244 I PART 2 I SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC IMPACTS
[ Figure 5.3 ] Methodological framework flowchart Observed climate variables
Observed gauge runoff
Rainfall runoff model
Calibrated Rainfall-runoff model
Bias-correction and spatial disaggregation technique (BCSD)
BCSD future climate datasets
Future runoff scenarios
Baseline runoff
Hydropower reservoir related data
Multi-GCMsimulated climate variables
Hydropower impact model
Baseline hydropower generation
Future hydropower genration
Climate change impact on hydropower production
This figure shows a general methodology applied to model the impacts of climate change on hydropower production. According to this figure, the quantification of climate change impacts on hydropower production is achieved by two main steps: (1) Generate the multi-GCM and multi-scenario projections of daily inflows into the selected hydropower dams; (2) Produce the multi-GCM and multi-scenario projections of hydropower production for all of the selected dams.
