Packages Evaluation CLIMATE ROADMAP EVALUATION
CLIMATE ROADMAP EVALUATION
Package Evaluation Framework
We compared packages using quantitative and qualitative data. The figure below shows how the three packages reduced greenhouse gas emissions, shifted mode share and impacted each of the six community benefits being tracked, while accounting for the costs of each.
Analyzing the three separate packages allowed us to draw conclusions about actions that are capital-heavy Package Evaluation Framework versus those that are more programmatic, as well as how they work in tandem.
PAC K AG E A : C A PITA L
PAC K AG E B: PRO G R A M S
PAC K AG E C : D O E V E RY T H I NG
Includes all the "capital-intensive actions (including all transit, all active transportation, and some parking actions) if we were to fully implement them by 2050
Includes all program-intensive actions (including all TDM, most parking actions, and all community programs actions) if we were to fully implement them by 2050
Includes both capital and program-intensive actions from both Packages A and B, plus more intense parking reform
A
Cumulative capital and operating cost (in millions) for full build-out by 2050
$34,500 MIL L IO N
MILLION ( R E VE NUE GE NE R AT ING)
+ $ 1, 2 0 0
$ 2 6, 5 0 0
Cumulative greenhouse gas emissions reduction potential at full build-out by 2050 compared to business-as-usual (cumulative metric tons of CO2)
1, 6 4 0 , 0 0 0
1, 2 0 0 , 0 0 0
4 ,160 , 0 0 0
M E T RIC TO NS
Dollars per metric ton of cumulative greenhouse gas emissions reduction potential at full build-out by 2050
ME T RIC TONS
$ 21, 0 0 0
Annual GHG emissions reductions from Climate Roadmap compared to baseline by 2040 (annual metric tons of CO2)
+ $ 1, 0 0 0
$6,000
PE R ME T RIC TON ( R E VE NUE GE NE R AT ING)
PE R M E TRIC TON
89,000
50,000
19 0, 0 0 0
1, 5 4 2 , 0 0 0
1, 5 27, 0 0 0
1, 5 97, 0 0 0
ME T RIC TONS
M E T RIC TO NS
Low Carbon Mode Share
ME TRIC TONS
PE R M E T RIC TO N
M E T RIC TO NS
Annual GHG emissions reductions compared to 1990 baseline by 2040 (annual metric tons of CO2), including all background reductions and non-SFMTA actions
MIL L IO N
ME TRIC TONS
ME T RIC TONS
60%
84%
2030
2040
Low Carbon Mode Share
ME TRIC TONS
62%
83%
2030
2040
Low Carbon Mode Share
65%
86%
2030
2040
Air Quality Public Health Safety Economic Vitality Travel Experience 44
Racial Equity Package Evaluation Framework
45
