China C.13 KHS Maschinen AG - Germany C.14 Krones AG - Germany C.15 Lamican - Finland C.16 Liquibox - USA C.17 NSM-Packtec GmbH - Germany
Zenith and Warrick Research Report
Global Aseptic Packaging
2015
C.18 Oystar Group - Germany (IMI - Italy) C.19 Erca Formseal - France C.20 Gasti - Germany C.21 Hamba Filltec GmbH - Germany C.22 Hassia Verpackungsmachinen GmbH - Germany C.23 Rapak Ltd (DS Smith plc) - United Kingdom C.24 Robert Bosch Packaging (inc Ampack) - Germany C.25 Sealed Air Corporation - USA C.26 Serac - France C.27 Shibuya – Kogyo - Japan (Shibuya Hoppmann –USA) C.28 Shikoku Kakoki Co. Ltd - Japan C.29 Sidel - France C.30 SIG Combibloc GmbH - Germany C.31 Shanghai Skylong Aseptic Packaging Material Co. - China C.32 Stork Food and Dairy Systems - Netherlands (JBT Foodtech) C.33 Tetra Pak - Sweden C.34 Thimonnier SA - France C.35 Xenos - New Zealand C.36 Yantai Calf (KaiFu) food packaging system machinery Co. - China C.37 Zhenjiang Senmao Package Material Co. - China
D.
OTHER SUPPLIERS................................................................................................................... X
Zenith and Warrick Research Report
Global Aseptic Packaging
SAMPLE COUNTRY: COUNTRY
2015
Global Aseptic Packaging
Zenith and Warrick Research Report
2015
A. OVERVIEW Some X billion litres of product were aseptically filled in Country in 2014. Usage of aseptic filling has declined slightly in the past 3 years, and further decline is forecast in the period to 202 0. Country is by far the largest national market for aseptic filling of HDPE bottles for white milk. The major dairies have developed this market by investing in on-site blow moulding facilities for the bottles; HPDE bottles hold a X% share of the aseptically packaged white milk market. Aseptic PET bottle fillers have been installed in the dairy industry, but these have made little impact in the white milk market. UHT milk has a higher share of the milk market than in any other developed country and the milk industry is now highly centralised with two companies sharing over X% of the market. The beverage markets have declined slightly in the past 3 years, due mainly to a fall in consumption of juices and nectars. A further, more rapid decline is forecast for the period to 2020. Companies in Country have been at the forefront of development in the aseptic filling of plastic containers, through Serac and Sidel. A.1
The Use of Aseptic Packaging - By Product
White milk accounts for X% of total use of aseptic packaging, with use slowly declining. Strongest growth in the period to 2020 will be in Other Dairy Products, in particular in Dairy Alternatives. Aseptic Packaging use by Product (million litres) 2011-2020 2011
2014
2015
2020
CAGR% 11-15
CAGR%15-20
White Milk Other Dairy Products Beverages Food Products TOTAL Source: Zenith International/Warrick Research
Aseptic Packaging use by Product (million units) 2011-2020 2011 White Milk Other Dairy Products Beverages Food Products TOTAL Source: Zenith International/Warrick Research
2014
2015
2020
CAGR% 11-15
CAGR%15-20
Global Aseptic Packaging
Zenith and Warrick Research Report
A.2
2015
The Use of Aseptic Packaging - By Pack Type
Total use of aseptic packaging will decline slightly over the next 5 years and cartons will lose market share. The use of aseptically filled HDPE bottles in the dairy industry is forecast to slowly increase. The use of aseptically filled PET bottles will continue to grow in the beverage market, including single layer bottles for juice drinks and multi-layer bottles for juices. Aseptic Packaging use by Pack Type/Size (million litres) 2011-2020 2011 Cartons - Family (0.5 litre and over) Cartons - Portion (up to 499ml) HDPE Bottles (0.5 litre and over) HDPE Bottles (up to 499 ml) PET Bottles (0.5 litre and over) PET Bottles (up to 499ml) Plastic pouches (0.5 litre and over) Plastic pouches (up to 499ml) Plastic pots (over 50ml) Plastic pots (under 50ml) Bag in Box Other - glass, cans, aerosols, stick TOTAL Source: Zenith International/Warrick Research
2014
2015
2020
CAGR% 11-15
CAGR%15-20
Global Aseptic Packaging
Zenith and Warrick Research Report
2015
Aseptic Packaging use by Pack Type/Size (million units) 2011-2020 2011
2014
2015
2020
CAGR% 11-15
CAGR%15-20
Cartons - Family (0.5 litre and over) Cartons - Portion (up to 499ml) HDPE Bottles (0.5 litre and over) HDPE Bottles (up to 499 ml) PET Bottles (0.5 litre and over) PET Bottles (up to 499ml) Plastic pouches (0.5 litre and over) Plastic pouches (up to 499ml) Plastic pots (over 50ml) Plastic pots (under 50ml) Bag in Box Other - glass, cans, aerosols, stick TOTAL Source: Zenith International/Warrick Research
B.
WHITE MILK
B.1
Market Size and Trends
The white milk market was some X billion litres in 2014. Ambient long life products account for about X% of the market, with chilled sales only X% and declining. Almost all long life milk is UHT, with a small quantity of sterilised milk imported from X. The market has been in slow long term decline for several years and has fallen by about X% per annum over the past 3 years. Dairies have put development into special dairy products rather than standard white milk products. A continuing slow decline is forecast in the period to 2020.
Global Aseptic Packaging
Zenith and Warrick Research Report
2015
Consumption of white milk (million litres) 2011-2020 2011
2014
2015
2020
CAGR% 11-15
CAGR%15-20
Short life Chilled: Pasteurised ESL Long life Ambient: UHT Sterilized TOTAL WHITE MILK Source: Zenith International/Warrick Research
B.2
Suppliers
The leading producers of white milk are X and X, who have a combined market share of over X%. Other suppliers include X, X, and X. B.3
UHT Milk and Use of Aseptic Packaging
Over the past decade, HDPE bottles have steadily increased their market share of the UHT milk market, and now have around X% of the market. In addition, there is the residual small market for inpack sterilised bottles. The national brands tend to package in bottles, while discount stores mainly sell milk in cartons, which have a slight price advantage. In the past two years the discounters such as X have lost market share as other stores have reduced their milk prices to be competitive. All bottles for UHT milk have historically been HDPE. Company X have introduced UHT milk in PET bottles. Most milk is in 1 litre packs, with some use of 500ml, and 1.5 litres.
Global Aseptic Packaging
Zenith and Warrick Research Report
UHT white milk Aseptic Packaging use by Pack Type/Size (million litres) 2011-2020 2011
2014
2015
2020
CAGR% 11-15
CAGR%15-20
Cartons - Family (0.5 litre and over) Cartons - Portion (up to 499ml) HDPE Bottles (0.5 litre and over) HDPE Bottles (up to 499 ml) PET Bottles (0.5 litre and over) PET Bottles (up to 499ml) Plastic pouches (0.5 litre and over) Plastic pouches (up to 499ml) Plastic pots (over 50ml) Plastic pots (under 50ml) Bag in Box Other - glass, cans, aerosols, stick TOTAL Source: Zenith International/Warrick Research
UHT white milk Aseptic Packaging use by Pack Type/Size (million units) 2011-2020 2011 Cartons - Family (0.5 litre and over) Cartons - Portion (up to 499ml) HDPE Bottles (0.5 litre and over) HDPE Bottles (up to 499 ml) PET Bottles (0.5 litre and over) PET Bottles (up to 499ml) Plastic pouches (0.5 litre and over) Plastic pouches (up to 499ml) Plastic pots (over 50ml) Plastic pots (under 50ml) Bag in Box Other - glass, cans, aerosols, stick TOTAL Source: Zenith International/Warrick Research
2014
2015
2020
CAGR% 11-15
CAGR%15-20
2015
Global Aseptic Packaging
Zenith and Warrick Research Report
B.4
2015
Future Trends
The UHT white milk market will decline slowly in the next few years. The market share of HDPE bottles will increase slightly. At present, only Company X supply UHT milk in PET bottles, and it appears the format is unlikely to gain large market share.
C.
OTHER DAIRY PRODUCTS (including dairy alternatives)
C.1
Overview and Structure of Sector
These markets in Country are supplied mostly by the large dairy groups X and X. Imports are also important, with X a large supplier from X. Consumption of other dairy products (million litres) 2011-2020 2011
2014
2015
2020
CAGR% 11-15
CAGR%15-20
Short life Chilled: Pasteurised ESL Long life Ambient: UHT Sterilised TOTAL ODP Source: Zenith International/Warrick Research
C.2
Use of Aseptic Packaging
Over X million litres of product were aseptically filled in 2014, using over X billion packs. Growth of about X% per annum is forecast for the period to 2020.
Global Aseptic Packaging
Zenith and Warrick Research Report
Aseptic Packaging use by Pack Type/Size - ODP (million litres) 2011-2020 2011
2014
2015
2020
CAGR% 11-15
CAGR%15-20
Cartons - Family (0.5 litre and over) Cartons - Portion (up to 499ml) HDPE Bottles (0.5 litre and over) HDPE Bottles (up to 499 ml) PET Bottles (0.5 litre and over) PET Bottles (up to 499ml) Plastic pouches (0.5 litre and over) Plastic pouches (up to 499ml) Plastic pots (over 50ml) Plastic pots (under 50ml) Bag in Box Other - glass, cans, aerosols, stick TOTAL Source: Zenith International/Warrick Research
Aseptic Packaging use by Pack Type/Size - ODP (million units) 2011-2020 2011 Cartons - Family (0.5 litre and over) Cartons - Portion (up to 499ml) HDPE Bottles (0.5 litre and over) HDPE Bottles (up to 499 ml) PET Bottles (0.5 litre and over) PET Bottles (up to 499ml) Plastic pouches (0.5 litre and over) Plastic pouches (up to 499ml) Plastic pots (over 50ml) Plastic pots (under 50ml) Bag in Box Other - glass, cans, aerosols, stick TOTAL Source: Zenith International/Warrick Research
C.3
Flavoured Milk
Commentary
2014
2015
2020
CAGR% 11-15
CAGR%15-20
2015
Zenith and Warrick Research Report
C.4
Cream
Commentary C.5
Coffee Creamer (including portion packs)
Commentary C.6
Baby Milk and Infant Formula
Commentary C.7
Desserts and Yogurts
Commentary C.8
Condensed Milk
Commentary C.9
Dairy Alternatives (including soya milk)
Commentary C.10
Soft Ice Mix and Thick Shake Base
Commentary
Global Aseptic Packaging
2015
Global Aseptic Packaging
Zenith and Warrick Research Report
D.
BEVERAGES
D.1
Market Size and Trends
2015
The total market for beverages was above X billion litres in 2014, having fallen slightly in the past 3 years. Continuing decline of around X% per annum is forecast for the period to 2020. The market for juices and nectars was at X billion litres in 2014, having fallen by X% in the past 3 years. Chilled products account for about X% of the market with a rapidly increasing market share. The decline in ambient juice sales is due to consumer concerns on obesity and sugar content. Sales of juice drinks have also fallen, subject to the same negative pressures as juices and nectars. The market for RTD tea was nearly X million litres in 2014, having increased by X% in the year, benefitting from the move to `healthier` drinks. The market for energy drinks is growing rapidly, although the much smaller sports drinks market is declining. Beverage Consumption (million litres) 2011-2020 2011
2014
2015
2020
CAGR% 11-15
CAGR%15-20
RTD Tea & Coffee Juice and Nectars Juice Drinks Sports & Energy Total Beverages Short Life Long Life Source: Zenith International/Warrick Research
D.2
Suppliers
Long life fruit juice is predominantly own label – the leading producers of own label juices, nectars and juice drinks include X, X, X and X. The main brands include X, X, X and X. In the RTD tea sector, X is a leading brand, and X a leading producer. D.3
Processing and Packaging of Ambient Products
In the long life juices and nectars market, X% of products are in cartons, X% in bottles and most of the remainder in glass. Bottles are gaining market share. The cartons are about predominantly packaged in I litre size, with growing use of 1.5 litre and 2 litre sizes. Juice drinks use mainly PET bottles (many 2 litre). Portion packs are cans and cartons. RTD tea is mainly in PET bottles as are sports drinks.
Global Aseptic Packaging
Zenith and Warrick Research Report
2015
Ambient Packaging Use by Pack Type/Size - Beverages (million litres) 2011-2020 2011
2014
2015
2020
CAGR% 11-15
CAGR%15-20
Long Life Products Aseptic Hot Filled Preservatives Ambient Packaging use Total Cartons - Family (0.5 litre and over) Cartons - Portion (up to 499ml) HDPE Bottles (0.5 litre and over) HDPE Bottles (up to 499ml) PET Bottles (0.5 litre and over) PET Bottles (up to 499ml) Plastic pouches (0.5 litre and over) Plastic pouches (up to 499ml) Plastic pots (over 50ml) Plastic pots (under 50ml) Bag in Box Others - glass, cans, aerosols, stick Source: Zenith International/Warrick Research
D.4
Use of Aseptic Packaging
In the Country beverage market, bottles have gained market share from cartons in the past few years. The Country beverage industry has invested heavily in aseptic fillers for PET bottles, and most bottles are now aseptically filled. The use of aseptic filling of bottles will increase only gradually in the next few years.
Global Aseptic Packaging
Zenith and Warrick Research Report
Aseptic Packaging Use by Pack Type/Size - Beverages (million litres) 2011-2020 2011
2014
2015
2020
CAGR% 11-15
CAGR%15-20
Cartons - Family (0.5 litre and over) Cartons - Portion (up to 499ml) HDPE Bottles (0.5 litre and over) HDPE Bottles (up to 499ml) PET Bottles (0.5 litre and over) PET Bottles (up to 499ml) Plastic pouches (0.5 litre and over) Plastic pouches (up to 499ml) Plastic pots (over 50ml) Plastic pots (under 50ml) Bag in Box Others - glass, cans, aerosols, stick TOTAL Source: Zenith International/Warrick Research
Aseptic Packaging Use by Pack Type/Size - Beverages (million units) 2011-2020 2011 Cartons - Family (0.5 litre and over) Cartons - Portion (up to 499ml) HDPE Bottles (0.5 litre and over) HDPE Bottles (up to 499ml) PET Bottles (0.5 litre and over) PET Bottles (up to 499ml) Plastic pouches (0.5 litre and over) Plastic pouches (up to 499ml) Plastic pots (over 50ml) Plastic pots (under 50ml) Bag in Box Others - glass, cans, aerosols, stick TOTAL Source: Zenith International/Warrick Research
2014
2015
2020
CAGR% 11-15
CAGR%15-20
2015
Global Aseptic Packaging
Zenith and Warrick Research Report
E.
FOOD PRODUCTS
E.1
Overview
2015
Some X million litres of products were aseptically filled in 2014, using over X million packs. Aseptic packaging is established for soups and baby foods, and also used for sauces. Growth of about X% per annum is forecast for the period to 2020. E.2
Soups
Commentary E.3
Sauces
Commentary E.4
Baby Foods
Commentary
Aseptic Packaging Use by Pack Type/Size - Food Products (million litres) 2011-2020 2011 Cartons - Family (0.5 litre and over) Cartons - Portion (up to 499ml) HDPE Bottles (0.5 litre and over) HDPE Bottles (up to 499ml) PET Bottles (0.5 litre and over) PET Bottles (up to 499ml) Plastic pouches (0.5 litre and over) Plastic pouches (up to 499ml) Plastic pots (over 50ml) Plastic pots (under 50ml) Bag in Box Others - glass, cans, aerosols, stick TOTAL Source: Zenith International/Warrick Research
2014
2015
2020
CAGR% 11-15
CAGR%15-20
Global Aseptic Packaging
Zenith and Warrick Research Report
Aseptic Packaging Use by Pack Type/Size - Food Products (million units) 2011-2020 2011 Cartons - Family (0.5 litre and over) Cartons - Portion (up to 499ml) HDPE Bottles (0.5 litre and over) HDPE Bottles (up to 499ml) PET Bottles (0.5 litre and over) PET Bottles (up to 499ml) Plastic pouches (0.5 litre and over) Plastic pouches (up to 499ml) Plastic pots (over 50ml) Plastic pots (under 50ml) Bag in Box Others - glass, cans, aerosols, stick TOTAL Source: Zenith International/Warrick Research
2014
2015
2020
CAGR% 11-15
CAGR%15-20
2015