Employment Land Strategy Background Paper

Page 47

The top five growth industries are:

    

Health Care and Social Assistance - 638 additional jobs Public Administration and Safety - 628 additional jobs Accommodation and Food Services - 502 additional jobs Retail Trade - 449 additional jobs Education and Training - 440 additional jobs.

Looking at the four BICS, population serving industries are forecast to have the greatest growth in jobs of around 1,504 jobs, followed by knowledge intensive (+1,258 jobs), health and education (+1,077 jobs) and lastly industrial industries which are forecast to have a combined growth of around 165 jobs over the 21-year period. Table 11: Clarence Valley employment projections Industry Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing

2020

2021

2026

2031

2036

2041

2020-41

1,421

1,451

1,435

1,429

1,377

1,303

-118

36

37

37

38

40

41

5

Manufacturing

998

1,027

1,061

1,113

1,157

1,195

197

Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services

288

293

298

307

315

321

33

2,345

2,401

2,470

2,564

2,625

2,676

331

300

307

315

329

339

348

48

Retail Trade

2,142

2,210

2,330

2,429

2,518

2,591

449

Accommodation and Food Services

1,515

1,590

1,708

1,833

1,935

2,017

502

Transport, Postal and Warehousing

689

720

764

821

856

886

197

Information Media and Telecommunications

196

200

209

220

227

232

36

Financial and Insurance Services

262

267

273

282

291

298

36

Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services

279

293

335

360

371

383

104

Professional, Scientific and Technical Services

630

669

706

735

761

782

152

Administrative and Support Services

439

455

478

508

528

544

105

Public Administration and Safety

1,486

1,644

1,718

1,838

1,970

2,114

628

Education and Training

1,474

1,536

1,677

1,789

1,853

1,914

440

Health Care and Social Assistance

2,836

2,939

3,106

3,285

3,398

3,474

638

184

194

209

217

224

231

47

701

730

770

819

851

876

175

Mining

Construction Wholesale Trade

Arts and Recreation Services Other Services Total BIC

18,221 18,964 19,900 20,914 21,636 22,225 4,004 2020 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041 2020-41

Knowledge intensive

3,981

4,249

4,483

4,763

5,003

5,239

1,258

Health and education

4,310

4,476

4,783

5,074

5,252

5,387

1,077

Population serving

6,887

7,125

7,487

7,861

8,154

8,391

1,504

Industrial

3,043

3,115

3,146

3,216

3,227

3,208

165

18,221

18,964

19,900

20,914

21,636

22,225

4,004

Total Source: TfNSW, HillPDA

P22016 Clarence Valley Employment Lands Background

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Table 33: Capacity GAP assessment by commercial centre (negative number indicates shortfall in capacity Table 34: Selected constraints and opportunities identified during the Clarence Valley Roundtable, 28 October 2021 .......................................................................................................................................... 81

9min
pages 78-81

Table 32: Total retail and commercial space demand by centre and growth scenario 2021-41 (sqm

2min
pages 76-77

Table 30: Net demand for commercial jobs and resulting space by scenario

2min
page 73

Table 35: List of stakeholders for targeted engagement

12min
pages 82-92

Table 25: Household expenditure by broad category and small area

1min
page 68

Table 28: Assumed capture of visitor expenditure by small area

5min
pages 70-71

Table 29: Occupied retail space demand by commercial centre and growth scenario 2021-41 (sqm

0
page 72

Figure 16: Summary of industrial land requirements under each demand scenario

1min
pages 65-66

Table 22: Constrained and non-constrained vacant land stocks (ha

1min
page 63

Table 21: Industrial lands future lands needs assessment (2021-2041

2min
page 62

Table 15: Commercial precincts

1min
page 54

Table 18: Net additional employment directed towards industrial precincts 2020-41

1min
page 59

Table 11: Clarence Valley employment projections

1min
page 47

Figure 11: Precincts and locations

0
page 48

Figure 12: Total employment space by employment precinct (sqm

1min
page 51

Figure 10: Industry value added by industry 2019/20 ($m

1min
page 46

Table 3: Annual median dwelling sale price growth rate 2018-21 (March quarter

12min
pages 15-20

Table 8: Clarence Valley population projections

4min
pages 40-41

Table 5: Resident employment location quotation

1min
page 38
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