ISSN 1300-2260
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April 2014 Year: 11 No: 120
PM Erdogan wins a remarkable electoral victory T
urkish Prime Minister, Recep Tayyip Erdogan has said he will build a “stronger democracy” after his ruling Justice and Development Party set for a decisive local election victory on March 30, 2014. Speaking to a cheering crowd of supporters at his AK Party’s headquarters in the capital, “Let no one grieve today; let every one of the 77 million know that Turkey won today. We will bring a stronger democracy,” Erdogan said. “You stood up for Turkey’s ideals... for politics, for your party and your prime minister,” he noted. Ankara, Erdogan won a “great” electoral victory. The AK Party received 45 percent of the vote, placing it well ahead of the main oppo-
sition Republican People’s Party (CHP), which won 27 percent. The Prime Minister thanked citizens for “reclaiming the struggle for freedom in the new Turkey”. “We will try to stand faithfully for whatever [responsibility] is entrusted upon us,” he told supporters. Erdogan also thanked his supporters in the Middle East, Balkans and Europe, by emphazizing the fact that: “Today, the targets of 2023 won, the resolution process won, the process of national unity and fraternity won. Not even one person among the 77 million lost, because a cadre that is ready
to serve them without any discrimination is in office. They may think differently; they may have voted for different political parties; they may have cursed us. They may have insulted us. Page 3
“Why the Dollar remains the reserve currency” David Barboza, the Shanghai bureau chief of The New York Times has inteviewed Eswar S. Prasad.
Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan
No deviation from sustainable economic growth and development A
Turkish Finance Minister Mehmet Şimşek
Moody’s optimistic for Turkey
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ONDON – Turkish companies generally have strong liquidity buffers and longterm debt maturity profiles that will help moderate the effects of the lira’s devaluation of their credit ratings, credit rating agency Standard and Poor’s has said. A report from Moody’s also stressed the effect of the lira’s 26 percent devaluation against the US dollar and 31 percent devaluation against the euro in last nine months was negative for Turkish non-financial corporates, adding that they will now face “higher funding costs owing to higher interest rates and servicing costs for US-denominated debt”. Despite pointing out the difficulties companies would face in near term, the report also emphasized their advantages such as “good
liquidity buffers” and “ long-term debt maturity profiles”. “While the depreciation of the Turkish lira and subsequent increases in key domestic interest rates have credit-negative implications, rated Turkish corporates generally have good liquidity buffers, long-term debt maturity profiles and some revenues denominated in foreign currency,” said Martin Kohlhase, the co-author of the report and a Moody’s vice president-senior analyst. The Central Bank of Turkey recently increased its overnight lending rate to 12 percent from 7.75 percent and its weekly repo rate to 10 percent from 4.5 percent, which exposes companies to higher funding costs, especially for nearterm outstanding debts, according to the agency.
NKARA Turkey’s Finance Minister Mehmet Şimşek criticized the international credit rating agencies for being “superficial” in their analyses. The remarks came after some credit rating agencies defined Turkish corporates as the most exposed among emerging markets to a scenario of slowing growth, rising interest rates and a persistently weak local currency. Speaking at a broadcasted interview, Şimşek reiterated that the economy was not as fragile as claimed, particularly with the current account deficit, which was noted as one of the weak spots, would shrink considerably this year, he noted. He pointed out that 80 percent of Turkish firms with foreign exchange debts also had forex revenue with the private sector external debt position extending to mid to long term. Meanwhile, the low interest rate environment of the past 11 years has saved Turkey from paying 442 billion Turkish Liras
of additional cost, Deputy Prime Minister Ali Babacan has said. “We [the ruling Justice and Development Party government] have lowered interest rate spending and we provide services with the resources yielded from this,” Babacan said during a local election rally. “We would have had to pay 442 quadrillion [billion in today’s currency] more, if the interest rate hadn’t declined over the past 11 years and the state would have continued to pay 66-percent interest rates,” he said. The Turkish government has been vocally against high interest rates, which are blamed for hampering economic growth. Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, who is also keen on maintaining sustainable economic growth, has been a vociferous opponent of higher borrowing costs, rallying against what he describes as an “interest rate lobby” of speculators seeking to stifle growth and undermine the economy. Page 4
Babacan: “Operation on 17th Dec. aims to disturb Turkey’s stability”
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ighlighting the long-term successful of economic programs was possible with the political stability, Minister Babacan said, “In order to keep the stabile situation in the country involves to be in effort altogether. The
events that we have experienced in the last three months apparently have been an effort that aims the running party, but as of its results we see that the target is the political stability, the target is Turkey’s stability. Page 3
Political optimism keeps Turkish Lira, stocks high
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urkish assets were firm due to continuing post-election optimism, as well as positive moods in world markets fuelled by Yellen’s low interest rate remarks. The Turkish Lira continued its strong pace against the U.S. dolar trading for a second day, hovering below the 2.15 level, preserving its gains from investors’ pleasure with local election results that was perceived as a warrant of political stability. The stock market was also bullish, rising above 70,000 points, raising by more than 1 percent compared to March 31’s closure. Stocks in major markets rose after Feder-
al Reserve Chair Janet Yellen reinforced t h e need for “extraordinary” commitment to support the U.S. economy. The Justice and Development (AKP) claimed around 44 percent of the votes in the local elections, soothing escalating concerns from the business world over the course of political stability in the country, which has already received a major blow after corruption claims and social media bans.
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n his latest book, “The Dollar Trap: How the U.S. Dollar Tightened Its Grip on Global Finance,” Eswar S. Prasad, the former head of the International Monetary Fund’s China division and now a professor of trade policy at Cornell University, explains how the dollar’s “exorbitant privilege” came into being. Mr. Eswar S. Prasad focused on the dynamics of the exorbitant privilege of the dollar. Excerpts from the interview: I expected the dollar to weaken because the crisis exposed problems in the U.S. financial system. Moreover, the U.S. racked up a lot of government debt and the Fed began flooding the global financial system with dollars. Page 5
Worth $13,7 billion of FDI flows Turkey in 2013
BURSA (IHA) n 2013, $13,7 billion worth of Foreign Direct Investment flowed Turkey that was announced at Uludag Economy Summit. Ilker Avci, Chairman of Turkey’s Prime Ministry Investment Support and Promotion Agency, stating developing countries have begun to take over 50 percent of foreign direct investment, he said; “Developed countries also try to attract with the new tactics. Page 5
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Turkey’s trade deficit diminishes by 27 pct
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urkey’s foreign trade deficit contracted by over 27 percent in February, as exports were up 6.2 percent year-on-year to $13.15 billion, while imports decreased by 5.9 percent to $18.25 billion, according to official data. February´s foreign trade deficit decreased by 27.2 percent from $7.9 billion to $5.10 billion, the Turkish Statistical Institute’s (TÜİK) data revealed. Calendar adjusted exports increased by 4.5 percent in February and imports decreased 2.9 percent, compared with February 2013. The top destinations for Turkey’s exports were Germany with $1.17 billion, Iraq $1.02 billion, and the United Kingdom $0.72 billion. Meanwhile, the top countries for Turkish imports in January 2014 included Russia, which sent $2.044-billion of goods to Turkey, as well as China with $1.92 billion, Germany with $1.7 billion and the United States with $993 million. January exports were up by 8.6 percent year-onyear to $12.4 billion, while imports rose by 2.6 percent to $19.2 billion. In 2013, annual exports decreased 0.4 percent to $151.9 billion compared to 2012, while imports rose 6.4 percent, reaching $251.7 billion. Last year, the foreign trade deficit increased 18.7 percent to $99.8 billion compared to 2012. Turkey’s trade deficit is expected to recover slightly this year thanks to an expected decline in the gold trade as well as an increase in exports fueled by recovery in the EU.