Express Indaba 3 August 2016

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WILL A 60% CHANCE OF RAIN IMPACT ON VOTER TURNOUT TODAY?

The Battle for the Bay is on Athol Trollip (DA)

Danny Jordaan (ANC)

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T 7am today 4 669 voting stations in 715 wards will open across the Eastern Cape for 12 hours of voting in what many say are the most hotly contested elections

In Nelson Mandela Bay a total of 19 parties will be contesting in the elections. Only seven of these will be contesting in all 60 wards of the metro. And while all eyes are on the big battle between current executive mayor Danny Jordaan, of the ANC, and the DA’s mayoral candidate Athol Trollip, some experts say that with the support for the ANC and DA being very close in the Bay, the battle could be very dependent on which way the undecided vot-

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And while both the DA and ANC have pulled out all the stops bringing the big cannon in for the battle of the Bay, the smaller parties are also confident that they will be able to win at least 70% of the seats. Mongameli Bobani of the UDM is confident that he will be the next mayor of the metro and that his party will win 70% of the metro council’s 120 seats. “We are going to win and the ANC will have to share with the DA,” said Bobani. The United Front of the Eastern Cape (UFEC) is also convinced that they will have good results in the election. Mkhuseli Mtsila, UFEC spokesperson, said their target was 30 seats. “We are aiming at 30 seats; 15 ward councillors and 15 councillors on the proportional list. Prof. Joleen Steyn-Kotze, political analyst

ers decide to cast their vote, if at all. With a weather forecast of a 60% chance of rain for today, voter turnout could also have a huge impact on the final result. The latest Ipsos poll by the eNCA television channel issued last week, indicated that support for the DA in Nelson Mandela Bay had grown by 2 per cent to 44%, while support for the ANC had also grown by two percentage points to 30%. Support for the EFF was stable at 6%. The ANC, however, had the biggest negative sentiment (50%), followed by the EFF (43%), while the DA had the best positive sentiment (60%). According to the poll it is expected that around 90% of the registered voters will be voting. The Ipsos poll comprises 2 500 people in the metro of whom 500 are phoned weekly for a 5-minute interview.

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of the Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University, told Llewellyn Prince of Die Burger, that it would be about the bread and butter issues for voters and that the undecided voters could be a determining factor in the metro which has in the past years been in an administrative crisis and where factionalism in the ANC has impeded service delivery. She said the high unemployment rate, lack of housing and high crime rate would also play a major role in how voters would vote. Steyn-Kotze said that Danny Jordaan has in the past year “tried to put a clean administration in place”. “The question is, however, if this is enough to win back the trust of alienated ANC voters and to win over new voters for the ANC,” said Steyn-Kotze.

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