BIG RACE TRENDS THE WEATHERBYS HAMILTON LONSDALE CUP (BRITISH CHAMPIONS SERIES) (GROUP 2) PREVIOUS WINNERS - LAST TEN RUNNINGS
Year 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
Winner Stradivarius Stradivarius Montaly Quest For More Max Dynamite Pale Mimosa Ahzeemah Times Up Opinion Poll Opinion Poll
Trainer John Gosden John Gosden Andrew Balding Roger Charlton W P Mullins D K Weld Saeed bin Suroor John Dunlop Mahmood Al Zarooni Michael Jarvis
Jockey Frankie Dettori Frankie Dettori P J McDonald George Baker Frankie Dettori Pat Smullen Silvestre De Sousa William Buick Frankie Dettori Frankie Dettori
AGE Although three-year-olds are eligible for the Lonsdale Cup, the Classic generation easily have the worst record in the race. The last runner they had in the race was Il Paradiso last year and they're not represented this time around. When it comes to positives, the most successful age group are the five-year-olds who have taken four of the last ten renewals, a plus for Enbihaar, who is the only five-year-old in this year's contest. TRAINER John Gosden has won this twice thanks to Stradivarius in the past two years but with the brilliant Chestnut on a path to the Arc this year, Enbihaar represents the master of Clarehaven. BETTING Montaly triumphed in 2017 at odds of 16/1 and whilst Millenary (12/1) and Times Up (11/1) have also provided small shocks, they have proved the exception rather than the rule as those towards the head of the market have enjoyed the most success. There have been three winning favourites in the last ten renewals and the average winning SP during the same time is around 5/1.
SP 4/9F 4/11F 16/1 9/2 8/1 2/1F 4/1 11/1 3/1F 9/2
Runners 4 ran 9 ran 9 ran 7 ran 8 ran 7 ran 7 ran 11 ran 10 ran 8 ran
Time 3m 27.06s 3m 29.69s 3m 31.06s 3m 32.57s 3m 33.09s 3m 31.52s 3m 34.75s 3m 34.64s 3m 32.48s 3m 34.84s
Going G/F G/F G G/F G/S G G/S G/S G G
RECENT FORM Stayers tend to mature as the season goes on and therefore it isn’t completely surprising to note that only three recent winners of this race had been successful on their previous start. However, only two of the last ten winners of this race had not achieved a top four finish last time which suggests that it is the form horses coming into the race that are the group to focus on. CLASS Opinion Poll, Pale Mimosa, Max Dynamite and most recently Montaly all went on to win the Lonsdale Cup having not contested a Group race on their most recent start, but on the whole these are exceptional in that respect. Every other winner contested either a Group 1 or 2 contest on their previous outing, including last year's winner, Stradivarius, who took the Group 1 Goodwood Cup, as he did this year, illustrating the high quality nature of this race. KEY TRENDS Finished in the first four last time Contested a Group 1 or 2 on their latest outing Focus on those towards the head of the betting
CONCLUSION With no Stradivarius in opposition, this looks a golden opportunity for the admirable NAYEF ROAD to score for Mark Johnston's Yorkshire yard. His two seconds to the great chestnut in the Gold Cup at Royal Ascot and in the Goodwood Cup are the best bits of form available and he's set to go well. It won't be easy though, with the progressive Enbihaar in receipt of the 3lb mares' allowance on her first run at two miles. She was a facile winner of the Group 2 Lillie Langtry Stakes over 1m 6f at Glorious Goodwood and this trip could unlock further improvement for this classy mare. Don't count out the four-year-old Dashing Willoughby either - the Andrew Balding-trained stayer is unbeaten this season, including a Group 3 Henry II Stakes triumph at Sandown Park, and can make his presence felt. Statistics supplied by an independent analyst. All trends are ten year based unless stated. 29
