Research & Forecast Report 3Q 2014

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Research & Forecast Report Philippines 3Q 2014

Manufacturing, real estate lead economic expansion The Philippine economy relied on a strong manufacturing sector to grow by 6.4% YoY in 2Q 2014. The real estate sector was also identified as a vital contributor, expanding by 8.9%, while exports sustained its double digit growth for the second straight quarter. In addition, domestic consumption remained strong despite higher inflation rates. To avoid any overheating, the government, through the Central Bank, has identified key measures to be implemented in the next six to nine months.

Office

Accelerating success.

Residential Two new projects were completed in 3Q2014, adding in 1,297 units to inventory. An average of 9,000 units will be delivered in the next three years, with the majority of the units located in the Makati CBD, Fort Bonifacio, and Ortigas Center. Residential vacancy in the Makati CBD decreased drastically due to strong take-up across all grades and unit types. Despite high occupancy in the area, rental rates grew modestly in the period.

Retail Approximately 56,000 sq m of retail space was completed in the last six months, bringing the total retail stock in Metro Manila to 5.8 million sq m. An additional 167,000 sq m is slated for delivery by year-end. The two largest developers, SM Prime Holdings and Ayala Land, are expected to lead retail supply delivery until 2017, through their new and expansion projects. Vacancy in major malls increased but is expected to decline due to pre-commitments from local and foreign retailers.

Five office buildings were delivered this quarter, 80% of which are located in Quezon City. By year end, an additional 200,000 sq m of office space will be delivered, meeting the forecast supply of 480,000 sq m. Real estate developers are optimistic, with close to 1 million sq m of office space slated for delivery in the next two years. Meanwhile, overall vacancy in the Makati CBD declined due to sustained strong office demand. As a result, office rents across all grades increased 2 - 3% this quarter.

Market Indicators OFFICE RESIDENTIAL RETAIL


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