The Insider - NFL Special - September 2013

THE

ISSUE 163 WEDNESDAY 4 SEPTEMBER 2013

Action Sports Photography / Shutterstock.com

InsiderBet.co.uk

ISSUE

DON’T MISS THIS SUPER VALUE ON THE NFL...

I can’t remember an NFL season where my Gridiron team have been locked onto such a similar frequency – we’ve found some excellent bets for 2013/14 and with a lot of the markets bet to below 100%, there’s plenty of value to be had.

The main feature of this month’s Insider is the Divisional preview – we’re having bets on seven of the eight divisions with only the complicated NFC North coming up dry.

INSIDE THIS ISSUE...

NFC WEST & NFC SOUTH Regular Season Wins.

SEE PAGES 1 & 2

NFC EAST Regular Season Wins.

SEE PAGE 3

AFC EAST Finishing Position.

SEE PAGE 3

AFC NORTH, SOUTH & WEST

Let’s kick off with one of the most intriguing divisions – the NFC West – which houses a couple of the Super Bowl XLVIII favourites… the San Francisco 49ers and the Seattle Seahawks…

Regular Season Wins.

12/1 SEATTLE SEAHAWKS LOOK IN FINE SHAPE…

NFL

Last season my strong NFC West pick was the San Francisco 49ers, 12 months on and I’m having problems splitting Seattle and the Niners for the divisional title.

The one worry I have for San Francisco this season is just how Colin Kaepernick handles the role of team leader. Last season Kaepernick started as a back-up player in the camp. A year on and he’s leading the Niners into the new season. That’s one hell of a shift and the loss of Michael Crabtree and the departure of Tight End Delanie Walker certainly won’t help.

SEE PAGES 4 & 5

Regular Season - Worst Record.

SEE PAGE 6

SUPER BOWL XLVIII Outright Winner.

SEE PAGE 7

THE BACKPAGE All the bets in this issue – at-a-glance.

SEE PAGE 8

The Niners defense worries me also. It might well have been ranked 3 overall, but what

FOLLOW ALL YOUR BETS AT INSIDERBET.CO.UK

ISSUE 163 // Wednesday 4 September 2013 that number doesn’t tell you is that it also gave up 175 points in the last six games which is too high a number for a side that is chalked up by the bookies to win 12 regular season games in 2013.

ATLANTA FALCONS TO JUST PINCH THE NFC SOUTH…

NFC WEST

NFC SOUTH

2012

2013 Prediction

2013 Line

To Win Division

To Win Super Bowl

11-5

11-5

10.5

11/8

10/1

Atlanta

San Francisco 11-4-1

10-6

11.5

8/7

8/1

St Louis

7-8-1

7-9

7.5

10/1

80/1

Arizona

5-11

6-10

5.5

40/1

150/1

Seattle

2012

2013 Prediction

2013 Line

To Win Division

To Win Super Bowl

13-3

11-5

10

13/8

20/1

New Orleans

7-9

10-6

9

2/1

22/1

Carolina

7-9

8-8

7

6/1

75/1

Tampa Bay

7-9

6-10

7.5

13/2

66/1

Seattle on the other hand are looking in fine shape with our each way bet on them to win Super Bowl - that we placed way back on March 21st – is looking good right now. The biggest price available at the minute is 10/1, but crucially, that price is not available each way. Our 12/1 poke gives us 6/1 they win the NFC Conference and then 12/1 they go on and win the whole thing which is great value.

Atlanta are my picks for the NFC South, but only just. The addition of Steven Jackson to the team should see the Falcons score heavier in 2013 but the worries are still surrounding the defense that was ranked inside the bottom ten last season and hasn’t looked great in the preseason. It’s going to be a close call, but I think they might just pinch the division.

No matter what department I’ve looked at, the Seahawks look stronger. The pass rush will improve for the additions of Michael Bennett, Cliff Avril and O’Brien Schofield and I’m expecting their sack count to rise to the heights shown by Denver and St Louis last season.

New Orleans will come on a bundle for having Sean Payton back in charge. Drew Brees will have a better year and I cannot agree with the Regular Seasons wins line of just 9. I think they’ll beat that – my line is 10. The Saints gave up too many yards passing last season but the signings of Kenny Vaccaro and veteran Keenan Lewis will improve things in that department.

Russell Wilson said a few days ago that they are well ahead of last season in every department and given the adjustments made to improve their road performance, the Seahawks look a worthy NFC West favourite to me.

St Louis may well be a 9/1 chance for the NFC West, but whilst I couldn’t agree with that price, I just can’t see them having enough game to beat Seattle over the course of a 16 game season. All eyes will be on Sam Bradford who, for the first time in his career has a stable back room team in place (IE one that isn’t new) together with a full complement of offensive weaponry that has been tailored to his strengths. Their schedule sees 7 ‘should win’ games – the task is to then grab 2 or 3 more in order to make a wild card spot theirs.

The Arizona Cardinals look out with the washing – even at 40/1 they make no appeal

If either New Orleans or Atlanta slips up, then it will be Carolina that could steal a play-off place. 6/1 is a big price but I prefer backing ‘Over 7’ Regular Season wins instead.

My line is 8 and there’s enough in the price to merit a small bet. The weak link for the Panthers is their Secondary Line but they have a good pass rush, can both run and throw the ball to effect and are going to war with a defensive line bolstered by Star Lotulelei and Kawann Short.

Tampa Bay looks booked for fourth place. Josh Freeman is a talented quarterback for sure, but I still get the feeling that this side isn’t gelling too well and the offensive line looks to be falling short again. Stopping the run last season wasn’t a problem – rushing the passer was though and in a division like this, that’s a bad area to fall short in

NFL – NFC WEST

NFL – NFC SOUTH

REGULAR SEASON WINS

REGULAR SEASON WINS

5/7 AT THE FOLLOWING BOOKMAKER

[2]

TIP

5/7 (minimum 4/6)

Carolina Panthers Over 7 Wins

New Orleans Saints Over 9 Wins

STAKE

STAKE

£5.00

5th Sept 2013 – 29th Dec 2013

£5.00

£5.00

PRICE

TIP

San Francisco 49ers Under 11.5 Wins

PRICE

5th Sept 2013 – 29th Dec 2013

8/11 (minimum 8/11)

5/6 (minimum 8/11)

8/11 AT

5/6 AT

InsiderBet.co.uk

NFL – NFC/AFC 2013

DON’T BACK THE EAGLES TO SOAR THIS YEAR…

LAST PLACE LOOMS FOR THE NEW YORK JETS…

NFC EAST Washington

AFC EAST

2012

2013 Prediction

2013 Line

To Win Division

To Win Super Bowl

10-6

9-7

8

3/1

35/1

New England

2012

2013 Prediction

2013 Line

To Win Division

To Win Super Bowl

12-4

11-5

11.5

1/3

7/1

NY Giants

9-7

9-7

9

12/5

28/1

Miami

7-9

7-9

8

11/2

55/1

Dallas

8-8

8-8

8.5

13/5

40/1

Buffalo

6-10

6-10

6.5

16/1

150/1

Philadelphia

4-12

6-10

7.5

9/2

66/1

New York Jets 6-10

4-12

6.5

25/1

150/1

The NFC East is without doubt the weakest division in the NFC and that is reflected in the betting. Robert Griffin III is a year older and Washington are a year wiser when it comes to building an offense based on this sublimely talented quarterback making the play calls – but once again, the quality of the secondary has to be a worry. The Redskins were ranked 30th last season in the passing yards per game against department and they have done little to improve matters.

The New York Giants are coming off a 9-7 season and I reckon they’re in for a similar return in 2013. The defense is the main problem – adding defensive tackles Cullen Jenkins, Jonathan Hankins and Mike Patterson will help matters against the run, but their pass rush is a mile away from the splendid set up in 2011 and it’s this improvement that will prove vital to their success in 2013 (ranked 28 in the passing yards against department last season.)

Dallas will be running with a new defense this season and whilst I’m sure all will be well in the end, the transition will pose the Cowboys problems. The potency of the offensive line will once again be the big issue. Last year’s rushing effort was awful (Rankled 31st) and whilst they made up for it in the pass department, they’ll need to up their production on the run if they are to go positive this season.

And finally Philadelphia – a team that were the fancy of some pundits to go all the way last season - but that certainly won’t be the case in 2013. I’ve spent a while looking through Philly’s schedule and I can’t get it any higher than 6 wins. It will be interesting to see how the college based Chip Kelly will fare this season. The preseason has identified a few cracks and of course, keeping Michael Vick fit will again be fundamental to their success

The New England Patriots have suffered some personnel losses in the off season, but as we’ve seen at the recent camps, Brady has done a brilliant job in training the new recruits and there will be a little more run which will offset the possible drop off in the pass department.

The AFC East is a soft one for New England and whilst at one stage they looked a side that could struggle a bit, Brady has ensured that the Pats are once again a worthy short price favourite to check out the division.

I have the Miami Dolphins in as the second placed team in the division – but not by quite as many as the bookmakers.

A tough schedule and the loss of some key players (including Reggie Bush) make Miami a 7-9 team for me, maybe 8-8, but with the team’s poor passing performance last season (ranked 26th in passing yards) a positive season (i.e. 9-7 or better) looks a tough ask.

The Buffalo Bills were a super run team in 2012 (ranked 6th) and I think they’ll be even better in 2013. CJ Spiller and Fred Jackson are going to be difficult to contain and they can also improve in the pass department also (ranked 25th last season). Protecting against the rush is going to be the big issue and this makes them the third favourite – but only just.

And then we have the New York Jets and I found it interesting matching up their strengths and weaknesses against their schedule – and it certainly doesn’t look good. 4 regular season wins and last place looms large

5th Sept 2013 – 29th Dec 2013

Philadelphia Eagles Under 7.5 Wins

TIP

New York Jets to Finish 4th

£5.00

STAKE

£5.00

5/6 (minimum 4/5)

PRICE

FINISHING POSITION

5th Sept 2013 – 29th Dec 2013 TIP

REGULAR SEASON WINS

STAKE

NFL – AFC EAST

PRICE

NFL – NFC EAST

Evens (minimum 5/6)

5/6 AT THE FOLLOWING BOOKMAKERS

EVENS AT THE FOLLOWING BOOKMAKERS

[3]

ISSUE 163 // Wednesday 4 September 2013

CAN’T PICK A WINNER IN THE AFC NORTH…

THE TEXANS THE TEAM TO BEAT DOWN SOUTH…

AFC NORTH

AFC SOUTH

2012

2013 Prediction

2013 Line

To Win Division

To Win Super Bowl

2012

2013 Prediction

2013 Line

To Win Division

To Win Super Bowl

Baltimore

10-6

10-6

8.5

3/1

28/1

Houston

12-4

11-5

10.5

8/15

16/1

Cincinnati

10-6

10-6

8.5

9/4

Pittsburgh

8-8

10-6

9

2/1

33/1

Indianapolis

11-5

9-7

8.5

3/1

50/1

35/1

Tennessee

6-10

6-10

6.5

10/1

250/1

Cleveland

5-11

5-11

6

11/1

200/1

Jacksonville

2-14

4-12

5

35/1

450/1

The toughest of all divisions to call and as you can see, I can’t split them… I fancy the Baltimore Ravens to have a similar year to 2012 with a 10-6 bottom line – a view that is driven by their improved defense.

In offence though Baltimore could find things tough with the loss of Dennis Pitta and Anquan Boldin likely to cause them big problems and getting the new personnel to gel will be tough - as many as 10 new starters could take to the field for the first game.

The good news is that this Ravens side has managed to keep hold of some key members of the squad and as owner Steve Bisciotti rightly pointed out a few weeks ago, when you have Joe Flacco throwing the ball anything can happen.

The Cincinnati Bengals are another team that I fancy to travel in a similar manner to 2012. I have my concerns about Andy Dalton though and whether he can score heavily when it really matters.

That said, this is a very good side and their performance in all dimensions of the game last season proves that. Ranked 17th in passing yards, 18th in rushing yards, 7th in opposition passing yards and 12th in opposition rushing yards is a good defensive performance and if they can improve those offense numbers, the Bengals could well land this division.

I fancy Houston to do the business despite having a really tough schedule. The big deal with the Texans is winning those games where their opponent is having a good day or they are having a bad one – and as I said a few times last season, they don’t bully teams as much as they should do.

Last year was far easier on paper than 2013 will be, but in some ways that isn’t so bad with Matt Schaub gaining some crucial experience last season together with the unstoppable Andre Johnson and the superb Arian Foster looking as strong a package as ever. The Texans look an 11-5 team this season – maybe 10-6.

The Indianapolis Colts bowled me over last season going 11-5 in what was Andrew Luck’s first year as play caller. I had them down as scraping a negative season, but Luck was superb and despite having mediocre protection, he still threw the Colts to a ranking of 7 in the passing yards table. It was the rest of the Colts production that let them down so badly – the rush yards they bled (137.5 a game) stopped them winning the division and in preseason, this hasn’t improved much.

They are struggling against the pass also (averaged 236.8 yards) and their reliance on Luck throwing the pill pushed their run yards down to just 104.4 a game.Andrew Luck has to back up that first year – and I’m sure he’ll do just fine – but beating the Texans I just cannot see happening.

As far as the Pittsburgh Steelers are concerned, I have to be bullish about their chances. We have already backed them to win ‘Over 9’ games at 10/11 and I’m certainly happy with that price. Keeping Ben Roethlisberger fit and well protected will be the big ask this season. I think they can improve on last season and with a similar effort in defense, I have to fancy the Steelers to better 9 Regular Season wins.

The Tennessee Titans were poor last year and I haven’t seen much of a reason to predict a big change either way. Jake Locker blew hot and cold in 2012 – he didn’t finish the season well and faces a big test early in 2013. The club has made a couple of interesting signings, but when you look at the areas this team are weak in (all of them) they will be doing very well to get just one area right – and as we all know, it doesn’t work like that in this game.

Brandon Weeden is an excellent quarterback but the Cleveland Browns are still a work in progress and are a side that will regard an 8-8 season as a major success. They have a lot of work to do before they reach that kind of level though – last year they were ranked 19th in passing yards, 24th in rushing yards, 25th in opposition passing yards and 19th in opposition rushing yards and whilst I fancy them to improve, there’s a lot of work to be done. 2013 will be looked back on as a foundation year

Jacksonville are in a similar state as the Titans – only worse…

[4]

The line of 5 is too high here. This Jacksonville side is reeling and the defense is still leaking points like they are going out of fashion - last season the Jags were ranked 21st in passing yards, 30th in rushing yards, 22nd in opposition passing yards and 30th in opposition rushing yards. Make no mistake, this is a huge job for Blaine Gabbert and Gus Bradley – and I’ve erred on the side of caution with my win line of 4

InsiderBet.co.uk

NFL – AFC 2013

TOUGH TIMES AHEAD FOR OAKLAND AND SAN DIEGO…

NFL – AFC NORTH REGULAR SEASON WINS

AFC WEST To Win Division

To Win Super Bowl

Denver

13-3

11-5

11.5

1/3

7/1

Kansas

2-14

8-8

7.5

7/1

66/1

San Diego

7-9

6-10

7.5

8/1

80/1

Oakland

4-12

3-13

5.5

33/1

450/1

5th Sept 2013 – 29th Dec 2013 TIP

2013 Line

Cincinnati Bengals Over 8.5 Wins

STAKE

2013 Prediction

£5.00

PRICE

2012

5/6 (minimum 4/5)

The AFC West houses the Super Bowl favourites – the Denver Broncos – and as you can see by my seasons wins predictions, I only fancy Kansas to give them a serious run for their money.

5/6 AT THE FOLLOWING BOOKMAKERS

Peyton Manning was good last year, but looking at some of his preseason tape, I would say he looks in even better shape and I’m fancying him to have a very good season.

REGULAR SEASON WINS

Oakland look likely to struggle big time – they haven’t been able to add to the roster and the schedule looks cruel in places. There’s a slight chance it could be a 0-16 year but I’m giving the Raiders 3 of the 5 close matches

TIP STAKE

£3.00

PRICE

10/11 (minimum 10/11) EVENS AT

10/11 AT

NFL – AFC WEST REGULAR SEASON WINS TIP

Oakland Raiders Under 5.5 Wins

STAKE

£10.00

PRICE

5th Sept 2013 – 29th Dec 2013

8/11 – 4/6 (minimum 4/6) 8/11 AT

4/6 AT

FINISHING POSITION TIP

I remember backing the Chargers heavily one year for the Super Bowl – those days are a long way from what we have now. An injury wrecked side and some problems on offense and a few niggles on defense too – although for the second year running their D will be the team’s strength. An 8-8 season would be a brilliant achievement.

Jacksonville Jaguars Under 5 Wins

San Diego Chargers to Finish 3rd

STAKE

Kansas City will lead with Alex Smith this season and that will ensure they look after the scoreboard in the offense department and push them up the passing ladder (where they were ranked bottom last season).

Things were also bad against the run in 2012, but a couple of decent signings should sort that out to some degree and they will finish better than last year’s effort of 27th. An 8-8 season (maybe 9-7) is as good as I can get the numbers.

5th Sept 2013 – 29th Dec 2013

£5.00

PRICE

The Broncos offense is to die for – with Manning now having Wes Welker to throw to, together with a WR package that averaged 283 yards a game last season.

It simply cannot get any better in that department and the run produced some decent numbers also. The problem will be the defense – the suspension of Von Miller is not good, the only upside is that the period he is missing for could be harder.

NFL – AFC SOUTH

11/8 (minimum 6/5) 5/6 AT THE FOLLOWING BOOKMAKERS

[5]

ISSUE 163 // Wednesday 4 September 2013

REGULAR SEASON – WORST RECORD THE BETTING FOR THE WORST REGULAR SEASON RECORD IS A LITTLE MORE OPEN THAN I WOULD HAVE IT – THE CURRENT FAVOURITES ARE THE OAKLAND RAIDERS, BUT AT ODDS OF 7/2, I DON’T THINK THEY ARE SHORT ENOUGH… You have to fear for the Raiders this season – I’ve already touched on the situation in my preview of the AFC West, but if ever a season was going to test the resolve of Raider’s fans then 2013/14 would have to be that season.

The bookmakers are normally right to be contrarian when a team is being top billed to have an exceptionally bad time of it – we’ve seen so many teams, over a variety of sports, bucking such trends, however when it comes to being billed as bad, the Raiders look the real thing...

The one positive the Raiders have on their side is the running back position where they are quite strong – however, an inexperienced group of wide receivers, problems at tight end and an unsettled offensive line certainly waters down that positive

NFL REGULAR SEASON – WORST RECORD 5th Sept 2013 – 29th Dec 2013 TIP

The quarterback position is one massive concern with Terrelle Pryor and Matt Flynn vying for that spot – it’s still not known who’ll be lining up for the Raiders against the Colts in game one, Pryor is the slight favourite, but what a tough job that would be.

7/2 about the Raiders finishing the season with the worst record in the 2013/14 regular season looks a bit of value to me – there looks to be three teams with big problems this season but it’s Oakland’s schedule that makes them a decent bet for me

Oakland Raiders

STAKE

A streak of bad buying and awful contracts has the Oakland Raiders in big salary cap problems – they’ve had to slice lumps off the roster because of their bad player trades and consequently have been left with no room for purchases.

Their schedule is a nightmare – home matches against Jacksonville, Washington, San Diego, Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, Tennessee, Kansas and Denver looks like two or maybe three wins to me and I can’t see them winning on the road against Indianapolis, Denver, Kansas, NY Giants, Houston, Dallas, NY Jets and San Diego.

WHERE MY MONEY’S GOING

£4.00

PRICE

TOUGH SEASON AHEAD FOR THE RAIDERS

7/2 (minimum) 7/2 AT THE FOLLOWING BOOKMAKERS

THE NFL REGULAR SEASON EXPLAINED The NFL Regular Season starts on Thursday 5th September and finishes on Sunday 29th December. There are 17 weeks of fixtures during this time with each team receiving one bye week during that period.

home and away (six matches in total) together with an additional ten matches.

Unless specified, all of the player/ team specific markets are settled on the Regular Season. It’s a 16-match season that sees a team take on their divisional rivals at

And our bets on teams’ Total Wins, along with ‘Props’ (Specials bets) on the likes of ‘Worst Record,’ all apply to the 16-match Regular Season

[6]

The player/team stats that you will find on the likes of www.nfl.com and www.espn.com are usually for the Regular Season only.

InsiderBet.co.uk

BEST OF THE REST – NFL 2013

YOUR NFL BETTING PORTFOLIO 2013 NOW FOR A RECAP OF OUR OPEN NFL POSITIONS AND TO KICK OFF, OUR DIVISIONAL DOUBLE THAT WE STRUCK ON JUNE 20TH ON DENVER BRONCOS TO WIN THE AFC WEST AND HOUSTON TEXANS TO WIN THE AFC SOUTH AT A COMBINED 11/10 WITH HILLS FOR A STAKE OF £20.

MANNING AN EACH WAY GIFT AT 7/1…

BRONCOS AND TEXANS ARE STILL VALUE AT EVEN MONEY...

On Aug 14th we had a £1.50 each way wager on Peyton Manning winning the ‘Most Passing Yards’ market at 7/1 and given the way Peyton has been performing in practice I’m expecting plenty of deep balls from the Broncos QB this season. With 600+ attempts at just over 8 yards an attempt, Manning will go very close to landing this bet.

I’m happy with the way this bet looks on the eve of the season. Denver are now 1/3 at the very best with Houston a top priced 8/15 chance, which combines to Even Money and that rates as decent value if you are not already on.

On August 9th we had another small ‘prop’ bet – on CJ Spiller landing the ‘Most Rushing Yards’ market at 20/1 and with 4 places on offer, this looks a decent each way wager. I’m expecting Spiller to get a full season of carries this season and with that scenario in place, he will go very close to a place in the top four rushers… at the very least

As I mentioned in my preview of the NFC West, our bet on the Seattle Seahawks to win Super Bowl (£2.50 each way @ 12/1) is looking solid, with the place part good value.

Building on their excellent home record will be the priority this season and given the strength of this roster, having 6/1 they win the NFC Conference is good business

BACKING PITTSBURGH TO BOUNCE BACK… And finally on the 13thJune, we potted some 10/11 about the Pittsburgh Steelers winning ‘Over 9’ Regular Season games. I fancy the Steelers to find their way to a 10-6 season – they are a great bounce back side and after last year’s disaster they will be keen on making amends

SUPER BOWL XLVIII – OUTRIGHT WINNER WE ALREADY HAVE SEATTLE SEAHAWKS IN THE SUPER BOWL OUTRIGHT BOOK AT 12/1 AND JUDGING BY THE WAY THEIR PRESEASON HAS GONE, I’M VERY HAPPY WITH THAT BET.

Their six-game schedule could be a lot worse – home to Baltimore, Oakland, Philly and the Jags should produce four wins with the

WHERE MY MONEY’S GOING 7/1 is a decent price for Denver. I want to take a closer look at the team over the first couple of weeks – they could be superb betting prospect – but for now we’ll take a bit of this price, Each Way

The rest of the roster is stellar – on offense Manning has the power to score heavily against even the best defence, they will rush more this season also and Von Miller gets back just in time for their hardest period of the regular season

NFL - SUPER BOWL OUTRIGHT WINNER 5th Sept 2013 – 2nd Feb 2014

TIP

The one problem they have– and it’s a big one – is the absence of Von Miller, who

Linebacker Shaun Phillips is in and he’ll likely line up alongside the likes of Robert Ayers and Derek Wolfe – defensive coordinator Jack Del Rio has his hands full for sure, but he’s an astute coach and one that will get the most out of whatever line he is calling.

two road matches – against the Giants and Dallas – a possible one & one split.

Denver Broncos to win Super Bowl XLVIII

STAKE

The Broncos were a mistake away from the Super Bowl last season – that misjudged slant pass from Peyton Manning cost both the Broncos and Insiders dearly, but it’s hard to hold that against a side that are strong in so many areas.

will miss the first six games of the season due to suspension for a drug offence.

Thankfully the club has had all preseason to work out how they are going to cover for their defensive centerpiece and I’m happy with their solutions…

£2.50 Each Way*

PRICE

There’s room for one more outright investment though and that’s going to be going the way of the Denver Broncos who despite a likely slow start to the 2013 regular season, can be fancied to finish like a train – 7/1 is just big enough for a bet.

7/1 – 13/2 (minimum) 7/1 AT THE FOLLOWING BOOKMAKERS

*Each Way terms: 1/2 odds 1,2 places

[7]

ISSUE 163 // Wednesday 4 September 2013

BET SUMMARIES

THE BACKPAGE Here is a summary of your Insider bets this month. Ten bets on the NFL Regular Season – plus a 7/1 Super Bowl tip.

In your next issue of The Insider magazine I’ll be focusing on European football – with Group and Outright Winner bets for this season’s UEFA Champions League and Europa League. The issue will be on your doormats and available online on Wednesday 9th October.

A WORD ABOUT YOUR STAKING ADVICE...

All my tips have a recommended stake in ‘£’s not ‘Points’ – using a scale of £1 - £100 (£1 minimum bet to £100 maximum bet).

Most bets will be around the £5 - £20 mark, with larger stakes reserved for what I consider outstanding opportunities. Of course, you are free to apply your own staking plan to suit your pocket – but this will provide a guide and also the marker for published results.

Mr X. REGULAR SEASON WINS / 5TH SEPT 2013 - 29 DEC 2013 New Orleans Saints Over 9 Wins

Philadelphia Eagles Under 7.5 Wins

£5.00

£5.00

£5.00

£5.00

5/7 (minimum 4/6)

8/11 (minimum 8/11)

5/6 (minimum 8/11)

5/6 (minimum 4/5)

5/7 AT

8/11 AT

5/6 AT

5/6 AT

AFC WEST

AFC NORTH

AFC SOUTH

TIP

Carolina Panthers Over 7 Wins

Oakland Raiders Under 5.5 Wins

Cincinnati Bengals Over 8.5 Wins

Jacksonville Jaguars Under 5 Wins

STAKE

San Francisco 49ers Under 11.5 Wins

£10.00

£5.00

£3.00

PRICE

TIP

NFC EAST

STAKE

NFC SOUTH

PRICE

NFC WEST

8/11 – 4/6 (minimum 4/6)

5/6 (minimum 4/5)

10/11 (minimum 10/11)

8/11 AT

4/6 AT

5/6 AT

10/11 AT

AFC EAST

AFC WEST

NFL

SUPER BOWL

TIP

New York Jets to Finish 4th

San Diego Chargers to Finish 3rd

TIP

Oakland Raiders

TIP

Denver Broncos

£5.00

£5.00

STAKE

£4.00

STAKE

£2.50 Each Way*

Evens (minimum 5/6)

11/8 (minimum 6/5)

PRICE

7/2 (minimum)

PRICE

WINNER

STAKE

WORST RECORD

PRICE

FINISHING POSITION

EVENS AT

7/1 – 13/2 (minimum)

EVENS AT

5/6 AT

7/2 AT

7/1 AT

*Each Way terms: 1/2 odds 1,2 places

©Copyright 2013 Oxfordshire Press Ltd. Managing Editors: Oliver Upstone, Shaun Humphris.

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Every effort is made to ensure the accuracy of all editorial material, however we disclaim all liability for any errors or omissions found in this publication. Oxfordshire Press in no way encourages reckless gambling and it is recommended that readers who engage in gambling do so responsibly and set financial limits. Anyone concerned about problem gambling can contact GamCare on 0845 6000 133 or gamcare.org.uk for further information.