[No.223] STL Global Weekly Market Report_Updated 181106

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STL MARKET REPORT No.223 [Volume No.223]

November 2018 | STL GLOBAL CO., LTD | TEL. +82-2-776-0840 | WWW.STLKOREA.COM

โ… . ISSUE & TREND

The STL Market Report covers major issues affecting the world S&P market and provides an outlook for the market developments. The report provides a detailed analysis of key developments impacting S&P market trends.

Issue & Trend

1

Bulk Carrier

5

- BC Sales Report Tankers

9

- Tanker & Container Sales Report Demolition

13

Key Indicators

16

Contact Information

18

** ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ๊ฐ์ข… ์ •๋ณด์ œ๊ณต์„ ๋ชฉ์ ์œผ๋กœ ๋‚ด, ์™ธ์‹  ์ž๋ฃŒ์™€ ์–ธ๋ก ๋ณด๋„๋ฅผ ์ข…ํ•ฉํ•˜์—ฌ ์ž‘์„ฑํ•˜์˜€์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ฒ•์ ์ฑ…์ž„ ์†Œ์žฌ์˜ ์ฆ๋น™์ž๋ฃŒ๋กœ ์‚ฌ์šฉ๋  ์ˆ˜ ์—†์Œ์„ ์•Œ๋ ค๋“œ๋ฆฝ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

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Updated November 06, 2018

Contents

โ…ก . ISSUE & TREND | PAGE No.

STL MARKET REPORT Weekly Focus No.223


STL MARKET REPORT No.223

โ… . ISSUE & TREND 1. ์ค‘, ๋Ÿฌ ๊ตญ์˜์„ ์‚ฌ ์ธ์ˆ˜ ์ถ”์ง„โ€ฆํ•œ๊ตญ LNG ์‹œ์žฅ ์œ„ํ˜‘ ์ค‘๊ตญ ์ฝ”์Šค์ฝ”์‰ฌํ•‘์ด ๋Ÿฌ์‹œ์•„ ์†Œ๋ธŒ์ฝคํ”Œ๋กœํŠธ์˜ ์ง€๋ถ„ ์ธ์ˆ˜๋ฅผ ์ถ”์ง„ํ•˜๋ฉด์„œ ํ•œ๊ตญ ์กฐ์„ ์‚ฌ๋“ค์ด ๋…์ ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋Š” LNG ์„  ์‹œ์žฅ์—์„œ ์ค‘๊ตญ์˜ ์œ„ํ˜‘์ด ๋” ๊ฑฐ์„ธ์งˆ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋‹ค๋Š” ์šฐ๋ ค๊ฐ€ ์ œ๊ธฐ๋˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค. ์ง€๋‚œ 29 ์ผ ์Šคํ”Œ๋ž˜์‹œ ๋“ฑ ์™ธ์‹ ์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅด๋ฉด ์ฝ”์Šค์ฝ”์‰ฌํ•‘์€ ์†Œ๋ธŒ์ฝคํ”Œ๋กœํŠธ ์ง€๋ถ„ 49% ์ธ์ˆ˜๋ฅผ ์ถ”์ง„ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ๋‚˜ํƒ€๋‚ฌ๋‹ค. ์ฝ”์Šค์ฝ”์‰ฌํ•‘ ์ธก์€ "์†Œ๋ธŒ์ฝคํ”Œ๋กœํŠธ ์ง€๋ถ„ ์ธ์ˆ˜๋ฅผ ์ถ”์ง„ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์€ ๋งž๋‹ค"๋ฉฐ "์†Œ๋ธŒ์ฝคํ”Œ๋กœํŠธ ์ง€๋ถ„ 30%๋ฅผ ์šฐ์„  ์ธ์ˆ˜ํ•˜๊ณ  ์ถ”ํ›„ ๋‚˜๋จธ์ง€(19%)์— ๋Œ€ํ•ด์„œ๋„ ์ถ”๊ฐ€ ์ธ์ˆ˜ํ•  ๊ณ„ํš"์ด๋ผ๊ณ  ๋งํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์†Œ๋ธŒ์ฝคํ”Œ๋กœํŠธ๋Š” ๋Ÿฌ์‹œ์•„ ์ตœ๋Œ€ ๊ตญ์˜์„ ์‚ฌ๋กœ ์‚ฌ์—…์— ํ•„์š”ํ•œ ์ž๊ธˆ์„ ๋งˆ๋ จํ•˜๊ธฐ ์œ„ํ•ด ๊ธฐ์—…๊ณต๊ฐœ(IPO)๋ฅผ ์ถ”์ง„ํ•ด ์™”์ง€๋งŒ ์ •์น˜๊ฒฝ์ œ์  ์ด์œ  ๋“ฑ๊ณผ ๋งž๋ฌผ๋ฆฌ๋ฉด์„œ ์ง€๋‚œ 9 ์›” ๋‹น์ดˆ IPO ๊ณ„ํš์„ ์ค‘๋‹จํ•œ ๋ฐ” ์žˆ๋‹ค. ์•ž์„œ ๋Ÿฌ์‹œ์•„๋Š” ์ง€๋‚œ 2012 ๋…„ IPO ์ฃผ๊ด€์‚ฌ๋กœ ๋…์ผ ๋„์ด์น˜๋ฑ…ํฌ๋ฅผ ์„ ์ •ํ•˜๊ณ  ์ •๋ถ€๊ฐ€ 100% ์†Œ์œ ํ•œ ์†Œ๋ธŒ์ฝคํ”Œ๋กœํŠธ์˜ IPO ๋ฅผ ํ•˜๊ฒ ๋‹ค๋Š” ๊ณ„ํš์„ ๋ฐœํ‘œํ–ˆ์—ˆ๋‹ค. ์‹œ์žฅ ์•ˆํŒŽ์—์„œ๋Š” IPO ์ค‘๋‹จ๊ณผ ํ•จ๊ป˜ ์†Œ๋ธŒ์ฝคํ”Œ๋กœํŠธ์˜ ๋งค๊ฐ์ด ๊ฒ€ํ† ๋  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋‹ค๋Š” ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ์„ฑ๋„ ์ œ๊ธฐ๋˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค. ๋งŒ์•ฝ ์ฝ”์Šค์ฝ”์‰ฌํ•‘์ด ์†Œ๋ธŒ์ฝคํ”Œ๋กœํŠธ๋ฅผ ์ธ์ˆ˜ํ•  ๊ฒฝ์šฐ LNG ์„  ์‹œ์žฅ์—์„œ์˜ ์‚ฌ์—… ๊ฒฝ์Ÿ๋ ฅ๊ณผ ์‹œ์žฅ ์ง€๋ฐฐ๋ ฅ์„ ํ‚ค์›Œ ๋‚˜๊ฐˆ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์„ ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ๋ณด์ธ๋‹ค.

๊ฑด์กฐ ์ฃผ๋ฌธ๋Ÿ‰์ด ๋Š˜์–ด๋‚  ๊ฒƒ"์ด๋ผ๊ณ  ์ „๋งํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ „ ์„ธ๊ณ„ LNG ์„  ์‹œ์žฅ์€ ์„ธ๊ณ„ 1 ์œ„ ํ•œ๊ตญ ์กฐ์„ ์—…๊ณ„๊ฐ€ ๋…์ ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค. ์ค‘๊ตญ์€ ์ด์— ๋Œ€์‘ํ•ด ๋‚ด์ˆ˜ ์‹œ์žฅ์—์„œ LNG ์„  ๊ฑด์กฐ ๊ฒฝํ—˜์„ ์Œ“๊ฒŒ ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค. ๋Ÿฌ์‹œ์•„์‚ฐ LNG ๋ฌผ๋Ÿ‰์˜ ์ตœ๋Œ€ ์ˆ˜์ž…๊ตญ์ธ ์ค‘๊ตญ์ด ๋Ÿฌ์‹œ์•„ ์‹ ๊ทœ LNG ๋ฌผ๋Ÿ‰๊นŒ์ง€ ์ž๊ตญ ๊ฑด์กฐ๋ฅผ ์žฅ๋ คํ•  ํ•  ๊ฒฝ์šฐ LNG ์„  ์‹œ์žฅ์—์„œ ํ•œ๊ตญ์ด ๊ฐ€์žฅ ํฐ ํƒ€๊ฒฉ์„ ์ž…์„ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์„ ๊ฒƒ์ด๋ผ๋Š” ์ „๋ง์ด๋‹ค. ์—…๊ณ„ ๊ด€๊ณ„์ž๋Š” "์ค‘๊ตญ์ด ๋Ÿฌ์‹œ์•„ LNG ๋ฌผ๋Ÿ‰๊นŒ์ง€ ์ž๊ตญ ์กฐ์„ ์†Œ์— ๋ฐœ์ฃผํ•˜๋„๋ก ์••๋ ฅ์„ ํ–‰์‚ฌํ•  ๊ฒฝ์šฐ ์ค‘๊ตญ ์กฐ์„ ์—…๊ณ„๊ฐ€ ์–ด๋–ค ๋ฐฉ์‹์œผ๋กœ๋“  ์ˆ˜ํ˜œ๋ฅผ ์ž…๊ฒŒ ๋  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ๋ณด์ธ๋‹ค"๊ณ  ์šฐ๋ ค๊ฐ์„ ๋‚˜ํƒ€๋ƒˆ๋‹ค.

โ…ก . ISSUE & TREND | PAGE No.

๊ธ‰์†๋„๋กœ ๋Š˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋Š” LNG ์„  ์‹œ์žฅ์—์„œ ์นœํ™˜๊ฒฝ LNG ์„ ๋‹จ ํ™•๋ณด๋Š” ๋ฌผ๋ก  ํ–ฅํ›„ ์ค‘๊ตญ ์กฐ์„ ์—…๊ณ„๋กœ์˜ LNG ์„ 

1

์„ ๋ฐ• ๊ฐ€์น˜ํ‰๊ฐ€๊ธฐ๊ด€์ธ ๋ฒ ์…€์ฆˆ๋ฐธ๋ฅ˜๋Š” "์ฝ”์Šค์ฝ”์‰ฌํ•‘์€ ์†Œ๋ธŒ์ฝคํ”Œ๋กœํŠธ ์ธ์ˆ˜์— ์„ฑ๊ณตํ•˜๊ฒŒ ๋˜๋ฉด ์ˆ˜์š”๊ฐ€


STL MARKET REPORT No.223

โ… . ISSUE & TREND 2. IMO, ์‹ ์กฐ์„  EEDI ์—ฐ๋น„ ๊ทœ์ œ 3 ๋…„ ์•ž๋‹น๊ฒจ IMO(๊ตญ์ œํ•ด์‚ฌ๊ธฐ๊ตฌ)๋Š” 22 ์ผ๋ถ€ํ„ฐ 26 ์ผ๊นŒ์ง€ ๊ฐœ์ตœ๋œ ์ œ 73 ํšŒ ํ•ด์–‘ํ™˜๊ฒฝ๋ณดํ˜ธ์œ„์›ํšŒ(MEPC 73)์—์„œ ์‹ ์กฐ์„ ์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ EEDI(ENERGY EFFICIENCY DESIGN INDEX, ์—๋„ˆ์ง€ ํšจ์œจ ์„ค๊ณ„ ์ง€์ˆ˜) ๋‹จ๊ณ„(PHASE)3 ์˜ ์—ฐ๋น„๊ทœ์ œ์— ๋Œ€ํ•ด ์ผ๋ณธ์ด ์ œ์•ˆํ•œ ๋Œ€ํ˜• ์ปจํ…Œ์ด๋„ˆ์„ ์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ ์šฉ์‹œ๊ธฐ๋ฅผ 3 ๋…„ ์•ž๋‹น๊ธฐ๋Š” ๊ฒƒ๊ณผ ์—ฐ๋น„ 40% ์ด์ƒ ๊ฐœ์„ ์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅธ ๊ทœ์ œ์น˜ ๊ฐ•ํ™”์— ๊ธฐ๋ณธ ํ•ฉ์˜ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ข…์ „์€ 2025 ๋…„, 30% ์ด์ƒ์ด์—ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ฒŒ์ปค, ํƒฑ์ปค์— ๋Œ€ํ•ด์„œ๋Š” ์ข…์ „๊ณผ ๊ฐ™์ด 2025 ๋…„๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ์ ์šฉ์„ ์‹œ์ž‘ํ•˜๊ณ  ๊ทœ์ œ์น˜ 30% ์ด์ƒ์„ ์œ ์ง€ํ•œ๋‹ค. ๋‚ด๋…„ 5 ์›”์— ์—ด๋ฆฌ๋Š” ๋‹ค์Œ ํšŒํ•ฉ์—์„œ ์ด๋“ค ๋‚ด์šฉ์„ ๋‹ด์€ ์กฐ์•ฝ ๊ฐœ์ •์•ˆ ์ฑ„ํƒ์„ ์œ„ํ•ด ํ˜‘์˜ํ•ด ๋‚˜๊ฐ„๋‹ค. ์‹ ์กฐ์„ ์˜ EEDI ๊ทœ์ œ๋Š” ๋‹จ๊ณ„์ ์œผ๋กœ ๊ทœ์ œ์น˜๋ฅผ ๊ฐ•ํ™”ํ•˜๊ธฐ๋กœ ํ•˜๊ณ  ๋‹จ๊ณ„ 3 ์—์„œ๋Š” 2025 ๋…„๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ๊ธฐ์ค€์น˜์— ๋น„ํ•ด 30% ์ด์ƒ ๊ฐœ์„ ํ•˜๊ฒŒ ๋˜์–ด ์žˆ์—ˆ๋‹ค. ํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ์„ ๋ฐ•์— ๋น„ํ•ด CO2 ๋ฐฐ์ถœ์ด ๋งŽ์•„ ์ „์ฒด ์„ ๋ฐ• ๋ฐฐ์ถœ๋Ÿ‰์˜ ์•ฝ 1/4 ์„ ์ฐจ์ง€ํ•˜๋Š” ์ปจํ…Œ์ด๋„ˆ์„  ๋“ฑ์„ ๋Œ€์ƒ์œผ๋กœ ์ด๋ฒˆ์— ๊ฐ๊ตญ์œผ๋กœ๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ๋‹ค์–‘ํ•œ ๊ทœ์ œ ๊ฐ•ํ™” ์ œ์•ˆ์ด ์žˆ์—ˆ๋‹ค. ๋‹จ๊ณ„ 3 ์˜ ๊ทœ์ œ์น˜์— ๋Œ€ํ•ด์„œ๋Š” ์œ ๋Ÿฝ ์ธก์ด ์ „์ฒด ์ปจํ…Œ์ด๋„ˆ์„ ์„ ๋Œ€์ƒ์œผ๋กœ 40% ์ด์ƒ ๊ฐœ์„ ์„ ์ฃผ์žฅํ•˜๋Š” ํ•œํŽธ, ์ผ๋ณธ์€ ๋Œ€ํ˜• ์ปจํ…Œ์ด๋„ˆ์„ (4 ๋งŒ์ดํ†ค ์ด์ƒ)์—์„œ 40%, ๊ทธ ์ดํ•˜ ์ค‘์†Œํ˜• ์ปจํ…Œ์ด๋„ˆ์„ ์€ 30% ์ด์ƒ์œผ๋กœ ์ œ์•ˆํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ๋˜ ์ ์šฉ์‹œ๊ธฐ๋Š” ์ผ๋ณธ์ด ์ปจํ…Œ์ด๋„ˆ์„ ๋งŒ 2022 ๋…„์œผ๋กœ ์•ž๋‹น๊ธฐ๊ณ  ๊ทธ ์™ธ๋Š” 2025 ๋…„์œผ๋กœ ํ•˜์ž๊ณ  ์ฃผ์žฅํ•˜๋Š” ํ•œํŽธ, ์œ ๋Ÿฝ์€ RO-RO ์„ ์„ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ์ „ ์„ ์ข…์„ 2022 ๋…„์œผ๋กœ ์•ž๋‹น๊ธธ ๊ฒƒ์„ ์ฃผ์žฅํ•ด ๊ฒฉ๋ก ์„ ๋ฒŒ์˜€๋‹ค. ์ตœ์ข…์ ์œผ๋กœ๋Š” ์ผ๋ณธ์ด ์ œ์•ˆํ•œ ์ปจํ…Œ์ด๋„ˆ์„ ์„ ๋Œ€์ƒ์œผ๋กœ 2022 ๋…„์œผ๋กœ ์•ž๋‹น๊ธฐ๋Š” ํ•œํŽธ, ๋Œ€ํ˜• ์ปจํ…Œ์ด๋„ˆ์„ ์— ํ•œํ•ด ๊ทœ์ œ์น˜๋ฅผ ๊ฐ•ํ™”(40% ์ด์ƒ ๊ฐœ์„ )ํ•˜๊ธฐ๋กœ ๊ธฐ๋ณธ ํ•ฉ์˜ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์œ ๋Ÿฝ์ด ์ œ์•ˆํ•œ ์ค‘์†Œํ˜• ์ปจํ…Œ์ด๋„ˆ์„ ๋„ ํฌํ•จํ•œ

4 ์›”์˜ MEPC 72 ์—์„œ ์ฑ„ํƒํ•œ GHG(์˜จ์‹คํšจ๊ณผ๊ฐ€์Šค) ๊ฐ์ถ• ์ „๋žต์„ ๋‘˜๋Ÿฌ์‹ธ๊ณ  ๋ชฉํ‘œ์ธโ€œ2030 ๋…„๊นŒ์ง€ ํ‰๊ท  ์—ฐ๋น„ 40% ๊ฐ์ถ•โ€โ€œ2050 ๋…„๊นŒ์ง€ ์ด ๋ฐฐ์ถœ๋Ÿ‰ 50% ๊ฐ์ถ•โ€๋‹ฌ์„ฑ์„ ์œ„ํ•œ ์•ก์…˜ํ”Œ๋žœ(์ž‘์—…๊ณต์ •ํ‘œ)์„ ๊ฒฐ์ •ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ฃผ์š” 7 ๊ฐœ๊ตญ ์ˆ˜๋‡ŒํšŒ์˜(G7)์—์„œ๋„ ๊ฑฐ๋ก ๋œ ํ•ด์–‘ํ”Œ๋ผ์Šคํ‹ฑ ์“ฐ๋ ˆ๊ธฐ ๊ด€๋ จ์—์„œ๋Š” ์ด์ „ MEPC 72 ์—์„œ์˜ ์ œ์•ˆ์„ ๋ฐ›์•„๋“ค์—ฌ ์ด๋ฒˆ์— ์ฒ˜์Œ ๋…ผ์˜๋๋‹ค. ์„ ๋ฐ•์—์„œ์˜ ํ”Œ๋ผ์Šคํ‹ฑ ์“ฐ๋ ˆ๊ธฐ ํˆฌ๊ธฐ๋Š” ์ด๋ฏธ ๊ตญ์ œ์กฐ์•ฝ์œผ๋กœ ์ „๋ฉด ๊ธˆ์ง€ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์œผ๋‚˜ ๋Œ€์ฑ…์˜ ์‹คํšจ์„ฑ์„ ๋†’์ด๊ธฐ ์œ„ํ•œ ์•ก์…˜ํ”Œ๋žœ์„ ๊ฒฐ์ •ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์–ด๊ตฌ์— IMO ๋ฒˆํ˜ธ ๋งˆํ‚น ์ œ๋„ ๋“ฑ์„ ๊ฒ€ํ† ํ•ญ๋ชฉ์œผ๋กœ ํฌํ•จ์‹œ์ผœ 2025 ๋…„๊นŒ์ง€์˜ ๋‹ฌ์„ฑ์„ ๋ชฉํ‘œ๋กœ ํ•˜๊ธฐ๋กœ ํ•ฉ์˜ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. 2020 ๋…„ 1 ์›”๋ถ€ํ„ฐ์˜ SOX ๊ทœ์ œ๋ฅผ ์œ„ํ•ด์„œ๋Š” ์„ ๋ฐ•์ธก์— ๊ทœ์ œ ๋Œ€์‘ ์ค€๋น„๋ฅผ ์ด‰๊ตฌํ•˜๊ธฐ ์œ„ํ•œ ๊ฐ€์ด๋˜์Šค๋ฅผ ์ด๋ฒˆ ํšŒํ•ฉ์—์„œ ์ž‘์„ฑํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ๋˜ ์ผ๋ถ€ ๊ตญ๊ฐ€, ๋‹จ์ฒด์—์„œ ๋‚ด๋†“์€ ๊ทœ์ œ ์‹ค์‹œ์— ๊ด€ํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ IMO ์— ์ง‘์•ฝํ•˜๋Š” ์ œ์•ˆ์€ ๊ทœ์ œ ์™„ํ™” ๋“ฑ์€ ์ผ์ฒด ํฌํ•จํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š๊ณ  ์—ฐ๋ฃŒ์œ  ํ’ˆ์งˆ ๋“ฑ์œผ๋กœ ํ•ญ๋ชฉ์„ ์••์ถ•ํ•˜๊ฒŒ ๋๋‹ค.

โ…ก . ISSUE & TREND | PAGE No.

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๊ทœ์ œ์น˜ ๊ฐ•ํ™”์•ˆ์€ ํ–ฅํ›„ ๊ณ„์† ์‹ฌ์˜ํ•œ๋‹ค.


STL MARKET REPORT No.223

โ… . ISSUE & TREND ๊ฐ ๊ตญ์ด ์‚ฌ์ „์— ์„ฑ๋Šฅ์„ ํ™•์ธ, ์ธ์ •ํ•œ ์„ ๋ฐ•ํ‰ํ˜•์ˆ˜์ฒ˜๋ฆฌ์žฅ์น˜๋ฅผ ์„ ๋ฐ•์— ํƒ‘์žฌํ•  ๋•Œ ์‹ค์‹œํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒ€์‚ฌ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์˜ ๊ฐ€์ด๋“œ๋ผ์ธ์„ ์‹ฌ์˜ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์„ ๋ฐ•ํ‰ํ˜•์ˆ˜์˜ ์ฑ„์ทจ์กฐ๊ฑด์—์„œ๋Š” ์ผ๋ณธ์˜ ์ œ์•ˆ์„ ๊ณ ๋ คํ•œ ์กฐ์„ ์†Œ ์ฃผ๋ณ€์˜ ํ•ด์ˆ˜ ์‚ฌ์šฉ ๋“ฑ๋„ ์ธ์ •๋๋‹ค๊ณ  ์ผ๋ณธํ•ด์‚ฌ์‹ ๋ฌธ์ด ์ „ํ–ˆ๋‹ค.

3. ๊ตญ์ œ ์œ ๊ฐ€ ํ–ฅ๋ฐฉ์€โ€ฆโ€์‚ฌ์šฐ๋”” ๋“ฑ ์ฆ์‚ฐ ๋Šฅ๋ ฅ, ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ์ƒํ™ฉ์ด ๊ด€๊ฑดโ€ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์ •๋ถ€๊ฐ€ ํ•œ๊ตญ์‹œ๊ฐ„์œผ๋กœ 5 ์ผ ์˜คํ›„ 2 ์‹œ๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ๋Œ€์ด๋ž€ 2 ์ฐจ ์ œ์žฌ๋ฅผ ๋ณต์›ํ•˜๋ฉด์„œ ๊ตญ์ œ์œ ๊ฐ€ ๋ฐ ๊ตญ๋‚ด ์‚ฐ์—…๊ณ„์— ๋ฏธ์น  ์˜ํ–ฅ์ด ์ฃผ๋ชฉ๋œ๋‹ค. ์ง€๋‚œ 8 ์›” ์ด๋ž€์‚ฐ ๊ธˆ์†, ์†Œํ”„ํŠธ์›จ์–ด, ์ž๋™์ฐจ ์ˆ˜์ถœ ๊ธˆ์ง€์— ์ด์–ด ์ด๋ฒˆ 2 ์ฐจ ์ œ์žฌ์—๋Š” ์„์œ ์ž์›๊ฐœ๋ฐœ, ํ•ด์šด, ํ•ญ๋งŒ ์ˆ˜์ถœ์ž… ๊ธˆ์ง€์™€ ๊ธˆ์œต ๊ทœ์ œ ๋“ฑ ์‹ค์งˆ์ ์ธ ์ œ์žฌ ์ˆ˜๋‹จ์ด ๋ชจ๋‘ ๋ณต์›๋˜๊ธฐ ๋•Œ๋ฌธ์ด๋‹ค. ๋‹ค๋งŒ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ์€ ์ด๋ž€ ์ œ์žฌ์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ํ˜‘์กฐ๊ตญ 8 ๊ฐœ๊ตญ์— ๋Œ€ํ•ด์„œ๋Š” ์ด๋ž€์‚ฐ ์›์œ ์ˆ˜์ž… ๊ธˆ์ง€ ์กฐ์น˜์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์˜ˆ์™ธ๋ฅผ ์ธ์ •ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์„์œ ์—…๊ณ„์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅด๋ฉด ์ง€๋‚œ๋‹ฌ ์ด๋ž€์˜ ์›์œ  ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰์€ ํ•˜๋ฃจ 340 ๋งŒ๋ฐฐ๋Ÿด๋กœ ์ด์ค‘ ์ ˆ๋ฐ˜ ๊ฐ€๋Ÿ‰์ด ์ˆ˜์ถœ ๋ฌผ๋Ÿ‰์œผ๋กœ ์ถ”์ •๋œ๋‹ค. ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์ •๋ถ€๊ฐ€ ์ด๋ž€ ์ œ์žฌ์˜ ์™„์ „ ๋ณต์›์„ ์‹œ์‚ฌํ•œ ์ง€๋‚œ 6 ์›”๊ณผ ๋น„๊ตํ•˜๋ฉด ์›์œ  ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰์€ ํ•˜๋ฃจ 40 ๋งŒ๋ฐฐ๋Ÿด ์ •๋„ ๊ฐ์†Œํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ด€์‹ฌ์‚ฌ๋Š” ๊ตญ์ œ ์œ ๊ฐ€์˜ ํ–ฅ๋ฐฉ์ด๋‹ค. ๋ฏธ๊ตญ์ด ์ด๋ž€์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ œ์žฌ ๋ณต์›์„ ์˜ˆ๊ณ ํ•œ ์ดํ›„ ๊ตญ์ œ์œ ๊ฐ€๋Š” 10 ์›”์ดˆ๊นŒ์ง€

์„œ๋ถ€ํ…์‚ฌ์Šค์›์œ (WTI) ๊ธฐ์ค€์œผ๋กœ 10 ์›” ์ดˆ ๋ฐฐ๋Ÿด๋‹น 76.4 ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ๊นŒ์ง€ ์˜ฌ๋ž๋˜ ๊ตญ์ œ ์œ ๊ฐ€๋Š” ์ด๋‹ฌ ์ดˆ ๋ฐฐ๋Ÿด๋‹น 63.1 ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ๊นŒ์ง€ ํ•˜๋ฝํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์˜ฌ 3 ์›” ์ดํ›„ ์ตœ์ €์น˜๋‹ค. ๊ต๋ณด์ฆ๊ถŒ ์†์˜์ฃผ ์—ฐ๊ตฌ์›์€ โ€œ์žฌ์ • ์ˆ˜์ž…์„ ๋Œ€๋ถ€๋ถ„ ์›์œ ์— ์˜์กดํ•˜๋Š” ์‚ฌ์šฐ๋””์•„๋ผ๋น„์•„๋ฅผ ํฌํ•จํ•œ OPEC ์ž…์žฅ์—์„œ๋„ ์ผ์ •๋Ÿ‰์˜ ์ฆ์‚ฐ์ด ๋‚˜์˜์ง€ ์•Š์•„ ์ถ”๊ฐ€ ์ฆ์‚ฐ ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ์„ฑ์ด ๋†’๋‹คโ€๋ฉฐ โ€œ์ด๋ž€ ์ œ์žฌ ๋ณต๊ท€์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅธ ๊ณต๊ธ‰ ์ฐจ์งˆ๋กœ ์ธํ•œ ์œ ๊ฐ€ ์ƒ์Šน ์—ฌ๋ ฅ์€ ํฌ์ง€ ์•Š๋‹คโ€๊ณ  ์ „๋งํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ๋‹ค๋งŒ ๋Ÿฌ์‹œ์•„์™€ ์‚ฌ์šฐ๋””์•„๋ผ๋น„์•„์˜ ์ฆ์‚ฐ ๋Šฅ๋ ฅ์ด ์ด๋ž€๊ณผ ๋ฒ ๋„ค์ˆ˜์—˜๋ผ์˜ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๊ฐ์†Œ๋ฅผ ์ƒ์‡„์‹œํ‚ฌ๋งŒํผ ํฌ์ง€ ์•Š๊ณ  ๋น ๋ฅธ ์†๋„์˜ ์ฆ์‚ฐ์ด ์–ด๋ ค์šธ ๊ฒƒ์ด๋ผ๋Š” ์ ์—์„œ ์—ฐ๋ง๋กœ ๊ฐˆ์ˆ˜๋ก ์„์œ ์‹œ์žฅ์˜ ๊ณต๊ธ‰ ์ฐจ์งˆ ์ด์Šˆ๊ฐ€ ๋‹ค์‹œ ๋ถˆ๊ฑฐ์งˆ ๊ฒƒ์ด๋ผ๋Š” ์ „๋ง๋„ ๋‚˜์˜จ๋‹ค. ๊ตญ์ œ๊ธˆ์œต์„ผํ„ฐ๋Š” ์ด๋‚  ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ๋ฅผ ๋‚ด๊ณ  โ€œ์›์œ  ๊ธˆ์ˆ˜์กฐ์น˜๋กœ ์ด๋ž€ ์›์œ  ์ˆ˜์ถœ์€ ํ•˜๋ฃจ 100 ๋งŒ๋ฐฐ๋Ÿด ์ด์ƒ ์ค„์–ด๋“ค ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ์„ฑ์ด ์žˆ๋‹คโ€๋ฉฐ โ€œ๊ณต๊ธ‰ ์ฐจ์งˆ๋กœ ์ธํ•œ ์œ ๊ฐ€ ์ƒ์Šน์š”์ธ์ด ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ๋ถ€์ง„์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅธ ์œ ๊ฐ€ ํ•˜๋ฝ์š”์ธ๋ณด๋‹ค ์šฐ์„ธํ•˜๋‹คโ€๊ณ  ํ‰๊ฐ€ํ–ˆ๋‹ค.

โ…ก . ISSUE & TREND | PAGE No.

์œ ๊ฐ€ ์ƒ์Šน์„ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ๊ฐœ์„  ๋ถ€๋‹ด ์š”์ธ์œผ๋กœ ๋ณด๊ณ  ์„์œ ์ˆ˜์ถœ๊ตญ๊ธฐ๊ตฌ(OPEC)์— ์ฆ์‚ฐ์„ ๋…๋ คํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋Š” ์ƒํ™ฉ์ด๋‹ค.

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์ƒ์Šน์„ธ๋ฅผ ์ด์–ด๊ฐ”๋‹ค. ํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ ์‚ฌ์šฐ๋””์•„๋ผ๋น„์•„ ๋“ฑ ์‚ฐ์œ ๊ตญ๋“ค์ด ์ฆ์‚ฐ ์›€์ง์ž„์„ ๋ณด์ด๊ณ  ์žˆ๋Š”๋ฐ๋‹ค, ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์—ญ์‹œ


STL MARKET REPORT No.223

โ… . ISSUE & TREND ๊ตญ๋‚ด ํ•œ ์ •์œ ์—…๊ณ„ ๊ด€๊ณ„์ž๋Š” โ€œ๋ฏธ๊ตญ์˜ ์ด๋ž€ ์ œ์žฌ์—๋Š” ๋ฏธ๊ตญ๋‚ด ์„์œ ์—…์ฒด๋“ค์˜ ์ž…๊น€์ด ์ž‘์šฉํ–ˆ์„ ๊ฒƒ์ธ ๋งŒํผ ๊ตญ์ œ์œ ๊ฐ€๊ฐ€ ์–ด๋Š์ •๋„ ์˜ค๋ฅด๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์„ ์›ํ•˜๊ฒ ์ง€๋งŒ, ์ง€๋‚˜์น˜๊ฒŒ ์˜ค๋ฅผ ๊ฒฝ์šฐ ์„์œ  ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์˜ ์ž๊ตญ๋‚ด ์‚ฐ์—…์ด๋‚˜ ์†Œ๋น„์ž๋“ค ๋ถ€๋‹ด์ด ์ปค์งˆ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋‹ค๋Š” ์ ์—์„œ ๋ฐฐ๋Ÿด๋‹น 80~100 ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ์‚ฌ์ด๋ฅผ ์œ ์ง€ํ•˜๋ ค ํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์„๊นŒ ์‹ถ๋‹คโ€๊ณ  ๋งํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ๋Œ€ ์ด๋ž€ ์„์œ  ์ œ์žฌ์˜ ์ผ๋ถ€ ์˜ˆ์™ธ๋ฅผ ์ ์šฉ ๋ฐ›๊ฒŒ ๋œ 8 ๊ฐœ๊ตญ์€ ์ด๋ž€์‚ฐ ์›์œ  ์ˆ˜์ž…์ด ์ผ์‹œ ํ—ˆ์šฉ๋œ๋‹ค. ํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ ์ด๋“ค ๊ตญ๊ฐ€๋„ ์ „๋…„ ๋Œ€๋น„ 20~30% ๊ฐ€๋Ÿ‰ ์ˆ˜์ž…์„ ์ค„์ผ ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋œ๋‹ค. ํ•œ๊ตญ์˜ ๊ฒฝ์šฐ ์ด๋ž€์€ ์‚ฌ์šฐ๋””์•„๋ผ๋น„์•„, ์ฟ ์›จ์ดํŠธ์— ์ด์–ด 3 ๋ฒˆ์งธ๋กœ ํฐ ์›์œ  ์ˆ˜์ž…๊ตญ์ด๋‹ค. ํŠนํžˆ ์ด๋ž€์‚ฐ ์›์œ ๋Š” ์ดˆ๊ฒฝ์งˆ์œ ๋กœ ํ™”ํ•™์ œํ’ˆ์„ ์ƒ์‚ฐํ•˜๋Š”๋ฐ ํ•„์ˆ˜์ธ๋ฐ๋‹ค ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์ด ์ƒ๋Œ€์ ์œผ๋กœ ๋‚ฎ์•„ ๊ตญ๋‚ด ์—…์ฒด๋“ค์˜ ์„ ํ˜ธ๋„๊ฐ€ ๋†’์•˜๋‹ค. ํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ ์ง€๋‚œ 9 ์›”๋ถ€ํ„ฐ๋Š” ๊ตญ๋‚ด ์ •์œ ์‚ฌ๋“ค๋„ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์ œ์žฌ๋ฅผ ์˜์‹ํ•ด ์ด๋ž€์‚ฐ ์›์œ ๋ฅผ ๋“ค์—ฌ์˜ค์ง€ ์•Š๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค. ์„์œ ํ™”ํ•™์—…๊ณ„ ๊ด€๊ณ„์ž๋Š” โ€œ์ด๋ž€์‚ฐ ์„์œ ๊ฐ€ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์ด ๋‚ฎ์•„ ๊ตญ๋‚ด์—…์ฒด๋“ค์ด ๋งŽ์ด ์ด์šฉํ–ˆ๋Š”๋ฐ, ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์ œ์žฌ๋กœ ์ˆ˜์ž…ํ•˜๊ธฐ๊ฐ€ ์‰ฝ์ง€ ์•Š์•„ ์›๊ฐ€ ๋ถ€๋‹ด์„ ๋†’์ด๋Š” ์š”์ธ์ด ๋˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹คโ€๋ฉฐ โ€œ์ด๋ž€ ๋Œ€์‹  ํ˜ธ์ฃผ, ์นดํƒ€๋ฅด ๋“ฑ ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ๋‚˜๋ผ๋“ค๋กœ ์ˆ˜์ž… ๊ฒฝ๋กœ๋ฅผ ๋‹ค๋ณ€ํ™”ํ•˜๋ ค๊ณ  ๋…ธ๋ ฅ์ค‘โ€์ด๋ผ๊ณ  ๋งํ–ˆ๋‹ค.

4. ๋ชฉํฌํ•ด์–‘๋Œ€, ์—์Šคํ‹ฐ์—˜๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ(์ฃผ) ์žฅํ•™๊ธˆ ์ˆ˜์—ฌ์‹ ๊ฐœ์ตœ ๋ชฉํฌํ•ด์–‘๋Œ€ํ•™๊ต(์ด์žฅ ๋ฐ•์„ฑํ˜„)๋Š” 10 ์›” 30 ์ผ(ํ™”) ๋Œ€ํ•™๋ณธ๋ถ€ 2 ์ธต ํšŒ์˜์‹ค์—์„œ ์—์Šคํ‹ฐ์—˜๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ(์ฃผ) (๋Œ€ํ‘œ์ด์‚ฌ

200 ๋งŒ์›์˜ ์žฅํ•™๊ธˆ์ด ์ง€๊ธ‰๋˜์—ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ฐ•์„ฑํ˜„ ์ด์žฅ์€ โ€œ๋งค๋…„ ๋ชจ๊ต ํ›„๋ฐฐ๋ฅผ ์œ„ํ•ด ๋ฌผ์‹ฌ์–‘๋ฉด์œผ๋กœ ์ง€์›ํ•ด์ฃผ๋Š” ์—์Šคํ‹ฐ์—˜๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ(์ฃผ) ํ™ฉ์žฌ์›… ๋Œ€ํ‘œ์ด์‚ฌ๋‹˜๊ป˜ ๊ฐ์‚ฌ๋“œ๋ฆฌ๋ฉฐ, STL ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ์žฅํ•™์ƒ๋“ค๋„ ๋ณธ์ธ์˜ ์„ฑ๊ณต๊ณผ ๋”๋ถˆ์–ด ์‚ฌํšŒ ํ™˜์›์˜ ์ฑ…๋ฌด๋ฅผ ๋‹คํ•˜๋Š” ์ฐธ๋œ ๊ธฐ์—…์ธ์ด ๋˜๊ธฐ๋ฅผ ๋ฐ”๋ž€๋‹ค.โ€๊ณ  ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ํ™ฉ์žฌ์›… ๋Œ€ํ‘œ์ด์‚ฌ๋Š” โ€œ๋ฐ•์„ฑํ˜„ ์ด์žฅ๋‹˜๊ณผ ๊ต์ง์›์ด ํ•™๊ต๋ฅผ ์œ„ํ•ด ์• ์จ ์ฃผ์…”์„œ ์ •๋ง ๊ฐ์‚ฌ๋“œ๋ฆฌ๋ฉฐ, ์—์Šคํ‹ฐ์—˜๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ(์ฃผ) ์žฅํ•™์ƒ์œผ๋กœ ์„ ์ •๋œ ํ•™์ƒ๋“ค๋„ ํ•ด์šด๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ์นจ์ฒด๋กœ ์–ด๋ ค์›€์ด ์žˆ์ง€๋งŒ ํฌ๋ง์„ ์žƒ์ง€ ๋ง๊ณ  ์—ด์‹ฌํžˆ ๊ณต๋ถ€ํ•˜์—ฌ ์•ž์œผ๋กœ ๋‹ค์–‘ํ•œ ๊ณณ์œผ๋กœ ์ง„์ถœํ•˜์—ฌ ๋ชจ๊ต ๋ฐœ์ „์— ๊ธฐ์—ฌํ•˜๋Š” ์‚ฌ๋žŒ์ด ๋˜๊ธฐ๋ฅผ ๋ฐ”๋ž€๋‹คโ€๊ณ  ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ํ•œํŽธ ์žฅํ•™๊ธˆ์„ ์ˆ˜์—ฌํ•œ ์—์Šคํ‹ฐ์—˜๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ(์ฃผ) ํ™ฉ์žฌ์›… ๋Œ€ํ‘œ๋Š” 2025 ๋…„๊นŒ์ง€ ์ด 1 ์–ต์›์˜ ์žฅํ•™๊ธˆ์„ ๊ธฐํƒํ•  ๊ฒƒ์„ ์•ฝ์†ํ–ˆ๋‹ค.

โ…ก . ISSUE & TREND | PAGE No.

ํ•™์—…์„ฑ์ ์ด ์šฐ์ˆ˜ํ•˜๋ฉฐ ํƒ€์˜ ๋ชจ๋ฒ”์ด ๋˜๋Š” 5 ๋ช…์˜ ์žฌํ•™์ƒ์—๊ฒŒ ๊ตญ์™ธ ์–ดํ•™์—ฐ์ˆ˜ ์ง€์› ๋ชฉ์ ์œผ๋กœ 1 ์ธ๋‹น

4

ํ™ฉ์žฌ์›…, 35 ๊ธฐ ํ†ต์‹ ) ์žฅํ•™๊ธˆ ์ˆ˜์—ฌ์‹์„ ์ง„ํ–‰ํ•˜์˜€๋‹ค. ์ด๋ฒˆ ์žฅํ•™๊ธˆ์€ ์˜ˆ๋น„ ํ•ด์–‘์ธ์œผ๋กœ์„œ ํ’ˆํ–‰์ด ๋‹จ์ •ํ•˜๊ณ 


STL MARKET REPORT No.223

โ…ก. BULK CARRIER (โ–์„ ๋ น 5 ๋…„๊ธฐ์ค€, Million USD, ์ฆ๊ฐ์œจ : ์ „๋…„๋„ ๋Œ€๋น„,%)

์—ฐํ‰๊ท  ์„ ๊ฐ€ Capesize 180K Panamax 76K Supramax 56K Handysize 32K

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

46.80 28.81% 24.40 13.27% 24.50 14.84% 19.40 9.04%

32.08 -31.45% 17.04 -30.16% 15.67 -36.04% 12.96 -33.20%

24.06 -24.99% 13.67 -19.80% 13.02 -16.91% 9.94 -23.32%

31.63 31.43% 17.71 29.57% 16.33 25.44% 13.79 38.78%

35.32 11.68%

18.91 6.78%

17.91 9.65%

15.09 9.42%

๏ฒ BC ์—ฐํ‰๊ท  ์„ ๊ฐ€ - ์„ ๋ น 5 ๋…„ ๊ธฐ์ค€ (โ–์„ ๋ น 5 ๋…„๊ธฐ์ค€, Million USD) 50

45

40

30

5

25

20

15

10

5

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

CAPE

46.80

32.08

24.06

31.63

35.32

PMAX

24.40

17.04

13.67

17.71

18.91

SMAX

24.50

15.67

13.02

16.33

17.91

HANDY

19.40

12.96

9.94

13.79

15.09

โ…ข . BULK CARRIER | PAGE No.

์„ ๊ฐ€(Mill USD

35


STL MARKET REPORT No.223

โ…ก. BULK CARRIER 1์›”

2์›”

3์›”

4์›”

5์›”

6์›”

7์›”

8์›”

9์›”

10 ์›”

11 ์›”

์„ ๊ฐ€

33.00

34.00

34.00

34.00

35.00

36.00

37.25

37.25

36.25

36.25

35.50

35.32

์ „์›”๋Œ€๋น„

0.0%

3.0%

0.0%

0.0%

2.9%

2.9%

3.5%

0.0%

-2.7%

0.0%

-2.1%

-

์ „๋…„๋Œ€๋น„

34.7%

36.0%

13.3%

1.5%

4.5%

7.5%

16.4%

12.9%

6.6%

6.6%

6.0%

11.7%

์„ ๊ฐ€

18.50

18.50

19.00

19.00

19.00

19.00

19.00

19.00

19.00

19.00

19.00

18.91

์ „์›”๋Œ€๋น„

0.0%

0.0%

2.7%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-

์ „๋…„๋Œ€๋น„

27.6%

19.4%

8.6%

2.7%

2.7%

5.6%

5.6%

2.7%

2.7%

2.7%

5.6%

6.8%

์„ ๊ฐ€

17.50

17.50

18.00

18.00

18.00

18.00

18.00

18.00

18.00

18.00

18.00

17.91

์ „์›”๋Œ€๋น„

0.0%

0.0%

2.9%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-

์ „๋…„๋Œ€๋น„

20.7%

16.7%

12.5%

5.9%

5.9%

9.1%

12.5%

10.8%

10.8%

5.9%

5.9%

9.6%

์„ ๊ฐ€

14.00

14.00

15.00

15.50

15.50

16.00

16.00

15.00

15.00

15.00

15.00

15.09

์ „์›”๋Œ€๋น„

0.0%

0.0%

7.1%

3.3%

0.0%

3.2%

0.0%

-6.3%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-

์ „๋…„๋Œ€๋น„

7.7%

3.7%

11.1%

10.7%

10.7%

14.3%

14.3%

7.1%

7.1%

7.1%

11.1%

9.4%

CAPE

24.50

25.00

30.00

33.50

33.50

33.50

32.00

33.00

34.00

34.00

33.50

33.00

31.63

PMAX

14.50

15.50

17.50

18.50

18.50

18.00

18.00

18.50

18.50

18.50

18.00

18.50

17.71

SMAX

14.50

15.00

16.00

17.00

17.00

16.50

16.00

16.25

16.25

17.00

17.00

17.50

16.33

HANDY

13.00

13.50

13.50

14.00

14.00

14.00

14.00

14.00

14.00

14.00

13.50

14.00

13.79

CAPE 180K

PMAX 76k

2018 SMAX 56k

HNDY 32k

2017

12 ์›”

Mill USD

6

๏ฐ Cape 40 38 36 34 32 30 28 26 24 22 20

2018 2017 '17๋…„ ํ‰๊ท 

1์›”

ํ‰๊ท 

2์›”

3์›”

4์›”

5์›”

6์›”

7์›”

8์›”

9์›”

10์›”

11์›”

12์›”

โ…ข . BULK CARRIER | PAGE No.

๊ตฌ๋ถ„


STL MARKET REPORT No.223

โ…ก. BULK CARRIER

Mill USD

๏ฐ Panamax 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10

2018 2017 '17๋…„ ํ‰๊ท 

1์›”

2์›”

3์›”

4์›”

5์›”

6์›”

7์›”

8์›”

9์›”

10์›”

11์›”

12์›”

20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10

2018 2017 '17๋…„ ํ‰๊ท 

2์›”

3์›”

4์›”

5์›”

6์›”

7์›”

8์›”

9์›”

10์›”

11์›”

12์›”

7

1์›”

Mill USD

๏ฐ Handy 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8

2018 2017 '17๋…„ ํ‰๊ท 

1์›”

2์›”

3์›”

4์›”

5์›”

6์›”

7์›”

8์›”

9์›”

10์›”

11์›”

12์›”

โ…ข . BULK CARRIER | PAGE No.

Mill USD

๏ฐ Supramax


STL MARKET REPORT No.223

โ…ก. BULK CARRIER

VESSEL

DWT

BLT

YARD

M/E

BC

FRONTIER AMBITION

180,253

2010

JAPAN

BC

OCEAN CLARION

176,952

2009

BC

SCANDINAVIAN EXPRESS

93,038

BC

PRIME LILY

BC

GEAR

PRICE

REMARKS

B&W

29

Undisclosed buyer

JAPAN

B&W

29

Norwegian buyer

2010

CHINA

B&W

15.7

Greek buyer (Lavinia group)

81,507

2012

KOREA

B&W

13s

Undisclosed buyer

VOGE CHALLENGER

79,648

2010

CHINA

B&W

13

Undisclosed buyer

BC

JANNA S

75,035

2010

CHINA

B&W

11.5

Greek buyer

BC

SUMIHOU

74,940

2011

JAPAN

B&W

18.5

Undisclosed buyer, BBHP

BC

NAVIOS LIBRA II

70,135

1996

KOREA

B&W

4.55

Undisclosed buyer

BC

TC GOLD

56,444

2012

PHILIPPI NES(JAP)

B&W

C 4x30t

16.25

Undisclosed buyer, DD fresh passed

BC

TRON LEGACY

56,444

2012

CHINA

B&W

C 4x30t

1313.5

Chinese buyer

BC

FROGNAL

52,544

2005

PHILIPPI NES(JAP)

B&W

C 4x30t

7.9

Undisclosed buyer

BC

GENCO MUSE

48,913

2001

JAPAN

SULZ

C 4x30t

6.7

Chinese buyer, DD due Dec '18

BC

SEA BRONZE

37,426

2007

JAPAN

MITSU

C 4x30t

11.5

Undisclosed buyer

BC

APOSTOLOS II

34,676

2003

CHINA

SULZ

C 4x30t

7.25

Greek buyer

โ…ข . BULK CARRIER | PAGE No.

TYPE

8

โ…ข-1. Bulk Carrier Sales Report


STL MARKET REPORT No.223

โ…ข. TANKER (โ–์„ ๋ น 5 ๋…„๊ธฐ์ค€, Million USD, ์ฆ๊ฐ์œจ : ์ „๋…„๋„ ๋Œ€๋น„,%)

๊ตฌ๋ถ„ VLCC 310K Suezmax 160K Aframax 105K MR 47K Chemical Tanker IMO II 13K

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

74.10 31.93% 50.80 27.00% 38.70 33.45% 26.90 2.48% 13.00 8.90%

80.80 9.04% 59.60 17.32% 45.60 17.83% 27.70 2.97% 12.60 -3.08%

67.75 -16.15% 48.67 -18.34% 35.92 -21.24% 24.83 -10.35% 13.92 10.45%

63.08 -6.89% 41.29 -15.15% 30.29 -15.66% 23.79 -4.19% 12.42 -10.78%

64.23 1.81% 43.45 5.24% 31.55 4.14% 26.36 10.81% 11.86 -4.45%

๏ฒ TANKER ์—ฐํ‰๊ท  ์„ ๊ฐ€ - ์„ ๋ น 5 ๋…„ ๊ธฐ์ค€ โ–์„ ๋ น 5 ๋…„๊ธฐ์ค€, Million USD, ์ฆ๊ฐ์œจ : %)

90 80

60 50

9

40 30 20 10

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

VLCC

74.10

80.80

67.75

63.08

64.23

SUEZ

50.80

59.60

48.67

41.29

43.45

AFRA

38.70

45.60

35.92

30.29

31.55

MR

26.90

27.70

24.83

23.79

26.36

โ…ฃ . TANKER | PAGE No.

์„ ๊ฐ€(Mill USD

70


STL MARKET REPORT No.223

โ…ข. TANKER ๊ตฌ๋ถ„

VLCC 310K

SUE Z 160K

MR 47K CHE M IMO 2 13K

3์›”

4์›”

5์›”

6์›”

7์›”

8์›”

9์›”

10 ์›”

11 ์›”

์„ ๊ฐ€

64.00

63.00

64.00

64.00

64.00

64.00

64.00

64.00

65.00

65.00

65.50

64.23

์ „์›”๋Œ€๋น„

0.0%

-1.6%

1.6%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

1.6%

0.0%

0.8%

-

์ „๋…„๋Œ€๋น„

3.2%

1.6%

3.2%

3.2%

-1.5%

-1.5%

-1.5%

1.6%

6.6%

3.2%

4.0%

1.8%

์„ ๊ฐ€

42.00

42.00

42.50

43.50

43.50

43.50

43.50

44.00

44.50

44.50

44.50

43.45

์ „์›”๋Œ€๋น„

-2.3%

0.0%

1.2%

2.4%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

1.1%

1.1%

0.0%

0.0%

-

์ „๋…„๋Œ€๋น„

2.4%

2.4%

6.3%

3.6%

2.4%

-1.1%

1.2%

10.0%

14.1%

11.3%

11.3%

5.2%

์„ ๊ฐ€

32.00

30.00

31.00

32.00

32.00

32.00

32.00

32.00

32.00

31.00

31.00

31.55

์ „์›”๋Œ€๋น„

0.0%

-6.3%

3.3%

3.2%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-3.1%

0.0%

-

์ „๋…„๋Œ€๋น„

6.7%

0.0%

8.8%

6.7%

3.2%

3.2%

3.2%

6.7%

6.7%

3.3%

3.3%

4.1%

์„ ๊ฐ€

25.00

25.00

26.00

26.50

26.75

26.75

26.75

26.00

26.00

27.00

27.00

26.36

์ „์›”๋Œ€๋น„

0.0%

0.0%

4.0%

1.9%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-2.8%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

12 ์›”

ํ‰๊ท 

-

์ „๋…„๋Œ€๋น„

11.1%

11.1%

15.6%

10.4%

7.0%

7.0%

11.5%

10.6%

10.6%

12.5%

12.5%

์„ ๊ฐ€

13.00

12.50

12.50

12.25

11.75

11.50

11.50

11.50

11.50

11.25

11.25

10.8 % 11.86

์ „์›”๋Œ€๋น„

0.0%

-3.8%

0.0%

-2.0%

-4.1%

-2.1%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-2.2%

0.0%

-

์ „๋…„๋Œ€๋น„

6.1%

4.2%

-2.0%

-2.0%

-7.8%

-8.0%

-8.0%

-9.8%

-4.2%

-6.3%

-6.3%

-4.5%

62.00 41.00 30.00 22.50 12.25

62.00 41.00 30.00 22.50 12.00

62.00 40.00 28.50 22.50 12.75

62.00 42.00 30.00 24.00 12.50

65.00 42.50 31.00 25.00 12.75

65.00 44.00 31.00 25.00 12.50

65.00 43.00 31.00 24.00 12.50

63.00 40.00 30.00 23.50 12.75

61.00 39.00 30.00 23.50 12.00

63.00 40.00 30.00 24.00 12.00

63.00 40.00 30.00 24.00 12.00

VLCC SUEZ AFRA MR CHEM

64.00 43.00 32.00 25.00 13.00

63.08 41.29 30.29 23.79 12.42

10

๏ฐ VLCC-310K 67 65

Mill USD

2017

2์›”

63

2018

61 2017

59 57

'17๋…„ ํ‰๊ท 

55 1์›”

2์›”

3์›”

4์›”

5์›”

6์›”

7์›”

8์›”

9์›”

10์›”

11์›”

12์›”

โ…ฃ . TANKER | PAGE No.

2018

AFR A 105K

1์›”


STL MARKET REPORT No.223

โ…ข. TANKER

Mill USD

๏ฐ SUEZMAX-160K 45 44 43 42 41 40 39 38 37 36 35

2018 2017 '17๋…„ ํ‰๊ท  1์›”

2์›”

3์›”

4์›”

5์›”

6์›”

7์›”

8์›”

9์›”

10์›”

11์›”

12์›”

Mill USD

๏ฐ AFRAMAX-105K 35 34 33 32 31 30 29 28 27 26 25

2018

2017

'17๋…„ ํ‰๊ท  1์›”

2์›”

3์›”

4์›”

5์›”

6์›”

7์›”

8์›”

9์›”

10์›”

11์›”

12์›”

29

Mill USD

27 25

2018

23 21

2017

19 17

'17๋…„ ํ‰๊ท  1์›”

2์›”

3์›”

4์›”

5์›”

6์›”

7์›”

8์›”

9์›”

10์›”

11์›”

12์›”

โ…ฃ . TANKER | PAGE No.

11

๏ฐ MR-47K


STL MARKET REPORT No.223

โ…ข. TANKER โ…ฃ-1. Tanker Sales Reported 1) TANKER TYPE

VESSEL

DWT

BLT

YARD

M/E

TANKER

DS VIDA

299,097

2003

CHINA

B&W

22.8

TANKER

DHT SOPHIE

112,045

2003

KOREA

B&W

24.3

TANKER

DHT CATHY

111,928

2004

KOREA

B&W

OIL /CHEM OIL /CHEM OIL /CHEM OIL /CHEM OIL /CHEM OIL /CHEM

NORD INNOVATION

47,981

2010

JAPAN

B&W

16.7517.5

Turkesh buyer (Densay shipping)

MAERSK MISAKI

47,980

2011

JAPAN

B&W

16.7

Undisclosed buyer

DOXA

47,065

2001

JAPAN

B&W

6.5

Undisclosed buyer

45,988

2010

JAPAN

MITSU

16.5

Indonesian buyer (PT Pertamina)

45,920

2009

JAPAN

MITSU

14.5

Indonesian buyer

45,897

2005

JAPAN

MITSU

12.5

European buyer, BBHP

BLT

YARD

M/E

CHALLENGE POLARIS CHALLENGE PARAGON CHALLENGE PREMIER

IMO

PRICE

REMARKS Greek buyer (NGM energy) Greek buyer (Capital ship management)

VESSEL

DWT

CAPA

UNIT

PRICE

REMARKS

โ…ฃ . TANKER | PAGE No.

TYPE

12

2) CONTAINER, REEFER, ETC


STL MARKET REPORT No.223

โ…ฃ. DEMOLITION 1) ์„ ๊ฐ€ ํ•ด์ฒด์„ ๊ฐ€

2016 ํ‰๊ท 

(US$/LDT)

2017 ํ‰๊ท 

2017 ๋…„

2018 ํ‰๊ท 

11 ์›”

2018 ๋…„ 11 ์›”

์ฆ๊ฐ์œจ

์ฆ๊ฐ์œจ

์ฆ๊ฐ์œจ

์ฆ๊ฐ์œจ

์ฆ๊ฐ์œจ

(์ „๋…„๋Œ€๋น„)

(์ „๋…„๋Œ€๋น„)

(์ „๋…„๋Œ€๋น„)

(์ „์›”๋Œ€๋น„)

(์ „๋…„๋Œ€๋น„)

TANKER

265.63

-22.1%

365.21

37.5%

433.64

18.7%

392.50

445.00

1.1%

13.4%

BC

267.71

-20.5%

370.83

38.5%

441.59

19.1%

402.50

447.50

2.3%

11.2%

โ–๊ธฐ์ค€ : ์ธ๋„ํ•ด์ฒด์„ ์‹œ์žฅ(USD/LDT), ์ฆ๊ฐ์œจ (์ „๋…„๋Œ€๋น„)

BC

TANKER

500

450

300

250

โ…ค. DEMOLITION| PAGE No.

350

13

400


STL MARKET REPORT No.223

โ…ฃ. DEMOLITION 2) ํ•ด์ฒด์„ ๋ˆ„์ ํ˜„ํ™ฉ ํ•ด์ฒด์„ 

2017 ๋…„

2017 ๋…„

2018 ๋…„ ๋ˆ„์ 

์ด๋Ÿ‰

๋ˆ„์ ์œจ

Million DWT

No.

Million DWT

(์ „๋…„๋Œ€๋น„)

TANKER

11.47

113

19.74

172.1%

BC

11.74

292

3.92

33.4%

2018 ๋…„ 10 ์›”

10 ์›” ๋ˆ„์ ์œจ

์ฆ๊ฐ์œจ

์ฆ๊ฐ์œจ

(์ „๋…„๋Œ€๋น„)

Million DWT

No.

Million DWT

(์ „๋…„๋Œ€๋น„)

177

156.6%

0.65

11

1.62

150.1%

15

36.4%

98

33.6%

0.71

24

0.32

-54.4%

9

-62.5%

No.

No.

(์ „๋…„๋Œ€๋น„)

โ…ค. DEMOLITION| PAGE No.

14

3) ํ•ด์ฒด์„ ์ด๋Ÿ‰ (MILLION DWT)


STL MARKET REPORT No.223

โ…ฃ. DEMOLITION

REMARKS

B&W

467

Full Sub-conti option

KOREA

B&W

-

PAKISTAN

1998

KOREA

B&W

468

AS IS Colombo, incl. ROB 700t

10149

1996

POLAND

SULZ

478

AS IS Singapore

14,350

5780

1996

GERMANY

SULZ

335

Undisclosed

PETALIDI

14,100

5641

1993

POLAND

B&W

470

AS IS Singapore

CONT

PACIFIC PEARL

9,125

4654

1998

MALAYSIA

SULZ

441

AS IS Singapore

REEFER

FOX BAY

4,395

2372

1980

POLAND

B&W

425

INDIA

VESSEL

DWT

LDT

BLT

YARD

M/E

BC

STELLAR FAIR (ore carrier)

266,629

32565

1989

JAPAN

TANKER

DS VELVET

301,428

41566

1999

TANKER

SAFFRON

157,406

22252

CONT

MAGNAVIA

30,257

CONT

ROTHORN

CONT

โ…ค. DEMOLITION| PAGE No.

PRICE (usd/ldt)

TYPE

15

โ…ค-1. Demolition Sales Report


STL MARKET REPORT No.223

โ…ค. KEY INDICATORS 1) Baltic Index 2018-11-02

2018-10-26

CHANGE

5 Year High

5 Year Low

BDI

1457

1519

โ–ผ-62.00

2337

290

BCI

2502

2526

โ–ผ-24.00

4293

161

BPI

1530

1583

โ–ผ-53.00

2096

282

BSI

1051

1117

โ–ผ-66.00

1562

243

BHSI

666

675

โ–ผ-9.00

821

183

BDI

BCI

BPI

BSI

BHSI

5000 4500 4000 3500 3000

2000 1500 1000 500 Jul-13 Sep-13 Nov-13 Jan-14 Mar-14 May-14 Jul-14 Sep-14 Nov-14 Jan-15 Mar-15 May-15 Jul-15 Sep-15 Nov-15 Jan-16 Mar-16 May-16 Jul-16 Sep-16 Nov-16 Jan-17 Mar-17 May-17 Jul-17 Sep-17 Nov-17 Jan-18 Mar-18 May-18 Jul-18 Sep-18 Nov-18

0

โ…ฅ . KEY INDICATORS| PAGE No.

16

2500


STL MARKET REPORT No.223

โ…ค. KEY INDICATORS 2) Bunker Price (USD/TON, ์ „์ฃผ๋Œ€๋น„์ฆ๊ฐ) Singapore

(USD/Ton, Change)

Rotterdam

Houston

IFO380

508.50

โ–ฒ5.00

452.50

โ–ผ-18.50

440.50

โ–ผ-11.00

IFO180

536.00

โ–ฒ4.00

492.50

โ–ผ-26.00

491.50

โ–ผ-20.50

MGO

715.50

โ–ผ-9.00

670.50

โ–ผ-9.50

721.00

โ–ผ-21.00

โ–๊ธฐ์ค€์ผ : 10 ์›” 26 ์ผ ๊ธฐ์ค€

3) Exchange Rate ๊ตฌ๋ถ„

2018-11-02

2018-10-26

CHANGE

๋ฏธ๊ตญ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ

1138.80

1138.50

โ–ฒ0.30

์ผ๋ณธ ์—”(100)

1010.96

1013.13

โ–ผ-2.17

์œ ๋กœ

1298.97

1294.99

โ–ฒ3.98

์ค‘๊ตญ ์œ„์•ˆ

163.26

163.70

โ–ผ-0.44

โ…ฅ . KEY INDICATORS| PAGE No.

17

โ–์ตœ์ดˆ๊ณ ์‹œ, ๋งค๋งค๊ธฐ์ค€์œจ๊ธฐ์ค€


STL MARKET REPORT No.223

โ…ฅ. CONTACT INFORMATION Neal S.I. Kwon (๊ถŒ์ˆœ์ผ ์ƒ๋ฌด) Senior Director Tel. 070-7771-6410 Mob. 010-9496-0523 snp@stlkorea.com neal@stlkorea.com (Personal)

Sancho Kim (๊น€ํ˜„์ง„ ์ด์‚ฌ) Director Tel. 070-7771-6404 Mob. 010-5756-9378 snp@stlkorea.com sancho@stlkorea.com (Personal)

Leo J.M. Jung (์ •์žฌ๋ฌธ ๋ถ€์žฅ) General Manager Tel. 070-7771-6409 Mob.010-3273-4008 snp@stlkorea.com leo@stlkorea.com (Personal)

Claire C.W. Ji (์ง€์ฐจ์šฑ ์ฐจ์žฅ) Deputy General Manager Tel. 070-7771-6411 Mob. 010-6625-9785 snp@stlkorea.com claire@stlkorea.com (Personal)

STL GLOBAL Co., Ltd. 101-1401, Lotte Castle President, 109, Mapo-daero, Mapo-gu, Seoul, Korea Tel: +82-2-776-0840 (Rep.) Fax: +82-2-776-0864 TLX: K35476 E-mail: seoul@stlkorea.com www.stlkorea.com

โ…ง . CONTACT INFROMATION | PAGE No.

18

Jiwon Song (์†ก์ง€์› ์‚ฌ์›) Tel. 070-7771-6417 Mob. 010-4042-9803 snp@stlkorea.com jiwon@stlkorea.com (Personal)


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